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-   -   Post-Brexit Thread (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33703180)

papa smurf 27-11-2016 11:48

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35872079)
In front of the bus? Pity it didn't run you over .. no .. wait .. you don't know what direction it is going in do you? :)

we may have been in front of the side or in front the rear of the bus or outside the inside or even inside the outside it doesn't really matter we are all going in the same direction on the same bus ;)

ianch99 27-11-2016 11:50

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872074)
Spot on, the way they have acted you would of thought they simply forgotten they got the result they wanted

Don't forget, they have been 'constantly whining" for years, some of them posting 100's or even 1000's of messages on this forum on how bad the EU is and how we should leave, etc.

Now when the (flawed) vote was taken to Leave, and the sides are reversed, if you argue against leaving the EU, you are "undermining and challenging the result", you are a traitor and on and on.

The hypocrisy stinks ..

papa smurf 27-11-2016 11:58

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
[QUOTE=ianch99;35872082]Don't forget, they have been 'constantly whining" for years, some of them posting 100's or even 1000's of messages on this forum on how bad the EU is and how we should leave, etc.

Now when the (flawed) vote was taken to Leave, and the sides are reversed, if you argue against leaving the EU, you are "undermining and challenging the result", you are a traitor ....

flawed ?

Anypermitedroute 27-11-2016 13:34

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35872078)
I'm sure any concern isn't about the outcome of the referendum, it's more to with the constant whining from those who're now undermining and challenging the result by such means as demanding second referendums etc. etc. etc. We now even have the likes of Blair surfacing from beneath his very well appointed stone to join the anti exit clamour from the likes of Farron, the SNP, John Major. That's what I believe those Brexiteers who are 'moaning' are doing so in respect of. Unless it's escaped your attention, no 'result' has been obtained yet and until the matter's done and dusted there's going to be the distinct feeling that somehow the will of the majority who voted in the referendum to get out of the EU and the free movement of people is going to be subverted. It's no wonder really though since there's history when it comes to the EU and the results of referenda being overturned of is that just another unfounded Brexiteer moan?

Just shows you didn't know what you voted for

yes we will leave the EU that's what the referendum ask.

I didn't see anything in the question regarding freedom of movement, take up that with negotiaton and vote leave if you feel that was what you were promised

Osem 27-11-2016 14:40

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872096)
Just shows you didn't know what you voted for

yes we will leave the EU that's what the referendum ask.

I didn't see anything in the question regarding freedom of movement, take up that with negotiaton and vote leave if you feel that was what you were promised

... and this is the claptrap people are right to moan about. Migration and the free movement of people was overwhelmingly the primary concern of those who voted to leave, the EU debate and the general election before it. It was that concern and the resulting surge in votes for UKIP which got us the referendum in the first place. Up until that point HMG had no real interest in asking us anything. To claim that's not the case or wasn't understood by those who voted out is patent nonsense. Referenda are by definition binary choices 'yes/no', 'in/out' - the fine detail of what's entailed in those decisions is never a matter for the referendum but for what follows. We voted to leave - not to stay in some of it and slightly less in some of the what's left. What part of that can't you accept?

papa smurf 27-11-2016 14:53

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35872111)
... and this is the claptrap people are right to moan about. Migration and the free movement of people was overwhelmingly the primary concern of those who voted to leave, the EU debate and the general election before it. It was that concern and the resulting surge in votes for UKIP which got us the referendum in the first place. Up until that point HMG had no real interest in asking us anything. To claim that's not the case or wasn't understood by those who voted out is patent nonsense. Referenda are by definition binary choices 'yes/no', 'in/out' - the fine detail of what's entailed in those decisions is never a matter for the referendum but for what follows. We voted to leave - not to stay in some of it and slightly less in some of the what's left. What part of that can't you accept?

they[remoaners] can't accept any of it they thought it was like voting on the x factor [if you don't like the outcome you can change it] first time in their lives that reality kicked in -poor little luvvies ;)

TheDaddy 27-11-2016 18:45

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872080)
we may have been in front of the side or in front the rear of the bus or outside the inside or even inside the outside it doesn't really matter we are all going in the same direction on the same bus ;)

Let's hope that direction isn't of a cliff

papa smurf 27-11-2016 19:04

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35872144)
Let's hope that direction isn't of a cliff

or even off a cliff ;)

ianch99 27-11-2016 19:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35872144)
Let's hope that direction isn't of a cliff

:)

http://www.progressive.org/sites/def..._lemmings2.gif

martyh 27-11-2016 19:58

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872096)
Just shows you didn't know what you voted for

yes we will leave the EU that's what the referendum ask.

I didn't see anything in the question regarding freedom of movement, take up that with negotiaton and vote leave if you feel that was what you were promised

Then you should have paid more attention to such an important subject .When we leave the EU we leave the single market ,that was made clear by Brussels ,we leave the single market we end freedom of movement .We can of course decide for ourselves how much freedom of movement we want to accept in the future ,that is the beauty of leaving the EU ........we get to decide not Brussels

Anypermitedroute 27-11-2016 20:46

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
tell that to Norway and Switzerland

pip08456 27-11-2016 20:56

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872169)
tell that to Norway and Switzerland

Norway and Switzerland agreed to freedom of movement as part of the trade deal they negotiated. It was their choice. Other countries have trade agreements without freedom of movement.

martyh 27-11-2016 22:03

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872169)
tell that to Norway and Switzerland

The point is that it was their choice ,they want freedom of movement ,we have had it ,we don't want it anymore

pip08456 27-11-2016 22:07

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35872187)
The point is that it was their choice ,they want freedom of movement ,we have had it ,we don't want it anymore

Exactly.

