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Mick 15-11-2018 10:35

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970879)
Michael Gove, the environment secretary tipped as a possible replacement for Dominic Raab as Brexit secretary.

Not so sure - he is not on the front bench in the Commons, I would have thought if he supports the PM, he would be there. Probably sharpening those knives he used in Boris's back.

Carth 15-11-2018 10:35

Re: Brexit
 
Shuffle a deck of cards enough times and you'll eventually get dealt a good hand ;)

unless you didn't remove the jokers

Mr K 15-11-2018 10:39

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970881)
Not so sure - he is not on the front bench in the Commons, I would have thought if he supports the PM, he would be there. Probably sharpening those knives he used in Boris's back.

As I said, watch him......

Hugh 15-11-2018 10:45

Re: Brexit
 
"Strong and stable"...

jonbxx 15-11-2018 10:45

Re: Brexit
 
Oh, and Dominic Grieve, branded a hypocrite for tabling an amendment asking for a parliamentary vote is now helping the ERG types to defeat this agreement. Without the amendment in the exit bill, this agreement will now be set in stone from the UK side.

Dave42 15-11-2018 10:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35970884)
"Strong and stable"...

the most true thing she said at election was coalition of chaos she just forget to say she meant herself

ianch99 15-11-2018 10:54

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35970836)
An unwarranted sneer/smear. Olly Robbins negotiated this crud Agreement.


Sneer? Smear? Calm down ...

Raab had a job called the "Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union". The role is sort of obvious really. Anyone who is paid as the "Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union" and isn't in charge of "Exiting the European Union" is a fraud. He is in Cabinet to do a job and is responsible for his portfolio. Period ..

denphone 15-11-2018 11:04

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970881)
Not so sure - he is not on the front bench in the Commons, I would have thought if he supports the PM, he would be there. Probably sharpening those knives he used in Boris's back.

Well there is no word from Michael Gove’s team about where he is as its complete silence. Is he plotting?

ianch99 15-11-2018 11:07

Re: Brexit
 
Is it true? ;)

Elon Musk has arrived at 10 Downing Street with a submarine

Sephiroth 15-11-2018 11:28

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35970887)
Sneer? Smear? Calm down ...

Raab had a job called the "Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union". The role is sort of obvious really. Anyone who is paid as the "Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union" and isn't in charge of "Exiting the European Union" is a fraud. He is in Cabinet to do a job and is responsible for his portfolio. Period ..

I'm perfectly calm and correctly describing your remarks.

And there you go again, calling Raab a "fraud". You know very well what was going on in May's cabinet; she and Robbins steered the Brexit ship from the Engine Room. Raab was given a nominal role and title.

By all means sneer at May and Robbins.


ianch99 15-11-2018 11:34

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35970890)
I'm perfectly calm and correctly describing your remarks.

And there you go again, calling Raab a "fraud". You know very well what was going on in May's cabinet; she and Robbins steered the Brexit ship from the Engine Room. Raab was given a nominal role and title.

By all means sneer at May and Robbins.


You are blinded by your anger. Rabb was in charge by definition. If he wasn't in charge and did not resign as a consequence then he is a fraud. Simples ..

denphone 15-11-2018 11:36

Re: Brexit
 
Mark Francois, a Tory Brexiter and a member of the European Research Group says 84 Tory MPs planning to vote against May's deal.

Dave42 15-11-2018 11:38

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970892)
Mark Francois, a Tory Brexiter and a member of the European Research Group says 84 Tory MPs planning to vote against May's deal.

as I always said Den no way will it get past parliament

Beth Rigby

Verified account

@BethRigby
21m
21 minutes ago


More
Beth Rigby Retweeted Faisal Islam
Seems that confidence and supply deal with the DUP is over. May running a minority govt (for) now

denphone 15-11-2018 11:43

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35970893)
as I always said Den no way will it get past parliament

Not a chance Dave.

---------- Post added at 11:43 ---------- Previous post was at 11:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35970893)
Beth Rigby

Verified account

@BethRigby
21m
21 minutes ago


More
Beth Rigby Retweeted Faisal Islam
Seems that confidence and supply deal with the DUP is over. May running a minority govt (for) now

Will the last person to leave the cabinet please turn out the lights.

Mick 15-11-2018 11:53

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35970891)
You are blinded by your anger. Rabb was in charge by definition. If he wasn't in charge and did not resign as a consequence then he is a fraud. Simples ..

My word you do miss a lot memo's.

You need to stop this arguing with people with baseless rubbish all the time.

Pay attention - everyone knows, or should do that it was Civil servants working behind the scenes on the Brexit negotiations. Raab was just there to represent the British Government as the top minister for DeXeu.

---------- Post added at 11:53 ---------- Previous post was at 11:47 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970894)

Will the last person to leave the cabinet please turn out the lights.

