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Sephiroth 09-05-2020 12:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36034395)
Loving the interplay between you and Seph on this thread at the moment. :tu:

jfman & I are entitled to agree with each other on sensible matters!



jfman 09-05-2020 13:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034398)
Google, The Book of Face, and other major US Tech companies expect most of their workers to work from home until 2021 - these companies have very effective (and large) Risk Assessment and Management sections, and they wouldn't be doing this unless they thought there was still a substantial risk to their staff (and their staff are their biggest assets). Google and FB especially are very strong in the Data Analytics and Behavioural Science areas, so their forecasts will be unbiased by political considerations, just H&S/profit based.

https://www.zdnet.com/article/google...CAD-03-10abf6j

I’d imagine anyone who can promote home working would for some time to come. Offices are essentially too dangerous to put people into that aren’t required to be there.

Lifts, kitchen spaces, shared bathrooms, secure entry systems, shared meeting rooms, shared equipment, hot desking, air conditioning systems and a general tendency to squeeze as many people as you can into small spaces is exactly the kind of environment viruses thrive in.

I’ve lost count of the number of times over the years I’ve saw the common cold spread around an open plan office.

Add into that how do people actually get there: Public transport. Another broadly dangerous activity with far too many people in close proximity.

OLD BOY 09-05-2020 14:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034406)
I’d imagine anyone who can promote home working would for some time to come. Offices are essentially too dangerous to put people into that aren’t required to be there.

Lifts, kitchen spaces, shared bathrooms, secure entry systems, shared meeting rooms, shared equipment, hot desking, air conditioning systems and a general tendency to squeeze as many people as you can into small spaces is exactly the kind of environment viruses thrive in.

I’ve lost count of the number of times over the years I’ve saw the common cold spread around an open plan office.

Add into that how do people actually get there: Public transport. Another broadly dangerous activity with far too many people in close proximity.

Totally agree. Is that a record?

jfman 09-05-2020 14:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
With such a broad consensus emerging I'm amazed I've been banned from this thread so often.:D

pip08456 09-05-2020 14:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
WFH has been here for a while, just not as widespread that has proved necessary..

Companies who until now may have been averse to WFH may now embrace it and it could become a "new norm".

Some companies may like the idea of reducing cost by reducing office space.

Russ 09-05-2020 14:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
That’s on the idea that people would want to WFH. There probably are many but personally I can’t wait to get back to the office. I miss the team dynamic, camaraderie and the requirement to wear clothes on my lower half.

Taf 09-05-2020 14:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
The concern about working from home always concerns admin staff. In fact I heard the slips by a few BBC reporters saying things like "Why should we have to go into the office?"

No apparent thought for the masses working in factories, laboratories, building sites, et al.

Paul 09-05-2020 14:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034416)
With such a broad consensus emerging I'm amazed I've been banned from this thread so often.:D

Try not to go for the hat trick then, eh. ;)

---------- Post added at 14:55 ---------- Previous post was at 14:54 ----------

I dont mind working from home.
However, I would prefer not to do it all the while, perhaps 2/3 days a week.
Its not just me it affects, the rest of the house has to adapt, which isnt entirely fair.

Pierre 09-05-2020 18:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034416)
With such a broad consensus emerging I'm amazed I've been banned from this thread so often.:D

Jesus, I had to bite my lip.......so hard :).

Hugh 09-05-2020 18:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034448)
Jesus, I had to bite my lip.......so hard :).

Brings a whole new meaning to love/hate relationship... :D

Damien 09-05-2020 19:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36034420)
That’s on the idea that people would want to WFH. There probably are many but personally I can’t wait to get back to the office. I miss the team dynamic, camaraderie and the requirement to wear clothes on my lower half.

Ah, one of those office with strict dress codes eh?

OLD BOY 09-05-2020 19:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36034420)
That’s on the idea that people would want to WFH. There probably are many but personally I can’t wait to get back to the office. I miss the team dynamic, camaraderie and the requirement to wear clothes on my lower half.

I think you will find it's whether the company wants it, not whether you want it.

Do you want the work or don't you? Sorry, but that's what it comes down to.

ianch99 09-05-2020 19:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034394)
Re: the jailbroken iPhones. The jailbroken phone is required to let them delve further into the behaviour of the app. The intention is the final app once designed can run on iPhones that aren't jailbroken.

That may be the case but any observations on how the app performs on a jailbroken iPhone is just misdirection.

Anyway, it seems that they maybe be accepting the folly of this approach:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-apple-google/


Quote:

Move comes as fears raised that NHS model may suffer technical glitches and prevent Britons from travelling abroad

The NHS has asked a private company to investigate whether it can switch its contact tracing app over to the global standard proposed by Apple and Google, it has emerged only days after the UK's version launched on the Isle of Wight.

Swiss company Zuhlke, which is working on the NHS Covid-19 app, has reportedly been told to examine the feasibility of moving the app to the decentralised model favoured by the tech giants and being chosen by more and more European countries for contract tracing.

The move follows warnings that the UK model is not compatible with emerging global standards for such apps, something that could affect Britons' ability to travel abroad in future.

Russ 09-05-2020 19:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36034453)
Ah, one of those office with strict dress codes eh?

Bluddy opressive regime I tell you!!

---------- Post added at 19:42 ---------- Previous post was at 19:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034454)
I think you will find it's whether the company wants it, not whether you want it.

Do you want the work or don't you? Sorry, but that's what it comes down to.

Really? Fascinating, what else do you know about the company I work for?

ianch99 09-05-2020 20:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36034400)
I believe that’s what’s known as transference. ;)

Seeing as you have read it but not understood it, I’ll try to be as simple as possible.

The researchers use jail broken phones so they can verify that the app is working as claimed.

Jail broken phones allow unauthorised apps to be run, that reveal things normally hidden to users.

The jail broken state of the phone is of no relevance beyond providing evidence that the tracing app seems to work as intended.



And it seems you’re more interested in maintaining your belief that the app won’t work, in the face of hard evidence to the contrary.

Go figure. :shrug:

Oh dear (again). I am surprised at your level of condescension. I was asking civil questions so maybe you just have a problem with being questioned?

Thanks for being simple BTW. The scientific test is not the behaviour of the atypical device. Rather it is the behaviour of the App running on the various retail builds of iOS that is the deciding factor, something you fail to grasp.

As to the hard evidence, there seem to be some issues:

Isle of Wight contact tracing app 'fails to work on four-year-old phones', residents say

Quote:

The NHS contact-tracing app has been hit by a series of glitches on the first day of its roll-out on the Isle of Wight, which saw residents saying it did not work on phones that are only four years old.

Islanders used social media to vent frustrations over the app with others complaining it drained their phone battery or was bombarding them with multiple notifications.

However, the island’s MP Bob Seely said the trial of the app had gotten off to a “strong start” with over 30,000 people downloading it.

The bugs come as the NHS is considering ditching its own model of the app and switching over to the system preferred by Apple and Google.