1andrew1 28-11-2016 01:00

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35872187)
The point is that it was their choice ,they want freedom of movement ,we have had it ,we don't want it anymore

50.3% actually voted in Switzerland against freedom of movement.
The Swiss Government understands that European countries (that don't plan to join the EU) have to have freedom of movement if they're to trade freely with it. So the Swiss Government did not implement the referendum result. It's a big issue there and may be resolved by...another referendum!
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...lenge-ivzgefr8
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...ations-with-eu

pip08456 28-11-2016 02:12

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872212)
50.3% actually voted in Switzerland against freedom of movement.
The Swiss Government understands that European countries (that don't plan to join the EU) have to have freedom of movement if they're to trade freely with it. So the Swiss Government did not implement the referendum result. It's a big issue there and may be resolved by...another referendum!
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articl...lenge-ivzgefr8
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...ations-with-eu

You are trying to equate chalk with cheese. The Swiss constitution is totally different to ours.

For instance:

Quote:

The 2014 referendum result must be put into law by February, piling pressure on the Alpine republic to find a way to manage migration without violating its EU obligations and losing its special deal with the EU, which takes more Swiss exports than any other market.
and

Quote:

Referendums to challenge a law already voted upon by parliament require 50,000 signatures.
Our constituion does not allow for that.

1andrew1 28-11-2016 11:40

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35872215)
You are trying to equate chalk with cheese. The Swiss constitution is totally different to ours.
For instance:
and
Our constituion does not allow for that.

You're going off on a tangent, which at least is better than off a cliff edge. :)
The statement from martyh was that "The point is that it was their choice, they want freedom of movement"
I pointed out that a small majority of the Swiss do not want freedom of movement. How that suddenly becomes a compare-and-contrast two countries' constitutions debate I really don't know!

Anyway, anyone who doesn't like Mr Carney may enjoy this piece in today's Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/business...lect-committee

1andrew1 28-11-2016 13:59

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Brexit: Government could face legal challenge over single market

"The question of whether leaving the European Union means automatic withdrawal from the single market could be the subject of a legal challenge."
http://news.sky.com/story/brexit-gov...arket-10675569

"The basis of the legal action would be that the government has an opportunity to stay within the single market, but is rejecting it.

It will claim that Croatia, by joining the EEA nine months after the EU, has proven that the two organisations are separate, so leaving one need not mean leaving the other.

“The fact that the UK dismisses these arguments out of hand suggest that it is deliberately aiming for a hard Brexit outside the single market. This option was not on the referendum ballot paper,” he said, calling the legal challenge a “game-changer on every level”."
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-single-market

pip08456 28-11-2016 14:21

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872259)
Brexit: Government could face legal challenge over single market

"The question of whether leaving the European Union means automatic withdrawal from the single market could be the subject of a legal challenge."
http://news.sky.com/story/brexit-gov...arket-10675569

"The basis of the legal action would be that the government has an opportunity to stay within the single market, but is rejecting it.

It will claim that Croatia, by joining the EEA nine months after the EU, has proven that the two organisations are separate, so leaving one need not mean leaving the other.

EEA membership is totally different to EU membership and would have to be negotiated sererately.


“The fact that the UK dismisses these arguments out of hand suggest that it is deliberately aiming for a hard Brexit outside the single market. This option was not on the referendum ballot paper,” he said, calling the legal challenge a “game-changer on every level”."
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-single-market

These legal challenges (or threat of) are doing nothing other than attempting to override the democratic will of the majority. The Government has stated it respects the result of the referendum and will invoke article 50.

It's about time remoaners accepted that. Let them get on with it and give them room to negotiated the best deal for this country instead of trying to hamstring them.

mrmistoffelees 28-11-2016 17:21

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35872264)
These legal challenges (or threat of) are doing nothing other than attempting to override the democratic will of the majority. The Government has stated it respects the result of the referendum and will invoke article 50.

It's about time remoaners accepted that. Let them get on with it and give them room to negotiated the best deal for this country instead of trying to hamstring them.


Did you read the article ?

pip08456 28-11-2016 17:24

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35872306)
Did you read the article ?

Yes.

martyh 28-11-2016 17:28

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35872264)
These legal challenges (or threat of) are doing nothing other than attempting to override the democratic will of the majority. The Government has stated it respects the result of the referendum and will invoke article 50.

It's about time remoaners accepted that. Let them get on with it and give them room to negotiated the best deal for this country instead of trying to hamstring them.