That's exactly how George Osborne feels in today's edition of the Evening Standard...

https://twitter.com/George_Osborne/s...26402386235393

Revenge is a dish, best served cold.

ianch99 15-11-2018 12:04

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970896)
My word you do miss a lot memo's.

You need to stop this arguing with people with baseless rubbish all the time.

Pay attention - everyone knows, or should do that it was Civil servants working behind the scenes on the Brexit negotiations. Raab was just there to represent the British Government as the top minister for DeXeu.

---------- Post added at 11:53 ---------- Previous post was at 11:47 ----------



That's exactly how George Osborne feels in today's edition of the Evening Standard...

https://twitter.com/George_Osborne/s...26402386235393

Revenge is a dish, best served cold.

You really do need to get a grip on reality. Raab was the cabinet minister *responsible* for the United Kingdom's withdrawal from the European Union. As such, he signs off any deal. If he didn't, he's an idiot. If he did, he's a fraud. Maybe he is both ..

denphone 15-11-2018 12:05

Re: Brexit
 
This is from the BBC’s Laura Kuenssberg.

Quote:

I've just been speaking to Dominic Raab - he told the Chief Whip at end of Cabinet he was quitting, tells me the deal won't get through Parliament, and the EU have been 'blackmailing' us - interview on @bbcnews soon

And David Mundell The Scotland secretary gives us his view on Raab.

Quote:

The Scotland secretary, David Mundell, had a brutal response to Dominic Raab’s resignation, saying he though the Brexit secretary had mainly quit to further his own ambitions.

“I’m not taking lessons on standing up for our United Kingdom from carpetbaggers,” Mundell told ITV.

Gavin78 15-11-2018 12:21

Re: Brexit
 
Looking forwards to a collapsed government and a no deal brexit. Might shut these remain voters up

Damien 15-11-2018 12:25

Re: Brexit
 
Corbyn might get the election at this rate

---------- Post added at 12:25 ---------- Previous post was at 12:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35970905)
Looking forwards to a collapsed government and a no deal brexit. Might shut these remain voters up

Yes have a disaster happen will really show Remainers up

denphone 15-11-2018 12:25

Re: Brexit
 
Suggestion from Commons sources that that May will stay in the House after the statement and see Graham Brady at 1.30pm.

It seems 48 letters have been received - the threshold needed for a vote of no confidence to go ahead.

Mr K 15-11-2018 12:27

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970910)
Suggestion from Commons sources that that May will stay in the House after the statement and see Graham Brady at 1.30pm.

It seems 48 letters have been received - the threshold needed for a vote to go ahead.

maybe they are all love letters ? She's actually not bad looking. Must book that Specsavers appointment....

denphone 15-11-2018 12:28

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970881)
Not so sure - he is not on the front bench in the Commons, I would have thought if he supports the PM, he would be there. Probably sharpening those knives he used in Boris's back.

The Telegraph’s Steven Swinford claims that Michael Gove, the environment secretary, has been offered the post of Brexit secretary.

Dave42 15-11-2018 12:47

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970910)
Suggestion from Commons sources that that May will stay in the House after the statement and see Graham Brady at 1.30pm.

It seems 48 letters have been received - the threshold needed for a vote of no confidence to go ahead.

least it can shut them up for a year when they fail to oust her

denphone 15-11-2018 12:49

Re: Brexit
 
Another Conservative MP has resigned as a parliamentary private secretary (PPS) over the Brexit deal. This is from Ranil Jayawardena, who was a PPS at the Ministry of Justice.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-politics-live

ianch99 15-11-2018 12:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35970905)
Looking forwards to a collapsed government and a no deal brexit. Might shut these remain voters up

Yup, it is all their fault :) A punishment Brexit it is then ..

---------- Post added at 12:56 ---------- Previous post was at 12:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970913)
The Telegraph’s Steven Swinford claims that Michael Gove, the environment secretary, has been offered the post of Brexit secretary.

What's the point? It is only a figurehead position after all ;)

papa smurf 15-11-2018 13:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35970911)
maybe they are all love letters ? She's actually not bad looking. Must book that Specsavers appointment....

Go back you've been robbed.

denphone 15-11-2018 13:36

Re: Brexit
 
According to the Evening Standard, edited by the former Tory chancellor George Osborne, Michael Gove has turned down an offer to replace Dominic Raab as Brexit secretary.

Pierre 15-11-2018 13:52

Re: Brexit
 
Buckle up. No deal here we come.

Mr K 15-11-2018 13:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970927)
According to the Evening Standard, edited by the former Tory chancellor George Osborne, Michael Gove has turned down an offer to replace Dominic Raab as Brexit secretary.

A crafty move by TM to try and trap oily snake Gove. However he's not that daft, he'll bide his time and pounce when the time is right and most of his opponents are gonners.

---------- Post added at 13:56 ---------- Previous post was at 13:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35970930)
Buckle up. No deal here we come.