On Thursday, Columbia became the latest country to mothball its efforts to build a contact-tracing app, after it was beset by technical problems, and is now moving over the tech giants’ model....
Exclusive: ‘Wobbly’ tracing app ‘failed’ clinical safety and cyber security tests

Contact tracing app ‘fails’ NHS and cyber security tests

NHS Covid contact-tracing app could be ILLEGAL and will cause chaos for Brits' foreign travel because it's incompatible with Apple-Google system, warn critics as it goes live on the Isle of Wight

Interestingly:

https://techcrunch.com/2020/05/07/uk...racing-report/

Quote:

In related news today, Reuters reports that Colombia has pulled its own coronavirus contacts tracing app after experiencing glitches and inaccuracies. The app had used alternative technology to power contacts logging via Bluetooth and wi-fi. A government official told the news agency it aims to rebuild the system and may now use the Apple-Google API.

Australia has also reported Bluetooth related problems with its national coronavirus app. And has also been reported to be moving towards adopting the Apple-Google API.

While, Singapore, the first country to launch a Bluetooth app for coronavirus contacts tracing, was also the first to run into technical hitches related to platform limits on background access — likely contributing to low download rates for the app (reportedly below 20%).

Chris 09-05-2020 20:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
One post deleted.

Can we please refrain from discussing thread moderation and just stick to the actual discussion.

OLD BOY 09-05-2020 21:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36034456)
Bluddy opressive regime I tell you!!

---------- Post added at 19:42 ---------- Previous post was at 19:41 ----------



Really? Fascinating, what else do you know about the company I work for?

Well, it's obviously really, Russ. Your company pays you to do the job it needs to be done. You don't have to accept that. You could look at alternative employment.

Just sayin'...

Russ 09-05-2020 21:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034468)
Well, it's obviously really, Russ. Your company pays you to do the job it needs to be done. You don't have to accept that. You could look at alternative employment.

Just sayin'...

Yep just saying a load of rubbish really. They do pay me to do a job and guess what...I do it whether at home or in the office. Still not sure what your point is, or if you actually have one?

jfman 09-05-2020 21:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034454)
I think you will find it's whether the company wants it, not whether you want it.

Do you want the work or don't you? Sorry, but that's what it comes down to.

God bless unrestricted and uncontrolled capitalism.

As Russ says you don't know his role or his organisation and often it is much more complicated than that. Employers are still responsible for the health and safety of their staff - even at home.

Any industry with union involvement is going to be in for an interesting few months if employers take your approach.

Hugh 09-05-2020 21:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36034468)
Well, it's obviously really, Russ. Your company pays you to do the job it needs to be done. You don't have to accept that. You could look at alternative employment.

Just sayin'...

You do realise the employment contract is a two-way thing, don’t you? Both sides have rights and responsibilities, and a good working relationship is based on a balanced approach.

People are employed, not indentured - good companies get the best from their colleagues by discussing and agreeing what’s best for both parties, not just "do as you’re told!"

Have you ever run any companies/large departments?

Paul 09-05-2020 21:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Lets just be careful with this discussion, and not get into any personal arguments please. :)

denphone 10-05-2020 11:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Germany's Coronavirus transmission rate rises again.

https://www.dw.com/en/germany-corona...e-1/a-53383279

Quote:

The coronavirus reproduction rate in Germany rose to 1.1, scientists announced on Saturday after Germany loosened many of its restrictions.
Quote:

That rate, which assumes statistical lag in data delivered, is the key measure used by Germany's pandemic overseer, the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) based in Berlin.
A clear warning there that it would be unwise to lessen the lockdown too much imo.

Maggy 10-05-2020 11:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Distancing is already becoming an issue in supermarkets with many becoming impatient with the laid down methods instituted by said supermarkets and others becoming rather blase about what actually constitutes 2 metres..I can't see how it's going to be maintained for much longer especially when summer arrives.Even the real threat of death doesn't seem to act as a deterrent so I doubt fines will continue to have any effect.

nomadking 10-05-2020 11:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
There is still a large pool of people who have yet to become infected. Those that have become infected and have recovered can still transmit it to somebody who is still susceptible. It can only disappear if there is no longer the possibility of it having access to a viable host in order to prolong its "life" and continue the chain of infections.


I've previously used the comparison with dog fleas. Think of the dogs as the as yet uninfected, and humans as the immune. Humans can pick up dog fleas but they are unable to survive and reproduce on human blood. There is a period of time whilst the dog flea is still alive on the human, where it can jump to another human or another dog. If it jumps to another human, it is at risk of starving and dying out. If it jumps to another dog, it now has the opportunity to survive and reproduce, and carry on existing.

papa smurf 10-05-2020 11:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36034506)
Distancing is already becoming an issue in supermarkets with many becoming impatient with the laid down methods instituted by said supermarkets and others becoming rather blase about what actually constitutes 2 metres..I can't see how it's going to be maintained for much longer especially when summer arrives.Even the real threat of death doesn't seem to act as a deterrent so I doubt fines will continue have any effect.

I agree, i don't see the mood being so good when people are queued up in the rain, i can see people around me are venturing out more,i think we will have to manage our distancing and just get on with life as best we can, public transport is going to be a major problem with social distancing measures in place and i wan't my family back.

Taf 10-05-2020 12:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36034508)
I agree, i don't see the mood being so good when people are queued up in the rain,

A sudden downpour last week saw dozens of people quit the queues at our local Tesco and dive in for shelter. The staff lost all control.

---------- Post added at 12:12 ---------- Previous post was at 12:10 ----------

I did a course years ago on Contamination Control.

This sums up a lot of what I was taught, and why I believe the 2 metre rule is dangerous.

https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the...hem-avoid-them

Pierre 10-05-2020 12:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034507)
There is still a large pool of people who have yet to become infected. Those that have become infected and have recovered can still transmit it to somebody who is still susceptible

You sure about that, such statements on this forum need to backed up with a citation - it’s not Facebook.

As of last month advice was that you are only contagious for around 14 days after recovering from Covid 19. I haven’t seen anything to update that.

Quote:

It can only disappear if there is no longer the possibility of it having access to a viable host in order to prolong its "life" and continue the chain of infections.
if you have immunity you are no longer a viable host


Quote:

I've previously used the comparison with dog fleas. Think of the dogs as the as yet uninfected, and humans as the immune. Humans can pick up dog fleas but they are unable to survive and reproduce on human blood. There is a period of time whilst the dog flea is still alive on the human, where it can jump to another human or another dog. If it jumps to another human, it is at risk of starving and dying out. If it jumps to another dog, it now has the opportunity to survive and reproduce, and carry on existing.
twaddle.

Show me the science behind that theory.

Maggy 10-05-2020 12:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Wonders where our lovely scientist downquark is..the one scientist on CF that I trust.

nomadking 10-05-2020 13:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034511)
You sure about that, such statements on this forum need to backed up with a citation - it’s not Facebook.

As of last month advice was that you are only contagious for around 14 days after recovering from Covid 19. I haven’t seen anything to update that.

if you have immunity you are no longer a viable host

twaddle.

Show me the science behind that theory.

