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Re: Brexit discussion
Interesting times tomorrow in the customs union v non-customs union debate. (OK, I should get out more, I know! :))
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You know, I don't think its going very well.... It might just be that the whole Brexit concept was flawed in the first place. You can't polish a turd. Just saying ;)
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The southern European countries are in no shape to weather another financial storm. It's only a matter of time now. We are not in the Eurozone, but if we remained in the EU, we would be under enormous pressure to help with the huge bailout that would be necessary to support Greece, Italy and Portugal, and maybe others as well. We are better out than in - remainers take note. The risk we face is if we stay IN the EU! |
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* justification for reasoning is redacted |
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If you post in such a childish and pejorative style: "[the EU] needs to be extinguished" then maybe the replies you get need to be in the same style? |
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There is nothing childish about saying the EU needs to be extinguished. That is a perfectly legitimate view. I cannot stand the EU, why has that not sunk in yet ? :rolleyes: |
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I guess the use of the word 'extinguish' may seem to some a little extreme based on the definition I guess you mean in this case;
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Just to remind all, one of the deeper reasons why we should leave the EU:
German hegemony. I'll explain. In the 1980s, Germany was becoming uncompetitive because the DM currency was rising in value to the point where they were becoming industrially uncompetitive. A way had to be found of devaluing the DM. So, they persuaded France to back the forerunner to the Euro - the ECU. The word even sounded French and by 1991 it had morphed into the ERM (Exchange Rate Mechanism) which the UK joined until the interest rate crisis occurred when we withdrew. The ERM was supposed to operate until all the member countries (now the Eurozone) had brought their borrowing to within a +/- 3% of GDP range. So, I draw you attention to GREECE & ITALY. No way did Greece & Italy fulfill these entry requirements which is exactly what Germany wanted so that the overall value of the Euro against the basket of pre-Eurozone currencies would offset the high value of the DM. Also weaker currencies in terms of GDP such as Spain & Portugal added to Germany's cup of joy. When the Euro happened around 1999, German labour & thus industrial costs fell significantly and they became highly productive. Evidence: The German financial surpluses should be seen against nearly every one else's deficit. Result: Germany runs the EU with France as its running dog. |
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Telegraph exclusive - register to read article in full |
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Interesting question raised on last night's Question Time "is there a difference between a brexiteer and a remainer who thinks that the referendum decision should be upheld".
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The big question now is what leaving actually entails, where will we be in 5-10 years time? What will our relationships be with our closest neighbours and the wider world? My work and personal interests revolve around ease of trade and regulatory issues. The company I work for and our customers are global but the ease of intra EU trade has been a significant advantage in the past. How this will be handled going forward is a big question that still seems to be hanging. |
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My fear is that we will end up still being in the EU in all but name and still paying out money to them, yet have no voting rights.
It's the worst of the two options of changing our minds and deciding to stay in or making a clean break. I used to be all for the EU, but have not been happy with them for a good few years now for many of the reasons already covered. My main gripes are free movement of people, meaning that the countries effectively have no control over their borders and us being expected to bail out other countries who haven't sorted out their finances whilst we have been subject to austerity. I think that there are good and bad things that would come out of staying in or leaving, but what we are likely to end up with is the worst of both options. I know that either decision will annoy about 50% of the electorate, but this wouldn't please remainders or brexiteers. As the old saying goes, he who stands in the middle of the road gets mown down. |
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I, too, voted for joining the Common Market back in the day, but the Europeans made a complete hash of it and instead of federalising and democratising it, they have created an unelected bureaucracy which it seems to me could end up being something uncomfortably similar to a Communist state. |
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Jim, Peter and Nancy have nothing, so the fruit is shared among all 6 Eventually John, Mary and Alan decide they can't be bothered to work hard in order to end up with the same as those who don't . . so stop picking fruit. Nobody has anything. |
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The Brits look like the Europeans but don't think like them; sort of. So their elected MEPs are able to gang up against ours (and a few like minded others). Not only that, it's no wonder that the MEP majority are all for federal Europe and no nation states. If that happens, their Parliament would trump everyone else's. That's grabbing power and more than likely against the democratic wishes of ordinary folk. The UK was fortunate enough to have held a referendum at which true democracy took place. As for the Eurpean Council, that is made up of Prime Ministers/Presidents who want to keep their seat at the top table (Cameron was one of those). Snouts, trough and power concentration come to mind. Not what we want from our politicians. The EU is a politically corrupt institution. |
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To say the EU is not democratic is not true if the voting population are engaged in the process. If they or we are not, then that’s not the EUs fault surely. If the results of the election don’t go the way we want, as long as the result is fair, it’s still democratic isn’t it? |
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We played a major role in developing this EU satellite, but if we leave the EU is threatening to stop us using it for GPS, mobile phones, military use etc.
