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Ooops!
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...igns-breaking/ Quote:
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Heathrow Airport is to trial temperature screening technology to monitor people moving through the airport for signs of coronavirus.
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...ology-11983947 |
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From another thread (where the topic was drifting) - the conversation belongs in this thread.
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People are entitled to put their opinions, so I have to disagree with you on that point.
Others, however, are entitled to challenge those opinions... |
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It's always good to stand back a bit and see if it makes sense before just quoting something like that and expecting everyone to believe it. I could have been eating butter all these years instead of that foul smelling Flora had it not been for 'scientific advice'. ---------- Post added at 19:33 ---------- Previous post was at 19:32 ---------- Quote:
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But you haven’t quoted anything - just repeatedly stated
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You must be basing this on something, but we have no idea what...:confused: Five weeks ago you weren’t reticent about quoting things Quote:
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Cummings's bot farm is really pumping out the propaganda. I mean who is stupid enough to believe this sort of rubbish?
https://twitter.com/Ian_Fraser/statu...84202117578754 Quote:
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Perhaps Pierre is a bot too? https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=2370 |
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We count anyone who tested positive, regardless of the actual cause of death. |
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The Bank of England outlines the scale of the Covid-19 shock to the economy.
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I have said before that this virus is highly infectious, and you can see how fast it spread from just one person bringing it into the UK. Right now, we have a lot of people infected, so you need to ask yourself why the infection will not gather pace again once restrictions are eased or lifted. We cannot have a lockdown in place forever. That is why the virus will pep up again, either pretty quickly, or maybe when we are out of the summer months. As you want a link, well here's one. It wasn't hard to find, https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...umn-ministers/ Government advisers have warned ministers that a tighter lockdown will lead to a second outbreak of coronavirus later this year. Putting in place "very stringent" measures of the sort seen in Hong Kong and China could just delay the peak until after the restrictions were lifted, potentially into the autumn, official modelling found. It comes amid repeated warnings from ministers that the Government will tighten social distancing measures, including a ban on exercising outdoors, if it is shown that people are not complying with the rules. Senior police officers have warned that any further restrictions would be difficult to enforce. The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) report on the "potential impact of behavioural and social intervention" casts doubt on whether a tighter lockdown would be effective. It shows that the largest number of deaths would occur if there was no intervention, which in the UK was estimated at around 500,000. If some measures were implemented to "moderately reduce transmission", which could include people changing their behaviour without intervention, then the deaths would have reduced slightly and the peak delayed, the summary, presented to the Government last month, concluded. However, a similarly high peak would be seen later in the year if "very stringent behavioural and social interventions" were put into effect, the scientists predicted. Whilst flattening the cases in the short term, "when lifted, a large epidemic would likely follow". Depending how long they were in place, this could peak in the autumn, ministers were told. The current strategy of "behavioural and social interventions which further reduce transmission" were most likely to flatten the curve with a much lower peak in the early summer. Imposing restrictions such as those in Wuhan, which saw people confined to their homes, and then rapidly lifting them "may result in a subsequent second larger peak", the experts said. |
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Apparently the NHS are considering a u-turn on its contact-tracing app with a possible switch to the Apple and Google models.
(Behind Paywalls) https://www.ft.com/content/d44beb06-...0-f806ce06576c https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-apple-google/ |
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So, late and unusable PPE bought from Turkey...I wonder how Boris will try and spin that in to being a “success”.
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But the Government should be given due credit for trying. |
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They're working with a company in Switzerland I believe. (can't access those paywall sites but i saw something reading Apple news at 4am ish this morning) There's an issue with the app running in the background (which any half decent iOS dev would of known about in the first place) |
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https://www.theregister.co.uk/2020/0...ronavirus_app/ |
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It's going to take time...
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Well my husband has finally received notification from the NHS that he needs to stay in lockdown until the 30th of June.
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Many unanswered questions, e.g Can you travel via car/motorbike to sunbathe/have a picnic? If so, how far can you travel? As the weather gets better places like Whitby, Scarbrough, Seahouses & Bamburgh will get rammed. |
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According to the Centre of Policy Studies costs due to Coronavirus borrowing could hit £300bn .