It won't happen. The deadline will be moved or a way will be found. No Govt. or the EU want no deal, no good for anyone.

papa smurf 15-11-2018 13:57

Re: Brexit
 
Just watched rees mogg interview ,no holds barred on sticking the boot into may.

Mr K 15-11-2018 13:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35970933)
Just watched rees mogg interview ,no holds barred on sticking the boot into may.

He's a softie ;)

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2018/11/9.jpg

Pierre 15-11-2018 14:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35970931)
It won't happen. The deadline will be moved or a way will be found. No Govt. or the EU want no deal, no good for anyone.

Well this deal isn’t going to happen. Labour will vote against any deal, many Tory’s will vote against anything that isn’t a hard Brexit. Liberal, SNP will vote against anything that isn’t staying in the EU.

I don’t see a way out of it.

Damien 15-11-2018 14:20

Re: Brexit
 
Who knows what’s going to happen now. Everything else is up in the air.

denphone 15-11-2018 14:31

Re: Brexit
 
BBC’s Norman Smith.

Quote:

A Tory minister tells me if Brexiteers vote down Deal -he and others will openly campaign for a second referendum and to stay in EU.

Mick 15-11-2018 14:44

Re: Brexit
 
They can join the streams of other campaigns trying for Second Referendum. They forgetting one important detail. Brexit is enshrined in to law. Going to need an act of Parliament to undo it.

ianch99 15-11-2018 14:46

Re: Brexit
 
No point is going back to Brussels it seems:

Theresa May's Brexit deal is best we can do, Brussels warns

Quote:

EU officials have warned those calling for Theresa May to go back to Brussels that the negotiators have “exhausted the margin of manoeuvre” in the talks and the draft deal is “the best we can do”.

As members of the cabinet and other ministers were handing in their resignation letters to the prime minister, the EU was trying to sell the deal to critics in London and member states who have expressed concerns.

One official said the negotiators had “exhausted the margin of manoeuvre”, adding that the political masters on both sides should reflect on the worth of having more talks and what it would do to the process with so little time before the UK leaves the bloc.

“[As] negotiators, we are happy to stand over the agreement, and we think it is the best we can do collectively with the constraints that we have on both sides,” the official said.

OLD BOY 15-11-2018 14:54

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35970938)
Well this deal isn’t going to happen. Labour will vote against any deal, many Tory’s will vote against anything that isn’t a hard Brexit. Liberal, SNP will vote against anything that isn’t staying in the EU.

I don’t see a way out of it.

Of course, in return for SNP votes, she could tie Scotland into the same arrangements as NI for a more intimate EU relationship in the Withdrawal Agreement.

What is there for her to lose?

denphone 15-11-2018 15:32

Re: Brexit
 
The Telegraph’s Steven Swinford says Michael Gove, the environment secretary, is telling Theresa May that he will only take the Brexit secretary job if he can renegotiate the deal.

Gavin78 15-11-2018 15:38

Re: Brexit
 
Who thinks there will be a general election coming soon?

Mick 15-11-2018 15:41

Re: Brexit
 
Hearing on the wire that Theresa May to give Press Conference at 5PM outside Downing Street.

denphone 15-11-2018 15:42

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970954)
Hearing on the wire that Theresa May to give Press Conference at 5PM outside Downing Street.

To discuss the deal l think.

Mick 15-11-2018 15:48

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970955)
To discuss the deal l think.

That happened yesterday and today in the Commons. This is something more ominous.

papa smurf 15-11-2018 15:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970956)
That happened yesterday and today in the Commons. This is something more ominous.

Probably going to say she will fight leadership challenge .

denphone 15-11-2018 16:00

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35970956)
That happened yesterday and today in the Commons. This is something more ominous.

Guido Fawkes’ Tom Harwood reports.

Quote:

May had been planning to give a press conference yesterday to discuss the deal, and so this is not unexpected. It does not (necessarily) mean that May is planning some shock announcement.

Mr K 15-11-2018 16:41

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35970952)
The Telegraph’s Steven Swinford says Michael Gove, the environment secretary, is telling Theresa May that he will only take the Brexit secretary job if he can renegotiate the deal.

He'd be best positioned to do that if he was PM ;) Watch the oily snake climb the ladder....

denphone 15-11-2018 16:42

Re: Brexit
 
YouGov has released some polling on Theresa May’s Brexit deal. The details are here.

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...ck-brexit-deal

Sky Data polling as well just released.

https://interactive.news.sky.com/BREXIT1_151118.pdf

Hugh 15-11-2018 16:52

Re: Brexit
 
Saw this in the NewsThump site (humour/satire)

Quote:

Britain’s Brexiter community is all upset this morning after the magic pony they were told they’d get failed to materialise.

Outraged at news that a whole bunch of bull which they’d been told didn’t exist turned out not to exist, leading Brexiters have turned to the time-honoured pursuit of blaming absolutely everyone but themselves for the consequences of their own actions.

