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-   -   Will Scotland Leave the UK? (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33684496)

Chris 24-09-2014 08:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stephen (Post 35730919)
I see Wales are not interested in Independance.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-29331475

only 3% polled would want it. 49% would want more powers.

That's funny. Most of the Scottish Yessers I talked to on the interwebs during the referendum campaign were absolutely certain Wales wanted independence too. Mind you, they were also absolutely certain they were going to win, and win big, and look how that turned out.

Chris 24-09-2014 17:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by LondonRoad (Post 35730443)
Scottish Greens are reporting 2000 new members have signed up since Friday. SNP claiming 4000 new members.

Scottish Labour; not so much ;)

Judging by the comments being made by Green Party officials on their Facebook feed, more than a few of the newbies have joined more than one political party. I think the raw enthusiasm is possibly preventing people from understanding what membership of a political party entails. Suits me though, the SNP will become a glorious muddle if the party managers are forced to let all these raw recruits vote on policies and new leadership. With any luck, the SNP will start to look like Labour, circa 1981. Which would be hugely entertaining.

In other news, today's internet rant is brought to you by the number 37.8, which is the percentage of the 4.2 million enfranchised Scottish voters who were sufficiently motivated to actually vote for independence last Thursday. I can understand people not being excited about the establishment and status quo, but dear old Mr Salmond did promise us that Scotland would vote for independence, if only it got the chance. Well, it had the chance, and Scotland didn't even come close...

Osem 24-09-2014 17:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35730977)
Judging by the comments being made by Green Party officials on their Facebook feed, more than a few of the newbies have joined more than one political party. I think the raw enthusiasm is possibly preventing people from understanding what membership of a political party entails. Suits me though, the SNP will become a glorious muddle if the party managers are forced to let all these raw recruits vote on policies and new leadership. With any luck, the SNP will start to look like Labour, circa 1981. Which would be hugely entertaining.

In other news, today's internet rant is brought to you by the number 37.8, which is the percentage of the 4.2 million enfranchised Scottish voters who were sufficiently motivated to actually vote for independence last Thursday. I can understand people not being excited about the establishment and status quo, but dear old Mr Salmond did promise us that Scotland would vote for independence, if only it got the chance. Well, it had the chance, and Scotland didn't even come close...

Maybe they think they'll get some freebies. :)

Salmond always did talk a good fight.

Chris 03-10-2014 12:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
By way of drawing a line under this, I thought it was worth sharing just how badly Yes Scotland screwed up, by their own set of missed targets:

http://www.heraldscotland.com/politi...chest.25463342

Quote:

YES Scotland had an official target of winning 65 per cent of the vote in the referendum and was committed to raising a £24 million war chest, according to internal documents.

The group's "strategic business plan" also targeted winning the backing of five national newspapers for independence.

Barely one-fifth (£4.8m) of the £24m figure was raised for campaigning, with the bulk of the sum coming from SNP-supporting EuroMillions winners Colin and Chris Weir.

Yes also secured only 45 per cent of the vote on September 18 and only the Sunday Herald declared itself in favour of independence.
Here are the Weirs, who contributed £3 million out of the £4.8 million raised.

http://www.heraldscotland.com/sites/...9/25470157.jpg

If it hadn't been for that one single lottery win, Yes Scotland would have had almost no clout at all. We will only ever be able to guess how stunted their tell lies to the neds grassroots campaign would have been, with just £1.4 mill in the bank.

Osem 03-10-2014 13:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I hope the Weirs believe they obtained good value for their money. What do they say about fools and their money??...

The SNP obviously took a leaf out of Gordon Brown's treatise on financial realism.

Derek 07-10-2014 12:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
They aren't letting up, next is a rally in George (Freedom :rolleyes: ) Square.

Not sure about the name of the band second down on the right. :erm:

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/10/18.jpg

Still if you want to be lectured by a convicted perjurer and sex pest plus associated nobodies get yourself down there on Sunday.

Chris 07-10-2014 13:19

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35733469)
They aren't letting up, next is a rally in George (Freedom :rolleyes: ) Square.

Not sure about the name of the band second down on the right. :erm:

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/10/18.jpg

Still if you want to be lectured by a convicted perjurer and sex pest plus associated nobodies get yourself down there on Sunday.

Mmm, a good old fashioned hard left rally. I wonder how many people will turn up in the cold and the rain to get yelled at by Tommy and his pals.

Stephen 07-10-2014 13:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Lol at the band name. Hmmmm

Also what a list of speaker. I see at least two River City actors.

TheDaddy 07-10-2014 19:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35733469)
They aren't letting up, next is a rally in George (Freedom :rolleyes: ) Square. Not sure about the name of the band second down on the right. :erm: https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2014/10/18.jpg Still if you want to be lectured by a convicted perjurer and sex pest plus associated nobodies get yourself down there on Sunday.

ISIS are going :confused: let the bombing begin

Ignitionnet 07-10-2014 21:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Happier now they are ISIL to be honest. Saves confusion with people in my profession.