Never said a person with immunity was a viable host, just the OPPOSITE.

The immune system can only tackle it once it in the blood stream. It can therefore be in the blood stream, on peoples hands, in their mucus, in their saliva etc. That much should be obvious. It might only survive in those environments for a limited time, but it can still be passed on within that limited timeframe.

Infectious person A snogs immune person B, who in turn in a short timeframe, snogs non-infected, non-immune person C. C ends up infected. There doesn't need to be direct A to C contact. B doesn't even need to be a person. There have been cases where B has been a bottle or more strangely a spray bottle.
Quote:

Thailand has today issued a new coronavirus warning after a spike of 13 cases were traced to a group of friends who shared cigarettes and whisky while on a night out.Dr Sukhum Kanchanapimai, the health ministry's permanent secretary, said that the cluster of cases was caused by party goers who became infected while enjoying Bangkok's nightlife.
He told reporters: 'There was inappropriate behaviour, sharing drinks, cigarettes and not avoiding social activities after returning from an at-risk country.'
Quote:

Nearly 50 people have been infected with Covid-19 at a church in South Korea after an official sprayed salt water into members’ mouths because they thought it would kill the virus, according to The South China Morning Post, citing officials. An official at the River of Grace Community Church in Gyeonggi Province, near Seoul, used the same spray bottle on multiple church-goers without disinfecting the nozzle, causing a large number of the 100 or so attendees to be infected, including the church’s pastor and his wife.

Somebody obviously has never been around a dog or a cat with fleas.

Quote:

Yes, humans can get fleas from their dogs and other pets. If you’ve ever walked across the carpet and noticed a dark speck on white socks that suddenly appears then vanishes, that speck probably was a flea.
While pets undoubtedly enrich our lives in innumerable ways, this close proximity has put us at greater risk for sharing ectoparasites, such as the flea. But don’t fret just yet; the possibility of getting fleas yourself is not reason to put your pup in the dog house.
There are thousands of species of fleas, and most animals have a specific flea species that prefers that animal as its host. While the flea that dogs typically carry can—and do—jump over to humans and bite us, the dog flea cannot survive on humans.
First, dog fleas need dog blood to eat. Second, humans aren’t hairy enough to provide ample hiding coverage or the warm environment that dog fleas seek in a home.

Hugh 10-05-2020 13:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Takes me back to the Forces in the 70s - one of the jokes that went around at that time.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1589114404

Hugh 10-05-2020 13:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034511)
You sure about that, such statements on this forum need to backed up with a citation - it’s not Facebook.

As of last month advice was that you are only contagious for around 14 days after recovering from Covid 19. https://www.yorkpress.co.uk/news/nat...ring-covid-19/

if you have immunity you are no longer a viable host


twaddle.

Show me the science behind that theory.

I think the answer to that is "no one is quite sure, yet".

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-...nt-reinfection
Quote:

Another critical question she's zeroing in on is whether people who become immune are still capable of spreading the virus.

"Because you might be immune, you might have protected yourself against the virus," she says, "but it still might be in your body and you're giving it to others."

It would have huge public health implications if it turns out people can still spread the disease after they've recovered. Studies from China and South Korea seemed to suggest this was possible, though further studies have cast doubt on that as a significant feature of the disease.
Here’s hoping "not".

nomadking 10-05-2020 13:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034518)
I think the answer to that is "no one is quite sure, yet".

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-...nt-reinfection

Here’s hoping "not".

The key word being "significant", as in still possible, just not to an appreciable extent.

Pierre 10-05-2020 14:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034514)
The immune system can only tackle it once it in the blood stream. It can therefore be in the blood stream, on peoples hands, in their mucus, in their saliva etc. That much should be obvious. It might only survive in those environments for a limited time, but it can still be passed on within that limited timeframe.

Infectious person A snogs immune person B, who in turn in a short timeframe, snogs non-infected, non-immune person C. C ends up infected. There doesn't need to be direct A to C contact. B doesn't even need to be a person. There have been cases where B has been a bottle or more strangely a spray bottle.

Well I’m not sure about snogging scenario, I haven’t been to one of those parties for a long time. But of course the virus can be passed on through touching surfaces that have been coughed or sneezed on and then touching you mouth/eyes/nose we’ve always known that. Potentially 3-5 days it can remain on hard surfaces, down to a few hours on brass/ copper.

Good hygiene practices will be required and yes sharing cigarettes, spliffs, glasses, bottles etc, well that would just be plain stupid anyway.


Quote:

Somebody obviously has never been around a dog or a cat with fleas.
Me? I’ve had dogs and cats my entire life, as I type I’m looking at my lazy Black Lab asleep in front of the fire.

I didn’t mean fleas jumping around was twaddle, but trying to analogise that with how COVID19 can spread imo is.

Look, I’m very open minded, we’re learning on this everyday, if you can present a paper that explains how it is possible I’m in.

But I don’t think it’s a massive risk, especially with sensible hygiene precautions.

---------- Post added at 14:16 ---------- Previous post was at 14:10 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034518)
I think the answer to that is "no one is quite sure, yet".

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-...nt-reinfection

Here’s hoping "not".

I was actually reading that, along with several more articles, before I replied. She doesn’t go into how it could be transmitted, whether she is inferring a “carrier” situation or other method? It’s the “other” I’m struggling with

Quote:

We don’t yet fully understand how SARS-CoV-2 spreads from person to person. But very few viruses have human “carriers,” who transmit the virus for months or years with or without symptoms, Dudley says. More often, an infected person has a short window where they could pass the disease to another individual, ranging from a few days to a few weeks. With SARS-CoV-2, an unknown number of cases is spreading via infected individuals who show little to no symptoms of the virus — just another reason to practice social distancing while waiting for a vaccine to be available.

https://www.discovermagazine.com/hea...ainst-covid-19

nomadking 10-05-2020 14:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034521)
Well I’m not sure about snogging scenario, I haven’t been to one of those parties for a long time. But of course the virus can be passed on through touching surfaces that have been coughed or sneezed on and then touching you mouth/eyes/nose we’ve always known that. Potentially 3-5 days it can remain on hard surfaces, down to a few hours on brass/ copper.

Good hygiene practices will be required and yes sharing cigarettes, spliffs, glasses, bottles etc, well that would just be plain stupid anyway.



Me? I’ve had dogs and cats my entire life, as I type I’m looking at my lazy Black Lab asleep in front of the fire.

I didn’t mean fleas jumping around was twaddle, but trying to analogise that with how COVID19 can spread imo is.

Look, I’m very open minded, we’re learning on this everyday, if you can present a paper that explains how it is possible I’m in.

But I don’t think it’s a massive risk, especially with sensible hygiene precautions.

---------- Post added at 14:16 ---------- Previous post was at 14:10 ----------



I was actually reading that, along with several more articles, before I replied. She doesn’t go into how it could be transmitted, whether she is inferring a “carrier” situation or other method? It’s the “other” I’m struggling with




https://www.discovermagazine.com/hea...ainst-covid-19

The dog flea example was NEVER about how Covid-19 can spread. It was an example where something that can only survive and reproduce on one host, can use transfer an intermediary where it cannot survive, but can do so long enough to be transferred onwards. Somebody who has immunity to covid-19 can still carry it for a short period of time, and in that short period of time can transmit it to somebody who is not yet immune.