What's annoying me is that remoaners are complaining about the lack of an exit strategy and the time it will take ,has it occurred to them that if they just let the government carry on exercising the will of the majority then they will be able to formulate a strategy and get the job done in a timely manner .All these court cases and attempts to stop Brexit will only hurt the country ,possibly more than brexit will ever do

Anypermitedroute 28-11-2016 17:37

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35872310)
What's annoying me is that remoaners are complaining about the lack of an exit strategy and the time it will take ,has it occurred to them that if they just let the government carry on exercising the will of the majority then they will be able to formulate a strategy and get the job done in a timely manner .All these court cases and attempts to stop Brexit will only hurt the country ,possibly more than brexit will ever do

1) there is no exit strategy
2) still needs to be legal, this isn't a blank canvas "to do what they want"

1andrew1 28-11-2016 17:56

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35872264)
These legal challenges (or threat of) are doing nothing other than attempting to override the democratic will of the majority. The Government has stated it respects the result of the referendum and will invoke article 50.

It's about time remoaners accepted that. Let them get on with it and give them room to negotiated the best deal for this country instead of trying to hamstring them.

The legal challenge I referenced is not about Article 50 but about Articles 127 and 128 which are about the EEA.
I'm no lawyer but I think the Government should win this case. I can't see how the UK can remain in the EEA without an agreement on how much it contributes to the EU. I hope it does as this will be better for the UK.

martyh 28-11-2016 17:57

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872313)
1) there is no exit strategy
2) still needs to be legal, this isn't a blank canvas "to do what they want"

then stop trying to prevent it ,let the government get on with it

Anypermitedroute 28-11-2016 18:36

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I'm holding nothing up, awaiting for that bill to be put through parliament so it's all done legally

Anyway we going to be "even more closer" to Poland post brexit so stuff is happening
PM: UK 'to be even closer to Poland' after Brexit
http://news.sky.com/story/pm-uk-to-b...rexit-10676095

pip08456 28-11-2016 19:39

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872319)
The legal challenge I referenced is not about Article 50 but about Articles 127 and 128 which are about the EEA.
I'm no lawyer but I think the Government should win this case. I can't see how the UK can remain in the EEA without an agreement on how much it contributes to the EU. I hope it does as this will be better for the UK.

We cannot remain in the EEA as we are not in the EEA. We are presently in the EU.

Membership of the EEA is something that may be negotiated during the negotiations of our EU exit.

Damien 28-11-2016 20:36

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Someone's been caught with documents again: https://www.theguardian.com/politics...P=share_btn_tw

Quote:

Britain is unlikely to be able to remain a member of the single market, according to a document photographed in the hands of a senior Conservative official on Downing street.

A handwritten note, carried by an aide to the Tory vice-chair Mark Field after a meeting at the Department for Exiting the European Union, could be seen to say: “What’s the model? Have your cake and eat it.”

It also suggests that a deal on manufacturing should be “relatively straightforward” but admits that services are harder.

1andrew1 28-11-2016 20:47

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35872334)
We cannot remain in the EEA as we are not in the EEA. We are presently in the EU.

Membership of the EEA is something that may be negotiated during the negotiations of our EU exit.

Where are you getting your information from? If you're a member of the EU you're a member of the EEA. https://www.gov.uk/eu-eea

papa smurf 28-11-2016 20:57

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872340)
Where are you getting your information from? If you're a member of the EU you're a member of the EEA. https://www.gov.uk/eu-eea

what if you leave the EU what are you a member of then ?

1andrew1 28-11-2016 21:01

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872342)
what if you leave the EU what are you a member of then ?

Good question and that's what this potential legal challenge is about.

papa smurf 28-11-2016 21:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872343)
Good question and that's what this potential legal challenge is about.

i have in front of me a copy of dodgy Dave's pamphlet [the 8 million quids worth of explanation] it says
no other country has managed to secure significant access to the single market without having to
follow eu rules over which we have no real say

pay into the eu

accept eu citizens living and working in their country .......it goes on to explain a canada type deal which at the time was still in negotiation after 7 years

"this is your decision the government will implement what you decide"
what not clear about leaving?? the remain campaign spelled it out at considerable length and cost ?

Osem 28-11-2016 21:47

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35872264)
These legal challenges (or threat of) are doing nothing other than attempting to override the democratic will of the majority. The Government has stated it respects the result of the referendum and will invoke article 50.

It's about time remoaners accepted that. Let them get on with it and give them room to negotiated the best deal for this country instead of trying to hamstring them.

Nah, that's just more swivel eyed paranoid Brexiteer nonsense don't you know. There's no way that anyone on the pother side would dare to try to derail the process now, it just isn't happening except in your imagination. The only people moaning are people like you, everyone else who wanted to remain has completely accepted the outcome of the referendum and won't do anything to undermine it... :rolleyes:

---------- Post added at 20:47 ---------- Previous post was at 20:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35872163)
Then you should have paid more attention to such an important subject .When we leave the EU we leave the single market ,that was made clear by Brussels ,we leave the single market we end freedom of movement .We can of course decide for ourselves how much freedom of movement we want to accept in the future ,that is the beauty of leaving the EU ........we get to decide not Brussels

So simple isn't it. Pity that there's no educating some folks... :banghead: :D

1andrew1 28-11-2016 22:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872345)
what not clear about leaving?? the remain campaign spelled it out at considerable length and cost ?

