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Whilst Frost moans on about a deal he himself negotiated, Ireland and Northern Ireland seem to benefiting at GB's expense.
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Brexit has been downgraded from "sunny uplands" to "no difference in trade" to "understandable adjustments". I shudder to think what the next downgrade will be and genuinely hope there isn't one. |
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Goods rejected because information was set out in the wrong colour ink - another example. The devil, as they say, is in the detail. |
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At some point - and I’m keen to hear the threshold from those who voted for Brexit - Government is responsible on some level for macroeconomic planning. As I think Hugh has said before we are all in this now regardless of how we voted in 2016. The cynic in me might just think that for the politicians our economy is secondary to the needs of venture capitalists and tax dodgers. “Hard working families” don’t help you dodge £300,000 stamp duty. |
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The only change has been that we've become a Third Country because of Brexit. Frost and Johnson knew the implications of what the UK signed up to. |
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Putting this in a cable context, when we changed over from analogue to digital, there were major problems with stuttering, pixellation, etc in our area, and I reckon this could well have been a nationwide problem. It went on for months, and customers in my area were asking to go back to analogue, it was so bad. But the problems got fixed, and look where we are now. It's the same with Brexit. We have problems arising from the change, they will get fixed, and we won't be looking back. You must see that this is not a permanent set of problems, surely! ---------- Post added at 10:33 ---------- Previous post was at 10:29 ---------- Quote:
With more time, we could have done so much better, but in the circumstances, the time was simply not there. |
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So I ask again at what point do you accept the Government are accountable? Five years? Ten? Twenty? Fifty? You’ve also confused a third country with a third world country in your response to Andrew. |
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And of course, there's the left wing opposition that just wants to rubbish everything the other side do. There's a clue there as to why Labour is still out of office despite the government's unpopular efforts to deal with the recession (the severity of which was caused by Labour). The Conservatives remain in office and popular because in the end, the majority of people see that the government is heading in the right direction, and actually do listen to the public. The electorate voted for Brexit, it was implemented (with a faulty deal brought about by remoaners), there are implementation problems and they will be fixed. |
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“A faulty deal brought about by remoaners” ha ha ha. Remove your blinkers OB. Remoaners weren’t at the table.
The left wing of the Labour Party were probably more keen on Brexit than the centrists and the Lib Dems so your analogy is completely faulty. |
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Article 50 was triggered to get things moving and the extension of the period would only have allowed the government's detractors to cause even more mayhem. Clearly, the government will be held accountable for the success or otherwise of Brexit, but if you ever really thought that everything should be sorted and working perfectly in the first year beyond the transition period, you're living in fairy land. How long, you ask, before the government should be held accountable? Well, that's a very simplistic question, because it depends what happens. If we manage to get EU co-operation, things should have settled within five years, but if we cannot get agreement we will probably end upmgiving notice of termination of the deal. Clearly, that would lead to some further disruption, and stabilisation should come within a year or two of that. I am very clear that Brexit is good for the long term future of the UK. Short term problems are the price we pay. By the way, I have confused nothing. |
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Great Britain became a Third Country following Brexit hence its exports to the EU are now treated in that manner. * That's their term for non-EU countries, by the way, akin to third parties. |
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As for Labour - er - they opposed Brexit as well, actually. Don't try changing history, we were all there at the time, remember? Corbyn didn't know which side he was on half the time, incidentally. ---------- Post added at 11:18 ---------- Previous post was at 11:16 ---------- Quote:
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You are right it was touch and go whether we would leave with/without a deal, with/without conditions. But that only evidences my point about the failure of political leadership not counters it. That’s quite a slur on the Civil Service to call them “reluctant”. I’m sure there are processes for insubordination, but any long term career Civil Servants will have served Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May and Johnson Governments. The idea that they diligently carried out these tasks for decades and then conspired to scupper Brexit is laughable. And another pathetic attempt at deflection. Quote:
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I refer you to the earlier posts where Andrew refers to being a Third Country - this is a country outside the EU/Single Market. Your response refers to Andrew hoping we become a third world country. Clearly in a rush to defend the Government at all costs you failed to make the distinction. |
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We hold all the cards We can have our cake and eat it Easiest deal ever You don't get to blame the public for living in fairy land for believing what their government told them Quote:
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Now, apparently the public should have believed it and it's their fault for believing there would be no problems. Old Boy might not be familiar with the term "gaslighting" but I am. |
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At some point there needs to be planning to respond to our economic needs, not that of venture capitalists. While they can enjoy opportunities for supernormal profits in a period of economic shock (according to Jacob Rees-Mogg’s Dublin based investment firm) that doesn’t work for Hard Working Families, White Van Man and whatever other parodies you have of “ordinary Brits” who face the real world consequences on the ground.
