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TheDaddy 04-10-2021 21:29

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095777)
We’re getting our turkey from the local farm shop. Locally raised, and not a trace of horse.

I’m not buying EU stuff now if I can avoid it. I hope this government finds alternative countries to do business with in place of the EU. They are treating us so badly, we shouldn’t be giving them our business.

You sound like idiot MP Chris Loader, he's delighted the supermarkets are struggling and the supply chains are falling apart because we'll all be able to visit the local farmer for our milk just like in the good old days, wonder if the inner city folk have occurred to him at all. You then have David Davis blaming businesses for not being better prepared, you couldn't make it up

1andrew1 04-10-2021 22:10

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Whilst Frost moans on about a deal he himself negotiated, Ireland and Northern Ireland seem to benefiting at GB's expense.

Republic of Ireland
Quote:

The value of exports in goods from Ireland to Great Britain increased by 20% during the first six months of 2021 compared to the first six months of 2020, while its exports to Northern Ireland increased even by 43%. Conversely, Great British exports to Ireland decreased by 32%

Food and live animals fall into that category: Exports from GB to the Republic declined by a staggering 50.42% and exports from Ireland to GB declined too, albeit only by 6.89% compared to the first six months of 2020.

Most sectors, however, show a win-lose pattern, i.e. Irish exports have increased while British exports have decreased. This is the case regarding products such as beverages and tobacco (Irish exports to GB increasing 22.43%, while British exports to the Republic of Ireland decreased by 31.82%).
Northern Ireland
Quote:

Contrary to Great Britain, Northern Ireland is currently one of the post-Brexit trade winners. The CSO’s figures show that Northern Irish exports to the republic increased by a staggering 78% between January and June 2021, compared to the same period in 2020.
https://encompass-europe.com/comment...rthern-ireland

Chris 04-10-2021 22:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095833)
Whilst Frost moans on about a deal he himself negotiated, Ireland and Northern Ireland seem to benefiting at GB's expense.

Republic of Ireland


Northern Ireland

https://encompass-europe.com/comment...rthern-ireland

Quote:

Encompass is an online magazine delivering comment, opinion and analysis on the affairs of the European Union and Europe’s place in the world. We aim to demystify the complexity of the EU and to be lively and provocative.
I haven’t the inclination to fact check that article, or to research what it’s leaving out as well as what it’s putting in, but its stated editorial aims don’t lead me to assume it’s being even handed.

OLD BOY 05-10-2021 00:28

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36095827)
You sound like idiot MP Chris Loader, he's delighted the supermarkets are struggling and the supply chains are falling apart because we'll all be able to visit the local farmer for our milk just like in the good old days, wonder if the inner city folk have occurred to him at all. You then have David Davis blaming businesses for not being better prepared, you couldn't make it up

I’m not delighted that supermarkets are struggling. I don’t see the comparison.

---------- Post added at 23:28 ---------- Previous post was at 23:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095833)
Whilst Frost moans on about a deal he himself negotiated, Ireland and Northern Ireland seem to benefiting at GB's expense.

Republic of Ireland


Northern Ireland

https://encompass-europe.com/comment...rthern-ireland

He’s moaning about the EU’s ridiculous interpretation of the deal, actually.

1andrew1 05-10-2021 00:38

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36095838)
I haven’t the inclination to fact check that article, or to research what it’s leaving out as well as what it’s putting in, but its stated editorial aims don’t lead me to assume it’s being even handed.

I can imagine you are devoting your fact-checking time to some of the more colourful claims coming out of Manchester. ;)

---------- Post added at 23:38 ---------- Previous post was at 23:35 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095866)
He’s moaning about the EU’s ridiculous interpretation of the deal, actually.

International treaties like that aren't open to interpretation.

TheDaddy 05-10-2021 01:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095833)
Whilst Frost moans on about a deal he himself negotiated, Ireland and Northern Ireland seem to benefiting at GB's expense.

Republic of Ireland


Northern Ireland

https://encompass-europe.com/comment...rthern-ireland

He got made a Lord on the strength of that deal, we'll have that back if the deals not good enough

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095866)
I’m not delighted that supermarkets are struggling. I don’t see the comparison.

To be fair I don't think you are delighted to see them struggling, was just your comment about the farm shop, it reminded me what that idiot said the other day and how he's not been held to account for his moronic words, for the record I don't believe you want anything other than this to be a success, like most of us really for that matter

1andrew1 05-10-2021 01:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36095880)
He got made a Lord on the strength of that deal, we'll have that back if the deals not good enough

I wouldn't count on it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36095880)
To be fair I don't think you are delighted to see them struggling, was just your comment about the farm shop, it reminded me what that idiot said the other day and how he's not been held to account for his moronic words, for the record I don't believe you want anything other than this to be a success, like most of us really for that matter

If it was anything close to a success, Johnson and his foot soldiers would be crowing about it. Anybody old enough to remember, "Yeah, but vaccines!"

Brexit has been downgraded from "sunny uplands" to "no difference in trade" to "understandable adjustments". I shudder to think what the next downgrade will be and genuinely hope there isn't one.

TheDaddy 05-10-2021 03:53

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095882)
I wouldn't count on it.


If it was anything close to a success, Johnson and his foot soldiers would be crowing about it. Anybody old enough to remember, "Yeah, but vaccines!"

Brexit has been downgraded from "sunny uplands" to "no difference in trade" to "understandable adjustments". I shudder to think what the next downgrade will be and genuinely hope there isn't one.

The vaccines delivered by the NHS, which they've also been keen to downgrade and we know what the next downgrade will be, David "thick as mince" Davis came out with it yesterday, it's businesses fault for not planning better, this is the man who bare in mind said it'd be business as usual the day after we left but now because it isn't business as usual instead of taking responsibility he's blaming businesses for not planning better

OLD BOY 05-10-2021 08:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095869)
International treaties like that aren't open to interpretation.

Everything is open to interpretation. The sandwich example mentioned earlier comes to mind. The EU choose to require details of the content of each sandwich individually labelled instead of a batch of like sandwiches. How mad is that?

Goods rejected because information was set out in the wrong colour ink - another example.

The devil, as they say, is in the detail.

jfman 05-10-2021 08:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36095884)
The vaccines delivered by the NHS, which they've also been keen to downgrade and we know what the next downgrade will be, David "thick as mince" Davis came out with it yesterday, it's businesses fault for not planning better, this is the man who bare in mind said it'd be business as usual the day after we left but now because it isn't business as usual instead of taking responsibility he's blaming businesses for not planning better

It’s funny we know (and accept) capitalism relies on just in time trading but since 2016 private enterprise had to pre-empt the policies of 3 PMs, outcome of 2 GEs, all kinds of transitional arrangements and deals.

At some point - and I’m keen to hear the threshold from those who voted for Brexit - Government is responsible on some level for macroeconomic planning. As I think Hugh has said before we are all in this now regardless of how we voted in 2016.

The cynic in me might just think that for the politicians our economy is secondary to the needs of venture capitalists and tax dodgers. “Hard working families” don’t help you dodge £300,000 stamp duty.

1andrew1 05-10-2021 10:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095888)
Everything is open to interpretation. The sandwich example mentioned earlier comes to mind. The EU choose to require details of the content of each sandwich individually labelled instead of a batch of like sandwiches. How mad is that?

Goods rejected because information was set out in the wrong colour ink - another example.

The devil, as they say, is in the detail.

There's been no change in the way that rules for Third Countries are implemented. The way that such rules have been applied has been clear for all to see for years.

The only change has been that we've become a Third Country because of Brexit. Frost and Johnson knew the implications of what the UK signed up to.

OLD BOY 05-10-2021 11:33

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095894)
There's been no change in the way that rules for Third Countries are implemented. The way that such rules have been applied has been clear for all to see for years.

The only change has been that we've become a Third Country because of Brexit. Frost and Johnson knew the implications of what the UK signed up to.

You may pray for us to become a third world country, Andrew, but it's not going to happen. If you cannot understand that major change creates problems that then need to be fixed, I'm not sure where you've been all your life.