For "snogging" you can replace with various face to face activities, eg talking and possibly merely breathing.

Ramrod 10-05-2020 15:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
To all those talking about extending the lockdown, apologies if this has been posted already: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...035-7/fulltext

Quote:

In summary, COVID-19 is a disease that is highly infectious and spreads rapidly through society. It is often quite symptomless and might pass unnoticed, but it also causes severe disease, and even death, in a proportion of the population, and our most important task is not to stop spread, which is all but futile, but to concentrate on giving the unfortunate victims optimal care.

Hom3r 10-05-2020 15:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
My is current 1 of only 3 people in the UK reported to have been left paralysed.

She has lost feeling below the knee, she was taken in with loss of sensation which Drs where trying to understand why.

https://theconversation.com/coronavi...ymptoms-136692


https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/paralysis/

Ramrod 10-05-2020 15:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Sorry to hear that Homer :(

jfman 10-05-2020 15:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 36034526)
To all those talking about extending the lockdown, apologies if this has been posted already: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/l...035-7/fulltext

It's came up.

Bizarrely, Seph and I joined forces and demonstrated that it, arguably, supported the lockdown. It'd only be required for a further two to six months before herd immunity was achieved.

Although neither of us believe the underlying assumptions.

Sephiroth 10-05-2020 15:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034531)
It's came up.

Bizarrely, Seph and I joined forces and demonstrated that it, arguably, supported the lockdown. It'd only be required for a further two to six months before herd immunity was achieved.

Although neither of us believe the underlying assumptions.

Bizarrely? Surely not! This isn't about Brexit - yet.

Pierre 10-05-2020 16:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
[/COLOR]
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034523)
For "snogging" you can replace with various face to face activities, eg talking and possibly merely breathing.

But there is very little , if any, info out there that suggests that someone that is immune can transmit the virus that way?

Sephiroth 10-05-2020 16:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034535)
[/COLOR]

But there is very little , if any, info out there that suggests that someone that is immune can transmit the virus that way?

I would have thought that anyone who has become immune can nevertheless carry the virus, touch his/her lips and snog someone else into NHS care.

Pierre 10-05-2020 16:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36034537)
I would have thought that anyone who has become immune can nevertheless carry the virus, touch his/her lips and snog someone else into NHS care.

That is also Nomads “thinking”, but I would like to see any information if it can be transmitted like that. Obviously if someone touches a virus populated droplet and then touches someone on the face, if that all happens within the 72hr-ish window the virus can survive outside.

But if an immune person does the same and then licks his finger, how long can the virus live in his saliva? For example, as that is what is suggested.

I don’t know enough, but that would seem to impact the herd immunity, if you are immune but the virus can live in you, outside the blood stream and therefore outside the immunity response and go on to infect others?

I don’t see how that works.

Sephiroth 10-05-2020 17:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034541)
That is also Nomads “thinking”, but I would like to see any information if it can be transmitted like that. Obviously if someone touches a virus populated droplet and then touches someone on the face, if that all happens within the 72hr-ish window the virus can survive outside.

But if an immune person does the same and then licks his finger, how long can the virus live in his saliva? For example, as that is what is suggested.

I don’t know enough, but that would seem to impact the herd immunity, if you are immune but the virus can live in you, outside the blood stream and therefore outside the immunity response and go on to infect others?

I don’t see how that works.

Well yes - what you say. Except that there will be a period of viability and thereafter, due to immunity, the virus must lose virulence and eventually die. "Hello darling". Lip kiss kiss. Maybe other person infected.

My purely layman's/common sense view. I too don't know enough.

Taf 10-05-2020 17:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
The immunity response is not confined to your blood.

Viral load is estimated to be around 70,000 to 100,000 pieces of virus to cause a major attack on our bodies which can overload our immunity system.

Below that the immunity system can fight off the infection and leave us with protection. But it has yet to be discovered how long this immunity lasts.

The main avenue for infection is via the eyes and lungs where ACE-2 receptors are found.

downquark1 10-05-2020 17:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
OK the transmissibility of the immune is somewhat up in the air as I understand it. There have been debates where people say that there seems to be reports that no one has ever caught it from a child.
However there is also evidence where the virus has been detected still in the systems of people who have recovered and are suppose to be immune.

A standard virus is not "being produced" by an immune person but they can still spread it by touching things. But the virus does not last very very long on surfaces so immune people would have had to come near someone producing the virus recently. But this virus keeps surprising people.

Sorry I've not been paying attention to this thread for a while so if anyone has a question I will try to address it from the information I know.

nomadking 10-05-2020 18:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

A South Korean super-spreader has been linked to dozens of new cases from one night out, amid panic after the Asian nation reopened.
The total number of cases linked to three nightclubs in Itaewon in Seoul, visited by a 29-year-old patient who had tested positive for coronavirus, increased to 54 as of Sunday afternoon, according to the Korea Centers for Disease Control & Prevention.
Authorities are estimating between 6,000 to 7,000 could have been exposed to the virus from clubs between April 29 and May 6, according to Bloomberg.
...
Eleven of the 54 confirmed cases are secondary infections. The infection rate is highest for those who visited King Club in Itaewon on May 2, and more than 30 per cent of the confirmed patients are asymptomatic.

That's how much damage just one person can do.

Hugh 10-05-2020 18:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Interesting, and slightly scary, article, which reminds me of Gulf wars/Afghanistan casualties - it’s not just the deaths that happen, it’s often the long-term effects on some of those who survive.

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...eath-covid-19#
Quote:

One week after I was discharged, I became increasingly short of breath. I had to go to the hospital again, but fortunately, I could be treated on an outpatient basis. I turned out to have an organizing pneumonia-induced lung disease, caused by a so-called cytokine storm. It’s a result of your immune defense going into overdrive. Many people do not die from the tissue damage caused by the virus, but from the exaggerated response of their immune system, which doesn’t know what to do with the virus. I’m still under treatment for that, with high doses of corticosteroids that slow down the immune system. If I had had that storm along with the symptoms of the viral outbreak in my body, I wouldn’t have survived. I had atrial fibrillation, with my heart rate going up to 170 beats per minute; that also needs to be controlled with therapy, particularly to prevent blood clotting events, including stroke. This is an underestimated ability of the virus: It can probably affect all the organs in our body.

Many people think COVID-19 kills 1% of patients, and the rest get away with some flulike symptoms. But the story gets more complicated. Many people will be left with chronic kidney and heart problems. Even their neural system is disrupted. There will be hundreds of thousands of people worldwide, possibly more, who will need treatments such as renal dialysis for the rest of their lives. The more we learn about the coronavirus, the more questions arise. We are learning while we are sailing.
Another article on the same issues

https://www.vox.com/2020/5/8/2125189...fects-symptoms

Taf 10-05-2020 19:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.journalofhospitalinfecti...046-3/fulltext

Taf 10-05-2020 19:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
..

