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1andrew1 04-03-2018 11:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35939459)
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...MCNEWEML6619I2
Well so much for uniting everyone. :erm:

You would have had to be smoking a rather strong brand of cigarette to have believed it would have done. Some sheep did but they're now seeing the reality.

---------- Post added at 10:30 ---------- Previous post was at 10:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35939461)
A party riven by deep disunity with a weakened leader being led by others sadly...

I don't envy her next week when the EU again reminds her of her impossible demands.

Hugh 04-03-2018 12:40

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Calling people you disagree with ‘sheep’ is inappropriate, whichever your political views.

If you can’t agree on something, there’s no need to be insulting - if you have to be abusive, your argument is weak.

1andrew1 04-03-2018 13:08

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35939492)
Calling people you disagree with ‘sheep’ is inappropriate, whichever your political views.

If you can’t agree on something, there’s no need to be insulting - if you have to be abusive, your argument is weak.

Sorry, reading it back it can give that impression which I didn't intend it to, I apologise for this. I also agree with the rest of your post.

---------- Post added at 12:08 ---------- Previous post was at 11:56 ----------

Interesting allegations in the papers today
Quote:

Theresa May’s chief of staff Gavin Barwell ‘tried to kneecap Boris Johnson’
Theresa May’s closest aide was drawn into a cabinet row last night amid claims that he had tried to “kneecap” Boris Johnson by leaking a letter the foreign secretary had written about Brexit plans for the Irish border.
Gavin Barwell, the Downing Street chief of staff, was forced to deny passing the document to Sky News last week. Johnson appeared to say in the letter that there may need to be a “hard border” between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. That contradicts the prime minister’s policy.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/n...nson-2wp5sgzs2
See also http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/arti...rder-memo.html

Gavin78 04-03-2018 15:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Brexit isn't the problem. It's all the political infighting that is, Cameron created a political crap storm then did one. He should really be held accountable for his actions

OLD BOY 04-03-2018 19:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35939515)
Brexit isn't the problem. It's all the political infighting that is, Cameron created a political crap storm then did one. He should really be held accountable for his actions

I don't know. At least Cameron exposed the lie that the UK actually had a say in the direction of the EU.He presented a set of really straight forward and positive reforms and they sent him packing.

At least that woke a few people up on this side of the North Sea.

Unfortunately some heavy sleepers still haven't woken up :erm:

1andrew1 04-03-2018 19:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35939515)
Brexit isn't the problem. It's all the political infighting that is, Cameron created a political crap storm then did one. He should really be held accountable for his actions

The trouble is, whilst Cameron handled the referendum badly, the Conservative Party (and Labour) was heavily divided on the issue. He thought he could solve party divisions once and for all with a referendum.

denphone 04-03-2018 19:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939544)
The trouble is, whilst Cameron handled the referendum badly, the Conservative Party (and Labour) was heavily divided on the issue. He thought he could solve party divisions once and for all with a referendum.

Sadly none of that has transpired even 20 months after the referendum.

1andrew1 04-03-2018 20:06

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35939545)
Sadly none of that has transpired even 20 months after the referendum.

Agreed. If anything it's worsened them.

Gavin78 04-03-2018 21:01

Re: Brexit discussion
 
It would help the situation if the EU played ball a bit. We all know they need trade as much as we do. We could possibly be worse off till we can push for trade world wide but the EU will take an impact out of this also. Especially with America playing hard ball on trade at the min.

The economy for italy isn't that great either. The problem is a lot of money is floating around the EU but doesn't seem to be doing much in terms of a healthy economy for any country in the EU

Mr K 04-03-2018 21:23

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939540)
I don't know. At least Cameron exposed the lie that the UK actually had a say in the direction of the EU.He presented a set of really straight forward and positive reforms and they sent him packing.:

He still, like every other living Prime Minister, recommended we Remain.

1andrew1 04-03-2018 22:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35939551)
He still, like every other living Prime Minister, recommended we Remain.

And probably dead ones like Churchill would have done so too. ;)

Dave42 04-03-2018 23:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939558)
And probably dead ones like Churchill would have done so too. ;)

well he wanted a united states of Europe so it a certainty


http://www.churchill-society-london..../astonish.html

OLD BOY 05-03-2018 08:39

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35939565)
well he wanted a united states of Europe so it a certainty


http://www.churchill-society-london..../astonish.html

And so did I, but the Eurocrats botched it up, didn't they? The sooner we get out, the better for all of us. Time will prove me right on this.

---------- Post added at 07:38 ---------- Previous post was at 07:36 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35939551)
He still, like every other living Prime Minister, recommended we Remain.

H'mmm. Doesn't say much for the state of British politics!

---------- Post added at 07:39 ---------- Previous post was at 07:38 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35939461)
A party riven by deep disunity with a weakened leader being led by others sadly...

Yes, Labour is in a state right now. Oh...:rofl:

1andrew1 05-03-2018 14:21

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939576)
And so did I, but the Eurocrats botched it up, didn't they? The sooner we get out, the better for all of us. Time will prove me right on this

You seem very confident of your position but do you have any supporting evidence? You made a valid, evidence-based case for TV migrating from channels to on-demand but this contrasts with your Brexit trade beliefs.

ianch99 05-03-2018 19:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939601)
You seem very confident of your position but do you have any supporting evidence? You made a valid, evidence-based case for TV migrating from channels to on-demand but this contrasts with your Brexit trade beliefs.

Belief is a good choice of word:

Quote:

an acceptance that something exists or is true, especially one without proof.
This will not matter if you have Faith. Faith is based on conviction rather than proof.

When Brexit plays out and those that repeat everyday that "I know what I voted for" discover that they are indeed worse off in a variety of ways, will of course accuse those who voted Remain that that they betrayed them and had we all "come together and acted positive", all would have been peachy.

There is no winning here: for those who voted to Leave and those who said Remain.

The sad part is that the sections of England who were duped into believing that their own personal situation was all the EU's fault and that Leaving will improve their own personal wealth will be disappointed. If they were asked at the time: "Would you vote Leave if it means you will be poorer in the short, medium and long term?" A lot of people would have said "No".

Anyway, the Trick was played and we are where we are. No problem really: we can all put on our Empire glasses and wave our Union Jacks. I mean, "When I was a lad, we were fine. We had no EU and we traded with most of the world. So where's the problem is just winding the clock back?"

The PM's shallow speech entreating we all "come together" was a waste of time. The country is fundamentally divided and the Tories are to blame, no one else. No excuse to blame Labour. Any political party who proposes a referendum winnable by a simple numeric majority that will radically change the structural & economic future of the country based on no plan and no ideas will be judged harshly by history.

The biggest joke of them all is when the very people who whined and complained for 40+ years about being in the EU now complain about people complaining we are Leaving ...

OLD BOY 05-03-2018 20:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939601)
You seem very confident of your position but do you have any supporting evidence? You made a valid, evidence-based case for TV migrating from channels to on-demand but this contrasts with your Brexit trade beliefs.

My opinion is based on a huge number of reports, articles and observations on what is going on - I am sure there's a short snappy article I could lay my hands on, but I'm not spending time trawling through them.

However, I would point out that the Euro is by no means out of the wood, a number of southern EU economies are still in the mire and disaffection with the EU is increasing in EU countries. The EU is not willing to listen, and so this little powder jkeg will sooner or later explode.

What is more, the EU is the worse performing large economy and sooner or later the whole bureaucratic, rule bound mess will implode. This is not the Europe I hoped for back in the day.

Mr K 05-03-2018 20:13

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939632)
Belief is a good choice of word:



This will not matter if you have Faith. Faith is based on conviction rather than proof.

When Brexit plays out and those that repeat everyday that "I know what I voted for" discover that they are indeed worse off in a variety of ways, will of course accuse those who voted Remain that that they betrayed them and had we all "come together and acted positive", all would have been peachy.

There is no winning here: for those who voted to Leave and those who said Remain.

The sad part is that the sections of England who were duped into believing that their own personal situation was all the EU's fault and that Leaving will improve their own personal wealth will be disappointed. If they were asked at the time: "Would you vote Leave if it means you will be poorer in the short, medium and long term?" A lot of people would have said "No".

