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papa smurf 16-05-2020 09:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Every person prosecuted under Coronavirus Act was 'wrongly charged', CPS admits


https://www.itv.com/news/2020-05-15/...onavirus-laws/



Dozens of people have been wrongly charged by police under a new coronavirus law, the Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) has admitted.

All 44 charges brought under the Coronavirus Act, which allows officers to remove or detain a "suspected infectious person" for screening and assessment, since it was brought in on March 27 were incorrect.

And 12 charges under the Health Protection Regulations 2020, which give powers to break up gatherings and fine people breaching restriction of movement rules, were also wrong.

downquark1 16-05-2020 09:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035236)
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...mid=tw-nytimes

Some interesting reading. Despite 'remaining open' the Swedish economy is contracting. It's almost as if consumer confidence is crashing the economy.

Well there are certain things you simply cannot do in a social distancing situation. Clubbing, drinking in bars. I'm told that in Geneva restaurants are open but limited to 4 per table.

This is damaging to the economy, there is no two ways about it. It is simply to what degree of damaging.

Maggy 16-05-2020 11:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-52669441

Quote:

Doctors have backed teachers' unions by saying Covid-19 infection rates are too high for England's schools to reopen.

The British Medical Association said teachers and heads were "absolutely right" to urge caution and prioritise testing to avoid a second spike.

It comes after teachers' unions met the government's scientific and medical advisers to express concerns about the planned phased reopening from 1 June.
Why pick the one group of children that really cannot be expected to understand social distancing? Why the rush? Or yet again is the teaching profession regarded as merely childminders? And yes I understand the need to ensure that the least advantaged children get an education but I can't help thinking that adjustments can be made later by extending the teaching day so as to cover missed work. Why risk it now?

daveeb 16-05-2020 11:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36035264)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/education-52669441



Why pick the one group of children that really cannot be expected to understand social distancing? Why the rush? Or yet again is the teaching profession regarded as merely childminders? And yes I understand the need to ensure that the least advantaged children get an education but I can't help thinking that adjustments can be made later by extending the teaching day so as to cover missed work. Why risk it now?


Exactly ! Reception and year1 is a bizarre choice to get the ball rolling. Getting them to stay put and socially distance is akin to herding cats.

Mr K 16-05-2020 12:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by daveeb (Post 36035265)
Exactly ! Reception and year1 is a bizarre choice to get the ball rolling. Getting them to stay put and socially distance is akin to herding cats.

It's not about the kids and teachers, it's about getting their parents back to work, regardless of consequences. Hence the youngest kids most likely to need parents first.

jfman 16-05-2020 12:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36035280)
It's not about the kids and teachers, it's about getting their parents back to work, regardless of consequences. Hence the youngest kids most likely to need parents first.

Not at Eton though!

Sephiroth 16-05-2020 12:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035281)
Not at Eton though!

You've assumed Mr K's mantle, jfman!

Come to think of it, when have you challenged Mr K?

jfman 16-05-2020 13:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36035282)
You've assumed Mr K's mantle, jfman!

Come to think of it, when have you challenged Mr K?

I’m simply making a statement of fact. How others interpret that is up to them.

I’d be very interested in the science.

I don’t feel the need to challenge Mr. K although don’t always agree. There’s enough people on the case already.

Maggy 16-05-2020 13:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36035280)
It's not about the kids and teachers, it's about getting their parents back to work, regardless of consequences. Hence the youngest kids most likely to need parents first.

I know that I just think they should have chosen an older group like secondary age.

Hugh 16-05-2020 13:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035281)
Not at Eton though!

Not many reception and year 1 children at Eton* ;)

*it starts at year 9 (aged 13 or so)

Hom3r 16-05-2020 13:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
I messaged a guy at work as to things at work.


A guy whose wife was in ICU with COVID-19 is now back at home and he is back to work on monday.


My mate said there are rumours of another 8 being furloughed.

So it looks like I may not be going back on July 1st.

Pierre 16-05-2020 13:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36035280)
It's not about the kids and teachers, it's about getting their parents back to work, regardless of consequences. Hence the youngest kids most likely to need parents first.

Correct and I can’t wait to send mine back

Hugh 16-05-2020 14:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://schoolsweek.co.uk/dfe-chief-...ning-guidance/

Quote:

The Department for Education’s chief scientific adviser admitted he has not assessed whether guidance on reopening schools is effective, adding the current advice is “draft” and “will be developed”.

Appearing in front of the Parliamentary science and technology committee today, Osama Rahman also admitted the DfE had done no modelling on the impact on transmission rates of starting to reopen schools after the May half term break.

During a hearing that left some MPs visibly bemused, Rahman also suggested the government guidance issued yesterday on safety is a “draft”, and will be reissued after further consultation with Public Health England.

He also said the decision to reopen schools was made by cabinet, not the DfE.
Quote:

Education committee chair Robert Halfon asked what scientific evidence base underpinned the decision to reopen schools to pupils in reception, year 1 and year 6, and what modelling had been done.

“The department has not done any modelling,” Rahman replied. “One of the SAGE groups has done various bits of modelling for different scenarios on what years you can bring back. My understanding is those will be published in due course.”

