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Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
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Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
In a post Covid world all economies are under pressure, only a fool would try find a way to delay trade or make it harder.
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Japan won't just grant us the great deal we have at the moment and then negotiate down a worse one! It will compel us to start from ground zero and build up from that. ---------- Post added at 21:28 ---------- Previous post was at 21:24 ---------- Quote:
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If they can't come to an agreement in 6 weeks they carry on and it can be ratified early next year. |
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Sadly, I think BoJo only has ears for Cummings so is happy to throw British business under the bus.
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Somewhat more convincing than Mark Francois' recent comedic effort. https://www.indy100.com/article/mark...er-erg-9592926 |
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Why on earth would Boris be "happy ...."? That is unqualified prejudice. |
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Drop in the ocean when you look at ALL the company chiefs, entrepreneurs and business groups in the UK. Oh, couldn't be bothered to read yet another FT article whining about leaving the EU, so no idea how many of this 'more than 100' are owned/part owned by foreign chappies ;) |
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There's always been a divide in the Conservative Party between self-made wealth (Thatcherism, free trade) and inherited wealth (protectionism, state punts in areas like OneWeb). The latter approach tends to be worse for business. |
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I've been a Conservative Party member since 1983 with no self-made wealth and nothing inherited (then not massive) until 8 years ago. The only divide I've noticed is pro-EU & anti-EU. Back in 1995, the "divide" was such that when John Redwood challenged John Major for leadership of the party, his Leave wing only amounted to 27% of the 307 voted MPs. 25 years later, John's got his wish and my sense of the party as a whole (but of course I haven't met them all) is that we are united in the current track. |
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The point of Brexit is to get trading conditions more favourable to us. Similarly, the USA is running around trying to get trade deals more beneficial to it. This isn’t about reducing trade barriers at all. It’s about protectionism. |
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The double whammy here (or triple if you count Covid) is that the people how are attempting to pursue this mission are part of this incompetent Vote Leave Government. So we are left with the equation to pursue a flawed mission implemented by idiots. That's going to go well .. ---------- Post added at 08:45 ---------- Previous post was at 08:38 ---------- Quote:
Compared to the Tory Party of the 50's & 60's, this version is a pale but dangerous imitation .. |
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We need to find a way were both parties walk away thinking they have done well, that is the art of negotiation. |
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“Complete bullshit” is I think your preferred parlance. Delayed trade and stifling trade is the main objective of protectionism. Trade where it suits, restrict where it doesn’t. |
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The Party of the 50s/60s is a total irrelevance and I'm surprised you bring that into play. Your perspective is entirely one of a Remainer with disregard for the Referendum and GE result. All we want now is a fair trade deal with the EU and common sense over there might yet prevail. |
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The Conservative Party is home to traditional free traders who might have voted Whig back in the day. So, that's people like Margaret Thatcher, pro-privatisation and free trade. It's also home to the traditional landowners, family companies etc who favour a more protectionist approach and are not so against state intervention. That's represented by the current Government. Of course, it's far more nuanced than this but I've already drifted off topic. ;) |
Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
2018: 1andrew1. If the UK leaves the Customs Union and Eire remains in it, you can't have a seamless border between Northern Ireland and Eire as well as between Northern Ireland and GB . Something has to give. The EU has offered a solution that NI remains in the Customs Union which effectively puts a border down the Irish Sea.
2018: Protagonist. Don't be so damn realistic, sorry pessimistic! There's some new untested unicorn technology being offered by the team behind the NHS National Programme for IT. It will be world-beating. You just need to believe more. Wait and see! 2019. Boris Johnson. No border in the Irish Sea as a result of my Brexit deal. Trust me. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-50430815 2020: Application for border posts at ports sent to EU https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northe...m3=BBC+News+NI |
Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
More half-baked plans than oven-ready ones!
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Pesky Commonwealth country refuses to accept that it needs us more than we need it!
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The UK's final relationship with the EU is a material consideration for the Canucks as they consider the extent to which they can drop trade barriers with us. This is hardly surprising.
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Oops, well at least it was in July. :dunce::
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I was half asleep earlier, might even have dreamt it, did Gove say we are going to spend hundreds of millions on border controls? Weren't we told over and over that there was no need for them
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-53375713
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You were replying to Den’s link, not Maggy’s, and your text wasn’t in the quote that Maggy provided.
Do not argue with Mod instructions, please. |
Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
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So why haven't they? Instead, they are spending millions on no-deal preparations which would be unnecessary if the deal was actually as oven ready as Boris Johnson told us it was. |
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So why haven't they??