The private sector isn’t going to come up with every solution either. Entrepreneurial spirit doesn’t pay the bills, raising prices does but that has long term consequences itself. How will the Conservatives develop this high skills, high wage economy and ensure it’s not all eroded in inflation? That’s the key question. That needs a plan. |
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And as you know, any extension would have given remoaners even more opportunity to cause trouble. |
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Outside the Westminster pantomime it would have been valuable time for industry. Indeed those with “entrepreneurial spirit” make representations on a number of occasions about the problems that would be faced. For someone who persistently extols the virtues of businesses why would we not listen to them? If our economic recovery is going to be on their backs - and not the Governments - surely they have the most valuable contribution to make? |
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IMO quite a few UK businesses contribute to the economy by having their products made in other countries, usually by cheap labour in a factory using fossil fuel energy.
Products are then shipped halfway around the world so we, the consumers, can buy at fantastic prices (although much of it is probably throw away crap) :D |
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I surmise that "industry" would have been worried about losing cheap labour - which sets off the war between profits and prices. As I see it, "industry" will have to seek a UK workforce and their bottom line need will drive that as the Guvmin exercises levers in that direction. Inflation will move around till everything is adjusted and things return to normal. None of this can be done overnight. |
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Are you saying Industry should have planned for things they were told weren’t going to happen? |
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I'm not sure that using inflammatory language (which we've been requested to avoid) makes for a constructive debate Old Boy and I encourage you to rise above it. With an 80-seat majority, I can't see what trouble could have been caused. Waving a few EU flags in Parliament Square? |
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Unfortunately, these days I struggle to tell the difference between posts from Conservative supporters and posts from Jeremy Corbyn supporters. They all seem to be laying the blame at the door of hardworking British business as a cheap scape goat for their Party's failings. |
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Would they be "traitors"? |
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Take the piss out of David Davis as much as you like - I support that - but don't use him as an excuse for "industry's" sleepwalk. ---------- Post added at 14:13 ---------- Previous post was at 14:11 ---------- Quote:
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In my company, we were lucky in that we have an EU based warehouse that shipped to EU and non-EU countries so there was some experience of the requirements for various levels of trade agreement with the EU. This meant we could war game various scenarios from no deal upwards on what might be required to ship to the UK. The biggest difficulty was that we and our customers didn't know what was going to happen. For trade compliance lovers, our company ships using 'Delivered at Place' or DAP Incoterms meaning that we ship to our customer but they are liable for import clearance and duties. My customers did not know what that would mean to them until the 24th December. They could have some guesses but no clarity until a week before the deal, if any, would come in to effect. in the meantime, our 12 customer service representatives had to be trained up on trade compliance issues that might or might not happen while at the same time handling the year end rush for orders and invoicing. We also had to sandbox test our order handling system for the most likely scenarios to make sure that they would all work if needed. My company was lucky in having the resources in place to try and make this all as smooth as possible. Even then, the disruption was considerable with a team of 8 people working on this full time by November 2020. This is why they won an award from our CEO! Smaller companies would not have the resources to make the transition as smooth as it was for my company. It's much like the old y2k thing - not much happened but that was because many, many people were working in the background to make sure nothing happened |
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That'll be the brexshitters then..:erm: |
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Semiconductor research, design & fabrication is surely the exact hi tech industry with high salaries that Boris is looking for the country to move to. So, this would appear to be somewhat of an oh dear moment.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58820599# Of course, to balance, this could be a public fishing trip.... |
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The company's decision to base a move in the EU is clearly attributable to Brexit. Chipzilla could of been a big big player for UK biz. |
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No other reason has been mentioned other than any money they might get. Outside of the EU, we can make an offer, within it we couldn't. |
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A referendum is different. If you tell people that the majority choice will be honoured, and then fail to honour it, there’s a breach of trust. |
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It’s just poisonous, divisive rhetoric ironically from those who should be delighted. Rather than be happy at having left there’s residual bitterness at those who disagreed. Rather than forging our glorious path into the future it’s all “ah but” and “if only”. It’s almost as if this was a more complicated process than some were led to believe. |
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All that matters is that we have left the EU as a result of the Referendum and we now have to build back to a comfortable point. Covid didn't help - but it did underline why 52% voted Leave - namely the arrogance of the bullying EU. It's also a great pity that certain politicians, including DD, painted an unrealistic picture of day 1 heaven in trade deal terms. How come those fools didn't take into account what the people knew when they voted 52% for BREXIT? This political stupidity feeds certain Remainers here with almost perpetual fodder. |
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Brexit is alas a leaky tyre, not the sunny uplands that John Redwood, David Davis and others pretended it was. But we need an industrial strategy to try and make the best of a very bad job. Unfortunately, apart from some nice Soviet-style slogans "Build back better" "Levelling up", I'm not seeing any robust plans. For example, all the recent new film studios are great news. But they're in places like Reading, Elstree and Broxbourne. Great for those living around the M25 but not-so-great for levelling up the more deprived parts of the UK. |
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Now all we have, from some at least, is persistent defection. OB is keen to rehash the debates of 2016-19 all over again. However that doesn’t move us forward. Those people are all gone, the Government had a clear mandate, and has a clear majority. Where’s the plan to transition to this high wage, high skilled economy? It’s a bold move for Boris to talk of decades of a flawed economic model when the Tories have governed for the vast majority of the time it has been implemented. |
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Back in 2014 the only Yes campaigner to actually doorstep me was solely interested in getting Faslane closed. Nothing else mattered. But that again was a referendum in which nobody is in a position to promise anything beyond the narrow implementation of the result. At least in broad-church, two-party politics the whole party stands on the manifesto and can be judged against it, whatever the personal priorities of its individual members. |
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Especially if the majority are, on some level, likely to be disappointed with some or all of the outcome. |
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Looks like the Brexiters are turning on Johnson. Perhaps blaming your friends was not the best of moves for Johnson?