Our Government has said that they'll create their own if this threat is carried out, but it's going to cost us a lot more money if we do. From a purely financial point of view, this is a downside to leaving: https://www.politico.eu/article/brex...with-brussels/ |
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This is really academic as us and the rest of the world use the USA GPS at the moment. It was really the EU vanity project and we're leaving it. The existing GPS continues as it always has.
TBQH I'd put more faith in a system run by the US military than a system run by some EU incompetency. |
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An MEP cannot take on a local issue and promise legislation unless he/she knows that the Eurocrats are going to bring it forward. Democracy is a cynical illusion. A lot of people fall for it, though. |
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Whatever your viewpoint, I think this is an informative read. It explains that establishing regulators for a country leaving the EU is a big deal and hard to do/impossible in the timescale of 12 months that Article 50 provides.
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To me, the best way of leaving would sort out your plan, get as much inftrastructure in place as you can and then Invoke Article 50 from a stronger position. |
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However, being in the 'losing' side doesn't mean things are undemocratic. Should Labour supporters regard the UK Parliament undemocratic? Indeed, should Remain voters call the referendum undemocratic because they didn't get their way? On the council side, the UK votes on the winning side almost 87% of the time. Here's an blog post part written by the same poerson who did the Parliament analysis, Simon Hix - http://ukandeu.ac.uk/explainers/does...-of-ministers/ Again, you can see the decline in the UK winning position post 2009 |
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pleɪn/ noun noun: plane; plural noun: planes 1. a flat surface on which a straight line joining any two points on it would wholly lie. "the horizontal plane" synonyms: flat surface, level surface; 2. a level of existence, thought, or development. "everything is connected on the spiritual plane" synonyms: level, stage, degree, standard, stratum; |
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Much better ... |
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That releases me to observe that nobody took me up in my German hegemony argument.
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I wonder what the Metroplitan Police will do with the referral?
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The EU, motivated by Germany in particular has been instrumental in negating the nationalistic tendencies that have been responsible for so much loss of life in recent times. It has it's flaws like all pan-national organisations but the net value to the stability of Europe is tangible. It is sad that the recent populist movements & decisions aim to undo this work and take us to a darker, more self-centred & insular nationalistic future. Mr Putin is licking his lips ... |
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Here we go again with the whole "insular" rubbish most brexit voters are looking forward to global trade and global relationships that we set not have set for us so how are we going to become more insular??. Germany has massively benefitted from the EEC\EU for quite a while that's been their main motivation not doing the rest of us a favour. As for peace and security in europe the EU's push eastwood has caused more instability not less and talk of an EU military has only made Russia more nervous so not sure peace and security is a big plus for the EU.
The one common thread with pro EU people seems to be their belief that only the EU can keep the peace which is of course false NATO has been a far bigger peace keeper then the EU. I also have more faith in our european friends that if the EU vanished on saturday we wouldn't be at war on sunday or anytime soon. |
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It is not a reason to stay in the EU because Germany has managed to climb out of its horrible past and do some good things for Europe (if indeed it has). It certainly has done nothing good for us; nothing. It is a reason to leave the EU that we have failed to get the EU to reform; it is a reason to leave the EU because German hegemony is an entrenched German interest that is contrary to ours. European altruism is misplaced in these circumstances. |
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This depressing but unsurprising report from the UN reinforces my point on the direction this country has embarked on: UK has seen 'Brexit-related' growth in racism, says UN representative ---------- Post added at 22:01 ---------- Previous post was at 21:59 ---------- Quote:
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My description of German hegemony alludes only to their economic and political goals. If you are referring to the motives for voting leave by some of the population, you might be right. But if they were intelligent enough to have been aware of my argument, they would have voted leave on that basis. You presumably agree with my description of German hegemony even if you don't see it as a reason to leave the EU. |
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BTW, this thread is a discussion on Brexit in all its aspects including the more sinister reasons some Leavers voted for. |
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Racism has been increasing since new labours grand social experiment of letting million's into the country without increasing infrastructure to accomadate them and certainly isn't exclusive to brexit although brexit gets blamed for everything now good job it let's off the creator's of so many of our problem's. Racism is also increasing across the european mainland in many countries i guess that's down to brexit as well us xenophobic little Englander's inspiring our european brother's and sister's :rolleyes:.