Halfon responded that “surely you must have scientific evidence the base underpinning the department’s decision?”, to which Rahman responded: “That was a cabinet decision following advice from SAGE.”

RichardCoulter 16-05-2020 14:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36035285)
I know that I just think they should have chosen an older group like secondary age.

Particularly as they will have exams to consider.

---------- Post added at 14:55 ---------- Previous post was at 14:52 ----------

The British Heart Foundation is questioning the logic of having a blanket 70+ policy, seeing as slightly older women cope with the virus better. Maybe it should be changed to men over 65?

https://www.bhf.org.uk/informationsu...i_u=8-15893393

Why are so many BAME people dying of the virus? This is their take on it:

https://www.bhf.org.uk/informationsu...i_u=8-15893393

Taf 16-05-2020 17:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Schools open. Kids go back to school. Parents go back to work. Stocks of supplies rebuilt ready for the next wave. School close. Kids stay home. Parents stay home. Stocks diminish. And repeat....

Pierre 16-05-2020 19:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035294)

As mentioned earlier, there is nothing scientific about the decision, it is a Political and economic decision.

One that I support.

Mr K 16-05-2020 20:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035328)
As mentioned earlier, there is nothing scientific about the decision, it is a Political and economic decision.

One that I support.

Which is why teachers are rightly concerned.

daveeb 16-05-2020 20:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035328)
As mentioned earlier, there is nothing scientific about the decision, it is a Political and economic decision.

One that I support.


A stupid and reckless one at that, but they're still hiding behind the (lack of) science to justify it.

OLD BOY 16-05-2020 20:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36035297)
The British Heart Foundation is questioning the logic of having a blanket 70+ policy, seeing as slightly older women cope with the virus better. Maybe it should be changed to men over 65.

It is not appropriate to set an age limit. Some 75-year-olds are healthier than some 40-year-olds. This is age discrimination.

Restrictions should be recommended (not imposed) on those with underlying medical conditions that make the person susceptible to the coronavirus.

Everyone else should be going back to work.

jfman 16-05-2020 20:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035328)
As mentioned earlier, there is nothing scientific about the decision, it is a Political and economic decision.

One that I support.

At last an admission that “back to work” has no basis in medical science, risking a deadly second wave and is simply the Tories acting on a wing and a prayer hoping to revive the economy.

Of course, they ignore the long term devastating economic impact of a second wave (and inevitable second lockdown).

This would be entertaining if it wasn’t so tragic.

Mr K 16-05-2020 20:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36035333)
It is not appropriate to set an age limit. Some 75-year-olds are healthier than some 40-year-olds. This is age discrimination.

Restrictions should be recommended (not imposed) on those with underlying medical conditions that make the person susceptible to the coronavirus.

Everyone else should be going back to work.

Including you OB? Or are you happy for others take the risk on your behalf?

jfman 16-05-2020 20:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
If everyone else should be going back to work, why do we have the furlough scheme?

nomadking 16-05-2020 20:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
There's no simple answer to any of this. That is despite the many studies of the effect of school closures and the 151 page UK government summary report from May 2014. That report included references to 171 studies.


A key factor is, how well have people been behaving during the lockdown? If the chaining(passing from one person to another and so on) of infections has been properly broken, there should be fewer people out there infected. If people have been regularly meeting up with random people during a lockdown, then the potential is there to resurface when a lockdown is eased(eg South Korea).

jfman 16-05-2020 20:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36035340)
There's no simple answer to any of this. That is despite the many studies of the effect of school closures and the 151 page UK government summary report from May 2014. That report included references to 171 studies.

A key factor is, how well have people been behaving during the lockdown? If the chaining(passing from one person to another and so on) of infections has been properly broken, there should be fewer people out there infected. If people have been regularly meeting up with random people during a lockdown, then the potential is there to resurface when a lockdown is eased(eg South Korea).

There is a simple answer. Until it’s safe to ease lockdown measures we should not be doing so. That depends on testing, tracing and isolating. Internationally recognised best practice we ignored in February with a complacent approach and similarly I see no evidence that we are well placed to do it now.

A second wave is inevitable now at massive human and economic cost.

nomadking 16-05-2020 20:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36035333)
It is not appropriate to set an age limit. Some 75-year-olds are healthier than some 40-year-olds. This is age discrimination.

Restrictions should be recommended (not imposed) on those with underlying medical conditions that make the person susceptible to the coronavirus.

Everyone else should be going back to work.

It has been recommendations, not imposition.:rolleyes: It has been important to not unnecessarily overwhelm the health system.
Quote:

If you do not want to be shielded Shielding is for your personal protection. It’s your choice to decide whether to follow the measures we advise.

Pierre 16-05-2020 20:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by daveeb (Post 36035332)
A stupid and reckless one at that, but they're still hiding behind the (lack of) science to justify it.

I don’t think it is stupid or reckless, I think it’s necessary.

We’re not going back to normal anytime soon, but we’ve got to start the direction of travel.

Sephiroth 16-05-2020 20:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035342)
There is a simple answer. Until it’s safe to ease lockdown measures we should not be doing so. That depends on testing, tracing and isolating. Internationally recognised best practice we ignored in February with a complacent approach and similarly I see no evidence that we are well placed to do it now.

