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Carth 19-06-2018 12:40

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951107)
Let me ask you this: if Parliament, the sovereign entity so much part of the Leave campaign, decides that the deal brought back from Brussels by the Executive, is not in the best interests of the country does it have the right to intervene?

Intervene in what way? By saying 'game over we're staying in'?

Hugh 19-06-2018 16:45

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951087)
What some people seem to be forgetting is that they are referring to “parliamentary democracy” AFTER we have left the EU. The Remainers are currently abusing parliamentary democracy by trying to stymie the real piece of democracy - the Referendum.

That's not how Parliamentary Democracy works....

The Referendum said we should leave, and we should all accept that - the Parliamentary Democracy bit is that it shouldn't be a deal that beggars the country, or splits up the United Kingdom; under Parliamentary Democracy, the Government of the Day answers to the House of Commons - Parliament controls the executive by passing or rejecting its Bills and by forcing Ministers of the Crown to answer for their actions.

ianch99 19-06-2018 17:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35951108)
Intervene in what way? By saying 'game over we're staying in'?

Intervene as in how the word is defined:

Quote:

take part in something so as to prevent or alter a result or course of events.
You elect Parliament to govern the country. You give them your authority to make decisions on your behalf. That is sort of how this stuff works. If you do not allow Parliament to validate and assess any outcome of the process the Referendum started then we do not have what the Leavers were so passionate about i.e. a sovereign Parliament able to decide and enact UK law.

Sort of ironic isn't it?

jonbxx 19-06-2018 17:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
There is something to be said for the Swiss 'direct democracy' way of doing things. Referenda can be called by the people if there's enough support to block new laws and/or change the constitution.

Four referenda a year must be exhausting though!

Gavin78 19-06-2018 23:17

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951068)
Lol, I'm talking about those economic forecasters who have been consistently accurate, not some political forecaster who hasn't.

---------- Post added at 03:02 ---------- Previous post was at 03:01 ----------


Can you expand a bit more on this? Why do you think this?


Don't the Gov get the last say on Brexit considering all the in fighting at the moment and facing the fact the EU is messing us about at the min we arent that long away now from actually leaving and don't appear to have got much from all the talks so far. unless there is a lot we don't know about yet that hasn't been given out to the general public

1andrew1 20-06-2018 01:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35951083)
Which can lead to over 16 million people sulking and chucking their dummies out of the pram , but their all over that now aren't they ?;)

The additional 1.4m of their number are unfortunately still doing just that, fearful that Brexit will never happen.

---------- Post added 20-06-2018 at 00:02 ---------- Previous post was 19-06-2018 at 23:59 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35951166)
Don't the Gov get the last say on Brexit considering all the in fighting at the moment and facing the fact the EU is messing us about at the min we arent that long away now from actually leaving and don't appear to have got much from all the talks so far. unless there is a lot we don't know about yet that hasn't been given out to the general public

I think you're right to point out that the talks aren't making much progress of late, particularly on the evidence of today's news.
Quote:

EU leaders will sound the alarm on the lack of progress in Brexit talks and pledge to step-up contingency plans for the UK crashing out with ‘no deal’, according to documents leaked to The Independent.
The 27 remaining EU presidents and prime ministers will meet in private without Theresa May at next week’s European Council summit in Brussels to discuss progress in negotiations.
But a draft of the Council’s conclusions show national leaders are planning to express their “concern that no substantial progress has yet been achieved on agreeing a backstop solution for Ireland/Northern Ireland”.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a8406511.html

Carth 20-06-2018 03:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I guess the reason we're not progressing much is because the EU don't want us to.
Maybe if they conceded a little here and there things would progress faster?

But that's not really in their agenda is it, they want the cake, plate and all the crumbs from underneath the table too :rolleyes:

jonbxx 20-06-2018 10:26

Re: Brexit discussion
 
On the subject of progress, an update was published Yesterday. Here is the statement from the Government - https://www.gov.uk/government/news/d...-19-march-2018 Here is the statement from the European Commission - http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-18-4217_en.htm and here is the joint statement on progress - https://assets.publishing.service.go..._June_2018.pdf

Pretty dense reading!

Hugh 20-06-2018 11:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35951186)
I guess the reason we're not progressing much is because the EU don't want us to.
Maybe if they conceded a little here and there things would progress faster?

But that's not really in their agenda is it, they want the cake, plate and all the crumbs from underneath the table too :rolleyes:

Oh, the irony..... :D

Carth 20-06-2018 12:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35951212)
Oh, the irony..... :D

well I guess that all depends where you're looking, and where from ;)

My personal opinion is the EU are doing all they can to keep their claws in the UK, that's probably a biased view though, as I didn't - and still don't - want any part of it :D

1andrew1 20-06-2018 12:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35951212)
Oh, the irony..... :D

Comedy gold. :D

ianch99 20-06-2018 17:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Latest development in the Commons:

Brexit: Theresa May wins 'meaningful vote' battle

Quote:

Ministers agreed the Speaker would be able to decide if MPs had the power to amend a motion on what to do if there is no agreement the EU
Curious outcome ...

jonbxx 20-06-2018 19:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Anyone Fancy a job?

Quote:

Head of Aviation EU Exit Negotiations
Leading on the overall negotiating position on aviation for the Government, your duties will include:
• establishing, leading and managing the core aviation negotiating team, and ensuring its close coordination with existing policy and legislation teams
• overseeing negotiations with the EU on the future of our aviation safety and airspace relationships
• contributing to the formulation and implementation of the UK’s future aviation strategy and development of related legislation and policies

Prior knowledge of airspace and the aviation sector is an advantage but not necessary.
Linky

Note part of the role is establishing a negotiating team. Only 9 months to go, no pressure then...

papa smurf 20-06-2018 20:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951258)
Latest development in the Commons:

Brexit: Theresa May wins 'meaningful vote' battle



Curious outcome ...

Yes democracy is a bit of a bugger when it doesn't go ones way .

ianch99 20-06-2018 23:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35951296)
Yes democracy is a bit of a bugger when it doesn't go ones way .

Ah, getting nervous that Parliament might have a say in the future of the country? Wrong sort of democracy isn't it?

---------- Post added at 22:14 ---------- Previous post was at 22:13 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951283)
Anyone Fancy a job?



Linky

Note part of the role is establishing a negotiating team. Only 9 months to go, no pressure then...

Love the part where "knowledge of airspace and the aviation sector is an advantage but not necessary" :) No need for an expert then ...

Carth 20-06-2018 23:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951317)
Love the part where "knowledge of airspace and the aviation sector is an advantage but not necessary" :) No need for an expert then ...

Well wording it like that gives them the safe option of putting a puppet in place doesn't it. Giving the job to an 'expert' may lead to things they don't necessarily want ;)

Just my opinion of course, there's nothing underhand or corrupt about anything concerning politics :p: :D

jonbxx 21-06-2018 10:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951317)
Love the part where "knowledge of airspace and the aviation sector is an advantage but not necessary" :) No need for an expert then ...

It's alright, our transport secretary will have things covered ;)

Saw the salary range BTW; £62,519 - £70,859. Really going to attract the cream of the crop there...

papa smurf 21-06-2018 10:10

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951317)
Ah, getting nervous that Parliament might have a say in the future of the country? Wrong sort of democracy isn't it?

I'm not nervous about anything to do with parliamentary democracy .

OLD BOY 21-06-2018 10:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951317)
Ah, getting nervous that Parliament might have a say in the future of the country? Wrong sort of democracy isn't it?

Parliament should be carrying out the will of the electorate, given the result of the referendum. Parliament does not exist to actually thwart the will of the people!

arcimedes 21-06-2018 10:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951344)
Parliament should be carrying out the will of the electorate, given the result of the referendum. Parliament does not exist to actually thwart the will of the people!

Does rather depend on what the will of the people means. Logically we should include those who were too young to vote in the referendum. But I am sure that all the brexiteers would call foul.

ianch99 21-06-2018 11:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951344)
Parliament should be carrying out the will of the electorate, given the result of the referendum. Parliament does not exist to actually thwart the will of the people!

No quite. Parliament is there to govern the country on half of the electorate. If they determine that the deal returned from Brussels is not in the best interests of the country then they have a duty to intervene.

This does come down to just dogma for some people: "I must Leave irrespective of the cost to me personally, my family, the people who did not want this and the country. The detail is secondary to the principle. I must Leave at all costs"

Sad times ..

TheDaddy 21-06-2018 11:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35950172)
It's not the only option, no deal at all is better than that, they'll like that option only slightly less than us plus on the upside we'll be able to become a fully fledged tax haven on the coast of Europe rather than simply masquerading as one like we do currently, they can also stick their much vaunted fair and level playing field where the sun doesn't shine to then as well

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35950173)
You're forgetting we signed the indefinite back stop agreement and wish it to apply to the whole of the UK.

No deal back on the table where it needed to be, was crazy to have removed your biggest threat

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951344)
Parliament should be carrying out the will of the electorate, given the result of the referendum. Parliament does not exist to actually thwart the will of the people!

Thwart, hearing that word makes me think we are back in the 1930's, which I imagine isn't far of the time a lot of brextremists would like to be in anyway

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951349)
No quite. Parliament is there to govern the country on half of the electorate. If they determine that the deal returned from Brussels is not in the best interests of the country then they have a duty to intervene.

This does come down to just dogma for some people: "I must Leave irrespective of the cost to me personally, my family, the people who did not want this and the country. The detail is secondary to the principle. I must Leave at all costs"

Sad times ..

Wonder how keen people will be if it's effects actually start to noticeably hit them, I'd be quite keen to know what people will be prepared to sacrifice to leave, I think we've all accepted we'll be a tiny bit poorer but what if it's worse than that

Chris 21-06-2018 11:39

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951349)
No quite. Parliament is there to govern the country on half of the electorate. If they determine that the deal returned from Brussels is not in the best interests of the country then they have a duty to intervene.

Not entirely accurate. Parliament isn’t answerable to a written constitution, interpreted by a Supreme Court. If it has any duty to intervene then it could be construed as a moral duty only, not a legal one.