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Most of us are able to judge the arguments people make for themselves. We either accept them or reject them. Then we decide. That’s just how it works. ---------- Post added at 10:17 ---------- Previous post was at 10:05 ---------- Quote:
Instead of dwelling on the angst that remainers still feel about losing the argument, and the persistent cries of ‘We told you so’ from them when anything goes wrong, it would be rather more constructive if we turned our attention to how we addressed these transitional issues. You don’t solve problems by constantly moaning about them and looking backwards. That won’t get us anywhere. |
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I agree it won’t get anyone, anywhere. However it suits one side of the argument - the leave side - to bog everyone down in nationalistic hubris rather than own the problems arising from their haphazard implementation of one of the biggest policy shifts in any of our lifetimes. |
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Carth walks into the playground.
Looks over at the (not so) merry-go-round and decides it's a waste of time. Glances towards the big slide, where business leaders are queuing up for their turn on the slope towards lower profit margins. Heads towards the swings, but turns away when he notices that those sitting on the swings are lazily waiting for someone else to push them. Carth slowly wanders back home, passing all the fully fueled cars that haven't moved for a week, and smiles as he passes the chap from the council who's carefully spraying yellow circles around the same pot holes they fixed last year. Aint life grand :D |
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Since 2016, we have been discussing this point off and on as I saught to look forward and move beyond stale arguments. All I've ever heard has been wait and see. I was less patient than these Brexiters but now they've caught up with reality and are asking that very question. That's a big step change. |
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Next: Production problems in Asia, and shipping problems from there to here.
Wetherspoons; Got rid of his staff, who are now returning that level of loyalty. Iceland: No idea, but probably a mixture of the two above. :p: |
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Iceland - no supporting evidence At best, you’re half-right… ;) |
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We are all fed up with this, and the way to avoid it is to accept that the decision has been made and get on with it. Instead of gleefully pointing out that something has gone wrong each time there’s a problem, why not debate how we might resolve it? Then we can start having decent debates on this subject. Problems occur, problems get resolved. Like the sausage wars - finally, the EU has caved. |
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Nobody is stopping you debating the solutions - put ideas forward. Quote:
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Agreed on Spoons but not the other two. Next: Wants the government to be proactive on skills shortages Quote:
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I mean a “high wage, high skill” economy doesn’t spawn itself into existence by itself. Otherwise anyone could do it. So tell me: what’s the plan? |
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Minimum wage up to £22 an hour, then legislate that any job paying over £20 an hour is a highly skilled job. Uncle Bob innit :D |
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Income Tax regimes differ considerably so I won't go into them other than to say the Austrian regime follows similar lines to ours whereas Sweden uses a flat tax (John Redwood heaven). |
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Not at 57%, it isn’t… ;)
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Sweden is a wonderful place and those with whom I interact are very happy.
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;) https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1633770068 |
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Anyway, speaking of post-apocalyptic hellholes, interesting thread on Twitter this morning…
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Fascinating stuff. Can’t wait for next developments. From what I’ve read, the UK should agree to give it a go and see how it pans out.
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Ths basic idea is that with the Europeans going back to their countries, vacancies are created here, and if employers can't fill the vacancies, they will increase wages to attract more people. The more vacancies there are, the less excuse there is for able bodied people to be receiving benefits, so its a virtuous circle. Employers have the task of attracting our own people to jobs with appropriate salaries, by making jobs more interesting and by training those without the skills. I was reading about the way lorry drivers are treated recently, and it's no wonder employers have difficulty attracting them. We need to start treating these people with respect and provide at least the basic facilities, such as lorry stops with decent loos and to stop all the hanging around at warehouses while they wait for people to turn up to unload the lorries. There's lots we can do to make jobs more attractive, and if we can increase productivity, we will need less of them and use the savings to improve conditions. Ministers understand what is expected of them - it's up to them to work out the detail, not the PM. |
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