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-   -   [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33700839)

TheDaddy 10-06-2016 16:12

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35842094)
What rabid xenophobia I hear that term thrown around a lot as though it somehow applies to most people in favour of leaving and like most of the stuff remain comes out with it's a load of rubbish. Not being in the EU doesn't mean we close the shutters and ignore the rest of the world quite the opposite most in favour of leaving are enthusiastic for greater global relations so how is xenophobic applicable??.


Try reading the post rather than something into it that isn't there, unless of course you really do think every single person voting has no disliking of foreigners at all. The post I replied stated a stupid reason for remaining involving chocolate, all I did was cite a stupid reason someone might have for leaving

---------- Post added at 16:12 ---------- Previous post was at 16:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842103)
Well he responding to the suggestion Remain voters haven't thought about it. His point being stop generalising the other side negatively.

---------- Post added at 07:32 ---------- Previous post was at 06:44 ----------

Anyway I am now 70% sure Leave is going to win. I think the polls and pundits are underestiming the vote from working class Labour voters, especially in the north. The underlying polling is also bad for Remain, many think there will be no economic hit from Brexit.

I think we'll leave to, not massively fussed tbh, I've swayed one side to the other for years

Big Brian 10-06-2016 16:15

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35842186)
Does anyone think it worthwhile setting up a poll to gauge the feelings on here about whether we stay or leave?

well I think it would be overwhelming leave if we did that.

TheDaddy 10-06-2016 16:16

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by techguyone (Post 35842131)
I think fear of the unknown will win.


I think it might be more a case that leave hasn't actually stated a viable time line of events after we leave, their cause could have been given a massive boost if they had done that or at least advertised the fact better if they did.

Damien 10-06-2016 16:17

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35842186)
I think we'll leave to, not massively fussed tbh, I've swayed one side to the other for years

I'll be fine with it as long as there is no big economic hit.

I think Gove and Boris though haven't thought though the ramifications for them if there is. The polls I was referencing earlier didn't say people know there will be a hit but are willing to put up with it, they don't believe it will happen. Not sure how long Prime Minister Boris lasts if isn't as rosy as promised in the aftermath. The anger would be fierce.

Same with Cameron and Remain of course but I suspect he isn't around for long either.

TheDaddy 10-06-2016 16:19

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35842182)
The rebate is an instant rebate ,in other words it is taken from our gross contribution before we pay anything .The size of the rebate is based on our contributions which are going up and that means we get a bigger rebate because we are a net contributor

In other words the mp doctor was right when she said leave were telling out tight lies when she walked out on them

Big Brian 10-06-2016 16:22

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842203)
In other words the mp doctor was right when she said leave were telling out tight lies when she walked out on them

If anything is going to happen to the rebate it certainly won't be going up. France will veto it.

RichardCoulter 10-06-2016 16:43

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842200)
well I think it would be overwhelming leave if we did that.

Ok, I'll give it a go.

http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/20...l#post35842214

papa smurf 10-06-2016 16:59

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
well the remain camp rolled out three old hags last night was there a witches convention in town .

Big Brian 10-06-2016 17:05

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35842212)

Cheers Richard. I've voted.

martyh 10-06-2016 17:11

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842203)
In other words the mp doctor was right when she said leave were telling out tight lies when she walked out on them

The inaccuracy of the statement was pointed out to the leave campaign quite some time ago and she went with it for quite some time so although she and others are correct to point that out she's still some size of hypocrite imo

---------- Post added at 17:11 ---------- Previous post was at 17:07 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842204)
If anything is going to happen to the rebate it certainly won't be going up. France will veto it.

Our rebate has been going up for some time now ,it is based on the size of our contribution which as a net contributor goes up and therefore so does the rebate ,i think that the size of our rebate was renegotiated 2007 ?

Sirius 10-06-2016 17:35

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Saw this on some ones Facebook page today, i am not sure how accurate it is.

Quote:

OK,.. here's a short list of financial and industrial FUBARs from the EU then,..

Cadbury moved factory to Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved to Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover has recently agreed to build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, the same company who have trashed our steel works and emptied the workers pension funds.
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
Dyson gone to Malaysia, with an EU loan.
Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone to Poland with EU grant, once employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone to far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys and models now gone from UK along with the patents all with with EU grants.
Gillette gone to eastern Europe with EU grant.
Texas Instruments Greenock gone to Germany with EU grant.
Indesit at Bodelwyddan Wales gone with EU grant.
Sekisui Alveo said production at its Merthyr Tydfil Industrial Park foam plant will relocate production to Roermond in the Netherlands, with EU funding.
Hoover Merthyr factory moved out of UK to Czech Republic and the Far East by Italian company Candy with EU backing.
ICI integration into Holland’s AkzoNobel with EU bank loan and within days of the merger, several factories in the UK, were closed, eliminating 3,500 jobs
Boots sold to Italians Stefano Pessina who have based their HQ in Switzerland to avoid tax to the tune of £80 million a year, using an EU loan for the purchase.
JDS Uniphase run by two Dutch men, bought up companies in the UK with £20 million in EU 'regeneration' grants, created a pollution nightmare and just closed it all down leaving 1,200 out of work and an environmental clean-up paid for by the UK tax-payer. They also raided the pension fund and drained it dry.
UK airports are owned by a Spanish company.
Scottish Power is owned by a Spanish company.
Most London buses are run by Spanish and German companies.
The Hinkley Point C nuclear power station to be built by French company EDF, part owned by the French government, using cheap Chinese steel that has catastrophically failed in other nuclear installations. Now EDF say the costs will be double or more and it will be very late even if it does come online.
Swindon was once our producer of rail locomotives and rolling stock. Not any more, it's Bombardier in Derby and due to their losses in the aviation market, that could see the end of the British railways manufacturing altogether even though Bombardier had EU grants to keep Derby going which they diverted to their loss-making aviation side in Canada.
39% of British invention patents have been passed to foreign companies, many of them in the EU
The Mini cars that Cameron stood in front of as an example of British engineering, are built by BMW mostly in Holland and Austria. His campaign bus was made in Germany even though we have Plaxton, Optare, Bluebird, Dennis etc., in the UK. The bicycle for the Greens was made in the far east, not by Raleigh UK but then they are probably going to move to the Netherlands too as they have said recently.

Anyone who thinks the EU is good for British industry or any other business simply hasn't paid attention to what has been systematically asset-stripped from the UK. Name me one major technology company still running in the UK, I used to contract out to many, then the work just dried up as they were sold off to companies from France, Germany, Holland, Belgium, etc., and now we don't even teach electronic technology for technicians any more, due to EU regulations.