The issue here is that parliament is sovereign, the only limitation being that it cannot bind its successors by any decision it takes. We don’t have an act of Parliament describing the authority or otherwise of a referendum, and even if we did, such a need act could not prevent Parliament from overriding it.

Referendums are alien to our evolving, uncodified constitution so its not surprising that there is this tension around the authority vested in them. What we do have, however, in the absence of a written constitution, is a very powerful sense of precedent and convention. Parliament is not, and cannot be, bound by any law or referendum result, in any legal sense, but the political power behind the referendum result, granted it by an act of Parliament and by the actions of our politicians before, during and after the vote, is difficult to resist.

Carth 21-06-2018 12:19

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35951351)
Wonder how keen people will be if it's effects actually start to noticeably hit them, I'd be quite keen to know what people will be prepared to sacrifice to leave, I think we've all accepted we'll be a tiny bit poorer but what if it's worse than that

I doubt there will be much sacrifice going on at all.

The affluent amongst us may notice a small increase in Rolex prices or the cost of that new Maserati. Exotic foreign holidays may be a tad more expensive but still easily affordable.

The poorer folk will just carry on getting further into debt buying the latest iPhone that they want but don't need, and possibly decide to keep that old Vauxhall Zafira for another year instead of trading up to an 08 plate Astra. Primark may see a rise in footfall :D

Seriously . . I don't envisage much change to peoples lifestyles at all, been there done that etc

ianch99 21-06-2018 12:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35951352)
Not entirely accurate. Parliament isn’t answerable to a written constitution, interpreted by a Supreme Court. If it has any duty to intervene then it could be construed as a moral duty only, not a legal one.

The issue here is that parliament is sovereign, the only limitation being that it cannot bind its successors by any decision it takes. We don’t have an act of Parliament describing the authority or otherwise of a referendum, and even if we did, such a need act could not prevent Parliament from overriding it.

Referendums are alien to our evolving, uncodified constitution so its not surprising that there is this tension around the authority vested in them. What we do have, however, in the absence of a written constitution, is a very powerful sense of precedent and convention. Parliament is not, and cannot be, bound by any law or referendum result, in any legal sense, but the political power behind the referendum result, granted it by an act of Parliament and by the actions of our politicians before, during and after the vote, is difficult to resist.

You are right of course, a moral duty if not a legal one. Referenda have always been avoided wherever possible because they lead to situations like this.

If Lemmings voted to leap over a small gap that they were promised was just small and easy to cross, are you then duty bound to at least ask them, once you all realise that there is indeed a cliff there instead, to consider their decision again? Or do you just watch them jump according to their original decision? The bad news is that they have tied themselves to you!

papa smurf 21-06-2018 13:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951356)
You are right of course, a moral duty if not a legal one. Referenda have always been avoided wherever possible because they lead to situations like this.

If Lemmings voted to leap over a small gap that they were promised was just small and easy to cross, are you then duty bound to at least ask them, once you all realise that there is indeed a cliff there instead, to consider their decision again? Or do you just watch them jump according to their original decision? The bad news is that they have tied themselves to you!

Get to the back you'll have something to land on ;)

1andrew1 22-06-2018 01:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Nothing to see here, folks. It'll be just fine, trust me. :rolleyes:
https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2018/06/6.jpg
Quote:

Tom Williams, Chief Operating Officer of Airbus Commercial Aircraft, commented:
In any scenario, Brexit has severe negative consequences for the UK aerospace industry and Airbus in particular. Therefore, immediate mitigation measures would need to be accelerated. While Airbus understands that the political process must go on, as a responsible business we require immediate details on the pragmatic steps that should be taken to operate competitively. Without these, Airbus believes that the impacts on our UK operations could be significant. We have sought to highlight our concerns over the past 12 months, without success. Far from Project Fear, this is a dawning reality for Airbus. Put simply, a No Deal scenario directly threatens Airbus’ future in the UK.”
https://www.airbus.com/newsroom/pres...-scenario.html

Chloé Palmas 22-06-2018 02:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35951354)
I doubt there will be much sacrifice going on at all.

The affluent amongst us may notice a small increase in Rolex prices or the cost of that new Maserati. Exotic foreign holidays may be a tad more expensive but still easily affordable.

The poorer folk will just carry on getting further into debt buying the latest iPhone that they want but don't need, and possibly decide to keep that old Vauxhall Zafira for another year instead of trading up to an 08 plate Astra. Primark may see a rise in footfall :D

Seriously . . I don't envisage much change to peoples lifestyles at all, been there done that etc

Nah pretty much all of what you said is fairly accurate actually. Your sarcasm is mostly true.

Just if someone who is rich says it, it will come off as snobbery / elitism etc.

---------- Post added 22-06-2018 at 00:11 ---------- Previous post was 21-06-2018 at 23:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951344)
Parliament should be carrying out the will of the electorate, given the result of the referendum. Parliament does not exist to actually thwart the will of the people!

Technically Parliament is the will of the people.

Each individual constituency voted for a member of parliament - they all sit in the house now.

Some things were done as a result of it - that stuff led to May continuing on as PM.

So when the will of the people is raw in form, every member of the House is in office, having been elected.

When people tamper about with the system, you end up with what Cameron had - a coalition government with a parent (Tory) and child (Liberal Democrat) partnership. Or like in this instance, May who is propped up by the DUP.

The raw will of the people gave May no mandate, no majority and with a plurality of the MPs in the house, she decided to command a government and ended up ummm....thwarting the will of the people who chose not to give her a majority?

Now obviously there is so much cringe in that post, I would need to take a bath to cleanse myself from all the filth of it but to anyone who continues "this will of the people" stuff, there is an equally nauseating response.

I wish people would grow a spine on every level and stop harping on about it as if it is some sacred / holy cow. Like the Democrats keep saying that Hillary got 3 million more votes...clearly the EC and parliamentary mechanisms for winning elections and forming governments exist for a reason but seriously cut the crap about Parliament carrying out the will of the electorate. Only if they were to do that, they would have thrown May out of the window by now. Yet it is your lot who keep her hanging around - who else would want this mes on their hands?

---------- Post added at 00:24 ---------- Previous post was at 00:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35951186)
I guess the reason we're not progressing much is because the EU don't want us to.

I don't know whether they do or not but it is hardly incumbent upon them to do it for Britain, is it?

Quote:

Maybe if they conceded a little here and there things would progress faster?
Arrrrgghhhh - why should they? They have their 4 basic principles - why do they have to compromise, on anything? Davis came up with that same boat load of crap to Barnier, and what did Barnier tell him to go do?

How about this. Every time May says that she has a red line, how about everyone tells her to just "concede a little here and there?"

I mean she already does....ohhhh I get it!

Because we have a spineless leader who surrenders at every go, you want them to have one to level up the playing field!

Of course, that makes sense now.

Carry on.

Quote:

But that's not really in their agenda is it, they want the cake, plate and all the crumbs from underneath the table too :rolleyes:
Ummm...it's their cake. We are the ones who want a permanent Icing (trade) flour (financial) and egg (security) co-operation from them.

All the while saying that we don't have to contribute anything to it, don't help make it and all boast about having our cake, eating it and of course ignore the fact that such analogies are really masquerading for the fact that the size of our cakes are significantly less than their's with a way lower caloric count.

---------- Post added at 00:33 ---------- Previous post was at 00:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35950993)
5

Well, I guess it depends on which forecasts you are comparing. There have been many occasions I have noted where the regional forecast has said the exact opposite of the national forecast for my area. They are both issued by the Met Office!
So provide two different forecasts and compare the reality with whichever one was correct! ��

---------- Post added at 13:30 ---------- Previous post was at 13:24 ----------



You didn't say it, Andrew, but you seem to love quoting them and the economists supporting your arguments as if their forecasts prove your point.

My point is that the forecasts they make a rarely correct. This is largely down to the assumptions made, so if their assumptions are wrong, the projections will be wrong.

And let's not forget that economists and civil servants always tend to take an over-cautious stance.

Oh dear Lord.

I never thought that Spicy's fight with the media after Trump's inauguration would actually have some purpose to show a point for another political argument ever again, but here we are.

http://thehill.com/homenews/administ...fering-weather

Quote:

"There are times, like anything else, it's not alternative facts, it's that there's sometimes you can watch two different stations and get two different weather reports. That doesn’t mean the station was lying to you," Spicer said.
Yeah, seriously.

Quote:

"The press was trying to make that seem like we were ignoring the facts. ... You can look at a weather report and one weather report comes out and says it's going to be cloudy, and the next one says there's going to be light rain," Spicer said. "No one lied to you, it just means you interpreted the data in a way that you felt got you to a conclusion."
I love Spicy, but seriously - that was a stretch and then some.

However you have somehow managed to take that analogy, to a whole new level.

I m speechless.

---------- Post added at 00:40 ---------- Previous post was at 00:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35950850)
Some philosophically claim the chicken crossing the road is about suicide, possibly a good analogy for this thread topic to :shrug:

https://www.esquire.com/uk/life/news...the-road-joke/

Yeah I thought that the weather analogies were something...Hugh has a lot to answer for, lol.

---------- Post added at 00:46 ---------- Previous post was at 00:40 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35950816)
I have decided to cross the road.

Looking around, I see a lorry coming towards me, but having decided to cross the road, I will not let any obstacles, no matter how dangerous, stop me crossing the road - any pain I suffer will be worth it in the long term, as long as I have achieved my goal.

It doesn't matter that no one mentioned lorries were going to intersect my path when I made my decision, the important thing is I do not let relevant current information which was not available at the time I decided to cross the rooad which might validly affect what I am trying to do change my mind.

Excellent approach to life.

Oh I dunno lol...chickens crossed roads at Dover / Calais for decades and ended up dead / roadkill / meat for those in the jungle.

Now with queues and lorries backed up to a standstill after March of next year around the ports, chickens crossing roads in front of lorries has never looked like having more of a chance of success!

Boris even predicted as much in his latest audio recording.

Means that Gove definitely won't have to make the decision on whether to import in Chlorinated chickens or not. So in that sense, leaving the EU has definitely worked out for Gove - chickens everywhere and Kamikaze analogies in threads continue.

:p::p::p:

denphone 22-06-2018 05:40

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951337)
It's alright, our transport secretary will have things covered ;)

Saw the salary range BTW; £62,519 - £70,859. Really going to attract the cream of the crop there...

