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Governance: They want to ECJ to have the say over our courts; Level Playing Field: They want to tie our hands behind our back. Of course we should walk away and a total pox on them. |
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If the net is big enough, and you cast it far enough, you'll catch all sorts of odd things :D
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The Caribbean hate EU fishing boats. These factory vessels stay in international water and hoover up fish leaving far little for the inshore fishermen on the islands. All perfectly legal.
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Another good reason to extend our existing deal with the EU.
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This is not unsurprising but worrying for UK sellers on Amazon:
Amazon FBA Brexit Bombshell – EFN and Pan-European FBA ends for UK Quote:
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well that must surely be good news to those harping on about chlorinated chicken :D
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Another piece of bad news for business:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EdWYMe0W...jpg&name=small Some wag on Twitter has worked out why the truck park in Ashford, Kent was so small: No deal = No logistics companies. |
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Our own firms can then concentrate their drivers & vehicles on the booming 'internet shopping' fad :D |
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Another piece of news that slipped under the radar (;)) in March was this:
Industry Troubled as UK Government Confirms EASA Departure Quote:
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Brexit: UK must 'face possibility' of no deal on future relationship with EU by end of transition
https://news.sky.com/story/brexit-uk...ition-12034669 OOH by gum n heck :shocked: Brexit LIVE: Boris Johnson refuses negotiation on fishing – EU to decide if talks continue https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...no-deal-brexit |
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Which is one of the reasons we left. So if we reach no agreement on that, it's no deal - in regards to trade. I'm sure there will be lots of other side deals around other things. |
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exactly . . . more delivery drivers required :p: |
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The fishing deal should be relatively unimportant to each side (I believe Harrods employs more people and adds more to UK GDP) but the UK does seem keen to want to end the current arrangements. |
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How about we get rid of 99% of civil servants, then we can say the local Tesco employs more people than them :D :D |
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More Tory hypocrisy. No surprise that Redwood is front & centre ..
https://twitter.com/StevePeers/statu...49623444525063 Quote:
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But the main reason Harrods employs more people than the fishing industry is that the other fishing employees are in the EU.
The aim isn't to completely shut out EU fishing boats, but to have UK control over who is or isn't allowed to fish in our waters. The UK fishing industry isn't big enough to pick up the slack, if EU boats were completely banned. If the EU imposed tariffs on fish caught by UK boats and sold in the EU, wouldn't the UK have to impose some sort of tariffs on EU boats catching fish in UK waters, but selling them in the EU? Otherwise the EU boats would have an unfair advantage, as they would be tariff free. |
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They say the price for a trade deal is that the fishing status quo is maintained; after all, Barnier has said, if the UK regains control of its waters, the livelihoods of the EU's fishing community will be destroyed. |
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I don't think we'll be going from "easiest deal ever" to "no deal" at the end of the year. I think BoJo will do a lot of huffing and puffing and then quietly roll over in the Autumn and acquiesce. Once again. Not the first politician to adopt this approach in the face of a stronger power and doubtless not the last. When was the last time we heard "They need us more than we need them?". Quite. We saw BoJo hot foot it up to Scotland. No deal would give the SNP and devolution more support. BoJo doesn't want to go down in history as the PM who presided over the dissolution of the UK. Although I think that's unlikely given our Churchillian level of indebtedness at the moment. In reality, Northern Ireland is a more likely candidate to break away but not under the term of BoJo's Government. |
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NI - won't happen under BoJo's government but I think the Irish sea border will gradually pull NI away from GB until it makes more sense to join with Eire. |
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https://www.irishtimes.com/news/poli...orth-1.3891032 |
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We Irish Catholics like sharing our love, whilst the NI Protestants love themselves... :D |
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It's obvious to me that once those of Catholic background gain numerical superiority then ultimately a Border Poll will be called and the steps to unification of the two Irelands will be made. But yes, the factors you mention will obviously be taken into account and that is why there may be fraying of the Protestant edges. Scotland, on the other hand, is not similarly aligned along specific backgrounds. Frankly to hell with them if they back Sturgeon's view of Scotland. I would expect that the then UK Guvmin will be strict and do no more than what is legally necessary. |
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Also, I don't see Scottish nationalism as particularly aligned to the EU situation. It's prolly more aligned to the same sort of prejudices as between Spurs/Arsenal. |