“When I voted for a pony with no plan whatsoever of how I’d get it, and then everyone whose idea it was promptly quit when they won, I naturally expected that free ponies would be lining up around the block for me to take my pick,” said outraged whiney Internet troll Simon Williams.

“I’m furious at this betrayal. It’s like the time I sat under a tree and voted for no apples to fall on my head. The subsequent behaviour of the apples was clearly undemocratic.

“Clearly the people who are to blame for this horrendous situation are absolutely everyone but the people who actually voted for it to happen. Seventeen million of us voted for a pony, so we demand the pony we voted for.

However, fellow Brexiter Jason Matthews, said, “Pony? No, that’s wrong. I voted for a unicorn and I won’t settle for anything less than a unicorn.”

Matthews and Williams then got into a heated debate over which of them actually spoke for all Brexiters, with each of them insisting that everyone who voted Leave only did so for a pony/unicorn (delete as appropriate).

When asked, Remainers said, “You won, get over it.”
Other humour/satire sites are available...

nomadking 15-11-2018 16:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35970930)
Buckle up. No deal here we come.

This "agreement" has nothing to do with "deal or no deal". That "phase" comes afterwards, IF the EU allows it.

---------- Post added at 16:58 ---------- Previous post was at 16:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35970950)
Of course, in return for SNP votes, she could tie Scotland into the same arrangements as NI for a more intimate EU relationship in the Withdrawal Agreement.

What is there for her to lose?

Then whatever issues the EU is supposed to have with a non-border between NI and Ireland, would also exist in a non-border between Scotland and England.

---------- Post added at 16:59 ---------- Previous post was at 16:58 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35970946)
No point is going back to Brussels it seems:

Theresa May's Brexit deal is best we can do, Brussels warns

It is NOT a deal of any sort, only interim arrangements.
Quote:

Subject: Draft Agreement on the withdrawal of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Community, as agreed at negotiators' level on 14 November 2018.

denphone 15-11-2018 16:59

Re: Brexit
 
Tim Shipman the Sunday Times Political Editor says senior people in government still expecting Penny Mordaunt to resign today.

jonbxx 15-11-2018 16:59

Re: Brexit
 
Proper history happening today folks - essays and theses will be written about this in years to come...

Angua 15-11-2018 17:26

Re: Brexit
 
If nothing else, this deal has managed to get remainers and leavers on the same side.

Mick 15-11-2018 18:06

Re: Brexit
 
Sam Coates from Times just said a Souce just claimed No. 10 expecting Gove to resign tonight.

Also just now Penny Mordaunt just arrived in Number 10.

heero_yuy 15-11-2018 18:23

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Quote from Mick:

Sam Coates from Times just said a Source just claimed No. 10 expecting Gove to resign tonight.

Also just now Penny Mordaunt just arrived in Number 10.
Never rains but it pours. :D

Carth 15-11-2018 18:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35970978)
Never rains but it pours. :D

has anyone been seen singing in the rain? :D

OLD BOY 15-11-2018 18:40

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35970953)
Who thinks there will be a general election coming soon?

Not me. A new PM at most - the Conservatives do not want to call an election at this volatile time.

heero_yuy 15-11-2018 18:47

Re: Brexit
 
No way there'll be a GE or another referendum. The EU say no renegotiation of May's doomed plan so it's proper Brexit. Which is what the people voted for. For better or worse.

OLD BOY 15-11-2018 18:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35970982)
No way there'll be a GE or another referendum. The EU say no renegotiation of May's doomed plan so it's proper Brexit. Which is what the people voted for. For better or worse.

They reckon that there is not sufficient support in the Commons for a no-deal Brexit. They also reckon that there is no support for the best deal we can get from Brussels.

So it seems to me that if both are voted down, we have no agreement in the Commons for either Brexit we can get. So all TM has to do is sit back and do nothing more on this. We will drop out of the EU automatically on 29 March, so we will be in a no-deal Brexit.

So if that is the actual choice that is put to Parliament, MPs will have to vote for the deal, or we are out without one. It really is as simple as that. It has been made clear to us by the EU negotiators that this is as far as they are prepared to go.

1andrew1 15-11-2018 19:28

Re: Brexit
 
Sky Data Survey

In terms of who they would prefer to lead the country through Brexit:
Theresa May - 31%
Jeremy Corbyn - 25%
Jacob Rees-Mogg - 18%
Boris Johnson - 17%
Dominic Raab - 10%

In terms of where they now stand on Brexit:
54% would prefer to remain in the EU
32% would prefer to leave the EU without a deal
14% would prefer a Brexit on the terms negotiated by the government.