More like the bottom of the barrel you mean.;)

Damien 22-06-2018 07:01

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Airbus could be leaving. North Wales probably going to be the worst hit but Bristol and Portsmouth have stuff too I think.

denphone 22-06-2018 07:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
This is what you get when the government has created its own shambolic mess over the Brexit negotiations...

Mr K 22-06-2018 09:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35951446)
This is what you get when the government has created its own shambolic mess over the Brexit negotiations...

tbf the Govt. advised against Brexit. The people that caused this mess are the ones that believed the lies and voted for it. No one else to blame.

Chris 22-06-2018 10:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35951445)
Airbus could be leaving. North Wales probably going to be the worst hit but Bristol and Portsmouth have stuff too I think.

Airbus has said it will reconsider its investments in the U.K if there’s no transition deal post Brexit. Not quite the same thing.

I don’t know if you’re aware of exactly what goes on at Broughton, but it was part of my news reporting patch back in the day so I’m acquainted with it a little. The operation is enormous, and highly technical, employing large numbers of highly skilled men and women who manufacture wings for a number of Airbus planes.

Such is the expertise at the site that when the A380 was developed, they chose to build the wings there even at the inconvenience of having to work out how to transport them by road to the nearest port so they could then go by coastal barge to France for assembly.

They simply aren’t going to move the manufacture of any current product out of North Wales. It would cause massive disruption and cost to their business.

Damien 22-06-2018 10:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Fair enough but if they start reducing their investments it becomes a matter of slowly winding it down doesn't it? No big sharp shock but the slow starvation of investment. New equipment is built elsewhere until the point where there is nothing left to do here: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/n...ears-f6jnc7x2j

Quote:

The European aerospace company Airbus is set to become the first big manufacturer to pull investment from Britain after losing patience with Theresa May’s stalled Brexit negotiations.

Airbus, which generates £1.7 billion in tax revenues, is preparing to abandon plans to build aircraft wings at its British plants and move production to China, the US or elsewhere in Europe. It is making a series of investment decisions this summer because of worries that EU safety certifications will not apply from March next year and uncertainty over customs checks.

“In the absence of any clarity, we have to assume the worst-case scenario,” Tom Williams, the chief operating officer of Airbus, told The Times. “It is the dawning realisation that we now have to get on with it.”

1andrew1 22-06-2018 10:48

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35951351)
Wonder how keen people will be if its effects actually start to noticeably hit them, I'd be quite keen to know what people will be prepared to sacrifice to leave, I think we've all accepted we'll be a tiny bit poorer but what if it's worse than that

I think because things move so slowly and other factors are involved, you'd need something like Airbus relocating for people to realise the impact of Brexit.
From the company's own website
Quote:

Tom Williams, Chief Operating Officer of Airbus Commercial Aircraft, commented:

“In any scenario, Brexit has severe negative consequences for the UK aerospace industry and Airbus in particular. Therefore, immediate mitigation measures would need to be accelerated. While Airbus understands that the political process must go on, as a responsible business we require immediate details on the pragmatic steps that should be taken to operate competitively. Without these, Airbus believes that the impacts on our UK operations could be significant. We have sought to highlight our concerns over the past 12 months, without success. Far from Project Fear, this is a dawning reality for Airbus. Put simply, a No Deal scenario directly threatens Airbus’ future in the UK.”
To read the Risk Assessment Memorandum in full, please click here: http://www.airbus.com/company/worldw...k.html#Economy
https://www.airbus.com/newsroom/pres...-scenario.html

As reported in today's Times:
"Airbus prepares to take flight
The European aerospace company Airbus is set to become the first big manufacturer to pull investment from Britain after losing patience with Theresa May's stalled Brexit negotiations. Airbus, which generates £1.7 billion in tax revenues, is preparing to abandon plans to build aircraft wings at its British plants and move production to China, the US or elsewhere in Europe. It is making a series of investment decisions this summer because of worries that EU safety certifications will not apply from March next year and uncertainty over customs checks."

---------- Post added at 09:48 ---------- Previous post was at 09:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35951453)
Airbus has said it will reconsider its investments in the U.K if there’s no transition deal post Brexit. Not quite the same thing.

I don’t know if you’re aware of exactly what goes on at Broughton, but it was part of my news reporting patch back in the day so I’m acquainted with it a little. The operation is enormous, and highly technical, employing large numbers of highly skilled men and women who manufacture wings for a number of Airbus planes.

Such is the expertise at the site that when the A380 was developed, they chose to build the wings there even at the inconvenience of having to work out how to transport them by road to the nearest port so they could then go by coastal barge to France for assembly.

They simply aren’t going to move the manufacture of any current product out of North Wales. It would cause massive disruption and cost to their business.

It's worth reading Airbus's risk assessment, including this:
Quote:

In the absence of a Brexit agreement, UK aerospace companies will not be covered anymore under existing regulatory approvals including EASA approvals. All UK companies will need to transfer their DOA, POA and MOA into the EU. This means that should a single supplier not be certified, its parts cannot be installed and consequently prevent the delivery of aircraft. It is therefore vital that the EU supply chain gets duly prepared.
This is why Brexit imposes additional major risks to the aerospace sector compared to other industries and Airbus is getting increasingly concerned by the lack of progress on the Brexit process...
Until we know and understand the new EU/UK relationship, Airbus should carefully monitor any new investments in the UK and should refrain from extending its UK suppliers/partners base.
http://www.airbus.com/company/worldw...k.html#Economy
Of course, some people believe that the talks are making good progress and everyone else is deluded.

Chris 22-06-2018 11:11

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951455)
Of course, some people believe that the talks are making good progress and everyone else is deluded.

Whereas others believe everything’s an unmitigated disaster, and those who think otherwise are deluded. ;)

Thankfully there is a broad middle ground where it’s possible to be both frustrated at Teresa May’s ineptitude yet also confident that such is the scale and impact of Brexit that nobody can afford to mess it up; both sides know this and when the day comes the EU will agree to fudge it one way or another, just as it always does.

It’s worth bearing in mind, by the way, that every risk assessment ever carried out by a school planning a trip has described the potential for death or serious injury. Describing a risk of something happening doesn’t mean it will happen or even that it’s likely.

As I said earlier, there is simply no way for Airbus to shift wing production to a location within the EU in the time available. Regardless of what happens next March, those wings will still be being made in Broughton this time next year and the year after that.

Also, consider the implications of the Times article you quoted. They’re claiming to be worried about tariffs and the loss of EU certifications and an EU supply chain whilst also pondering a production shift to China or the USA? That doesn’t even begin to stack up.

1andrew1 22-06-2018 11:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35951460)
Whereas others believe everything’s an unmitigated disaster, and those who think otherwise are deluded. ;)

Thankfully there is a broad middle ground where it’s possible to be both frustrated at Teresa May’s ineptitude yet also confident that such is the scale and impact of Brexit that nobody can afford to mess it up; both sides know this and when the day comes the EU will agree to fudge it one way or another, just as it always does.

It’s worth bearing in mind, by the way, that every risk assessment ever carried out by a school planning a trip has described the potential for death or serious injury. Describing a risk of something happening doesn’t mean it will happen or even that it’s likely.

As I said earlier, there is simply no way for Airbus to shift wing production to a location within the EU in the time available. Regardless of what happens next March, those wings will still be being made in Broughton this time next year and the year after that.

Also, consider the implications of the Times article you quoted. They’re claiming to be worried about tariffs and the loss of EU certifications and an EU supply chain whilst also pondering a production shift to China or the USA? That doesn’t even begin to stack up.

It would be a bit like the way Japanese TV manufacturers left the UK. Their existing cathode ray models continued to be made here. When they introduced their LCD models, they opened new factories in Eastern Europe to produce them and closed their British ones.
We've got a transition period of a couple of years. How long it would take a company like Airbus to up sticks I'm not sure but I'm sure sufficient of the workforce would be prepared to upsticks given that their skills wouldn't be in demand in many other places in the UK.

jonbxx 22-06-2018 12:04

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Airbus, like any large manufacturer would need to balance friction vs. costs of both moving and manufacture. The cost of moving is pretty much set and Airbus already manufactures in China and US so it would be more expansion than setting up new plants.

The UK is an expensive place to makes things. This will be balanced with frictionless movement between the UK and Toulouse so things even up. Airbus could move wing manufacture to the EU zone where the costs would be similar but frictionless or somewhere cheap and accept the friction costs. Expensive and friction doesn't add up.

1andrew1 22-06-2018 13:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951468)
Airbus, like any large manufacturer would need to balance friction vs. costs of both moving and manufacture. The cost of moving is pretty much set and Airbus already manufactures in China and US so it would be more expansion than setting up new plants.

The UK is an expensive place to makes things. This will be balanced with frictionless movement between the UK and Toulouse so things even up. Airbus could move wing manufacture to the EU zone where the costs would be similar but frictionless or somewhere cheap and accept the friction costs. Expensive and friction doesn't add up.

A good way of analysing the situation.
Some further insightful analysis from Paratus in the comments section of the FT.

Quote:

Even allowing for the usual downward spiral into Brexit/Bremain accusations and counter-accusations in this comments string, I am still amazed at how ignorant most commenters here are of the part in the global aircraft industry that Airbus plays - and thus the UK's current stake in it.
Airbus produces roughy 800 commercial airliners a year. That's more or less 130 wings a month - most produced in 2 large UK factories: Filton and Hawarden (they're don't make all the parts for the whole wing - mainly the structural 'box'; but they do make several other Airbus-wing components).
There are 2 main elements that make an airliner more (or less) efficient, and therefore competitive: its engines and its wing-aerodynamics. On the latter, BAE Systems earned its place in the consortium not just because it could produce the wings themselves efficiently, but also because they've been critical to their design since the start of Airbus. These wings still are, arguably, the world's most aerodynamically-advanced for commercial-aircraft.

For all those folks mumbling on here about supply-chains, think 100+ aircraft wings per month, not cars. Once finished, these large objects are transported by specialised aircraft, barge, or ship; but before that, components within these sizeable structures come & go many times between suppliers and across borders before the final article (a multi-tonne wing-box) is ready to be shipped. Delay is not permissible: you don't set a couple of wings aside for each aircraft type in case there's a customs problem with next week's deliveries.