TheDaddy 07-10-2014 22:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35733589)
Happier now they are ISIL to be honest. Saves confusion with people in my profession.

I think we should bomb them all just to be sure, who'd have thought multiple name changes would bring about such confusion, all that technology and we're not sure who to bomb now.

Cobbydaler 15-10-2014 21:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Sturgeon to be next leader of SNP

http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-...itics-29618913

Derek 06-11-2014 11:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Predictably the Nats (Aka the losers) are going tonto about this.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-29921797

Quote:

Police are investigating a complaint about effigies of Alex Salmond which were due to have been burnt at bonfire celebrations in an English town.
The two effigies of the Scottish first minister were withdrawn from the celebrations in Lewes after a storm of protest on social media.

Osem 06-11-2014 14:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
They're outraged about something that never happened - just like the result they wanted... :rofl:

Cobbydaler 19-11-2014 15:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister

Link

007stuart 21-11-2014 21:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
David Cameron just said on TV, with regard to losing Rochester by-election

"If you don't win something, it doesn't mean you should just give up and not continue to fight for something you believe in"

Dave, remember the Referendum and how you tell us all to get back in the box and accept the result.

Double standards or what!

Pierre 21-11-2014 21:45

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
He wasn't talking about you, get back in your box.

007stuart 21-11-2014 21:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35742436)
He wasn't talking about you, get back in your box.

:p:

Chris 21-11-2014 22:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 007stuart (Post 35742433)
David Cameron just said on TV, with regard to losing Rochester by-election

"If you don't win something, it doesn't mean you should just give up and not continue to fight for something you believe in"

Dave, remember the Referendum and how you tell us all to get back in the box and accept the result.

Double standards or what!

Not really. Continuing to fight to win seats in Parliament implies acceptance of the agreed five year schedule of elections. Continuing to fight for Scotland to leave the UK, on the other hand, has no constitutional basis. All we have to go on there is the SNP's white paper, which called the 2014 referendum a once in a lifetime event, and the words of Alex Salmond, who expressed similar sentiments only a week before the vote.

Everyone who voted in Rochester understood that they were electing an MP only until next May. Everyone who voted in Scotland in September understood that they were voting in a once in a generation, if not once in a lifetime, referendum on the nation's constitutional status.

It's only the duplicitous Nats who have spent almost every day since then, trying to find excuses to wriggle out of a commitment they made when they thought they wouldn't have to honour it.

LondonRoad 21-11-2014 23:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35742446)
Not really. Continuing to fight to win seats in Parliament implies acceptance of the agreed five year schedule of elections. Continuing to fight for Scotland to leave the UK, on the other hand, has no constitutional basis. All we have to go on there is the SNP's white paper, which called the 2014 referendum a once in a lifetime event, and the words of Alex Salmond, who expressed similar sentiments only a week before the vote.
.

There once was a politician who backtracked. There once was a political party who done a 180 degree manouevre. It could happen again.

Define lifetime. Human, dog, parliament?

Mr Angry 21-11-2014 23:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Meanwhile.

"Scotland is to get a new newspaper, the National, which will be the first Scottish daily to support independence."

Chris 22-11-2014 10:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35742459)
Meanwhile.

"Newsquest is going to repackage its existing Glasgow daily output under a pro-independence masthead, to see if any of the Nats who've been boycotting the Herald since it came out for No are dull-witted enough to be taken in."

Fixed that for you. ;)

Mr Angry 22-11-2014 10:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Thanks.

Derek 03-12-2014 09:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Looks like the SNP are going back to their roots by holding public rallies that glorify the leader and burning books they don't agree with.

Quote:

A video showing SNP councillors burning a copy of the Smith Commission report on more powers for Scotland has been branded "offensive" and "disgusting".
http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-30302865

heero_yuy 03-12-2014 09:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Seems that the SNPs spending policies after independence would have been in tatters with the slump in oil prices:

Quote:

Alistair Carmichael, UK secretary of state for Scotland, said Treasury analysis showed the fall in the oil price to $82 a barrel, if maintained, would mean revenues £8.7bn lower than forecast by the Scottish government for the three years from 2016 to 2018.

The lowest oil price included in Scottish government oil revenue forecasts issued in May was $99 a barrel in 2016-17, with most of the SNP administration’s scenarios based on a price of $110.

“Had Scotland been independent today, the Scottish government would have had billions less to spend on essential public services,” Mr Carmichael said in a statement.
Linky

Osem 03-12-2014 09:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35744756)
Seems that the SNPs spending policies after independence would have been in tatters with the slump in oil prices:



Linky

That'll be down to the evil English you know... :D

Derek 03-12-2014 10:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35744756)
Seems that the SNPs spending policies after independence would have been in tatters with the slump in oil prices

Sshhhh! The oil was only ever a bonus / would have recovered by the independence date / people would have paid more coz its Scottish oil / MI5 are manipulating the markets.

There, that's all the yes camps arguments. Choose whichever one you want.

Osem 03-12-2014 13:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Just out of interest I wonder how well 'Scottish petrol' would sell if it were marketed separately and priced higher. Notwithstanding the vast amount of tax already levied on petrol, would people freely pay more in order to further support their state?

Stuart 03-12-2014 22:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35744756)
Seems that the SNPs spending policies after independence would have been in tatters with the slump in oil prices:



Linky

Quote:

“Had Scotland been independent today, the Scottish government would have had billions less to spend on essential public services,”

Indeed, and it would have had billions less at a time when it would have needed to spend extra to set up infrastructure to replace that lost when the various uk government ministries pulled out..

Chris 04-12-2014 08:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stuart (Post 35744928)
Indeed, and it would have had billions less at a time when it would have needed to spend extra to set up infrastructure to replace that lost when the various uk government ministries pulled out..

Obviously it's all a big conspiracy. Dave has called in a favour with the House of Saud, and they've flooded the market with cheap crude just to put one over the Nats.

Damien 04-12-2014 08:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35744957)
Obviously it's all a big conspiracy. Dave has called in a favour with the House of Saud, and they've flooded the market with cheap crude just to put one over the Nats.

This is actually what the Russians believe. Their economy is tanking due to the combination of Western (do you capitalise 'Western'?) sanctions and low oil prices and they believe the latter is a political decision from OPEC who aren't, yet, restricting the supply.

Chris 04-12-2014 08:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35744961)
This is actually what the Russians believe. Their economy is tanking due to the combination of Western (do you capitalise 'Western'?) sanctions and low oil prices and they believe the latter is a political decision from OPEC who aren't, yet, restricting the supply.

It would be worth your while reading this handy piece of analysis:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-30289546

What they actually seem interested in, is putting a big dent in the budgets in both Tehran and Moscow, but it's Saudi Arabia specifically, rather than the whole of Opec, that's behind it.

Maggy 18-12-2014 09:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-30525539

Quote:

The UK's oil industry is in "crisis" as prices drop, a senior industry leader has told the BBC.
Oil companies and service providers are cutting staff and investment to save money.
Robin Allan, chairman of the independent explorers' association Brindex, told the BBC that the industry was "close to collapse".
Things are looking grim..:(

Osem 18-12-2014 10:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Yes well this is the flip side of the coin - we all like to moan about fuel/energy prices but tend to forget all those companies and individuals whose livelihoods depend on them.

Wonder how well the SNP's vote would have stood up had this all happened a few months ago. Still I'm sure they have a credible 'plan B' to replace all that lost oil revenue...

Derek 18-12-2014 10:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35747490)
Things are looking grim..:(

You mean the estimate of $113 a barrel that the guessers were proclaiming was a low figure isn't happening? :dozey:

---------- Post added at 10:25 ---------- Previous post was at 10:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35747493)
Wonder how well the SNP's vote would have stood up had this all happened a few months ago.

The oil money was just a bonus... Even if it was spent 4 times over at their ridiculous estimated price.

Damien 18-12-2014 10:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35747490)

Stop the scaremongering!

Sfer 18-12-2014 11:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Of course they will leave, its just a matter of when. In order to make sure it happens with the least amount of meltdown we should decide when and how before Salmond forces it upon us.

Chris 18-12-2014 11:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35747493)
Yes well this is the flip side of the coin - we all like to moan about fuel/energy prices but tend to forget all those companies and individuals whose livelihoods depend on them.

Wonder how well the SNP's vote would have stood up had this all happened a few months ago. Still I'm sure they have a credible 'plan B' to replace all that lost oil revenue...

The UK's oil fields are a long way past the levels of production and return on investment that justified building massive industrial facilities in the middle of the sea. The only thing keeping them going is the belief that long term high sale prices for the product will enable all those rigs, helicopters and other expensive infrastructure to keep operating profitably. Only time will tell whether that belief will be borne out.

Thankfully, here in the UK we have a reasonably diverse economy in which oil accounts for 1.5% of the tax take. I pity any country where ... oooh ... 10-20% of public spending relied on it.

nashville 19-12-2014 15:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I just cannot stand the SNP. They are a disgrace to Scotland ,

weenie 19-12-2014 23:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nashville (Post 35747668)
I just cannot stand the SNP. They are a disgrace to Scotland ,

:clap: could not agree more...

Derek 12-01-2015 18:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Looks like the boost in members and possibly funds has given the SNP money to burn.

Quote:

THE SNP has agreed to provide a chauffeur-driven car for former leader Alex Salmond.

Party bosses approved the perk. It is believed to be the first time a political party has continued to pick up the tab for a vehicle after a leader has quit.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/mobile...lmond.26228718

Maybe the stories about flunkies washing and drying his hands are true after all. Can't have The dear leader mixing with the proles.

Osem 12-01-2015 18:24

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Sounds like just the sort of deal that well known working class hero Arthur Scargill might have secured for himself from the NUM...

greeninferno 13-01-2015 16:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35752219)
Looks like the boost in members and possibly funds has given the SNP money to burn.



http://www.heraldscotland.com/mobile...lmond.26228718

Maybe the stories about flunkies washing and drying his hands are true after all. Can't have The dear leader mixing with the proles.

be easier to fill the Daimler up now that the Oil prices have collapsed...

Osem 15-01-2015 17:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
True. Is anyone up there in SNP land talking about how their sums and projections are looking now?

Chris 15-01-2015 17:52

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35752871)
True. Is anyone up there in SNP land talking about how their sums and projections are looking now?

Nope. Wee Nippy has made like a Trident submarine and vanished without trace. They are keeping their heads well down and hoping everyone's too stupid to do the sums and work out what would happen to an independent Scotland's balance of payments if a situation like this occurred, with the buck stopping in Edinburgh rather than London.

Derek 15-01-2015 17:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35752871)
True. Is anyone up there in SNP land talking about how their sums and projections are looking now?

It varies between them saying the oil was only ever a bonus and wild conspiracy theories that Westminster are behind it to destroy the North Sea oil industry as revenge for the referendum.

Chris 15-01-2015 17:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35752874)
It varies between them saying the oil was only ever a bonus and wild conspiracy theories that Westminster are behind it to destroy the North Sea oil industry as revenge for the referendum.

Yes, oil is "just a bonus" but was simultaneously something they thought the UK's balance of payments couldn't do without, therefore being the final argument in favour of currency union.

Cogent, internally consistent arguments are not the Nats' forte.

Osem 15-01-2015 18:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Is anyone planning on asking the SNP what the oil price situation is doing to their sums and projections? I think I would be asking very loudly indeed but perhaps everyone's keeping their powder dry.

Chris 15-01-2015 20:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The Scottish "government" has been asked why the constant deluge of oil price projections we were treated to prior to the referendum, seems suddenly to have dried up. It has been asked if it wouldn't mind issuing a new projection, allowing for recent changes. It has declined to do so.

Osem 15-01-2015 21:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35752929)
The Scottish "government" has been asked why the constant deluge of oil price projections we were treated to prior to the referendum, seems suddenly to have dried up. It has been asked if it wouldn't mind issuing a new projection, allowing for recent changes. It has declined to do so.

Oh right. Now why would that possibly be?... :rolleyes:

Is anyone up there daring to contemplate just what the mood would be like now had Salmond and his crew got their way or is that verboten too?
Must be a whole lot of red faces up there and not due to all that Scotch...

Damien 15-01-2015 21:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35752929)
The Scottish "government" has been asked why the constant deluge of oil price projections we were treated to prior to the referendum, seems suddenly to have dried up. It has been asked if it wouldn't mind issuing a new projection, allowing for recent changes. It has declined to do so.

Do you have a link for that? (Want to gloat :D).

Seriously however this is a perfect time for Westminster to prove what we've being saying for the last year, that Scotland is better in the Union. Osbourne should head up to Aberdeen and announce the tax break that will help save some jobs and reiterate that the treasury will be on hand to help where it can.

Chris 15-01-2015 21:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35752953)
Do you have a link for that? (Want to gloat :D).

Seriously however this is a perfect time for Westminster to prove what we've being saying for the last year, that Scotland is better in the Union. Osbourne should head up to Aberdeen and announce the tax break that will help save some jobs and reiterate that the treasury will be on hand to help where it can.

Gloat away. :D

http://www.scotsman.com/news/politic...usal-1-3656632

Damien 15-01-2015 21:35

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35752939)

Is anyone up there daring to contemplate just what the mood would be like now had Salmond and his crew got their way or is that verboten too?
Must be a whole lot of red faces up there and not due to all that Scotch...

There doesn't appear to be any change. The line is now that the SNP only said oil was a 'bonus' but quite how 15% of your GDP which you're already spending is a bonus is left unanswered. They don't seem to remember how warnings that oil is a risky commodity were dismissed as scaremongering. All that scaremongering didn't quite turn out to be so unfounded.

If there was any sense then the SNP would seen a big drop in the polls as voters realise they almost sold them down a certain creek without a paddle in a ideological drive for Independence whatever the cost and whatever the risk.

Mr Angry 15-01-2015 22:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35752955)
There doesn't appear to be any change. The line is now that the SNP only said oil was a 'bonus' but quite how 15% of your GDP which you're already spending is a bonus is left unanswered. They don't seem to remember how warnings that oil is a risky commodity were dismissed as scaremongering. All that scaremongering didn't quite turn out to be so unfounded.

If there was any sense then the SNP would seen a big drop in the polls as voters realise they almost sold them down a certain creek without a paddle in a ideological drive for Independence whatever the cost and whatever the risk.

Seems it has been a line since back in July 2013.

Damien 15-01-2015 22:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35752963)
Seems it has been a line since back in July 2013.

And as I pointed out. It's rubbish. It's economic incompetence of the highest order to assume 15% of your GDP is a bonus, especially when it's already being spent.

Mr Angry 15-01-2015 22:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35752964)
And as I pointed out. It's rubbish. It's economic incompetence of the highest order to assume 15% of your GDP is a bonus, especially when it's already being spent.

Damien, did I say anywhere that it wasn't rubbish?

Chris 15-01-2015 22:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35752963)
Seems it has been a line since back in July 2013.

Correct. However that should not detract from the 40-odd years prior to that, during which it was more or less the bedrock of their case.

Mr Angry 15-01-2015 22:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35752966)
Correct. However that should not detract from the 40-odd years prior to that, during which it was more or less the bedrock of their case.

Correct. However that should not detract from the fact that the statement was made in 2013.

Chris 15-01-2015 22:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35752967)
Correct. However that should not detract from the fact that the statement was made in 2013.

It doesn't. The fact that the "oil is a bonus" line began to circulate in the summer of 2013 is indeed significant. It shows that, having campaigned for independence for 80 years, the SNP made no serious effort to look at the economics of it until after the referendum campaign had begun. The ineptitude is staggering. It is no wonder that they almost wore out the word "scaremongering" by endless repetition. They had no case. They knew they had no case. The arch-gambler, Salmond, had a worthless hand but thought he could bluff his way through it. In the end, the electorate saw through it and he was comfortably beaten.

Osem 15-01-2015 22:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Well I hope that if our Scots gambler takes a seat in Westminster he's reminded frequently of the pup he tried to sell.

Mr Angry 15-01-2015 22:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35752970)
It doesn't. The fact that the "oil is a bonus" line began to circulate in the summer of 2013 is indeed significant. It shows that, having campaigned for independence for 80 years, the SNP made no serious effort to look at the economics of it until after the referendum campaign had begun. The ineptitude is staggering. It is no wonder that they almost wore out the word "scaremongering" by endless repetition. They had no case. They knew they had no case. The arch-gambler, Salmond, had a worthless hand but thought he could bluff his way through it. In the end, the electorate saw through it and he was comfortably beaten.

No need to repeat yourself, Chris. As you say it was made in 2013 and is not a case of just "now" being the line adopted.

Chris 15-01-2015 22:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35752975)
No need to repeat yourself, Chris. As you say it was made in 2013 and is not a case of just "now" being the line adopted.

That's your (very narrow) point and you're sticking to it. ;). Fair dos. It does, however, miss the broader, more important point. The SNPs case was based on oil right up to the point where they actually did some sums, at which point we were treated to two years of obfuscation, bluster and sleight of hand. Some were taken in by it. Most weren't. Now, world events have shone a spotlight on the issue.

Mr Angry 15-01-2015 23:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35752977)
That's your (very narrow) point and you're sticking to it. ;). Fair dos. It does, however, miss the broader, more important point. The SNPs case was based on oil right up to the point where they actually did some sums, at which point we were treated to two years of obfuscation, bluster and sleight of hand. Some were taken in by it. Most weren't. Now, world events have shone a spotlight on the issue.

Quite, Chris. Again, no need to repeat yourself, I don't dispute your version of events. I felt it was important to establish the facts as to when the comment was apparently first reported.

In saying that I've no wish to get in the way of or impede grown adults wanting to "gloat" over or take particular delight from a fallible human being, or group thereof, failing to accurately predict world events.

Carry on.;)

Derek 10-08-2015 17:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The SNP don't provide you with enough financial nonsense and anti-English veiled racism for you?

Well you're in luck as a new pro-independence party is being set up to capitalse on the ongoing mass hysteria up here.

http://www.buzzfeed.com/jamieross/de...np#.cmRkznQY20

Quote:

The Scottish Independence party, known as SIP, was created last week after it was revealed that the SNP has no current plans to discuss independence or a second referendum at its conference in October.

Hugh 10-08-2015 17:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Splitters!

Chris 11-08-2015 20:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Didn't see that coming :dozey:

With any luck, the People's Front of Judea will nick a few votes off the Judean People's Front, and dent Sturgeon's chances of retaining control next year.

Kursk 11-08-2015 21:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35793091)
Didn't see that coming :dozey:

With any luck, the People's Front of Judea will nick a few votes off the Judean People's Front, and dent Sturgeon's chances of retaining control next year.

Heh :D. Not if the SXP get their way (the SXP is my new 'sexy' Scottish Party).

Osem 23-08-2015 21:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Has anyone asked the SNP's about what the state of their economy would be now with Brent Crude trading at $45 a barrel? I dare say it's questions like that which they and their supporters don't want asked.

Kursk 24-08-2015 00:20

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35794872)
Has anyone asked the SNP's about what the state of their economy would be now with Brent Crude trading at $45 a barrel? I dare say it's questions like that which they and their supporters don't want asked.

When you say 'supporters' do you mean the majority of the Scottish electorate? It's just that anyone wishing to preserve the Union might consider it unwise to belittle their choice of representation for the sake of a question best left (known but) unsaid.

Chris 24-08-2015 12:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35794897)
When you say 'supporters' do you mean the majority of the Scottish electorate? It's just that anyone wishing to preserve the Union might consider it unwise to belittle their choice of representation for the sake of a question best left (known but) unsaid.

When he says supporters, I suspect he means (at most), the exactly half of those who voted in the 2015 general election, that being the most recent electoral test they have faced.