A second wave is inevitable now at massive human and economic cost.

The Guvmin has already stated that the R level is rising.

jfman 16-05-2020 20:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035345)
I don’t think it is stupid or reckless, I think it’s necessary.

We’re not going back to normal anytime soon, but we’ve got to start the direction of travel.

You think it’s necessary based on fag packet understanding of economics. We aren’t going back to normal anytime soon, so what’s the rush and risk doing it badly?

---------- Post added at 20:38 ---------- Previous post was at 20:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36035346)
The Guvmin has already stated that the R level is rising.

And that won’t capture the idiocy of the VE Day street parties for a further week. While spread across the country, that’s a new Cheltenham or Athletico Madrid v Liverpool game right there.

nomadking 16-05-2020 20:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035342)
There is a simple answer. Until it’s safe to ease lockdown measures we should not be doing so. That depends on testing, tracing and isolating. Internationally recognised best practice we ignored in February with a complacent approach and similarly I see no evidence that we are well placed to do it now.

A second wave is inevitable now at massive human and economic cost.

That hasn't worked in South Korea. Which countries(apart from South Korea) allowed tracking of phone data? Tracing will not catch everybody as there are too many casual encounters(eg in the same shop).

Technically it will never be possible to end lockdown, as the very least there will always be another virus to come along.

Eg Spanish Flu outbreak in Connecticut, 3 cities didn't close schools and had fewer deaths, than in at least 2 cities that did close schools. But that shouldn't be used as a definitive answer because there are so many other factors involved.

jfman 16-05-2020 20:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36035353)
That hasn't worked in South Korea. Which countries(apart from South Korea) allowed tracking of phone data? Tracing will not catch everybody as there are too many casual encounters(in the same shop).

Technically it will never be possible to end lockdown, as the very least there will always be another virus to come along.


Eg Spanish Flu outbreak in Connecticut, 3 cities didn't close schools and had fewer deaths, than in at least 2 cities that did close schools. But that shouldn't be used as a definitive answer because there are so many other factors involved.

What do you mean it hasn’t worked? Tiny number of deaths, cases identified and isolated quickly. People going around their day to day lives in relative normality. They’ve held national elections in this time.

How do you define success? 30,000 deaths? A massacre in care homes? Genuinely I’d really like to know.

daveeb 16-05-2020 20:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

You think it’s necessary based on fag packet understanding of economics. We aren’t going back to normal anytime soon, so what’s the rush and risk doing it badly?

---------- Post added at 20:38 ---------- Previous post was at 20:37 ----------



The not irritating at all Gavin Williamson politiciansplained that they're providing a "bubble" for the teachers with their good advice. Not sure if it's a bubble of alertness or maybe one of control but I hope it's better than the bubble of criminal incompetence they put in the care homes.

Paul 16-05-2020 21:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035335)
At last an admission that “back to work” has no basis in medical science, risking a deadly second wave and is simply the Tories acting on a wing and a prayer hoping to revive the economy..

What party is in power is not exactly relevant.
A different government would be just as keen to revive the economy, or perhaps you would prefer they just werck it completely ?

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035347)
You think it’s necessary based on fag packet understanding of economics.

Once again with the insulting digs. Are you really that keen to take another rest ?

nomadking 16-05-2020 21:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035354)
What do you mean it hasn’t worked? Tiny number of deaths, cases identified and isolated quickly. People going around their day to day lives in relative normality.

How do you define success? 30,000 deaths? A massacre in care homes? Genuinely I’d really like to know.

There has been an outbreak of cases in South Korea after the easing of lockdown.

61% of cases were tracked back to one person, and that was triggered by the doctor breaking the rules on criteria for testing. Now imagine if instead of just one person, it was 10 in the UK, that would've(ie has) resulted in MANY more cases even WITH testing and tracing. South Korea had at LEAST 61% of their cases BEFORE testing and tracing could have any impact.

How would you have gone about tracing people when just look at the fuss over the proposed app.
South Korea
Quote:

This includes enforcing a law that grants the government wide authority to access data: CCTV footage, GPS tracking data from phones and cars, credit card transactions, immigration entry information, and other personal details of people confirmed to have an infectious disease. The authorities can then make some of this public, so anyone who may have been exposed can get themselves - or their friends and family members - tested.
Quote:

To add to the burden, hospitals in Italy depend on medical personnel to try to trace the contacts that people who test positive have had with others. One doctor in Bologna, who asked not to be named, said he had spent a 12-hour day tracing people who had been in contact with just one positive patient, to ensure those who next need testing are found.
“You can do that if the number of cases remains two to three,” the doctor said. “But if they grow, something has to give. The system will implode if we continue to test everyone actively and then have to do all this.”
Quote:

“Patient 31,” as she became known, was a member of a secretive church which Deputy Minister for Health and Welfare Kim Gang-lip said has since linked to 61% of cases. Infections spread beyond the congregation after the funeral of a relative of the church’s founder was held at a nearby hospital, and there were several other smaller clusters around the country.

jfman 16-05-2020 21:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36035358)
There has been an outbreak of cases in South Korea after the easing of lockdown.

And they found it. That’s success.