Putting this in a cable context, when we changed over from analogue to digital, there were major problems with stuttering, pixellation, etc in our area, and I reckon this could well have been a nationwide problem. It went on for months, and customers in my area were asking to go back to analogue, it was so bad.

But the problems got fixed, and look where we are now. It's the same with Brexit. We have problems arising from the change, they will get fixed, and we won't be looking back. You must see that this is not a permanent set of problems, surely!

---------- Post added at 10:33 ---------- Previous post was at 10:29 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36095889)
It’s funny we know (and accept) capitalism relies on just in time trading but since 2016 private enterprise had to pre-empt the policies of 3 PMs, outcome of 2 GEs, all kinds of transitional arrangements and deals.

At some point - and I’m keen to hear the threshold from those who voted for Brexit - Government is responsible on some level for macroeconomic planning. As I think Hugh has said before we are all in this now regardless of how we voted in 2016.

The cynic in me might just think that for the politicians our economy is secondary to the needs of venture capitalists and tax dodgers. “Hard working families” don’t help you dodge £300,000 stamp duty.

To be honest, it could have been better planned, but the disruption caused by the remoaners was such that this was practically imposible. And then, of course, the pandemic hit.

With more time, we could have done so much better, but in the circumstances, the time was simply not there.

1andrew1 05-10-2021 11:35

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095910)
You may pray for us to become a third world country, Andrew, but it's not going to happen. If you cannot understand that major change creates problems that then need to be fixed, I'm not sure where you've been all your life.

Putting this in a cable context, when we changed over from analogue to digital, there were major problems with stuttering, pixellation, etc in our area, and I reckon this could well have been a nationwide problem. It went on for months, and customers in my area were asking to go back to analogue, it was so bad.

But the problems got fixed, and look where we are now. It's the same with Brexit. We have problems arising from the change, they will get fixed, and we won't be looking back. You must see that this is not a permanent set of problems, surely!

None of this waffle actually tries to remotely address the points I've made.

jfman 05-10-2021 11:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095910)
To be honest, it could have been better planned, but the disruption caused by the remoaners was such that this was practically imposible. And then, of course, the pandemic hit.

There’s no but. It absolutely could have been better planned. The opposition parties don’t control the Civil Service. Nor do they control the timescale.

Quote:

With more time, we could have done so much better, but in the circumstances, the time was simply not there.
Absolutely we could have done better with more time. But these were active political choices to trigger Article 50 (with no plan) and reject an extension to the transitional period. As you say - the pandemic hit - but an active political choice was made to not use that as reasonable justification for an extension to use that time to plan better. That wasn’t a “remoaner” choice.

So I ask again at what point do you accept the Government are accountable? Five years? Ten? Twenty? Fifty?

You’ve also confused a third country with a third world country in your response to Andrew.

OLD BOY 05-10-2021 11:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095912)
None of this waffle actually tries to remotely address the points I've made.

I simply don't agree with your points, Andrew. There are those who go around thinking the end of the world is nigh, and others who have a more positive attitude.

And of course, there's the left wing opposition that just wants to rubbish everything the other side do. There's a clue there as to why Labour is still out of office despite the government's unpopular efforts to deal with the recession (the severity of which was caused by Labour). The Conservatives remain in office and popular because in the end, the majority of people see that the government is heading in the right direction, and actually do listen to the public.

The electorate voted for Brexit, it was implemented (with a faulty deal brought about by remoaners), there are implementation problems and they will be fixed.

1andrew1 05-10-2021 11:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095910)
To be honest, it could have been better planned, but the disruption caused by the remoaners was such that this was practically imposible. And then, of course, the pandemic hit.
With more time, we could have done so much better, but in the circumstances, the time was simply not there.

The UK was offered a one-year extension by the EU but declined it. Industry constantly asked the government what it needed to plan for but the government didn't know itself.

jfman 05-10-2021 11:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
“A faulty deal brought about by remoaners” ha ha ha. Remove your blinkers OB. Remoaners weren’t at the table.

The left wing of the Labour Party were probably more keen on Brexit than the centrists and the Lib Dems so your analogy is completely faulty.

OLD BOY 05-10-2021 12:07

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36095916)
There’s no but. It absolutely could have been better planned. The opposition parties don’t control the Civil Service. Nor do they control the timescale.



Absolutely we could have done better with more time. But these were active political choices to trigger Article 50 (with no plan) and reject an extension to the transitional period. As you say - the pandemic hit - but an active political choice was made to not use that as reasonable justification for an extension to use that time to plan better. That wasn’t a “remoaner” choice.

So I ask again at what point do you accept the Government are accountable? Five years? Ten? Twenty? Fifty?

You’ve also confused a third country with a third world country in your response to Andrew.

The remoaners (and by that I mean remainers who doggedly refused to accept the democratic preference of the electorate) disrupted negotiations to such an extent that planning was almost impossible until we knew which way we were going.

Article 50 was triggered to get things moving and the extension of the period would only have allowed the government's detractors to cause even more mayhem.

Clearly, the government will be held accountable for the success or otherwise of Brexit, but if you ever really thought that everything should be sorted and working perfectly in the first year beyond the transition period, you're living in fairy land.

How long, you ask, before the government should be held accountable? Well, that's a very simplistic question, because it depends what happens. If we manage to get EU co-operation, things should have settled within five years, but if we cannot get agreement we will probably end upmgiving notice of termination of the deal. Clearly, that would lead to some further disruption, and stabilisation should come within a year or two of that.

I am very clear that Brexit is good for the long term future of the UK. Short term problems are the price we pay.

By the way, I have confused nothing.

1andrew1 05-10-2021 12:08

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095917)
I simply don't agree with your points, Andrew.

They're simple facts, Old Boy, not opinions. The EU manages imports from Third Countries* in certain ways.

Great Britain became a Third Country following Brexit hence its exports to the EU are now treated in that manner.

* That's their term for non-EU countries, by the way, akin to third parties.

OLD BOY 05-10-2021 12:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36095919)
“A faulty deal brought about by remoaners” ha ha ha. Remove your blinkers OB. Remoaners weren’t at the table.

The left wing of the Labour Party were probably more keen on Brexit than the centrists and the Lib Dems so your analogy is completely faulty.

I think most of us remember the chaos caused by the remoaners and you do yourself no credit by denying it. It was touch and go whether we would leave with a deal, without a deal, a deal with conditions attached, etc, etc. How do you make a plan when you don't know what will be agreed and with a reluctant Civil Service?

As for Labour - er - they opposed Brexit as well, actually. Don't try changing history, we were all there at the time, remember? Corbyn didn't know which side he was on half the time, incidentally.

---------- Post added at 11:18 ---------- Previous post was at 11:16 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095923)
They're simple facts, Old Boy, not opinions. The EU manages imports from Third Countries* in certain ways.

Great Britain became a Third Country following Brexit hence its exports to the EU are now treated in that manner.

* That's their term for non-EU countries, by the way, akin to third parties.

We thought we had a deal, Andrew.

papa smurf 05-10-2021 12:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095912)
None of this waffle actually tries to remotely address the points I've made.

Annoying isn't it, when someone else's "waffle" doesn't address your waffle;)

jfman 05-10-2021 12:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095924)
I think most of us remember the chaos caused by the remoaners and you do yourself no credit by denying it. It was touch and go whether we would leave with a deal, without a deal, a deal with conditions attached, etc, etc. How do you make a plan when you don't know what will be agreed and with a reluctant Civil Service?

The chaos? Aside a Westminster pantomime life continued as normal for almost everyone OB.

You are right it was touch and go whether we would leave with/without a deal, with/without conditions. But that only evidences my point about the failure of political leadership not counters it.

That’s quite a slur on the Civil Service to call them “reluctant”. I’m sure there are processes for insubordination, but any long term career Civil Servants will have served Major, Blair, Brown, Cameron, May and Johnson Governments.

The idea that they diligently carried out these tasks for decades and then conspired to scupper Brexit is laughable. And another pathetic attempt at deflection.