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A bad deal with the EU - one with bags of friction that erodes our competitiveness - will go down badly in Scotland. The country is already in favour of devolution thanks to its handling of Covid-19 and a bad UK deal with the EU will only increase this. Given the limited time we have, Boris has again backed himself into a negotiating corner and will do as he did with Ireland - concede, deny, move on. How will Brexit impact your trade with NI? |
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I think a few will consider "what do we have to offer the EU . . . fish?" :D
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1. Their bullying; 2. Their unreasonable trade deal demands; 3. Their poxy ECJ; 4. Their poxy plans to federalise; 5. To be part of their squabbling fractious member countries; 6. To become subordinate to the European Parliament; 7. Etc. |
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On a more serious note,what divides us is your priority for the economy and mine for sovereignty combined with the belief that the UK can forge its wn path. Whenever the break, the challenge is the same so an extension serves no ultimate purpose. If the EU can just agree to the Canada type deal, we can all get on with it. The fact they're not agreeing is the proof of their "I'm bigger than you" bullying method. Or to put it in Barnier's words "The UK must be realistic". |
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If a country like the UK is going to have any power economically then against a backdrop of China and the USA, it needs to be part of a larger trading bloc. No country apart from North Korea trades on WTO trade terms and so is not an option. Accepting a level playing field is not an onerous condition to me as we do not have high state intervention in industry and we have a high minimum wage. Canada is thousands of miles away so of course is not such a competitive threat as the UK is. Distance does matter in trade, as has oft been noted on this thread. This is a small price to pay for the long-term drop in the wealth of the country no deal or a bad deal brings - wealth that could be put to good use - our nursing homes are crying out for more money, local councils' services in many parts of the country have been severely cut back since the Global Financial Crisis, a big question mark hangs over UK high streets and we are entering a big economic downturn that should not be worsened. The EU replaced the Commonwealth as the UK's main trading partner and like the Commonwealth, the larger market helped create wealth. The difference with the EU was that it was a more competitive market. The UK could no longer force compliant nations to take ships full of Austin Allegros with square steering wheels made by people on strike every month. It had to raise its game and productivity and finally compete with its peers. It has stepped up to this challenge and many British services, products and companies are now once again world class. There is no pipeline of deals that will replace the EU and the deals it has brought us. If such deals existed, the EU would have signed them already. And the basic rule of trade is that most trade is done with your neighbouring countries. It's unrealistic to blame a larger organisation for having more negotiating clout than a smaller one. I think if you read the threads from 2016, there are warnings a plenty on this. I believe we even suggested that the Government would be rushing to blame the EU for not giving them what they promised the British electorate, although this was unlikely as the German car companies would force the EU to concede to our demands! Instead, you need to put this to those who knowingly or unknowingly mislead the country when they said "easiest trade deal ever." |
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I can respond to your other points once that has been cleared up. |
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Nursing homes* and Local Council' Services are the same thing, and, along with UK high streets, have been feeling the pinch long before we 'left' the EU. I remember reading a few months ago that even the Germans were putting the boot (no pun intended) into their own car companies. I see once again you're concerned about the 'British services' being hit . . . job on the line mate? ;) *unless you mean private nursing homes are badly run ;) |
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There are other trading blocs we could join. The most obvious to me is the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Prtnership (CPTPP), which already comprises 11 countries including Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Malaysia, Mexico and Peru. If Britain joined, this would comprise 16% of global commerce. That's bigger than the EU, and it is fast growing as a productive group of nations, whereas the EU is expected to decline. The CPTPP is expected to generate about 25% of trade by 2050, whereas the poorly performing EU will manage only 10%. If we want a tariff-free deal, we could do a lot worse than joining the CPTPP. Why are posters on this forum not talking about opportunities such as these instead of bemoaning our departure of the failing EU? GB is not a one-trick pony and Liz Truss is already forging ahead with negotiations to join the much more promising CPTPP while continuing to seek trade deals with the US and others. |
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I don't work in the service sector but I think in the current situation many jobs aren't safe, something a no-deal Brexit will only add to. But I hasten to add that's theoretical - Boris will agree to the EU's position when the time is right. As he's done to date. ---------- Post added at 14:00 ---------- Previous post was at 14:00 ---------- Quote:
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Your big opportunity is to understand the economic gravity of trade which explains why most trade takes place with neighbouring countries. https://www.adamsmith.org/blog/to-in...model-of-trade ---------- Post added at 14:21 ---------- Previous post was at 14:10 ---------- Quote:
Do you also remember when people were confidently lining up to predict that other countries were about to leave the EU? I think I noted Ireland, Spain, Italy and the Netherlands tipped at one time or the other. :D |
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Apologies, it does seem as though all (or the majority of) nursing homes/care homes are private and not council funded.