Regarding a referendum on these three options:
55% - support a referendum
35% - oppose a referendum
10% - don't know

Sky Data interviewed a nationally representative sample of 1,488 Sky customers via SMS on 15 November 2018. Data are weighted to the profile of the population.
https://news.sky.com/story/majority-...-poll-11555078

Hom3r 15-11-2018 19:36

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35970987)
Sky Data Survey

In terms of who they would prefer to lead the country through Brexit:
Theresa May - 31%
Jeremy Corbyn - 25%
Jacob Rees-Mogg - 18%
Boris Johnson - 17%
Dominic Raab - 10%

In terms of where they now stand on Brexit:
54% would prefer to remain in the EU
32% would prefer to leave the EU without a deal
14% would prefer a Brexit on the terms negotiated by the government.

Regarding a referendum on these three options:
55% - support a referendum
35% - oppose a referendum
10% - don't know

Sky Data interviewed a nationally representative sample of 1,488 Sky customers via SMS on 15 November 2018. Data are weighted to the profile of the population.
https://news.sky.com/story/majority-...-poll-11555078

I can prove anything with these stats, but the truth.

1,488 sky customers, bear in mind about 65,000,000 live in the UK so those stats are crap.

As TM there will NOT be a 2nd referendum.

1andrew1 15-11-2018 20:01

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35970989)
I can prove anything with these stats, but the truth.

1,488 sky customers, bear in mind about 65,000,000 live in the UK so those stats are crap.

Great to have someone from Sky Data services hopping on this forum to bring their insights to the forum. Thank you. ;)

Hugh 15-11-2018 20:21

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35970991)
Great to have someone from Sky Data services hopping on this forum to bring their insights to the forum. Thank you. ;)

From your link
Quote:

Sky Data interviewed a nationally representative sample of 1,488 Sky customers via SMS on 15 November 2018. Data are weighted to the profile of the population.

Pierre 15-11-2018 20:32

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35970984)
So all TM has to do is sit back and do nothing more on this. We will drop out of the EU automatically on 29 March, so we will be in a no-deal Brexit.

So if that is the actual choice that is put to Parliament, MPs will have to vote for the deal, or we are out without one. It really is as simple as that. It has been made clear to us by the EU negotiators that this is as far as they are prepared to go.

This is the bottom line, there is no third way.

It’s either this deal, or no deal. I’m not sure what people expected.......

---------- Post added at 20:32 ---------- Previous post was at 20:26 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35970991)
Great to have someone from Sky Data services hopping on this forum to bring their insights to the forum. Thank you. ;)

1488 is approx 0.0032% of those that voted in the referendum. I don’t care how it was weighted, it is not representative.

ianch99 15-11-2018 20:41

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35970995)
This is the bottom line, there is no third way.

It’s either this deal, or no deal. I’m not sure what people expected

They expected neither so don't forget option d :)

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-46228454

Gavin78 15-11-2018 20:53

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35970987)
Sky Data Survey

In terms of who they would prefer to lead the country through Brexit:
Theresa May - 31%
Jeremy Corbyn - 25%
Jacob Rees-Mogg - 18%
Boris Johnson - 17%
Dominic Raab - 10%

In terms of where they now stand on Brexit:
54% would prefer to remain in the EU
32% would prefer to leave the EU without a deal
14% would prefer a Brexit on the terms negotiated by the government.

Regarding a referendum on these three options:
55% - support a referendum
35% - oppose a referendum
10% - don't know

Sky Data interviewed a nationally representative sample of 1,488 Sky customers via SMS on 15 November 2018. Data are weighted to the profile of the population.
https://news.sky.com/story/majority-...-poll-11555078

I'm sure you live in hope that it will all go tits up and we will be once again one big happy family in the EU.

It's too late for that now we can't go back on the same terms we left on. I see no deal as the only option to stop us from getting shafted

1andrew1 15-11-2018 21:15

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35971000)
I'm sure you live in hope that it will all go tits up and we will be once again one big happy family in the EU.

It's too late for that now we can't go back on the same terms we left on. I see no deal as the only option to stop us from getting shafted

I'm just reporting a news story. I felt the leader question more important than the others so I put that first. But don't let that stop you drawing hasty conclusions.
I actually think May's plan will happen. There's no united hard leave side, just a bunch of ego-heavy personalities without a plan.

Mr K 15-11-2018 21:23

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35971000)
I'm sure you live in hope that it will all go tits up and we will be once again one big happy family in the EU.

It's too late for that now we can't go back on the same terms we left on. I see no deal as the only option to stop us from getting shafted

So what you're saying is, we shouldn't have voted to leave because we'll be in a worse position than now ??

Its taken time, but the penny has dropped for Brexiters.

Pierre 15-11-2018 21:39

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35971002)
I actually think May's plan will happen. There's no united hard leave side, just a bunch of ego-heavy personalities without a plan.

I’m not sure she’s got the numbers.

Labour have said they’ll vote against anything the Tory’s come back with, and KS confirmed yesterday, and the majority will vote with the whip.

SNP will be against.

LibDems will be against

At least 80+ Tory’s will be against.

DUP will be against and other N.I MPs probably will be.

1 green will be against

Unless Labour go with it, it ain’t going to happen..................