Going on here about assembly-lines in China or the USA merely reflects reality in today's globalised aircraft industry, not some death-knell for the home-industry...although customs and tariffs clearly play their part in arriving at 'the deal' in these markets. To sell any complex, expensive pieces of equipment into any large market, there is always offset, or local manufacture and/or assembly. For large markets (e.g. USA, China), incorporating 'local' assembly of aircraft, and/or manufacturing subassemblies in deals is a normal part of commercial life. For all that, though, the main assembly-work, technology, and design lead-times, still need to happen from within Airbus' (in this case) organisation, of which the UK is currently an important part.

However, a 10-year cycle in the aerospace business is nothing - in fact it's probably a minimum development, test and production life-cycle on any project seeking a business return. Airbus will have been thinking about the Brexit effect for at least 2 years - and its thinking will have had little to do with the logistics, per se, of moving large bits of aircraft around the world to assembly-lines, including its own: that's relatively easy, and already happens. (Boeing does the same.)

For Airbus to disengage itself from the UK-based parts of its business entails managing the disruption of a large-scale version of 'just-in-time' manufacturing. They'll not do that lightly - it'll be expensive as well as logistically-disruptive; but they'll have a lot less trouble achieving that than we (the UK) would in managing the enormous consequent losses to our technological and manufacturing knowledge-base.
Facts...

https://www.ft.com/content/595220cc-...6-75a27d27ea5f

Dave42 22-06-2018 15:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Airbus: 'No-deal' Brexit would be 'chaos at the borders'
The company would pull out of the UK if Britain leaves the single market and customs union without a transition agreement.

https://news.sky.com/story/airbus-no...rders-11413180

ianch99 22-06-2018 18:18

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35951482)
Airbus: 'No-deal' Brexit would be 'chaos at the borders'
The company would pull out of the UK if Britain leaves the single market and customs union without a transition agreement.

https://news.sky.com/story/airbus-no...rders-11413180

Isn't it a bit more than that? They will pull out if the transition agreement does not lead to a permanent deal where there is no 'friction at the borders."

Of course, if Mrs May tries to edge towards such a deal to keep big business happy, she has Mr Mogg preparing to tear down such a deal:

DO NOT CAVE: Brexiteers will vote DOWN deal if May gives in to EU demands, warns Rees-Mogg

How would be the Prime Minister at a time like this?

1andrew1 22-06-2018 18:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951503)
Isn't it a bit more than that? They will pull out if the transition agreement does not lead to a permanent deal where there is no 'friction at the borders."

Of course, if Mrs May tries to edge towards such a deal to keep big business happy, she has Mr Mogg preparing to tear down such a deal:

DO NOT CAVE: Brexiteers will vote DOWN deal if May gives in to EU demands, warns Rees-Mogg

How would be the Prime Minister at a time like this?

Who would indeed? She's stuck between a rock (keeping business in the country) and a hard place (the hard Brexiters who are happy to throw the economy to the dogs for the sake of what they believe in.)

Public-facing companies have been reluctant to talk too much in public as they're afraid it could impact their sales and businesses that just sell to other businesses don't have much public awareness. However, Airbus does have strong public recognition so hopefully the Government and general public will sit up and take notice to stop the company leaving.

Mr K 22-06-2018 18:43

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Think it's time TM had a holiday, doesn't she look tired ? ;)

Last time it was walking in North Wales. Bit of fresh air did her the world of good. She had the brilliant idea of calling an election to make her strong and stable....

Stuff the Brexiteers TM, they're all bonkers. It may be damage limitation, but just get the best deal for Britain is my advice. End of your career, but you've had a good run and a bit put by in the bank :)

1andrew1 22-06-2018 18:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35951505)
Think it's time TM had a holiday, doesn't she look tired ? ;)

Last time it was walking in North Wales. Bit of fresh air did her the world of good. She had the brilliant idea of calling an election to make her strong and stable....

Stuff the Brexiteers TM, they're all bonkers. It may be damage limitation, but just get the best deal for Britain is my advice. End of your career, but you've had a good run and a bit put by in the bank :)

Doubt she'd be welcome in North Wales again given the possibility of Airbus leaving the country but she does need a holiday!

Chloé Palmas 22-06-2018 19:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35951446)
This is what you get when the government has created its own shambolic mess over the Brexit negotiations...

I am kind of surprised that more people have not stated that their companies will be leaving the UK, post EU referendum. With Scottish independence the nationalists called it "project fear" but I think that it was accurate that corporations would leave, jobs would go and the currency was an issue. In terms of the EU, if financial passporting rights are indeed gone that is a huge reality that the UK financial services sector will have to factor in. Jobs will end up being lost, companies will move huge amounts of capital overseas and that is to be expected. People now factor that in, as a given.

1andrew1 22-06-2018 20:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chloé Palmas (Post 35951510)
I am kind of surprised that more people have not stated that their companies will be leaving the UK, post EU referendum.

Companies are starting to grow a pair. BMW has just done this.
The car giant BMW has followed plane maker Airbus in warning of the adverse consequences of Brexit.

Chloé Palmas 22-06-2018 20:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
It is interesting the way that you worded that - "growing a pair". While yes, I would like if they did stand up to the nationalists of their own volition, I kind of see it more as just the reality of it all setting in. I can't see this as being anything other than just free market policies now setting in, you? I mean if you were looking at somewhere that had a stable political, monetary and fiscal environment in to grow jobs, start businesses and have a stable growth environment, where would you look to? Would you stay in the UK? It just looks like economic common sense, not anything like what was dubbed as "project fear".

Carth 22-06-2018 20:41

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I don't see many 'British' companies in these lists that are now coming out.

oh sorry, they were sold down the river years ago :)

papa smurf 22-06-2018 22:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951507)
Doubt she'd be welcome in North Wales again given the possibility of Airbus leaving the country but she does need a holiday!

No airbus will be leaving without wings .;)

Sephiroth 22-06-2018 23:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
All a load of tosh. Keep this real: with "friends" like Juncker, Barnier, Verhofstadt, Merkel and the two faces of Macron we shouldn't want to have anything to do with those vultures.

We are more than 60 million people and the UK can make it all work, with or without the EU - and for that matter the perfidious Irish PM.

1andrew1 22-06-2018 23:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35951522)
I don't see many 'British' companies in these lists that are now coming out.

oh sorry, they were sold down the river years ago :)

This FT article cites British-owned and head-quartered companies Unipart, Ineos and Avon Valley Precision Engineering.
https://www.ft.com/content/ee84acd0-...4-408cfba4327c

---------- Post added at 22:55 ---------- Previous post was at 22:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951532)
All a load of tosh. Keep this real: with "friends" like Juncker, Barnier, Verhofstadt, Merkel and the two faces of Macron we shouldn't want to have anything to do with those vultures.

We are more than 60 million people and the UK can make it all work, with or without the EU - and for that matter the perfidious Irish PM.

Yes, the skilled aircraft workers there can move to East Anglia and displace the Eastern European fruit-pickers.

ianch99 22-06-2018 23:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951532)
All a load of tosh. Keep this real: with "friends" like Juncker, Barnier, Verhofstadt, Merkel and the two faces of Macron we shouldn't want to have anything to do with those vultures.

We are more than 60 million people and the UK can make it all work, with or without the EU - and for that matter the perfidious Irish PM.

I think you are keeping it unreal and in denial somewhat. Look around you ..

BTW, I though we were perfidious one:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Perfidious_Albion

1andrew1 23-06-2018 00:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chloé Palmas (Post 35951520)
It is interesting the way that you worded that - "growing a pair". While yes, I would like if they did stand up to the nationalists of their own volition, I kind of see it more as just the reality of it all setting in. I can't see this as being anything other than just free market policies now setting in, you? I mean if you were looking at somewhere that had a stable political, monetary and fiscal environment in to grow jobs, start businesses and have a stable growth environment, where would you look to? Would you stay in the UK? It just looks like economic common sense, not anything like what was dubbed as "project fear".

It's more a case of time running out. Companies would have had to make announcements earlier one way or the other if the Government had struck a deal. It hasn't and so they really have to work in the dark. I think the seal may have been broken and we'll continue to hear warnings from more companies.

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 10:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951536)
It's more a case of time running out. Companies would have had to make announcements earlier one way or the other if the Government had struck a deal. It hasn't and so they really have to work in the dark. I think the seal may have been broken and we'll continue to hear warnings from more companies.

There was no deal to be struck - at least not at this stage. The nasty EU wants to punish us for our democratic decision.

It has made the guvmin in look stupid because we see little progress. Leave means leave not half in/half out. The guvmin say they are confident of a good deal on a leave means leave basis. If they know something we don’t, which is entirely possible, we might all get a surprise.

As to the principal Tory MP remoaners, they are anti-democratic in their behaviour; dishonest in their stated intentions; many of them miffed at being ousted by May from the cabinet.

Btw, if for any reason we do end up remaining in the EU, no worries, as long as we keep sticking picador sticks into Brussels.

papa smurf 23-06-2018 10:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Protesters to march on anniversary to demand second referendum.

Traitors at the event will include Tory rebel Anna Soubry, Labour MP David Lammy and Green Party co-leader Caroline Lucas.

Businesswoman Gina Miller, who took the Government to court over Brexit, will also give a speech in favour of a second third or even fourth referendum until she gets the answer she wants.;)

The real story here
https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...my-Gina-Miller

Mick 23-06-2018 11:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
EU Referendum The Counting Results currently being re-run on BBC Parliament Channel as of right now... :D

nomadking 23-06-2018 11:43

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Still wondering what a 2nd referendum result is meant to represent. All those that want to remain will vote no to any deal whatever it is.


Any deal has to be right because it will never be changed. IE No deal is better than a bad deal, as with a "no deal", a reasonable deal can still be struck, but a "bad deal" can never be overturned.


You have to be extra careful in wording any agreement, because the EU can set its own rules for who is included as part of the EU. Eg Freedom of movement can be handed over to Ukraine and Turkey etc, without the UK having a say. Not that we have or had much of a say even within the EU. Whatever Germany and France say, goes.