I haven't detailed our non-existent fishing industry the EU paid to destroy, nor the farmers being paid NOT to produce food they could sell for more than they get paid to do nothing, don't even go there.
I haven't mentioned what it costs us to be asset-stripped like this, nor have I mentioned immigration, nor the risk to our security if control of our armed forces is passed to Brussels or Germany.

Escapee 10-06-2016 18:49

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35842230)
Saw this on some ones Facebook page today, i am not sure how accurate it is.

I have borrowed that, hope you don't mind.

Big Brian 10-06-2016 19:07

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
According to the 6pm news on BBC 1 labour members are now joining the Leave campaign.

RizzyKing 10-06-2016 19:10

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Leave not pretending to have a negotiation timetable in the event we vote out actually makes them more credible to me though I may be in a tiny minority. No one can suggest a timetable because we have no idea how hostile the EU will be or how long they may drag things out it is something that will be out of our control. Given the rhetoric we have had it's safe to say a degree of messing about will be present on the EU side but over what and how long it will be dragged out is anyone's guess.

I think they will try to influence other countries not to have a similar membership vote by treating the uk as harshly as they can and I think it will backfire and actually Stoke the fires of dissent. I still believe if we do vote out the EU is finished we would be the first but not the last and it will be a case of when the whole things collapses not if.

Osem 10-06-2016 19:28

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I see Labour is so worried about their lack of 'presence' when it comes to this debate that the order has gone out to turn the issue into a party political anti-Tory argument in order to try to galvanise their core vote to tick to remain box. You really have to wonder about the ineffectual leadership of the opposition that, when it comes to a matter of such huge importance, even their own voters don't really know what they stand for.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politic...endum-36496288

Of course Corbyn's so confused about the EU his website was edited a few months ago to remove articles critical of it.

Quote:

Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn has been accused of trying to hide his Eurosceptic past after a series of articles critical of Brussels were deleted from his website.

The articles, written before he became leader of the party, criticise the Lisbon Treaty and the unaccountable nature of the deal struck with the European Union.

Sirius 10-06-2016 19:36

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Escapee (Post 35842255)
I have borrowed that, hope you don't mind.

Not at all :tu:

richard s 10-06-2016 20:12

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Lets get an EU grant for every company in the UK and move every ruddy thing to the continent. VOTE OUT...

Damien 10-06-2016 20:24

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842266)
I see Labour is so worried about their lack of 'presence' when it comes to this debate that the order has gone out to turn the issue into a party political anti-Tory argument in order to try to galvanise their core vote to tick to remain box. You really have to wonder about the ineffectual leadership of the opposition that, when it comes to a matter of such huge importance, even their own voters don't really know what they stand for.

You don't have to wonder. Corbyn is a horrible politician and worse, as someone put it today, he is ideologically opposed to getting better because that would be 'politics'. Did you see that Vice documentry on him? If not you should. Sums up the hubris, self-obsession and incompetence.

Blair put it best the other day:

Quote:

“So you’re the person in power, taking difficult decisions, some people support you, some people don’t support you, but you become a figure of controversy and some people, they go out and they protest against you. That’s my type of politics.

“You’re the face on the placard. Jeremy’s the guy with the placard. He’s the guy holding it. One’s the politics of power, and the other’s the politics of protest. And the two are different. And in the end, if you want to change people’s lives, you’ve got to be for the politics of power.”
Labour have given up the politics of power and instead have picked up the placards.

Also Corbyn wants to Leave the EU. If he took a more senior role in the campaign it would be to undermine it.

I miss Ed Miliband. :dozey:

ianch99 10-06-2016 20:28

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842278)
You don't have to wonder. Corbyn is a horrible politician and worst, as someone put it today, he is ideologically opposed to getting better because that would be 'politics'. Did you see that Vice documentry on him? If not you should. Sums up the hubris, self-obsession and incompetence.

Blair put it best the other day:



Labour have given up the politics of power and instead have picked up the placards.

Also Corbyn wants to Leave the EU. If he took a more senior role in the campaign it would be to undermine it.

I miss Ed Miliband. :dozey:

You are spot on with this. You would have thought that after the vote for the wrong Millband you would get it right but they got it even more wrong! The guy doesn't really know what his job is .. so what hope do the wider electorate have?

Gavin78 10-06-2016 20:32

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
http://news.sky.com/story/1710094/sc...-brexitGermany has warned the UK it will not have access to the single market if it votes to leave the European Union on 23 June.


German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said a relationship similar to that enjoyed by Norway and Switzerland "won't work" for the UK and that "In is in. Out is out".


Found it funny to be honest me thinks Europe is scared of what may come out of this with the other nations

Damien 10-06-2016 20:40

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35842280)
http://news.sky.com/story/1710094/sc...-brexitGermany has warned the UK it will not have access to the single market if it votes to leave the European Union on 23 June.


German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said a relationship similar to that enjoyed by Norway and Switzerland "won't work" for the UK and that "In is in. Out is out".


Found it funny to be honest me thinks Europe is scared of what may come out of this with the other nations

This is what Leave want. Gove has already said that the single-market is not what they want, that Norway isn't what they want and there is no way Leave will do any deal on freedom of movement. It's going to be presented and threat but this is right: No EEA deal, no freedom of movement and no single market.

TheDaddy 10-06-2016 20:42

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35842280)
http://news.sky.com/story/1710094/sc...-brexitGermany has warned the UK it will not have access to the single market if it votes to leave the European Union on 23 June.


German finance minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said a relationship similar to that enjoyed by Norway and Switzerland "won't work" for the UK and that "In is in. Out is out".


Found it funny to be honest me thinks Europe is scared of what may come out of this with the other nations

Enjoyed by norway lol and no one would get a deal like Switzerland, it was a sop because they voted against joining by .1 of a percent iirc, you'll have to do better if you want to scare anyone wolfie

Damien 10-06-2016 20:47

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842287)
Enjoyed by norway lol and no one would get a deal like Switzerland, it was a sop because they voted against joining by .1 of a percent iirc, you'll have to do better if you want to scare anyone wolfie

I don't think Leave will contest this. It's largely in line with their own statements and it stops the idea of MPs trying to rig it after a Leave vote to keep us in EEA.

TheDaddy 10-06-2016 20:51

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35842262)
Leave not pretending to have a negotiation timetable in the event we vote out actually makes them more credible to me though I may be in a tiny minority. No one can suggest a timetable because we have no idea how hostile the EU will be or how long they may drag things out it is something that will be out of our control. Given the rhetoric we have had it's safe to say a degree of messing about will be present on the EU side but over what and how long it will be dragged out is anyone's guess.

I think they will try to influence other countries not to have a similar membership vote by treating the uk as harshly as they can and I think it will backfire and actually Stoke the fires of dissent. I still believe if we do vote out the EU is finished we would be the first but not the last and it will be a case of when the whole things collapses not if.