---------- Post added at 21:39 ---------- Previous post was at 21:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971004)
So what you're saying is, we shouldn't have voted to leave because we'll be in a worse position than now ??

That’s quite obviously what he’s not saying.

Quote:

Its taken time, but the penny has dropped for Brexiters.
Mod Edit - abusive comment removed

Hugh 15-11-2018 21:58

Re: Brexit
 
Anyone posting personal abuse will be infracted - do not repeat this behaviour.

Pierre 15-11-2018 22:01

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35971009)
Anyone posting personal abuse will be infracted - do not repeat this behaviour.

Doesn’t make me wrong.

Seriously, I apologise. However, it was an inflammatory statement designed to provoke a response. I didn’t want to disappoint.

Gavin78 15-11-2018 22:16

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971004)
So what you're saying is, we shouldn't have voted to leave because we'll be in a worse position than now ??

Its taken time, but the penny has dropped for Brexiters.


Penny dropped? you are kidding right? we need to leave without a deal, make free trade around the world. Tell the EU to stuff the 40bn we owe them and only make concessions to pay that back when they can offer a reasonable trade deal.

We are the first country to ever leave the block and like any divorce there has to be a settlement on both sides. The EU were happy to demand payments we owe for future commitments but not so quick to return on investments we have contributed to over the years of our membership.

When people voted to have a trade deal with the EU first time around there wasn't a referendum offered when the EU wanted to expand on what they are now. Nobody was given a choice and asked if that is what they wanted, Cameron as stupid as he was thought he had it all in one bag when he offered a referendum clearly those that advise him didn't see how upset the public were.

Mick 15-11-2018 23:14

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971004)

Its taken time, but the penny has dropped for Brexiters.

Stop posting provocative rubbish - Last warning!!!

1andrew1 15-11-2018 23:41

Re: Brexit
 
That's probably an inept phrase but I think a lot of Leavers were sold an impossible dream. Many tried to explain this to them but were understandably not believed at the time. So, I can understand many having buyer's remorse. This guy here has got it particularly badly. https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presente...es-for-brexit/

Mick 16-11-2018 01:09

Re: Brexit
 
<-- Well this guy hasn't and still wants to leave the EU. It can be done and it's not impossible, I don't care what you Remainers say. It should be a Brexiteer leading the country not a weak Remainer.

nomadking 16-11-2018 02:46

Re: Brexit
 
This agreement is not a proposed deal in any sense of the word. It is not a case of "agree to this" and everything is done and dusted. Any possible deal has yet to be specified.

OLD BOY 16-11-2018 07:38

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35971025)
This agreement is not a proposed deal in any sense of the word. It is not a case of "agree to this" and everything is done and dusted. Any possible deal has yet to be specified.

Well, the deal has been negotiated over two years and this is as close as we can get to an agreement. It's the only deal in town, so we need to accept it or reject it. No other options are available.

If the opposition parties all vote against the deal, then we will leave without a deal.

That is a fact, and if the opposition does vote the agreement down, the electorate will never forgive them when they see the short term disruption after March next year, which they will come to realise could be avoided. At that point, Theresa May will be hailed as the only politician who appeared to know what she was doing.

Very few like the deal because it doesn't do everything we want. We could have taken a harder line, as David Davis was doing, but his stance was not working and the EU were not budging. He might have been right, the EU might have had to give way in the end, but TM determined that we could not risk the consequences of getting too close to the wire.

My main concern with this agreement, which is only about our 21 month transition, by the way, is the issue of the customs union. I and many others will want to be assured that there is no way we will be tied into this forever because this will mean we cannot do our own trade deals.

nomadking 16-11-2018 07:51

Re: Brexit
 
If this is the final deal, then how come all it seems to mention is allowing freedom of movement, special arrangements for NI, having to follow EU rules, and the UK having to obey the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU)?

Quote:

The European Commission and the United Kingdom's negotiators have reached an agreement on the entirety of the Withdrawal Agreement of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland from the European Union and the European Atomic Energy Community, as provided for under Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union.
The Withdrawal Agreement establishes the terms of the UK's withdrawal from the EU. It ensures that the withdrawal will happen in an orderly manner, and offers legal certainty once the Treaties and EU law will cease to apply to the UK.

1andrew1 16-11-2018 08:41

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35971024)
<-- Well this guy hasn't and still wants to leave the EU. It can be done and it's not impossible, I don't care what you Remainers say. It should be a Brexiteer leading the country not a weak Remainer.

No one's saying it's impossible to leave, just that what was promised could never match reality.I too would have preferred a Brexiter sorting out the situation they advocated but we did have a couple of Brexit secretaries one of whom resigned over the deal he helped negotiate, lol. Maybe a Leave Prime Minister would have resigned over a deal they helped negotiate too.;)

Mr K 16-11-2018 08:48

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35971028)
If this is the final deal, then how come all it seems to mention is allowing freedom of movement, special arrangements for NI, having to follow EU rules, and the UK having to obey the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU)?

