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Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
Now with have the Tory's Right to Buy back again! Good in principle but are the majority of housing stock now run by Housing Associations. Questions to ask: who is going to make them sell their housing stock at a knock down price, who qualifies.
Would you buy yours if you live on a crap estate etc. |
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I'm glad to see that they have pledged that the money raised would go into building more affordable housing. It could become a virtuous circle if correctly managed as well as requiring less input from the taxpayer. |
Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
I'd like to make manifestos's contractually binding. They can put whatever they want in it, and not deliver any of it if elected. The Tories have no intention of delivering any of these unfunded giveaways. I suspect they know there's no way they can get a majority, so on the off chance they are part a a coalition, they can say the other party won't let them deliver the manifesto goodies. That's what they did with their inheritance tax pledge last time. The promises/lies are getting increasingly desperate.
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That went well - the replacement ratio dropped from 18:100 to 14:100. It won't require less input from the taxpayer. As of 2 years ago in Wandsworth over 1/3rd of all properties sold under right to buy were being privately let. You end up with people buying up then 1/3rd being lived in by tenants who come and go, turning places with stable populations who may care about their properties into ones with transitive populations. For the sink estates it might improve it'll mess up other developments. It will however do a great job of bribing a few and will get some social cleansing going. Forcing LAs to sell off properties in more expensive areas to fund this will do a great job of that. Incidentally if you're a 'small c' conservative this is hideous as it's the government confiscating something they don't own - housing associations are charities - and forcing its privatisation. If you're a large 'C' conservative it's short term idiocy as it will reduce the level of home ownership over the longer term, just as HTB has. Some people used to use social housing to save up for home ownership, now they have to have an amazing job, mortgage themselves to the hilt, rely on the bank/hotel of mum and dad, or use the taxpayer to guarantee them. |
Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
Labour-SNP heading for majority in poll projection.
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...ted-to-hit-326 |
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1992. ;) Whether that change of methodolgy makes the polls any more reliable remains to be seen. |
Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
Yes the polls are very hard to predict as voters are much more volatile then they used to be but one cannot be surprised at that given the political rabble we have at our disposal nowadays.
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Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
The possible result is probably, in order of likelihood:
UKIP, Greens and the N.Ireland parties will probably not get enough to be a factor in any talks although it's possible the Tories might try to sustain a minority government via that route. The SNP/Labour block will probably be enough to make a Tory minority government unworkable less they can command a narrow majority with the backing of the Liberal Democrats. A lot depends on the scale of UKIP voters moving back. I think the UKIP vote will collapse in favour of the Tories as people see how close the result will be. My hope is that either that the Liberal Democrats win enough seats so that either Labour or the Conservatives can form a majority government. The worst outcome is a supply and confidence deal with the SNP who'll spend the next 5 years trying to undermine the commons for populist appeal up north. |
Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
I am just totally dumbfounded by the sudden large sums of money being found for all these promises and still 12 billion coming from welfare you can't have it both ways in that there is plentry of money for this but we're so skint massive amounts have to be cut here and from 2018 tax cuts for all. This election is blowing the brown stuff detector off the scale as it clearly has more to do with ideology then political or economic needs you can almost hear the hatred in Cameron's voice whenever he talks about welfare. If labour had a better leader I think they would walk this election to be honest as I don't believe most of the public really do want the conservatives.
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Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
It's the same at every election - most of the promises fail to materialise fully, if at all.
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Re: 2015 UK General Election Thread
A narrow Tory majority, because I believe the the population of the country not to be complete knobs.
I could be wrong. |
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