You think having no plan makes them more credible, it's an interesting stance sadly though I believe you are on a minority of one believing it though. The time table has an end, 2 years unless we convince everyone to give us an extention, if we can't that's it we're gone regardless of what stage in negotiations we're at so with that in mind I'd have like to have heard a rough guide on where they'd like negotiations to be at certain stages and what they plan to do if we're not there. Or is their plan to get us out and hang the consequences, someone else can worry about that and clean up the mess

Gavin78 10-06-2016 21:02

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842286)
This is what Leave want. Gove has already said that the single-market is not what they want, that Norway isn't what they want and there is no way Leave will do any deal on freedom of movement. It's going to be presented and threat but this is right: No EEA deal, no freedom of movement and no single market.


Gove was talking about still doing trade with the EU perhaps not as a single market but it seems the EU is saying no trade at all or that is the way I read the article

TheDaddy 10-06-2016 21:06

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842288)
I don't think Leave will contest this. It's largely in line with their own statements and it stops the idea of MPs trying to rig it after a Leave vote to keep us in EEA.

I actually agree with wolfie, in or out, EEA is the worst of both worlds

Hugh 10-06-2016 21:07

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35842292)
Gove was talking about still doing trade with the EU perhaps not as a single market but it seems the EU is saying no trade at all or that is the way I read the article

You misread it...

The first line of the article states
Quote:

Germany has warned the UK it will not have access to the single market if it votes to leave the European Union on 23 June.

Chris 10-06-2016 21:13

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Frankly I think we need to be out of the single market. Being in it is a source of so much burdensome regulation, much of it falling on the 60% of British economic activity that is entirely domestic and doesn't require access to it.

Osem 10-06-2016 21:21

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Given the current status of the CF poll on EU membership I'm wondering how long it'll be before some scaremongering 'remainer' or other will start bombarding 'admin' with dire warnings about the threat to this forum if we leave the EU. :D

If the Germans want us to stay in the EU I'm not certain threats/warnings emanating from Berlin are the best way to ensure that happens, even if they're sincerely held.

Damien 10-06-2016 21:27

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842299)
Given the current status of the CF poll on EU membership I'm wondering how long it'll be before some scaremongering 'remainer' or other will start bombarding 'admin' with dire warnings about the threat to this forum if we leave the EU. :D

Well a new poll has Leave 10% ahead so it's not going to be long before we find out if it was scaremongering or not. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7075131.html

(10% by the way is far than can be made up with status-quo effects)

Osem 10-06-2016 21:34

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I'm not a great believer in polls so I'll be waiting for the official result before I believe anything. I won't be celebrating if we do leave, I'll be wondering why the EU couldn't see sense and reform itself into what it should have been. Part of me still thinks they might if the shock of us leaving focuses a few minds but I won't be putting money on that.

passingbat 10-06-2016 21:48

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842303)
I'll be wondering why the EU couldn't see sense and reform itself into what it should have been.

Because the movers behind the EU have never had any other plan, other than a Federal states of Europe. There is no other version of the EU as far as they are concerned.

Damien 10-06-2016 21:49

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842303)
I'm not a great believer in polls so I'll be waiting for the official result before I believe anything. I won't be celebrating if we do leave, I'll be wondering why the EU couldn't see sense and reform itself into what it should have been. Part of me still thinks they might if the shock of us leaving focuses a few minds but I won't be putting money on that.

I am still well clear of the internet win or lose. :D

I think Leave is going to win and have done for a few days now. The fact the economic argument hasn't convinced people and there is huge Brexit support in Labour heartlands has done that for me.

If I was a Leave supporter I would be worried about what happens next. There will be a attempt to stop it happening. I think via a General Election where Remain is put on the ballot.

I wonder what will happen to the Tories too. The problem for a victory for Leave as far as Boris is concerned (I think Gove is honest in his desire to Leave) is that this anti-elitism, anti-politics, wave he is surfing will claim him eventually too. If we Leave would he really want to be the one in charge of a fractious Tory party and have to get the deals he has said we would get? I have a feeling some sacrificial lamb will become Tory leader after Cameron in that case.

Osem 10-06-2016 22:04

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842309)
I am still well clear of the internet win or lose. :D

I think Leave is going to win and have done for a few days now. The fact the economic argument hasn't convinced people and there is huge Brexit support in Labour heartlands has done that for me.

If I was a Leave supporter I would be worried about what happens next. There will be a attempt to stop it happening. I think via a General Election where Remain is put on the ballot.

I wonder what will happen to the Tories too. The problem for a victory for Leave as far as Boris is concerned (I think Gove is honest in his desire to Leave) is that this anti-elitism, anti-politics, wave he is surfing will claim him eventually too. If we Leave would he really want to be the one in charge of a fractious Tory party and have to get the deals he has said we would get? I have a feeling some sacrificial lamb will become Tory leader after Cameron in that case.

It wouldn't surprise me at all. The EU has form on not accepting results they don't like and if enough of the movers and shakers on both sides of the Channel get together maybe they will seek to move the goalposts. It's going to be messy within HMG and Labour too - a lot's been said and done which isn't soon going to be forgotten.

RizzyKing 10-06-2016 22:53

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I never said there was no plan I said them not pretending to have a plan on negotiations makes me feel they are more credible rather then them coming out with some announced plan that can have no basis in fact. Two years is the maximum at the moment but if the uk votes out a few things will be changing in the EU they won't have a choice and if the leave vote is not significantly high the EU may decide it can drag things out in the hope of a way to reverse the referendum.

Reality is no one has a clue it's all utter guesswork as nothing like this has happened before anyone talking in absolute terms at the minute highlights themselves as a liar.

Ignitionnet 10-06-2016 23:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842103)
Well he responding to the suggestion Remain voters haven't thought about it. His point being stop generalising the other side negatively.

---------- Post added at 07:32 ---------- Previous post was at 06:44 ----------

Anyway I am now 70% sure Leave is going to win. I think the polls and pundits are underestiming the vote from working class Labour voters, especially in the north. The underlying polling is also bad for Remain, many think there will be no economic hit from Brexit.

I'm actually 70% sure that we'll remain.

That said, the odds on Brexit are shortening.

TheDaddy 11-06-2016 00:00

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35842317)
I never said there was no plan I said them not pretending to have a plan on negotiations makes me feel they are more credible rather then them coming out with some announced plan that can have no basis in fact. Two years is the maximum at the moment but if the uk votes out a few things will be changing in the EU they won't have a choice and if the leave vote is not significantly high the EU may decide it can drag things out in the hope of a way to reverse the referendum.