Hugh 10-05-2020 19:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
2 Attachment(s)
All the posters/messages go through the Government Behavioural Science team (the "nudge" unit).

Has anyone else noticed the subliminal change the red arrows and border markings in the first message (Stay at home etc.) to green arrows and border markings in the latest (Stay alert).

Red for stop, green for go?

OLD BOY 10-05-2020 19:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36034504)
Germany's Coronavirus transmission rate rises again.

https://www.dw.com/en/germany-corona...e-1/a-53383279

A clear warning there that it would be unwise to lessen the lockdown too much imo.

This is exactly what I have been saying, Den. Release the lockdown measures and the number of Covid cases increases. It doesn't really matter WHEN the lockdown is ended. Whenever that happens, cases will rise again until such time as either herd immunity is achieved or we have the vaccine. The lockdown only slows the number of cases but doesn't stop them altogether - it simply delays the inevitable.

South Korea has also seen a rise in cases following the relaxation of their lockdown.

nomadking 10-05-2020 19:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
What a lockdown should achieve is a reduction in the number of active cases out there, so when it is relaxed or ended there is less opportunity for it spread widely again. Those not able, or more likely unwillingly to follow lockdown are the ones spreading it around. Each time it transfers from one person to another, the clock resets and starts from zero. Without transfers, after a period of X(4?) weeks it would disappear completely. With each transmission the X weeks starts again, prolonging the overall period.

Henkesghost 10-05-2020 19:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Wee Nicola isn't having it. Scotland stays in the hoose :)

papa smurf 10-05-2020 19:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Henkesghost (Post 36034561)
Wee Nicola isn't having it. Scotland stays in the hoose :)

Until the furlough money gets cut off from central Government;)

Henkesghost 10-05-2020 19:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36034562)
Until the furlough money gets cut off from central Government;)


Makes it a little awkward as I work for the forces but am in Scotland

jfman 10-05-2020 19:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
If/when the body count goes up furlough will be extended. Win-win for Scotland as the English get to be guinea pigs. Scotland can follow in three weeks if measures demonstrated to be safe.

Pierre 10-05-2020 19:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
To be honest nothing really has changed.

Hugh 10-05-2020 20:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034566)
To be honest nothing really has changed.

Mitch Benn summed it up
Quote:

Nothing has changed except the things which have changed except they haven’t yet but they might, or might not, as long as we don’t change anything.

Pierre 10-05-2020 20:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034567)
Mitch Benn summed it up

Indeed, but in reality all that has changed is that you can now go out as much as you want as long as you socially distance, everything else is the same.

There will be a new alert system ( pretty much like the old terror alert system they had)

If all goes well some primary school classes may reopen from June 1st, and all stays well some bars / restaurants etc may open in July.

But only if death/infection rates continue to fall.

mrmistoffelees 10-05-2020 20:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034566)
To be honest nothing really has changed.


From Wednesday

People can go and sit in a park all day long now if they wish
I can now go out for either a drive in my car or a ride on my motorbike if I wish

Big changes from no unnecessary travel/not being able to sit in a park or down by the river

Just my perspective

richard s 10-05-2020 20:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
The epidemic has to run it's course across the world before it is beaten... because it will creep back into other countries and start all over again. Country to country travel has to be banned for at least a full year.

Henkesghost 10-05-2020 20:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034569)
From Wednesday

People can go and sit in a park all day long now if they wish
I can now go out for either a drive in my car or a ride on my motorbike if I wish

Big changes from no unnecessary travel/not being able to sit in a park or down by the river

Just my perspective

Agree I think there has been a few significant changes in England including encouraging people back to work if unable to work at home.

Pierre 10-05-2020 20:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034569)
From Wednesday

People can go and sit in a park all day long now if they wish
I can now go out for either a drive in my car or a ride on my motorbike if I wish

Big changes from no unnecessary travel/not being able to sit in a park or down by the river

Just my perspective

From my perspective nothing has changed to any degree, I was already going out as much as wanted. Although I admit I was in a privileged position based on my location

mrmistoffelees 10-05-2020 20:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034573)
From my perspective nothing has changed to any degree, I was already going out as much as wanted. Although I admit I was in a privileged position based on my location

Quite the rebel.

jfman 10-05-2020 20:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Essentially the Government in England are spending the next three weeks watering down the “stay home, protect the NHS, save lives” message.

Employers won’t have done risk assessments, made adjustments or read and understood guidance (when published) for any meaningful changes to take place immediately.

Hugh 10-05-2020 21:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
"Actively encouraged to go to work*"

I wonder what that means in practice?

Hopefully some more clarification tomorrow in the HoC.

*whilst avoiding public transport if possible

---------- Post added at 21:31 ---------- Previous post was at 20:41 ----------

FYI, both local Universities have posted this
Quote:

Following the government's announcement this evening, current working arrangements remain in place until further notice.
And an email went round the DWP towards the end last week staying the same thing.

Pierre 10-05-2020 22:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034574)
Quite the rebel.

Indeed. No, just lucky.

---------- Post added at 22:03 ---------- Previous post was at 21:57 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034575)
Employers won’t have done risk assessments, made adjustments or read and understood guidance (when published) for any meaningful changes to take place immediately.

Some.......Mrs Pierre works in construction and they had a voluntary shut down initially, but their sites stated up last week and they very much have done risk assessments, adjustments and all that is necessary to work again. Hopefully other sectors have had the foresight to do the same.

They would be remiss, even negligent, if they haven’t.

It every businesses responsibility to see how, if possible, they can operate safely in these conditions.

---------- Post added at 22:07 ---------- Previous post was at 22:03 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034576)
"Actively encouraged to go to work*"

I wonder what that means in practice?

Hopefully some more clarification tomorrow in the HoC.

There have always been only select businesses that are mandated to close.

Everyone else should have been trying to work out how they can operate safely in the last 6 weeks and be operating if they can.

If you can’t, you can’t. But you should try. Encouraged!

jfman 10-05-2020 22:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034583)
Indeed. No, just lucky.[COLOR="Silver"]
Some.......Mrs Pierre works in construction and they had a voluntary shut down initially, but their sites stated up last week and they very much have done risk assessments, adjustments and all that is necessary to work again. Hopefully other sectors have had the foresight to do the same.

They would be remiss, even negligent, if they haven’t.

It every businesses responsibility to see how, if possible, they can operate safely in these conditions.

Indeed but until the Government offer clarity on what that would look like a meaningful risk assessment would be unlikely for most.

From the top of my head the availability/requirement to use PPE, potential amendments to the the 2 metre rule, access to mythical antibody tests and access to childcare for those that aren’t ‘key workers’ are immediate variables that would make a substantive risk assessment impossible just a few weeks ago in advance of any opening.

As you say construction voluntarily shut down in England so presumably has fewer obstacles than other sectors.

For other businesses the furlough scheme is exactly there to ensure they aren’t required to operate unsafely or prematurely in the pursuit of profits at the cost of workers lives.