I think you're referring to the UK Government's official advice and not the Remain Campaign.
As we all know, the referendum had a number of weaknesses in its structure - one being that it was only advisory. There may be other issues which the courts will have to decide. That's because British Law works on precedents and there's not many of these around when it comes to leaving the EU.

papa smurf 28-11-2016 22:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872351)
I think you're referring to the UK Government's official advice and not the Remain Campaign.
As we all know, the referendum had a number of weaknesses in its structure - one being that it was only advisory. There may be other issues which the courts will have to decide. That's because British Law works on precedents and there's not many of these around when it comes to leaving the EU.

"this is your decision the government will implement what you decide"

that's not advice is it .

1andrew1 28-11-2016 22:40

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872355)
"this is your decision the government will implement what you decide"

that's not advice is it .

It's always been described as such. Whether each line of text is advisory is best left to the reader.

Chris 28-11-2016 22:41

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872355)
"this is your decision the government will implement what you decide"

that's not advice is it .

Unfortunately it's not an Act of Parliament either. Had they written that into the referendum act then the government's power to invoke article 50 without further reference to parliament would have been beyond question. As it is, they didn't, and, unless the Supreme Court disagrees, it isn't.

Ramrod 28-11-2016 23:22

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35871652)

I'm a 'remoaner' as you like to call them, does that make me pathetic?

I'm afraid so.

mrmistoffelees 29-11-2016 12:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35872368)
I'm afraid so.

Super, thanks for the clarification

TheDaddy 29-11-2016 16:01

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35872421)
Super, thanks for the clarification


Well at least you know now :D

papa smurf 29-11-2016 17:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35872421)
Super, thanks for the clarification

as a remoaner you could go to the high courts and try to get it changed to something you like :) i believe that's how its done :)

Anypermitedroute 29-11-2016 17:54

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35872421)
Super, thanks for the clarification

As clear as that non existant exit strategy

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872469)
as a remoaner you could go to the high courts and try to get it changed to something you like :) i believe that's how its done :)

Being an educated chap I'm sure he is fully aware of his options :), you may learn something

ianch99 29-11-2016 19:09

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872478)
As clear as that non existant exit strategy

I think they are exiting via the cake shop so they can "have their cake and eat it" :)

papa smurf 29-11-2016 19:57

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35872487)
I think they are exiting via the cake shop so they can "have their cake and eat it" :)

better than Belgian waffle ;)

denphone 29-11-2016 20:07

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35872495)
better than Belgian waffle ;)

Indeed but Belgian frites are nice though.:drool:

1andrew1 29-11-2016 20:46

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35872499)
Indeed but Belgian frites are nice though.:drool:

The beer's not bad either. :)

Meanwhile, further east Theresa May's latest confident, the Polish foreign minister spills the beans from his latest talks with her and Boris. "Brexit will not take place earlier than in two to three years. If it takes place at all." Needless to say, this hasn't got down well in some quarters.

http://www.standard.co.uk/news/polit...-a3407501.html

RizzyKing 29-11-2016 21:53

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
If that "plan" was discussed during official talks then pretty bad to go running to the press about it even if it were true, but given how many times May has said march next year is when article 50 will be invoked i doubt this story. Personally I'm fed up of the whole damn thing and will wait for march if it's invoked then like most I'll be happy if it isn't then time for some protesting.

nomadking 29-11-2016 22:04

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
So are all the other countries that have trade-only deals with the EU, also "having their cake and eating it"? Of course not.

Damien 29-11-2016 22:06

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35872512)
So are all the other countries that have trade-only deals with the EU, also "having their cake and eating it"? Of course not.

Yes but we want a better deal than them. There isn't a generic trade deal, they differ.

papa smurf 29-11-2016 22:31

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35872508)
If that "plan" was discussed during official talks then pretty bad to go running to the press about it even if it were true, but given how many times May has said march next year is when article 50 will be invoked i doubt this story. Personally I'm fed up of the whole damn thing and will wait for march if it's invoked then like most I'll be happy if it isn't then time for some protesting.



if its not i think there will be rioting and civil unrest on a massive scale as the people realise they have been betrayed[listen to me i've joined project fear:shocked: ]

nomadking 29-11-2016 22:48

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872514)
Yes but we want a better deal than them. There isn't a generic trade deal, they differ.

The only things were are looking for are reciprocal arrangements of one sort or another. Not a one-sided deal. The only other thing we are looking for is the status of ex-pats. That is a consequence of already being in the EU. Not an issue for anybody currently outside it.

TheDaddy 29-11-2016 23:13

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872514)
Yes but we want a better deal than them. There isn't a generic trade deal, they differ.

We need a better deal, I heard an expert say that most trade deals don't include service industries only goods

1andrew1 29-11-2016 23:57

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35872527)
We need a better deal, I heard an expert say that most trade deals don't include service industries only goods

That's what those notes photographed yesterday suggested which included:
"Our criteria are clear — more open the better.
Manufacturing relatively straightforward.
Services harder — because French hoping for business."

---------- Post added at 22:57 ---------- Previous post was at 22:52 ----------

Brexit legal challenge: Theresa May 'faces 11-0 defeat in Supreme Court' over her Article 50 vote appeal

"Professor Zander, Professor Emeritus of Law at the London School of Economics, gave his stark prediction in an analysis of Ms May’s Article 50 case in the legal magazine Counsel."
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7445851.html

heero_yuy 30-11-2016 10:05

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872514)
Yes but we want a better deal than them. There isn't a generic trade deal, they differ.