Reality is no one has a clue it's all utter guesswork as nothing like this has happened before anyone talking in absolute terms at the minute highlights themselves as a liar.

Newsflash Rizzy they are liars, everyone involved in this from the start is nothing more than an absolute liar and
the two years only start once we give the EU notice of our intention to quit, that process can be dragged out a few months at least, then the click starts ticking on the two year process.

---------- Post added 11-06-2016 at 00:00 ---------- Previous post was 10-06-2016 at 23:57 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35842320)
I'm actually 70% sure that we'll remain.

That said, the odds on Brexit are shortening.

Everyone I know from all walks of life and income from various parts of the country are all voting leave, I'm the only one who is in any doubt

Ignitionnet 11-06-2016 00:10

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842326)
Everyone I know from all walks of life and income from various parts of the country are all voting leave, I'm the only one who is in any doubt

Most people I know are voting remain, I'm an anomaly. Swings, roundabouts.

Horizon 11-06-2016 01:39

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Everyone that I know in my part of London are firmly in the Brexit camp, but London as a whole ismainly pro-EU.

---------- Post added at 01:39 ---------- Previous post was at 01:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842326)
Everyone I know from all walks of life and income from various parts of the country are all voting leave, I'm the only one who is in any doubt

Say what you're doubts are and perhaps someone can alleviate them for you.:)

RizzyKing 11-06-2016 05:04

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I think most of us on here are so biased towards our own views that we are not the best people to help swing an undecided person and they would be far better off researching the areas of concern for themselves and making a personal decision. I'm having to be very careful when discussing this with my daughter as I want her to make her own choice for her own reasons but she hasn't been very interested in politics until now and I worry my bias is coming out in how I describe certain aspects to her and wish I was better able to remove my personal views from my explanations. It's a lot harder to do then I thought it would be and as I'd managed to do it in terms of religion I was perhaps a little overconfident in thinking I could do it as easily with this issue.

TheDaddy 11-06-2016 06:56

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Horizon (Post 35842334)
Everyone that I know in my part of London are firmly in the Brexit camp, but London as a whole ismainly pro-EU.

---------- Post added at 01:39 ---------- Previous post was at 01:37 ----------

Say what you're doubts are and perhaps someone can alleviate them for you.:)

That's unlikely, I've literally flip flopped on this for years, ten years ago I was one of the few on here arguing against the EU, then for a while I was very pro eu and now the times coming to decide I've characteristically changed my mind and side several times, at the moment I'm probably in the remain camp. I wouldn't be shocked if I didn't remain here though.

Big Brian 11-06-2016 08:07

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35842292)
Gove was talking about still doing trade with the EU perhaps not as a single market but it seems the EU is saying no trade at all or that is the way I read the article

That would not be in their best interests.

---------- Post added at 07:57 ---------- Previous post was at 07:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842296)
You misread it...

The first line of the article states

Now how do they know that? Has there been a discussion about what would happen and what the UK will and won't get, and has there been a vote in the EU that we don't know about?

---------- Post added at 08:01 ---------- Previous post was at 07:57 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842302)
Well a new poll has Leave 10% ahead so it's not going to be long before we find out if it was scaremongering or not. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7075131.html

(10% by the way is far than can be made up with status-quo effects)

Ah! Music to my ears. If this is the trend then Project fear is dead!

---------- Post added at 08:04 ---------- Previous post was at 08:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842303)
I'm not a great believer in polls so I'll be waiting for the official result before I believe anything. I won't be celebrating if we do leave, I'll be wondering why the EU couldn't see sense and reform itself into what it should have been. Part of me still thinks they might if the shock of us leaving focuses a few minds but I won't be putting money on that.

God I'll be in the pub celebration if we leave. I never wanted any part of it in the first place and voted against in 1975. It was never going to work for us and it never will.

---------- Post added at 08:07 ---------- Previous post was at 08:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35842330)
Most people I know are voting remain, I'm an anomaly. Swings, roundabouts.

I think you'll find it depends or what area you live in as to the answer you'll get from people and their standards of living.

Hugh 11-06-2016 08:10

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842350)
That would not be in their best interests.

---------- Post added at 07:57 ---------- Previous post was at 07:54 ----------



Now how do they know that? Has there been a discussion about what would happen and what the UK will and won't get, and has there been a vote in the EU that we don't know about?

---------- Post added at 08:01 ---------- Previous post was at 07:57 ----------



Ah! Music to my ears. If this is the trend then Project fear is dead!

---------- Post added at 08:04 ---------- Previous post was at 08:01 ----------



God I'll be in the pub celebration if we leave. I never wanted any part of it in the first place and voted against in 1975. It was never going to work for us and it never will.

---------- Post added at 08:07 ---------- Previous post was at 08:04 ----------



I think you'll find it depends or what area you live in as to the answer you'll get from people and their standards of living.

It's very simple - there is a Single Market Agreement, and if you don't sign up to it under agreed terms (which The Gover has said Leave shouldn't do), you don't have access to the Single Market...

Big Brian 11-06-2016 08:14

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842355)
It's very simple - there is a Single Market Agreement, and if you don't sign up to it under agreed terms (which The Gover has said Leave shouldn't do), you don't have access to the Single Market...

Fair enough. Do we really want it? It only seems to work one way. We export mort to them than they do to us. Can't remember the exact figure the EU export to us but it's not bank breaking is it? It can be more than made up by trading with countries we don't trade with now.

papa smurf 11-06-2016 09:55

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35842320)
I'm actually 70% sure that we'll remain.

That said, the odds on Brexit are shortening.

i'm 100% sure there will be cheating from Dodgy Dave and his desperateers .

martyh 11-06-2016 10:13

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35842364)
i'm 100% sure there will be cheating from Dodgy Dave and his desperateers .

What cheating would that be then :rolleyes:

Damien 11-06-2016 10:14

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842356)
Fair enough. Do we really want it? It only seems to work one way. We export mort to them than they do to us. Can't remember the exact figure the EU export to us but it's not bank breaking is it? It can be more than made up by trading with countries we don't trade with now.

Lots of industries work across borders. It's not just a case of import/export.

papa smurf 11-06-2016 10:21

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Arise Sir Remain-backer! Fury as Cameron accused of handing gongs to pro EU candidates

DAVID Cameron and George Osborne were accused tonight of abusing their power by rewarding pro-European Union backers with honours.

Brexit campaigners said the appearance of leading Remain figures on the Queen’s Birthday Honours List marked “a new low”.

Among those getting a CBE – “for services to the food industry and charity” – is Innocent Drinks cofounder Richard Reed, the deputy chairman of the Britain Stronger in Europe official Remain campaign.

John Armitage, founder of hedge fund Egerton Capital, who is believed to have donated cash to the In campaign, also gets a CBE.