Mr K 23-06-2018 11:48

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35951545)
EU Referendum The Counting Results currently being re-run on BBC Parliament Channel as of right now... :D

Really Mick ? The World Cups on and it's sunny outside :D

Guess you have to go back that far to find things going well for the Brexiteers, all downhill since then !

heero_yuy 23-06-2018 11:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from thisismoney.co.uk:


Highway and airport engineering group Colas said it is pumping fresh cash into its UK business and gearing up to spend 'billions' on takeovers in a bid to boost market share.

The French-based group, which operates in 20 locations across the UK, hopes its new 'UK Projects' division will clinch a string of domestic deals, including an upcoming tender for a highways project.

One of the group's executive directors, Carl Fergusson, refused to give further details, but said the company has been in regular contact with the British government, which is 'becoming more commercial' in its approach to business and is welcoming foreign investment in light of Brexit.
Seems they don't share Airbus' negativity.

Mr K 23-06-2018 11:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35951549)
Seems they don't share Airbus' negativity.

Yes a French company, picking up the scraps the failed British Carillon. Not exactly a British success story or vote of confidence, just an opportunity to make money where we've failed.

Anyway the French don't want the Third World on their border. How are they going to turn back the tide of British immigrants (like Brexiteer Lord Lawson !) Close the tunnel now if I were them ;)

Mick 23-06-2018 12:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35951548)
Really Mick ? The World Cups on and it's sunny outside :D

Guess you have to go back that far to find things going well for the Brexiteers, all downhill since then !

Nope not at all. Because we’re still leaving the EU and IT WON’T be downhill at all.

With the likes of Sweden, Poland and Italy all getting pissed off with the EU, we won’t be the only ones leaving the corrupted pile of garbage, AKA EU!

Carth 23-06-2018 12:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35951553)
With the likes of Sweden, Poland and Italy all getting pissed off with the EU, we won’t be the only ones leaving the corrupted pile of garbage, AKA EU!

Throw troubles in Turkey into the mix too ;)

Oh, the Pro EU gang seem to have missed the news about yet another 'loan' to Greece . . to enable them to 'manage' their debt better :D :D

Mebbe Airbus could relocate to Greece and help them out :p:

heero_yuy 23-06-2018 12:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
If Airbus try to decamp the government should demand back the 100's of £millions they were given to set up here.

1andrew1 23-06-2018 14:23

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35951550)
Yes a French company, picking up the scraps the failed British Carillon. Not exactly a British success story or vote of confidence, just an opportunity to make money where we've failed.

Anyway the French don't want the Third World on their border. How are they going to turn back the tide of British immigrants (like Brexiteer Lord Lawson !) Close the tunnel now if I were them ;)

Lol, a French-owned pothole repairing company buying British competitors due to the low pound is hardly a replacement for thousands of skilled aircraft makers! :D

---------- Post added at 13:23 ---------- Previous post was at 13:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35951542)
Protesters to march on anniversary to demand second referendum.

Traitors at the event will include Tory rebel Anna Soubry, Labour MP David Lammy and Green Party co-leader Caroline Lucas.

Businesswoman Gina Miller, who took the Government to court over Brexit, will also give a speech in favour of a second third or even fourth referendum until she gets the answer she wants.;)

The real story here
https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...my-Gina-Miller

I appreciate you may have a slight hangover from yesterday's celebrations Papa but I'm not sure traitors is a term we use here.

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 14:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951564)
Lol, a French-owned pothole repairing company buying British competitors due to the low pound is hardly a replacement for thousands of skilled aircraft makers! :D

Who can be redeployed to build planes for Britain or to build foreign planes we might wish to buy.

You need to respect the Brexit vote whether or not you like it. That's our democratic system.

1andrew1 23-06-2018 14:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951566)
Who can be redeployed to build planes for Britain or to build foreign planes we might wish to buy.

You need to respect the Brexit vote whether or not you like it. That's our democratic system.

How on earth is your second point, a straw man, relevant to anything in the discussion? Debating Colas or Airbus is not disrespecting the Brexit vote. Closing down such debates is fundamentally unBritish and not what my forefathers fought for.

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 14:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951568)
How on earth is your second point, a straw man, relevant to anything in the discussion? Debating Colas or Airbus is not disrespecting the Brexit vote. Closing down such debates is fundamentally unBritish and not what my forefathers fought for.

Your posting history in this thread is all about the harm to the UK that will arise from leaving the UK. Fair enough - it's your right.

But the thrust is clear - reverse Brexit if possible (even if you haven't said that directly it is obvious).

I've said that we're more than 60 million people. That's enough to make a success of our country with both its buying power and its in-house skills.

Remainers nibbling away at the democratically arrived at decision to leave the EU are a pest that we have to live with. Worst of all are those MPs who are determined to thwart the Referendum - they being the main hope of the remainers.

We should just get on with it and leave those crooks in Brussels behind us.

Hom3r 23-06-2018 15:17

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35951542)
Protesters to march on anniversary to demand second referendum.

Traitors at the event will include Tory rebel Anna Soubry, Labour MP David Lammy and Green Party co-leader Caroline Lucas.

Businesswoman Gina Miller, who took the Government to court over Brexit, will also give a speech in favour of a second third or even fourth referendum until she gets the answer she wants.;)

The real story here
https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...my-Gina-Miller


IMHO Gina Miller need her citizen revoked and deported, she is only interested in her own business.

As I said before I don't care if Brexit costs me my job, we MUST fully leave the EU and not stay in any way whatsoever.


Airbus should get Red Bull to make their wings :D

1andrew1 23-06-2018 15:26

Re: Brexit discussion
 
This says it all about the current Government's incompetent approach to business. :(
Quote:

...the Foreign Secretary was asked about the fears of some business leaders over Brexit and replied: “f*** business.”
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...ness-concerns/

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 15:48

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35951571)
IMHO Gina Miller need her citizen revoked and deported, she is only interested in her own business.

As I said before I don't care if Brexit costs me my job, we MUST fully leave the EU and not stay in any way whatsoever.


Airbus should get Red Bull to make their wings :D

That's going too far and is actually quite fascist. I supported Gina Miller's single handed fight to bring some degree of parliamentary say into the process OF LEAVING THE EU.

Of course that's being misused now to try and derail Brexit - and might indeed have been Miller's intention. But she had the right to pose a legal challenge and the law agreed with her case. We can't democratically rail against that.

jonbxx 23-06-2018 16:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35951571)
IMHO Gina Miller need her citizen revoked and deported, she is only interested in her own business.

As I said before I don't care if Brexit costs me my job, we MUST fully leave the EU and not stay in any way whatsoever.


Airbus should get Red Bull to make their wings :D

Would you be in favour of leaving the EMA, ECA and EASA (medicines, chemicals and aviation agencies) The government wants to stay in those..

denphone 23-06-2018 16:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951566)
You need to respect the Brexit vote whether or not you like it. That's our democratic system.

Absolutely but it does not mean that those who did not vote for Brexit should zip their mouth nor should they be called traitors.

heero_yuy 23-06-2018 16:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from denphone:


Absolutely but it does not mean that those who did not vote for Brexit should zip their mouth nor should they be called traitors.
Expressing an opinion is fine. Deliberately trying to derail the process to keep us effectively IN the EU is treason.

jonbxx 23-06-2018 19:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35951571)
IMHO Gina Miller need her citizen revoked and deported, she is only interested in her own business.

As I said before I don't care if Brexit costs me my job, we MUST fully leave the EU and not stay in any way whatsoever.


Airbus should get Red Bull to make their wings :D

How about the judges who found in her favour? Should their citizenship be revoked too?

Mr K 23-06-2018 20:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Traitors ? Treason ? We're increasingly going down a Nazi road... Soon the Tower will be back in business? Brexiters need to look at the language they are using, and why they are easily ridiculed. Free speech is what we've fought 2 World Wars for.

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 20:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35951591)
Traitors ? Treason ? We're increasingly going down a Nazi road... Soon the Tower will be back in business? Brexiters need to look at the language they are using, and why they are easily ridiculed. Free speech is what we've fought 2 World Wars for.

You are right to call out those who come out with this fascist rubbish.

But please do not tar all Brexiters with that brush as you (possibly unintentionally) have done.

People here are going into the square root of Airbus, BMW and using it as an argument not to let the Referendum result prevail. Sure, try to get a good deal (those Brussels turds don't want us to have a reasonable deal); obviously no deal is better than a bad deal. As I say, the UK is of sufficient critical mass to make a thorough go of things.

But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

I suspect that those remainers on this forum who are provoking this Project Fear stuff will avoid a direct answer to my question. Or they'll dance around it and change the question.

Just get on with Brexit.

jonbxx 23-06-2018 21:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951596)
You are right to call out those who come out with this fascist rubbish.

But please do not tar all Brexiters with that brush as you (possibly unintentionally) have done.

People here are going into the square root of Airbus, BMW and using it as an argument not to let the Referendum result prevail. Sure, try to get a good deal (those Brussels turds don't want us to have a reasonable deal); obviously no deal is better than a bad deal. As I say, the UK is of sufficient critical mass to make a thorough go of things.

But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

I suspect that those remainers on this forum who are provoking this Project Fear stuff will avoid a direct answer to my question. Or they'll dance around it and change the question.

Just get on with Brexit.

Challenge accepted :) The EU was and is not a separate entity to the nation state. It’s the result of a series of treaties between countries to promote trade and foster a collaborative atmosphere. You can’t really be a vassal state of on organisation you help run. We have 73 MEPs and of course a seat on the EU council inhabited by Theresa May at present. We have a say in all decisions made and are pretty successful in this with well over 90% of the time being on the winning side in council votes.

If we choose something like EEA membership, then will will have the benefits but no say. Then I would agree that the term vassal state would apply but as a fully paid up member of the EU, no.

Why has it not worked for the UK population is the big question. In my opinion, there are a few answers which are not mutually exclusive. First, we have never been invaded in modern times and certainly did not suffer like other countries in the Second World War and Cold War. Being under the cosh of other states will focus the mind of cooperation being preferable to conflict. Of course, the counter argument is ‘what about Germany’? There is a collective institutional recognition of what nationalism does to a country and your average German will push back hard if you cite ‘Deutschland Uber Alles’.

