Re: US Election 2024
 

We might get an idea tonight if the polls are wrong in one direction or another. A lot of the states we need to see the results for will be the first to close. Fewer mail in ballots this time so counting should be quicker.

If we get a Harris win in North Carolina or Georgia, or either wins Pennsylvania overnight that would go a long way.

In the event Harris has won because of a surge in female voters then I think we would know that early. You would see the signs in the early states and she would win some we didn't expect. She could cut off Trump's chances quite quickly.

In the event Trump has won 2016 style we would know that early as well with better-than-expected returns from Pennsylvania, better than last time, showing him on course to win that.

I think if the theory that women will be the surprise factor in this election - and undercounted in the polls - is true then Harris wins in a landslide. It's a demographic that's enough to carry so many 'tight' states for her.

Re: US Election 2024
 

I doubt there will be a landslide of any type or cause. I reckon both sides will be arguing this until the weekend.

Hope I’m wrong. Regardless of who wins, the best outcome will be a clear result.

Re: US Election 2024
 

Some Republican accounts have become extremely confident in the last few hours claiming huge returns in Florida, Nevada and Arizona

Re: US Election 2024
 

I’m seeing GOP and Dem accounts making mutually contradictory claims about the same places. At this point one or both are engaged in voter suppression, trying to make the opposition depressed and decide there’s no point.

I wouldn’t be remotely surprised if the GOP-supporting accounts are being amplified on Elon’s orders. I never engage with them and by rights the algorithm should note that and modify my ‘for you’ feed accordingly, but they’re multiplying with each passing hour at the moment.

Re: US Election 2024
 

I have a feeling it'll be a Trump victory though its not one i want. after everything trump is still neck and neck with Harris AFTER EVERYTHING.

I think the dems wont be as eager to come out and vote this time because of Kamala and the fact they may have forgotten the first trump presidency... The maga lot are ridiculously loyal to Donald.

Lots of talk about immigration and the economy but trump didn't do anything about immigration the first time and the economy is better under biden now but gotta give it to trump he's masterful at speeches.

Re: US Election 2024
 

Quite a lot of shift to Trump in some rural areas.

Re: US Election 2024
 

trump doing a lot stronger than I thought already. in 2020 trump led again but then the mail in ballots were opened and biden surpassed trump. we know this year mail in ballots will play much less of a role

As of 7:25pm ET, Donald Trump has a 61% chance of winning the presidency.

Re: US Election 2024
 

Is that the nonsense tv channels are spouting, honestly, it's far too early to be giving any sort of accurate overall indication of a winner, what I would say though is based on what we actually know so far is that Harris should be pretty happy, especially with Pennsylvania

Re: US Election 2024
 

So we're not getting a landslide for Harris. The polls seem to be right.

---------- Post added at 02:24 ---------- Previous post was at 01:52 ----------

Moving more and more towards Trump, very much like 2016 so far...

---------- Post added at 03:18 ---------- Previous post was at 02:24 ----------

Very much looks like Trump is gonna win this. See in the morning.

Re: US Election 2024
 

Trump appears to be in the lead atm, 230 v 169, with 14 results (States ?) to go, vote wise, he has 51.1 % atm.

Re: US Election 2024
 

Trump still in the lead and has taken the swing state of Nirth Carolina. But gap has narrowed with Trump on 230 and Harris on 210.

Re: US Election 2024
 

Now 266 v 194 for Trump,. 270 needed for a win.
Bit of a surprise for the gap to be that big.

---------- Post added at 07:25 ---------- Previous post was at 07:23 ----------

Where did you get that "210" from?

Re: US Election 2024
 

God help us!!!!!

Re: US Election 2024
 

Yes America! :woot:

Re: US Election 2024
 

Not a landslide, :confused: I told you guys , watch out Kier:erm: