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-   -   Will Scotland Leave the UK? (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33684496)

1andrew1 31-03-2021 21:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36075863)
If Scotland left and had a customs union with the UK, would they be allowed to join the EU? Just look at the current NI-GB trade situation.

They couldn't. Hence, the need for Scotland and E&W to both be in or both be outside the Single Market.
You can change some things but geography is one if the trickier things to change.

Sephiroth 31-03-2021 22:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36075865)
They couldn't. Hence, the need for Scotland and E&W to both be in or both be outside the Single Market.
You can change some things but geography is one if the trickier things to change.

... as long as you give up thinking the UK (or whatever it becomes) will rejoin the EU.


1andrew1 31-03-2021 22:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36075867)
... as long as you give up thinking the UK (or whatever it becomes) will rejoin the EU.


It was a once-in-a-lifetime vote, so per the SNP's definition of that, we're due another vote in 2024. :D

I do think the UK or its successors will rejoin the EU but not that soon. And the EU is not exactly making a strong case for membership at the moment! But an independent Scotland would find it tricky to join the Single Market if E&W didn't join at the same time.

Pierre 01-04-2021 07:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36075868)
I do think the UK or its successors will rejoin the EU but not that soon.

Any campaign to rejoin the EU would have to be fought under the premise that we would better off being governed by the EU, and not under the pretence of trade.

I never see that argument winning, ever.

papa smurf 01-04-2021 08:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36075878)
Any campaign to rejoin the EU would have to be fought under the premise that we would better off being governed by the EU, and not under the pretence of trade.

I never see that argument winning, ever.

We could use their vaccine roll out as a template;)

1andrew1 01-04-2021 08:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36075878)
Any campaign to rejoin the EU would have to be fought under the premise that we would better off being governed by the EU, and not under the pretence of trade.

I never see that argument winning, ever.

I disagree on that assumption but I'll leave it there as we have a dedicated thread on that topic and my reference to rejoining the EU was in the context of the Anglo-Scottish border.

Carth 01-04-2021 10:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Radical solution #1

Can we invade Scotland and take it over? It would give the armed forces something to do and would be a great 'live' test of some new armaments :D

Sephiroth 01-04-2021 11:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36075896)
Radical solution #1

Can we invade Scotland and take it over? It would give the armed forces something to do and would be a great 'live' test of some new armaments :D

The army wouldn't have to travel far!

Hugh 01-04-2021 12:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36075896)
Radical solution #1

Can we invade Scotland and take it over? It would give the armed forces something to do and would be a great 'live' test of some new armaments :D

Considering a reasonable proportion of the Armed Forces are from North of the Border, that could be problematic... ;)

jfman 01-04-2021 12:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Sturgeon making the point that gaming the system would raise questions over the legitimacy of a majority of MSPs/majority of voters voting for parties in favour of a second referendum.

Chris 01-04-2021 12:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I think she's right. If she gets a majority after May - any sort of majority at all - then the argument about the legitimacy of her demands for a referendum will begin. The last thing she needs at that point is any excuse for her opponents to start looking at the actual level of voter support for the various parties at the ballot box rather than the composition of the Holyrood chamber. If the majority in the chamber is grossly out of proportion to the level of nationalist support at the ballot box, that will only serve to delegitimise her demands.

If the SNP can get a small, outright majority on 44% of the vote - as they did in 2011 - she will be happier than that than having a large nationalist majority in the chamber, but with no party having a clear majority of votes.

TheDaddy 01-04-2021 13:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36075907)
Considering a reasonable proportion of the Armed Forces are from North of the Border, that could be problematic... ;)

Considering we couldn't fulfill the Grand Old Duke of York's requirements for marching men up and down hills I'd say invading anywhere is problematic

papa smurf 01-04-2021 16:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36075896)
Radical solution #1

Can we invade Scotland and take it over? It would give the armed forces something to do and would be a great 'live' test of some new armaments :D

Just drop a 1£ coin on the floor then take em out while they're fighting over it ;)

Hugh 01-04-2021 17:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36075737)
They hate us how do you think that vote would've gone?

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36075932)
Just drop a 1£ coin on the floor then take em out while they're fighting over it ;)

The Scots don't hate the English - just the RichardHead ones who make very poor stereotypical, for lack of a better word, jokes... ;)

papa smurf 01-04-2021 17:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36075935)
The Scots don't hate the English - just the RichardHead ones who make very poor stereotypical, for lack of a better word, jokes... ;)

I was referring to the EU hating us.

i would have said drop a £2 coin but didn't want to start a Scottish civil war.


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