Quote:

As for Labour - er - they opposed Brexit as well, actually. Don't try changing history, we were all there at the time, remember? Corbyn didn't know which side he was on half the time, incidentally.
Maybe he was considering the subject impartially, rather than being a dogmatic ideologue. There’s many on the Labour left who are no friends of the EU - and Corbyn wasn’t committed to a second referendum until dragged to it by the centrists.

---------- Post added at 11:39 ---------- Previous post was at 11:31 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095922)
The remoaners (and by that I mean remainers who doggedly refused to accept the democratic preference of the electorate) disrupted negotiations to such an extent that planning was almost impossible until we knew which way we were going.

Article 50 was triggered to get things moving and the extension of the period would only have allowed the government's detractors to cause even more mayhem.

Is there any evidence for this - Boris has the clear parliamentary mandate. How could they possibly cause more chaos than having business completely ill-prepared for what you acknowledge had a range of outcomes until the very end of negotiations?

Quote:

Clearly, the government will be held accountable for the success or otherwise of Brexit, but if you ever really thought that everything should be sorted and working perfectly in the first year beyond the transition period, you're living in fairy land.
When? Or will their acolytes simply blame those pesky remoaners for decades to come. “It’d have been great if only we’d got the deal we wanted” might wash for some but at some point preparation (or lack thereof) will severely impact the ability of our economy to rebound.

Quote:

How long, you ask, before the government should be held accountable? Well, that's a very simplistic question, because it depends what happens. If we manage to get EU co-operation, things should have settled within five years, but if we cannot get agreement we will probably end upmgiving notice of termination of the deal. Clearly, that would lead to some further disruption, and stabilisation should come within a year or two of that.
So we’re on a wing and a prayer and you’re giving them a free decade essentially.

Quote:

I am very clear that Brexit is good for the long term future of the UK. Short term problems are the price we pay.
You can be as clear as you wish but your hopes and aspirations count for nothing in the absence of a clear economic strategy to respond to any shocks that can clearly be anticipated.

Quote:

By the way, I have confused nothing.
You have.

I refer you to the earlier posts where Andrew refers to being a Third Country - this is a country outside the EU/Single Market.

Your response refers to Andrew hoping we become a third world country. Clearly in a rush to defend the Government at all costs you failed to make the distinction.

1andrew1 05-10-2021 12:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36095926)
Annoying isn't it, when someone else's "waffle" doesn't address your waffle;)

I'll take your word for it. ;)

---------- Post added at 11:54 ---------- Previous post was at 11:52 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095924)
We thought we had a deal, Andrew.

We requested and got a deal outside the Single Market. This means being treated as a Third Country with all the implications for inspections, etc that this entails.

TheDaddy 05-10-2021 12:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36095922)
Article 50 was triggered to get things moving and the extension of the period would only have allowed the government's detractors to cause even more mayhem.

Clearly, the government will be held accountable for the success or otherwise of Brexit, but if you ever really thought that everything should be sorted and working perfectly in the first year beyond the transition period, you're living in fairy land.

So you accept they were lying when they said

We hold all the cards

We can have our cake and eat it

Easiest deal ever

You don't get to blame the public for living in fairy land for believing what their government told them


Quote:


How long, you ask, before the government should be held accountable? Well, that's a very simplistic question, because it depends what happens. If we manage to get EU co-operation, things should have settled within five years, but if we cannot get agreement we will probably end upmgiving notice of termination of the deal. Clearly, that would lead to some further disruption, and stabilisation should come within a year or two of that.

I am very clear that Brexit is good for the long term future of the UK. Short term problems are the price we pay.

By the way, I have confused nothing.
Yes it is a very simplistic question and the answer is they'll never be held accountable, they'll blame others just as you have tried to do for their ineptitude and hope enough people believe them and with apologists like yourself they may well get away with it

1andrew1 05-10-2021 13:08

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36095931)
So you accept they were lying when they said

We hold all the cards

We can have our cake and eat it

Easiest deal ever

You don't get to blame the public for living in fairy land for believing what their government told them

It was called Project Fear before Brexit and there was nothing to worry about.

Now, apparently the public should have believed it and it's their fault for believing there would be no problems.

Old Boy might not be familiar with the term "gaslighting" but I am.

jfman 05-10-2021 13:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
At some point there needs to be planning to respond to our economic needs, not that of venture capitalists. While they can enjoy opportunities for supernormal profits in a period of economic shock (according to Jacob Rees-Mogg’s Dublin based investment firm) that doesn’t work for Hard Working Families, White Van Man and whatever other parodies you have of “ordinary Brits” who face the real world consequences on the ground.

The private sector isn’t going to come up with every solution either. Entrepreneurial spirit doesn’t pay the bills, raising prices does but that has long term consequences itself. How will the Conservatives develop this high skills, high wage economy and ensure it’s not all eroded in inflation? That’s the key question. That needs a plan.

OLD BOY 06-10-2021 12:43

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095918)
The UK was offered a one-year extension by the EU but declined it. Industry constantly asked the government what it needed to plan for but the government didn't know itself.

I’m not sure why you keep repeating this, Andrew - we know!

And as you know, any extension would have given remoaners even more opportunity to cause trouble.

jfman 06-10-2021 12:48

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096059)
I’m not sure why you keep repeating this, Andrew - we know!

And as you know, any extension would have given remoaners even more opportunity to cause trouble.

What kinds of trouble? Parliament had a clear majority to leave, and leave under the terms agreed. In what way could a 12 month extension cause problems?

Outside the Westminster pantomime it would have been valuable time for industry. Indeed those with “entrepreneurial spirit” make representations on a number of occasions about the problems that would be faced. For someone who persistently extols the virtues of businesses why would we not listen to them? If our economic recovery is going to be on their backs - and not the Governments - surely they have the most valuable contribution to make?

Carth 06-10-2021 12:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
IMO quite a few UK businesses contribute to the economy by having their products made in other countries, usually by cheap labour in a factory using fossil fuel energy.

Products are then shipped halfway around the world so we, the consumers, can buy at fantastic prices (although much of it is probably throw away crap) :D

Sephiroth 06-10-2021 13:05

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36095918)
The UK was offered a one-year extension by the EU but declined it. Industry constantly asked the government what it needed to plan for but the government didn't know itself.

Do you know exactly what industry thought was needed post-Brexit? Industry would have known what the eventual deal would entail, given the UK would be a Third Country in the eyes of the EU.

I surmise that "industry" would have been worried about losing cheap labour - which sets off the war between profits and prices.

As I see it, "industry" will have to seek a UK workforce and their bottom line need will drive that as the Guvmin exercises levers in that direction. Inflation will move around till everything is adjusted and things return to normal. None of this can be done overnight.

TheDaddy 06-10-2021 13:53

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096066)
Do you know exactly what industry thought was needed post-Brexit? Industry would have known what the eventual deal would entail, given the UK would be a Third Country in the eyes of the EU.

I surmise that "industry" would have been worried about losing cheap labour - which sets off the war between profits and prices.

As I see it, "industry" will have to seek a UK workforce and their bottom line need will drive that as the Guvmin exercises levers in that direction. Inflation will move around till everything is adjusted and things return to normal. None of this can be done overnight.

As I see it those businesses will close, the public won't support higher prices to pay these wages when there's a cheaper foreign option, £30 an hour for picking broccoli and we still won't do it and I disagree with you and David "thick as mince" Davis about what industry would and wouldn't have known, I remember them begging for advice and being left to fend for themselves

Hugh 06-10-2021 14:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096066)
Do you know exactly what industry thought was needed post-Brexit? Industry would have known what the eventual deal would entail, given the UK would be a Third Country in the eyes of the EU.

I surmise that "industry" would have been worried about losing cheap labour - which sets off the war between profits and prices.

As I see it, "industry" will have to seek a UK workforce and their bottom line need will drive that as the Guvmin exercises levers in that direction. Inflation will move around till everything is adjusted and things return to normal. None of this can be done overnight.

But Industry was told by the Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union / Chief Negotiator for Exiting the European Union, David Davis that "There will be no downside to Brexit, only a considerable upside".