Gisele Stuart, Vote Leave chairman and Labour MP, said: “David Cameron and George Osborne have used every single ounce of their power to try to bully and frighten the British people into backing their campaign to keep us in the EU. Abusing our honours system to reward campaign cronies and donors is a new low.
http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...-scoop-honours

Arise the Knights of Remain! PM accused of 'borderline corruption' and tainting the Queen's Birthday Honours by dishing out gongs to at least 20 pro-EU bosses
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...EU-bosses.html

Big Brian 11-06-2016 10:44

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35842364)
i'm 100% sure there will be cheating from Dodgy Dave and his desperateers .

Now you know how we felt in the Scottish referendum. I seem to remember Dodgy Dave and Co. saying we won't interfere in the referendum it's up to the Scottish people then when it looked like Independence might win there were all up there like flies round excrement interfering and up to their dodgy tricks. The things remain are saying now are exactly what they were saying in the Scottish referendum. Remember too that some of these Politicians are now on the leave side saying exactly the opposite. I have to ask why was it bad for Scotland to leave the Union but not for the Union to leave the EU under the same circumstances. It didn't change my vote on the EU but it's worth thinking about if you are undecided.

---------- Post added at 10:44 ---------- Previous post was at 10:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842367)
Lots of industries work across borders. It's not just a case of import/export.

I understand. Some may relocate but others will come to the UK so in the end you won't lose anything in the end.

Horizon 11-06-2016 10:51

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842370)
Now you know how we felt in the Scottish referendum. I seem to remember Dodgy Dave and Co. saying we won't interfere in the referendum it's up to the Scottish people then when it looked like Independence might win there were all up there like flies round excrement interfering and up to their dodgy tricks. The things remain are saying now are exactly what they were saying in the Scottish referendum. Remember too that some of these Politicians are now on the leave side saying exactly the opposite. I have to ask why was it bad for Scotland to leave the Union but not for the Union to leave the EU under the same circumstances. It didn't change my vote on the EU but it's worth thinking about if you are undecided.

---------- Post added at 10:44 ---------- Previous post was at 10:43 ----------



I understand. Some may relocate but others will come to the UK so in the end you won't lose anything in the end.

Not the same thing at all.

Scotland chose to form the UK with England and long before political union, the Crowns of the two countries were united. We have been a united country for 300+ years. To tear that up would be disastrous.

No one has chosen to join the United States of Europe, only to join a trading bloc. We're not a united country with Europe.

papa smurf 11-06-2016 10:57

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Horizon (Post 35842374)
Not the same thing at all.

Scotland chose to form the UK with England and long before political union, the Crowns of the two countries were united. We have been a united country for 300+ years. To tear that up would be disastrous.

No one has chosen to join the United States of Europe, only to join a trading bloc. We're not a united country with Europe.




its like joining the cooperative society -only to find out you've signed away sovereignty of your nation .

Damien 11-06-2016 11:07

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
The Leave side is acting like the Nats in the Scottish Referendum too though. Warnings of the effect on the economy are 'scaremongering' and scepticism of the vision of Leave (£350 million extra on the NHS, more jobs, less taxes, less VAT) is 'talking Britain down'.

Hugh 11-06-2016 11:10

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842356)
Fair enough. Do we really want it? It only seems to work one way. We export mort to them than they do to us. Can't remember the exact figure the EU export to us but it's not bank breaking is it? It can be more than made up by trading with countries we don't trade with now.

The EU exports 16% of their goods and services to us, we export 44% of our goods and services to them.

https://fullfact.org/europe/where-does-eu-export/

https://fullfact.org/europe/ask-full-fact-uks-trade-eu/

Trade agreements cover exports as well as imports, so the benefits of a single market covers both...

Hugh 11-06-2016 11:10

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842356)
Fair enough. Do we really want it? It only seems to work one way. We export mort to them than they do to us. Can't remember the exact figure the EU export to us but it's not bank breaking is it? It can be more than made up by trading with countries we don't trade with now.

The EU exports 16% of their goods and services to us, we export 44% of our goods and services to them.

https://fullfact.org/europe/where-does-eu-export/

https://fullfact.org/europe/ask-full-fact-uks-trade-eu/

Trade agreements cover exports as well as imports, so the benefits of a single market covers both...

Horizon 11-06-2016 11:11

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842340)
That's unlikely, I've literally flip flopped on this for years, ten years ago I was one of the few on here arguing against the EU, then for a while I was very pro eu and now the times coming to decide I've characteristically changed my mind and side several times, at the moment I'm probably in the remain camp. I wouldn't be shocked if I didn't remain here though.

I'm broadly pro Europe and on many things I would favour closer ties, but some things have gone too far and that's why I vote Brexit.

Here are the pros and cons, as I see them, of voting leave:

Pros:

Regain border control and control numbers of immigrants.
Regain national sovereignty as a whole and only elected UK MPs make law and UK judges are the only ones to arbitrate our laws.

Stay out of the Euro and the likely collapse that will occur of the currency when euro countries opt for "ever closer union," which they have to do.

Stay out of the significant risks to Europe when EU countries start merging together. Who really believes that an Italian is like a Estonian, or a Hungarian like a Swede?

Not to be controlled by Germany. We fought and won two world wars against them to prevent that. Orders do not come from Brussels, but Berlin.

Have trade agreements with whomever we want. Can't do that being in the EU.

Risks:

On day of Brexit, the value of our currency will likely fall by a third. Our stockmarket will crash and this could cause a global meltdown. I believe this will happen, it will be painful, but it won't last forever. But whether the country wants another recession for several years is another matter.

No guarantee of access to the Single Market.

Possible loss of major City firms from London as the big banks and others relocate to the EU.

The EU decide to go to "war" with us as a warning to other countries thinking of leaving the EU and make our lives as difficult as possible.

papa smurf 11-06-2016 11:15

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien;35842377[B
]The Leave side is acting like the Nats in the Scottish Referendum [/B]too though. Warnings of the effect on the economy are 'scaremongering' and scepticism of the vision of Leave (£350 million extra on the NHS, more jobs, less taxes, less VAT) is 'talking Britain down'.

what like wanting control of their own destiny

Damien 11-06-2016 11:42

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35842383)
what like wanting control of their own destiny

And like Scotland the UK will find itself limited by global markets and world events even if we left.

It's like the idea that all these wages are going to go up if we leave because of the fall in the labour supply but that assumes the pressure on wages entirely made up of only domestic concerns and that we don't compete in a global marketplace.

A lot of the arguments seem to say we'll be more competitive, have higher wages and leave the single market all at the same time. Hell let's chuck tariffs onto there as well, we'll deal with that too.