They already have, and it ends on 31 December 2020. |
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The ERG’s in-house newspaper states Quote:
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oh, I must be behind the times (probably an age thing), but I thought the 'transition period' still ended Dec 31st? No matter though, everything is up in the air at the moment ;) |
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From your link. Quote:
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Negotiations on the next stage couldn't start until after the WA came into force and we had left the EU. Even if the issue(UK geographical indications) raised in that article had been fully addressed at the time, it would still need addressing for the future. The problem with accepting a "bad deal" is related to how long that deal applies. If the EU was allowed to get away with this in the deal for the future, then it would be fixed for eternity, not just for less than a year. |
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As BJ said 3 weeks before the Election Quote:
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I think The Daddy meant that Ashford was huge swathes of Kent, not the lorry park itself. |
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Here we go again. I see some are up to the same as before. I have been sick of reading the same "leavers voted the wrong way bullshit", from the Remain side for the last 4 years. You are ALL, (Remain side) getting boring now! :zzz: We have now left and the transition period ends at the end of the year and that is what Democracy decided, several times, in several democratic processes. Liberal Democrats who vowed a vote for them, was a vote to stop Brexit, that they would revoke article 50, but they absolutely got wasted in December 2019, so if somehow you are still claiming that the country did not absolutely want to the leave the EU, then you are lying and lying to yourself, not only did the Illiberal Undemocrats lose their leader, they also lost several of the key remain alliance MPs and good riddance to them as well! |
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You appear to be stating that our chief negotiator and our Prime Minister are mistaken? :confused: |
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You won, Mick. You should relax and be happy about it rather than extraordinarily bitter. Getting the best trade deals we can is a common objective, surely? |
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Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
Don't know about Mick, but I'm happy and relaxed about it.
It seems there are still some who aren't though ;) |
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Words fail me to describe the way this government is harming British business and making the UK's productivity even lower. If Brexit doesn't gift the key to No.10 to another party for multiple Parliaments, nothing will!
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I've counted off plenty of lies made by your losing side. My sensibilities? :rofl: Utterly laughable, you're the one whose been crying because you did not get your own way with stupid mass walks in London, to "stop brexit", well take a look around Buster, we are leaving and about bloody time! Nothing you or your side says anymore matters, we won and we are getting what we voted for. ---------- Post added at 23:43 ---------- Previous post was at 23:38 ---------- Quote:
Poland next on the cards seeing as a Euro-sceptic won the elections yesterday. ---------- Post added at 23:52 ---------- Previous post was at 23:43 ---------- Quote:
Democracy finally won. They lost when they pathetically tried to hi-jack this process by trying to overturn it or by claiming it's not what they country voted for. Wrong again. ---------- Post added 14-07-2020 at 00:07 ---------- Previous post was 13-07-2020 at 23:52 ---------- Quote:
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I'm not sure what you are trying to prove with all these negative stories and comments, Andrew - we are leaving. You may as well accept that. And also, accept that we live in a democracy - we voted out, and that's where we are heading. ---------- Post added at 09:20 ---------- Previous post was at 09:16 ---------- Quote:
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Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
The lesson that has come out of the ERG's dissatisfaction with the current withdrawal agreement is that it was negotiated against tight deadlines and the EU gained the upper hand as a result.
Johnson had the opportunity to learn from this mistake and to extend the withdrawal agreement so the UK was not in such a situation when negotiating the rea. long-terml trade deal. However, he chose not to and as a result, the UK is likely to get a worse deal than if he had. Like all remain voters I know, we've accepted the result and want the best deal for the country. The quickest deal is in conflict to the best. Worst-case scenario for the Conservatives is Brexit becomes Labour's useless idiot and unlocks the door to many years of Labour in the same way that Corbyn goifted multiple terms to the Conservatives. The Government has acknowledged that austerity was a choice and it's not so much Rishi Sunak's magic money tree now but Rishi Sunak's magic money forest thus removing the Conservatives' traditional USP. |
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Yeah sure. *Cough* Bullshit *Cough*. Your precious EU can do no wrong. Wake up. :rolleyes: You’ve seen the clips from Brussels, Guy Verhofstadt and Barnier, joking and mocking Britain and how they want to make Britain a vassal state. These pricks, especially Guy Verhofstadt, are not genuinely interested in acting in good faith, they’re offended that we’ve decided to leave their corrupt project. |
Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
You almost get the impression that many who are complaining and moaning about leaving the EU, are not so much worried about trade deals as they are about possible downturns in their private pension funds :D
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The two things aren’t necessarily exclusive - but anyway, that can’t be true, as the opportunities will make the Stock Market soar...