Because its a rubbish deal, signed in a panic because of the stupid deadline we set ourselves. However its the best we're going to get now. As i've said all along the EU hold all the cards, our position is weak hence the deal we've got.

I'm beginning to think May might get this through if she paints the alternative as an apocalypse 'no deal' or Corbyn Govt. MPs always will vote for themselves first, country second. Slowly but surely they'll come onside and there might be a rebellion in the Labour ranks which might be enough.

denphone 16-11-2018 09:08

Re: Brexit
 
Jonathan Isaby, editor of BrexitCentral.

Quote:

Unconfirmed and from a single (always previously reliable) source - but hearing that the 48 letters are in and Downing Street are preparing for a no confidence motion in Theresa May as Conservative leader

Maggy 16-11-2018 09:16

Re: Brexit
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-46228454

Quote:

EU leaders have dismissed talk of renegotiating the draft Brexit deal and warned the UK's political situation could make a "no-deal" more likely.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel said there was "no question" of reopening talks as a document was "on the table".

Meanwhile French PM Edouard Philippe said there was a need to prepare for a no-deal because of UK "uncertainty".

Mr K 16-11-2018 09:27

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35971040)

tbh they would say that. We're on the run and they have us by the short and preverbials.....

So to sum up, we've managed to negotiate virtually the status quo for an absurd amount of money, and made sure we have little say on how its spent in future. Isn't Brexit fantastic? We've really taken back control... :rolleyes:

Mick 16-11-2018 09:36

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971041)
tbh they would say that. We're on the run and they have us by the short and preverbials.....

So to sum up, we've managed to negotiate virtually the status quo for an absurd amount of money, and made sure we have little say on how its spent in future. Isn't Brexit fantastic? We've really taken back control... :rolleyes:

It's not a proper Brexit though is it? :rolleyes:

It's weak negotiating skills from Remainer civil servants in Downing Street.

OLD BOY 16-11-2018 09:49

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971004)
So what you're saying is, we shouldn't have voted to leave because we'll be in a worse position than now ??

Its taken time, but the penny has dropped for Brexiters.

No, he's saying that this is what TM's deal will result in and therefore we would be wise to go for no deal.

I am more sanguine than this, and although a no deal I am happy to live with, I do acknowledge that the deal on the table will be better for industry, which is important.

I worry about that backstop, but other than that, the withdrawal agreement is a step in the right direction towards full sovereignty.

---------- Post added at 09:42 ---------- Previous post was at 09:39 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35971021)
That's probably an inept phrase but I think a lot of Leavers were sold an impossible dream. Many tried to explain this to them but were understandably not believed at the time. So, I can understand many having buyer's remorse. This guy here has got it particularly badly. https://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presente...es-for-brexit/

Impossible dream? Come on, Andrew, a no deal is what many Brexiteers want and of course that is possible. However, the withdrawal agreement is more pragmatic. Many, however, don't want to wait to get everything in two years.

---------- Post added at 09:49 ---------- Previous post was at 09:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971041)
tbh they would say that. We're on the run and they have us by the short and preverbials.....

So to sum up, we've managed to negotiate virtually the status quo for an absurd amount of money, and made sure we have little say on how its spent in future. Isn't Brexit fantastic? We've really taken back control... :rolleyes:

Nonsense, Mr K. How is it 'virtually the status quo'?

This is the withdrawal agreement, not the trade deal, and is designed to last 21 months. During that period, we get back control of immigration policy, agricultural and fisheries policies and everything in that list that TM read out yesterday. The rest comes later.

All this is taking a long time, which Brexiteers are annoyed about, but there is no practical alternative in honouring the referendum than this, except the hard Brexit, which will never be accepted by Parliament.

Dave42 16-11-2018 09:51

Re: Brexit
 
Micheal Gove is staying lbc reporting

OLD BOY 16-11-2018 09:54

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35971043)
It's not a proper Brexit though is it? :rolleyes:

It's weak negotiating skills from Remainer civil servants in Downing Street.

The next two years is just a transition period, of course.

Mr K 16-11-2018 09:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35971047)
Micheal Gove is staying

Ah, the oily snake twist again. He'll have been calculating his best chance of grabbing power when May falls.

---------- Post added at 09:56 ---------- Previous post was at 09:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35971048)
The next two years is just a transition period, of course.

Of course it is OB ;)

denphone 16-11-2018 09:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35971047)
Micheal Gove is staying lbc reporting

Laura Kuenssberg.

Quote:

Gove is NOT resigning - source close to him says ‘Michael is staying at Defra. He thinks it is important to continue working with Cabinet colleagues to ensure the best outcome for the country’

Mr K 16-11-2018 10:01

Re: Brexit
 
Bet he persuaded his colleagues.to resign :D

Damien 16-11-2018 10:20

Re: Brexit
 
Maybe he appreciates he has a serious job to do?