With open international borders this will become a necessity for all countries if we want “normal”. Otherwise it’s “oh, you’ve came from the UK wait there while I check my chart? Second highest death count in the world? 14 days in the cell thanks”.

Quote:

61% of cases were tracked back to one person, and that was triggered by the doctor breaking the rules on criteria for testing. Now imagine if instead of just one person, it was 10 in the UK, that would've(ie has) resulted in MANY more cases even WITH testing and tracing. South Korea had at LEAST 61% of their cases BEFORE testing and tracing could have any impact.
61% of cases occurred before testing and tracing had any impact simply because of the success they had using such methods. Had they not been successful it’d have been much worse.

Quote:

How would you have gone about tracing people when just look at the fuss over the proposed app.
South Korea
Tell them it’ll be good for the economy. If they’re willing to make human sacrifice of teachers then I’m sure installing an app is neither here nor there. The data collected is considered intrusive, however so is significant restrictions on movement, restrictions on activities, closed pubs, bars, cinemas.

Unfortunately until the UK recognises international best practice for dealing with pandemics and implements it properly then we are in various states of lockdown and economic recession for some time to come. I’m not sure who gains from ignoring this self evident reality.

---------- Post added at 21:21 ---------- Previous post was at 21:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36035357)
What party is in power is not exactly relevant.
A different government would be just as keen to revive the economy, or perhaps you would prefer they just werck it completely ?

I’ll refer to “the Government” then instead of the Tories. I’ve no preference to see the economy wrecked, however it’s a flawed understanding to assume that easing restrictions quickly automatically leads to (or speeds up) recovery.

Sweden is going into recession without a lockdown.

The economic outcome and health outcome are now intertwined. Significant easing of restrictions without adequate testing and contact tracing leaves us heading to an Italy (or a repeat of UK wave 1) type situation within 4-6 weeks of easing restrictions, a further complete lockdown and further economic chaos.

And no, I’m not keen on that rest. ;)

Maggy 16-05-2020 22:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36035314)
Schools open. Kids go back to school. Parents go back to work. Stocks of supplies rebuilt ready for the next wave. School close. Kids stay home. Parents stay home. Stocks diminish. And repeat....

:tu:

---------- Post added at 22:39 ---------- Previous post was at 22:34 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035294)

Why am I not surprised? I just wish this government would be more honest. This going back to school can be gussied up to be concerns for vulnerable and poorer ability children but it's just a desire to use teachers and nursery staff as childminders so as to get the country back to work. Just be honest Boris..

Pierre 16-05-2020 23:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36035367)
Why am I not surprised? I just wish this government would be more honest. This going back to school can be gussied up to be concerns for vulnerable and poorer ability children

Not at FR/Y1 level. Ability doesn’t come into it.

Quote:

but it's just a desire to use teachers and nursery staff as childminders
Well nursery staff are childminders.

But yes, I would greatly appreciate my youngest to back to FR, and/or when school is over to go to holiday club. Myself and Mrs Pierre are both working full time and simply don’t have the time to home school as well. We’re trying but it’s not great. If youngest goes back we can at least do more with their sibling in Y4.

Quote:

Just be honest Boris..
who cares we all know anyway.

jfman 16-05-2020 23:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
They obviously think enough people care - hence why they are running a disinformation campaign and attacking the unions and medical professionals who are sceptical about the value of opening schools.

Medical evidence is out the window and human life is dispensable as long as we can reopen the economy.

In a few months time it'll be we 'threw a protective bubble around schools' regardless of outcome.

jfman 17-05-2020 01:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36035336)
Including you OB? Or are you happy for others take the risk on your behalf?

Just on the point of everyone else should be going back to work

Permit me to quote the Tory leader, and Prime Minister, himself in the Telegraph.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...new-rules.html

Quote:

No earlier than June, we hope to move to step two, opening schools to more children and reopening some shops. And no earlier than July, we can move to step three, opening parts of the leisure and hospitality sectors.
Some shops no earlier than June. Not all, not even most, but some. Indicating to me that the Government does not expect the majority of retail workers to go back to work.

Leisure and hospitality looks an even greyer area, further out in time.

Hugh 17-05-2020 08:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
https://corrierequotidiano.it/econom...gran-bretagna/

Free movement in Italy from 3rd June 2020 - visitors from the Schengen Area, and Great Britain, will not be subject to restrictions.

Pierre 17-05-2020 09:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035378)
https://corrierequotidiano.it/econom...gran-bretagna/

Free movement in Italy from 3rd June 2020 - visitors from the Schengen Area, and Great Britain, will not be subject to restrictions.

And beaches are open in Greece, expect Spain to follow soon.

These are summer countries, and summer countries need summer dollars.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...eased-11989275

https://www.newindianexpress.com/wor...g-2144205.html

Sephiroth 17-05-2020 09:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035381)
And beaches are open in Greece, expect Spain to follow soon.

These are summer countries, and summer countries need summer dollars.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...eased-11989275

https://www.newindianexpress.com/wor...g-2144205.html

.... which requires quarantine for Brits who go to those beaches in the near months.

Pierre 17-05-2020 09:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36035384)
.... which requires quarantine for Brits who go to those beaches in the near months.