The second reason, linked to the first as that we never really ‘took part’. Look at the turnouts for European elections. These elections were time time to make a protest vote with ‘no harm’. However, this meant that we have been under represented in the European Parliament by our own hands. Look at the attendance figures of our MEPs as an example.

The final reason is that it has been easy to blame ‘others’ for our own countries failings. The UK negotiated an opt out for signs to be posted on EU funded projects. The EU gave over £20m for the reconstruction of Manchester City centre after the 1996 bombing but you wouldn’t know. My mum lives in the wilds of Scotland and the local busses are funded by the EU as it is a deprived area and there’s no government funding. Hopefully of course, some of that sweet £350m will come in to replace that funding but I have my doubts.

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 21:41

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951598)
Challenge accepted :) The EU was and is not a separate entity to the nation state. It’s the result of a series of treaties between countries to promote trade and foster a collaborative atmosphere. You can’t really be a vassal state of on organisation you help run. [SEPH]: Correct - to a point. The EU is a body that is now founded on "ever closer union"; namely the dissolution of the nation state. The UK would never accede to that extent and would remain a nation state - whether inside or outside the EU. But then Greece is now a vassal state, so engineered by the Germans who also engineered the Euro to its advantage. If we LEAVE the EU, but are bound in a rule taking manner, we would be a vassal state. We are LEAVING the EU so "vassal state" is mentioned in that context. If we do remain in the EU, the current direction of travel it is taking would reduce our influence; we would thus be on the sidelines if not a vassal state.

We have 73 MEPs and of course a seat on the EU council inhabited by Theresa May at present. We have a say in all decisions made and are pretty successful in this with well over 90% of the time being on the winning side in council votes. [SEPH]: Yes. That would be wonderful if the CAP was de-skewed from being to France's advantage; if we could actually have greater control over our fisheries - to name just two.

If we choose something like EEA membership, then will will have the benefits but no say. Then I would agree that the term vassal state would apply but as a fully paid up member of the EU, no. [SEPH]: Agreed - see my earlier remark in this reply

Why has it not worked for the UK population is the big question. In my opinion, there are a few answers which are not mutually exclusive. First, we have never been invaded in modern times and certainly did not suffer like other countries in the Second World War and Cold War. Being under the cosh of other states will focus the mind of cooperation being preferable to conflict. Of course, the counter argument is ‘what about Germany’? There is a collective institutional recognition of what nationalism does to a country and your average German will push back hard if you cite ‘Deutschland Uber Alles’. [SEPH]:Ah - the Germans. Of course they'll push back; more than content that they have an 8% surplus year on year (the rules allow only 3%). The cash flows into Germany and out of everywhere else. This is German hegemony, nothing less and no wonder the Germans like it. Deutschland ueber Alles.

The second reason, linked to the first as that we never really ‘took part’. Look at the turnouts for European elections. These elections were time to make a protest vote with ‘no harm’. However, this meant that we have been under represented in the European Parliament by our own hands. Look at the attendance figures of our MEPs as an example. [SEPH]: A complete red herring, I'd have to say. The people don't vote in the European elections because there's little point given the hostility of the MEPs to the UK. The reason that the European Parliament is majority for federalisation is very simple: they know that they would trump all national parliaments, especially ours. However, when the Referendum took place, the voters turned out. That tells you something.

The final reason is that it has been easy to blame ‘others’ for our own countries failings. The UK negotiated an opt out for signs to be posted on EU funded projects. The EU gave over £20m for the reconstruction of Manchester City centre after the 1996 bombing but you wouldn’t know. My mum lives in the wilds of Scotland and the local busses are funded by the EU as it is a deprived area and there’s no government funding. Hopefully of course, some of that sweet £350m will come in to replace that funding but I have my doubts. [SEPH]: Please don't praise the EU's generosity. This is a plain case of the EU Commission doing the right thing with the proportion of the money we give them that is then allocated back to our projects. Brexit gives us control over that spending. I understand your point - which boils down to not trusting the UK to prioritise such projects. But it was a total crap shoot as to whether or not the EU would prioritise them. We have elections that can punish our politicians; but the unelected EU Commission is not accountable to the EU citizens.

At least you tried.

jonbxx 23-06-2018 21:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951600)
At least you tried.

Yeah, not trying to persuade you, it was just my 10 cents as a remoaner ;) Even if you didn’t agree, did it restore your faith in having questions answered by the ‘other side’? If I didn’t answer your question, please let me know.

Sephiroth 23-06-2018 22:00

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951602)
Yeah, not trying to persuade you, it was just my 10 cents as a remoaner ;) Even if you didn’t agree, did it restore your faith in having questions answered by the ‘other side’? If I didn’t answer your question, please let me know.

Bless you. Do forgive me for going in rather hard. The 'other side' don't want to acknowledge such matters as German hegemony and are thus content to be EU rule takers. That is the 48/52 divide.

On the point of having question answered, you didn't! The question was:

But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

You got into the logic of the term "vassal state" but avoided answering the nub as to reverting to a sovereign state.

Do you want the UK to be part of a federal Europe? In the EU but not in the federal arrangement? Out of the EU but vassal by being a rule taker? Out of the EU and fully sovereign?



jonbxx 23-06-2018 22:18

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951605)
Bless you. Do forgive me for going in rather hard. The 'other side' don't want to acknowledge such matters as German hegemony and are thus content to be EU rule takers. That is the 48/52 divide.

On the point of having question answered, you didn't! The question was:

But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

You got into the logic of the term "vassal state" but avoided answering the nub as to reverting to a sovereign state.

Do you want the UK to be part of a federal Europe? In the EU but not in the federal arrangement? Out of the EU but vassal by being a rule taker? Out of the EU and fully sovereign?



Ah OK, I see what you’re getting at I think. Of your choices, my preferred option at present would be option 2, be in the EU but not as part of some kind of federal arrangement. Basically what David Cameron came back with, avoiding the ‘ever closer union’.

Obviously, we are very unlikely to be in the EU for much longer so, from a business perspective, working for an international company, selling to other international companies, being in a customs union and single market would be ideal. Hopefully having some say in those would be great! Doing business with non-EU/EEA countries is a massive pain.

Chloé Palmas 24-06-2018 00:08

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35951571)
IMHO Gina Miller need her citizen revoked and deported, she is only interested in her own business.

So in this post, you said:

Quote:

Chloé, as an uncle & brother to females, I would never concider taking a picture of a female showing off tomorrows washing.
I even defended you in this post by saying:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chloé Palmas
So I wanted to know what her reasoning behind that was. With Hom3r was it just the self vested interest in protecting his sisters / nieces?

Now I am assuming that it is your own interests / buisness to protect your family members / siblings from having pictures of what is up their skirt taken by someone.

Correct?

So by your own definition, if it is your own business to protect your family (and nothing else though I assume that you might be advocating to try protect the interests of every woman?) then are you suggesting that your advocacy is a deport-able offense??

(The irony, that if it was an illegal immigrant who was the culprit yet you were the one who got deported lol).

I am confused, did you mean Gina's business interests? But even on that front, it makes no sense. The whole point of leaving the EU is so that as Brits we become the most selfish nation on the planet and protect only what is ours, take control of what we can, and so on.

Isn't she just assimilating with the selfishness of your average two bit nationalist?

Or are you suggesting that we should engage in acts of voluntary repatriation for those who don't share the mentality of the state first doctrine?

Your post makes absolutely no sense to me and this part, please explain / elaborate only right now Gina Miller seems to have the mechanisms of capitalism worked out and you seem to be suggesting that she (as a citizen) is deported, having her citizenship revoked...(while giving evidence of your own well meaning acts of selfishness, all at the same time).

Please explain. (I swear I can't be getting your comments this wrong and you seem like a sincere and nice guy so correct me on this, please. :))

Quote:

As I said before I don't care if Brexit costs me my job, we MUST fully leave the EU and not stay in any way whatsoever.
As much as I hate to say it (and not in personal regard to you, I hope that your job works out) but I do kind of want to see some of the real life consequences of leaving the EU come home. It is not very Christian of me to wish ill but a little "reality" for those who believe in the cake and eat it / land of milk and honey stuff would not be a bad thing. Mick said to me earlier that no amount of anything would make him regret his vote / wish that he voted to remain. And I was glad of that - like I am about what you just said. I like principle and people who fight on grounds of sincerity - you are not a hypocrite and are willing to put your money where your mouth is.

Like I said in my previous post above, it is the reality of the situation that businesses and jobs are going to disappear - that is not fearmongering. I am glad that people like you are willing to stand up and say "if my job goes, then so be it". That I can respect. :)

Sephiroth 24-06-2018 00:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951607)
Ah OK, I see what you’re getting at I think. Of your choices, my preferred option at present would be option 2, be in the EU but not as part of some kind of federal arrangement. Basically what David Cameron came back with, avoiding the ‘ever closer union’.

Obviously, we are very unlikely to be in the EU for much longer so, from a business perspective, working for an international company, selling to other international companies, being in a customs union and single market would be ideal. Hopefully having some say in those would be great! Doing business with non-EU/EEA countries is a massive pain.

I can live with that. I'd be content to remain in the EU outside of their folly, and to constantly be the picador that annoys the hell out of Brussels.

Chloé Palmas 24-06-2018 00:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951587)
How about the judges who found in her favour? Should their citizenship be revoked too?

Yeah and to what nation would they be sent? Voluntary repatriation...to where?

:erm:

Natural born citizens with no other citizenship...I can't imagine Hom3r was being serious in his post. :)

TheDaddy 24-06-2018 10:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35951571)
IMHO Gina Miller need her citizen revoked and deported, she is only interested in her own business.

As I said before I don't care if Brexit costs me my job, we MUST fully leave the EU and not stay in any way whatsoever.


Airbus should get Red Bull to make their wings :D

To be fair though David, you don't like your job...

I have to admit a degree of admiration though regardless.

1andrew1 24-06-2018 13:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35951607)
Ah OK, I see what you’re getting at I think. Of your choices, my preferred option at present would be option 2, be in the EU but not as part of some kind of federal arrangement. Basically what David Cameron came back with, avoiding the ‘ever closer union’.