Are you saying Industry should have planned for things they were told weren’t going to happen?

1andrew1 06-10-2021 14:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096059)
I’m not sure why you keep repeating this, Andrew - we know!

And as you know, any extension would have given remoaners even more opportunity to cause trouble.

You said time was against the government so I explained it could have had longer if it had wanted to.

I'm not sure that using inflammatory language (which we've been requested to avoid) makes for a constructive debate Old Boy and I encourage you to rise above it.

With an 80-seat majority, I can't see what trouble could have been caused. Waving a few EU flags in Parliament Square?

OLD BOY 06-10-2021 14:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36096069)
As I see it those businesses will close, the public won't support higher prices to pay these wages when there's a cheaper foreign option, £30 an hour for picking broccoli and we still won't do it and I disagree with you and David "thick as mince" Davis about what industry would and wouldn't have known, I remember them begging for advice and being left to fend for themselves

At the rate we’re going, there will be no trade with the EU so there won’t be an alternative cheap labour option. If Macron gets his way, that is!

1andrew1 06-10-2021 14:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096071)
But Industry was told by the Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union / Chief Negotiator for Exiting the European Union, David Davis that "There will be no downside to Brexit, only a considerable upside".

Are you saying Industry should have planned for things they were told weren’t going to happen?

Apparently, we should now all have believed Project Fear all along and it's our fault for not doing so!

OLD BOY 06-10-2021 14:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096073)
You said time was against the government so I explained it could have had longer if it had wanted to.

I'm not sure that using inflammatory language (which we've been requested to avoid) makes for a constructive debate Old Boy and I encourage you to rise above it.

With an 80-seat majority, I can't see what trouble could have been caused. Waving a few EU flags in Parliament Square?

There is no other word I can remember that describes those remainers who won’t accept the democratic decision of the British people.

1andrew1 06-10-2021 14:21

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096076)
There is no other word I can remember that describes those remainers who won’t accept the democratic decision of the British people.

You'll have to try a bit harder. But the point you're trying to make is void as Johnson had an 80-seat majority.

---------- Post added at 13:21 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096066)
Do you know exactly what industry thought was needed post-Brexit? Industry would have known what the eventual deal would entail, given the UK would be a Third Country in the eyes of the EU.

The issue was it didn't know as the deal was only signed on Christmas Eve!

TheDaddy 06-10-2021 14:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096073)
You said time was against the government so I explained it could have had longer if it had wanted to.

I'm not sure that using inflammatory language (which we've been requested to avoid) makes for a constructive debate Old Boy and I encourage you to rise above it.

With an 80-seat majority, I can't see what trouble could have been caused. Waving a few EU flags in Parliament Square?

He'd be the first to moan if someone called him a brexshitter though

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096074)
At the rate we’re going, there will be no trade with the EU so there won’t be an alternative cheap labour option. If Macron gets his way, that is!

Don't know why you're fixated with the EU, it's a big old world we opened ourselves up to and we'll see how patriotic we really are when it comes to shopping and paying the price

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096075)
Apparently, we should now all have believed Project Fear all along and it's our fault for not doing so!

The latest lie they're peddling is that it was all part of their plan all along, wonder why they kept it to themselves and labelled those telling the truth liars and Project Fearmongers

1andrew1 06-10-2021 14:28

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096061)
What kinds of trouble? Parliament had a clear majority to leave, and leave under the terms agreed. In what way could a 12 month extension cause problems?

Outside the Westminster pantomime it would have been valuable time for industry. Indeed those with “entrepreneurial spirit” make representations on a number of occasions about the problems that would be faced. For someone who persistently extols the virtues of businesses why would we not listen to them? If our economic recovery is going to be on their backs - and not the Governments - surely they have the most valuable contribution to make?

Just seen this. Exactly. It's the opposite of trouble that would have occurred during this 12-month extension - planning and mitigation.

Unfortunately, these days I struggle to tell the difference between posts from Conservative supporters and posts from Jeremy Corbyn supporters. They all seem to be laying the blame at the door of hardworking British business as a cheap scape goat for their Party's failings.

Hugh 06-10-2021 14:35

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096076)
There is no other word I can remember that describes those remainers who won’t accept the democratic decision of the British people.

So if a Labour Government gets into power (I know, I know, very unlikely, but for the sake of discussion), how would you describe those who spoke out against any policies they implemented, as those policies would have been due to the democratic decision of the British people?

Would they be "traitors"?

Sephiroth 06-10-2021 15:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36096069)
As I see it those businesses will close, the public won't support higher prices to pay these wages when there's a cheaper foreign option, £30 an hour for picking broccoli and we still won't do it and I disagree with you and David "thick as mince" Davis about what industry would and wouldn't have known, I remember them begging for advice and being left to fend for themselves

They would have been begging for advice from the wrong people! "Industry" new exactly what would be what when we became a third country. What did they really need from the Guvmin? They got the imports checks extension - they were never going to get any export favours from the EU. "Industry" were Remainers.

---------- Post added at 14:11 ---------- Previous post was at 14:08 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096071)
But Industry was told by the Secretary of State for Exiting the European Union / Chief Negotiator for Exiting the European Union, David Davis that "There will be no downside to Brexit, only a considerable upside".

Are you saying Industry should have planned for things they were told weren’t going to happen?

You're being contrary for the sake of it. There were two or three more SoS for Brexit and "industry" at least knew we'd not be in any Customs Union or part of the EU's Internal Market.

Take the piss out of David Davis as much as you like - I support that - but don't use him as an excuse for "industry's" sleepwalk.


---------- Post added at 14:13 ---------- Previous post was at 14:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096077)
You'll have to try a bit harder. But the point you're trying to make is void as Johnson had an 80-seat majority.

---------- Post added at 13:21 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ----------


The issue was it didn't know as the deal was only signed on Christmas Eve!

"Industry" did know because of all the drafts that had been published. "Industry" have been a bigger failure than government.

---------- Post added at 14:15 ---------- Previous post was at 14:13 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096081)
So if a Labour Government gets into power (I know, I know, very unlikely, but for the sake of discussion), how would you describe those who spoke out against any policies they implemented, as those policies would have been due to the democratic decision of the British people?

Would they be "traitors"?

You do come up with ridiculous questions with a sarcastic tinge.

jonbxx 06-10-2021 17:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096085)
[COLOR="Blue"]They would have been begging for advice from the wrong people! "Industry" new exactly what would be what when we became a third country. What did they really need from the Guvmin? They got the imports checks extension - they were never going to get any export favours from the EU. "Industry" were Remainers.

That's probably not true if you previously only ever imported from or exported to the EU. At worst if you were an exporter, you had to complete Eurostat submissions monthly and that was if you exported a lot.

In my company, we were lucky in that we have an EU based warehouse that shipped to EU and non-EU countries so there was some experience of the requirements for various levels of trade agreement with the EU. This meant we could war game various scenarios from no deal upwards on what might be required to ship to the UK.

The biggest difficulty was that we and our customers didn't know what was going to happen. For trade compliance lovers, our company ships using 'Delivered at Place' or DAP Incoterms meaning that we ship to our customer but they are liable for import clearance and duties. My customers did not know what that would mean to them until the 24th December. They could have some guesses but no clarity until a week before the deal, if any, would come in to effect.

in the meantime, our 12 customer service representatives had to be trained up on trade compliance issues that might or might not happen while at the same time handling the year end rush for orders and invoicing. We also had to sandbox test our order handling system for the most likely scenarios to make sure that they would all work if needed.

My company was lucky in having the resources in place to try and make this all as smooth as possible. Even then, the disruption was considerable with a team of 8 people working on this full time by November 2020. This is why they won an award from our CEO! Smaller companies would not have the resources to make the transition as smooth as it was for my company.

It's much like the old y2k thing - not much happened but that was because many, many people were working in the background to make sure nothing happened

1andrew1 06-10-2021 17:38

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36096110)
That's probably not true if you previously only ever imported from or exported to the EU. At worst if you were an exporter, you had to complete Eurostat submissions monthly and that was if you exported a lot.