A few pages ago there was a long Facebook post largely complaining that big companies brought other companies as if this wouldn't happen post-Brexit. Leave are tapping into an anti-capitalist, anti-corporate and anti-establish mood but their being lead largely by passionate fans of the free market.

Big Brian 11-06-2016 11:45

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Horizon (Post 35842374)
Not the same thing at all.

Scotland chose to form the UK with England and long before political union, the Crowns of the two countries were united. We have been a united country for 300+ years. To tear that up would be disastrous.

No one has chosen to join the United States of Europe, only to join a trading bloc. We're not a united country with Europe.

If you say so. Chose to join. The English starved the Scots into it by refusing to allow trade with the colonies. There was no choice in the matter at all. However that's a different subject. The point I was making was that it is fine for one but not for the other. The economic threats, if you believe remain are the same. Trade with the EU is the same. Relocation of companies is the same. The arguments they are using are word for word the ones they used in the Scottish referendum.

Hugh 11-06-2016 11:46

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35842383)
what like wanting control of their own destiny

On that note...

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/robi..._10391770.html
Quote:

The people who make the EU’s laws in Brussels are not unelected bureaucrats; they are elected politicians, accountable to the people who elected them.

Virtually every law made in Brussels must be approved by two sets of democratically-elected politicians: the Council of the European Union, which is made up of government ministers from each member state, and the European Parliament, every member of which has been elected.

These are not unelected, unaccountable bureaucrats; they are elected, accountable politicians. (There may be occasional exceptions: the government of the UK, for example, includes 24 members who have not been elected by anyone - they are members of the House of Lords, unaccountable to anyone except the prime minister of the day. In any other country, the arrangement would be regarded as profoundly undemocratic.)

Ah, say the Leave campaigners, but the UK can easily be outvoted, can’t we? We can be forced to adopt laws that our elected representatives have not approved. They are right, so let us look at some figures.

Between 1999 and March 2016, the UK was indeed outvoted in the Council 57 times. It abstained 70 times, and voted with the majority - wait for it - 2,474 times. In other words, over a roughly 15-year period, the UK’s elected representatives, members of a government that has to face the electorate every five years, voted in favour of 95% of the laws passed in Brussels.

(The figures have been calculated, by the way, by Professor Simon Hix of the London School of Economics, who is part of a group of academics called The UK in a Changing Europe, funded by the Economic and Social Research Council and based at King’s College, London. He is one of the expert speakers in the sovereignty and national identity podcast in my EUTheJury series.)

Big Brian 11-06-2016 11:51

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842377)
The Leave side is acting like the Nats in the Scottish Referendum too though. Warnings of the effect on the economy are 'scaremongering' and scepticism of the vision of Leave (£350 million extra on the NHS, more jobs, less taxes, less VAT) is 'talking Britain down'.

Exactly. The same arguments.

---------- Post added at 11:51 ---------- Previous post was at 11:48 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842379)
The EU exports 16% of their goods and services to us, we export 44% of our goods and services to them.

https://fullfact.org/europe/where-does-eu-export/

https://fullfact.org/europe/ask-full-fact-uks-trade-eu/

Trade agreements cover exports as well as imports, so the benefits of a single market covers both...

What benefits. Work out the exports then the cost of being in the EU and see if it's worth it. Do we make a lot more in exports-imports compared to the cost of being in the EU. What Benefits?

Big Brian 11-06-2016 11:54

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842385)
And like Scotland the UK will find itself limited by global markets and world events even if we left.

It's like the idea that all these wages are going to go up if we leave because of the fall in the labour supply but that assumes the pressure on wages entirely made up of only domestic concerns and that we don't compete in a global marketplace.

A lot of the arguments seem to say we'll be more competitive, have higher wages and leave the single market all at the same time. Hell let's chuck tariffs onto there as well, we'll deal with that too.

A few pages ago there was a long Facebook post largely complaining that big companies brought other companies as if this wouldn't happen post-Brexit. Leave are tapping into an anti-capitalist, anti-corporate and anti-establish mood but their being lead largely by passionate fans of the free market.

I honestly can't see the EU slapping high tariffs on us as we would do the same to them so it would be of no use to them.

Hugh 11-06-2016 11:55

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842392)
I honestly can't see the EU slapping high tariffs on us as we would do the same to them so it would be of no use to them.

I think the tariffs on 44% of exports would have more effect than tariffs on 16% of exports, don't you?

Big Brian 11-06-2016 12:01

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842393)
I think the tariffs on 44% of exports would have more effect than tariffs on 16% of exports, don't you?

If I could do the math on this I would.

Exports revenue minus imports costs then take that from the cost of being in the EU. Maths was never my strong point. Is the final figure worth the price of being in the EU?

Damien 11-06-2016 12:04

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842396)
Is the final figure worth the price of being in the EU?

Well that's it isn't it. Maybe, maybe not. It's the fact that the Leave campaign are denying there is a cost at all, maybe even we'll end up ahead and according to the polls the public agree.

The thing is, unlike Scotland, it looks like Leave will win and their claims are about to be tested on that.

GrimUpNorth 11-06-2016 12:47

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842393)
I think the tariffs on 44% of exports would have more effect than tariffs on 16% of exports, don't you?

It all depends what the underlying monetary values are. If in monetary terms the value of our imports are 3 or more times the value of our exports then the percentages are meaningless poppycock designed to do nothing more than cloud the real issue (not sure of the monetary values so could well be spouting rubbish).

Cheers

Grim

Big Brian 11-06-2016 13:02

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842397)
Well that's it isn't it. Maybe, maybe not. It's the fact that the Leave campaign are denying there is a cost at all, maybe even we'll end up ahead and according to the polls the public agree.

The thing is, unlike Scotland, it looks like Leave will win and their claims are about to be tested on that.

Yes I agree there but I'm set in my ways where the EU is concerned. Never wanted it and never will no matter what form it takes. But it's interesting listening to others air their views on the EU. Some agree with me some have different reasons and others silly reasons for leaving. However, I like listening to both sides and agree with some of what both sides say. It's all right for me I know my position and it will never change and now that I've voted I can listen to others.

Osem 11-06-2016 13:11

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842397)
Well that's it isn't it. Maybe, maybe not. It's the fact that the Leave campaign are denying there is a cost at all, maybe even we'll end up ahead and according to the polls the public agree.

The thing is, unlike Scotland, it looks like Leave will win and their claims are about to be tested on that.

Well you can bet that if leave does win there'll be all sorts of pressure to try to negate or modify the outcome (which may not necessarily be a bad thing). If, on the other hand, we stay in there's no way we're going to be another shot at this, short of there being some sort of landmark legal judgement which forces a re-run of the vote for some reason.