Hugh 10-05-2020 22:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
There appears to be a difference in the Lobby briefing before the speech, and what was said - the BBC, Guardian, and other media outlets are reporting
Quote:

Unlimited exercise, some sports and meeting one other person outdoors to be allowed from Wednesday
As widely expected, people will be formally allowed to go out for exercise more than once a day. In addition, people will be permitted to meet and sit down with one other person, outdoors, if they remain two metres apart. The new rules will start on Wednesday, when people can undertake “unlimited amounts of outdoor exercise”, and sunbathe or drive to destinations for exercise. Sports including angling, swimming in lakes and rivers, tennis and golf will also be allowed, but only within household groups.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...nson-announced

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51506729

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politi...parks-22005053

https://www.businessinsider.in/inter...w/75665136.cms

Quote:

Discussing the exercise measures, Government officials said tennis, water sports, angling and golf would be permitted in England from Wednesday as long as social distancing was enforced.

People will also be able to drive to parks or beaches within the nation – but cannot cross the border to Wales or Scotland for leisure activities if different restrictions are in force.

As long as a two-metre distance is maintained, people will also be allowed to sunbathe or chat in a park with one other person from a different household.
Difference between speech and briefing highlighted (by me) - again, hopefully this will be clarified tomorrow.

---------- Post added at 22:55 ---------- Previous post was at 22:39 ----------

Please help me - I’m agreeing with Piers Morgan!!

An intervention is required!

Quote:

So, the Prime Minister is urging millions of non-essential workers to go out to work - but also telling people we still can’t see family or friends even if we maintain the same social distancing rules as non-essential workers at work?

Makes no sense.

pip08456 10-05-2020 23:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034588)
There appears to be a difference in the Lobby briefing before the speech, and what was said - the BBC, Guardian, and other media outlets are reporting

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...nson-announced

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51506729

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politi...parks-22005053

https://www.businessinsider.in/inter...w/75665136.cms



Difference between speech and briefing highlighted (by me) - again, hopefully this will be clarified tomorrow.

---------- Post added at 22:55 ---------- Previous post was at 22:39 ----------

Please help me - I’m agreeing with Piers Morgan!!

An intervention is required!

Of the highlighted protions by you what do you deem to be the difference? BTW this time my highlighting of the sections of your highlighted post.

Quote:

As long as a two-metre distance is maintained, people will also be allowed to sunbathe or chat in a park with one other person from a different household.

In addition, people will be permitted to meet and sit down with one other person, outdoors, if they remain two metres apart.

jfman 10-05-2020 23:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Scarier than some agreements I’m having on here :D

Although bizarrely I’m actually inclined to agree with the Government here. The changes to the rules for some workers affects a subset of the population, in supposedly monitored environments for a time limited period. In three weeks time that’ll filter through to the figures (hopefully) in a manner that shows transmission is controlled with testing catching cases.

66 million people all travelling to visit families and friends is a recipe for disaster and as the VE Day street parties demonstrated people can’t be trusted.

Paul 10-05-2020 23:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034588)
So, the Prime Minister is urging millions of non-essential workers to go out to work - but also telling people we still can’t see family or friends even if we maintain the same social distancing rules as non-essential workers at work?
Makes no sense.

As long as you keep your distance, what is stopping you from seeing family or friends ?

Pierre 10-05-2020 23:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034587)
Indeed but until the Government offer clarity on what that would look like a meaningful risk assessment would be unlikely for most.

You don’t need government for that.

Quote:

From the top of my head the availability/requirement to use PPE, potential amendments to the the 2 metre rule, access to mythical antibody tests and access to childcare for those that aren’t ‘key workers’ are immediate variables that would make a substantive risk assessment impossible just a few weeks ago in advance of any opening
You lack vision, something most entrepreneurs and successful business owners should have. I’m sure those that can, are putting measures in place. Obviously not all can.

Quote:

As you say construction voluntarily shut down in England so presumably has fewer obstacles than other sectors.
no, they had massive issues, including supply chain of other firms. But construction was never mandated to close. So if they did suddenly they were issued with breach of contract orders, so they had to get back to work, and as I’m sure are aware there is no sector more focused on H&S than the construction industry. So before they started up a lot of work went into how they could do it safely.

Quote:

For other businesses the furlough scheme is exactly there to ensure they aren’t required to operate unsafely or prematurely in the pursuit of profits at the cost of workers lives.
and I would not expect them to, but I would expect them to be using all their efforts to explore how they can operate safely and unfurlough their employees ASAP.

---------- Post added at 23:19 ---------- Previous post was at 23:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36034594)
As long as you keep your distance, what is stopping you from seeing family or friends ?

Nothing.

jfman 10-05-2020 23:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034596)
You don’t need government for that.

You lack vision, something most entrepreneurs and successful business owners should have. I’m sure those that can, are putting measures in place. Obviously not all can.

no, they had massive issues, including supply chain of other firms. But construction was never mandated to close. So if they did suddenly they were issued with breach of contract orders, so they had to get back to work, and as I’m sure are aware there is no sector more focused on H&S than the construction industry. So before they started up a lot of work went into how they could do it safely.

and I would not expect them to, but I would expect them to be using all their efforts to explore how they can operate safely and unfurlough their employees ASAP.

---------- Post added at 23:19 ---------- Previous post was at 23:19 ----------



Nothing.

I fail to see how I can reasonably be accused of lacking vision when I’ve correctly identified a number of variables for any successful risk assessment.

There’s no obligation to try to unfurlough workers as soon as possible - that’s simply your personal preference in the matter principally because of your political ideology. For some businesses opening up will remain not commercially viable for the foreseeable - in these cases unfurloughing staff “ASAP” as you put it would make no commercial sense and actually would leave some company officers in breach of their legal obligations in respect of foregoing Government assistance and incurring needless losses.

Great business owners and entrepreneurs know state hand outs are a great idea instead of them taking losses themselves. :)

I think you lack vision in this regard.

Sephiroth 11-05-2020 00:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36034594)
As long as you keep your distance, what is stopping you from seeing family or friends ?

You just have to be alert.

nomadking 11-05-2020 01:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034588)
There appears to be a difference in the Lobby briefing before the speech, and what was said - the BBC, Guardian, and other media outlets are reporting

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...nson-announced

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-51506729

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politi...parks-22005053

https://www.businessinsider.in/inter...w/75665136.cms



Difference between speech and briefing highlighted (by me) - again, hopefully this will be clarified tomorrow.

---------- Post added at 22:55 ---------- Previous post was at 22:39 ----------

Please help me - I’m agreeing with Piers Morgan!!

An intervention is required!

Meeting family or friends is a very different level of interaction compared to workers.:rolleyes:

denphone 11-05-2020 05:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Britain's Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme is set to be extended until the end of September, at a reduced rate of 60 percent.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-h...source=twitter

Quote:

Along with the extension, the chancellor is expected to announce that furloughed staff returning to work part time will have their wages “topped up” by the government, according to the report. Businesses are to be incentivised to gradually bring staff back to work so that social distancing rules can be observed and operations can be slowly built back up.