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Remainer politicians didn’t have the competence to thwart Brexit when they had an arguable Parliamentary majority. They most certainly will not be able to do so in the next year and six months without one. Where would such a mandate come from for a start? Unfortunately for some leavers the ideological blinkers remain. Everyone is the enemy. An extension is about delivering a good Brexit, on our terms, on our own timescale. |
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Can you be sure of that? If the EU were to see it as weakness on our part, which they would, than we would be gamed. And that's in addition to increased contributions to their budget. On the EU's record so far in the negotiations, why would they change their position in our favour? |
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If the options are to end the transition agreement without a future relationship agreed the date is irrelevant to the UK/EU position - all it means is we have 12 additional months to improve the UK/world position during a global pandemic. The whole capitalist house of cards is in crisis. It’ll survive, it always does, but the relative positions in the future are all to play for with careful planning. |
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On the other hand, anything can happen on 30-December if the EU changes its negotiating position on a trade deal. All they've done so far, is to assert themselves over us in terms of a deal in response to which we've asserted our sovereignty, which seems reasonable to me. |
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One of the sad parts about this process is that the supporters of the project have no regrets about what has been sacrificed on this journey. They are willing to accept literally anything to get over the line .. and at any cost. |
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I am however allowed to challenge, dissect and heavily criticise points raised by you and that is what I have been doing. All I brought up yesterday, was yet again, I am fed up of seeing the same rehashed arguments from you and others, then as usual ranks of accusations of censorship ring out, some of you really don't know what true censorship is. |
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Remainers squandered their opportunity for a second referendum or a customs union (some argue that’s not leaving - it’s not relevant any more whether it was or wasn’t) and at some point discourse has to move on. The electorate will not elect a 2nd referendum Government. Even if it did, I’m not convinced remain would win. |
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Anyway, what would a "purely ideological reason" be? The only pro for an extension from a reasonable Leaver's perspective would be that trade discussions are making sufficient progress to warrant an extension. The bedrock of all this is that the UK is a sovereign nation and there are major limitations as to compromises that can be made to that. That's not an ideology. |
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Anyway, we are where we are and in this situation, as Project Fear becomes Project Reality, there is a ongoing need to hold the conmen to task. |
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Active Euro-enthusiasm in the U.K. is and always has been a niche pursuit, just as active Euro-scepticism is. The difference is that the euro-enthusiasts, mostly of the metropolitan, soft liberal left whose connection to the population at large is tenuous at the best of times, smugly assumed that the indifferent masses agreed with them. This has always been their weakness. The sceptics, however, understood that there was genuine anger at various economic and social changes in society and they believed they could motivate the masses to support them if they could show how our EU membership was culpable for those changes. This they did, the rest is history. |
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Remain alliance wheeled out Obama, with back of queue bullshit, that leaving would cause WW3, there would be 500,000 job losses the day after a leave result, that there would be a recession. All lies to scare and to garner votes. That’s how campaigns work, no political campaign is completely clean, and yeah it’s unfortunate. Then the real dirty tricks by the Hard Remain alliances, criminal investigations launched against the likes of Arron Banks, Darren Grimes and others, who have now been cleared of any wrong doing. Basically, this was some sly attempt to discredit and nullify the result, because it didn’t go their way. So the country for years kept hearing how the UK was conned in to voting leave, but then several other elections took place, two General Elections and a European Election, in that result, the UK sent to Brussels the Brexit Party with the most MEP Seats. Two other elections saw the nation, swaying to parties or party in 2017, 2019 that would carry out the UK’s wish to leave the EU, and yet this still don’t convince the likes of Ianch99 that the country has mandated its wish to leave the European Union. I remember a Downing Street petition that had amassed 6 million signatures, to cancel and or revoke A50, though I recall it was possible to sign it several times. Then Echos rang out from Brussels trying to convince UK Government to think again screeching about the petition and how many had signed it, one had to question in what universe did 6 million beat 17.4 million? Extensions given time and again, only to serve a purpose, they wanted the UK to have another referendum, because they didn’t like the first result and basically that’s how the EU expects democracy to roll in their world, to keep on voting until it gets the result it desires. That is not a true democracy. The UK showed the EU, no, we’ve voted, you got your answer, it now gets implemented. |
Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
^^^
:clap: Complacency at the top, and a belief the 'masses' would roll over to Government/EU spin |
Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
@Chris @Mick :clap::clap:
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Re: Brexit-Transitional Period Ends 31/12/20
While it’s nice to see a “we won” party every once in a while there’s still an absolute lack of ideas for what the future could/should look like. Can’t really criticise the Government given the resource being thrown at Coronavirus response and the world being in unpredictable, and unprecedented, times.