Big Brian 11-06-2016 15:18

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
From what I've seen wherever I go on the net there seems to be an overwhelming majority for leave. If the real poll reflects this, it could be 60% Leave and 40% Remain.

Chris 11-06-2016 15:35

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Beware of unweighted samples (which is what the Internet is). You just can't take any straw poll as an indicator of the actual outcome.

We had Yessers here in Scotland in 2014 who were absolutely convinced they were on for a 75-25 victory based on their own doorstep canvassing, and to this day some of them are convinced the actual outcome was rigged because it differed so widely from their own sample. They were blinded to their own shortcomings.

Don't be blind - this one is genuinely impossible to call. There's no precedent. Just get out and vote on the day and make sure your friends do too (and be sure to tell them why you're voting leave).

TheDaddy 11-06-2016 15:50

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842386)
If you say so. Chose to join. The English starved the Scots into it by refusing to allow trade with the colonies. There was no choice in the matter at all. However that's a different subject. The point I was making was that it is fine for one but not for the other. The economic threats, if you believe remain are the same. Trade with the EU is the same. Relocation of companies is the same. The arguments they are using are word for word the ones they used in the Scottish referendum.

Its a very different subject, I thought the Scots were starving due to the disastrous darian scheme and thought better of being the noisy neighbour due to the Duke of Marlborough and his military prowess around that time.

Horizon 11-06-2016 16:01

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842386)
If you say so. Chose to join. The English starved the Scots into it by refusing to allow trade with the colonies. There was no choice in the matter at all. However that's a different subject. The point I was making was that it is fine for one but not for the other. The economic threats, if you believe remain are the same. Trade with the EU is the same. Relocation of companies is the same. The arguments they are using are word for word the ones they used in the Scottish referendum.

Firstly, on the Act Of Union, yes Scots did choose to join. The Scots barons' seals are on the Union document. You can go on about history all you like, but by then, whether right or wrong, English (Anglo/Saxon) culture was dominate on the island and Celts culture was on the margins.

The Act of Union didn't happen just happen because the Scottish Lords lost the colonies it was because, for all intents and purposes, they were English and the culture on the island had unified.

We have been a unified country for over 300 years and our culture and language became one long before that. To rip all that up with Scotland separating cannot in any way be compared to leaving the EU.

THe EU is trying to merge very different peoples and cultures together, in can only end one way. Badly.

I cannot see how in anytime in the near future British people can be the same as Czechs, Lativans or any one else. On this island we did unify and Scots did choose. It was originally the English who were luke warm on the idea, can't think why....

Big Brian 11-06-2016 16:18

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35842442)
Its a very different subject, I thought the Scots were starving due to the disastrous darian scheme and thought better of being the noisy neighbour due to the Duke of Marlborough and his military prowess around that time.

Indeed that was part of it. and the well to do were sneaking in under cover of darkness to sign away Scotland's Sovereignty. As Burns said:

Bought and sold for English Gold.

---------- Post added at 16:18 ---------- Previous post was at 16:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35842436)
Beware of unweighted samples (which is what the Internet is). You just can't take any straw poll as an indicator of the actual outcome.

We had Yessers here in Scotland in 2014 who were absolutely convinced they were on for a 75-25 victory based on their own doorstep canvassing, and to this day some of them are convinced the actual outcome was rigged because it differed so widely from their own sample. They were blinded to their own shortcomings.

Don't be blind - this one is genuinely impossible to call. There's no precedent. Just get out and vote on the day and make sure your friends do too (and be sure to tell them why you're voting leave).

Perhaps I should have bean clearer and said I've been on several forums where it's overwhelmingly for leave

Maggy 11-06-2016 16:43

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842393)
I think the tariffs on 44% of exports would have more effect than tariffs on 16% of exports, don't you?

You are bringing facts to a bar room fig...err debate.:D

Ignitionnet 11-06-2016 16:48

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Brexit odds appear to have changed from about 4:1 a couple of weeks ago to 2:1 now.

Interesting.

Damien 11-06-2016 17:12

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35842455)
Brexit odds appear to have changed from about 4:1 a couple of weeks ago to 2:1 now.

Interesting.

They've gone from about 75%-80% to 70% on here (for Remain): http://politicalodds.bet/eu-referendum

Money isn't following the polls yet but there will be two more tonight.

Hom3r 11-06-2016 18:45

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gary L (Post 35841130)
But then some people will vote to stay in if they're told that being out will cost them an extra 5p on a pkt cigs. and a 1p rise on petrol.

A group of 18 year old said they will vote to stay for a stupid reason.

"There mobile roaming phone bill will go up when they go abroad"

Great to see they've got their priorities right :mad:

techguyone 11-06-2016 19:38

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Gen Snowflake... God help the next one.

ianch99 11-06-2016 19:40

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35842387)

Remember that Leavers don't need "experts" ..

Also, this fact seems inconveniently at odds with "taking control" mantra but then what do facts have to do with anything?

This poll shows that the perception of the Brexit "facts" seems to differ from reality:

EU referendum: British public wrong about nearly everything, survey shows

Quote:

The British public have it wrong on immigrants and wrong on the EU.

According to their research by Ipsos MORI, British people think far more EU citizens live in the UK than actually do, that we pay far more money to the EU budget than is the case, and that we significantly overestimate the amount of benefits paid to EU migrants.

In a survey of 1,000 people, weighted to represent the nation’s demographic profile in terms of age, gender, ethnicity and other factors, respondents claimed that, on average, 15 per cent of the UK population are EU immigrants. That would be 10.5m people. The correct figure is 3.5m. Those who intend to vote Leave in the referendum put the figure at 20 per cent. ‘Remainers’ put the figure at 10 per cent.

The EU spends 6 per cent of its budget on administration. The average guess was 27 per cent.

David Cameron’s rebate did much to publicise the issue of child benefit payments to EU migrants, a fact that few people in the UK were even aware of. 14 per cent of people now think that 30 per cent of the UK’s Child Benefit budget is sent to children living overseas. 23 per cent of people think that 13 per cent of it does. The correct figure is 0.3 per cent. It means that almost 49 per cent of the population overestimate the figure by more than 40 times.

RichardCoulter 11-06-2016 20:50

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
As an as yet undecided voter, i've been doing some research on the internet today to help me decide.

The general consensus is that neither the remain or leave campaigners can accurately predict what will happen for either scenario.