Obviously, we are very unlikely to be in the EU for much longer so, from a business perspective, working for an international company, selling to other international companies, being in a customs union and single market would be ideal. Hopefully having some say in those would be great! Doing business with non-EU/EEA countries is a massive pain.

That would be my stance too.

To clarify - discussing the negative impacts that Brexit is cited to bring or has brought is not some kind of conspiracy to thwart Brexit. What I find particularly interesting is how the Irish border can be solved. That tin can has been well and truly kicked down the road and because it's not being discussed right now, doesn't mean it's gone away. A hard Brexit would mean a hard border no ifs and buts and maybes. Theresa May has promised no hard border but David Davis has now said that a hard Brexit is a possibility. So many contradictory statements from our government.

Sephiroth 24-06-2018 15:08

Re: Brexit discussion
 
A hard borderin Ireland would be introduced by the EU not the Uk. And serve them right. When Ireland was up schmitt creek in 2008, we bailed our friends out with a 7 billion loan. That’s how they thank us by playng the Good Friday card (the Agreementdoesn’t even mention the border).

The border thing is just an EU wheeze to keep us in the Customs Union.

Just as well that May’s backstop is covered by nothing is agree till everything is agreed.

1andrew1 24-06-2018 15:21

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951645)
A hard borderin Ireland would be introduced by the EU not the Uk. And serve them right. When Ireland was up schmitt creek in 2008, we bailed our friends out with a 7 billion loan. That’s how they thank us by playng the Good Friday card (the Agreementdoesn’t even mention the border).

The border thing is just an EU wheeze to keep us in the Customs Union.

Just as well that May’s backstop is covered by nothing is agree till everything is agreed.

Factually incorrect. To trade on WTO rules, you need a hard border. So the UK and Ireland would need one in place in the event of a no-deal Brexit. So, nothing's being played, this is a reality.

Chloé Palmas 24-06-2018 15:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951596)
You are right to call out those who come out with this fascist rubbish.

Thank you - the kind of response from you does set my mind at ease that the majority of people here do not espouse the views that Hom3r was advocating and I was unsure if he meant it or not - I assumed that it was either a very crass joke or just flippant sarcasm.

The definition was perfect on your part - his comments specifically espouse the doctrine of fascism.

Quote:

But please do not tar all Brexiters with that brush as you (possibly unintentionally) have done.
Yeah it sadly does pass off the impression of what Roger Helmer did through his parliamentary run - tar and feather the entire party of UKIP as voluntary repatriation proponents when nothing could be further from the truth.

Farage of all people even said after the debate that the first thing that Britain should do is unilaterally guarantee the rights of all EU citizens otherwise it makes Britain look like a banana republic. Sadly with views like hom3r's (if serious) make the UK look exactly like that - labelled as a banana Republic.

Thank you again for your post - it would indeed be wrong to see everyone who voted leave labelled as those of having crazy views and I hate the idea of that - whether it is in regards to gender / race / nationality / age etc etc.

More sane people who voted leave coming forward with their own opinions / views will expand the debate and the more voices the more rational the issue will be, because most of us still have faith that the decency of human beings (whatever side of the aisle that you are on) will prevail - shutting out people from the debate / out of the country is exactly what you described it as - the precursor to fascism.

Sephiroth 24-06-2018 16:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951647)
Factually incorrect. To trade on WTO rules, you need a hard border. So the UK and Ireland would need one in place in the event of a no-deal Brexit. So, nothing's being played, this is a reality.

You may well be right about WTO rules. But that was fathest from my mind. Up front was the EU/Irish ploy at using the Good Friday Agreement as a means of making life easier for Ireland. The perfidious Varadkar had WTO farthest from his mind when he commenced his perfidy.

---------- Post added at 15:09 ---------- Previous post was at 15:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chloé Palmas (Post 35951648)
Thank you - the kind of response from you does set my mind at ease that the majority of people here do not espouse the views that Hom3r was advocating and I was unsure if he meant it or not - I assumed that it was either a very crass joke or just flippant sarcasm.

The definition was perfect on your part - his comments specifically espouse the doctrine of fascism.



Yeah it sadly does pass off the impression of what Roger Helmer did through his parliamentary run - tar and feather the entire party of UKIP as voluntary repatriation proponents when nothing could be further from the truth.

Farage of all people even said after the debate that the first thing that Britain should do is unilaterally guarantee the rights of all EU citizens otherwise it makes Britain look like a banana republic. Sadly with views like hom3r's (if serious) make the UK look exactly like that - labelled as a banana Republic.

Thank you again for your post - it would indeed be wrong to see everyone who voted leave labelled as those of having crazy views and I hate the idea of that - whether it is in regards to gender / race / nationality / age etc etc.

More sane people who voted leave coming forward with their own opinions / views will expand the debate and the more voices the more rational the issue will be, because most of us still have faith that the decency of human beings (whatever side of the aisle that you are on) will prevail - shutting out people from the debate / out of the country is exactly what you described it as - the precursor to fascism.

Your kind words about me are appreciated.

ianch99 24-06-2018 18:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951596)
You are right to call out those who come out with this fascist rubbish.

But please do not tar all Brexiters with that brush as you (possibly unintentionally) have done.

People here are going into the square root of Airbus, BMW and using it as an argument not to let the Referendum result prevail. Sure, try to get a good deal (those Brussels turds don't want us to have a reasonable deal); obviously no deal is better than a bad deal. As I say, the UK is of sufficient critical mass to make a thorough go of things.

But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

I suspect that those remainers on this forum who are provoking this Project Fear stuff will avoid a direct answer to my question. Or they'll dance around it and change the question.

Just get on with Brexit.

You say "do not tar all Brexiters with that brush" but then you paint yourself with another: "those Brussels turds". Using such language encourages no-one to enter into a serious adult debate.

---------- Post added at 16:51 ---------- Previous post was at 16:45 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951570)
I've said that we're more than 60 million people. That's enough to make a success of our country with both its buying power and its in-house skills

You keep saying this but having that many people in your country does not preordain economic prosperity. Don't forget a lot of our "in-house skills" as you put it are vulnerable to Multinationals deciding to off shore them if the economic outlook is not favourable to them.

The industry I work in, IT, has seen many highly skilled UK workers made redundant not because they were not skilled or productive but because the company wanted to employ cheaper staff in Eastern Europe, India, China, etc.

---------- Post added at 16:55 ---------- Previous post was at 16:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951596)
But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

I suspect that those remainers on this forum who are provoking this Project Fear stuff will avoid a direct answer to my question. Or they'll dance around it and change the question.

Just get on with Brexit.

Just a reminder that we are a sovereign state, just not in the way you want.

I had thought we had left behind the childish Project Fear labelling. If you object to the information presented, just explain why it is wrong and present your own counter argument, backed by facts.

---------- Post added at 17:02 ---------- Previous post was at 16:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951605)
Bless you. Do forgive me for going in rather hard. The 'other side' don't want to acknowledge such matters as German hegemony and are thus content to be EU rule takers. That is the 48/52 divide.

On the point of having question answered, you didn't! The question was:

But the nub of all this is are we to be the vassal state of the EU or do we plough our own furrow as a sovereign state?

You got into the logic of the term "vassal state" but avoided answering the nub as to reverting to a sovereign state.

Do you want the UK to be part of a federal Europe? In the EU but not in the federal arrangement? Out of the EU but vassal by being a rule taker? Out of the EU and fully sovereign?





Not true, I for one tried to reply to your assertion that the EU is a project designed to make Germany richer. You just do not like the answers.

I was in Berlin a couple of weeks ago and after visiting the various WWII institutions, can clearly understand why they are motivated in the way they are and why they are so nervous of the rise of nationalism across Europe.

As Churchill said in 1957:

Quote:

We genuinely wish to join a European free trade area – and if our continental friends wish to reach agreement, I am quite sure a way can be found and that reasonable adjustments can be made to meet the essential interests of all.
I feel he would saddened by the attitude of many in the UK ..

---------- Post added at 17:09 ---------- Previous post was at 17:02 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951654)
You may well be right about WTO rules. But that was fathest from my mind. Up front was the EU/Irish ploy at using the Good Friday Agreement as a means of making life easier for Ireland. The perfidious Varadkar had WTO farthest from his mind when he commenced his perfidy.

What is it with "perfidy"? :)

Don't you see the job of the EU, which includes Eire, is to get the best outcome for their members, not for us. We are the ones who are divorcing them! Maybe we can get a divorce on the grounds of our mental incapacity ;)

Sephiroth 24-06-2018 18:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951665)
You say "do not tar all Brexiters with that brush" but then you paint yourself with another: "those Brussels turds". Using such language encourages no-one to enter into a serious adult debate. [SEPH]: One has nothing to do with the other. A fascistic remark by one person does not equate to and adjectival noun used to describe the turds in Brussels trying to screw us. As to your "serious adult debate" point - oh please.

---------- Post added at 16:51 ---------- Previous post was at 16:45 ----------



You keep saying this but having that many people in your country does not preordain economic prosperity. Don't forget a lot of our "in-house skills" as you put it are vulnerable to Multinationals deciding to off shore them if the economic outlook is not favourable to them. [SEPH]: Try being positive about our people and indeed those non-nationals who will continue with their lives in the UK.

The industry I work in, IT, has seen many highly skilled UK workers made redundant not because they were not skilled or productive but because the company wanted to employ cheaper staff in Eastern Europe, India, China, etc.[SEPH]: What's that got to do with Brexit? Also your argument runs counter to the daily news that we are short of IT skills due to immigration targets being reached.

---------- Post added at 16:55 ---------- Previous post was at 16:51 ----------



Just a reminder that we are a sovereign state, just not in the way you want.

I had thought we had left behind the childish Project Fear labelling. If you object to the information presented, just explain why it is wrong and present your own counter argument, backed by facts. [SEPH]: What on earth are you on about? Nothing I have argued has the slightest touch of Project Fear. I merely argue that the UK has voted to leave the EU in the Referendum (and that obviously means the major institutions of the Customs Union and Single Market). I have also explained how Germany has engineered the Euro for its advantage and has engineered Greece into a vassal state. These, and Brussels Commission are people from whom I'd like to get away.



