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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
The trouble NS wants independance fro the UK and to be in the EU.
Trouble is she cannot have both. Even if we voted to remain and she got her independace she would also be leaving the EU, and would have to apply to join the EU, and they don't have the money to be in the EU. |
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Wow. I hadn't realised their deficit was quite that bad.
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Scotland is still a top 20 economy in world terms, but it has a top 5 expenditure. Living within its means would prove painful, and not just for the first few years. This is something the Nats have worked very hard to obfuscate but, largely since 2014, the truth is now quite widely understood amongst Scottish voters and one of the reasons Sturgeon hasn’t gone hell for leather after another referendum is that she knows a lot of work must first be done on building an economic case that sounds credible. |
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So, even if the UK left the EU and Scotland became independent, it looks like they wouldn't be able to rejoin the EU until they reduced their debt.
Presumably we joined the EU as the UK and not as the seperate countries?? |
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Correct - only the United Kingdom has the right to enter in to international treaties. Scotland is not recognised as a nation state at the UN or anywhere else (nor is England for that matter).
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Scotland has it's own tax raising powers and as such should be held responsible for it's own over-spending.
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I wish someone would enlighten my FiL it's irritating when he goes on about how great the SNP are and how 'the tories' (he says that a lot) are responsible for ALL the worlds ills - going back to Roman times. Sadly there's no reasoning with him. |
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Whereas, Scotland is dependent on wealth from the rest of the UK. This fact is most probably the main reason why the SNP is so hell bent on staying in the EU. |
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The EU budget is small compared to a full national one, and the EU essentially has no direct tax raising power (albeit it automatically receives a slice of VAT receipts). EU funds tend to be focused on strategic projects like infrastructure or other economic development. Such projects make a useful contribution to the places where they are located but they are nothing like the scale of wealth transfer that ensures a more-or-less uniform level of health, education and social service provision within a nation state. The EU even lacks the basic mechanisms to prevent uneven currency accumulation within the Eurozone, both contributing to the recent crisis and hampering the solution. In the USA, which is amongst other things a single Dollar currency zone, around 60% of tax is collected at the Federal level. This helps ensure poor Louisiana is still recognisably in the same nation state as California, which even as a fully independent state would still have a G7 economy. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
I wish people would stop saying that 62% of Scottish people voted to remain in Europe. It is only 62% of Scottish people WHO VOTED chose to remain.
The actual turnout was a low 67% which means that of the Scottish electorate, 42% voted to remain, 25% voted to leave and 33% had no opinion either way. Nicola knows that there is a very vocal minority shouting for Independence and if another Scottish Independence is called, the silent majority might turn out to vote, a risk she can't take. |
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how low was it, if you can do a quickie? ;) |
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I don’t agree with the logic, because if you don’t vote, you don’t count - I was just pointing out the flaw, in my eyes, of following that line of thought...
However, it will be amusing that if we have a General Election this year (as is looking more and more likely), it will be ‘democratic’ to have had 4 elections in 9 years, but if we had a 2nd referendum (the 2nd in 3 years), that would be ‘undemocratic"... |
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Having General Elections is the normal process.
Having a second referendum because you didnt like the result of the first one is not. :) |
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Especially ‘advisory’ ones... ;-)
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It is undemocratic to hold a second referendum because it contravenes both precedent and the specific undertaking that the result would be enacted. It undermines public trust in the process and automatically dilutes the authority of any future referendum result, on whatever issue.* It is not undemocratic to hold repeated general elections because that is the customary means (established by centuries of precedent) by which our constitution deals with a situation where a government cannot get its business through Parliament. * To drag this back on topic, Sturgeon is playing a very risky hand by voicing support for a second referendum. If she ever manages to win one in Scotland, her words will return to haunt the entire Nat movement. |
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As for Scotland, it's just a matter of time. Brexit probably brings the timetable forward. |
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And, to drag this back on topic, any SNP numpty who tries repeating the claim Salmond made in 2013, that Scottish independence could be achieved 18 months after a referendum win, would get laughed out of the park. ---------- Post added at 20:25 ---------- Previous post was at 20:20 ---------- Quote:
2014’s 45% yes was delivered on the back of ridiculous, extravagant promises to the urban poor of greater Glasgow and Dundee. That ruse won’t work a second time. Nor will the breezy claim that exit negotiations will be painless and concluded in 18 months. And the No campaign claim that Scotland would be isolated and outside of the EU is now demonstrably true. Brexit gets about two thirds of Nats riled up; the other third, sensibly, recognise that EU membership is incompatible with national sovereignty and have been Leavers for decades. Either way, the messy truth of Brexit will kill off any hope of the SNP winning a referendum in this decade or the next. |
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If people aren't happy with 'their lot', they vote for change regardless of what it is, or if its worse e.g Brexit !
