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Re: Coronavirus
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But compared to March/April the testing is dramatically higher so 3000 cases is nowhere near as bad now than then when almost every case was a hospitalisation. |
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If we do get a big second wave, it would clarify that the only way to avoid the virus is a permanent lockdown, which no-one in their right minds would support. |
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There’s no evidence that supports your contention that locking down a week, or two, later than other counties prevents a second wave. Unless we developed herd immunity (no laughing at the back!) by our chance as a result of that extra week or two. The good news is a second lockdown, or regional lockdowns to the extent many can’t really tell the difference, are inevitable regardless of what those in denial think. Companies will continue to work from home, and the economy will tank in any case for longer and the rental incomes of property magnates that own the Daily Mail will be done. So every cloud has a silver lining. |
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I don’t think so. Infection rates can go up all they want, the death rate is the key metric. I don’t see death rates getting anywhere near the initial wave. When this whole thing started scientists ( and I posted it in here) said a second wave was unlikely and that it would plateau and would possibly be followed by the odd “ripple“, and I don’t see anything to disagree with that. |
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We are however better at treatments - which kills off the myth that they'd die anyway once and for all - which could improve mortality. Either way, numbers are going up and the demand side of the economy are staying home. |
Re: Coronavirus
Numbers go up, numbers go down, that's life for you.
You really do sound like the paranoia about CV19 has got to you. Despite the best efforts of the Media and Social Networks to convince you otherwise. 1. There is little chance you will catch it. 2. If you do, there is little chance it will do anything more than annoy you. Far more people are dying of other causes than the 'virus'. No one is worried about the Flu now the winter months are coming. Yet you are almost certainly more likely to catch that, and it can be just as fatal, especially in the same high risk groups. |
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Practice social distancing. Wear a mask. Wash your hands. Super simple stuff, but too many people aren't doing it, too many people think they know better, or that it's a scam, or that there's worse things to get. If you want to avoid lockdown after lockdown, get people to do the super simple stuff and fine/arrest those who refuse. |
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I do recognise that on a personal level my risks are extremely low. However that isn’t true of everyone in my social circle, family and friends (or indeed, for a significant amount of purchasing power in the economy). If the herd immunity advocates got their way statistically the chances would be that some of them would catch it with a higher mortality level based on age and underlying health issues. If this was just a flu we are back to the circular conversation where nobody would have noticed. Hospitals wouldn’t have been busier, it’d just be normal, as generally they are equipped to cope with flu every year. Numbers go down because of significant effort and mitigation. They go up without. At £210bn in cost to date, that’s a lot of Government paranoia. Would have been cheaper with a super-injunction, a D-Notice and hoping nobody noticed. |
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This doesn't sound good, not being reported here yet even though it's the UK vaccine.
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One person in 'tens of thousands' has had a suspected adverse reaction . . that may require hospital treatment, and could result in death :rolleyes: Pretty poor attempt at instigating mass panic, but will probably draw the usual crowd in for some hysterical doom laden wittering |
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