---------- Post added at 17:32 ---------- Previous post was at 17:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951665)

Not true, I for one tried to reply to your assertion that the EU is a project designed to make Germany richer. You just do not like the answers. [SEPH]: Maybe I missed that reply. But I certainly DID NOT say that the EU was a project designed to make Germany richer. I was very clear that Germany has engineered the Euro to its advantage (I explained that in great detail much earlier in this thread). Right now it is protecting its 8% surplus in spite of it being illegal. German hegemony is at work.

I was in Berlin a couple of weeks ago and after visiting the various WWII institutions, can clearly understand why they are motivated in the way they are and why they are so nervous of the rise of nationalism across Europe. [SEPH]: Are you telling me that German hegemony today is motivated by their World War 2 experience? You didn't mean Deutschland Ueber Alles but that's their plan in the economic sense. If you can't see that then you are blind to reason.

As Churchill said in 1957: [SEPH]: What did Churchill say in 1957?

I feel he would saddened by the attitude of many in the UK ..

---------- Post added at 17:09 ---------- Previous post was at 17:02 ----------



What is it with "perfidy"? :)

Don't you see the job of the EU, which includes Eire, is to get the best outcome for their members, not for us. We are the ones who are divorcing them! Maybe we can get a divorce on the grounds of our mental incapacity ;)[SEPH]: The perfidy is obvious. The EU and Ireland are hiding behind the Good Friday Agreement to try and force our hand. How about you standing up for things that the UK wants? We are divorcing from them because a Referendum instructed us to. The perfidious Varadkar has forgotten how we came to Ireland's economic rescue. Now he's part of the scheme to stiff us. Don't stand up for the EU and its tricks.


OLD BOY 24-06-2018 20:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35951647)
Factually incorrect. To trade on WTO rules, you need a hard border. So the UK and Ireland would need one in place in the event of a no-deal Brexit. So, nothing's being played, this is a reality.

The problem is, Andrew, you see every difficulty as an insurmountable problem.

As an example, one simple way of overcoming the border issue between Ireland and Northern Ireland is to give NI membership of the WTO in its own right. That particular solution was put forward by Pascal Lamy himself, who is the former Head of the WTO.

As I have said many times before on this thread, solutions to intractable problems are often found by thinking outside of the box.

The NI border issue is a complete red herring and is not a 'barrier' to a successful Brexit. Solutions are available, although Barnier seems to enjoy rejecting everything put in front of him. He'd better make the most of it, because the clock is ticking (tick tock :D) and it will soon be time for him to get real and stop messing about.

TheDaddy 24-06-2018 20:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951695)
The problem is, Andrew, you see every difficulty as an insurmountable problem.

As an example, one simple way of overcoming the border issue between Ireland and Northern Ireland is to give NI membership of the WTO in its own right. That particular solution was put forward by Pascal Lamy himself, who is the former Head of the WTO.

As I have said many times before on this thread, solutions to intractable problems are often found by thinking outside of the box.

The NI border issue is a complete red herring and is not a 'barrier' to a successful Brexit. Solutions are available, although Barnier seems to enjoy rejecting everything put in front of him. He'd better make the most of it, because the clock is ticking (tick tock :D) and it will soon be time for him to get real and stop messing about.

Barney knows that, it's bluff pure and simple and I like the rhetoric we are using, no deal is back on the table, as is the prospect of losing our contributions fully and having a neighbour who doesn't give a toss about his fair and level playing field. All this talk of businesses leaving is all to do with money to, they're worried their bottom line will be effected, that's why imo the end deal will look remarkably similar to what we have now in all respects and the only people that'll upset is the extremists on both sides and who frankly gives a toss about them

ianch99 24-06-2018 23:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951681)
You say "do not tar all Brexiters with that brush" but then you paint yourself with another: "those Brussels turds". Using such language encourages no-one to enter into a serious adult debate. [SEPH]: One has nothing to do with the other. A fascistic remark by one person does not equate to and adjectival noun used to describe the turds in Brussels trying to screw us. As to your "serious adult debate" point - oh please.

I did not say that they had something to do with each other. Your use of such adjectives to describe the EU betrays a lack of objectivity. You seem blinded by your hatred of the Eu to assess what might be a reasonable compromise.

You equate the use of the "turds in Brussels trying to screw us" as "serious adult debate"? Nil points from the UK jury :)

Chloé Palmas 24-06-2018 23:52

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951695)
As an example, one simple way of overcoming the border issue between Ireland and Northern Ireland is to give NI membership of the WTO in its own right. That particular solution was put forward by Pascal Lamy himself, who is the former Head of the WTO.

When May was given the option of leaving NI in the CU to avoid a hard border, she said that would likely infringe upon UK sovereignty / might lead to a different differential deal for different parts of the union that not only angered the Scottish nationalists but apparently could risk the Union altogether ; now you are suggesting giving specific membership to NI in regards to the WTO and apparently that is not an issue of UK sovereignty / going to anger the SNP etc???

How is that possible - without involving an analogy of having cake, eating it too - drinking milk with it and having honey etc. I want to hear this....I can't wait.

1andrew1 25-06-2018 00:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35951695)
The problem is, Andrew, you see every difficulty as an insurmountable problem.

As an example, one simple way of overcoming the border issue between Ireland and Northern Ireland is to give NI membership of the WTO in its own right. That particular solution was put forward by Pascal Lamy himself, who is the former Head of the WTO.

As I have said many times before on this thread, solutions to intractable problems are often found by thinking outside of the box.

The NI border issue is a complete red herring and is not a 'barrier' to a successful Brexit. Solutions are available, although Barnier seems to enjoy rejecting everything put in front of him. He'd better make the most of it, because the clock is ticking (tick tock :D) and it will soon be time for him to get real and stop messing about.

I don't see every difficulty as an insurmountable problem, Old Boy. That's unfair. There were a number of quick wins with Brexit like equal settlement rights for EU27 citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU 27 countries.

I do think that the Irish border presents a very, very difficult and fascinating situation to solve.
Giving Northern Ireland membership of the WTO won't solve the issue. NI and Eire need something akin to a customs union and single market for a soft border and this on its own would not achieve it. That's what you'll find Pascal Lamy was talking about. This of course creates a hard border between Great Britain and Northern Ireland and is unacceptable to the DUP.
The following quote gives some insight into Pascal Lamy's thoughts which I think you will find instructive.
Quote:

Lamy suggested one solution would be for the UK to give Northern Ireland the power to operate its own trade policy.
He cited the example of Macau in south-west China, which has a seat at the WTO as Beijing has allowed it to operate its own trade and customs policies.
Yet he acknowledged that even that arrangement would see the need for a border, either “north/south” or “east/west”.

“That’s an extremely politically complex question,” he added.
When asked by the DUP’s Sammy Wilson if a physical border along the land boundary is the only way of complying with the requirements of the WTO, Lamy replied: “Yes. That’s my view.
“I find the concept of a virtual border extremely interesting, attractive. But I’ve never seen a virtual border.”
He added that Sweden and Norway – respectively inside and outside the customs union – has border posts.
When asked if he could think of any examples of a “completely invisible” border between countries separated by a customs union, Lamy replied: “I can’t think of any examples of this kind.”
The Irish border situation has been unsolved for two years now so 24 months' thinking hasn't come up with a solution acceptable to the Brexiters, DUP or the Irish Republic.

I'm not sure why you're bothererd about Barnier. The UK Government hasn't actually proposed a solution to the border issue yet due to internal divisions. Both solutions under consideration are unacceptable to Ireland and the EU.
Quote:

Mrs May’s allies say the Chequers summit is likely to come down in favour of a variant of the so-called “maximum facilitation” customs proposal, which would use technology and trusted trader schemes to minimise disruption at the Irish border — but not remove it altogether. “It won’t run and there isn’t a single supporter of it in the EU and they won’t ever agree it,” Sir Ivan Rogers, Britain’s former ambassador to the EU, told an FT conference this month.
https://www.ft.com/content/f67f71f4-...1-31da4279a601

Sephiroth 25-06-2018 09:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35951702)
I did not say that they had something to do with each other. Your use of such adjectives to describe the EU betrays a lack of objectivity. You seem blinded by your hatred of the Eu to assess what might be a reasonable compromise.

You equate the use of the "turds in Brussels trying to screw us" as "serious adult debate"? Nil points from the UK jury :)

come off your high horse. You are not the UK jury. If the turds in Brussels deserve that description, then they shall have that description. I wouldn’t be far out in estimating that more than 17 million people agree with my characterisation.

And there you go again - assuming that I hate the EU. I don’t. I regard the German government as hegemonist, the French President as a wannabe, the combination of France and Germany as a further hegemonist force and the Brussels EU commission as a bunch of unelected turds (based on how they treating us with so much contempt). The use of the words “turd” and “screw” do not lessen the value of what I am saying; the words reinforce the value.

1andrew1 25-06-2018 10:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951715)
come off your high horse. You are not the UK jury. If the turds in Brussels deserve that description, then they shall have that description. I wouldn’t be far out in estimating that more than 17 million people agree with my characterisation.

And there you go again - assuming that I hate the EU. I don’t. I regard the German government as hegemonist, the French President as a wannabe, the combination of France and Germany as a further hegemonist force and the Brussels EU commission as a bunch of unelected turds (based on how they treating us with so much contempt). The use of the words “turd” and “screw” do not lessen the value of what I am saying; the words reinforce the value.

You may think that the use of such adjectives do not weaken what you're saying but that doesn't mean that they don't.

papa smurf 25-06-2018 10:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
:clap::clap::clap:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35951715)
come off your high horse. You are not the UK jury. If the turds in Brussels deserve that description, then they shall have that description. I wouldn’t be far out in estimating that more than 17 million people agree with my characterisation.

And there you go again - assuming that I hate the EU. I don’t. I regard the German government as hegemonist, the French President as a wannabe, the combination of France and Germany as a further hegemonist force and the Brussels EU commission as a bunch of unelected turds (based on how they treating us with so much contempt). The use of the words “turd” and “screw” do not lessen the value of what I am saying; the words reinforce the value.

:clap::clap::clap:


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