This blog seems to sum things up and doesn't attempt to influence people either way:

http://blog.moneysavingexpert.com/20...eu-referendum/

Mr K 11-06-2016 21:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35842522)

This blog seems to sum things up and doesn't attempt to influence people either way:

http://blog.moneysavingexpert.com/20...eu-referendum/

Martin Lewis (mse head honcho), has come out for Remain. Maybe he's read his own blog and come to the logical conclusion ;)

papa smurf 11-06-2016 21:47

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35842525)
Martin Lewis (mse head honcho), has come out for Remain. Maybe he's read his own blog and come to the logical conclusion ;)

if you want to save money leave the EU

Damien 11-06-2016 21:57

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Majority of voters would back Norway-style deal: https://twitter.com/Pete_Spence/stat...22463659298816

Don't believe it. Migration is the most popular reason to vote Leave. Mental if they went with the Norway option in the end. I suspect some in Leave like the idea because it does reduce the laws from the EU.

Although looking at the breakdown it would be largely Remain voters in favour.

Big Brian 12-06-2016 08:53

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 35842522)
As an as yet undecided voter, i've been doing some research on the internet today to help me decide.

The general consensus is that neither the remain or leave campaigners can accurately predict what will happen for either scenario.

This blog seems to sum things up and doesn't attempt to influence people either way:

http://blog.moneysavingexpert.com/20...eu-referendum/

That is because no one can say what will happen. Those who vote to stay think it's a vote for the status quo when that is not the case - a case of better the Devil you know. A vote to remain in my opinion would give the EU the green light to carry on regardless imposing stupid laws that don't really apply to the UK but have to be observes nonetheless. Those who vote to leave know it won't be a case of the status quo and want no part of an eventual EU Super State. We can see where the EU is headed. With closer political and monetary integration it's only a matter of time before the UK have to join in or be left out in the cold. Also, with more countries joining the EU, (forget Turkey, they won't be joining in our lifetime), this will mean more migrants coming into Britain.

This is just my feeling but I hope you consider it before making your decision.

martyh 12-06-2016 10:32

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Cameron has finally decided to tackle the threat of pensioners voting out by threatening their state pensions .In order to close the financial black hole created by leaving he would have to look at cutting pensions

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2...s-dear-if-fun/

Julian 12-06-2016 10:42

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35842574)
Cameron has finally decided to tackle the threat of pensioners voting out by threatening their state pensions .In order to close the financial black hole created by leaving he would have to look at cutting pensions

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2...s-dear-if-fun/

And I thought he couldn't stoop any lower.....:rolleyes:

He is now officially worse than blair.

Damien 12-06-2016 10:48

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Like pensions would be cut anyway. They would triple tuition fees, remove all benefits for the under 35s or introduce a youth tax before they'll touch pensioners' bus passes let alone pensions.

He is right that if there was a cost to leaving that would be made up somewhere but it is nothing but a lie that it would be a cost that the biggest voting bloc in the country would have to pay.

richard s 12-06-2016 10:50

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Well lets threaten them by kicking them out.

papa smurf 12-06-2016 10:51

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Julian (Post 35842576)
And I thought he couldn't stoop any lower.....:rolleyes:

He is now officially worse than blair.

well to be fair he hasn't attacked babies yet ,as far as i can see its do as i say or i will shoot the family puppy politics i think an attack on pensioners will see the end of his career .

martyh 12-06-2016 10:59

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Julian (Post 35842576)
And I thought he couldn't stoop any lower.....:rolleyes:

He is now officially worse than blair.

Watching him on Andrew Marr this morning i got the impression of veiled threats .He would punish people if we voted out by attacking their finances regardless of what actually happens to our economy

papa smurf 12-06-2016 11:06

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35842581)
Watching him on Andrew Marr this morning i got the impression of veiled threats .He would punish people if we voted out by attacking their finances regardless of what actually happens to our economy

i also got that impression .

Osem 12-06-2016 11:38

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
I believe there is bad news to come re pensions, benefits, taxes etc. whatever we do. We're far from out of the hole and someone's going to have to pay for all the chicanery, spending and borrowing done in the lead up to the crisis and thereafter.

Maybe HMG quite likes the idea of having someone else to blame (i.e. the EU) when things get really tough... :shrug:

Damien 12-06-2016 11:49

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842588)
I believe there is bad news to come re pensions, benefits, taxes etc. whatever we do. We're far from out of the hole and someone's going to have to pay for all the chicanery, spending and borrowing done in the lead up to the crisis and thereafter.

It won't be pensions that will have to pay.

Osem 12-06-2016 12:00

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35842593)
It won't be pensions that will have to pay.

It will sooner or later but they may be the last to feel the pressure. There's really not much scope to take much from people reliant on the state pension but those who've retired early on very generous public sector pensions will feel the pressure I'm sure. Nothing's safe anymore.

martyh 12-06-2016 12:00

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35842588)
I believe there is bad news to come re pensions, benefits, taxes etc. whatever we do. We're far from out of the hole and someone's going to have to pay for all the chicanery, spending and borrowing done in the lead up to the crisis and thereafter.

Maybe HMG quite likes the idea of having someone else to blame (i.e. the EU) when things get really tough... :shrug:

According to Cameron in the Express today we are nearing the end of austerity ,everything is looking rosy ,which is not the impression i got at the last budget

Quote:

Today, the deficit is down by over two thirds, and we’re on course for a surplus: austerity is coming to an end. But if we left Europe, it would have to carry on. Another £20 billion? Another £40 billion?
So is this statement from today another veiled threat .....stay in Europe of i will force more austerity on you

Damien 12-06-2016 12:03

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35842596)
So is this statement from today another veiled threat .....stay in Europe of i will force more austerity on you

If Cameron's argument is that the economy will be hit then there would be a cost to that. The economy does actually have implications for day to day life. Especially if we hit recession.

I do think the pension threat won't happen though. The government wouldn't dare.

Mr K 12-06-2016 12:07

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Does anyone love Dave any longer? The orange face paint and brill creamed hair must be a turn on for someone? Maybe Miss Piggy?

Big Brian 12-06-2016 12:45

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35842574)
Cameron has finally decided to tackle the threat of pensioners voting out by threatening their state pensions .In order to close the financial black hole created by leaving he would have to look at cutting pensions

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2...s-dear-if-fun/

I heard him on Andrew Marr and he was spouting verbal diahorrea as usual. He can't interfere or cut them as he promised to look after them as part of his election manifesto.

heero_yuy 12-06-2016 13:09

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Threatening pensions would be electoral suicide. Just another lie/bluff by an increasingly desperate stay campaign.

Dave is toast whatever the result is.:)

martyh 12-06-2016 13:31

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Big Brian (Post 35842606)
I heard him on Andrew Marr and he was spouting verbal diahorrea as usual. He can't interfere or cut them as he promised to look after them as part of his election manifesto.

He promised a lot of stuff as part of his manifesto....

Julian 12-06-2016 13:37

re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
 
Rather than spouting bolleaux about how bad it might be outside the eu, has there been ANY statement about how good it will be to stay in the eu?

Anything?

Anywhere?


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