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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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Try reading the post rather than something into it that isn't there, unless of course you really do think every single person voting has no disliking of foreigners at all. The post I replied stated a stupid reason for remaining involving chocolate, all I did was cite a stupid reason someone might have for leaving ---------- Post added at 16:12 ---------- Previous post was at 16:11 ---------- Quote:
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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I think it might be more a case that leave hasn't actually stated a viable time line of events after we leave, their cause could have been given a massive boost if they had done that or at least advertised the fact better if they did. |
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I think Gove and Boris though haven't thought though the ramifications for them if there is. The polls I was referencing earlier didn't say people know there will be a hit but are willing to put up with it, they don't believe it will happen. Not sure how long Prime Minister Boris lasts if isn't as rosy as promised in the aftermath. The anger would be fierce. Same with Cameron and Remain of course but I suspect he isn't around for long either. |
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http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/20...l#post35842214 |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
well the remain camp rolled out three old hags last night was there a witches convention in town .
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Saw this on some ones Facebook page today, i am not sure how accurate it is.
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According to the 6pm news on BBC 1 labour members are now joining the Leave campaign.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Leave not pretending to have a negotiation timetable in the event we vote out actually makes them more credible to me though I may be in a tiny minority. No one can suggest a timetable because we have no idea how hostile the EU will be or how long they may drag things out it is something that will be out of our control. Given the rhetoric we have had it's safe to say a degree of messing about will be present on the EU side but over what and how long it will be dragged out is anyone's guess.
I think they will try to influence other countries not to have a similar membership vote by treating the uk as harshly as they can and I think it will backfire and actually Stoke the fires of dissent. I still believe if we do vote out the EU is finished we would be the first but not the last and it will be a case of when the whole things collapses not if. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I see Labour is so worried about their lack of 'presence' when it comes to this debate that the order has gone out to turn the issue into a party political anti-Tory argument in order to try to galvanise their core vote to tick to remain box. You really have to wonder about the ineffectual leadership of the opposition that, when it comes to a matter of such huge importance, even their own voters don't really know what they stand for.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politic...endum-36496288 Of course Corbyn's so confused about the EU his website was edited a few months ago to remove articles critical of it. Quote:
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Lets get an EU grant for every company in the UK and move every ruddy thing to the continent. VOTE OUT...
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Blair put it best the other day: Quote:
Also Corbyn wants to Leave the EU. If he took a more senior role in the campaign it would be to undermine it. I miss Ed Miliband. :dozey: |
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
http://news.sky.com/story/1710094/sc...-brexitGermany has warned the UK it will not have access to the single market if it votes to leave the European Union on 23 June.
German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said a relationship similar to that enjoyed by Norway and Switzerland "won't work" for the UK and that "In is in. Out is out". Found it funny to be honest me thinks Europe is scared of what may come out of this with the other nations |
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Gove was talking about still doing trade with the EU perhaps not as a single market but it seems the EU is saying no trade at all or that is the way I read the article |
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The first line of the article states Quote:
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Frankly I think we need to be out of the single market. Being in it is a source of so much burdensome regulation, much of it falling on the 60% of British economic activity that is entirely domestic and doesn't require access to it.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Given the current status of the CF poll on EU membership I'm wondering how long it'll be before some scaremongering 'remainer' or other will start bombarding 'admin' with dire warnings about the threat to this forum if we leave the EU. :D
If the Germans want us to stay in the EU I'm not certain threats/warnings emanating from Berlin are the best way to ensure that happens, even if they're sincerely held. |
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(10% by the way is far than can be made up with status-quo effects) |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I'm not a great believer in polls so I'll be waiting for the official result before I believe anything. I won't be celebrating if we do leave, I'll be wondering why the EU couldn't see sense and reform itself into what it should have been. Part of me still thinks they might if the shock of us leaving focuses a few minds but I won't be putting money on that.
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I think Leave is going to win and have done for a few days now. The fact the economic argument hasn't convinced people and there is huge Brexit support in Labour heartlands has done that for me. If I was a Leave supporter I would be worried about what happens next. There will be a attempt to stop it happening. I think via a General Election where Remain is put on the ballot. I wonder what will happen to the Tories too. The problem for a victory for Leave as far as Boris is concerned (I think Gove is honest in his desire to Leave) is that this anti-elitism, anti-politics, wave he is surfing will claim him eventually too. If we Leave would he really want to be the one in charge of a fractious Tory party and have to get the deals he has said we would get? I have a feeling some sacrificial lamb will become Tory leader after Cameron in that case. |
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I never said there was no plan I said them not pretending to have a plan on negotiations makes me feel they are more credible rather then them coming out with some announced plan that can have no basis in fact. Two years is the maximum at the moment but if the uk votes out a few things will be changing in the EU they won't have a choice and if the leave vote is not significantly high the EU may decide it can drag things out in the hope of a way to reverse the referendum.