Expect the EU to complain about that very soon.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...19-checks.html

Sephiroth 17-05-2020 09:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035385)
Expect the EU to complain about that very soon.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...19-checks.html

Wot? No Force Majeure clause in the Withdrawal Agreement?

papa smurf 17-05-2020 10:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36035386)
Wot? No Force Majeure clause in the Withdrawal Agreement?

It's their way or the highway;)
If we don't do as we are told they will chuck us out.

jfman 17-05-2020 10:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035385)
Expect the EU to complain about that very soon.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...19-checks.html

A trip to the European Court of Justice is quite cheap compared to inviting a second coronavirus wave to your shores. It’s also time consuming enough to obfuscate the matter long enough to be irrelevant.

1andrew1 17-05-2020 12:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035385)
Expect the EU to complain about that very soon.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...19-checks.html

The EU does not need to complain as Boris has confirmed that there isn't a French exemption after all. https://www.ft.com/content/ddf6b198-...4-aef8b5d8fb06
Quote:

On Sunday [10th May], Downing Street said a reciprocal deal with Paris meant quarantine restrictions would not apply to people arriving from France. In a joint statement, the British and French governments said: “No quarantine measures would apply to travellers coming from France at this stage; any measures on either side would be taken in a concerted and reciprocal manner.”
But on Friday [15th May] Number 10 comprehensively backtracked from the joint announcement. “There isn’t a French exemption. What the statement at the weekend said was that we would be working with the French in the coming weeks because co-operation is particularly necessary for the management of our common border,” a spokesman for the prime minister said.
https://www.ft.com/content/ddf6b198-...4-aef8b5d8fb06.

---------- Post added at 12:43 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------

Llamas to the rescue?

Quote:

'Llamas are the real unicorns': why they could be our secret weapon against coronavirus
he solution to the coronavirus may have been staring us in the face this whole time, lazily chewing on a carrot. All we need, it seems, is llamas.
A study published last week in the journal Cell found that antibodies in llamas’ blood could offer a defence against the coronavirus. In addition to larger antibodies like ours, llamas have small ones that can sneak into spaces on viral proteins that are too tiny for human antibodies, helping them to fend off the threat. The hope is that the llama antibodies could help protect humans who have not been infected.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...study-benefits

Russ 17-05-2020 12:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Lamas? Hell I’ll try just about anything right now.

papa smurf 17-05-2020 13:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Fire up the Barbie.

Carth 17-05-2020 14:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36035416)
Lamas? Hell I’ll try just about anything right now.

Just trying to pull the wool over your eyes, bleating about another possible cure


:Sprint:

Hugh 17-05-2020 15:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035425)
Fire up the Barbie.

Seems a bit harsh, but OK...

Paul 17-05-2020 16:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035445)
Seems a bit harsh, but OK...

:Yikes: :rofl:

Mick 18-05-2020 11:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: Loss of taste and smell added to official symptoms list

Carth 18-05-2020 11:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36035543)
BREAKING: Loss of taste and smell added to official symptoms list


Wonderful

I expect to see a massive increase in the amount of people infected when all those with a heavy cold/mild flu input their symptoms into the tracing app.

:D

1andrew1 18-05-2020 11:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36035543)
BREAKING: Loss of taste and smell added to official symptoms list

Based on a few friends' choice in music, they've had CV-19 for a long time! :D

Maggy 18-05-2020 12:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...xR37PyHbUBrngo

Quote:

As some countries buy up drugs thought to be useful against the coronavirus, causing global shortages, and the Trump administration does deals with vaccine companies to supply America first, there is dismay among public health experts and campaigners who believe it is vital to pull together to end the pandemic.

While the US and China face off, the EU has taken the lead. The leaders of Italy, France, Germany and Norway, together with the European commission and council, called earlier this month for any innovative tools, therapeutics or vaccines to be shared equally and fairly.

“If we can develop a vaccine that is produced by the world, for the whole world, this will be a unique global public good of the 21st century,” they said in a statement.

Seriously?Is it really going to be a case of leaving the rest of the world to tread water?

papa smurf 18-05-2020 12:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36035555)
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...xR37PyHbUBrngo



Seriously?Is it really going to be a case of leaving the rest of the world to tread water?

Brits to be the first to get coronavirus vaccine if UK make 30 million successful doses by September

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/116437...us-vaccine-uk/

jfman 18-05-2020 13:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035556)
Brits to be the first to get coronavirus vaccine if UK make 30 million successful doses by September

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/116437...us-vaccine-uk/

One of the something like 400 clinical trials on vaccines ongoing. Can file this away with the antibody test stories from March/April.

Pierre 18-05-2020 14:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035556)
Brits to be the first to get coronavirus vaccine if UK make 30 million successful doses by September

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/116437...us-vaccine-uk/

I'd rather have an accurate anti-body test available before end of June.

Hugh 18-05-2020 14:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035556)
Brits to be the first to get coronavirus vaccine if UK make 30 million successful doses by September

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/116437...us-vaccine-uk/

The Sun
Quote:

Professor Sarah Gilbert, who is working on a vaccine with a team at the university, is confident it will work and says it could be ready in just months.
What she actually said..
Quote:

"The best-case scenario is that by the autumn of 2020, we have an efficacy result from phase 3 and the ability to manufacture large amounts of the vaccine, but these best-case timeframes are highly ambitious and subject to change”
And she said that in early April, before the clinical trials started on the 24th April - the Sun is just recycling old news...

jfman 18-05-2020 14:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035565)
I'd rather have an accurate anti-body test available before end of June.