Anyway, the Trick was played and we are where we are. No problem really: we can all put on our Empire glasses and wave our Union Jacks. I mean, "When I was a lad, we were fine. We had no EU and we traded with most of the world. So where's the problem is just winding the clock back?"

The PM's shallow speech entreating we all "come together" was a waste of time. The country is fundamentally divided and the Tories are to blame, no one else. No excuse to blame Labour. Any political party who proposes a referendum winnable by a simple numeric majority that will radically change the structural & economic future of the country based on no plan and no ideas will be judged harshly by history.

The biggest joke of them all is when the very people who whined and complained for 40+ years about being in the EU now complain about people complaining we are Leaving ...

A depressing but very true summation of the situation we've got ourselves in.

OLD BOY 05-03-2018 20:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939632)
Belief is a good choice of word:



This will not matter if you have Faith. Faith is based on conviction rather than proof.

When Brexit plays out and those that repeat everyday that "I know what I voted for" discover that they are indeed worse off in a variety of ways, will of course accuse those who voted Remain that that they betrayed them and had we all "come together and acted positive", all would have been peachy.

There is no winning here: for those who voted to Leave and those who said Remain.

The sad part is that the sections of England who were duped into believing that their own personal situation was all the EU's fault and that Leaving will improve their own personal wealth will be disappointed. If they were asked at the time: "Would you vote Leave if it means you will be poorer in the short, medium and long term?" A lot of people would have said "No".

Anyway, the Trick was played and we are where we are. No problem really: we can all put on our Empire glasses and wave our Union Jacks. I mean, "When I was a lad, we were fine. We had no EU and we traded with most of the world. So where's the problem is just winding the clock back?"

The PM's shallow speech entreating we all "come together" was a waste of time. The country is fundamentally divided and the Tories are to blame, no one else. No excuse to blame Labour. Any political party who proposes a referendum winnable by a simple numeric majority that will radically change the structural & economic future of the country based on no plan and no ideas will be judged harshly by history.

The biggest joke of them all is when the very people who whined and complained for 40+ years about being in the EU now complain about people complaining we are Leaving ...

Well, Labour is part of the entrenched elite that so many people (not only in this country) have rejected. I can still hear snotty nosed Ed Miliband giving us all his pompous statements about how things were going to be 'because it's the right thing to do' which brought the worst out in a lot of people.

The fact that Labour would not address the mounting feeling of resentment about the Westminster and EU elite really does them no credit at all. The Conservatives have addressed it, so all credit to them for that.

1andrew1 05-03-2018 20:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939636)
My opinion is based on a huge number of reports, articles and observations on what is going on - I am sure there's a short snappy article I could lay my hands on, but I'm not spending time trawling through them.

However, I would point out that the Euro is by no means out of the wood, a number of southern EU economies are still in the mire and disaffe tion with the EU is increasing in EU countries. The EU is not willing to listen, and so this little powder jkeg will sooner or later explode.

What is more, the EU is the worse performing large economy and sooner or later the whole bureaucratic, rule bound mess will implode. This is not the Europe I hoped for back in the day.

Old Boy, again you post things like the worst-performing large economy when this clearly isn't true. I don't pretend the EU's a bed of roses but it's not the worst-performing one and the EU 27 are growing faster than the UK at the moment. I encourage you to look at the evidence and then form your opinion.

Mr K 05-03-2018 20:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939638)
The Conservatives have addressed it, so all credit to them for that.

They haven't though, they had no plan and still don't ! Both Cameron and May campaigned for Remain, and didn't plan for any other result. Dave only had the vote to try and save his job. It must be the most selfish act of any PM ever. History will not judge him well.

Damien 05-03-2018 20:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Other than the fact the EU are our biggest trading partner another reason we really need to secure a decent trade deal with them is that it looks like the US deal isn't going to be so great for us: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...-war-gg8x2pd6f

Quote:

Theresa May protested to President Trump over his plans for tariffs on steel and aluminium imports yesterday amid warnings about the prospects for a UK-US trade deal.

Ministers rebuked the president for threatening a trade war after he announced that the US would impose duties of 25 per cent on imported steel and 10 per cent on aluminium in an attempt to save its domestic industry.

...


The Times understands that US State Department officials told MPs from the public accounts committee that the US-UK deal would follow an “America First” approach. In a private briefing before Christmas, they were told that it would not be possible to have a deal excluding agriculture, which would require Britain to lower standards.

“It was a brutal reality check,” one of the MPs at the briefing said. “They want to help us out but the deal must work for them and they made clear they are ‘trade warriors’.”


---------- Post added at 19:30 ---------- Previous post was at 19:26 ----------

As for the tariffs themselves the EU are getting ready to respond: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/n...iffs-ctsw2m9fw

I smell a trade war!

Quote:

Europe and the United States are on the brink of a trade war as Brussels begins drawing up up a €2.8 billion hit list of American products for retaliatory tariffs.

The EU is ready to strike at American brands such as Harley-Davidson and Levi’s in response to President Trump’s threatened levies of up to 25 per cent on steel and aluminium imports, heralding huge new export costs for European industry.
:erm:

1andrew1 05-03-2018 20:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35939644)
Other than the fact the EU are our biggest trading partner another reason we really need to secure a decent trade deal with them is that it looks like the US deal isn't going to be so great for us: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...-war-gg8x2pd6f

The UK experienced another reality check today with regard to negotiating with the US.
Quote:

The US is offering Britain a worse “Open Skies” deal after Brexit than it had as an EU member, in a negotiating stance that would badly hit the transatlantic operating rights of British Airways and Virgin Atlantic...
One person attending the London meetings to “put Humpty Dumpty back together” said: “You can’t just scratch out ‘EU’ and put in ‘UK’.” A British official said it showed “the squeeze” London will face as it tries to reconstruct its international agreements after Brexit, even with close allies such as Washington.
https://www.ft.com/content/9461157c-...c-0cd3483b8b80

Dave42 05-03-2018 20:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
and still the Brextremists says it gonna be easy to do deals all living in fantasy island

denphone 05-03-2018 20:42

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35939649)
and still the Brextremists says it gonna be easy to do deals all living in fantasy island

As easy as pie of course but of course the actual real reality is starting to hit home now.

OLD BOY 05-03-2018 20:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939640)
Old Boy, again you post things like the worst-performing large economy when this clearly isn't true. I don't pretend the EU's a bed of roses but it's not the worst-performing one and the EU 27 are growing faster than the UK at the moment. I encourage you to look at the evidence and then form your opinion.

Well, one of the worst. I agree that they did beat Japan.

However, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Brazil, South Korea, United States, Canada, Mexico, South Africa and Australia all did better.

The UK hasn't done so well just lately, but don't forget that we are in the EU stranglehold that we are prising ourselves free from, and our economic growth will go from strength to strength when we leave and put the Brexit uncertainties behind us.

Dave42 05-03-2018 21:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939656)
Well, one of the worst. I agree that they did beat Japan.

However, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Brazil, South Korea, United States, Canada, Mexico, South Africa and Australia all did better.

The UK hasn't done so well just lately, but don't forget that we are in the EU stranglehold that we are prising ourselves free from, and our economic growth will go from strength to strength when we leave and put the Brexit uncertainties behind us.

fantasy island there OB

1andrew1 05-03-2018 22:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939656)
Well, one of the worst. I agree that they did beat Japan.

However, China, India, Indonesia, Russia, Brazil, South Korea, United States, Canada, Mexico, South Africa and Australia all did better.

The UK hasn't done so well just lately, but don't forget that we are in the EU stranglehold that we are prising ourselves free from, and our economic growth will go from strength to strength when we leave and put the Brexit uncertainties behind us.

Any evidence to support that growth comparison? Reality is that the Eurozone has outperformed the USA for the last 2.5 years!
Quote:

Largely unnoticed, the eurozone economy’s outperformance of the US stretches significantly further back than the most recent quarter of gross domestic product figures. Despite the 2015 Greek crisis, total growth in the single currency area has exceeded that in the US for the past two-and-a-half years, with the eurozone expanding 5.1 per cent over the period compared with 4.6 per cent for the US.
https://www.ft.com/content/8db37b0a-...9-9f94ee97d996

---------- Post added at 21:31 ---------- Previous post was at 21:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35939659)
fantasy island there OB

Nail on the head, Dave! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfZWErZjFzM

---------- Post added at 21:36 ---------- Previous post was at 21:31 ----------

Meanwhile, Theresa May suggested today that the Irish border could be modelled on the US-Canadian one. Only problem - Ireland rejected this model six months ago as it's a hard border with armed guards. Doh!
Quote:

Bloomberg Theresa May said she was looking at the border between the U.S. and Canada as a possible model for the frontier between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland after Brexit. There’s only one problem: Ireland’s prime minister rejected that idea six months ago.
Taking questions on her Brexit strategy in Parliament on Monday, May was asked by Labour lawmaker Emma Reynolds to name “an international border between two countries who are not in a customs union, who have different external tariffs, where there are no checks on lorries carrying goods at the border.”
May was dismissive. “There are many examples of different arrangements for customs around the rest of the world,” she said. “And indeed we are looking at those, including, for example, the border between the U.S. and Canada.”
Unfortunately for May, her Irish counterpart Leo Varadkar has already looked into that option, visiting the border last August. “Just visited Canada-US border,” he tweeted. “It’s high tech and highly efficient, but make no mistake -- it’s a hard border.” The frontier, he told reporters, features “armed guards, dogs, flags and checkpoints.”
May’s government continues to struggle to explain how it will deliver the three things it is committed to: no border checkpoints in Ireland, no checkpoints between Northern Ireland and the rest of the U.K., and no customs union between the European Union and the U.K.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...a-border-model

ianch99 05-03-2018 23:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939665)
Any evidence to support that growth comparison? Reality is that the Eurozone has outperformed the USA for the last 2.5 years!

https://www.ft.com/content/8db37b0a-...9-9f94ee97d996

Nail on the head, Dave!


OB doesn't need facts, as George says, you gotta have Faith :)

---------- Post added at 22:05 ---------- Previous post was at 21:40 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939638)
Well, Labour is part of the entrenched elite that so many people (not only in this country) have rejected. I can still hear snotty nosed Ed Miliband giving us all his pompous statements about how things were going to be 'because it's the right thing to do' which brought the worst out in a lot of people.

The fact that Labour would not address the mounting feeling of resentment about the Westminster and EU elite really does them no credit at all. The Conservatives have addressed it, so all credit to them for that.

I am not sure how you are blaming Labour for the mess that the Tories created? I guess it is a tribal thing ..

So let's discuss:

Quote:

The Conservatives have addressed it, so all credit to them for that
What parallel universe did this happen in? The Tories have "addressed the mounting feeling of resentment about the Westminster and EU elite"?

Come on, really? The degradation of the UK-owned manufacturing base, the lack of robust tax policies over the last decade to address offshore tax evasion, non-existent Corporation tax payments for globals, runaway housing inflation fueled by uncontrolled foreign investment (inc. money laundering), spending billions on projects intended to favour the City & big business, running down public services while watching the City & privatised national services taking billions out of this country, etc.

The list is endless to be honest. To say that the Tories are addressing the problems of the Elite is jaw dropping. They are part of this problem.

Also, while I am on my high horse :), we have a PM and Cabinet who, believe and campaigned against Leave not 18 months ago. They expressed their views many times on why Leaving is bad for this country. Now the very same people stand up and say the *exact* opposite and expect the country to believe them!

If they had a shred of honesty they should have resigned, all of them. Power is a seductive mistress so here we are, witnessing a group conversation on the road to Damascus.

Ah, you say, but they are only enacting the mythical "will of the people" and they must put aside they own personal convictions and carry out their sacred duty. Rubbish, I say! You cannot believe a word they utter.

It is the same thing as Monsieur Farage becoming Foreign Secretary in the case of a Remain win and enthusiastically representing the UK Government at the EU summit. No chance ...

Lastly, I am curious, why do you add a derogatory, personal insult when discussing someone you do not agree with?

Mick 05-03-2018 23:12

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35939659)
fantasy island there OB

No it’s not and far from it.

OB is correct.

Italy won’t be far behind us, by the looks of things, based off Eurosceptic parties gaining power in the elections yesterday. Itaxit a real possibility.

1andrew1 05-03-2018 23:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35939679)
No it’s not and far from it.

OB is correct.

Italy won’t be far behind us, by the looks of things, based off Eurosceptic parties gaining power in the elections yesterday. Itaxit a real possibility.

Didn't they say that about Austria, Hungary, France, Catalonia and the Netherlands too?

Mick 06-03-2018 02:15

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939683)
Didn't they say that about Austria, Hungary, France, Catalonia and the Netherlands too?

Not after an election they didn't because Pro EU parties were elected after their Elections, in Italy, this is now not the case. Sure it's an Hung Parliament but Anti-Establishment & Anti-EU parties have the biggest collection of votes and will likely form the next government.

But I would not shrug off the failures in those prior elections, in most of those countries you mention...

In Austria: The far-right Freedom Party is now a central part of a right wing coalition government.

In France, Le Pen may have lost but her and her party still made it to the second round of the election with historic gains.

In Germany: A far-right party will, this month, become the official opposition party. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) will be boosted by official opposition funding, with seats on influential parliamentary committees.

Resentment of the EU is on the rise and so it should be.

OLD BOY 06-03-2018 08:45

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35939659)
fantasy island there OB

The economy will benefit, Dave, because trade with the EU will be much the same as it is now plus we are going to trade more with the rest of the world.

---------- Post added at 07:32 ---------- Previous post was at 07:27 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939665)
Any evidence to support that growth comparison? Reality is that the Eurozone has outperformed the USA for the last 2.5 years!

I apologise for including the USA. I had forgotten that the US had fallen back recently in comparison with the EU. However, it does not change the thrust of what I said about the slow economic growth of the EU compared with other large economies.

---------- Post added at 07:45 ---------- Previous post was at 07:32 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939671)
OB doesn't need facts, as George says, you gotta have Faith :)

---------- Post added at 22:05 ---------- Previous post was at 21:40 ----------



I am not sure how you are blaming Labour for the mess that the Tories created? I guess it is a tribal thing ..

So let's discuss:



What parallel universe did this happen in? The Tories have "addressed the mounting feeling of resentment about the Westminster and EU elite"?

Come on, really? The degradation of the UK-owned manufacturing base, the lack of robust tax policies over the last decade to address offshore tax evasion, non-existent Corporation tax payments for globals, runaway housing inflation fueled by uncontrolled foreign investment (inc. money laundering), spending billions on projects intended to favour the City & big business, running down public services while watching the City & privatised national services taking billions out of this country, etc.

The list is endless to be honest. To say that the Tories are addressing the problems of the Elite is jaw dropping. They are part of this problem.

Also, while I am on my high horse :), we have a PM and Cabinet who, believe and campaigned against Leave not 18 months ago. They expressed their views many times on why Leaving is bad for this country. Now the very same people stand up and say the *exact* opposite and expect the country to believe them!

If they had a shred of honesty they should have resigned, all of them. Power is a seductive mistress so here we are, witnessing a group conversation on the road to Damascus.

Ah, you say, but they are only enacting the mythical "will of the people" and they must put aside they own personal convictions and carry out their sacred duty. Rubbish, I say! You cannot believe a word they utter.

It is the same thing as Monsieur Farage becoming Foreign Secretary in the case of a Remain win and enthusiastically representing the UK Government at the EU summit. No chance ...

Lastly, I am curious, why do you add a derogatory, personal insult when discussing someone you do not agree with?

Well, as far as the growing resentment of the EU elite is concerned, we were given a referendum, and the electorate gave their verdict.

As far as your rant about what, in your opinion, this government has not done, do remind yourself that the Northern Powerhouse is a Conservative idea (where is Labour's plan for the North?), tax evasion and tax avoidance is being tackled, whereas Labour did nothing when in power, housing inflation is being tacled through a variety of measures, including immigration controls and more house building, and public services have suffered due to the austerity measures that have been introduced following the financial mess that Labour left us in.

The fact that the Conservatives are now pretty united in taking forward Brexit is credit to them. Many did not want this, it's true, but at least they have listened to the electorate. You appear not to like that.

As for Ed Milliband, OK, fair dos, but he brings out the worst in people! :D

ianch99 06-03-2018 09:43

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939691)
Well, as far as the growing resentment of the EU elite is concerned, we were given a referendum, and the electorate gave their verdict.

As far as your rant about what, in your opinion, this government has not done, do remind yourself that the Northern Powerhouse is a Conservative idea (where is Labour's plan for the North?), tax evasion and tax avoidance is being tackled, whereas Labour did nothing when in power, housing inflation is being tacled through a variety of measures, including immigration controls and more house building, and public services have suffered due to the austerity measures that have been introduced following the financial mess that Labour left us in.

The fact that the Conservatives are now pretty united in taking forward Brexit is credit to them. Many did not want this, it's true, but at least they have listened to the electorate. You appear not to like that.

As for Ed Milliband, OK, fair dos, but he brings out the worst in people! :D

It is a weak argument to always fall back and blame the party last in power 9 years ago. The clear and present danger is the current Government and the dangerous course it has set this country on solely due to internal party politics.

We can have a long discussion on the validity of the IndyRef but let's not, it has been done to death. That said, 37% of the Electorate gambling the long term structural & economic future of the country is not a closed book.

You raise points that are I am afraid just right-wing media spin:

- housing inflation is being tackled
- austerity was caused by Labour and not the City owned sub-prime banking crisis
- (this is my favorite) immigration controls

I guess you could call IndyRef "immigration controls" but it was a crude weapon. The controls were already there but the Government choose not to use them for reasons known only to themselves.

The Tories are trying to say things that will deflect attention from the obvious failing of the current free-market system but, truth be known, their heart is not really in it is it? It can't be, they are children of Thatcher, it is in the DNA.

The evidence is mounting: the old fool Corbyn with all his dubious baggage nearly won the last election by just pointing out the obvious.

Lastly, saying "that the Conservatives are now pretty united in taking forward Brexit is credit to them." made me spit out my coffee! The veneer is paper thin.

Here's the adult approach to negotiating the future of our country when it is on the precipice:


Mick 06-03-2018 10:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Ianch, plenty of anomalies in your above post.

Corbyn didn’t ‘nearly’ win the election at all, he was thankfully, about 60 seats short.

This 37 % is a Fake figure because people ineligible to vote or could not be bothered, cannot be included in any so called percentage of the population of the UK of a total vote, either way, it does not matter. Leave won and it is a closed book, we are leaving.

---------- Post added at 09:44 ---------- Previous post was at 09:33 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939691)
Well, as far as the growing resentment of the EU elite is concerned, we were given a referendum, and the electorate gave their verdict.

Agreed. They certainly did. 17.4 Million out of about 33 Million.

Leave had a over a Million more votes. Those who bothered to register to vote and actually voted, made their voice heard. Remain came up short. Those who were not eligible or could not be bothered to vote do not count in any so called percentage. This is just another weak attempt by Remainers to delegitimise a very legit and legal, democratic process.

OLD BOY 06-03-2018 11:04

Re: Brexit discussion
 
W
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939700)
It is a weak argument to always fall back and blame the party last in power 9 years ago. The clear and present danger is the current Government and the dangerous course it has set this country on solely due to internal party politics.

We can have a long discussion on the validity of the IndyRef but let's not, it has been done to death. That said, 37% of the Electorate gambling the long term structural & economic future of the country is not a closed book.

You raise points that are I am afraid just right-wing media spin:

- housing inflation is being tackled
- austerity was caused by Labour and not the City owned sub-prime banking crisis
- (this is my favorite) immigration controls

I guess you could call IndyRef "immigration controls" but it was a crude weapon. The controls were already there but the Government choose not to use them for reasons known only to themselves.

The Tories are trying to say things that will deflect attention from the obvious failing of the current free-market system but, truth be known, their heart is not really in it is it? It can't be, they are children of Thatcher, it is in the DNA.

The evidence is mounting: the old fool Corbyn with all his dubious baggage nearly won the last election by just pointing out the obvious.

Lastly, saying "that the Conservatives are now pretty united in taking forward Brexit is credit to them." made me spit out my coffee! The veneer is paper thin.

Here's the adult approach to negotiating the future of our country when it is on the precipice:


So the fact that Labour left a financial mess for the Conservatives (as they did in 1979) isn't relevant to where we are now? I'm sorry, but that is the whole reason for the austerity measures that had to be taken. You may wish to ignore facts that are inconvenient to you, but really!

Once again, I am not blaming Labour for the sub prime issue that caused the financial crisis, of course not. But Labour with their financial mismanagement of our economy raided every budget and spent their way through every financial device they could think of. They raided our pensions, created more debt and didn't think of the consequences. When the financial crash came, there was no money available to protect us against the full impact, and the rest is history. You may try to ignore that little inconvenient truth, but this is a gentle reminder that non-Labour voters have not forgotten.

Similarly, you want to ignore the referendum, for reasons best known to yourself. It happened, and the electorate voted to leave, so get over it. I understand you might have misgivings, but throwing your toys out of the pram because it didn't go your way is not going to help and cuts no ice with me. The government are simply implementing the will of the electorate, even though some started off with a heavy heart. That is democracy in action. The EU would have had us call another referendum because it was not 'the right result', which of course would have been for 'More Europe'. :rolleyes:

In case you haven't noticed, Theresa May is going all out to get more houses built and is now putting pressure on those developers who are holding onto land. Where I live, there are huge housing developments going on all around, and sadly destroying our countryside. This, together with lower immigration levels, will tackle house inflation, so I don't know why you can't see that.

As for the free market system, this is what brings the wealth into the country that enables us to pay for the services we receive. Imperfect it may be, but it works, unlike Communism, which has failed everywhere it has been practised. Again, Labour never tackled the abuses such as tax evasion, so they are in no position to criticise the Conservatives for their considerable efforts in trying to put this right.

Whatever you may say, Theresa May has done her best to make the Brexit decision work and she has achieved unity in her party on this issue, which is no mean feat. Which is more than Labour has done.

jonbxx 06-03-2018 11:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939691)
I apologise for including the USA. I had forgotten that the US had fallen back recently in comparison with the EU. However, it does not change the thrust of what I said about the slow economic growth of the EU compared with other large economies.

Quick question - which measure are you using to compare the EU growth. I checked the OECD figures comparing the EU, the Eurozone and the G7 in both quarterly and year on year growth and the figures look OK - http://www.oecd.org/sdd/na/QNA-GDP-Growth-Q317-Eng.pdf

1andrew1 06-03-2018 13:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35939711)
Quick question - which measure are you using to compare the EU growth. I checked the OECD figures comparing the EU, the Eurozone and the G7 in both quarterly and year on year growth and the figures look OK - http://www.oecd.org/sdd/na/QNA-GDP-Growth-Q317-Eng.pdf

Seconded and I requested it earlier too. It's more constructive to have the sources to hand.

---------- Post added at 12:44 ---------- Previous post was at 12:41 ----------

Project Fear?
Quote:

Vauxhall chief warns of Brexit threat to Ellesmere Port
The head of Vauxhall has said lack of clarity over Brexit threatens the future of its Ellesmere Port operation.
Carlos Tavares, chief executive of PSA which owns Vauxhall, Peugeot and Citroen, said clarity over the terms of the UK's departure is "a big concern".
He told the BBC that uncertainty undermined Ellesmere Port's chances of getting more work after 2021.
"We cannot invest in a world of uncertainty," he said.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-43300201

Damien 06-03-2018 14:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
In addition to wanting us to drop agriculture standards, losing BA's ability to operate in the states as a 'first-party' operator (i.e preference to American airlines) they also want us to drop name protection so they can sell 'Scotch': https://www.scotsman.com/news/us-lob...isky-1-4700965

1andrew1 06-03-2018 15:14

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35939734)
In addition to wanting us to drop agriculture standards, losing BA's ability to operate in the states as a 'first-party' operator (i.e preference to American airlines) they also want us to drop name protection so they can sell 'Scotch': https://www.scotsman.com/news/us-lob...isky-1-4700965

Some sobering facts for those Brexiters who staked their reputations on the US giving us a good deal.

Carth 06-03-2018 15:37

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939740)
Some sobering facts for those Brexiters who staked their reputations on the US giving us a good deal.

:LOL: staking our reputations on . . . really?

You seem to find it extremely difficult to grasp that many of us wanted OUT of the European club that many of us think have no reputation left at all :p:

1andrew1 06-03-2018 16:01

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35939745)
:LOL: staking our reputations on . . . really?

You seem to find it extremely difficult to grasp that many of us wanted OUT of the European club that many of us think have no reputation left at all :p:

Not the reputations of esteemed but anonymous posters but people like Liam Fox who promised it would be easy. http://uk.businessinsider.com/liam-f...brexit-2017-10

Carth 06-03-2018 16:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939752)
Not the reputations of esteemed but anonymous posters but people like Liam Fox who promised it would be easy. http://uk.businessinsider.com/liam-f...brexit-2017-10

Oh, people like him, I see :)

well to be perfectly honest, I don't listen to people like him anyway. He doesn't know me, has no idea where I live and work, and probably has very little understanding of us commoners at all.

which can also be said for 99.9999% of the UK population, and I don't listen to them either :D

ianch99 06-03-2018 16:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35939704)
Ianch, plenty of anomalies in your above post.

Corbyn didn’t ‘nearly’ win the election at all, he was thankfully, about 60 seats short.

This 37 % is a Fake figure because people ineligible to vote or could not be bothered, cannot be included in any so called percentage of the population of the UK of a total vote, either way, it does not matter. Leave won and it is a closed book, we are leaving.

---------- Post added at 09:44 ---------- Previous post was at 09:33 ----------



Agreed. They certainly did. 17.4 Million out of about 33 Million.

Leave had a over a Million more votes. Those who bothered to register to vote and actually voted, made their voice heard. Remain came up short. Those who were not eligible or could not be bothered to vote do not count in any so called percentage. This is just another weak attempt by Remainers to delegitimise a very legit and legal, democratic process.

No anomalies, just uncomfortable reading :)

If Labour had won seven seats narrowly taken by the Conservatives, he would have had the opportunity to form a “progressive alliance” with all other smaller parties excluding the DUP. So as I said he was very nearly in Government .. scary, right?

Please, 37% of Electorate voted Leave is fake? Really ..

We disagree on what constitutes "legit" so let's agree to differ :)

---------- Post added at 15:57 ---------- Previous post was at 15:47 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939710)
W

So the fact that Labour left a financial mess for the Conservatives (as they did in 1979) isn't relevant to where we are now? I'm sorry, but that is the whole reason for the austerity measures that had to be taken. You may wish to ignore facts that are inconvenient to you, but really!

Once again, I am not blaming Labour for the sub prime issue that caused the financial crisis, of course not. But Labour with their financial mismanagement of our economy raided every budget and spent their way through every financial device they could think of. They raided our pensions, created more debt and didn't think of the consequences. When the financial crash came, there was no money available to protect us against the full impact, and the rest is history. You may try to ignore that little inconvenient truth, but this is a gentle reminder that non-Labour voters have not forgotten.

Similarly, you want to ignore the referendum, for reasons best known to yourself. It happened, and the electorate voted to leave, so get over it. I understand you might have misgivings, but throwing your toys out of the pram because it didn't go your way is not going to help and cuts no ice with me. The government are simply implementing the will of the electorate, even though some started off with a heavy heart. That is democracy in action. The EU would have had us call another referendum because it was not 'the right result', which of course would have been for 'More Europe'. :rolleyes:

In case you haven't noticed, Theresa May is going all out to get more houses built and is now putting pressure on those developers who are holding onto land. Where I live, there are huge housing developments going on all around, and sadly destroying our countryside. This, together with lower immigration levels, will tackle house inflation, so I don't know why you can't see that.

As for the free market system, this is what brings the wealth into the country that enables us to pay for the services we receive. Imperfect it may be, but it works, unlike Communism, which has failed everywhere it has been practised. Again, Labour never tackled the abuses such as tax evasion, so they are in no position to criticise the Conservatives for their considerable efforts in trying to put this right.

Whatever you may say, Theresa May has done her best to make the Brexit decision work and she has achieved unity in her party on this issue, which is no mean feat. Which is more than Labour has done.

OB, less of the emotive windups: "throwing your toys out of the pram", "get over it" :) We just have different views, don't take it personally.

You seem to fall into the same debating style as the Daily Mail: if you criticise unregulated, free market economics, you must be a Communist! In the real world, outside of the right wing media bubble, there are choices in between these two endpoints. One example is the Nordic Model but it may be too sensible for some :)

Again, you cite Labour again. If you criticise the Tories, you are not then automatically suggesting that the Labour solution is appropriate.

Mick 06-03-2018 17:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939754)

We disagree on what constitutes "legit" so let's agree to differ :)

Happy to do so, but I do have to say this, shall we go back over past elections and see how much the whole of the UK population had their say or just those registered to vote, i.e the electorate against those who actually voted?

Not every person in the UK bothers to register to vote, who are eligible to do so, so that's their loss and so is the case for those who are registered, but still don't bother to cast their vote. They cannot complain after the vote took place because it did not go the way they wanted.

It's those registered to vote which matters, you're trying to undermine what was a high voter turnout for the referendum at 72% of the total people registered to vote.

46,500,001 people were eligible to vote in the referendum, only 33,577,342 of those actually voted. That's 72% turnout, that is very high. You cannot include the entire UK populace to try somehow lower the total voter tally to try and invalidate the result, IMO, you wouldn't be having this discussion at all, if Remain had won.

OLD BOY 06-03-2018 17:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939754)
No anomalies, just uncomfortable reading :)

If Labour had won seven seats narrowly taken by the Conservatives, he would have had the opportunity to form a “progressive alliance” with all other smaller parties excluding the DUP. So as I said he was very nearly in Government .. scary, right?

Please, 37% of Electorate voted Leave is fake? Really ..

We disagree on what constitutes "legit" so let's agree to differ :)

---------- Post added at 15:57 ---------- Previous post was at 15:47 ----------



OB, less of the emotive windups: "throwing your toys out of the pram", "get over it" :) We just have different views, don't take it personally.

You seem to fall into the same debating style as the Daily Mail: if you criticise unregulated, free market economics, you must be a Communist! In the real world, outside of the right wing media bubble, there are choices in between these two endpoints. One example is the Nordic Model but it may be too sensible for some :)

Again, you cite Labour again. If you criticise the Tories, you are not then automatically suggesting that the Labour solution is appropriate.

Well, sorry, launch, but it does make me curious as to why so many people expect democracy but don't accept the referendum result! This continual resistence to what people have voted for is a bit wearing.

I think that many who criticise the free market do, in fact, want Communism, but if that is not your position, I accept that, of course. However it would be good if when people criticise, they should set out what they would do instead. That would certainly help understanding.

1andrew1 06-03-2018 18:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939760)
Well, sorry, launch, but it does make me curious as to why so many people expect democracy but don't accept the referendum result! This continual resistence to what people have voted for is a bit wearing.

I think that many who criticise the free market do, in fact, want Communism, but if that is not your position, I accept that, of course. However it would be good if when people criticise, they should set out what they would do instead. That would certainly help understanding.

Many politicians and individuals criticise the current free market. For some, it's not free enough and for others, it's too free. But I wouldn't call all people who criticise it Communists, that's a very small number of people.
Have you made any progress on locating the underlying date for your country growth rates?;)

OLD BOY 06-03-2018 19:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939761)
Many politicians and individuals criticise the current free market. For some, it's not free enough and for others, it's too free. But I wouldn't call all people who criticise it Communists, that's a very small number of people.
Have you made any progress on locating the underlying date for your country growth rates?;)

I cannot remember which site I was on at the time, but you should be able to Google the information. You're not disputing the fact that those other advanced economies are doing better than the EU in terms of growth, are you? I accept that I stated incorrectly that the US was one of them, that was my bad.

jonbxx 06-03-2018 20:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939766)
I cannot remember which site I was on at the time, but you should be able to Google the information. You're not disputing the fact that those other advanced economies are doing better than the EU in terms of growth, are you? I accept that I stated incorrectly that the US was one of them, that was my bad.

Ah, I see now, you were comparing advanced economies while I was comparing the G7 and G20. So the EU was 1.9% in 2017 and advanced economies 2.0%. Source - https://www.gfmag.com/global-data/ec...owth-by-region

Funnily enough, when I googled advanced economies growth, one of the first hits I got was https://www.politico.eu/article/imf-...ced-economies/

1andrew1 06-03-2018 21:39

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Well worth a read in full via the below link. Short of time? Skip to the last sentence to discover Robert's take on what will happen. Bookmark this for the future.
Quote:

Per Robert Peston
She can negotiate in the knowledge that the tariff-free and frictionless access to the single market she seeks will require her to sacrifice her red lines - most notably the supremacy of British law over European law, the future right to negotiate free trade deals with third-party countries like the US and China, and the end of meaningful payments into the EU’s budget.

But if she moves thither, she would have to appeal for support in Parliament above the heads of her Brexiter ministers and MPs - and that might well destroy her party.

So that it isn’t going to happen.

Or she could face up to reality and publicly acknowledge that the UK won’t get better than a Canada-style free trade deal, for as long as she insists on her red lines.

But parliament would never vote for such a limited deal. And as and when Parliament rejected such a deal, or it became clear that it would, she would be forced to reconsider the sanctity of her red lines - which would (obvs) also split her party.

So that isn’t going to happen either.

What is going to happen is that the conceit will be sustained by her and her colleagues that her speech is a rational basis for negotiation.
She will kick the can down the road in the Micawberish hope that something will turn up.

As a result, Brexit negotiations will continue to suck all the energy and initiative out of this government, and for many months and years they will continue to crowd out all other sensible government business.

Arguably the tragedy of Brexit is not Brexit itself, but the opportunity cost it represents, the way that it is preventing the UK mend itself.

The PM ended her important Brexit address on Friday by saying “let’s get in with it”. But those words will remain hollow until she is prepared to choose between what parliament would support and what would keep her party whole.
https://www.facebook.com/pestonitv/p...=244+289476616

Carth 06-03-2018 22:01

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Robert Peston, definitely a voice worth listening to . . for a giggle

Robert Peston forgot who he works for in a hilarious gaffe during a press conference at Theresa May's Brexit speech.

All the debate about leaving or staying in a customs union may have confused the respected journalist so much that he introduced himself as working for the BBC, which he left a few years ago for ITV.


https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...eston-12115564

See how easy it is to post selective articles?

1andrew1 06-03-2018 22:13

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35939786)
Robert Peston, definitely a voice worth listening to . . for a giggle

Robert Peston forgot who he works for in a hilarious gaffe during a press conference at Theresa May's Brexit speech.

All the debate about leaving or staying in a customs union may have confused the respected journalist so much that he introduced himself as working for the BBC, which he left a few years ago for ITV.


https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...eston-12115564

See how easy it is to post selective articles?

So clearly that funny incident :D means that nothing he writes is of value anymore. Apologies, my bad.

Carth 06-03-2018 23:42

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Merely pointing out that what a reporter writes about is his opinion, nothing more

1andrew1 07-03-2018 00:01

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35939796)
Merely pointing out that what a reporter writes about is his opinion, nothing more

In Robert Peston's case, it's a widely respected and informed opinion; informed by contacts, experience and knowledge.

denphone 07-03-2018 06:43

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35939786)
Robert Peston, definitely a voice worth listening to . . for a giggle

Robert Peston forgot who he works for in a hilarious gaffe during a press conference at Theresa May's Brexit speech.

All the debate about leaving or staying in a customs union may have confused the respected journalist so much that he introduced himself as working for the BBC, which he left a few years ago for ITV.


https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...eston-12115564

See how easy it is to post selective articles?

As it has been for 20 months on both sides...

---------- Post added at 05:43 ---------- Previous post was at 05:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35939796)
Merely pointing out that what a reporter writes about is his opinion, nothing more

No different to the great and the good and the ugly on here..;)

OLD BOY 07-03-2018 08:41

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35939786)
Robert Peston, definitely a voice worth listening to . . for a giggle

Robert Peston forgot who he works for in a hilarious gaffe during a press conference at Theresa May's Brexit speech.

All the debate about leaving or staying in a customs union may have confused the respected journalist so much that he introduced himself as working for the BBC, which he left a few years ago for ITV.


https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-new...eston-12115564

See how easy it is to post selective articles?

I find it amusing that this man actually seems to believe that Theresa May is aware that her Brexit stance will never be accepted but is just 'kicking the can down the road', with only one more year to go before it will happen.

Such nonsense. If she knew for sure she was not getting a deal from Europe, she would be preparing now for a no-deal Brexit, and she would be going all out to prepare industry for that as well.

These were silly comments and I would expect better from a half competent journalist.

ianch99 07-03-2018 09:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939760)
Well, sorry, launch, but it does make me curious as to why so many people expect democracy but don't accept the referendum result! This continual resistence to what people have voted for is a bit wearing.

I think that many who criticise the free market do, in fact, want Communism, but if that is not your position, I accept that, of course. However it would be good if when people criticise, they should set out what they would do instead. That would certainly help understanding.

You mean like this?

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939682)
There is a lot of discussion on following the pros & cons of the Nordic Model:

Not perfect but a good starting point?

BTW, you can call me 'launch" if you like :) No worries ..

OLD BOY 07-03-2018 10:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939823)
You mean like this?



BTW, you can call me 'launch" if you like :) No worries ..

Yes, like that. And sorry for calling you launch! A visual dysfunction on my part!

1andrew1 07-03-2018 10:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939821)
I find it amusing that this man actually seems to believe that Theresa May is aware that her Brexit stance will never be accepted but is just 'kicking the can down the road', with only one more year to go before it will happen.

Such nonsense. If she knew for sure she was not getting a deal from Europe, she would be preparing now for a no-deal Brexit, and she would be going all out to prepare industry for that as well.

These were silly comments and I would expect better from a half competent journalist.

Those of us following events closely know Robert to be correct. Today, reports state that the UK's plea for services to be included in any free trade deal will be rebuffed. So, the UK will get its transition deal and an offer of a Canada-style deal for goods but this won't be accepted by Parliament so the UK will stay in transition mode, something that the EU will accept as we'll abide by its rules and continue funding it.

heero_yuy 07-03-2018 12:11

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun:


David Davis has vowed that rebel MPs who could try and vote down the final Brexit deal will not be able to overturn the referendum decision to leave the EU.

The Brexit Secretary said even if the Government lost a “meaningful” vote in Parliament on the agreement secured by Theresa May from Brussels - we would still be quitting the bloc as planned.

One of the ways anti-Brexit campaigners have identified as a possible route to halting our exit is for the Prime Minister to lose a vote in the House of Commons.

They have suggested it would be an effective vote of no confidence in Mrs May, would prompt her resignation, lead to another election and a possible second referendum.

But speaking to a committee of MPs Mr Davis said he did not see it that way, adding: "I don't view a meaningful vote as overruling the referendum if that's what you mean."

The Cabinet minister also said the government would not stop planning for a no-deal Brexit scenario even if agreement on a transitional period is reached with the EU later this month.
Same story available in the Gruniad for the snobs. ;)

1andrew1 07-03-2018 12:25

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Confirmation today that Theresa May's suggestions have been knocked back. As others have said, her speech was really aimed at her own party and not the EU. To that extent, her speech was successful.
https://www.ft.com/content/f1411812-...1-0e8958b189ea
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-politics-live

denphone 07-03-2018 12:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35939836)
Same story available in the Gruniad for the snobs. ;)

Have you got any labels for those that read the other papers.;)

heero_yuy 07-03-2018 12:53

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from denphone:


Have you got any labels for those that read the other papers.;)
Plenty. But most are not family forum friendly. :D

ianch99 07-03-2018 15:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35939836)
Same story available in the Gruniad for the snobs. ;)

Glad to see the grown up attitude to forum posting is alive and well in Worthing :)

OLD BOY 07-03-2018 18:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939830)
Those of us following events closely know Robert to be correct. Today, reports state that the UK's plea for services to be included in any free trade deal will be rebuffed. So, the UK will get its transition deal and an offer of a Canada-style deal for goods but this won't be accepted by Parliament so the UK will stay in transition mode, something that the EU will accept as we'll abide by its rules and continue funding it.

No, he's not! This is just the EU's opening gambit, like the £100bn + that they were demanding at the beginning of the first round.

jonbxx 07-03-2018 19:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The EU never demanded €100bn, that was an estimate by the FT and was before rebates and and money that was due to be sent back to the UK. See https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-divorce-bill/

denphone 07-03-2018 19:52

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35939883)
The EU never demanded €100bn, that was an estimate by the FT and was before rebates and and money that was due to be sent back to the UK. See https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-divorce-bill/

Full Facts more like the truth rather then some make belief fairy story.;)

ianch99 07-03-2018 19:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35939883)
The EU never demanded €100bn, that was an estimate by the FT and was before rebates and and money that was due to be sent back to the UK. See https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-divorce-bill/

Facts .. facts .. STOP IT NOW! We don't deal with facts in this universe, only Faith-based claims :)

Seriously though, I worry that the Tories inward reflection and obsession with holding their Party together is distorting their objective assessment of reality.

We knew all along that the EU27's priority is to ensure the survival of the European project and if this means a financial hit then so be it.

No cake, no cherries and no champagne then ..

OLD BOY 07-03-2018 20:15

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35939883)
The EU never demanded €100bn, that was an estimate by the FT and was before rebates and and money that was due to be sent back to the UK. See https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-divorce-bill/

What's this then?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/timwors.../#6633346732f8

David Davis flatly dismissed Brussels demands for a £92billion (€100billion) divorce bill today after it emerged Germany, France and Poland had ganged up to inflate the sum.

EU negotiators have doubled the charge the UK was thought to be facing in order to cover farm subsidies and plug the giant hole in its budget up until 2020.

jonbxx 07-03-2018 20:19

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I don’t think Philip Hammond has received the latest hymn sheet. Here’s what he said today on the EUs draft guidelines in the upcoming trade talks;

Quote:

The EU is a very skilled negotiator. They’ve done this many times [before] - not precisely this, but they’ve negotiated agreements with many countries. They are very skilled, very disciplined in the way they carry out their negotiation. And it does not surprise me remotely that what they’ve set out this morning is a very tough position. That’s what any competent, skilled, experienced negotiator would do.

OLD BOY 07-03-2018 20:21

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35939889)
I don’t think Philip Hammond has received the latest hymn sheet. Here’s what he said today on the EUs draft guidelines in the upcoming trade talks;

I cannot see anything to disagree with there. This is why we are keeping our cards close to our chests, much to the annoyance of the press and remainers.

ianch99 07-03-2018 20:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939890)
I cannot see anything to disagree with there. This is why we are keeping our cards close to our chests, much to the annoyance of the press and remainers.

You mean the cunning card that Hammond has that says:

Quote:

UK would reject any trade deal not including financial services
That's a Hard brexit then .. anyone for Tea (and cake)?

jonbxx 07-03-2018 20:29

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939888)
What's this then?

https://www.forbes.com/sites/timwors.../#6633346732f8

David Davis flatly dismissed Brussels demands for a £92billion (€100billion) divorce bill today after it emerged Germany, France and Poland had ganged up to inflate the sum.

EU negotiators have doubled the charge the UK was thought to be facing in order to cover farm subsidies and plug the giant hole in its budget up until 2020.

Just read the link and the only source it has for the €100bn is again the Financial Times article. The quote above from was from the Daily Mail and copied in to that article. The article was written by Tim Worstall, former UKIP press officer BTW

1andrew1 08-03-2018 00:26

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939890)
I cannot see anything to disagree with there. This is why we are keeping our cards close to our chests, much to the annoyance of the press and remainers.

Um, Theresa May's speech set out our cake-and-eat it approach. The EU has published its detailed guidelines long in advance. This is not a deal for negotiating a contract for printer paper with multiple suppliers, there's just two sides with pretty few surprises on either of them.

I do genuinely believe that something like Robert's Peston's scenario is a credible one, ie that the deal offered to the UK will be unacceptable to Parliament but that we'll negotiate a transition period that will go on for some time.

OLD BOY 08-03-2018 09:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939891)
You mean the cunning card that Hammond has that says:



That's a Hard brexit then .. anyone for Tea (and cake)?

The EU have already indicated they don't want a hard Brexit, so if that's true, and clearly some on here believe every word they say, they are going to have to come down off that high and mighty perch.

---------- Post added at 08:03 ---------- Previous post was at 07:59 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939911)
Um, Theresa May's speech set out our cake-and-eat it approach. The EU has published its detailed guidelines long in advance. This is not a deal for negotiating a contract for printer paper with multiple suppliers, there's just two sides with pretty few surprises on either of them.

I do genuinely believe that something like Robert's Peston's scenario is a credible one, ie that the deal offered to the UK will be unacceptable to Parliament but that we'll negotiate a transition period that will go on for some time.

I know that's what you believe, Andrew.

Incidentally, the 'transition period' will actually be an 'implementation period' because we will already have left the EU by 2019. If there is nothing to implement because there's no deal, we would be out, and that's that.

---------- Post added at 08:05 ---------- Previous post was at 08:03 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35939891)
You mean the cunning card that Hammond has that says:



That's a Hard brexit then .. anyone for Tea (and cake)?

Make mine a large slab, with some nice Australian wine. :D

1andrew1 08-03-2018 09:13

Re: Brexit discussion
 
In news that may annoy Brextremists like Rees-Mogg, the Government will today publish its future contribution payments to the EU. It will also reiterate that there will be no Brexit dividend; payments that would have gone to the EU will now fund equivalent UK bodies and extra money may be needed if by any chance we are allowed to have associate membership of EU regulatory bodies such as the one for medicines.

---------- Post added at 08:13 ---------- Previous post was at 08:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939928)
Incidentally, the 'transition period' will actually be an 'implementation period' because we will already have left the EU by 2019. If there is nothing to implement because there's no deal, we would be out, and that's that.

No one expects us to negotiate a trade deal with the EU by March 2019. These things take years. But we should be able to negotiate a transition deal (or whatever form of words you wish to use) by then to prevent a hard Brexit.

OLD BOY 08-03-2018 09:15

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35939931)
In news that may annoy Brextremists like Rees-Mogg, the Government will today publish its future contribution payments to the EU. It will also reiterate that there will be no Brexit dividend; payments that would have gone to the EU will now fund equivalent UK bodies and extra money may be needed if by any chance we are allowed to have associate membership of EU regulatory bodies such as the one for medicines.

Nothing new here, Andrew; the savings from ceasing contributions to the EU always were unlikely to be realised in the early years.

The biggest advantage for the UK will be increased trade with the rest of the world. That's the dividend I'm interested in.

1andrew1 08-03-2018 14:10

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939934)
Nothing new here, Andrew; the savings from ceasing contributions to the EU always were unlikely to be realised in the early years.

The biggest advantage for the UK will be increased trade with the rest of the world. That's the dividend I'm interested in.

You may have to wait forever for that mate. The EU currently has trade deals with about 70 countries - more than any other trading bloc has. When we leave they won't transition over; it's not a simple cut-and-paste jobbie I'm afraid.

---------- Post added at 13:08 ---------- Previous post was at 13:05 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939928)
Make mine a large slab, with some nice Australian wine. :D

Nothing to stop you enjoying that at the moment. But in the future you may need the wine more to help wash down that chlorinated chicken and US-made Cornish pasties. ;)

---------- Post added at 13:10 ---------- Previous post was at 13:08 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939934)
Nothing new here, Andrew; the savings from ceasing contributions to the EU always were unlikely to be realised in the early years.

The Government says there will be no savings in the future. It's not a case of early years, middle years or later years. There will be no savings full stop.

ianch99 08-03-2018 17:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939934)
Nothing new here, Andrew; the savings from ceasing contributions to the EU always were unlikely to be realised in the early years.

The biggest advantage for the UK will be increased trade with the rest of the world. That's the dividend I'm interested in.

Better get that Bus repainted then :)

OLD BOY 08-03-2018 18:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35940014)
Better get that Bus repainted then :)

I don't recall the bus saying anything about a start date. Not that it matters - it was only ever a suggestion by the Leave campaigners, not a commitment by any political party.

As it happens, the government has pledged to continue paying various grants for an interim period in line with payments currently paid by the EU (eg agricultural grants to farmers) so that money was never going to be available straight away anyhow.

denphone 08-03-2018 18:24

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35940014)
Better get that Bus repainted then :)

Better still get Boris to do it.;)

ianch99 08-03-2018 18:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35940015)
As it happens, the government has pledged to continue paying various grants for an interim period in line with payments currently paid by the EU (eg agricultural grants to farmers) so that money was never going to be available straight away anyhow.

Can't recall a Bus driving around with this message?

papa smurf 08-03-2018 18:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35940019)
Better still get Boris to do it.;)

Borrow this one
https://news.sky.com/story/remain-ca...-cost-11260978

1andrew1 08-03-2018 21:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
So, a few things came out today:

1) There will not be a Brexit dividend. After 15 years, annual net borrowing would be around £20bn higher under the EEA option, almost £60bn higher under the free trade agreement option and more than £80bn higher under the WTO option.

2) Free trade deals with new countries will have minimal benefit as these tariffs are already low. It is the non-tariff rules and regulations which are the issue and free trade deals do not solve these.

3) Tusk is prioritising the Irish border issue but not solving this won't be a requirement of a transition deal. I still think this form of "purgatory" is where we'll be for a long time.

https://www.parliament.uk/business/c...blished-17-19/

Dave42 08-03-2018 23:13

Re: Brexit discussion
 
May warned there must be an 'Ireland first' approach to Brexit talks

https://news.sky.com/story/may-warne...talks-11281755

Stuart 08-03-2018 23:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35939934)
The biggest advantage for the UK will be increased trade with the rest of the world. That's the dividend I'm interested in.

Let's wait and see, shall we? We have vague promises from the likes of Trump that they will trade with us, but let's see what they offer to a group of negotiators negotiating on behalf of one country of 70 million compared to those representing several countries, and 400 million people.

1andrew1 08-03-2018 23:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Stuart (Post 35940052)
Let's wait and see, shall we? We have vague promises from the likes of Trump that they will trade with us, but let's see what they offer to a group of negotiators negotiating on behalf of one country of 70 million compared to those representing several countries, and 400 million people.

The Brexit Committee's own report kicks OB's assertion well and truly into the long grass. Per slide 14, such deals will only add 0.2% - 0.7% to GDP. By leaving the EU and adopting a free trade agreement with it, the report suggests a reduction in GDP of 3%.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents/...l-Briefing.pdf

denphone 09-03-2018 06:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35940054)
The Brexit Committee's own report kicks OB's assertion well and truly into the long grass. Per slide 14, such deals will only add 0.2% - 0.7% to GDP. By leaving the EU and adopting a free trade agreement with it, the report suggests a reduction in GDP of 3%.

https://www.parliament.uk/documents/...l-Briefing.pdf

Yep OB thinks it will be like taking candy from a baby when it is likely to be much much harder then that.

jonbxx 09-03-2018 09:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Any day now Volkswagen, Siemens and BMW will tell Angela Merkel what's what and she will get the rest of the EU to get in to line.

Any day now....

heero_yuy 09-03-2018 09:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from jonbxx:


Any day now Volkswagen, Siemens and BMW will tell Angela Merkel what's what and she will get the rest of the EU to get in to line.

Any day now....
Well now that she's solved her local difficulties she can get back to running the EU. :erm:

Carth 09-03-2018 10:04

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35940078)
Well now that she's solved her local difficulties she can get back to running the EU. :erm:

oooh you are awful . . but I like you :D

Mick 09-03-2018 19:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Interesting number plate, seen on a car in Hong Kong...

https://twitter.com/The_Evil_Barbie/...65817415667712

denphone 09-03-2018 19:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
l will start the bidding at a pound..;)

Gavin78 10-03-2018 22:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Seems the EU now want billions for crap like this.

EU demands £2.4bn in unpaid customs duties from UK over Chinese fashion imports

https://news.sky.com/story/eu-demand...ports-11281225

1andrew1 12-03-2018 21:05

Re: Brexit discussion
 
An interesting report which looks at the costs to the EU and UK of Brexit.
Quote:

More than three-quarters of the impact of Brexit will fall on just five sectors in the EU and the UK, according to new research, and would disproportionately affect specific regions such as London in the UK and Bavaria in Germany.

The hardest hit sectors will be financial services, automotive, agriculture, food and drink, chemicals and plastics, says the study to be published on Monday by consultancy Oliver Wyman and the law firm Clifford Chance....

In Ireland, the agricultural sector’s exposure to UK consumers made it particularly vulnerable, while in Germany, four of the 16 states — Bavaria, North Rhine-Westphalia, Baden-Württemberg and Lower Saxony — would shoulder more than three-quarters of the impact on the country because of the importance of the automotive and manufacturing sectors in those regions.
https://www.ft.com/content/435d4698-...8-60d3531b7d11
Quote:

The annual ‘red tape’, or tariff and non-tariff, costs of Brexit for EU27 exporters is around £31 billion and for UK exporters is around £27 billion even after initial steps to mitigate costs have been taken. This is proportionately 4 times larger for the UK as a percentage of Gross Value Added (GVA1).

70% of the aggregate impact falls in just five sectors in both the EU27 and UK.

Disproportional impacts in specific regions such as Bavaria in Germany and London in the UK.

A future customs arrangement equivalent to The Customs Union reduces the EU27 impact to around £14 billion and the UK impact to around £17 billion. Mitigating the costs of Brexit are non-trivial and impacted firms need to be taking steps now. Small firms will be least able to mitigate these costs and in turn pose risks to their supply chain.
https://www.businesswire.com/news/ho...port-Estimates

heero_yuy 16-03-2018 12:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from Forces Network:


The Royal Navy should be strengthened to help protect British fishing waters from the "armada" of EU trawlers post-Brexit, ministers have been told.

Conservative MP Philip Hollobone said supporters of remain and leave were united in the need for the UK to leave the Common Fisheries Policy, which he labelled the "very worst aspect" of EU membership.

Brexit minister Steve Baker said surveillance will be boosted to ensure UK waters can be patrolled and regulations enforced.

When referring to the UK leaving the EU, Mr Hollobone told the Commons: "On that day the armada of EU trawlers that have been plundering Britain's historic fishing grounds since 1973 are not going to be happy their best years are behind them."
Iceland were effective in protecting their territorial waters from our fishermen. We should be prepard for the same.

Carth 16-03-2018 12:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35940879)
Iceland were effective in protecting their territorial waters from our fishermen. We should be prepard for the same.


Damn, just when approaching retirement age and can put my feet up it seems I could get called up to 'dads army' :(

jonbxx 16-03-2018 17:16

Re: Brexit discussion
 
It seems our EU Parliamentary representative to the EU Fisheries Committee, one N. Farage wasn't very effective. Maybe turning up to more than one out of 42 meetings of the committee would have better represented our interests

Mr K 16-03-2018 17:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35940906)
It seems our EU Parliamentary representative to the EU Fisheries Committee, one N. Farage wasn't very effective. Maybe turning up to more than one out of 42 meetings of the committee would have better represented our interests

Oh come on he only gets an £84k salary; bit much to ask him to turn up to meetings. Farage is very happy to be on the EU gravy train and will happily accept a pension from them (which we'll be paying for !)

1andrew1 17-03-2018 13:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35940879)
Iceland were effective in protecting their territorial waters from our fishermen. We should be prepard for the same.

Post-Brexit, nothing will happen on the fishing front for a little while as the UK has had to yield to its far larger negotiating partner.

Quote:

Michael Gove, environment secretary, has called for an immediate renegotiation of fishing quotas and access for EU vessels in British waters from March 2019, when the UK will leave the bloc.
But the British government is set to accept on Monday demands set out in the EU’s draft transition text, which includes a clause making clear that the UK share of the “total catch” will remain unchanged during the two years after the UK leaves the EU.
https://www.ft.com/content/89ef8760-...e-cc62a39d57a0

Mick 17-03-2018 13:21

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Typical of the corrupt EU telling us what we can do, in our own god damn waters. NO DEAL!


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