In my company, we were lucky in that we have an EU based warehouse that shipped to EU and non-EU countries so there was some experience of the requirements for various levels of trade agreement with the EU. This meant we could war game various scenarios from no deal upwards on what might be required to ship to the UK.

The biggest difficulty was that we and our customers didn't know what was going to happen. For trade compliance lovers, our company ships using 'Delivered at Place' or DAP Incoterms meaning that we ship to our customer but they are liable for import clearance and duties. My customers did not know what that would mean to them until the 24th December. They could have some guesses but no clarity until a week before the deal, if any, would come in to effect.

in the meantime, our 12 customer service representatives had to be trained up on trade compliance issues that might or might not happen while at the same time handling the year end rush for orders and invoicing. We also had to sandbox test our order handling system for the most likely scenarios to make sure that they would all work if needed.

My company was lucky in having the resources in place to try and make this all as smooth as possible. Even then, the disruption was considerable with a team of 8 people working on this full time by November 2020. This is why they won an award from our CEO! Smaller companies would not have the resources to make the transition as smooth as it was for my company.

It's much like the old y2k thing - not much happened but that was because many, many people were working in the background to make sure nothing happened

A great post - thanks for taking the time to share your practical experience with the Forum.

TheDaddy 06-10-2021 18:04

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096114)
A great post - thanks for taking the time to share your practical experience with the Forum.

Yes, shame it'll be poo pooed by people who know better coz they read it on Facebook or have a feeling

Mad Max 06-10-2021 19:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36096126)
Yes, shame it'll be poo pooed by people who know better coz they read it on Facebook or have a feeling


That'll be the brexshitters then..:erm:

mrmistoffelees 07-10-2021 12:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Semiconductor research, design & fabrication is surely the exact hi tech industry with high salaries that Boris is looking for the country to move to. So, this would appear to be somewhat of an oh dear moment.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58820599#

Of course, to balance, this could be a public fishing trip....

nomadking 07-10-2021 12:25

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36096295)
Semiconductor research, design & fabrication is surely the exact hi tech industry with high salaries that Boris is looking for the country to move to. So, this would appear to be somewhat of an oh dear moment.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58820599#

Of course, to balance, this could be a public fishing trip....

Quote:

But he added: "Post-Brexit... we're looking at EU countries and getting support from the EU".
They're just looking for more money, no other reason. Even if we were still in the EU, I doubt EU money would've been forthcoming for a plant in the UK.

mrmistoffelees 07-10-2021 12:52

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36096300)
They're just looking for more money, no other reason. Even if we were still in the EU, I doubt EU money would've been forthcoming for a plant in the UK.

Standard for companies to look for monies when considering investments.

The company's decision to base a move in the EU is clearly attributable to Brexit.

Chipzilla could of been a big big player for UK biz.

nomadking 07-10-2021 13:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36096307)
Standard for companies to look for monies when considering investments.

The company's decision to base a move in the EU is clearly attributable to Brexit.

Chipzilla could of been a big big player for UK biz.

You are not serious in suggesting that the EU would've contemplated handing over money for investment in the UK, even though EU funding for UK projects was overwhelming funded by the UK anyway. To begin with, 66% of any EU funding was knocked off the rebate, then add in that we made net contributions, then sometimes nation states had to make their own contributions to projects. Only a small part of EU funding ever came from the EU.
No other reason has been mentioned other than any money they might get. Outside of the EU, we can make an offer, within it we couldn't.

OLD BOY 07-10-2021 14:30

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096081)
So if a Labour Government gets into power (I know, I know, very unlikely, but for the sake of discussion), how would you describe those who spoke out against any policies they implemented, as those policies would have been due to the democratic decision of the British people?

Would they be "traitors"?

Governments are elected on a manifesto which contains a whole range of policies. You cannot choose a selection that you like from the manifesto.

A referendum is different. If you tell people that the majority choice will be honoured, and then fail to honour it, there’s a breach of trust.

jfman 07-10-2021 14:39

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096340)
Governments are elected on a manifesto which contains a whole range of policies. You cannot choose a selection that you like from the manifesto.

A referendum is different. If you tell people that the majority choice will be honoured, and then fail to honour it, there’s a breach of trust.

That relies on the people returning a Government capable of delivering, which they didn’t do in 2017. There’s no breach of trust, or treachery, at all.

It’s just poisonous, divisive rhetoric ironically from those who should be delighted. Rather than be happy at having left there’s residual bitterness at those who disagreed. Rather than forging our glorious path into the future it’s all “ah but” and “if only”. It’s almost as if this was a more complicated process than some were led to believe.

1andrew1 07-10-2021 14:56

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36096307)
Standard for companies to look for monies when considering investments.

The company's decision to base a move in the EU is clearly attributable to Brexit.

Chipzilla could of been a big big player for UK biz.

Agreed, the article is quite explicit on the Brexit link.

OLD BOY 07-10-2021 15:23

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096343)
That relies on the people returning a Government capable of delivering, which they didn’t do in 2017. There’s no breach of trust, or treachery, at all.

It’s just poisonous, divisive rhetoric ironically from those who should be delighted. Rather than be happy at having left there’s residual bitterness at those who disagreed. Rather than forging our glorious path into the future it’s all “ah but” and “if only”. It’s almost as if this was a more complicated process than some were led to believe.

The issue is - we chose the preferred option, and others tried to prevent it from happening. That is plainly undemocratic, no matter how you want to spin it.

Sephiroth 07-10-2021 15:36

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096343)
That relies on the people returning a Government capable of delivering, which they didn’t do in 2017. There’s no breach of trust, or treachery, at all.

It’s just poisonous, divisive rhetoric ironically from those who should be delighted. Rather than be happy at having left there’s residual bitterness at those who disagreed. Rather than forging our glorious path into the future it’s all “ah but” and “if only”. It’s almost as if this was a more complicated process than some were led to believe.

We're talking about human behaviour here. There's bitterness (not residual) only to the extent that some Remainers are in regular "I told you so" mode.

All that matters is that we have left the EU as a result of the Referendum and we now have to build back to a comfortable point. Covid didn't help - but it did underline why 52% voted Leave - namely the arrogance of the bullying EU.

It's also a great pity that certain politicians, including DD, painted an unrealistic picture of day 1 heaven in trade deal terms. How come those fools didn't take into account what the people knew when they voted 52% for BREXIT? This political stupidity feeds certain Remainers here with almost perpetual fodder.

1andrew1 07-10-2021 15:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096349)
The issue is - we chose the preferred option, and others tried to prevent it from happening. That is plainly undemocratic, no matter how you want to spin it.

You need to be specific Old Boy in how people tried to prevent it happening.

---------- Post added at 14:47 ---------- Previous post was at 14:38 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096357)
We're talking about human behaviour here. There's bitterness (not residual) only to the extent that some Remainers are in regular "I told you so" mode.

All that matters is that we have left the EU as a result of the Referendum and we now have to build back to a comfortable point. Covid didn't help - but it did underline why 52% voted Leave - namely the arrogance of the bullying EU.

It's also a great pity that certain politicians, including DD, painted an unrealistic picture of day 1 heaven in trade deal terms. How come those fools didn't take into account what the people knew when they voted 52% for BREXIT? This political stupidity feeds certain Remainers here with almost perpetual fodder.

It's the government who are in "I told you so" mode to British business when in fact they didn't and now seek to pretend that they warned the country early on of these problems.

Brexit is alas a leaky tyre, not the sunny uplands that John Redwood, David Davis and others pretended it was. But we need an industrial strategy to try and make the best of a very bad job. Unfortunately, apart from some nice Soviet-style slogans "Build back better" "Levelling up", I'm not seeing any robust plans.

For example, all the recent new film studios are great news. But they're in places like Reading, Elstree and Broxbourne. Great for those living around the M25 but not-so-great for levelling up the more deprived parts of the UK.

pip08456 07-10-2021 17:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36096300)
They're just looking for more money, no other reason. Even if we were still in the EU, I doubt EU money would've been forthcoming for a plant in the UK.