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Besides, even if some actually voted to leave for racist reasons, they were at perfect liberty to do so. Some may not agree with it, some may not like it, but a democracy involves letting people have their say. This includes views different to ones own. |
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I think Putin annexed a part of the ukraine because he feared they would join the EU and cut off access to the black sea naval facilities. Both NATO and the EU are in the wrong on eastward expansion and in breach of the agreement we made with Russia in the early nineties to safeguard stability. That doesn't excuse Putin for what he did but we handed him the excuse because we didn't abide by the agreement we have pushed right upto Russia's border and gave Putin the perfect chance to cement his position if we hadn't i doubt Putin would be in power right now.
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They made goose-stepping popular for a short while.
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I think everyone will be amused by this!
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I think representatives from a different nation for promoting membership of the EU would have veen better, you've got to wonder what desk jocky thought this was a good idea lol.
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Boris shouldn't be allowed near sharp or pointed objects for his and our safety and the feeling I've had about him these last few years is he doesn't give a damn about anyone but himself and his behaviour has cemented my view.
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Reminds me of Baldrick and his "I have a cunning plan"!
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Baldrick would be the intelligent sidekick of boris.
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This theory could be supported by two other stories reported today: 1) Theresa May admits that her two customs proposals are unworkable. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...rrent-options/ (Full article readable by registering.) 2) Brexit talks have made "little" progress since March, Michel Barnier has said. He highlighted the "risk of failure" in Northern Ireland and governance of the agreement as being the main issues. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-44113686 |
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There's a hell of a lot going on behind the scenes and neither side is very happy at the minute our biggest leverage will be discussed soon and the hardline approach the EU has taken so far will have to soften considerably unless they are willing to be in a very poor position on security and intelligence cooperation. As I've said before there is growing opposition to the approach the EU has adopted so far within the european parliament with the opinion that on the EU end it's more about punishing the UK for leaving then an open constructive process designed to get both sides an acceptable deal.
Right now i think both sides are playing games and both sides also have a deal prepared that's acceptable to both but it's like a game of chicken at the minute first one to blink gains an advantage. Germany is the most concerned right now as they will take an economical hit from brexit, Trump is getting very fed up with Germany not honouring it's NATO commitment and the German public do not want to see Germany filling most of the EU budgetary void left by the UK's leaving it's not working well on the continent and Macron has yet to release the report for the French government on the cost of Brexit to France which it's suspected show's an economical hit for France as well. This was never one side holding all the cards as many remain and brexit supporters represented it as being and was always going to be a difficult deal to agree but it's becoming clearer that a deal has to be reached or both sides will be loser's and face difficult times. The only advantage is that once out we will not have the southern european countries with severe financial issues to deal with and if the big two in the EU do take an economical hit that situation becomes a little more precarious for the EU. I don't want to see that i want adults to start handling these negotiations so that both sides come out of it with the minimum of damage and the prospect for both constructive relations and reciprocal trade in the future. |
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Me thinks the whole EU and Euro need to be scrapped in current form and something new developed along lines of
Euro - a trade currency to allow business to trade tax free across borders with know exchange mechanisms and "free" movement of goods, materials, services. Countries then have their own currency that would trade free of the Euro, they can apply changes that suit them at the time. Taxes would be applied locally at point of sale. Customs - each country can trade within Europe and the world as they wish. The use of the Euro within Europe controls intra European trade and the countries have their own currency to trade with the rest of the world. Some regulation may be needed to prevent one country becoming a dump route in or out. Border control - controlled locally. It can't be hard to have channels for different countries and nation states can move countries to different channels if needed. Flexibilty if Poslovakiania become a source of concern (move to more secure channel) or the other way is also possible. Standards - like the Kite Mark and others goods would have to pass agreed standards to receive the pass and consumers can be aware of their rights and so forth. --- This is very woolly but the idea is to try to allow the free trade etc but also retain more national power. I know that speaking to our European guests (students) that while free movement and peace and trade are seen as good, many of their parents do not like the Euro and some don't like the way the institutions in Brussels and so on make rules their nation has to follow but doesn't always see any benefit. |
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Personally me thinks we've made a horrendous mistake.Some have woken up and are now panicking about how they can get out of this without being blamed, all a bit late now.
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Yes we are all aware of your position and your happiness to keep repeating it but despite what you think it's the right way for this country and maybe some leavers regret their vote but so do quite a few ramainers some feeling they were massively lied to during the campaign.