Agreed. Each country cuts its own deal with the EU or indeed other trading nations. This is where the remoaners get it wrong asking are we going to have a "Norway", "Switzerland" or "Iceland" deal as if they are the only ones available.

1andrew1 30-11-2016 10:52

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35872566)
Agreed. Each country cuts its own deal with the EU or indeed other trading nations. This is where the remoaners get it wrong asking are we going to have a "Norway", "Switzerland" or "Iceland" deal as if they are the only ones available.

According to Wikipedia, Iceland's application to join the EU has been "frozen". :D

Damien 30-11-2016 23:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
http://news.sky.com/story/boris-john...rexit-10678355

Quote:

Sky News understands the Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has privately told at least four EU ambassadors that he supports freedom of movement - despite the Government's hard stance on Brexit.

The high-ranking diplomats were speaking under the Chatham House rule, which allows their comments to be reported, but not directly attributed.


---------- Post added at 22:10 ---------- Previous post was at 22:01 ----------

Personal view is not the Government view but at what point do we consider the idea Boris isn't a genius behind an eccentric front but actually just quite eccentric.....

Osem 30-11-2016 23:48

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872880)
http://news.sky.com/story/boris-john...rexit-10678355



---------- Post added at 22:10 ---------- Previous post was at 22:01 ----------

Personal view is not the Government view but at what point do we consider the idea Boris isn't a genius behind an eccentric front but actually just quite eccentric.....

What you mean like we thought Brown knew what he was doing until it all went pear shaped amd we found out Labour had left the pantry bare? :D

1andrew1 01-12-2016 01:37

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872880)
http://news.sky.com/story/boris-john...rexit-10678355



---------- Post added at 22:10 ---------- Previous post was at 22:01 ----------

Personal view is not the Government view but at what point do we consider the idea Boris isn't a genius behind an eccentric front but actually just quite eccentric.....

It didn't come as a surprise to me. I think he came down at the last minute in favour of Brexit as it would further his career, in contrast to people like Farage and Gove who are passionate Leavers.
Like a lot of people in the UK, he was probably not totally convinced of the arguments either way but he made a rationale choice. I don't think it makes him a genius or eccentric, just a politician's politician.

---------- Post added at 00:37 ---------- Previous post was at 00:36 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35872888)
What you mean like we thought Brown knew what he was doing until it all went pear shaped amd we found out Labour had left the pantry bare? :D

History now looks more kindly upon Mr Brown as the man who saved us from the perils of the Eurozone.

Pierre 01-12-2016 10:51

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
This is all doing my head in. March can't come quick enough.

The deal on the table was stay in the EU or Leave the EU, nothing in between.

It was made quite clear that the a leave vote was a vote to leave the single market.

We leave the single market and then negotiate a new relationship, whatever that may be.

But the starting point was a complete break. If you didn't understand that then that's a failure of your own due diligence. If you voted as a protest vote or some other reason then again your problem.

All this posturing and petulance from the EU is just that, posturing and petulance.

Let's get on with it and get the formal discussions underway.

1andrew1 01-12-2016 11:16

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35872923)
This is all doing my head in. March can't come quick enough.

The deal on the table was stay in the EU or Leave the EU, nothing in between.

It was made quite clear that the a leave vote was a vote to leave the single market.

We leave the single market and then negotiate a new relationship, whatever that may be.

But the starting point was a complete break. If you didn't understand that then that's a failure of your own due diligence. If you voted as a protest vote or some other reason then again your problem.

All this posturing and petulance from the EU is just that, posturing and petulance.

Let's get on with it and get the formal discussions underway.

I agree with you that the way it works is we leave the EU and the negotiate a deal with it once we have agreed the leaving deal. The talks from March 2019 onwards will include when we leave the EU, rights of British citizens living in the EU and vice versa, the substantial Euro Brexit bill, EU officials’ pensions, borders and the impact the UK leaving has on international treaties.

When it comes to leaving the single market that point is ambiguous as the UK has a separate agreement to be in the EEA. It is possible this point will need to be tested in the Courts. Another aspect is that there were contradictory messages before and after Brexit as to if the intention was to stay/rejoin the Single Market.

Damien 01-12-2016 11:25

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
The Government wants to ease into the new arrangement understandably. It would be a lot more damaging to sever all ties completely and then slowly repair parts of it. The turmoil for companies, people and institutions currently using agreements/laws in place would be immense, even something like the legal status of migrants would cause massive headaches if we were to simply leave and have nothing in place.

Ramrod 01-12-2016 11:28

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35872421)
Super, thanks for the clarification

Anytime :D

Osem 01-12-2016 11:42

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872900)
It didn't come as a surprise to me. I think he came down at the last minute in favour of Brexit as it would further his career, in contrast to people like Farage and Gove who are passionate Leavers.
Like a lot of people in the UK, he was probably not totally convinced of the arguments either way but he made a rationale choice. I don't think it makes him a genius or eccentric, just a politician's politician.