Note the difference between those who vote, and the electorate as a whole. 35.5% of the electorate supported the SNP at the general election - that's 50% of voters on a 71% turnout.

And, by the way, we had all those dire threats last year, about how unionists had better shut up, or else every time they open their mouth the Yes vote will get bigger.

How did that work out, does anyone remember?

Osem 24-08-2015 13:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35794940)
When he says supporters, I suspect he means (at most), the exactly half of those who voted in the 2015 general election, that being the most recent electoral test they have faced.

Note the difference between those who vote, and the electorate as a whole. 35.5% of the electorate supported the SNP at the general election - that's 50% of voters on a 71% turnout.

And, by the way, we had all those dire threats last year, about how unionists had better shut up, or else every time they open their mouth the Yes vote will get bigger.

How did that work out, does anyone remember?

Yes I did mean those who voted for Salmond's nonsense. :)

Maybe those who naively voted SNP (whatever proportion that was) believing their Greek style economic projections have had time to consider their very good fortune that the referendum went the 'wrong' way. Had it not done so they'd be well and truly up a certain creek without a paddle. As for leaving such questions unsaid, why? Those fine proud Scots ought to be man enough to admit their good fortune or do the other thing and carry on regardless. They're great at dishing out the 'auld enemy' guff when things are going pear shaped so maybe a taste of reality on their own would have been good for them. I think the SNP's leadership needs to be shown up for what it is and if that makes more Scots vote for them so be it. Let them have their way or shut up.

Kursk 24-08-2015 15:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35794940)
Note the difference between those who vote, and the electorate as a whole.

In any election only those that bother to vote matter so supporters are the active electorate.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35794945)
Let them have their way or shut up.

Or, let them eat cake. It seems that pomposity remains a virtue.

Chris 24-08-2015 21:40

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35794968)
In any election only those that bother to vote matter so supporters are the active electorate.



Or, let them eat cake. It seems that pomposity remains a virtue.

Stop squirming. There is an electorate and there is a turnout. Simple as. Inventing phrases like "active electorate" after the fact is pretty poor as a fig leaf for not understanding the difference between winning an election, and the general level of support within the electorate for one particular policy.

The SNP has, at best, the support of around one-third of adults in Scotland. Not that it's relevant to the point Osem was making. You don't get to dish out threats about what might happen if unionists speak out of turn. That's the rather ugly face of nationalism in Scotland - the same face that mounted regular, intimidatory demonstrations outside BBC Scotland throughout the summer of 2014 while claiming it was just some sort of great big democratic jamboree.

To make the point for the nth time: separatism picked a fight and lost. Everyone, beyond the slightly unhinged hardcore of the nationalism movement, knows this. Even wee nippy Sturgeon knows this. There isn't going to be another referendum any time soon. It's over. Finito. And that being the case, the SNP is now simply a left of centre alternative to the Labour party, which is currently in such a bad state it can't even win elections in Scotland.

The SNP may well take every constituency in Holyrood next year, but it doesn't mean we've suddenly all gone Braveheart.

Kursk 25-08-2015 00:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35795028)
Stop squirming. There is an electorate and there is a turnout. Simple as. Inventing phrases like "active electorate" after the fact is pretty poor as a fig leaf for not understanding the difference between winning an election, and the general level of support within the electorate for one particular policy.

The SNP has, at best, the support of around one-third of adults in Scotland. Not that it's relevant to the point Osem was making. You don't get to dish out threats about what might happen if unionists speak out of turn. That's the rather ugly face of nationalism in Scotland - the same face that mounted regular, intimidatory demonstrations outside BBC Scotland throughout the summer of 2014 while claiming it was just some sort of great big democratic jamboree.

To make the point for the nth time: separatism picked a fight and lost. Everyone, beyond the slightly unhinged hardcore of the nationalism movement, knows this. Even wee nippy Sturgeon knows this. There isn't going to be another referendum any time soon. It's over. Finito. And that being the case, the SNP is now simply a left of centre alternative to the Labour party, which is currently in such a bad state it can't even win elections in Scotland.

The SNP may well take every constituency in Holyrood next year, but it doesn't mean we've suddenly all gone Braveheart.

A bit superfluous. My point is that there is no value in a we-told-you-we-were-right-and-you-were-wrong attitude. I'm sure the Scots are politically adept enough to come to their own conclusions.

Russ 25-08-2015 06:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35795043)
A bit superfluous. My point is that there is no value in a we-told-you-we-were-right-and-you-were-wrong attitude.

Not even when the "we" clearly were right and the "you" were wrong yet the "you" carry on with their fingers in their ears going "LALALALALA I can't hear you"?

Kursk 25-08-2015 09:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 35795053)
Not even when the "we" clearly were right and the "you" were wrong yet the "you" carry on with their fingers in their ears going "LALALALALA I can't hear you"?

Not my best analogy but you illustrate the problem of the wrong 'teacher'; pupils don't listen.