He lost me at this.

Quote:

"I have no idea whether we would have had a superior site from the UK,"

mrmistoffelees 07-10-2021 17:50

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36096382)
He lost me at this.

He has no idea, because it wasn't considered due to Brexit.

jfman 07-10-2021 18:16

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096357)
We're talking about human behaviour here. There's bitterness (not residual) only to the extent that some Remainers are in regular "I told you so" mode.

All that matters is that we have left the EU as a result of the Referendum and we now have to build back to a comfortable point. Covid didn't help - but it did underline why 52% voted Leave - namely the arrogance of the bullying EU.

It's also a great pity that certain politicians, including DD, painted an unrealistic picture of day 1 heaven in trade deal terms. How come those fools didn't take into account what the people knew when they voted 52% for BREXIT? This political stupidity feeds certain Remainers here with almost perpetual fodder.

It’s perpetual fodder because, unfortunately, it demonstrates that many people had many different ideas of what leaving would entail and consistently put forward an unrealistic picture of “we hold all the cards”, “German car manufacturers will come to our rescue”. Neither credible positions to hold given the relative sizes of each market.

Now all we have, from some at least, is persistent defection. OB is keen to rehash the debates of 2016-19 all over again. However that doesn’t move us forward. Those people are all gone, the Government had a clear mandate, and has a clear majority. Where’s the plan to transition to this high wage, high skilled economy? It’s a bold move for Boris to talk of decades of a flawed economic model when the Tories have governed for the vast majority of the time it has been implemented.

Chris 07-10-2021 18:32

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096392)
It’s perpetual fodder because, unfortunately, it demonstrates that many people had many different ideas of what leaving would entail and consistently put forward an unrealistic picture of “we hold all the cards”, “German car manufacturers will come to our rescue”. Neither credible positions to hold given the relative sizes of each market.

Now all we have, from some at least, is persistent defection. OB is keen to rehash the debates of 2016-19 all over again. However that doesn’t move us forward. Those people are all gone, the Government had a clear mandate, and has a clear majority. Where’s the plan to transition to this high wage, high skilled economy? It’s a bold move for Boris to talk of decades of a flawed economic model when the Tories have governed for the vast majority of the time it has been implemented.

I’d venture to suggest that an outright majority in favour of anything can only come about via a coalition of one kind or another. Members of political parties have their own priorities and are routinely placed by commentators at the left, centre or right of their party’s politics.

Back in 2014 the only Yes campaigner to actually doorstep me was solely interested in getting Faslane closed. Nothing else mattered. But that again was a referendum in which nobody is in a position to promise anything beyond the narrow implementation of the result. At least in broad-church, two-party politics the whole party stands on the manifesto and can be judged against it, whatever the personal priorities of its individual members.

jfman 07-10-2021 18:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36096395)
I’d venture to suggest that an outright majority in favour of anything can only come about via a coalition of one kind or another. Members of political parties have their own priorities and are routinely placed by commentators at the left, centre or right of their party’s politics.

Back in 2014 the only Yes campaigner to actually doorstep me was solely interested in getting Faslane closed. Nothing else mattered. But that again was a referendum in which nobody is in a position to promise anything beyond the narrow implementation of the result. At least in broad-church, two-party politics the whole party stands on the manifesto and can be judged against it, whatever the personal priorities of its individual members.

Perhaps so, however it at least then requires an open, honest discussion grounded in reality about expectations rather than the contradictory hopes and dreams of various people who agree on a single narrow point.

Especially if the majority are, on some level, likely to be disappointed with some or all of the outcome.

Chris 07-10-2021 19:18

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096398)
Perhaps so, however it at least then requires an open, honest discussion grounded in reality about expectations rather than the contradictory hopes and dreams of various people who agree on a single narrow point.

Especially if the majority are, on some level, likely to be disappointed with some or all of the outcome.

I think that would be extremely hard to achieve in our political system. Referendums are still a novelty in our constitution. Even their implementation crashes headlong into the whole concept of parliamentary sovereignty. An open, honest discussion grounded in reality about expectations might work in the Swiss model where there are more referendums than you can shake a stick at, on narrow issues, all the time. But we have only attempted to use them on major constitutional questions that are highly contentious by nature.

jfman 07-10-2021 19:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36096405)
I think that would be extremely hard to achieve in our political system. Referendums are still a novelty in our constitution. Even their implementation crashes headlong into the whole concept of parliamentary sovereignty. An open, honest discussion grounded in reality about expectations might work in the Swiss model where there are more referendums than you can shake a stick at, on narrow issues, all the time. But we have only attempted to use them on major constitutional questions that are highly contentious by nature.

That's not an excuse to stumble from chaotic event to chaotic event that could be absolutely foreseen, and blaming either people who voted to remain or the private sector for being unable to predict the outcome of wide ranging discussions years in advance.

1andrew1 08-10-2021 10:28

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Looks like the Brexiters are turning on Johnson. Perhaps blaming your friends was not the best of moves for Johnson?

Quote:

Bosses lash Boris Johnson: ‘man with no plan’

Furious business bosses have lined up to accuse Boris Johnson of leading Britain into a “cost of living catastrophe” without a credible plan to tackle the crises piling up for the economy.

Even former Tory loyalists such as Brexiteer Wetherspoon pubs boss Tim Martin joined the attack saying the Prime Minister headed a Government “lurching from one unpredictable initiative to another” with the least “commercial savvy” or “guiding philosophy” of any administration for 40 years.

The extraordinary row between a Tory leadership and captains of industry, normally seen as natural allies, was first triggered by an article in the Evening Standard on Monday, written by Leave-supporting Next chief executive Lord Wolfson.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/poli...h-b959283.html

OLD BOY 08-10-2021 11:17

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096406)
That's not an excuse to stumble from chaotic event to chaotic event that could be absolutely foreseen, and blaming either people who voted to remain or the private sector for being unable to predict the outcome of wide ranging discussions years in advance.

You are in purist mode, jfman. We do not live in a perfect world where everything is black and white.

Most of us are able to judge the arguments people make for themselves. We either accept them or reject them. Then we decide.

That’s just how it works.

---------- Post added at 10:17 ---------- Previous post was at 10:05 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096392)

Now all we have, from some at least, is persistent defection. OB is keen to rehash the debates of 2016-19 all over again. However that doesn’t move us forward.

I agree that this doesn’t move us forward, but when I raise the point in answer the the moans of the reluctant remainers that this was a democratic decision, others, including your good self, keep making excuses about the way in which the debate was conducted. I am simply saying we need to accept that decision and the fact that Brexit has happened.

Instead of dwelling on the angst that remainers still feel about losing the argument, and the persistent cries of ‘We told you so’ from them when anything goes wrong, it would be rather more constructive if we turned our attention to how we addressed these transitional issues.

You don’t solve problems by constantly moaning about them and looking backwards. That won’t get us anywhere.

jfman 08-10-2021 11:25

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096517)
You are in purist mode, jfman. We do not live in a perfect world where everything is black and white.

Most of us are able to judge the arguments people make for themselves. We either accept them or reject them. Then we decide.

That’s just how it works.

I’m not even sure the point you are making, OB. Other than to seek to absolve the government of any responsibility for governing.

Quote:

I agree that this doesn’t move us forward, but when I raise the point in answer the the moans of the reluctant remainers that this was a democratic decision, others, including your good self, keep making excuses about the way in which the debate was conducted. I am simply saying we need to accept that decision and the fact that Brexit has happened.
I have - I’m indeed at pains to stress I don’t see the value in rehashing the same debates over and over.

Quote:

Instead of dwelling on the angst that remainers still feel about losing the argument, and the persistent cries of ‘We told you so’ from them when anything goes wrong, it would be rather more constructive if we turned our attention to how we addressed these transitional issues.

You don’t solve problems by constantly moaning about them and looking backwards. That won’t get us anywhere.
Perhaps there would be no cries of “we told you so” if indeed we had mitigated against foreseeable problems? If legitimate concerns of the transition - coming to fruition - weren’t dismissed as “remoaners” by those in favour that had no solutions.