Reality is no one has a clue it's all utter guesswork as nothing like this has happened before anyone talking in absolute terms at the minute highlights themselves as a liar. |
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That said, the odds on Brexit are shortening. |
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the two years only start once we give the EU notice of our intention to quit, that process can be dragged out a few months at least, then the click starts ticking on the two year process. ---------- Post added 11-06-2016 at 00:00 ---------- Previous post was 10-06-2016 at 23:57 ---------- Quote:
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Everyone that I know in my part of London are firmly in the Brexit camp, but London as a whole ismainly pro-EU.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I think most of us on here are so biased towards our own views that we are not the best people to help swing an undecided person and they would be far better off researching the areas of concern for themselves and making a personal decision. I'm having to be very careful when discussing this with my daughter as I want her to make her own choice for her own reasons but she hasn't been very interested in politics until now and I worry my bias is coming out in how I describe certain aspects to her and wish I was better able to remove my personal views from my explanations. It's a lot harder to do then I thought it would be and as I'd managed to do it in terms of religion I was perhaps a little overconfident in thinking I could do it as easily with this issue.
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Arise Sir Remain-backer! Fury as Cameron accused of handing gongs to pro EU candidates
DAVID Cameron and George Osborne were accused tonight of abusing their power by rewarding pro-European Union backers with honours. Brexit campaigners said the appearance of leading Remain figures on the Queen’s Birthday Honours List marked “a new low”. Among those getting a CBE – “for services to the food industry and charity” – is Innocent Drinks cofounder Richard Reed, the deputy chairman of the Britain Stronger in Europe official Remain campaign. John Armitage, founder of hedge fund Egerton Capital, who is believed to have donated cash to the In campaign, also gets a CBE. Gisele Stuart, Vote Leave chairman and Labour MP, said: “David Cameron and George Osborne have used every single ounce of their power to try to bully and frighten the British people into backing their campaign to keep us in the EU. Abusing our honours system to reward campaign cronies and donors is a new low. http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...-scoop-honours Arise the Knights of Remain! PM accused of 'borderline corruption' and tainting the Queen's Birthday Honours by dishing out gongs to at least 20 pro-EU bosses http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...EU-bosses.html |
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Scotland chose to form the UK with England and long before political union, the Crowns of the two countries were united. We have been a united country for 300+ years. To tear that up would be disastrous. No one has chosen to join the United States of Europe, only to join a trading bloc. We're not a united country with Europe. |
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its like joining the cooperative society -only to find out you've signed away sovereignty of your nation . |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The Leave side is acting like the Nats in the Scottish Referendum too though. Warnings of the effect on the economy are 'scaremongering' and scepticism of the vision of Leave (£350 million extra on the NHS, more jobs, less taxes, less VAT) is 'talking Britain down'.
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https://fullfact.org/europe/where-does-eu-export/ https://fullfact.org/europe/ask-full-fact-uks-trade-eu/ Trade agreements cover exports as well as imports, so the benefits of a single market covers both... |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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https://fullfact.org/europe/where-does-eu-export/ https://fullfact.org/europe/ask-full-fact-uks-trade-eu/ Trade agreements cover exports as well as imports, so the benefits of a single market covers both... |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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Here are the pros and cons, as I see them, of voting leave: Pros: Regain border control and control numbers of immigrants. Regain national sovereignty as a whole and only elected UK MPs make law and UK judges are the only ones to arbitrate our laws. Stay out of the Euro and the likely collapse that will occur of the currency when euro countries opt for "ever closer union," which they have to do. Stay out of the significant risks to Europe when EU countries start merging together. Who really believes that an Italian is like a Estonian, or a Hungarian like a Swede? Not to be controlled by Germany. We fought and won two world wars against them to prevent that. Orders do not come from Brussels, but Berlin. Have trade agreements with whomever we want. Can't do that being in the EU. Risks: On day of Brexit, the value of our currency will likely fall by a third. Our stockmarket will crash and this could cause a global meltdown. I believe this will happen, it will be painful, but it won't last forever. But whether the country wants another recession for several years is another matter. No guarantee of access to the Single Market. Possible loss of major City firms from London as the big banks and others relocate to the EU. The EU decide to go to "war" with us as a warning to other countries thinking of leaving the EU and make our lives as difficult as possible. |
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It's like the idea that all these wages are going to go up if we leave because of the fall in the labour supply but that assumes the pressure on wages entirely made up of only domestic concerns and that we don't compete in a global marketplace. A lot of the arguments seem to say we'll be more competitive, have higher wages and leave the single market all at the same time. Hell let's chuck tariffs onto there as well, we'll deal with that too. A few pages ago there was a long Facebook post largely complaining that big companies brought other companies as if this wouldn't happen post-Brexit. Leave are tapping into an anti-capitalist, anti-corporate and anti-establish mood but their being lead largely by passionate fans of the free market. |
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Exports revenue minus imports costs then take that from the cost of being in the EU. Maths was never my strong point. Is the final figure worth the price of being in the EU? |
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The thing is, unlike Scotland, it looks like Leave will win and their claims are about to be tested on that. |
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Cheers Grim |
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From what I've seen wherever I go on the net there seems to be an overwhelming majority for leave. If the real poll reflects this, it could be 60% Leave and 40% Remain.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Beware of unweighted samples (which is what the Internet is). You just can't take any straw poll as an indicator of the actual outcome.