Chris 25-08-2015 19:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35795043)
A bit superfluous. My point is that there is no value in a we-told-you-we-were-right-and-you-were-wrong attitude. I'm sure the Scots are politically adept enough to come to their own conclusions.

It would have been superfluous if you had actually said there was no value in a we-told-you-so attitude ... but you didn't. What you actually said was, "anyone wishing to preserve the Union might consider it unwise to belittle their choice of representation for the sake of a question best left (known but) unsaid".

There seems to me to be a very clear difference between "no value" and "unwise". Just to assuage any possible doubt, you also suggested it was "best left ... unsaid", hence my earlier post. There was far too much of this from the Yessers last year, either trying to stop no campaigners saying anything at all, or else making fanciful claims that anything said in support of "no" would inevitably increase support for "yes".

It was gash then, and it's gash now.

Kursk 25-08-2015 22:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35795167)
It would have been superfluous if you had actually said there was no value in a we-told-you-so attitude ... but you didn't. What you actually said was, "anyone wishing to preserve the Union might consider it unwise to belittle their choice of representation for the sake of a question best left (known but) unsaid".

There seems to me to be a very clear difference between "no value" and "unwise". Just to assuage any possible doubt, you also suggested it was "best left ... unsaid", hence my earlier post. There was far too much of this from the Yessers last year, either trying to stop no campaigners saying anything at all, or else making fanciful claims that anything said in support of "no" would inevitably increase support for "yes".

It was gash then, and it's gash now.

Well I think my PoV is clear in the course of the fuller exchange. I hadn't expected each word to be dissected; you flatter me;).

I seem to be more diplomatic in my views as regards Scotland. Perhaps because I regard myself as British rather than Eng/Scot/Welsh/Irish.

Chris 26-08-2015 10:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
FWIW I didn't think you were aiming to issue dire threats towards "unionists" - but I think a lot of political debate in Scotland has become infected with the assumptions and the assertions of the Yes campaign, and I believe we need to be careful, in all our discussions, of which premises we're implicitly accepting.

A lot of the Yes campaign came straight out of the hard left playbook, and sought to make the No campaign untenable by making much of its argument effectively "unsayable". As we speak, for example, there are assorted trolls and idiots all over Facebook and the comment sections of various newspapers, trying to shut down any criticism of the SNP on precisely the same (erroneous) premise you based your comments on the other day, namely that you shouldn't criticise the SNP because so many Scottish people think they're great, that criticising them is basically un-Scottish.

It's essential always to look beyond the headlines. The SNP "government" in Edinburgh and its MPs in Westminster have legitimacy as a result of the democratic system that put them there. That is not at all the same thing as saying that most Scottish adults support them, nor is it the same thing as saying that most Scottish adults now want independence.

Kursk 26-08-2015 21:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I seem to be a victim of circumstances of my own making.

My initial comment was made in passing with no intent or agenda and, if I'm honest, with very little thought. I have not discussed or read anything Facebook trolls might be saying about the Yes Campaign or the SNP (I don't use Facebook or Twitter) but I can understand how my comment might have appeared (coincidentally) associated with that line of criticism.

In truth, the issue is not one I feel any passion whatsoever about except to repeat that I prefer the Union; the intention was simply to enjoy chewing the fat with the regulars here on a subject that doesn't much motivate me, and on which I was quite happy to be shot down.

It just goes to show that without body language and face to face contact, communication is fraught with traps.

Chris 26-08-2015 21:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It's the unspoken assumptions that lie behind passing comments that I find so interesting ... Sorry if I come across as beating up on you, it's not my intention. I like chewin' the fat too. ;)

Kursk 26-08-2015 22:57

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35795310)
Sorry if I come across as beating up on you, it's not my intention.

I know that's not your style Chris.

Besides, even I know a good beating up is what I sometimes deserve :)

Derek 27-08-2015 11:34

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The fishwife doesn't like the BBC, presumably because asking the dear leader questions and expecting answers is anti-Scottish.

Quote:

Nicola Sturgeon will call for the BBC in Scotland to have more power, more money and its own TV channel, when she addresses the Edinburgh TV Festival.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-34070202

Osem 27-08-2015 15:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35795354)
The fishwife doesn't like the BBC, presumably because asking the dear leader questions and expecting answers is anti-Scottish.



http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-34070202

Well as we've seen at Westminster, they rather like asking questions but aren't quite so keen on answering them. Their economic projections were pure fantasy, their plan has backfired and they're being shown up for what they are.

Chris 27-08-2015 16:26

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Regardless of anything the Natz might say, BBC Scotland is already *extremely* accommodating to their demands. Plus, missus and I are acquainted with more than a couple of people who work at Pacific Quay, and I can tell you for a fact there are plenty of Yessers in positions of influence in there already.

This is less about strengthening BBC Scotland per se, than it is weakening its ties with the rest of the organisation, especially its top management and senior journalists in London. The stooshie over Nick Robinson came about because, up until that point, the BBC's coverage of the referendum had been supplied and managed almost entirely out of Pacific Quay, but as the day drew near, the likes of Bumbling Brian Taylor and the insipid Glenn Campbell (who allowed Salmond and the nats in his audience to walk all over him in the second TV debate with Alistair Darling) became sidelined in favour of strong, experienced, unflappable journos from outside the Holyrood bubble. In other words, people who didn't owe the Natz any favours, had no need to keep them sweet, and were free to tell it as it was.