Serum tests in Spain are showing that antibodies are present in about 5% of the population. The centre of an outbreak in Germany (Heinsberg) is showing 14%.

I'd gladly be wrong but I suspect the view that most people don't know they've had the virus and go about their lives as normal will be proven incorrect.

That said, we do have catch up to since we have tested so few symptomatic patients to date. So probably worthwhile but not the silver bullet some hope for.

jonbxx 18-05-2020 15:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
If the UK has 30 million doses of the Oxford vaccine available in September, I'll be a monkeys uncle. In fact, I will happily punt £10 for whatever boondoggle Nigel Farage is involved in at that time if it happens.

Mr K 18-05-2020 16:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36035556)
Brits to be the first to get coronavirus vaccine if UK make 30 million successful doses by September

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/116437...us-vaccine-uk/

You'd think the Govt would have learned from the Turkish PPE fiasco - announcing something before they'd ordered it, and it turned out to be useless.

Hugh 18-05-2020 16:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36035583)
You'd think the Govt would have learned from the Turkish PPE fiasco - announcing something before they'd ordered it, and it turned out to be useless.

tbf, they didn’t.

It’s the Sun conflating the funding given by the Government and taking the best possible scenario from the testing (which no one in the real world would ever do...).

As the actual test lab (Oxford Vaccine Centre) says about the Phase 1 tests
Quote:

A high proportion of vaccines are found not to be promising even before clinical trials. Moreover, a significant proportion of vaccines that are tested in clinical trials don’t work. If we are unable to show that the vaccine is protective against the virus, we would review progress, examine alternative approaches, such as using different numbers of doses, and would potentially stop the programme.

jonbxx 18-05-2020 17:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035584)
tbf, they didn’t.

It’s the Sun conflating the funding given by the Government and taking the best possible scenario from the testing (which no one in the real world would ever do...).

As the actual test lab (Oxford Vaccine Centre) says about the Phase 1 tests

Phase I tests aren't even tests to see if the vaccine works, it's just a safety study to make sure the vaccine doesn't kill people. Phase II will test to see if the vaccine raises an immune response while phase III will test to see if the vaccine protects against coronavirus.

There are some serious ethical issues with phase III as there is no reliable treatment for COVID19 so you can't just be injecting people with virus to see if the vaccine protects. The added wrinkle is that the prevalence of COVID19 in the wild is quite low so you would need to give a LOT of people the vaccine to get an idea if the vaccine protects. We're talking more than 30,000 people.

You can roll up phase II and III together if you're in a real hurry but it is a big risk...

Taf 18-05-2020 17:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Which strain will it protect against? One? Or all 3?

Paul 18-05-2020 17:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Where do you get 3 from ?

joglynne 18-05-2020 18:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36035591)
Which strain will it protect against? One? Or all 3?

As far as I understand Covid-19 is the name of the infection caused by the SARS-CoV-2 Virus. It has been reported that there may be several different strains of Covid-19

https://virologydownunder.com/covid-...sars-cov-2-is/

Although there are several mutations of Covid-19 it is the SARS-CoV-2 Virus that is being used to find an antibodies test and vaccine and this virus has not mutated.

http://www.labnews.co.uk/article/203...as-not-mutated

Hugh 18-05-2020 22:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-52717161

Quote:

US President Donald Trump has said he is taking hydroxychloroquine - which health officials have warned may be unsafe - to ward off coronavirus.

Paul 19-05-2020 03:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Most drug treatments may be unsafe.
I guess he decided catching CV19 was even more unsafe.

According to Wikipedia ;

"As of 22 April 2020, there is limited evidence to support the use of hydroxychloroquine."

Also, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) has apparently begun a trial of the medication.

BenMcr 19-05-2020 07:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36035640)
Also, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) has apparently begun a trial of the medication.

For treatment of people that already have Covid-19, not as a prophylactic

https://www.nih.gov/news-events/news...treat-covid-19
Quote:

Study participants must have confirmed infection with SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, and be experiencing fever, cough and/or shortness of breath
and
Quote:

The main objective of the study is to determine whether hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin can prevent hospitalization and death due to COVID-19. Additionally, investigators will evaluate the safety and tolerability of the experimental treatment for people with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Mr K 19-05-2020 09:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035629)

He should definitely keep taking the tablets.

downquark1 19-05-2020 13:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
This hydroxychloroquine stuff is really eye opening, they sell boat loads of it to Africa for Malaria but suddenly it's the most dangerous substance on earth.

Pierre 19-05-2020 13:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035692)
This hydroxychloroquine stuff is really eye opening, they sell boat loads of it to Africa for Malaria but suddenly it's the most dangerous substance on earth.

of course it is, because Trump says it is safe. It's simple really.

Hugh 19-05-2020 13:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035692)
This hydroxychloroquine stuff is really eye opening, they sell boat loads of it to Africa for Malaria but suddenly it's the most dangerous substance on earth.