Guess it depends whether the Scots are happy. In my experience they usually aren't (unless they've had a drink ;) ) Let's face it, being ruled by a Tory govt. when they are mostly nationalist/labour is going to lead to discontent. As is being forced into Brexit, when they voted to Remain. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
There was a Tory prime minister in 2014. ;)
The Tories are the main opposition at Holyrood and they unseated a couple of dozen Nats, including Salmond and Robertson, at the last Westminster election. |
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If Parliament really has power over EU directives, then they could alter their application in parts even if they can't overturn the whole thing. IF the UK Parliament could do that, then almost certainly other EU countries would do that. They can't and don't, therefore we can't.
A referendum should be seen as giving a "directed verdict" to Parliament, just as it's normal use where a Judge instructs a jury, but it is the jury that still has to formally issue the verdict. |
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I've heard one or two people say that they are leavers at heart, but they essentially believe that we are now so ingrained into the EU that it will be impossible to leave (at least completely). And Scotland has been part of the UK prior to 1972! |
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The voters cannot ‘direct’ Parliament - that is not how our Parliamentary Democracy works. |
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Salmond has been arrested and charged
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-46984747 https://news.sky.com/story/alex-salm...arged-11616043 |
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Oh happy day.
Even if nothing comes of it, a photo of him without that smug half-smile on his treacherous face is worth its weight in gold. |
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Hence “even if nothing comes of it”. ;)
Quite aside from the things he’s been charged with, he has done more to poison and divide Scottish public life than any other living individual. Sadly that’s not criminal behaviour, and he won’t ever go to jail for it. So in my small-minded way I’ll just have to satisfy myself with a photo of him looking miserable. |
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Note: I am not defending anyone who does that, as I do think it is terrible that any politician does that. |
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Salmond charged with 14 counts of sexual/indecent assault including 2 counts of attempted rape.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-46984747 https://news.sky.com/story/alex-salm...arged-11616043 |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Very serious charges that is for sure.
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Even if you don't like him (and I don't) because of the referendum/politics, if he's found innocent then there's no way he should 'be taken down a peg or two' |
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He’s unbearably smug and has divided Scotland like nobody since Bonnie Prince Charlie. The reaction to his discomfort has nothing to do with what he’s been accused of. That’s for a jury to decide. This is all about seeing someone who has caused such misery being miserable. |
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The Fishing puns yesterday :D The net is closing etc. :D |
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Scotland won't leave the UK. Many reasons including:
1. It has a huge balance of payments deficit 2. North Sea rig dismantling costs will hit them 3. The majority of Scots are sensible Btw, when talking about the Salmond's "smugness", what about Sturgeon's? Beats it by a mile. |
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Sturgeon isn’t smug, she’s belligerent and self-righteous. Which actually is often worse.
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It's a shame Sturgeon can't bugger off to Europe if she wants to remain so badly.
---------- Post added at 10:41 ---------- Previous post was at 10:40 ---------- Sorry has to be done, as per Facebooks 10 year challenge. https://www.cableforum.uk/board/data...FflWKVKioq2f/Z |
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
How about we stick to the actual topic?
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As the Scots voted no, I guess this is the end of the matter for a generation. Nothing much else to talk about here.
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If we leave the EU and Scotland wanted to rejoin, they could put their house in order and apply to join again. Leaving the EU might be enough for some people to change their minds and produce a yes vote for independence.
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Brexit is about to kill Scottish independence stone dead and the SNP knows it. As soon as the electorate is confronted with the reality of austerity-on-steroids and the sheer illogicallity of leaving the U.K. single market, where more than three quarters of all Scottish “exports” go, in order to secure privileged access to something vastly smaller and managed in the interests of countries whose governments care nothing whatsoever for Scotland, well our heids dinnae button up the back, as they say around here. |
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Sturgeon wants a new independence referendum if Scotland is pulled out of the EU:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotla...itics-48026430 |
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Time for the Barnett formula to be ended for Scotland. No justification for it. They have their own tax raising powers so Scotland should be funding Scottish spending, not England. They need to face reality.
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I wish that woman and the SNP would just bugger off. Da
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Half of me says we either have a Union or we don’t, secession being a democratically available option.
Half of me says sod them. The shenanigans that would follow a decision for them to,leave the Union would be amusing for many people south of the border, not to mention the economic turmoil that would it Scotland. The third half of me says that sturgeon should get what she wishes for and the unintended consequences. That’s 2:1 for sod them if the choose independence. |
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No wonder they want to remain within the EU - so they can sponge even larger sums of money off them! If we leave the EU, where will they get their subs from if they are no longer part of the UK either? The SNP are a bunch of parasitic losers if you ask me. ---------- Post added at 13:03 ---------- Previous post was at 13:02 ---------- Quote:
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Brussels REJECTS instant membership for Scotland: EU HAMMER BLOW for independence campaign
SCOTLAND has suffered a hammer blow to its independence hopes after Brussels chiefs insisted the country would not be given preferential treatment to join the European Union. https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/11...mission-latest |
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Not like the express to have a headline that doesn’t reflect the content of the article.