I agree it won’t get anyone, anywhere. However it suits one side of the argument - the leave side - to bog everyone down in nationalistic hubris rather than own the problems arising from their haphazard implementation of one of the biggest policy shifts in any of our lifetimes.

Carth 08-10-2021 13:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Carth walks into the playground.

Looks over at the (not so) merry-go-round and decides it's a waste of time.

Glances towards the big slide, where business leaders are queuing up for their turn on the slope towards lower profit margins.

Heads towards the swings, but turns away when he notices that those sitting on the swings are lazily waiting for someone else to push them.

Carth slowly wanders back home, passing all the fully fueled cars that haven't moved for a week, and smiles as he passes the chap from the council who's carefully spraying yellow circles around the same pot holes they fixed last year.

Aint life grand :D

1andrew1 08-10-2021 13:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096517)
You don’t solve problems by constantly moaning about them and looking backwards. That won’t get us anywhere.

What the Brexit-voting bosses of Next, Wetherspoons and Iceland are seeking is a plan.

Since 2016, we have been discussing this point off and on as I saught to look forward and move beyond stale arguments. All I've ever heard has been wait and see.

I was less patient than these Brexiters but now they've caught up with reality and are asking that very question. That's a big step change.

Carth 08-10-2021 14:11

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Next: Production problems in Asia, and shipping problems from there to here.
Wetherspoons; Got rid of his staff, who are now returning that level of loyalty.
Iceland: No idea, but probably a mixture of the two above.

:p:

1andrew1 08-10-2021 14:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096533)
Next: Production problems in Asia, and shipping problems from there to here.
Wetherspoons; Got rid of his staff, who are now returning that level of loyalty.
Iceland: No idea, but probably a mixture of the two above.

:p:

Wrong, but I'm sure Johnson would give you a pat on the back for trying to save his. ;)

mrmistoffelees 08-10-2021 15:26

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096539)
Wrong, but I'm sure Johnson would give you a pat on the back for trying to save his. ;)

I'm sure he would, it's as good as Boris insinuating that the breakaway european super league was something to do politics and how the Tories prevented it... :p:

1andrew1 08-10-2021 15:34

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36096540)
I'm sure he would, it's as good as Boris insinuating that the breakaway european super league was something to do politics and how the Tories prevented it... :p:

Was he wearing an England shirt over his suit at the time? :D

Carth 08-10-2021 16:15

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096533)
Next: Production problems in Asia, and shipping problems from there to here.
Wetherspoons; Got rid of his staff, who are now returning that level of loyalty.
Iceland: No idea, but probably a mixture of the two above.

:p:

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096539)
Wrong, but I'm sure Johnson would give you a pat on the back for trying to save his. ;)

Care to explain where what I wrote was 'wrong', and give your version?

Hugh 08-10-2021 16:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096533)
Next: Production problems in Asia, and shipping problems from there to here.
Wetherspoons; Got rid of his staff, who are now returning that level of loyalty.
Iceland: No idea, but probably a mixture of the two above.

:p:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096550)
Care to explain where what I wrote was 'wrong', and give your version?

Next don’t think the shipping problems are negatively affecting their business

https://www.business-live.co.uk/reta...simon-21713000

Quote:

Global supply chain issues mean Next’s stock levels are 12 per cent down on two years ago – but, the business says, with enough products online and in the shops to satisfy customer demand.
Wetherspoons - agreed

Iceland - no supporting evidence

At best, you’re half-right… ;)

Sephiroth 08-10-2021 16:32

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096554)
Next don’t think the shipping problems are negatively affecting their business

https://www.business-live.co.uk/reta...simon-21713000



Wetherspoons - agreed

Iceland - no supporting evidence

At best, you’re half-right… ;)

.... better than many.

Carth 08-10-2021 16:57

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096554)
Next don’t think the shipping problems are negatively affecting their business

Adding 2% to their shipping costs doesn't help, but I guess some people don't think that's a negative :shrug:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58731504

OLD BOY 08-10-2021 18:41

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096523)
I’m not even sure the point you are making, OB. Other than to seek to absolve the government of any responsibility for governing.



I have - I’m indeed at pains to stress I don’t see the value in rehashing the same debates over and over.



Perhaps there would be no cries of “we told you so” if indeed we had mitigated against foreseeable problems? If legitimate concerns of the transition - coming to fruition - weren’t dismissed as “remoaners” by those in favour that had no solutions.

I agree it won’t get anyone, anywhere. However it suits one side of the argument - the leave side - to bog everyone down in nationalistic hubris rather than own the problems arising from their haphazard implementation of one of the biggest policy shifts in any of our lifetimes.

The nationalistic hubris, as you put it, arises from the remoaners droning on about the Brexit decision and the political arguments surrounding it.

We are all fed up with this, and the way to avoid it is to accept that the decision has been made and get on with it.

Instead of gleefully pointing out that something has gone wrong each time there’s a problem, why not debate how we might resolve it? Then we can start having decent debates on this subject.

Problems occur, problems get resolved. Like the sausage wars - finally, the EU has caved.

Sephiroth 08-10-2021 19:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096570)

The nationalistic hubris, as you put it, arises from the remoaners droning on about the Brexit decision and the political arguments surrounding it.

We are all fed up with this, and the way to avoid it is to accept that the decision has been made and get on with it.

Instead of gleefully pointing out that something has gone wrong each time there’s a problem, why not debate how we might resolve it? Then we can start having decent debates on this subject.

Problems occur, problems get resolved. Like the sausage wars - finally, the EU has caved.

I read that in the Torygraph too. Then Tesco said they've sourced their sausages from with NI for years!

jfman 08-10-2021 19:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096570)

The nationalistic hubris, as you put it, arises from the remoaners droning on about the Brexit decision and the political arguments surrounding it.

We are all fed up with this, and the way to avoid it is to accept that the decision has been made and get on with it.

And there’s nothing stopping them from getting on with it. The Parliamentary mandate is there. Go forth and forge this high wage, high skill economy.

Quote:

Instead of gleefully pointing out that something has gone wrong each time there’s a problem, why not debate how we might resolve it? Then we can start having decent debates on this subject.
Believe it or not OB nobody on this forum has any meaningful influence over the course of Government. I think you are giving the half dozen or so more vocal remainers on the forum far more credit than they deserve.

Nobody is stopping you debating the solutions - put ideas forward.

Quote:

Problems occur, problems get resolved. Like the sausage wars - finally, the EU has caved.
It’s not inevitable that problems get solved. Certainly not by themselves through chance or luck. It’s for politicians to develop solutions for the problems they created and who better placed than the visionaries who supported the policy.

1andrew1 08-10-2021 19:31

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096550)
Care to explain where what I wrote was 'wrong', and give your version?

Fair cop ;)
Agreed on Spoons but not the other two.

Next: Wants the government to be proactive on skills shortages
Quote:

In a statement, Next added: "The HGV crisis was foreseen, and widely predicted for many months. For the sake of the wider UK economy, we hope that the government will take a more decisive approach to the looming skill crisis in warehouses, restaurants, hotels, care homes, and many seasonal industries.
Iceland: Wants the government to stop blaming business and consider the accumulative problems it is facing
"
Quote:

I think no one is taking a step back and looking at the accumulative impact of all these different issues on business.

"Iceland is a relatively big company and we will get through it but of course it is not the same for a lot of smaller businesses, businesses without cash reserves.

"I think this a moment where tough rhetoric is quite simply not helpful."
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-58731504
https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...ages-latest-vn

OLD BOY 08-10-2021 20:58

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096581)

It’s for politicians to develop solutions for the problems they created and who better placed than the visionaries who supported the policy.

Exactly, which is what they are doing. We should also be coming up with our own ideas about how these problems could possibly be resolved instead of constantly carping every time a problem arises.

jfman 08-10-2021 22:55

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36096602)
Exactly, which is what they are doing. We should also be coming up with our own ideas about how these problems could possibly be resolved instead of constantly carping every time a problem arises.