We had Yessers here in Scotland in 2014 who were absolutely convinced they were on for a 75-25 victory based on their own doorstep canvassing, and to this day some of them are convinced the actual outcome was rigged because it differed so widely from their own sample. They were blinded to their own shortcomings. Don't be blind - this one is genuinely impossible to call. There's no precedent. Just get out and vote on the day and make sure your friends do too (and be sure to tell them why you're voting leave). |
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The Act of Union didn't happen just happen because the Scottish Lords lost the colonies it was because, for all intents and purposes, they were English and the culture on the island had unified. We have been a unified country for over 300 years and our culture and language became one long before that. To rip all that up with Scotland separating cannot in any way be compared to leaving the EU. THe EU is trying to merge very different peoples and cultures together, in can only end one way. Badly. I cannot see how in anytime in the near future British people can be the same as Czechs, Lativans or any one else. On this island we did unify and Scots did choose. It was originally the English who were luke warm on the idea, can't think why.... |
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Bought and sold for English Gold. ---------- Post added at 16:18 ---------- Previous post was at 16:12 ---------- Quote:
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Brexit odds appear to have changed from about 4:1 a couple of weeks ago to 2:1 now.
Interesting. |
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Money isn't following the polls yet but there will be two more tonight. |
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"There mobile roaming phone bill will go up when they go abroad" Great to see they've got their priorities right :mad: |
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Gen Snowflake... God help the next one.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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Also, this fact seems inconveniently at odds with "taking control" mantra but then what do facts have to do with anything? This poll shows that the perception of the Brexit "facts" seems to differ from reality: EU referendum: British public wrong about nearly everything, survey shows Quote:
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
As an as yet undecided voter, i've been doing some research on the internet today to help me decide.
The general consensus is that neither the remain or leave campaigners can accurately predict what will happen for either scenario. This blog seems to sum things up and doesn't attempt to influence people either way: http://blog.moneysavingexpert.com/20...eu-referendum/ |
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Majority of voters would back Norway-style deal: https://twitter.com/Pete_Spence/stat...22463659298816
Don't believe it. Migration is the most popular reason to vote Leave. Mental if they went with the Norway option in the end. I suspect some in Leave like the idea because it does reduce the laws from the EU. Although looking at the breakdown it would be largely Remain voters in favour. |
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This is just my feeling but I hope you consider it before making your decision. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Cameron has finally decided to tackle the threat of pensioners voting out by threatening their state pensions .In order to close the financial black hole created by leaving he would have to look at cutting pensions
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2...s-dear-if-fun/ |
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He is now officially worse than blair. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Like pensions would be cut anyway. They would triple tuition fees, remove all benefits for the under 35s or introduce a youth tax before they'll touch pensioners' bus passes let alone pensions.
He is right that if there was a cost to leaving that would be made up somewhere but it is nothing but a lie that it would be a cost that the biggest voting bloc in the country would have to pay. |
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Well lets threaten them by kicking them out.
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I believe there is bad news to come re pensions, benefits, taxes etc. whatever we do. We're far from out of the hole and someone's going to have to pay for all the chicanery, spending and borrowing done in the lead up to the crisis and thereafter.
Maybe HMG quite likes the idea of having someone else to blame (i.e. the EU) when things get really tough... :shrug: |
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I do think the pension threat won't happen though. The government wouldn't dare. |
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Does anyone love Dave any longer? The orange face paint and brill creamed hair must be a turn on for someone? Maybe Miss Piggy?
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Threatening pensions would be electoral suicide. Just another lie/bluff by an increasingly desperate stay campaign.
Dave is toast whatever the result is.:) |
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Rather than spouting bolleaux about how bad it might be outside the eu, has there been ANY statement about how good it will be to stay in the eu?
Anything? Anywhere? |
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