Which makes me wonder why the very clever entrepreneurial people, who own them or invest in them and charge astronomical fees for their use, are crying out for more money . . . from us the tax payers probably :rolleyes: |
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The taxpayer carries the can. |
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I’ll tee up Carth/Seph with “well the public did see right through it”. |
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Don't look at me . . . I couldn't even name twelvty labour people on the fingers of both hands :D
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If we can't forge our own path, then all we could have done in the EU is to hang onto their coat tails. There is nothing the EU can do about their High Street and they'd be no help in dealing with ours had we remained. Yours is highly spurious argument, I'm sorry to say. Quote:
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Artificially high internal process because they're a tariff laden bloc with a few trade deals? Quote:
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Anyway, it's all hotting up. Yesterday's Torygraph surmises that Merkel, President of the European something, will ride to the rescue and broker something sensible. I do hope so but am not holding my breath and I want to be shot of the EU yoke. |
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I do understand your point about the EU and its closer relationships between states than that between those of other trading blocs. But I understand the reasons for this - the need to prevent wars recurring and the need to be strong against the CIS. Quote:
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The EU is not asking for an extension so it would not be a case of caving in. It would give us a reasonable chance to negotiate something closer to what you want rather than the caving-in which Boris will do without an extension. I'm confident this will indeed happen as our Brexit plans are not sufficiently in place but I would like us to have a stronger stab at negotiating with the EU and wearing them down for an extra 12 months to see if we can improve on the deal. |
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@1Andrew1
Any detailed reply that I may have given would take us round in circles as per jfman and OB. We've set out our positions and that's that. Next thing to look for is Boris caving in! |
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(Apologies for the lack of social distancing in the above emoji.) |
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No such problems with the bloc I highlighted - all seems pretty stable there. |
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Johnson straight-talking about the EU.
https://twitter.com/RichardGCorbett/...34736421249024 |
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China is a “big unknown”‘ that’s almost as much of an understatement as the claim Coronavirus is a mild flu. |
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Are Brexiters really blaming the Conservative Party? The timing seems a bit odd to me. https://twitter.com/2Tone4Real/statu...403458/photo/1
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UPDATE: I see Papa beat me to it!! ---------- Post added at 19:42 ---------- Previous post was at 19:41 ---------- Quote:
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Old Boy and economics are distant acquaintances at best. There's years of discussion on streaming services to prove that!
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The FT has some good examples of the new costly red tape being inflicted on small British manufacturers
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https://www.ft.com/content/a1c4a5dc-...e-909d4aaf6162 |
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Good luck with these perverse views you hold, jfman. I guess we will see who's right over time. Starting with how well we do with Brexit! ---------- Post added at 13:47 ---------- Previous post was at 13:41 ---------- Quote:
It would have been easier simply to transfer existing permissions to the new system, I would have thought. |
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The forum is well versed on your views on streaming from the 6-7 threads you’ve opened over the years and are welcome to use the search facility to see you deny reality over there too. Quote:
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-53642923
He wasn’t sending sensitive papers to a web based email account, was he? Tut tut if so. |
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If I was Northern Irish I’d vote for the status quo. |
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Do the Northern Irish enjoy freedom of movement in the EU? I don't think they automatically do, but if they select a Republic of Ireland passport then would this mean they would? |
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AFAIK, NI costs more to run than it makes, so from a purely financial point of view, the cash strapped ROI is unlikely to want to take on NI. |
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Apparently Ian Duncan-Smith doesn’t like the thing he voted for...
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1. They want to keep our fish; 2. They want to eat our competivity (!) cake by tying our hands behind our backs; 3. They want the ECJ to govern us in certain respects. All we want is a free trade agreement and sovereignty over what's ours. |
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1. They're happy to accept a phased withdrawal from British waters, not a sudden one that would lead to livelihoods being lost overnight. 2/3 of fish UK fishermen catch is sold to the EU so a no-deal Brexit would result in many of our own fishermen losing their livelihoods too. 2. We lost our competitivity when we said we would leave the EEA. Now, our manufacturers have to battle with increased red tape. The EU just wants to stop unfair state socialist subsidies such as those favoured by the terrible two Cs - Corbyn and Cummings. Canada signed up to this for its trade deal and I encourage the UK to step up and do the same. 3. Any agreement needs to be enforceable. If you've got an established means in place then it makes sense to use it and start building costly alternatives. |
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You, and Remainers on the other hand, do not accept that a sovereign UK should be fully in control of its laws, waters and behaviours. And you Remainers seem to dodge addressing this aspect, possibly for fear of being accused of being happy to let the EU govern us in part. Quote:
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I'm really disappointed as you normally have something sensible to put forward. |
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You voted for the agreement, you can't ask to change the terms now. Tough do-do.
You'll get zero sympathy from any remoaners because we absolutely told you it was a crap deal and you still wanted it. |
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Kush - we are not talking about the Withdrawal Agreement. Some of its terms do survive 31-12-20 but that has little to do with the trade talks.
Or have I misunderstood you? |
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btw, this is what he said previously, which kind of negates his point about "small print"... |
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My previous link to the original document demonstrates the Canadian deal was more than IP. This is a pertinent extract: https://twitter.com/DavidHenigUK/sta...454401/photo/1 I think it's logical that the EU wouldn't want a heavily subsidised socialist state on its doorstep with easy entry into the single market or a highly de-regulated one with very low standards. Thanks to such tight negotiating deadlines, the EU can afford to push for an even stronger level playing field. You may recall that the Canadian deal took some seven years to arrange. I'm more interested in the now and what you think about Iain Duncan Smith's apparent change of heart or memory loss? |
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