Can you name any plan, just out of curiousity?

I mean a “high wage, high skill” economy doesn’t spawn itself into existence by itself. Otherwise anyone could do it.

So tell me: what’s the plan?

Carth 08-10-2021 23:02

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096618)
Can you name any plan, just out of curiousity?

I mean a “high wage, high skill” economy doesn’t spawn itself into existence by itself. Otherwise anyone could do it.

So tell me: what’s the plan?

Rather easy actually, thought you'd have got it . .

Minimum wage up to £22 an hour, then legislate that any job paying over £20 an hour is a highly skilled job.

Uncle Bob innit :D

TheDaddy 08-10-2021 23:06

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096621)
Rather easy actually, thought you'd have got it . .

Minimum wage up to £22 an hour, then legislate that any job paying over £20 an hour is a highly skilled job.

Uncle Bob innit :D

Genius, hope this idea doesn't reach the ears of government or they'll adopt it most probably

jfman 08-10-2021 23:12

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36096621)
Rather easy actually, thought you'd have got it . .

Minimum wage up to £22 an hour, then legislate that any job paying over £20 an hour is a highly skilled job.

Uncle Bob innit :D

Haha well, I’ll credit this. High is a relative concept. You can have a high wage, high skill economy that’s got an extremely high cost of living. Nobody who lives there will thank you for it.

Sephiroth 08-10-2021 23:14

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096627)
Haha well, I’ll credit this. High is a relative concept. You can have a high wage, high skill economy that’s got an extremely high cost of living. Nobody who lives there will thank you for it.

Sweden?

1andrew1 08-10-2021 23:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096628)
Sweden?

Austria too?

Sephiroth 08-10-2021 23:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36096636)
Austria too?

Austria VAT rate is 20%; Sweden is 25%

Income Tax regimes differ considerably so I won't go into them other than to say the Austrian regime follows similar lines to ours whereas Sweden uses a flat tax (John Redwood heaven).



Hugh 08-10-2021 23:44

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Not at 57%, it isn’t… ;)

Sephiroth 08-10-2021 23:54

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096647)
Not at 57%, it isn’t… ;)

That's for salaries over 537,200 SEK (52%). It's 32% up to that figure.

jfman 09-10-2021 00:24

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096628)
Sweden?

Do we really want to be Sweden with the public spending to GDP ratio they have? Many of our members would be physically sick at the prospect.

Hugh 09-10-2021 00:47

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36096652)
That's for salaries over 537,200 SEK (52%). It's 32% up to that figure.

And the average salary is 547,464 SEK, which means over 50% pay the higher rate (unlike U.K., where it’s around 10%).

1andrew1 09-10-2021 00:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096665)
Do we really want to be Sweden with the public spending to GDP ratio they have? Many of our members would be physically sick at the prospect.

I suspect ours has crept up during the pandemic with furlough and PPE amongst others.

papa smurf 09-10-2021 09:42

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096665)
Do we really want to be Sweden with the public spending to GDP ratio they have? Many of our members would be physically sick at the prospect.

Will it be better than this N Korea model we are following now ,no fuel, no food no gas, no electric , no turkeys [apart from the HOC]no meat.............

Sephiroth 09-10-2021 10:22

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Sweden is a wonderful place and those with whom I interact are very happy.

Carth 09-10-2021 10:51

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36096680)
Will it be better than this N Korea model we are following now ,no fuel, no food no gas, no electric , no turkeys [apart from the HOC]no meat.............

But we do have countless 'Z' list celebs clamouring for attention, although sadly lack the firing squad to deal with them ;)

Hugh 09-10-2021 11:01

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36096680)
Will it be better than this N Korea model we are following now ,no fuel, no food no gas, no electric , no turkeys [apart from the HOC]no meat.............

Not everywhere is like North Lincs…
;)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1633770068

Hugh 09-10-2021 11:20

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Anyway, speaking of post-apocalyptic hellholes, interesting thread on Twitter this morning…

https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...812989442.html

Quote:

The EU's proposals for addressing the problems in NI are substantive & far reaching. They will effectively do away with all paperwork for goods destined for NI - instead of a border in Irish Sea, think of a “green” (NI-bound) & “red” (Single Market) lane

It has taken a lot of time & leadership from @MarosSefcovic & @vonderleyen to get Commission services & member states into line. Although EU capitals haven't seen the final package & all the details, they've been socialised with what's coming

The Commission's ambition has been driven by 1) a desire to institute practical fixes to improve experience of citizens & businesses in NI, but also, importantly, 2) tactics

If HMG now says “no/not enough”, it will be easier to rally member states behind a tough response, as @EU_Commission will be able to credibly claim it went “as far as it could”. EU unity will be key weapon in any ensuing standoff; these proposals make it more likely it'll hold

Unsurprisingly, EU will offer no concessions on ECJ. For this reason alone, senior EU officials are resigned to fairly hostile response from @DavidGHFrost. This may come via A16 notification or “legal limbo” with ongoing negotiations & grace periods, where Protocol isn't applied

But EU officials are clear sighted about where both could lead: de facto, Ireland's place in Single Market being called into question. Put differently: they clearly see @BorisJohnson cynical calculation, that absent E-W checks, Bxl won't force Dublin to swallow a N-S border

That calculation is, of course, correct. But I fear HMG is massively underestimating the likely EU response in these circumstances - circumstances where there would be growing pressure to institute checks & controls between Ireland & France & Ireland & other EU member states

No German Chancellor or French President would side with HMG putting a member state in such an untenable situation. The v purpose of Single Market is to eliminate barriers between members. If UK's actions call that into question, the EU's response could be much more forceful

Not a silly micro line-by-line tariff retaliation, but the *suspension of the entire zero tariff/zero quota deal*. There's a termination clause in TCA that can be triggered unilaterally: many in Bxl think a big simple move like this would be needed for UK to finally understand

That this is existential. Recall “sequencing” in Brexit negotiations - WA/Irish border 1st, trade talks 2nd - existed precisely because EU wanted to ensure it locked down a solution to Irish border. If that's now being called into question by HMG, many think the TCA should be too

No WA, no TCA. Hard Brexit/WTO tariffs. The politics won't be easy. But many in Bxl rightly fear that once A16 is triggered, no British PM, let alone @BorisJohnson will be able to stand Protocol back up. With it will disappear the poss of a negotiated solution to Irish border

Senior EU officials are VERY tired. They think HMG simply wants to “fight every day”. Still, EU will assume more risk & further bend Single Market for UK next week. HMG may not bite. But they should do so with an appreciation of the full consequences that then might follow

Sephiroth 09-10-2021 11:27

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Fascinating stuff. Can’t wait for next developments. From what I’ve read, the UK should agree to give it a go and see how it pans out.

papa smurf 09-10-2021 11:33

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36096697)
Not everywhere is like North Lincs…
;)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1633770068

Wouldn't know i've never lived there.

OLD BOY 09-10-2021 11:40

Re: Britain outside the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36096618)
Can you name any plan, just out of curiousity?

I mean a “high wage, high skill” economy doesn’t spawn itself into existence by itself. Otherwise anyone could do it.

So tell me: what’s the plan?

Maybe you should ask Boris - he's the one with the vision.

Ths basic idea is that with the Europeans going back to their countries, vacancies are created here, and if employers can't fill the vacancies, they will increase wages to attract more people. The more vacancies there are, the less excuse there is for able bodied people to be receiving benefits, so its a virtuous circle.

Employers have the task of attracting our own people to jobs with appropriate salaries, by making jobs more interesting and by training those without the skills.

I was reading about the way lorry drivers are treated recently, and it's no wonder employers have difficulty attracting them. We need to start treating these people with respect and provide at least the basic facilities, such as lorry stops with decent loos and to stop all the hanging around at warehouses while they wait for people to turn up to unload the lorries.

There's lots we can do to make jobs more attractive, and if we can increase productivity, we will need less of them and use the savings to improve conditions.

Ministers understand what is expected of them - it's up to them to work out the detail, not the PM.


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