---------- Post added at 00:37 ---------- Previous post was at 00:36 ----------

History now looks more kindly upon Mr Brown as the man who saved us from the perils of the Eurozone.

I can't speak for 'history' but I'll never remember him kindly. ;) I remember him as the 'prudent' Chancellor who sold off much of the UK's gold reserves at a rock bottom price in favour of stuff like Euros, who used PFI to keep massive borrowing off the books and whose ineffective financial oversight allowed the UK's major banks to bring the country to its knees. There's a thread about it all around here somewhere so I'll leave it at that... ;)

Anypermitedroute 01-12-2016 11:43

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35872930)
I can't speak for 'history' but I'll never remember him kindly. ;) I remember him as the 'prudent' Chancellor who sold off much of the UK's gold reserves at a rock bottom price in favour of stuff like Euros.

Which given today's exchange rate a good deal

Osem 01-12-2016 11:48

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35872931)
Which given today's exchange rate a good deal

Really and how long is that going to last do you think compared to the value of Gold? Yeah I'd really rather have a vault full of Euros than a vault full of gold bullion... :rofl:

Damien 01-12-2016 12:08

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I like this idea: http://news.sky.com/story/uk-could-p...rexit-10678735

Quote:

The UK could pay EU contributions for access to the single market as part of its exit deal, the Brexit Secretary has said.

David Davis said as part of the divorce deal with the EU "of course" the Government would consider paying money to retain access to the single market.

nomadking 01-12-2016 12:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872944)

Admin type costs would be one thing, but the bulk of payments are to prop up the rest of the EU. The rest of the EU gets access to the UK market. If it was a one-sided deal, then a payment would balance things out, but it's not one-sided.

denphone 01-12-2016 12:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872944)

Yes that is certainly much more agreeable.:tu:

Anypermitedroute 01-12-2016 12:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35872934)
Really and how long is that going to last do you think compared to the value of Gold? Yeah I'd really rather have a vault full of Euros than a vault full of gold bullion... :rofl:

it was meant as a joke, try to take it as such

1andrew1 01-12-2016 12:46

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872944)

The irony about this sort of deal is that the EU pays into the EU budget, accepts its legislation but cannot influence the legislation.

But the bigger picture is this - are Boris Johnson and David Davis preparing people for a soft Brexit with freedom of movement and paying into the the EU coffers? This will go down well with a lot of the country but not Farage and friends.

Ramrod 01-12-2016 14:17

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35872969)
The irony about this sort of deal is that the EU pays into the EU budget, accepts its legislation but cannot influence the legislation.

I'm not sure that we'd have to accept it's legislation (apart from certain manufacturing standards of goods for the EU market and such like)
We wouldn't have to accept immigration legislation etc and would be able to trade with the rest of the world

Damien 01-12-2016 14:24

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35872991)
I'm not sure that we'd have to accept it's legislation (apart from certain manufacturing standards of goods for the EU market and such like)
We wouldn't have to accept immigration legislation etc and would be able to trade with the rest of the world

We wouldn't have to accept the social chapter stuff.

If we would have to accept immigration would depend on the deal although I imagine we would have that as a red line. If it's membership or very close to that then I suspect we would remain in the customs union and therefore no trade with the rest of the world other than those with an existing EU deal. It goes back to the 'Member of' vs 'Access to' debate.

Ramrod 01-12-2016 14:31

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Yep. The more I look at it the more I think that they should have invoked article 50 straight away and stuff the consequences. :(

nomadking 01-12-2016 14:36

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35872998)
Yep. The more I look at it the more I think that they should have invoked article 50 straight away and stuff the consequences. :(

It would focus people's minds on what needed to be agreed rather than faffing around, like at the moment.

Damien 01-12-2016 14:43

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Trade deals take a long time and they involve impositions upon your national laws and regulations. It would be the same even if we left, severing all existing ties, and then tried to regain it afterwards.

Kursk 01-12-2016 14:46

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Bah, this thread is full of remoaners grasping at mummy's EU apron strings because it is their only, feeble hope :D.

Brexit means Brexit. Out means out. The exit arrangements can be mutually beneficial or not; the EU can decide and we'll go about our business with the rest of the world.

Let the Walloons or some other mob cut off the European nose to spite its face. Remoaners and Walloons are good bedfellows: tyrannical minorities.

We don't want soft anything; we don't need to suck up to continentals. The majority voted for out and that is what we will have, nothing less.

Ramrod 01-12-2016 15:53

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873002)
It would be the same even if we left, severing all existing ties, and then tried to regain it afterwards.

At least then everyone would be looking forwards, to the future and actually making deals etc
Rather than what we have now - remoaners trying to slow down or scupper brexit or shouting "tell us what brexit will look like"....as if the govt has a crystal ball. :rolleyes:

1andrew1 01-12-2016 16:06

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35872998)
Yep. The more I look at it the more I think that they should have invoked article 50 straight away and stuff the consequences. :(

And not worry about all the retired Brits living on the Continent? That's a bit risky isn't it?

Damien 01-12-2016 16:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
If we had a better idea of what it looked like then we would have a clearer idea of what to do. Asking for what it looks like isn't an unreasonable request.

---------- Post added at 15:14 ---------- Previous post was at 15:14 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35873017)
And not worry about all the retired Brits living on the Continent? That's a bit risky isn't it?