The following link also includes a breakdown of the Coronavirus costs up to 20/04/2020 https://www.cps.org.uk/media/press-r...onavirus-rise/ Apologies if the CPS is not regarded as a legitimate source of information. |
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When he was asked, the guy from the NHS (Professor Chris Witty IIRC) said that the government app would only store an identifier on the device. If the user reported symptoms later, this would then upload the device id and other relevant data to an NHS server, thus allowing the NHS to contact other potential victims, and track the infection. A few slight problems with this approach though:
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Think tanks always have a political leaning. Individuals always have a political leaning. There's nothing wrong with that, and to be honest the points of view that concern me are the ones coming from those who deny they have a bias. If they're that lacking in self awareness then their ability to analyse anything external to themselves must be similarly suspect.
CPS is of the centre right, The Fabian Society, to take a random example, is of the centre left. Both have a legitimate voice in the city square of debate. |
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Will we have access to any EU funding to help with Covid-19 seeing as we are still paying in at this point in time?
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Something worth noting for us Taffs....(excuse the crap spelling)
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That said it makes sense that the UK as a whole comes out of lockdown together. Make it a political thing though if you want, DILLIGAF! |
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Don’t take his name in vain.
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What's going on?
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A Dr who treated my mum in our local hospital called my sister.
She is only one of 3 people in the UK that has been paralysed by the Coronavirus, they wanted to know is she willing to be in medical journals. She has said yes as she has neurofibromatosis and was in The Lancet for that. He also said to push for physiotherapy when lockdown end, as there is a slim chance that she may get sensation back below the knees. |
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“healing microbes in the saltwater” and “sequences” in the sand that protect against the coronavirus.
Might i point out that no beach on the planet has contracted the virus,it only seems attracted to people ;) |
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True that . . . . it doesn't seem to affect the rate the lawn grows either :scratch: maybe we could join forces for a youtube video on our scientific thesis A marketable drink containing Chlorophyll and Sea Salt is next up :D |
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Indeed https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1588931999 |
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-52519853 |
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Initial independent testing by labs running jailbroken iPhones suggests that the NHS contact tracing app developers have indeed found a way round the issues many claimed would prevent the app running effectively in the background for any length of time.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-52579547 The NHS has now released the app's source code on GitHub, so further independent scrutiny can occur over the weekend. |
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Seems an awful lot of time and effort is being put into something that (IMO) isn't going to be any better than the current 'self isolation' procedure already in place.
Currently, if you think you have the symptoms you self isolate (and hopefully contact people you've been around) With the app (from what I can see), you have to correctly and accurately input your symptoms then wait for a test kit. When the test is identified as positive, your phone tells everyone you have it . . . if everyone has the app running constantly. It all seems very hit & miss to me, like buying something cheap off Ebay and hoping it works when it arrives :erm: |
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How many on the bus were carriers with no symptoms? |
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So all people have to do to get the iOS app to work is jailbreak their device? That’s possibly the most ridiculous testing strategy I’ve heard I can see Apple being incredibly impressed |
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The research company used jail broken phones because it allowed them to monitor the way the app worked and how phones responded to Bluetooth detection. At no point does it suggest the app worked better because the test devices were jail broken. |
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I wonder how long it will be before Apple & Google "fix" whatever allows them to get round their restrictions.
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The problem remains that iOS doesn't allow apps to broadcast out in the background. It listens but it doesn't send. The theory was that the developers used this to allow Android phones to 'wake' the iPhones again by asking them to do something. Maybe the developers have found a way to do this with iOS apps too but that would essentially mean they're using a dodgy workaround to make iPhones ping each other, keeping the app alive, allowing them to ping for a bit longer. In other words it depends on a critical mass of phones constantly pinging each other to stay alive, the app will consistently be on the verge of terminating. So in real world use the questions will be if this can hold up when moving in and out of range constantly, if airplane mode will terminate it, if iOS moves it out of memory if it backgrounds for too long, how often the app needs to be opened and so on. If they really have found a solution that works credit to them and I doubt Apple will patch it out just yet as the PR would be damaging. However anyone building on a loophole in the system should expect that loophole to be closed either intentionally on unintentional. |
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El Gov. have a history of IT projects that end in failure so I don't expect the mould to be broken.
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Very intersting article from a respected source in the Lancet HERE
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Be interesting to see if this statement holds up: Quote:
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You don’t, so how about you be quiet? There’s a good chap. |
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In particular: Measures to flatten the curve might have an effect, but a lockdown only pushes the severe cases into the future —it will not prevent them. Admittedly, countries have managed to slow down spread so as not to overburden health-care systems, and, yes, effective drugs that save lives might soon be developed, but this pandemic is swift, and those drugs have to be developed, tested, and marketed quickly. Much hope is put in vaccines, but they will take time, and with the unclear protective immunological response to infection, it is not certain that vaccines will be very effective. Nice to have my view of this confirmed in 'The Lancet', but of course that won't impress jfman who will undoubtedly find someting obscure to rubbish the whole idea! Oh, look! |
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You will know the Lancet contains published material from a wide range of scientists, some of whom will offer contradictory opinions on a wide range of matters with the aim of facilitating further research or discussion. As you say, this one plays into your pre-existing mindset. |
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An interesting take, it could go some way to back up our First Minister giving us slightly more freedom from Monday:
https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...laims-11985343 |
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As the lockdown eases gradually we can take confidence. |
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98% of X can never be known. You can reverse engineer X because the so called 2% is reported. Based on 211K positive tests, that would mean to date 10.6M had the virus but never knew it. |
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Mrs Pierre and I often go to London several times a month. Mrs Pierre developed a cough and some kind of Respiratory issue before In December. So we don’t know if she had it or not and I would suggest there are many thousands in our situation. It would be good to know one way or the other. |
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The government is talking about quarantine all flights with e exception of flights from certain countries from the end of the month while the rest of the UK is under lock down. They should have been doing weeks ago, so much for Best Scientific advice!
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https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a...cbb3825b6981f9 (Readable link)
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Even though the death toll in Sweden is higher in total than the surrounding countries of Denmark, Norway, and Finland. https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-...ronavirus.html Quote:
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If we are detecting 5,000 cases a day his theory is that at the same time roughly 250,000 to 500,000 silent infections are taking place. We are also not testing some symptomatic people (e.g. those working from home just now) so these figures could be even higher.
As Seph says the numbers infected up to now would be over 10 million (possibly as high as 20 million). Herd immunity would be achieved sometime in the next 2-6 months under the present conditions. Pubs open in time for the office Christmas parties. |
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(I wouldn't go). |
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I have read the thread and the linked articles. I'll ask again, why a test using Jailbroken iPhones is meaningful in this discussion? The number of Jailbroken iPhones is so small as to be statistically meaningless. Apple is also constanting plugging the exploits that allows the Jailbreak in the first place. It seems that you were trying to demonstrate that the Government's decision to write their own App even when they were told it would not work as intended was a good one and not just another example of "we know better"? ---------- Post added at 11:28 ---------- Previous post was at 11:23 ---------- Quote:
It would be a bold move to relax the lockdown based on herd immunity when it does not exist in the form most people might understand it. |
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As Seph pointed out in post 3085 I don't agree with the article in the Lancet - I'm playing along though for the analysis.
If it's a thing though and the figures I've posted above hold up then arguably it justifies extending the lockdown - after all it would be time limited. Restrictions gradually eased from June/July wouldn't see significant spikes if the theory holds. Further lifting of restrictions from August/September and things could be back to normal not long after that. Re: the jailbroken iPhones. The jailbroken phone is required to let them delve further into the behaviour of the app. The intention is the final app once designed can run on iPhones that aren't jailbroken. |
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https://www.zdnet.com/article/google...CAD-03-10abf6j |
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The researchers use jail broken phones so they can verify that the app is working as claimed. Jail broken phones allow unauthorised apps to be run, that reveal things normally hidden to users. The jail broken state of the phone is of no relevance beyond providing evidence that the tracing app seems to work as intended. Quote:
Go figure. :shrug: |
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