"for Malaria*" is the crux of the matter, not for COVID-19 - in fact, the European Medicines Agency stated last month

Quote:

Chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine are known to potentially cause heart rhythm problems, and these could be exacerbated if treatment is combined with other medicines, such as the antibiotic azithromycin, that have similar effects on the heart.

Recent studies1,2 have reported serious, in some cases fatal, heart rhythm problems with chloroquine or hydroxychloroquine, particularly when taken at high doses or in combination with the antibiotic azithromycin.

Chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine are currently authorised for treating malaria and certain autoimmune diseases. In addition to side effects affecting the heart, they are known to potentially cause liver and kidney problems, nerve cell damage that can lead to seizures (fits) and low blood sugar (hypoglycaemia).

These medicines are being used in the context of the ongoing pandemic for treating patients with COVID-19 and investigated in clinical trials. However, clinical data are still very limited and inconclusive, and the beneficial effects of these medicines in COVID-19 have not been demonstrated. Results from large, well-designed studies are needed to make any conclusions.

Some clinical trials currently investigating the effectiveness of chloroquine or hydroxychloroquine in treating COVID-19 use higher doses than those recommended for the authorised indications. While serious side effects can occur with recommended doses, higher doses can increase the risk of these side effects, including abnormal electrical activity that affects the heart rhythm (QT-prolongation).
There is no consistent scientific proof this will prevent COVID-19 (and small mixed results on treating COVID-19 infection).



*treating malaria, not preventing it, also to treat lupus and rheumatoid arthritis

Sephiroth 19-05-2020 13:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035692)
This hydroxychloroquine stuff is really eye opening, they sell boat loads of it to Africa for Malaria but suddenly it's the most dangerous substance on earth.

Somebody calling in to LBC said that this Hydropoxy stuff cures Mellania.

downquark1 19-05-2020 13:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035696)
"for Malaria*" is the crux of the matter.

There is no consistent scientific proof this will prevent COVID-19 (and small mixed results on treating COVID-19 infection).



*treating malaria, not preventing it, also to treat lupus and rheumatoid arthritis

Of course not, it's a new virus, doctors have to make wide guesses until a treatment is formalised.

---------- Post added at 13:53 ---------- Previous post was at 13:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36035697)
Somebody calling in to LBC said that this Hydropoxy stuff cures Mellania.

It doesn't really "cure" anything, it hinders the virus from gaining a foothold in the body. Basically you take it soon after or before infection and it is suppose to ensure a less sever disease.

BenMcr 19-05-2020 13:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035698)
Of course not, it's a new virus, doctors have to make wide guesses until a treatment is formalised.

That's not how medicine works. 'Wide guesses' aren't a thing.

Trials and evidence are what guide clinical decisions.

Hugh 19-05-2020 13:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035698)
Of course not, it's a new virus, doctors have to make wide guesses until a treatment is formalised.

---------- Post added at 13:53 ---------- Previous post was at 13:52 ----------



It doesn't really "cure" anything, it hinders the virus from gaining a foothold in the body. Basically you take it soon after or before infection and it is suppose to ensure a less sever disease.

If you meant wild guesses

A) I’d rather they didn’t
B) Trump isn’t a doctor

downquark1 19-05-2020 14:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035701)
If you meant wild guesses

A) I’d rather they didn’t
B) Trump isn’t a doctor

Trump didn't pull this out of his ass (at least not quite). Some doctors were trying hydroxychloroquine because it's a cheap anti-viral agent and they are trying to stop a virus. Trump read this in some document, half remembered it and said it's a promising treatment.

It may very well do nothing or even be harmful in the cases of covid. But this idea is that it is somehow crazy to even consider it is bizarre.

Hugh 19-05-2020 14:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035702)
Trump didn't pull this out of his ass (at least not quite). Some doctors were trying hydroxychloroquine because it's a cheap anti-viral agent and they are trying to stop a virus. Trump read this in some document, half remembered it and said it's a promising treatment.

It may very well do nothing or even be harmful in the cases of covid. But this idea is that it is somehow crazy to even consider it is bizarre.

It’s not crazy to consider it, but he’s not considering it, he’s taking it - and, whether we like it or not, people see him as a role model and will emulate him, with potentially serious side-effects from something that has not been proven to work (and the knock on effect of lupus patients not being able to get hold of it).

If, after trials (like they are doing for vaccines), it was shown to work, fine - but that’s not what is happening here.

downquark1 19-05-2020 14:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035704)
It’s not crazy to consider it, but he’s not considering it, he’s taking it - and, whether we like it or not, people see him as a role model and will emulate him, with potentially serious side-effects from something that has not been proven to work (and the knock on effect of lupus patients not being able to get hold of it).

If, after trials (like they are doing for vaccines), it was shown to work, fine - but that’s not what is happening here.

Well normally I would say that he must be taking it on advice from his doctor. But knowing this is Trump it wouldn't surprise me if he just made the whole thing up.

Hugh 19-05-2020 14:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035705)
Well normally I would say that he must be taking it on advice from his doctor. But knowing this is Trump it wouldn't surprise me if he just made the whole thing up.