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I sure as hell don't regret my vote to leave, if I feel that way, I guess the ones who also voted leave also do. There is no evidence people have changed their minds in a massive way.
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Good article here on the Ireland problem from The Times: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/d...6-99299e0f1a1c
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---------- Post added at 22:57 ---------- Previous post was at 21:38 ---------- Trump might try to get the NHS to pay more for American drugs in trade talks: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/201...nhs-pay-drugs/ At the moment because we bulk buy them we get a hefty discount which American insurers do not get as they are more fragmented and have less buying power as a result. Instead of tackling that problem it seems Trump wants to make it more expensive for other nations. We're not being 'subsidised' by the US, we just get better deals. |
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If you have more/bulk buying power, you get better terms - if the US let Medicare/Medicare negotiate as an entity, they could do the same. |
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Things may seem confused at the moment, but you must appreciate that the media circus is the result of there being no definitive information being released by the government on the customs union issue. However, Theresa knows exactly what she is doing, what she is aiming for and how to get there. Despite all the hype, you will come to see that credible solutions to the problems that have been well publicised will be announced. The government is playing a little game with the public at the moment and the idea is to make us in awe of them when they finally get through these negotiations with their brilliant business know-how. We will get through this and we will leave on time. You'll see. We will look back on these posts and have a jolly good laugh! |
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Re "no definitive Government information" released on the Customs Union issue, what about these? http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-43860453 Quote:
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The Brexit process of leaving, is a shambles and that is purely down to one thing. Remainers in the government and in political circles, such as a the Lords, the unelected chamber, trying to thwart the democratic decision that was taken because according to some of the Lords, people did not know what they voted for, bollocks I say.
The Remain camp are doing all they can to sabotage Brexit negotiations, trying to use the NI border issue. Trying to tie us to the Single Market, Customs Union. It's the same old arguments again and again and again. It's interesting to note that the Petition that asks for a referendum on the abolition of the Lords has surpassed 150,000 signatures, and it has been given a date for debate. 18th June, 2018. Many of the Lords are on a cushy EU benefits and pensions, their reason to stop Brexit is perfectly clear. Selfish, snot nosed imbeciles that they are. |
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Yes it is the same old argument because it's yet to be resolved. It was an issue brought up before the referendum and it's still here because for all the talk of the people's will it doesn't magic away the fundamental problem. |
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When the prime minister wrote at the weekend that she wanted ‘as little friction as possible’, was she talking about EU trade or the next cabinet meeting? |
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No surprise here to anyone who's followed the Irish situation. Hopefully, we'll never leave the customs union, period
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Two warring cabinet factions , a weak wishy-washy leader is a clear recipe for shambolic chaos and that is what is ensuing Andrew.
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Staying in the EU Single Market or a Customs Union is unacceptable. We must leave the EU in its entirety. That is what I voted for and 17.4 Million others. |
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Interestingly, I found out there are parts of the EU not in the customs union. Gibraltar is one.. |
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I think the Irish border is one of those things being made more difficult than it needs to be by lawyers and politicians.
The UK want an open border, the Irish want an open border so let's have an open border. It's not like Norway where the border isn't populated, people have the border running through their houses. It could be an open border policed by the locals in that any large scale movement of goods/people etc would be spotted and could be reported. I suppose some form of official monitoring could be in place on the larger roads if really wanted - it probably already is knowing our surveillance culture. We (the UK and the Irish) just do it and let the EU/politicos/lawyers worry about it. |
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If so, it's BINO (Brexit in name only) but no influence on the law. Is that what "Let's take back control" looks like? * The rest of the UK would then have to as well in order to comply with Theresa May's DUP accord. More good news in the Telegraph! Expect Rees-Mogg to start playing the victim! (Alas, registration is needed to read the full article) Why customs union climbdown shows Britain is heading for a soft Brexit |
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Theresa may has said many times we are leaving the customs union and the single market and that's what 17.4 million people voted for it would be a grave mistake to backtrack on that now and she knows it so as much as remainers are constantly hoping for this "soft" brexit the rules don't allow for anything but hard brexit. If the EU can change their rules allowing anything other then hard brexit then can clearly change other rules if it suits them which means they are using the ireland issue as an excuse and we should tell them to sod off. Agreement could be reached on a workable solution but the EU needs to engage rather then just constantly shooting everything down i gaurantee if the UK said next monday "these negotiations are not working for us we are tired of the EU intransigence so we are out come march 2019 we see where things fall" there would be a rapid chane in the EU's negotiating position and likely a replacement of the EU's chief negotiator.
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