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If Scotland were independent of the UK and the EU, yes, the opportunities would be there, but with SNP anti-business policies and its left of centre agenda, they will not prosper, I'm afraid. |
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Surely that freedom to leave and take back control is worth voting for, even if there's an economic cost? (and that's a big if). At least - that's the argument in favour of Brexit. |
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Brexit is about taking back control so we can prosper. It's not about taking control for the sake of it. |
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When companies off-shore Holding Companies to avoid paying Corporation Tax, or use complex barely legal tax avoidance schemes (knowing even if they have to pay, they will have held on to the capital for a few years), remedying those situations is not "over-taxing". We all need to pay appropriate taxes to support the society we all live in - wanting to keep an extra 5% of anything you earn over £150k is just being greedy, imho (speaking as someone who has been on 40% and above tax rate for over 25 years). |
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The ability of the “rich” as you put it to take their money elsewhere is questionable at best. Taxing income (for individuals) and profits (for companies) you are making the flawed assumption that everyone can readily make the same amount/enjoy the same standard of living, working or trading elsewhere in the world. That’s simply not true for the vast majority. Scaremongering. A high earner with children could quickly find their marginal gains lost by paying tuition fees. Not to mention higher house prices in the rest of the UK. |
Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
To answer the original question: still no. And while the SNP furiously backtracks on its 2014 policy position (“once in a generation”) the true guardian of the UK constitution - the UK government - has once more reiterated that the 2014 referendum was a once in a generation event and that it will not legislate to grant Holyrood the necessary powers to hold a legal referendum before 2021.
And the whole thing has made even fewer waves than the last time Sturgeon jumped on the outrage bus in 2016. Which really ought to tell her something about how fatigued the Scottish electorate is with all this. SNP huffing and puffing about independence has just become background noise. |
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If Brexit happens, or the Corbyn needs the SNP to prop up a Labour Government, I can see it happening.
If Brexit fails I think people are tired of constitutional questions. |
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Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
Yes-Scotland and then the North of Ireland
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Amazon distribute goods sold by OTHER companies. Those OTHER companies actually pay any corporation tax due. Amazon charges a fee, and tax will be due on that, but the large costs of setting up warehouses etc will eat into the amount of tax due. Just as it would for ANY other business. Amazon UK doesn't "own" any of the products in their UK warehouses. Any Amazon products are owned by an Amazon company based outside the UK. With a supermarket, a company like Heinz will SELL to Tesco's, cans of baked beans. Heinz pay tax on that, Tesco's pay tax based on the profits of selling those baked beans. If a product Tesco's sells comes from outside the UK, then UK tax WON'T be due on the sale of it to Tesco's. It's the same way it has ALWAYS been. It's just that the internet and cheapness of transportation makes it easier to operate from abroad, and so the use has increased. |
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It is hilarious.
For Brexit a no deal exit is economic and political suicide, apparently. Whereas for Scottish independence it’s utopia Ok |
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It’s a win for England though, no more Barnett and no Labour Party with a chance of winning. |
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I know this because I worked with Google for 5 years as one of members of their Education CIO Group. |
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So, watch out for Amazon (Scotland) post sod off day.
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Scotland will NOT leave the UK. We don't want to leave and also the UK Government will NOT grant the rights to hold another referendum. Sturgeon can do one.
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The man from Rutherglen said,
Scotland will never be led To independence, So in a sentence, Sturgeon can do one instead. |
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If the data centre and the costs of building and running it occur OUTSIDE the UK, how would they be able to offset those costs against sales? The principle of Corporation Tax is that it's levelled against PROFITS, not sales. The Ireland & Luxembourg separation will be that the service charge goes to Ireland, and the Intellectual Property part(ie for using the Google software systems) goes to Luxembourg. The income is then taxed by those countries. Once that money has been taxed it can be sent anywhere in the world, including tax havens. Quote:
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The service they sell is on your desktop, which is in the UK - the data servers aren't in Luxembourg, but holding companies are based there, which negates your assertions. They are based in a low-tax regime, which is why the law was changed - you may not like it, but that's what happened. |
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So you and they "won", but our government (and our country) gets the tax revenue - I can live with "losing" like that... ;) |
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Anyone want to explain how this relates to Scottish nationalists or a referendum? I’m confused ... ;)
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I can't believe people are willingly embracing the idea of Scotland leaving. Just how much of this country are we going to destroy before handing it to future generations?
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We are happy to help the Scots out while they stay, but if they want to leave, for God's sake, go! We'll soon see how that works out. |
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I am so sick of this woman trying to be the person to make history for Scotland to be Independent , She does not give a jot about the trouble we would be in with different currency and division among the U K, as long as she makes herself powerful. I hope and pray this will never happen, It s time the S N P were done away with in my opinion ,
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It would best for Britain to continue not to allow Scotland to use the GBP if they gain independence.
With Scotland being a bad business proposition (unable to balance its books), there would be an immediate and sustained fall in the GBP's value. Sod them means sod them. |
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