Mr K 16-11-2018 10:24

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35971059)
Maybe he appreciates he has a serious job to do?

Don't be silly he works for DEFRA.

Maggy 16-11-2018 10:25

Re: Brexit
 
I knew he wouldn't resign..

OLD BOY 16-11-2018 10:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35971060)
Don't be silly he works for DEFRA.

You must be a townie...:D

Sephiroth 16-11-2018 10:37

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35971044)
No, he's saying that this is what TM's deal will result in and therefore we would be wise to go for no deal.

I am more sanguine than this, and although a no deal I am happy to live with, I do acknowledge that the deal on the table will be better for industry, which is important.

I worry about that backstop, but other than that, the withdrawal agreement is a step in the right direction towards full sovereignty. [SEPH]: That's almost an oxymoron, OB. I say "almost" because you're worried about the backstop, which ties us into that perfidious lot for as long as THEY want. Another thing or two that pretty much seals the perpetual loss of full sovereignty can be found in the Political Declaration:

1. UK commitment to the ECHR;

2. Level Playing field on state aid, competition, social & employment standards;

3. Scale and scope of future arrangements reflecting …. enforcement including the role of the Court of Justice of the European Union.



<SNIP>


denphone 16-11-2018 10:41

Re: Brexit
 
This is from the Sunday Times’ Tim Shipman.

Quote:

BREAKING: Gove, Fox, Grayling, Mordaunt and Leadsom have agreed collectively to stay and will work together “to get this in a better place” says a vg source. “Resigning and joining a rebellion is not going to help anything

jonbxx 16-11-2018 10:50

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35971067)
[SEPH]: That's almost an oxymoron, OB. I say "almost" because you're worried about the backstop, which ties us into that perfidious lot for as long as THEY want. Another thing or two that pretty much seals the perpetual loss of full sovereignty can be found in the Political Declaration:

1. UK commitment to the ECHR;

2. Level Playing field on state aid, competition, social & employment standards;

3. Scale and scope of future arrangements reflecting …. enforcement including the role of the Court of Justice of the European Union.

What's wrong with the ECHR? Nothing to do with the EU (though you have to be a member to join the EU) and is specifically mentioned in the Good Friday Agreement. We have been a member since 1949 and are one of the founding members.

Mr K 16-11-2018 11:46

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35971069)
What's wrong with the ECHR? Nothing to do with the EU (though you have to be a member to join the EU) and is specifically mentioned in the Good Friday Agreement. We have been a member since 1949 and are one of the founding members.

It's got the world 'European' in it which makes some see red for some reason.

Sephiroth 16-11-2018 13:21

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35971069)
What's wrong with the ECHR? Nothing to do with the EU (though you have to be a member to join the EU) and is specifically mentioned in the Good Friday Agreement. We have been a member since 1949 and are one of the founding members.

Deportation of criminals on human rights grounds come to mind.

https://www.theguardian.com/law/2013...t-human-rights

You’ve unsurprisingly selected #1 from my list leaving us to assume that you can’t quarrel with my position on #2 #3.



jonbxx 16-11-2018 15:36

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35971076)
Deportation of criminals on human rights grounds come to mind.

https://www.theguardian.com/law/2013...t-human-rights

You’ve unsurprisingly selected #1 from my list leaving us to assume that you can’t quarrel with my position on #2 #3.



I picked the ECHR as this is a good example of where nations cede sovereignty through international agreements outside of the EU. We have agreed for example to not allow trade in endangered species (CITES), not develop chemical weapons (CWC) or endanger the ozone layer (Montreal Protocol) Not mentioning the other points does not imply agreement with your points but I understand you position on the EU even though we disagree.

I guess from the link you posted, you were talking about the case of Abu Qatada whose extradition was blocked on the grounds of Article 3 (torture) and Article 6 (fair trial) He was subsequently deported to Jordan after Jordan signed an agreement to not use evidence gained through torture against him.

There is an inherent nature of human rights agreements such as ECHR or the United Nations Universal Declaration of Human Rights that they apply to all humans by their very nature without prejudice. To state human rights apply to some but not others suggest that some are human and not others.

Dave42 16-11-2018 16:11

Re: Brexit
 
Sky News

Verified account

@SkyNews
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33 seconds ago


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"Amber Rudd is going back into cabinet" - @AmberRuddHR MP has been appointed work and pensions secretary, according to Sky sources.

Pierre 16-11-2018 16:31

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35971086)
I picked the ECHR as this is a good example of where nations cede sovereignty through international agreements outside of the EU.

Cede sovereignty is probably going a bit far with that example. We signed up to adhere to the convention and any rulings are over seen by the court for it.

The EHCR does not propose or impose law. But I take your point.

Another interesting example is OSPAR, another entity we will still be party to after Brexit.

They do propose propose decisions that member states may be expected to enact into law.

Most of the lauded environmental law that the Greens and so forth lay at the EU door, is in fact from OSPAR and not the EU. Another myth dispelled.


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