I am confident both EU citizens here and UK citizens there will be fine. Purely from a logistics point of view it's too difficult to do anything else.

ianch99 01-12-2016 16:17

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35873003)
Bah, this thread is full of remoaners grasping at mummy's EU apron strings because it is their only, feeble hope :D.

Brexit means Brexit. Out means out. The exit arrangements can be mutually beneficial or not; the EU can decide and we'll go about our business with the rest of the world.

Let the Walloons or some other mob cut off the European nose to spite its face. Remoaners and Walloons are good bedfellows: tyrannical minorities.

We don't want soft anything; we don't need to suck up to continentals. The majority voted for out and that is what we will have, nothing less.

Love the trolling :)

Looks like your "Brexit Means Brexit" Government ministers don't agree with you:

David Davis: UK may pay for access to EU single market

Boris Johnson tells ambassadors he 'supports freedom of movement'

1andrew1 01-12-2016 16:29

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873021)
If we had a better idea of what it looked like then we would have a clearer idea of what to do. Asking for what it looks like isn't an unreasonable request.

There's a great article in the Financial Times that explains why the Government is taking this approach. Google "Who the UK really is negotiating with over Brexit" to read it free of charge.

It includes the statement "No, her true Brexit opponents are the UK’s media and politicians and, by extension, the public. Mrs May and her government are in an intense negotiation to obtain approval from those to whom they are, in theory, accountable. This is the settlement which matters most. The actual exit terms with the EU are of secondary importance."
https://www.ft.com/content/36e5b0e9-...9-dd2babcf2d80

papa smurf 01-12-2016 18:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35872934)
Really and how long is that going to last do you think compared to the value of Gold? Yeah I'd really rather have a vault full of Euros than a vault full of gold bullion... :rofl:

i would rather have a vault full of beef bouillon than euro's :rofl:

RizzyKing 01-12-2016 19:56

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I doubt boris has any real belief in anything to do with brexit given he only got involved to further his agenda and nothing whatsoever to do with what was best for the UK. Too much pandering to remain will make the negotiations a total waste of time and hamstring us too much to get anything half decent.

martyh 01-12-2016 21:09

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
If we are going to have to accept freedom of movement and paying money to the EU for the privilege of trading with them why the hell did we just have a referendum to get away from all that? Enough of all this crazy talk a more ludicrous scenario i have yet to hear

1andrew1 01-12-2016 21:11

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35873093)
Enough of all this crazy talk a more ludicrous scenario i have yet to hear

If you wait until March 2021 you may hear a more ludicrous one. :D

Kursk 01-12-2016 21:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35873024)
Love the trolling :)

Its not trolling, its advice :p:.

You worry-wart remoaners ought to just quietly carry on working 9 to 5 and pay your taxes because that's what you do best and is what you're needed for. Governance and leadership should be left to people who can handle it: that's everyone with the foresight and confidence to vote Leave.

Damien 01-12-2016 21:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35873093)
If we are going to have to accept freedom of movement and paying money to the EU for the privilege of trading with them why the hell did we just have a referendum to get away from all that? Enough of all this crazy talk a more ludicrous scenario i have yet to hear

I suspect paying them for access is one of the better outcomes if it is in lieu of something else. Money is simpler and is likely to cause a fuss for the Government. This doesn't mean we'll have freedom of movement.

martyh 01-12-2016 21:29

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873096)
I suspect paying them for access is one of the better outcomes if it is in lieu of something else. Money is simpler and is likely to cause a fuss for the Government. This doesn't mean we'll have freedom of movement.

What's the point of a single market that countries can buy into ? it defeats the whole purpose of the single market imo

1andrew1 01-12-2016 21:30

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873096)
I suspect paying them for access is one of the better outcomes if it is in lieu of something else. Money is simpler and is likely to cause a fuss for the Government. This doesn't mean we'll have freedom of movement.

We could have a better negotiating hand if the vote in Italy is "no" and the banking institutions there suffer. Another good reason why May didn't start negotiations to leave straight away.

Damien 01-12-2016 21:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35873098)
What's the point of a single market that countries can buy into ? it defeats the whole purpose of the single market imo

I imagine it's access to rather than member of. In other words we get better trade terms than we would normally get. I don't know really, I don't think they do, it's just something we could do to help get the best deal possible.

Kursk 01-12-2016 21:38

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35873099)
Another good reason why May didn't start negotiations to leave straight away.

You don't think she might have an idea or two about how to handle things do you?:rolleyes:

RizzyKing 01-12-2016 21:38

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
We shouldn't pay for access to the single market and if push comes to shove we walk away entirely, the french and the germans already have teams going to financial institutions in the city of london to try and get them to move operations to the continent. We're not allowed to have independent trade deals till we've left but they can come over on a poaching trip anytime they want yeah there's that well known EU fairness in operation. Yes i know 48% voted to remain but more voted to leave and a lot voted leave to get out of the whole damn thing not bits of it and if we carry on the way we are going with every detail having to be revealed and every strategy known we should bin the whole lot and just give it up and stay in the utopia till it falls apart which isn't going to be that long. I wish i had the cash to emigrate because this country is a complete mess.

martyh 01-12-2016 21:45

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873100)
I imagine it's access to rather than member of. In other words we get better trade terms than we would normally get. I don't know really, I don't think they do, it's just something we could do to help get the best deal possible.

