Cable Forum

Cable Forum (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/index.php)
-   Current Affairs (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/forumdisplay.php?f=20)
-   -   The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024 (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33712811)

Hugh 04-07-2024 23:16

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36178527)
Underwhelming “compared to many of the forecasts”.

We all know that polls are just that - indeed even the exit poll is just that. Labour could still outperform the exit poll in the actual results.

I think it was a perfectly acceptable point to make that invited better than your insults. As did my first response and this will be my last.

It was more the fact it was a point you felt you had to make…

The problem with playing devil’s advocate is that the devil already has plenty of advocates on the payroll and there’s really no need for you to take it up as a hobby… ;)

Pierre 04-07-2024 23:32

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36178526)
criticising an overwhelmingly winning party because they didn’t do as well as people forecast they would is pretty amusing.

Criticising a party or remarking on the inaccuracy of mental pollsters..


Whilst not using tiresome memes.

---------- Post added at 23:32 ---------- Previous post was at 23:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36178529)
It was more the fact it was a point you felt you had to make…

A point of fact?

Quote:

The problem with playing devil’s advocate is that the devil already has plenty of advocates on the payroll and there’s really no need for you to take it up as a hobby… ;)
Probably best you put the ovaltine on.

Chris 04-07-2024 23:51

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36178528)
Considering some poles, that we’re putting LibDems ahead. If the Tories keep 130 -140, I think they’ll take that.

It’s interesting how it was massive sample MRP polls, supposedly with a crystal ball capable of predicting results at constituency level, that were predicting Con/LD parity and have now apparently been shown to have fallen well short of their promised accuracy.

---------- Post added at 23:51 ---------- Previous post was at 23:50 ----------

And will some of you please just GET A ROOM

Damien 04-07-2024 23:52

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36178533)
It’s interesting how it was massive sample MRP polls, supposedly with a crystal ball capable of predicting results at constituency level, that were predicting Con/LD parity and have now apparently been shown to have fallen well short of their promised accuracy.

To be fair this did fall within some of their ranges albeit at the higher end.

Paul 05-07-2024 00:58

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36178449)
I'm intrigued. What was the 'Other' vote?

There are a lot of independant candidates.

---------- Post added at 00:58 ---------- Previous post was at 00:57 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36178502)
Voters have got us into this mess ;)

Non voters have only themselves to blame. ;)

Damien 05-07-2024 01:16

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36178538)
There are a lot of independant candidates.

It's northern Ireland and the speaker's seat.

The Exit Poll doesn't have a single actual independent winning but it does look like Corbyn might win in Islington.

Anonymouse 05-07-2024 01:48

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
<sarcasm>You'll forgive me if I'm not surprised by the result.</sarcasm>

Bringing back National Service ("Get Some In!" and all that cobblers), practically criminalising being long-term sick, allowing the DWP to think they know better than a doctor if someone's unfit for work? Political suicide.

I don't trust Labour, either. But as we thought in 1997,<sarcasm> they could hardly do worse.</sarcasm>

There still wasn't a None Of The Above option, was there? I am not apathetic because I didn't vote. I didn't vote because I was following Heinlein's Principle to its logical conclusion, i.e. vote against, and I don't trust any of them. Hence my decision was entirely logical.

Plus I forgot. :erm:

Clarke and Douglas had a point:

"We want a President who has to be dragged kicking and screaming into the White House - then he'll get time off for good behaviour."

- shrewd political commentator, Arthur C. Clarke's Imperial Earth

The major problem - one of the major problems, for there are several - one of the many major problems with governing people is that of who you get to do it - or rather of who manages to get people to let them do it to them.
To summarise: It is a well-known and much lamented fact that those people who most want to rule people are, ipso facto, those least suited to do it.
To summarise the summary: Anyone who is capable of getting themselves elected President should on no account be allowed to do the job.
To summarise the summary of the summary: People are a problem.

- Fit the Thirteenth, The (immortal!) Hitch-Hiker's Guide To The Galaxy

"Though you're in the RAF
You'll never see a plane..."

"They take two years off your life
"Now isn't that a sin?
"There's only one way to get out,
"And that's to get some in!
"Get Some In!"


- theme song, "Get Some In!"

Paul 05-07-2024 04:00

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Reform have taken Ashfield, thats not too far away from me ...

---------- Post added at 03:31 ---------- Previous post was at 02:34 ----------

Farage has also won his seat in Clacton.

---------- Post added at 04:00 ---------- Previous post was at 03:31 ----------

The Conservatives have completely crashed in Nottinghamshire and Derbyshire.

Ashfield (as mentioned above) was lost to Reform.
Bolsover, Amber Valley, Broxtowe, Erewash & Rushcliffe all lost to Labour.

Rushcliffe has been Conservative almost as long as I have been alive, Ken Clarke was its MP for 39 years.

Stephen 05-07-2024 04:43

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
SNP pretty much wiped out in Central Scotland. Having lost 27 seats already.

I am still shocked so many hardened SNP supporters have all switched to Labour.

Paul 05-07-2024 04:59

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Labour have officially won, having just reached the required 326 seats.

Damien 05-07-2024 05:34

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Labour has remained the same in England but shed votes in urban areas like London and gained them in marginal seats across the rest of the country. Lost a handful of seats because of Gaza.

But the Scotland result is amazing for them. Scotland went back to Labour in a huge way that one one was expecting.

Stephen 05-07-2024 05:47

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
I was expecting a change to Labour for Scotland but no where near that much of a shift. SNP pretty much wiped out in the central belt.

Damien 05-07-2024 06:04

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
This election is mental. I need sleep now

denphone 05-07-2024 06:58

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Liz Truss have been booted out.

mrmistoffelees 05-07-2024 07:27

Re: The Cable Forum Exit Poll, 2024
 
Labour took the seat in Middlesbrough South & East Cleveland but it was incredibly close 210 ish votes in it and turn out was approximately 55%

I have a faint hope of optimism this morning, Labour dont need to deliver a land of milk and honey, they just need to be not as crap as the tories were


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 15:16.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum