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Horizon 05-02-2020 12:31

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024304)
If the perfidious Varadkar loses the Irish election this week,
then our future relationship with the EU might have been done a favour.

Not if what replaces him is a representative of the political wing of the IRA. That will just open one hell of a can of worms.

Chris 05-02-2020 13:52

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Horizon (Post 36024337)
Not if what replaces him is a representative of the political wing of the IRA. That will just open one hell of a can of worms.

Ireland has a proportional voting system, and neither of the two main parties there will go into coalition with Sinn Féin. There isn’t going to be an IRA-sympathising Taoiseach.

Hugh 05-02-2020 16:33

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024330)
In a move I’m sure will be welcomed by those remainers who insisted it would be difficult to achieve, the UK has taken its independent seat at the WTO just days after leaving the EU.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/uk/12...ite-lizz-truss

I welcome it, but don't remember anyone saying it would be difficult to achieve - considering the WTO has 164 members, not sure what, if any, the problem was supposed to be?

The UK has been a member of the WTO since 1995, anyway, it's just we were dealt with as part of the EU...

Pierre 05-02-2020 21:24

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024343)
The UK has been a member of the WTO since 1995, anyway, it's just we were dealt with as part of the EU...

True, but has been represented by the EU, and voted and debated on what is best for the EU, not necessarily what is best for the UK.

Sephiroth 05-02-2020 22:09

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36024353)
True, but has been represented by the EU, and voted and debated on what is best for the EU, not necessarily what is best for the UK.

...which is one of the reasons that the Referendum went Leave’s way.

papa smurf 06-02-2020 16:38

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Brexit LIVE: EU on alert as report warns of bankruptcies across bloc - Ireland at risk:shocked:


OOh heck :shocked:

THE EU is on alert after an economic report warned economies in the bloc will suffer because of Brexit, with bankruptcies anticipated in Ireland, Belgium and the Netherlands.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...-single-market

pip08456 06-02-2020 16:54

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36024387)
Brexit LIVE: EU on alert as report warns of bankruptcies across bloc - Ireland at risk:shocked:


OOh heck :shocked:

THE EU is on alert after an economic report warned economies in the bloc will suffer because of Brexit, with bankruptcies anticipated in Ireland, Belgium and the Netherlands.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...-single-market

But wait! We need the EU more than they need us, at least that's what remainers kept telling us.

mrmistoffelees 06-02-2020 17:39

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36024388)
But wait! We need the EU more than they need us, at least that's what remainers kept telling us.

Yet oddly, when bankruptcies have or were predicted on the UK side A proportion people simply discarded them as 'Project Fear'

I suspect the truth lies that to a degree the EU needs us, and we will need the EU. To what degree that is?

There's a lot of political willy waving (or Sabre rattling if you prefer) ongoing at the moment, from both sides. Hopefully it will calm down.

papa smurf 06-02-2020 18:15

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36024394)
Yet oddly, when bankruptcies have or were predicted on the UK side A proportion people simply discarded them as 'Project Fear'

I suspect the truth lies that to a degree the EU needs us, and we will need the EU. To what degree that is?

There's a lot of political willy waving (or Sabre rattling if you prefer) ongoing at the moment, from both sides. Hopefully it will calm down.

And they still owe us ww3 and a starving population:(

Sephiroth 06-02-2020 18:20

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36024394)
Yet oddly, when bankruptcies have or were predicted on the UK side A proportion people simply discarded them as 'Project Fear'

I suspect the truth lies that to a degree the EU needs us, and we will need the EU. To what degree that is?

There's a lot of political willy waving (or Sabre rattling if you prefer) ongoing at the moment, from both sides. Hopefully it will calm down

That’s quite a sane analysis.

On the other hand, if, like me, you are on the sovereignty line of reasoning, those two possibilities (mutual need) cancel out.

Hugh 06-02-2020 18:48

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024398)
That’s quite a sane analysis.

On the other hand, if, like me, you are on the sovereignty line of reasoning, those two possibilities (mutual need) cancel out.

If I remember correctly, you weren’t very happy when Parliamentary Sovereignty* was happening...

*In the U.K., we have the idea of parliamentary sovereignty, which holds that Parliament is the highest source of authority to make/amend laws without restriction.

Chris 06-02-2020 18:54

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024401)
If I remember correctly, you weren’t very happy when Parliamentary Sovereignty* was happening...

*In the U.K., we have the idea of parliamentary sovereignty, which holds that Parliament is the highest source of authority to make/amend laws without restriction.

As has been explained, more than once in this thread, the leavers’ problem with parliament’s behaviour was that it was using its sovereignty to defy the expressed will of the electorate. That is a novel problem in our system because we don’t typically settle issues via referendums, but we did in this case, and that referendum was authorised by Parliament and conducted on the understanding, of both sides, that the outcome would be respected.

Hugh 06-02-2020 18:58

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024404)
As has been explained, more than once in this thread, the leavers’ problem with parliament’s behaviour was that it was using its sovereignty to defy the expressed will of the electorate. That is a novel problem in our system because we don’t typically settle issues via referendums, but we did in this case, and that referendum was authorised by Parliament and conducted on the understanding, of both sides, that the outcome would be respected.

And there we’ll have to agree to disagree - we either have Parliamentary Sovereignty, even if we disagree with how our Sovereign Parliament utilises it, or we don’t...

Pierre 06-02-2020 19:09

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
If Nathalie Loiseau reflects EU thinking then we will leave in December with no deal.........

Typical 1 way traffic from the EU that think the smart way to negotiate is to dictate terms.

It also seems the “Level playing field” is also a 1 way direction.

This is just a clip but seek out the whole interview.

https://youtu.be/vLPNB_HBCeM

---------- Post added at 19:09 ---------- Previous post was at 19:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024405)
And there we’ll have to agree to disagree - we either have Parliamentary Sovereignty, even if we disagree with how our Sovereign Parliament utilises it, or we don’t...

That like saying I don’t like how Stalin operates, but he is in charge so ....................

Chris 06-02-2020 19:50

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024405)
And there we’ll have to agree to disagree - we either have Parliamentary Sovereignty, even if we disagree with how our Sovereign Parliament utilises it, or we don’t...

The British constitution has never been that binary, or so unyielding, as I’m sure you’re aware. Being unwritten, it is both stable and also flexible. Parliament called its own sovereignty into question by authorising such a referendum.

The constitutional understanding of parliamentary sovereignty has changed before and can change again - I would much rather parliament had not caused it to be challenged in this way, but they did, and now the question of where parliament’s sovereignty ultimately arises from, and how long parliament can go on frustrating the clearly expressed will of the electorate, remains open. It might just make our next constitutional crisis that much harder to resolve.

roughbeast 06-02-2020 20:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36010269)
That might well be the case as it might be all bluff.

Are we talking about Cummings or Johnson here? I'm not sure the latter has a clue, given his public performance when asked about the nitty gritty of Brexit.

---------- Post added at 20:58 ---------- Previous post was at 20:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024404)
As has been explained, more than once in this thread, the leavers’ problem with parliament’s behaviour was that it was using its sovereignty to defy the expressed will of the electorate. That is a novel problem in our system because we don’t typically settle issues via referendums, but we did in this case, and that referendum was authorised by Parliament and conducted on the understanding, of both sides, that the outcome would be respected.

On the contrary, the two main Parliamentary parties did their best to comply with the will of the people. We have seen three years of classic parliamentary democracy in action.

The Tories initially conducted negotiations around May's red lines and then via Johnson, who pragmatically dropped the Irish Sea border red line. Labour promoted a customs union Brexit, consistently voting down anything that could not achieve that without another year of trade negotiations. They sought to confirm that choice with the electorate by having a confirmatory referendum.

Frankly, the difficulty for Parliament was that the binary referendum gave them no clue what the people really wanted. They were handed an insoluble conundrum. In 2016 the Leave campaign had dangled all kinds of Brexit in front of the electorate, from No Deal to being full members of the EEA. Farage famously recommended the Norway solution, but later denied it. The upshot of this was that those who voted for Brexit, voted with different models of Brexit in mind.

Throughout the following three years different political factions on the Leave side were able to promote different versions, but in the end No Deal zealots, on the back of Johnson's political ambitions, have won through. They have a virtual guarantee of No Deal in twelve months time, if they choose it, thus completely ignoring polls showing that most of us don't want No Deal and ignoring the fact that parties that wanted a confirmatory referendum collectively accrued more votes than those who promoted Brexit.

Sephiroth 06-02-2020 22:10

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024401)
If I remember correctly, you weren’t very happy when Parliamentary Sovereignty* was happening...

*In the U.K., we have the idea of parliamentary sovereignty, which holds that Parliament is the highest source of authority to make/amend laws without restriction.

Oh dear (again). You take a very shallow view. “Parliamentary sovereignty” as you put it was actually a disregard for real sovereignty, the majority decision embodied in the Referendum result. The parliamentary behaviour was nothing short of disgraceful and that you seem to side with this says little good about your position.

roughbeast 06-02-2020 22:23

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024416)
Oh dear (again). You take a very shallow view. “Parliamentary sovereignty” as you put it was actually a disregard for real sovereignty, the majority decision embodied in the Referendum result. The parliamentary behaviour was nothing short of disgraceful and that you seem to side with this says little good about your position.

Look up the word 'sovereignty' and you will see that it is always defined in terms of the state, not in terms of a small or large majority of the electorate.

Hugh 07-02-2020 00:03

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024416)
Oh dear (again). You take a very shallow view. “Parliamentary sovereignty” as you put it was actually a disregard for real sovereignty, the majority decision embodied in the Referendum result. The parliamentary behaviour was nothing short of disgraceful and that you seem to side with this says little good about your position.

You always have to resort to emotional ad hominem personal attacks, rather than debating the point - what does that say about you and your position?

Sephiroth 07-02-2020 13:58

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 36024419)
Look up the word 'sovereignty' and you will see that it is always defined in terms of the state, not in terms of a small or large majority of the electorate.

First, what is the State if not its people, the majority of which did not intend Parliament to misuse its sovereignty?

Second, what is your actual point? Support for the parliamentary games? Or just catching me out. I respect the latter!




---------- Post added at 13:58 ---------- Previous post was at 13:56 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 36024419)
Look up the word 'sovereignty' and you will see that it is always defined in terms of the state, not in terms of a small or large majority of the electorate.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024421)
You always have to resort to emotional ad hominem personal attacks, rather than debating the point - what does that say about you and your position?

Not always. I’ve cogently argued many timed and you’ve even kudo’d me once at least. What I’m doing here is resist your irritable prodding.

roughbeast 07-02-2020 15:06

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
[/COLOR][QUOTE=Sephiroth;36024424]First, what is the State if not its people, the majority of which did not intend Parliament to misuse its sovereignty?

Second, what is your actual point? Support for the parliamentary games? Or just catching me out. I respect the latter!






A state is a nation or territory considered as an organised political community under one government. The people are an essential element of a state, but they are not synonymous with it.

Parliamentary sovereignty is a description of to what extent the Parliament of the United Kingdom does have absolute and unlimited power. The European Union Referendum Act 2015, approved on 14th December 2015, made legal provision for a consultative referendum to be held in the United Kingdom and Gibraltar, on whether it should remain a member state of the European Union or leave it. Parliament in so doing did not peel off some of its sovereignty and hand it to the people. This was a consultative referendum, that did not oblige the sitting government or Parliament to take that expressed public opinion through into legislation. Political reality and rash promises by some members of government, made it difficult to ignore public opinion, but Parliamentary sovereignty remained supreme. Parliament could decide whether to carry out the wishes of the 52% or not. Parliament decided to do so, when it voted to trigger Article 50, mostly because those parties who supported Remain were wary of consequences, come the next general election. As it happens, they should not have been afraid because public opinion has been at least 53% in favour of Remain for the last 18 months. If Parliament had held its nerve and voted against the trigger, history could have been so different.

Interestingly, if the referendum had been binding, and parliamentary sovereignty had been put out on loan to the people sic, the Electoral Commission has already announced that it would have had the power to nullify the result because of the industrial levels of electoral fraud by the leave campaign. As it is, it could only heavily fine the culprits. But, that is another story.

As for the conduct of Parliament, I stand by my view that the shadow government did not try to thwart the referendum result. Corbyn was adamant that we should try to leave with a customs union arrangement. Internal politics and the threat that Remainers might cease to support Labour, forced him to concede a confirmatory and binding referendum. This backfired, because Leave supporter's views had hardened in the direction of a No Deal Brexit. They wanted Brexit done, even though a Labour government on 13th December 2019 would have given business the certainty it needed to trade with the EU as before, i.e. frictionless trade, zero tariffs and JIT components and food stuffs.

The conduct of Parliament during this time was not a pretty sight, but it was parliamentary democracy as we have become accustomed to. Unfortunately, with the current model of political parties competing for power, policies and high principle often get brushed aside. Tory Remainers and Labour Leavers often voted against their conscience to tow the party line. Power became more important than principle. We can probably both agree that that is disgusting.

Ironically, we have just left a parliament, with its jurisdiction now 20 miles away from our coast, that has no party system and which more often than not votes purely on the merits of legislation. Now that is what parliamentary democracy should be like. Also ironic, is the fact that until the Tories came to power in 2010, the UK had voted for legislation that gained approval, 95% of the time. We made the EU what it is.

Sephiroth 07-02-2020 20:46

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
I think that where we differ is that you have tightly bound the term "sovereignty" to the narrower concept of Parliamentary sovereignty, backing that up with the correct statement that our Parliament has unbounded power in the political sense.

Whereas I take the fuzzier view that people who wanted our sovereignty back did not consider that Parliament would exercise its sovereignty in such an antidemocratic way. Voters were well aware of Cameron's commitment to executing the Referendum result and had no idea that this commitment would be subverted by the use of parliamentary sovereignty.

The general election cured the problem of parliamentary democracy and misuse of parliamentary sovereignty.

I suspect that we are still Leaver vs Remainer in this semantic debate.


Mr K 07-02-2020 20:47

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a9324086.html
Quote:

Boris Johnson's decision to give Chinese tech giant Huawei a role in the UK’s 5G telecoms network could block the way to a post-Brexit trade deal with the US, vice-president Mike Pence has said...
Now there's a surprise ! Appears we're an irrelevance after all.. We've been played big time by both Trump and Putin. Welcome to the Third World, UK.

1andrew1 08-02-2020 08:32

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024454)
I suspect that we are still Leaver vs Remainer in this semantic debate.

I think the debate is around the tension between delegated democracy ie Parliament and the Lords and direct democracy ie the referendum. The latter is an integral part of democracies like Switzerland but the UK does not have a long tradition in this area.

roughbeast 08-02-2020 08:51

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36024464)
I think the debate is around the tension between delegated democracy ie Parliament and the Lords and direct democracy ie the referendum. The latter is an integral part of democracies like Switzerland but the UK does not have a long tradition in this area.

Which, no doubt, is why we made such a mess of it. The Austrians, who are also referendum experts, warned us against a binary referendum. They told us that this would lead the leave side attempting to be all things to all people. dangling less radical forms of Brexit in front of the voter. By golly we certainly saw that!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kgAPwqhoHo

The referendum was a travesty of democracy for the reason I gave above, but also for the way the Leave campaign deployed untruths to catch the wavering voter. The £350 million per week lie was one of many. Cummings has acknowledged that the lie on a bus won the referendum. Even today, 30% of Leavers believe the lie is true. The way the Remain campaign deployed expert analysis of the full range of possible outcomes of the full range of possible Brexit styles cannot be compared with the Leave campaign's distortion of reality appealing to our natural xenophobia with its declaration that we were being ruled by a bunch of foreigners in Brussels. Remain campaigners didn't deliver a dangerous appeal to racists and Islamaphobes. Farage was happy to tell us that our membership of the EU would lead to 70 million Turks and male Muslim refugees coming over here, armed with Kalashnikov rifles and raping our women and girls. Farage told us how Norway's rape incidents were far higher than ours and blamed Norway's acceptance of large numbers of refugees for it. He completely ignored the fact that Norway was a much broader definition of rape, as Assange learned to his cost.

Here we see Farage's photoshopped image of refugees, which wasn't even taken in the place he said it was. https://www.google.com/search?q=brea...mgZr4VoXzHxmjM

Democracy only works if the people have all the facts in front of them. We failed to provide them that. The way the referendum was conceived and deployed failed to deliver a democratic process up to the day of the binary referendum vote, leaving Parliament an angrily divided nation and no clue as to what kind of Brexit voters wanted. The following three years reflected that impossible conundrum. Parliamentary democracy didn't fail. Direct democracy failed.


NB delegated democracy? Representative democracy surely.

Sephiroth 08-02-2020 10:00

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36024464)
I think the debate is around the tension between delegated democracy ie Parliament and the Lords and direct democracy ie the referendum. The latter is an integral part of democracies like Switzerland but the UK does not have a long tradition in this area.

I’m quite certain that the sovereignty discussion was of a leaver/Remainer flavour. Both sides correct and neither accepting the other’s total view on what sovereignty entails.

You have just rekindled the representative vs direct democracy debate, which touches sovereignty particularly when parliamentary sovereignty pokes two fingers up to direct democracy.

I would have thought that Brexit has introduced a tradition that the people are worth consulting and that ruling elites should be so guided.




---------- Post added at 09:56 ---------- Previous post was at 09:47 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 36024465)
<SNIP>

Democracy only works if the people have all the facts in front of them. We failed to provide them that. The way the referendum was conceived and deployed failed to deliver a democratic process up to the day of the binary referendum vote, leaving Parliament an angrily divided nation and no clue as to what kind of Brexit voters wanted. The following three years reflected that impossible conundrum. Parliamentary democracy didn't fail. Direct democracy failed.

That is a terrible thing to say. Your preceding paragraphs sought to justify that binary referenda are a folly. No they are not - avoiding them would be a patent display of government dodging an issue that needs to be put to the people.

‘Parliamentary democracy’ never occurred back then; only ‘parliamentary sovereignty’ happened. If you can’t see that then I’m worried.

As to buses and lies, both sides exaggerated their claims. Well after all that was exposed, the GE settled matters; the people had not been deceived.




---------- Post added at 10:00 ---------- Previous post was at 09:56 ----------

..... and btw, I am a Gina Miller fan. Everyone has the right to challenge government power in the courts.

papa smurf 08-02-2020 10:30

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024466)
I’m quite certain that the sovereignty discussion was of a leaver/Remainer flavour. Both sides correct and neither accepting the other’s total view on what sovereignty entails.

You have just rekindled the representative vs direct democracy debate, which touches sovereignty particularly when parliamentary sovereignty pokes two fingers up to direct democracy.

I would have thought that Brexit has introduced a tradition that the people are worth consulting and that ruling elites should be so guided.




---------- Post added at 09:56 ---------- Previous post was at 09:47 ----------



That is a terrible thing to say. Your preceding paragraphs sought to justify that binary referenda are a folly. No they are not - avoiding them would be a patent display of government dodging an issue that needs to be put to the people.

‘Parliamentary democracy’ never occurred back then; only ‘parliamentary sovereignty’ happened. If you can’t see that then I’m worried.

As to buses and lies, both sides exaggerated their claims. Well after all that was exposed, the GE settled matters; the people had not been deceived.




---------- Post added at 10:00 ---------- Previous post was at 09:56 ----------

..... and btw, I am a Gina Miller fan. Everyone has the right to challenge government power in the courts.

If only she was trying to do that,in reality she was trying to stop brexit out of her own self interest.
Any hoo all the remainers treachery/ back stabbing /lies and scheming got them no where and democracy won the day albeit 3.5 years late.

Sephiroth 08-02-2020 12:39

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
On Gina Miller, everyone has the right to do what she did if she considered the guvmin to be acting unlawfully.

roughbeast 08-02-2020 15:15

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36024470)
If only she was trying to do that,in reality she was trying to stop brexit out of her own self interest.
Any hoo all the remainers treachery/ back stabbing /lies and scheming got them no where and democracy won the day albeit 3.5 years late.

Gina Miller has a long history, prior to the referendum, of tackling misuse of power or misuse of law. You need to research this. All cases she raised were attempts to ensure the law was clarified and/or complied with.

---------- Post added at 15:15 ---------- Previous post was at 14:23 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024466)
I’m quite certain that the sovereignty discussion was of a leaver/Remainer flavour. Both sides correct and neither accepting the other’s total view on what sovereignty entails.

You have just rekindled the representative vs direct democracy debate, which touches sovereignty particularly when parliamentary sovereignty pokes two fingers up to direct democracy.

I would have thought that Brexit has introduced a tradition that the people are worth consulting and that ruling elites should be so guided.




---------- Post added at 09:56 ---------- Previous post was at 09:47 ----------



That is a terrible thing to say. Your preceding paragraphs sought to justify that binary referenda are a folly. No they are not - avoiding them would be a patent display of government dodging an issue that needs to be put to the people.

‘Parliamentary democracy’ never occurred back then; only ‘parliamentary sovereignty’ happened. If you can’t see that then I’m worried.

As to buses and lies, both sides exaggerated their claims. Well after all that was exposed, the GE settled matters; the people had not been deceived.




---------- Post added at 10:00 ---------- Previous post was at 09:56 ----------

..... and btw, I am a Gina Miller fan. Everyone has the right to challenge government power in the courts.

Last first. You cannot equate the industrial levels of fraud and lies of the Leave campaign with Cameron's and Osbourn's inept and overblown handling of the factual expert analyses. They treated the electorate like idiots, but compared with the deceit of Leave they were amateurish. It is also noteworthy that the Eurosceptic press cherry-picked the most extreme predictions of broad-spectrum expert analyses of the full range of Brexit outcomes, turned them into headlines and called it Project Fear.

If you really want Parliamentary democracy then you will have to argue for doing away with the party system, which is a whole other debate. Meanwhile both houses of Parliament did their best to democratically seek a solution to the hopeless puzzle the referendum left them. Because of the flaw of having a party system the whole process became as much about tribalism and political power as it was about making the best of the most fundamental change our country has had to deal with since WW2.


You insist that our representatives in The Commons thrust two fingers in the face of the electorate. I have explained above why, over all, they did not. True the SNP, representing a nation that voted to Remain and the LibDems, sought to prevent Brexit, as did a minority of Tories and Labour MPs. However, both main parties had their own serious proposals for Brexit. Indeed Corbyn attracted the hostility and mistrust of Remainers for pushing his customs union Brexit.

Not all binary referendums are inappropriate. A referendum on fox hunting or capital punishment would need to be binary. However, to make binary and complex referendums work, organisers must ensure that proper information is made available and that fake information is minimised. That certainly didn't happen in our referendum.

To make it worse, a binary referendum, as we were warned would, in this case, create more problems than it solved. Our referendum result told Parliament that 48% of the electorate that voted wanted to Remain (clear enough) and that 52% wanted to Leave the EU, but not in which manner. As I explained above, even now, Parliament hasn't decided how we leave the EU. We have approved a political declaration and have formally left, but have no clue what our trading relationship will be. More uncertainty for commerce!!

To avoid the last three years of uncertainty we should have had a referendum with more than one choice of how to leave the EU, ranging from, for example, EEA, Norway-style, a customs union Brexit, Canada ++ and No Deal. All the options would have the outcome of us being free of all the EU treaties. To avoid splitting the Leave vote there would have had to have been two ballot papers. Ballot 1, giving a clear choice between Leave and Remain and Ballot 2, using a system of one perhaps two transferable votes with second and third choices of Brexit styles coming into play in the case of no clear winner. The outcome, would have been a majority for Leave or Remain from Ballot 1 and a majority for a particular kind of Brexit from Ballot 2. The Leave campaign would not have been able to tempt waverers with a soft Brexit when they were clearly entrapping people to get a hard Brexit outcome. Instead the referendum campaign could have been an informed debate about the merits of one kind of Brexit or another and the comparative merits of Remain. Farage and others would have been forced to come clean about their intention to have a No Deal Brexit and would probably have had to reveal that the real motive for pushing for a referendum in the first place was to avoid the new EU rules on off-shore tax avoidance which finally came into EU practice on 31st January 2020. Phew! That was close!

Yes, the GE has settled matters by allowing one point of view to prevail, but it has not settled the debate. Mostly due to Remain disarray, the Remain vote was split and the Brexit vote was focused on getting Johnson elected to 'get Brexit done, however, parties supporting a confirmatory referendum,collectively got more votes than the Tories, Brexit Ltd and UKIP got collectively. This closely reflected the poll of polls finding that a sustained majority of between 54% and 53% of voters wanted to Remain over a period of the last eighteen months.

Sephiroth 08-02-2020 19:27

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
You have over-analysed the meaning of democracy. The GE proved that people having heard 3+ years of explanation, settled for Brexit.


Chris 08-02-2020 19:32

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
It never ceases to amuse me how remainers cite polls post-referendum as proof things have changed, when the Leave campaign effectively shut up shop and stopped making the case for Leave in 2016 (and focused instead on lobbying to ensure the results were honoured), while the Remain campaign (or, at least, most of its senior members) continued promulgation of their warnings of dire doom and gloom, imminent catastrophe, failure to get a deal, etc etc etc. The chaos they and their placemen in the Commons (until 2019) concocted quite naturally worried a lot of people. They now brazenly use the fear they have created as evidence they are right. It’s nonsense on stilts.

roughbeast 08-02-2020 20:48

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024489)
You have over-analysed the meaning of democracy. The GE proved that people having heard 3+ years of explanation, settled for Brexit.


Filtered through the first past the post constituency system the majority of electorate voted for parties that supported a confirmatory referendum, but still ended up with the minority who still support Brexit, getting their way.

---------- Post added at 20:48 ---------- Previous post was at 20:45 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024490)
It never ceases to amuse me how remainers cite polls post-referendum as proof things have changed, when the Leave campaign effectively shut up shop and stopped making the case for Leave in 2016 (and focused instead on lobbying to ensure the results were honoured), while the Remain campaign (or, at least, most of its senior members) continued promulgation of their warnings of dire doom and gloom, imminent catastrophe, failure to get a deal, etc etc etc. The chaos they and their placemen in the Commons (until 2019) concocted quite naturally worried a lot of people. They now brazenly use the fear they have created as evidence they are right. It’s nonsense on stilts.

Quoting post-referendum polls was a demonstration that democracy is a dynamic thing, and didn't end on 23rd June 2016.

53% of the population don't want what 47% have gained for us.

Sephiroth 08-02-2020 21:14

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 36024494)
Filtered through the first past the post constituency system the majority of electorate voted for parties that supported a confirmatory referendum, but still ended up with the minority who still support Brexit, getting their way.

---------- Post added at 20:48 ---------- Previous post was at 20:45 ----------


<SNIP>

Why is it that you've extrapolated the vote from the GE (representaive democracy), claiming a majority for Remain parties, but you deprecate the result of the actual Referendum (direct democracy)?

You cannot win this part of the argument.

What we must do is carry on and support the guvmin's efforts in realising the benefits for the UK they they are promising.



pip08456 08-02-2020 21:31

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 36024494)
Filtered through the first past the post constituency system the majority of electorate voted for parties that supported a confirmatory referendum, but still ended up with the minority who still support Brexit, getting their way.

---------- Post added at 20:48 ---------- Previous post was at 20:45 ----------


That is untrue. 51.9% voted for parties that did not support a confirmatory referendum.

You are including the Lib Dem vote who had other ideas.

Quote:

Every vote for the Liberal Democrats is a vote to stop Brexit and stay in the European Union.

For over three years Liberal Democrats have led the fight to stop Brexit. We campaigned to stay in the EU in 2016 and we unequivocally believe that the UK is stronger as part of the EU.

The election of a Liberal Democrat majority government on a clear stop Brexit platform will provide a democratic mandate to stop this mess, revoke Article 50 and stay in the EU. In other circumstances, we will continue to fight for a people’s vote with the option to stay in the EU, and in that vote we would passionately campaign to keep the UK in the EU.

Chris 08-02-2020 22:01

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by roughbeast (Post 36024494)
Filtered through the first past the post constituency system the majority of electorate voted for parties that supported a confirmatory referendum, but still ended up with the minority who still support Brexit, getting their way.

---------- Post added at 20:48 ---------- Previous post was at 20:45 ----------



Quoting post-referendum polls was a demonstration that democracy is a dynamic thing, and didn't end on 23rd June 2016.

53% of the population don't want what 47% have gained for us.

Nice little sleight of hand, but as I already pointed out, a post-referendum poll does not tell you more than the actual referendum result. Our exit from the EU was gained for us by the votes of 51%, not the opinion of 47% (a figure which, incidentally, excludes don’t knows, and in any case is not the last word on the subject - a Yougov poll on 20 January reported 45% for leave and 40% for remain).

The only fair indicator is the actual votes in the real referendum, conducted after an official, regulated campaign. You and I both know how that turned out and there’s really no point going over it again and again making pointless assertions about its fairness, veracity or permanence. It was what it was, we all understood the outcome was intended to be implemented, and it was. The end.

Paul 09-02-2020 01:17

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
There was another relevant poll in December, which voted in a government to get the exit done.

papa smurf 09-02-2020 09:26

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36024501)
There was another relevant poll in December, which voted in a government to get the exit done.

We have now left the EU so all this % rubbish is irrelevant,while i find it all highly amusing being told we didn't vote to leave when we clearly have gone;)

Mr K 09-02-2020 10:26

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36024510)
We have now left the EU so all this % rubbish is irrelevant,while i find it all highly amusing being told we didn't vote to leave when we clearly have gone;)

We're making a good impression of having stayed, still paying in , still obeying the rules...
31st Jan was just a cosmetic party piece for the easily fooled.

papa smurf 09-02-2020 10:28

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024512)
We're making a good impression of having stayed, still paying in , still obeying the rules...
31st Jan was just a cosmetic party piece for the easily fooled.

Sorry i don't speak Klingon,and your desperately clinging on ;)

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 10:49

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Looks like the fishing question will be a sticking point. Remainers may well bleat that fishing is such a small part of our economy. But fishing waters are completely totemic to the matter of sovereignty.

We left the EU precisely because they are like this - grabbers, protectionists, schemers.

Mr K 09-02-2020 10:52

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
[/COLOR]
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024514)
Looks like the fishing question will be a sticking point. Remainers may well bleat that fishing is such a small part of our economy. But fishing waters are completely totemic to the matter of sovereignty.

We left the EU precisely because they are like this - grabbers, protectionists, schemers.

We left the EU precisely because we are like this - grabbers, protectionists, schemers

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 11:05

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024515)
[/COLOR]

We left the EU precisely because we are like this - grabbers, protectionists, schemers

You have no evidence for that. Leaving is not grabbing, etc. It is freedom from shackles, which, of course, is a point you have consistently ignored.

Mr K 09-02-2020 11:08

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024517)
You have no evidence for that. Leaving is not grabbing, etc. It is freedom from shackles, which, of course, is a point you have consistently ignored.

So in what way are you more 'free' this month than you were last month?

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 11:24

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024518)
So in what way are you more 'free' this month than you were last month?

Don't be silly. Ignoring for the puepose of your question the transition period, we have unshackled ourselves from the EU. As if you didn't know.

Mr K 09-02-2020 11:30

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024519)

Don't be silly. Ignoring for the puepose of your question the transition period, we have unshackled ourselves from the EU. As if you didn't know.

If anything we'll be losing as many freedoms as any we're gaining. E.g. freedom of movement for UK workers to work anywhere in the EU. Though I guess most Brexiteers are long past working....

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 11:52

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024520)
If anything we'll be losing as many freedoms as any we're gaining. E.g. freedom of movement for UK workers to work anywhere in the EU. Though I guess most Brexiteers are long past working....

Beyond freedom of movement, please list as many meaningful freedoms we are losing as you can think of.

Mr K 09-02-2020 12:13

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024522)
Beyond freedom of movement, please list as many meaningful freedoms we are losing as you can think of.

Ok, reciprocal healthcare, workers rights, consumer rights, easier travel, and the little matter of trade with our biggest trading partner. Yes there may be new arrangements but they won't be as good, the EU will make sure of that.

However the decision has been made, but I think some are going to be awfully disappointed when they realise what 'freedom' means in practice,; mostly freedom for our own Govt. to screw us over without fear of any check on them. It'll benefit a few toffs at the expense of the rest of us.

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 12:32

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024524)
Ok, reciprocal healthcare, workers rights, consumer rights, easier travel, and the little matter of trade with our biggest trading partner. Yes there may be new arrangements but they won't be as good, the EU will make sure of that.

However the decision has been made, but I think some are going to be awfully disappointed when they realise what 'freedom' means in practice,; mostly freedom for our own Govt. to screw us over without fear of any check on them. It'll benefit a few toffs at the expense of the rest of us.



Reciprocal healthcare: Negotiable and is not a freedom;

Workers' Rights: Not under threat. You're making that up. None have been lost.

Consumer rights: Which?

Easier Travel: Not a freedom; just a convenience,

Trade: Is not a freedom. It is negotiable.

Nasty EU. We're right to be shot of them.


Mr K 09-02-2020 13:07

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024527)


Nasty EU. We're right to be shot of them.


Just keep believing that if it helps you.

Who next to blame though when there isn't a bright new dawn? Nasty Govt, Nasty homeless, Nasty BBC, Nasty Civil Service, Nasty Boris ?? The grass as we'll find isn't always greener. As part of a bigger economic unit we had protection and influence, now we have none.

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 13:13

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024529)
Just keep believing that if it helps you.

Who next to blame though when there isn't a bright new dawn? Nasty Govt, Nasty homeless, Nasty BBC, Nasty Civil Service, Nasty Boris ?? The grass as well find isn't always greener. As part of a bigger economic unit we had protection and influence, now we have none.

A part of a bigger economic unit, we were actually subordinated to the will of France and Germany. Is that what you wanted?

We now need to get out into the world and do deals with them. We have a year to get something significant under our belt, not to mention that there is likely to be some sort of sensible deal with the EU if only to service their interests.

What I want is for most of our foodstuffs to come from Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and so on. For Macron's arrogant fishing demands, I want him to be seriously stiffed. I still trust Germany to be sensible and its running dog France might well come to heel then.

Stop bleating.



Mr K 09-02-2020 13:26

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024530)
A part of a bigger economic unit, we were actually subordinated to the will of France and Germany. Is that what you wanted?

We now need to get out into the world and do deals with them. We have a year to get something significant under our belt, not to mention that there is likely to be some sort of sensible deal with the EU if only to service their interests.

What I want is for most of our foodstuffs to come from Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and so on. For Macron's arrogant fishing demands, I want him to be seriously stiffed. I still trust Germany to be sensible and its running dog France might well come to heel then.

Stop bleating.



All seemed based on hope and wanting to 'stiff' everyone. That isn't a good basis for negotiating our future, particularly when we're in a weak position.

Hugh 09-02-2020 13:59

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024530)
A part of a bigger economic unit, we were actually subordinated to the will of France and Germany. Is that what you wanted?

We now need to get out into the world and do deals with them. We have a year to get something significant under our belt, not to mention that there is likely to be some sort of sensible deal with the EU if only to service their interests.

What I want is for most of our foodstuffs to come from Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa and so on. For Macron's arrogant fishing demands, I want him to be seriously stiffed. I still trust Germany to be sensible and its running dog France might well come to heel then.

Stop bleating.



South Africa - 6,000 miles away
Canada - 3,000 miles away
Australia - 9,500 miles away
NZ - 11,500 miles away

France - 20 miles
Germany - 300 miles
Italy - 750 miles
Spain - 800 miles

Not sure you’ve thought this fully through... ;)

Chris 09-02-2020 15:26

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024524)
mostly freedom for our own Govt. to screw us over without fear of any check on them.

Well here is a fundamental and probably irreconcilable difference between you and leavers (and a lot of remainers I suspect). It is a very peculiar idea of sovereignty that assumes a national government of necessity requires an external check on its power. We do of course have internal checks - principally, Parliament, and judges who determine whether government is properly exercising the powers legislated for it. Then every 5 years or so, the whole electorate casts its judgement on Parliament.

All these are internal to the United Kingdom, which is a sovereign nation state that, in common with almost every other sovereign nation state on earth, is the final arbiter of what goes on in its own territory. Only within the bizarre experiment that is the EU has national sovereignty been so traduced (the process being obfuscated by nonsensical terms like “pooled sovereignty” in order to try to hide what’s been going on).

I believe in this country and I simply lack the self-loathing instincts required to believe we need rescuing from our own government by an association of nations, almost all of which have been governed by a dictator within living memory. People who genuinely need rescuing from their own governments live in places where torture, extrajudicial punishment and corruption is endemic, if not industrial in scale. Such places undergo violent revolution sooner or later. Here in the UK, nothing could be further from the truth, and it requires a severe lack of perspective to think otherwise.

---------- Post added at 15:26 ---------- Previous post was at 14:54 ----------

A reminder to ALL forum members: when replying to a post, please do not put ANYTHING within quote tags except for content you are actually quoting. Do not put your reply to a quote within the quote. It needlessly messes up subsequent members’ ability to follow and contribute to threads within a discussion.

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 15:52

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024533)
South Africa - 6,000 miles away
Canada - 3,000 miles away
Australia - 9,500 miles away
NZ - 11,500 miles away

France - 20 miles
Germany - 300 miles
Italy - 750 miles
Spain - 800 miles

Not sure you’ve thought this fully through... ;)

South Africa - 6,000 miles away Top class fruit & wine.
Canada - 3,000 miles away Top wheat, fish, beef.
Australia - 9,500 miles away Top fruit, beef, wine.
NZ - 11,500 miles away Top wine, lamb, butter,cheese.

France - 20 miles Macron.
Germany - 300 miles Possibly some hope there.
Italy - 750 miles Up schmitt creek, nix paddle.
Spain - 800 miles 25% youth unemployment when I last looked; Gibraltar.

Carth 09-02-2020 16:13

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024529)
As part of a bigger economic unit we had protection and influence . . . .


Do the Italians and Greeks know about this? Maybe someone should let them know they're not screwed after all ;)

TheDaddy 09-02-2020 16:37

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024538)
South Africa - 6,000 miles away Top class fruit & wine.
Canada - 3,000 miles away Top wheat, fish, beef.
Australia - 9,500 miles away Top fruit, beef, wine.
NZ - 11,500 miles away Top wine, lamb, butter,cheese.

France - 20 miles Macron.
Germany - 300 miles Possibly some hope there.
Italy - 750 miles Up schmitt creek, nix paddle.
Spain - 800 miles 25% youth unemployment when I last looked; Gibraltar.

Wonder how top that Australian fruit will be after traveling 10000 miles, the reason our trade with those countries is negligible isn't because of the EU it's because they're so far away and strangely that isn't going to change because of leaving.

Sephiroth 09-02-2020 18:42

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36024540)
Wonder how top that Australian fruit will be after traveling 10000 miles, the reason our trade with those countries is negligible isn't because of the EU it's because they're so far away and strangely that isn't going to change because of leaving.

It used to. In the 1950s and 60s, Granny Smiths were Australian. They want that trade back and if the EU play silly buggers .....

Hugh 09-02-2020 19:15

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024544)
It used to. In the 1950s and 60s, Granny Smiths were Australian. They want that trade back and if the EU play silly buggers .....

Eh, we had things then we don’t have now - diphtheria, rickets, measles, mumps, rubella, tetanus, polio, and a captive Commonwealth marketplace.

However, in today’s economies, 75% of Australia and NZ food exports go to China, East Asia, and the Oceanic countries (including USA) - do you really believe it makes economic sense to ship things 10,000 miles around the world when you have existing profitable markets closer to hand.

Chris 09-02-2020 19:33

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
It’s not always profitable. Cane sugar from the Americas is (or would be) far cheaper than European grown beet sugar, but EU tariffs are designed to protect beet producers, which are mostly located in northern continental Europe (and most of that in France and Germany). Prior to our entry into the EU most sugar refined in the UK came from cane. There’s no reason why that shouldn’t resume, now we are no longer obligated to subscribe to Franco-German protectionism that is the very heart of the European project.

Hugh 09-02-2020 21:28

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024546)
It’s not always profitable. Cane sugar from the Americas is (or would be) far cheaper than European grown beet sugar, but EU tariffs are designed to protect beet producers, which are mostly located in northern continental Europe (and most of that in France and Germany). Prior to our entry into the EU most sugar refined in the UK came from cane. There’s no reason why that shouldn’t resume, now we are no longer obligated to subscribe to Franco-German protectionism that is the very heart of the European project.

Over 50% of the sugar in the U.K. comes from U.K. produced beet sugar (and we also export 300,000 tonnes of beet sugar annually), so any ‘freeing up" of the market would decimate that industry.

Chris 09-02-2020 21:34

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024548)
Over 50% of the sugar in the U.K. comes from U.K. produced beet sugar, so any ‘freeing up" of the market would decimate that industry.

Sugar beet is just a sweeter relative of beetroot. It’s not the only thing that can be grown on that land. If domestically grown product can’t compete with imports then its producers should grow something else that is profitable.

Seriously ... did you think the corn laws were a good idea? Keeping staple food prices artificially high to protect domestic producers is as absurd now as it ever was.

Hugh 09-02-2020 22:00

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
But Cane Sugar from the Americas is already tariff free - the Least Developed Countries (LDC) and African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries trading under Everything but Arms (EBA) have unrestricted, tariff-free imports of raw sugar into the EU.

Chris 09-02-2020 22:24

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024551)
But Cane Sugar from the Americas is already tariff free - the Least Developed Countries (LDC) and African, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) countries trading under Everything but Arms (EBA) have unrestricted, tariff-free imports of raw sugar into the EU.

If you’re going to copy and paste material it’s considered polite to provide the link, so the rest of us can determine whether you’ve understood what you’ve quoted in its context.

As you appear to have copied from here ... https://www.ragus.co.uk/tariffs-on-sugars-explained/ ... I think I might charitably suggest you have oversimplified it to the point of misunderstanding it.

The vast majority of sugar cane is produced in Brazil, imports of which attract tariffs from €98 to €419 per tonne, depending on how refined it is, and what sort of refining it is intended for. The LDC countries barely register as cane producers on a global scale.

Also, would you mind clarifying: do you think it’s a good thing to use tariffs to protect domestic food production, even when this pushes up food prices for consumers?

Pierre 09-02-2020 23:01

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024552)
If you’re going to copy and paste material it’s considered polite to provide the link, so the rest of us can determine whether you’ve understood what you’ve quoted in its context.

As you appear to have copied from here ... https://www.ragus.co.uk/tariffs-on-sugars-explained/ ... I think I might charitably suggest you have oversimplified it to the point of misunderstanding it.

Boom.....head shot...50 pts. :sniper:

pip08456 09-02-2020 23:46

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36024553)
Boom.....head shot...50 pts. :sniper:

Poppycock at least 100 points deserved!:D

Paul 10-02-2020 05:06

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Keep on topic please.

Chris 10-02-2020 09:35

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
As Paul has already said - please stick to the topic. This is not an all-purpose politics thread. Two completely off topic posts removed.

Hugh 10-02-2020 12:48

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024552)
If you’re going to copy and paste material it’s considered polite to provide the link, so the rest of us can determine whether you’ve understood what you’ve quoted in its context.

As you appear to have copied from here ... https://www.ragus.co.uk/tariffs-on-sugars-explained/ ... I think I might charitably suggest you have oversimplified it to the point of misunderstanding it.

The vast majority of sugar cane is produced in Brazil, imports of which attract tariffs from €98 to €419 per tonne, depending on how refined it is, and what sort of refining it is intended for. The LDC countries barely register as cane producers on a global scale.

Also, would you mind clarifying: do you think it’s a good thing to use tariffs to protect domestic food production, even when this pushes up food prices for consumers?

Well, apparently, the Brazilians subsidise their sugar productions/exports.

https://sugaralliance.org/brazils-2-...s-exposed/4412

I made the point about the Caribbean sugar imports because that's where we imported a lot of sugar from in the 50s.

(and the reason I didn't provide a link previously, is that I was putting my grandson back to bed at the same time, and he distracted me - sorry).

Yes, I think we should subsidise our home production, otherwise we become dependent on imports, which can so so badly wrong.

---------- Post added at 12:48 ---------- Previous post was at 12:13 ----------

On a separate note...

https://www.cityam.com/boris-bridge-...o-10-confirms/
Quote:

A “proper piece of work” looking into the feasibility of a bridge connecting mainland Britain with Northern Ireland is being carried out, Number 10 confirmed today.

The so-called Boris Bridge was first floated by the Prime Minister last year as a possible solution to the border issue caused by Brexit. However critics warned at the time that a 20-mile bridge between the two islands, most likely connecting Scotland with a village in County Antrim, would not remove the need for checks.

Despite this, government officials across Whitehall have been tasked with looking into the project as a way of demonstrating Boris Johnson’s commitment to greater connectivity across the United Kingdom, his spokesman said today.

Mr K 10-02-2020 13:09

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024568)

Yes, Boris has got a great record on building bridges...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Garden_Bridge

TheDaddy 11-02-2020 04:13

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024549)
Sugar beet is just a sweeter relative of beetroot. It’s not the only thing that can be grown on that land. If domestically grown product can’t compete with imports then its producers should grow something else that is profitable.

Seriously ... did you think the corn laws were a good idea? Keeping staple food prices artificially high to protect domestic producers is as absurd now as it ever was.

Yes nothing reeks more of getting your country back, freedom and not being governed by foreigners more than surrendering your ability to sustain yourself with homegrown food. Looks like Patrick bloody Minford was right for just about the first time in his life, we will have to sacrifice agriculture and manufacturing as well on the brexit alter

Hugh 11-02-2020 09:08

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-51453189

Quote:

The government has told businesses frictionless trade with the EU will end this year with the introduction of import checks at the UK border.

EU trade will not be waved through with zero checks which had been the plan under a no-deal Brexit.
Traders will not be able to use special arrangements to lodge new paperwork after a grace period at a later date.

Officials said firms will have enough notice to prepare for changes in time for 1 January.

Cabinet Minister Michael Gove told attendees at a Border Delivery Group event: "The UK will be outside the single market and outside the customs union, so we will have to be ready for the customs procedures and regulatory checks that will inevitably follow."

jonbxx 11-02-2020 09:49

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36024621)
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-51453189

Quote:

The government has told businesses frictionless trade with the EU will end this year with the introduction of import checks at the UK border.

EU trade will not be waved through with zero checks which had been the plan under a no-deal Brexit.
Traders will not be able to use special arrangements to lodge new paperwork after a grace period at a later date.

Officials said firms will have enough notice to prepare for changes in time for 1 January.

Cabinet Minister Michael Gove told attendees at a Border Delivery Group event: "The UK will be outside the single market and outside the customs union, so we will have to be ready for the customs procedures and regulatory checks that will inevitably follow."

Well that is the biggest 'well duh' moment but at least it's good that Government representatives are now admitting that there will be friction...

For the company I work for, we are 'no deal' ready with the IT and customs infrastructure in place as we have obviously come close a couple of times already. The big unknowns are what effects customs holdups will be and being able to get a good handle on resourcing needed in terms of people and time

Mr K 11-02-2020 10:15

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Has the penny dropped yet?

Chris 11-02-2020 12:11

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36024614)
Yes nothing reeks more of getting your country back, freedom and not being governed by foreigners more than surrendering your ability to sustain yourself with homegrown food. Looks like Patrick bloody Minford was right for just about the first time in his life, we will have to sacrifice agriculture and manufacturing as well on the brexit alter

My reference to the corn laws was deliberate. The protectionism they entailed placed an unnecessary drag on the economy, and their eventual removal made food cheaper, thereby improving living standards and allowing more disposable income to be spent elsewhere. The whole British economy benefited. Protectionism is always shortsighted in the end.

TheDaddy 12-02-2020 03:08

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024637)
My reference to the corn laws was deliberate. The protectionism they entailed placed an unnecessary drag on the economy, and their eventual removal made food cheaper, thereby improving living standards and allowing more disposable income to be spent elsewhere. The whole British economy benefited. Protectionism is always shortsighted in the end.

And yet the whole world indulges in protectionism, I'd go as far as saying we are already the least protectionist country in the world, going even further by removing the means to feed ourselves doesn't seem shortsighted to me, it seems reckless

jonbxx 12-02-2020 10:12

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36024674)
And yet the whole world indulges in protectionism, I'd go as far as saying we are already the least protectionist country in the world, going even further by removing the means to feed ourselves doesn't seem shortsighted to me, it seems reckless

As an EU member, we were placed an equal 51st in the world in terms of tariffs using the weighted mean which takes into account what we actually import. The weighted mean was 1.79%

The proposed UK tariff schedule in front of the WTO is about 1.6% weighted mean which would put us 18th on this measure of protectionism.

There are plenty of less protectionist countries than the UK including some quite big players such as Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Mexico and Chile

EDIT - source material - https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/ind...AR.ZS/rankings

TheDaddy 12-02-2020 10:39

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36024689)
As an EU member, we were placed an equal 51st in the world in terms of tariffs using the weighted mean which takes into account what we actually import. The weighted mean was 1.79%

The proposed UK tariff schedule in front of the WTO is about 1.6% weighted mean which would put us 18th on this measure of protectionism.

There are plenty of less protectionist countries than the UK including some quite big players such as Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Mexico and Chile

EDIT - source material - https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/ind...AR.ZS/rankings

That's in terms of trade alone, I doubt those countries are as keen as us to sell of key infrastructure, industries and assests to the highest bidder.

1andrew1 12-02-2020 10:46

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36024689)
As an EU member, we were placed an equal 51st in the world in terms of tariffs using the weighted mean which takes into account what we actually import. The weighted mean was 1.79%

The proposed UK tariff schedule in front of the WTO is about 1.6% weighted mean which would put us 18th on this measure of protectionism.

There are plenty of less protectionist countries than the UK including some quite big players such as Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Mexico and Chile

EDIT - source material - https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/ind...AR.ZS/rankings

If you accept that less protectionism makes countries richer, then will the greater protectionism that Brexit heralds make us poorer?

jonbxx 12-02-2020 11:25

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36024690)
That's in terms of trade alone, I doubt those countries are as keen as us to sell of key infrastructure, industries and assests to the highest bidder.

Oh, for sure. Free movement of goods is just one aspect of a non-protectionist country. There's also free movement of services, money and people but we tried that and didn't like it

Mr K 14-02-2020 18:20

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

. A Brexiteer who was forced to wait in an immigration queue at an EU airport in Amsterdam has complained that "this isn’t the Brexit I voted for”.

Colin Browning, who described himself as one of the 17.4 million people who voted for Brexit, said he was forced to wait for nearly an hour at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol before his passport was checked.

Absolutely disgusting service at Schiphol airport. 55 minutes we have been stood in the immigration queue. This isn’t the Brexit I voted for,” he wrote on Twitter.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a9335281.html

Oh dear, what a pity, never mind ! :D

Chris 14-02-2020 18:32

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024813)
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a9335281.html

Oh dear, what a pity, never mind ! :D

Ah, the “Independent”, never letting the facts get in the way of a good story.

Paragraph 10:

Quote:

However, it is unlikely that current delays have been caused by Brexit as the UK is currently in a transition period with the EU during which travel arrangements will not change until January 2021.

Mr K 14-02-2020 18:33

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024814)
Ah, the “Independent”, never letting the facts get in the way of a good story.

Paragraph 10:

Colin sounds intelligent though, so why is he blaming Brexit ? ;)

Sephiroth 14-02-2020 18:41

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024815)
Colin sounds intelligent though, so why is he blaming Brexit ? ;)

Maybe because he's a bit like you - just that he voted Leave.
Whingers will blame anything when put out.

1andrew1 14-02-2020 19:20

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024814)
Ah, the “Independent”, never letting the facts get in the way of a good story.

Paragraph 10:

If that was the case then the site wouldn't have put in that sentence. Looks like the Leaver was jumping to conclusions and The Independent kindly pointed out the error of his ways.

Chris 14-02-2020 19:35

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36024821)
If that was the case then the site wouldn't have put in that sentence. Looks like the Leaver was jumping to conclusions and The Independent kindly pointed out the error of his ways.

So you actually have no idea what impression the Independent wishes to convey then? You really think this is a straight and even reporting of facts and nothing more?

Mr K 14-02-2020 19:40

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024823)
So you actually have no idea what impression the Independent wishes to convey then? You really think this is a straight and even reporting of facts and nothing more?

Chillax old chap. Colin is a Brexiteer and he's not happy. We need to.listen to his wise words of wisdom.

1andrew1 14-02-2020 19:46

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024823)
So you actually have no idea what impression the Independent wishes to convey then? You really think this is a straight and even reporting of facts and nothing more?

In response to the charge: is it letting the facts get in the way of a good story? No it's not as it states them.

pip08456 14-02-2020 20:46

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36024826)
In response to the charge: is it letting the facts get in the way of a good story? No it's not as it states them.

But not all of them such as the staff training that was occurring.

Mr K 14-02-2020 20:57

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36024844)
But not all of them such as the staff training that was occurring.

I went through Schipol last year, automated passport e-scanners, no people required, very quick. Only for EU citizens though.

Sephiroth 14-02-2020 21:01

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024847)
I went through Schipol last year, automated passport e-scanners, no people required, very quick. Only for EU citizens though.

Big deal.

Mr K 14-02-2020 21:06

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36024850)
Big deal.

Every minute you lose in Amsterdam, is a minute you'll regret old chap ;) No wonder Colin was pissed off !

Sephiroth 14-02-2020 21:14

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36024853)
Every minute you lose in Amsterdam, is a minute you'll regret old chap ;) No wonder Colin was pissed off !

One of Amsterdam's principal delights:

https://www.motimahal.nl/

Chris 14-02-2020 22:07

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36024826)
In response to the charge: is it letting the facts get in the way of a good story? No it's not as it states them.

Ah well, I only used to write for the papers, what do I know ... :rolleyes:

Pierre 14-02-2020 23:15

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
I went to Spain last week ......no issues. Even went through the “ EU” channel.

Will be going to France next month and expect zero issues.

I suggest, along with the thousands that have travelled since the end of January this is the case.

Sephiroth 15-02-2020 09:36

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36024863)
I went to Spain last week ......no issues. Even went through the “ EU” channel.

Will be going to France next month and expect zero issues.

I suggest, along with the thousands that have travelled since the end of January this is the case.

..... and we still have our jobs, the Pound is at a recent high, Germany is political crisis (we’re not). The dog might well be dead, but the cat hasn’t shat itself.

Btw, regarding financial services. That’ll sort itself out. Euro land is most wobbly - nothing to back the Euro up now. The world is unlikely to trust Euroland as a main financing centre.

Colin - stop whinging.

1andrew1 15-02-2020 10:23

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36024844)
But not all of them such as the staff training that was occurring.

The staff training is mentioned.

---------- Post added at 10:23 ---------- Previous post was at 10:20 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024857)
Ah well, I only used to write for the papers, what do I know ... :rolleyes:

I think your gripe's with Colin for jumping to conclusions and not with the article which reported the real reasons for the delay.

Chris 15-02-2020 11:14

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36024868)
The staff training is mentioned.

---------- Post added at 10:23 ---------- Previous post was at 10:20 ----------


I think your gripe's with Colin for jumping to conclusions and not with the article which reported the real reasons for the delay.

Gosh, apparently I don’t know the contents of my own mind either ...

papa smurf 15-02-2020 11:19

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36024873)
Gosh, apparently I don’t know the contents of my own mind either ...

You're in good company around here ;)

Hom3r 16-02-2020 09:35

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
The EU needs us far more.

Plus put the Royal Navy in our fishing waters and kick out any fishing vessels we want.

Especially thos big buggers that can take the entire stock with one sweep.

1andrew1 16-02-2020 10:08

Re: [Updated] The UK’s future relationship with the EU
 
EU's requirements don't seem to be going down too well with BoJo. To the Government's credit, it's made a strong case but the UK has handed the negotiating edge to the EU by insisting upon a December deadline.
https://news.sky.com/story/boris-joh...nable-11935283

So, maybe the obvious thing would be for the UK to ramp up relationships with other countries, to put some pressure on the EU?
The opposite has happened!
Quote:

Leave.EU Inexplicably, Boris has scrapped a planned trade tour of Australia and New Zealand, and postponed a trip to the White House next month until June.
https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial
Maybe like the EU does, the rest of world just needs to understand that need us more than we need them, and they'll have to come knocking on our door?


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