Which is what makes the extension the most sensible option. There’s no China trade deal coming soon. An American deal, what it’d look like, depends very much on what happens in November. |
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We are on different teams, but can you imagine being told that what you thought you your side had won, to be told, well actually you haven't won. If we are smug about it now and I don't doubt that's how it appears to your side, we've fought a bloody lengthy battle to get here. |
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I also said if it did happen it’d have to “win” either a second referendum or a General Election - which it did in the December 2019 General Election. I also, correctly, pointed out that some of the “Brexit Days” wouldn’t happen and an extension inevitable - that was just observable reality from how unprepared we were to do so. While I did vote to remain I don’t see it as “my side”. I’ve posted before about how Brexit in theory could work and present opportunities but the complexities around it would in some instances take years to unwind. More challenging if the plan is to not have a comprehensive free trade deal with the EU. Viewing everything through the prism of Brexit undermines holding the Government to account at a time when it hasn’t been more important to get the decisions right. The ticking clock since triggering Article 50 has clearly undermined UK efforts in the process so far, with each negotiated withdrawal agreement arguably worse than the one that preceded it. The end of the extension period is another entirely arbitrary deadline. ---------- Post added at 12:37 ---------- Previous post was at 12:29 ---------- Quote:
I’m not sure we’ve held a firm position for 18 months since the referendum between changes in Governments and General Elections. |
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Those who did not vote in the Referendum can reasonably be expected to go along with the result. Therefore 52/48 is indeed real democracy. What tripe you write. |
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And how many of the 1975's electorate decided the destiny of the country when it joined the Europe Economic Area...? Lets see...
The key words is "not bother" that means they didn't give a shit and also then means, they cannot complain after when the vote goes a way they suddenly don't approve of. They had their right to a democratic process but the they chose not to bother for whatever reason, so you cannot never include them in a total percentage calculation, after a result to try nullify a referendum result, you cannot force people to vote, by not voting is also a true democracy. So those who didn't vote in either referendum, clearly had no desirable preference, that they got off their arses and decided they had to vote. It's too late in the game to then complain after or attend mass walks. What the 2019 General Election actually showed is that the silent millions who for the last 4 years, got fed up of being told by the Remainers, that they voted the wrong way, voted again to give the party that fully committed to implementing the result, it's 80 seat majority. (Effectively a landslide victory). |
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Chris directly answered your point about the 37% of voters that you cited. |
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My point about the 37% of voters deciding the future of the country was 100% factual and accurate. |
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As to Chris' "biased viewpoint" - it was the counterpoise to your nonsense. |
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As it happened, this was not needed since the vote was passed by 67.23% to 32.77% with a turnout of 64.62%. Clear democracy .. |
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37% of voters literally, legally and factually decided the future of the country. That's it, no ifs or buts. What is ironic and so telling is that if the Brexit referendum followed the same rules as Scotland’s first referendum on devolution, the Leave vote would still have won – but Brexit would not now be happening. Those voting ‘Yes’ for devolution was only 33% of registered voters, Scotland on that occasion didn’t get its own assembly, because Parliament had set a threshold of at least 40% of the electorate voting ‘Yes’ before it could happen. ---------- Post added at 22:14 ---------- Previous post was at 22:13 ---------- Quote:
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Again,as always, you are including those who DID NOT VOTE! As such they were not voters. |
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This genuinely gives me a headache. Yes it was 37%, but that’s the rules Cameron and the Lib Dems laid out.
Cameron, Clegg, etc made an arse of it. Following 2017 every attempt to prevent Brexit has pushed the needle further in the no deal/WTO direction. At some point they should have cut their losses, backed May’s deal, a customs union or put Corbyn in Downing Street. People’s Vote was nothing but a sham to boost the Lib Dems at the expense of Labour. It didn’t work with either aim. People voted to leave and having tired of three years where nothing got done elected a Government to do it, and to that end Mick is right. Reraking the terms of the referendum isn’t going to change reality. It’s only going to give the Government more cover from criticism with an easy get out, that galvanises it’s supporters and dismisses it’s opponents out of hand. It’s entertaining to observe the Government backtrack on promises made and to have underestimated the task at hand. However, unfortunately, we do need them to make the right decisions eventually. |
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