Russ 11-05-2020 08:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Boris proving there's no crisis he can't make worse.

Hugh 11-05-2020 09:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Raab clarified it this morning on the BBC at 08:42 - you can meet up in park if you keep 2 metres apart, and could meet one parent/child in the morning, and another in the afternoon.

Glad it’s clearer now (before it was against the guidelines to meet up with people who weren’t members of your own household).

---------- Post added at 09:23 ---------- Previous post was at 09:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36034594)
As long as you keep your distance, what is stopping you from seeing family or friends ?

It was against Government guidelines - happily, it now isn’t.

---------- Post added at 09:26 ---------- Previous post was at 09:23 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36034592)
Of the highlighted protions by you what do you deem to be the difference? BTW this time my highlighting of the sections of your highlighted post.

The difference was between the speech which did not contain the highlighted parts (which is the same information, but reported slightly differently in two different articles), and the briefing to the media, which did.

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 09:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034608)
Raab clarified it this morning on the BBC at 08:42 - you can meet up in park if you keep 2 metres apart, and could meet one parent/child in the morning, and another in the afternoon.

Glad it’s clearer now (before it was against the guidelines to meet up with people who weren’t members of your own household).

So, does that mean it's OK if my father in law were to visit our garden, If he doesn't use the house and he maintains 2m distancing from my wife and I?

To be honest, i'm struggling to see the difference between the two scenarios.

Also, in theory, i could get on my motorbike, meet a mate at let's say a fuel station and then ride up to Bamburgh on the coast sit on the beach all day whilst maintaining social distancing.

It's very flimsy

Pierre 11-05-2020 09:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034611)
So, does that mean it's OK if my father in law were to visit our garden, If he doesn't use the house and he maintains 2m distancing from my wife and I?

To be honest, i'm struggling to see the difference between the two scenarios.

Also, in theory, i could get on my motorbike, meet a mate at let's say a fuel station and then ride up to Bamburgh on the coast sit on the beach all day whilst maintaining social distancing.

It's very flimsy

I think the message should have been the Social Distancing. As long as you can keep a safe distance from everybody you can pretty much carry on as normal, or as normal can be.

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 09:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36034612)
I think the message should have been the Social Distancing. As long as you can keep a safe distance from everybody you can pretty much carry on as normal, or as normal can be.

Now the above is much clearer and makes more sense.

I wonder if last nights message was phrased the way it was, was in part to try and stop an onslaught of families getting together.

---------- Post added at 09:42 ---------- Previous post was at 09:39 ----------

Clear as mud


People in England can "meet up with other people" outside their household as long as they are outside and stay 2m apart, the government has confirmed.

Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab said people should "use some common sense" and cannot visit others at their home.

Hom3r 11-05-2020 09:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36034600)
You just have to be alert.


As the saying goes "Be alert, this country need Lerts" :D

---------- Post added at 09:57 ---------- Previous post was at 09:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034611)
So, does that mean it's OK if my father in law were to visit our garden, If he doesn't use the house and he maintains 2m distancing from my wife and I?

To be honest, i'm struggling to see the difference between the two scenarios.

Also, in theory, i could get on my motorbike, meet a mate at let's say a fuel station and then ride up to Bamburgh on the coast sit on the beach all day whilst maintaining social distancing.

It's very flimsy


You can't do that, but you can drive to a park/beach etc and stay 2 metres a part is allowed

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 10:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36034615)
As the saying goes "Be alert, this country need Lerts" :D

---------- Post added at 09:57 ---------- Previous post was at 09:51 ----------




You can't do that, but you can drive to a park/beach etc and stay 2 metres a part is allowed

So, my father could drive to a beach, my wife and i can can drive to a beach we can stay 2m apart and thats OK. BUT my father can't come to my house and go into my garden (by means of a side gate and not actually enter the house) and sit on our garden furniture 2m apart?

Where's the difference ?

nomadking 11-05-2020 10:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034617)
So, my father could drive to a beach, my wife and i can can drive to a beach we can stay 2m apart and thats OK. BUT my father can't come to my house and go into my garden (by means of a side gate and not actually enter the house) and sit on our garden furniture 2m apart?

Where's the difference ?

Because all the morons would just see "can visit another house" and see that as can go in. If it had been specified as "can see in garden if 2m apart", then there would be the inevitable constant bellyaching about those without gardens.

Quote:

A New York City lawyer known as 'patient zero' has opened up about contracting the coronavirus earlier this year.
...
His immediate family, including his wife, 20-year-old son and 14-year-old daughter all tested positive.
The neighbor who drove him to the hospital also contracted the disease.
It then emerged that his friend's family-of-five, including three children, tested positive.
Medical staff at the hospital, members of his law firm and attendees at the Temple Young Israel of New Rochelle synagogue, of which Garbuz is a member, also became confirmed as cases.

All from just one person, and then of course those others would have transmitted to yet more people, and so on.


mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 10:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034619)
Because all the morons would just see "can visit another house" and see that as can go in. If it had been specified as "can see in garden if 2m apart", then there would be the inevitable constant bellyaching about those without gardens.

All from just one person, and then of course those others would have transmitted to yet more people, and so on.


The morons are visiting regardless of guidance, so I'm not sure if your first statement holds true. What will happen now is that people will complain that they don't have cars etc to meet people at beaches/parks etc.

spiderplant 11-05-2020 10:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36034615)
You can't do that

Why not, as long as you meet outdoors at the fuel station?

Taf 11-05-2020 10:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Figures plucked out of thin air:

1 cough or sneeze at 2 metres could give you the dangerous viral load in seconds.

Talking loudly at 2 metres could give you the dangerous viral load in a few minutes.

Normal breathing at 2 metres could give you the dangerous viral load in an hour.

So stay away from people who are coughing and sneezing. Don't stay close to people in loud environments where shouting is necessary to communicate. Don't linger with people for extended periods, even if they show no symptoms.

And remember that the viral load doesn't have to come from one person. 100% from one person or 10% each from 10 people will do it.

jonbxx 11-05-2020 10:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just had an email from our office saying 'yes we watched it last night' and 'no, carry on working from home'. There's no plans to open up our offices in the near future...

nomadking 11-05-2020 10:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034620)
The morons are visiting regardless of guidance, so I'm not sure if your first statement holds true. What will happen now is that people will complain that they don't have cars etc to meet people at beaches/parks etc.

But the number of morons that are currently disregarding the restrictions is relatively small. That group is just going to get bigger and bigger.



The message should be "if you're not sure, just don't do it", not the message propagated by the media of "if you're not sure, do it anyway".

Hugh 11-05-2020 10:55

Re: Coronavirus
 
Local children’s nursery (the owner has around 10 sites) sent this out.

Quote:

Good evening,

Following the PM's announcements tonight that some people who cannot work from home will be allowed to return to work from next week, I just wanted to let all parents know that we will be continuing to restrict childcare offered to our key worker list provided by Government until we are asked to amend it.