It would work fine for us ,best of both worlds sort of until the rest of Europe decide they want the best of both worlds .I certainly don't think Brussels would entertain such an idea as it attacks the core principles of the single market and the EU .Either we stay 100% in the EU as we are now or we 100% leave ,there can be no half measures

Damien 01-12-2016 21:57

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35873102)
We shouldn't pay for access to the single market and if push comes to shove we walk away entirely, the french and the germans already have teams going to financial institutions in the city of london to try and get them to move operations to the continent.

We should pay if we think it's in our economic interest to do so. We need to be pragmatic and calculating here, walking away to prove a point or some misplaced notion of pride would be silly. We might not have to pay, it may not be worth it but if we think we should and it would be a net gain then go ahead.

If it involves privileged deals with the single market then all the better to keep the banks too.

Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35873103)
Either we stay 100% in the EU as we are now or we 100% leave ,there can be no half measures

We'll be out of the EU but there are many other agreements we can have with Europe. Europe as a bloc is our single biggest trading partner and is right on our doorstep, we are tied to them no matter what. So we need to work out what the relationship will be and maybe paying a fee for access to single market as part of a tailored arrangement will define that relationship post-Brexit. :shrug:

Brexit is happening but what comes next is wide open and we don't know what that will be. There will be downsides and compromises though, same as if we had voted to Remain.

Kursk 01-12-2016 21:57

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873104)
We should pay if we think it's in our economic interest to do so. We need to be pragmatic and calculating here, walking away to prove a point or some misplaced notion of pride would be silly. We might not have to pay, it may not be worth it but if we think we should and it would be a net gain then go ahead.

If it involves privileged deals with the single market then all the better to keep the banks too.

I think you may be confusing amelioration and appeasement. We have a much stronger hand than you think. Brexit is only the beginning. Might be worth remembering too that America's new president has taken a cue from the forward-thinking brexit vote.

pip08456 01-12-2016 22:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35873028)
There's a great article in the Financial Times that explains why the Government is taking this approach. Google "Who the UK really is negotiating with over Brexit" to read it free of charge.

It includes the statement "No, her true Brexit opponents are the UK’s media and politicians and, by extension, the public. Mrs May and her government are in an intense negotiation to obtain approval from those to whom they are, in theory, accountable. This is the settlement which matters most. The actual exit terms with the EU are of secondary importance."
https://www.ft.com/content/36e5b0e9-...9-dd2babcf2d80

I found a better article at Chatham House which goes through the process and suggests a more realistic possible outcome.

Quote:

"Logically, therefore, the UK is more likely to seek a framework leading to some form of enhanced bilateral free trade and investment agreement with the EU, incorporating a strong regulatory dimension – a sort of Cross-Channel Trade and Investment Partnership or ‘CTIP’. Key elements might include: -
The part quoted starts about 1/2 way through but the whole article is worth a read.

https://www.chathamhouse.org/publica...it-negotiation

1andrew1 01-12-2016 22:20

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35873107)
We should pay if we think it's in our economic interest to do so. We need to be pragmatic and calculating here, walking away to prove a point or some misplaced notion of pride would be silly. We might not have to pay, it may not be worth it but if we think we should and it would be a net gain then go ahead.

If it involves privileged deals with the single market then all the better to keep the banks too.

I'm sure the Treasury or another department will have models showing the break-even points for contributing to the EU budget. However, whether commonsense economics over-rides political imperatives is another matter. That being said, if there was some kind of soft Brexit which led to the growth of Ukip, this would most likely be at the expense of the Labour Party and not the Conservatives. And the rebirth of the Liberal Democrats would be far less likely. So it could be an attractive option for May if she could keep her party together. A few donations from industry may smooth matters here.

Pierre 01-12-2016 22:36

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35872944)

Or pay tariffs? What's the difference?

---------- Post added at 21:36 ---------- Previous post was at 21:26 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35873093)
If we are going to have to accept freedom of movement and paying money to the EU for the privilege of trading with them why the hell did we just have a referendum to get away from all that? Enough of all this crazy talk a more ludicrous scenario i have yet to hear

This is the very reason I voted remain, if this is the deal, what is the fracken point!

I voted remain but we lost, but I don't want "remain light". Now we've voted out I want hard out.

Damien 01-12-2016 22:43

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35873116)
Or pay tariffs? What's the difference?-

I suspect that's part of the calculation. Although this would be a flat fee the government pays rather than a cost to everything companies have to face which might discourage investment. If they might have decided that avoiding that cost might be worth the fee.

---------- Post added at 21:43 ---------- Previous post was at 21:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35873116)
I voted remain but we lost, but I don't want "remain light". Now we've voted out I want hard out.

It's a 'hard out' in terms of the EU. This is about Britain's future relationship with Europe. If anyone thought leaving meant a complete rejection of the continent or of globalisation they were wrong.

1andrew1 01-12-2016 22:45

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35873116)
Or pay tariffs? What's the difference?

Presumably less to pay if you pay the EU and a fixed cost so not a direct tax on trade.


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