This letter from his doctor is very carefully worded, and doesn’t actually state that Trump is taking the medicine.

And Trump said
Quote:

the White House physician "didn't recommend" the treatment but offered it to him
Remember, the Food and Drug Administration has cautioned against the use of hydroxychloroquine or chloroquine for COVID-19 treatment outside of hospitals or clinical trials due to the risk of heart rhythm problems - they said "Hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine have not been shown to be safe and effective for treating or preventing COVID-19,"

Paul 19-05-2020 14:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
He didnt make it up, hes known about it for sometime.

Heres an article from back in early April : https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-52222367

downquark1 19-05-2020 14:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36035707)
He didnt make it up, hes known about it for sometime.

Heres an article from back in early April : https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-52222367

I mean make up the fact he was taking it.

Pierre 19-05-2020 14:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36035704)
, people see him as a role model and will emulate him.

The amount of people I see with Trump haircuts and long neck ties, yes he certainly is!

Hugh 19-05-2020 14:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035710)
The amount of people I see with Trump haircuts and long neck ties, yes he certainly is!

You’re confusing "impersonation" with "copying behaviours"... ;)

BenMcr 19-05-2020 15:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36035708)
I mean make up the fact he was taking it.

Yeah, it's not like he ever ever lies:

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/w...-a7027991.html

jfman 19-05-2020 17:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
This proposal would be entertaining if it wasn’t so deadly.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-52723101

The country with the second most deaths in the world proposing to not quarantine passengers from the deadliest county.

Damien 19-05-2020 20:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36035591)
Which strain will it protect against? One? Or all 3?

The virus hasn't mutated to a significant degree

Pierre 19-05-2020 22:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Monday morning quarterbackery.

jfman 19-05-2020 22:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36035743)
Monday morning quarterbackery.

It’s helpful if you quote a post if directly referring to it, however you can’t possibly mean my last post. It’s very much Friday afternoon on that one.

Your selective quoting at least let the author of the post know who you were directing your response at.

Paul 20-05-2020 02:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36035754)
It’s helpful if you quote a post if directly referring to it, however you can’t possibly mean my last post. It’s very much Friday afternoon on that one.

Your selective quoting at least let the author of the post know who you were directing your response at.

The post he replied to has been deleted by the poster, nothing to see, move on. :)

1andrew1 20-05-2020 12:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Chilling report from Radio 4's File on Four Programme "The Care Homes Catastrophe"
Snippett: https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status...712453/photo/1
Listen :https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000j81c

Stephen 20-05-2020 12:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36035816)
Chilling report from Radio 4's File on Four Programme "The Care Homes Catastrophe"
Snippett: https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status...712453/photo/1
Listen :https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m000j81c

I am just glad my mum is safe. Her home stopped visitors the week before lockdown and their measures are so good they have not had a single case of COVID-19 at all. However my father in law's home has had a large number of cases and a number of patient deaths. It really is a scandal how bad some homes have gotten.

pip08456 20-05-2020 13:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 36035817)
I am just glad my mum is safe. Her home stopped visitors the week before lockdown and their measures are so good they have not had a single case of COVID-19 at all. However my father in law's home has had a large number of cases and a number of patient deaths. It really is a scandal how bad some homes have gotten.

Can't really blame the care homes.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...-says-11991378

1andrew1 20-05-2020 14:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
The Lancet has corrected Donald Trump's claims in his letter to the World Health Organization.
The journal states that the allegation that the WHO “consistently ignored credible reports of the virus spreading in Wuhan in early December 2019 or even earlier, including reports from The Lancet medical journal was incorrect as the the first reports the journal published were only on January 24, 2020.
https://twitter.com/richardhorton1/s...265089/photo/1

Hom3r 20-05-2020 15:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 36035817)
I am just glad my mum is safe. Her home stopped visitors the week before lockdown and their measures are so good they have not had a single case of COVID-19 at all. However my father in law's home has had a large number of cases and a number of patient deaths. It really is a scandal how bad some homes have gotten.



The nursing home my mum is in has no visitors either.

My mum is in her 5th week there, but she hasn't been able to leave her room as she is bed ridden and has sores.



But soon they will put her into a chair and take her to the group area, she will be able to eat there.

tweetiepooh 21-05-2020 09:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Thinking of all those people hit by Cyclone Amphan. Not only have to cope with regular poverty and health now have Covid and then a big storm. Social distancing is hard if you live 10 to a shack, share water supply and live centimetres from your neighbour, imagine you are now evacuated with 500,000 others.
And we are soon approaching hurricane season, that will affect Caribbean and maybe parts of US.

papa smurf 21-05-2020 10:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Coronavirus: Hydroxychloroquine trial begins in the UK

A trial to see whether two anti-malarial drugs could prevent Covid-19 has begun in Brighton and Oxford.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52737169

Donald Trump drug to be tested on NHS staff with hopes of preventing coronavirus
Study involving at least 20 NHS hospitals aims to establish whether anti-malarial drug hydroxychloroquine can fend off virus

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...g-coronavirus/

mrmistoffelees 21-05-2020 10:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Middlesbrough is one of the ten areas apparently for contact tracing to be tested.


This should be fun....


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