We are hoping there will be further clarification from the Local Authorities or Government in the next couple of days, which is what has happened in the past when significant announcements have been made.

Please bear with us and be patient. As soon as we can offer childcare to all we will do so. But we cannot change policy at this stage until we are given more guidance.

We are very much looking forward to welcoming all our children and families back into nursery at the earliest we possibly can.
Then followed up with this
Quote:

The Dfe have just made this announcement -

As confirmed by the Prime Minister this evening, we are asking education and childcare settings to prepare to open for more children from 1 June.

We will publish further guidance setting out more information for early years, schools and colleges tomorrow.

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 10:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034624)
But the number of morons that are currently disregarding the restrictions is relatively small. That group is just going to get bigger and bigger.



The message should be "if you're not sure, just don't do it", not the message propagated by the media of "if you're not sure, do it anyway".

Speculation and conjecture on your first statement

On your 2nd I haven't seen the media propagating that message so can't comment

tweetiepooh 11-05-2020 11:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034517)
Takes me back to the Forces in the 70s - one of the jokes that went around at that time.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1589114404

That goes backs to Goon Shows.

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 11:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36034625)
Local children’s nursery (the owner has around 10 sites) sent this out.



Then followed up with this



How on earth do you socially distance toddlers/pre school ?

nomadking 11-05-2020 11:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034626)
Speculation and conjecture on your first statement

On your 2nd I haven't seen the media propagating that message so can't comment

Hardly speculation and conjecture when there is more than enough actual examples.


Anybody who is going around saying "if X is allowed, why not Y", is promoting the message that Y is OK. No shortage of people doing that.

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 11:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36034630)
Hardly speculation and conjecture when there is more than enough actual examples.


Anybody who is going around saying "if X is allowed, why not Y", is promoting the message that Y is OK. No shortage of people doing that.

Disagree, I believe people are trying to understand what exactly is permitted and what isn't from a very garbled message. This doesn't make them morons and it doesn't mean to say that once answers are provided that they will then break the restrictions.

Clarity was required last night, little was forthcoming.

jfman 11-05-2020 11:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034631)
Disagree, I believe people are trying to understand what exactly is permitted and what isn't from a very garbled message. This doesn't make them morons and it doesn't mean to say that once answers are provided that they will then break the restrictions.

Clarity was required last night, little was forthcoming.

While I agree the message was garbled Nomadking has a point.

Because X and Y are like for like activities doesn’t mean the Government wants everyone doing both. None of this advice eliminates risk. What it does is tries to reduce the risk by restricting the numbers and types of interactions. It’s not because Y is inherently more dangerous than X.

If we allow all like for like activities in significantly greater numbers of people are at risk.

Why can I go and meet my boss at work but not my mum at her house is doing the rounds on social media. The reality is a small number of people are returning to work gradually, as opposed to everyone going to visit their mum tonight.

The vast, vast majority of workers this morning were either key workers anyway or working from home and still doing so. The outcome of the change is negligible by comparison.

mrmistoffelees 11-05-2020 12:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36034632)
While I agree the message was garbled Nomadking has a point.

Because X and Y are like for like activities doesn’t mean the Government wants everyone doing both. None of this advice eliminates risk. What it does is tries to reduce the risk by restricting the numbers and types of interactions. It’s not because Y is inherently more dangerous than X.

If we allow all like for like activities in significantly greater numbers of people are at risk.

Why can I go and meet my boss at work but not my mum at her house is doing the rounds on social media. The reality is a small number of people are returning to work gradually, as opposed to everyone going to visit their mum tonight.

The vast, vast majority of workers this morning were either key workers anyway or working from home and still doing so. The outcome of the change is negligible by comparison.

You must of missed the reports of packed commuter trains then this morning ? and also major traffic jams on the roads in certain areas of the country?

A large amount of the population are quite possibly anxious, scared or nervous. what was needed last night was explicit clarity. It wasn't given. People are going to ask questions and quite rightly so. it doesn't make them morons.

I'm not sure how one person driving to another persons house to enter a private garden via a side entrance is a greater risk than one person from one house and another person from another house driving separately to a location such as a park or a beach ?

---------- Post added at 12:06 ---------- Previous post was at 12:02 ----------

Or, I could employ my father in law as my handyman. in which case him coming INTO the house would be perfectly acceptable providing 2m distancing is maintained.

jfman 11-05-2020 12:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36034633)
You must of missed the reports of packed commuter trains then this morning ? and also major traffic jams on the roads in certain areas of the country?

I don't think they should have eased the lockdown at all. However, this is a seperate point - and because observably trains were busy doesn't mean that the majority of the workforce are now going out to work.

Quote:

A large amount of the population are quite possibly anxious, scared or nervous. what was needed last night was explicit clarity. It wasn't given. People are going to ask questions and quite rightly so. it doesn't make them morons.
It doesn't make them morons, but some journalists are clearly acting dim and I'm not sure why.

Quote:

I'm not sure how one person driving to another persons house to enter a private garden via a side entrance is a greater risk than one person from one house and another person from another house driving separately to a location such as a park or a beach ?

---------- Post added at 12:06 ---------- Previous post was at 12:02 ----------

Or, I could employ my father in law as my handyman. in which case him coming INTO the house would be perfectly acceptable providing 2m distancing is maintained.
Each individual activity you describe here is low risk. The total number of infections resulting from a million low risk events and a hundred million low risk events varies drastically.

The Government management of the epidemic at this point doesn't care about your personal risk of infection. It cares about whether we get six thousand new infections tomorrow or seven thousand. If the R number goes up or down. That's the risk factor.

Then there's adherence to the rules. If you meet a family member at the park and it starts to rain you go home. If you meet in the garden eventually a percentage of people decide it's alright to sit in the kitchen two metres apart. Still a low risk event, but higher than being in the open air. It's a slippery slope.

The lines have to be arbitrarily drawn somewhere.

Stuart 11-05-2020 13:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36034285)
Initial independent testing by labs running jailbroken iPhones suggests that the NHS contact tracing app developers have indeed found a way round the issues many claimed would prevent the app running effectively in the background for any length of time.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-52579547

The NHS has now released the app's source code on GitHub, so further independent scrutiny can occur over the weekend.

Be interesting to see what people find. Despite the privacy concerns, If the app helps, I will happily install it.

However, the fact they tested on Jailbroken iphones makes me question the results they got. They are not testing like for like. The Jailbreak may well have altered some aspect of the way the OS handles bluetooth.

I have some knowledge of iPhone development (not extensive by any means, but I have written the odd app for my own use). As far as the testing goes, as far as I can see, they should not have needed to jailbreak the phones. Even assuming they couldn't have used android phones to actually monitor the Bluetooth communication, there are a number of devices on the market (for both legal and illegal purposes) that will monitor Bluetooth communication. They could have used one. Assuming the source code published is complete, they didn't even need to jailbreak the device to install the app. They could have compiled it from the source code using their own developer credentials, and installed it via the Apple Development systems and Apple's Testflight app (which enables developers to send a limited number of invites to enable users to install beta versions).


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