It is difficult to understate just how much the nationalists hated having journalists on the story that they couldn't bully, influence or otherwise control. After they lost the vote, they even took to barring certain London-based newspapers from their press conferences.

The SNP is a nasty, spiteful, authoritarian hate-fest, and it thinks it can control BBC Scotland if BBC Scotland can be relieved of the inconvenient reporting lines that lead up to offices it can't control.

Maggy 13-09-2015 12:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-34234024

Quote:

The SNP will set out the timescale for a possible second referendum on independence in its manifesto for next year's Scottish Parliament election.
But First Minister Nicola Sturgeon said she would only hold another referendum if she was confident she would win.
Opposition parties accused Ms Sturgeon of breaking her "once-in-a-generation" referendum promise.
Well anyone is surprised?

Ignitionnet 13-09-2015 13:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Splendid. Please could we do this as soon as feasible in the hope that this time it's a yes?

Then we can have a CF sweepstake on how many years it is before Scotland tries to rejoin the union as its finances are in dire straits.

Chris 13-09-2015 16:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Poor wee nippy is trying to walk a tightrope between those in the party that actually have the intelligence to realise that holding another referendum too soon (which they would lose, because the fundamentals haven't changed), would destroy any chance of them getting independence this century, and those who have joined the party in the last 12 months, aren't very clever, and who are demanding "indyref 2" as soon as possible.

If she's not careful, she'll split the party, or at least give some of the ultras the pretext to abandon the SNP and mount a credible challenge at the elections next year.

OLD BOY 13-09-2015 18:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35797846)

Frankly, I hope they do leave the UK. At least we won't have any more incompetent Labour governments to worry about!

AndyCambs 13-09-2015 19:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Me too. They need to create a central bank too, since Bank of Scotland and Royal Bank of Scotland are both owned by NatWest and Lloyds respectively. Not to mention convert to the Euro, accept migrants...

Osem 13-09-2015 19:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35797862)
Poor wee nippy is trying to walk a tightrope between those in the party that actually have the intelligence to realise that holding another referendum too soon (which they would lose, because the fundamentals haven't changed), would destroy any chance of them getting independence this century, and those who have joined the party in the last 12 months, aren't very clever, and who are demanding "indyref 2" as soon as possible.

If she's not careful, she'll split the party, or at least give some of the ultras the pretext to abandon the SNP and mount a credible challenge at the elections next year.

Maybe they could be called the Provisional SNP...

TheDaddy 15-09-2015 19:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35797885)
Frankly, I hope they do leave the UK. At least we won't have any more incompetent Labour governments to worry about!

Has the Scottish vote ever held the balance between Labour getting in or not, I don't think it has

Hugh 15-09-2015 21:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
1964 and February 1974.

TheDaddy 15-09-2015 23:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35798255)
1964 and February 1974.

Or to put it another way

http://wingsoverscotland.com/why-lab...need-scotland/

nashville 16-09-2015 05:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I do not want independence, the SNP are a " Do as your told bunch". We would have no say and be dictated too. We will always be stronger together and fight together for our rights. Much as I love Scotland we could never go it alone,

Chris 16-09-2015 10:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35798270)

Ah, the "Reverend" Stu. :nutter:

OLD BOY 16-09-2015 10:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35798270)

Thank you for sending this attachment, that does put a different perspective to it, which appears to have been misreported elsewhere.

In which case, I change my view, which is that as an English person, I don't care one way or the other if the Scots get independence.

However, as a human being, I would feel for future generations of Scots, who would be saddled with the debts and economic mess generally that would arise from any decision to become independent of the UK.

It seems to me that the SNP are an economically illiterate bunch who simply haven't paid attention to where the money will come from to fulfill their inflated expenditure plans. In addition to that, their policies would drive big business away, leaving the less well off even worse off. Unemployment would rocket and there would be precious little money to spend on welfare.

They just don't get it.

Derek 16-09-2015 10:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35798314)
Ah, the "Reverend" Stu. :nutter:

I don't think one loonball smilie truly reflects him.

From lying about his name, being committed to the cause from his home in err England and thinking 9/11 was a great laugh he is the uber-cybernat.

Still he's conned persuaded the yes camp to fund him tithe tune of £100,000 for sitting in his pants churning out lies and misinformation from his bedroom.

Ignitionnet 18-09-2015 09:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Scotland's first minister is to argue that Prime Minister David Cameron is "living on borrowed time" as he seeks to prevent Scotland leaving the UK.

Nicola Sturgeon will make the claim in a speech to mark the first anniversary of the independence referendum.
:nutter:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-34283944

Derek 18-09-2015 09:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Seeing you've made a rip roaring *bleep* of every power you already have and people are finally noticing what makes you think another fairytale white paper will make people vote for separation next time.


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