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There’s no predicting how post-Brexit elections would go. Would your average Conservative voter risk a Corbyn Government? Tax and spend socialism? Can’t see it. This frenzy can be stamped out as quickly as it was ignited. A good policy on inheritance tax tends to focus the minds. |
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There’s a large number of people out there who didn’t vote in the referendum who could get motivated to vote in a general election on any number of issues that aren’t the European Union. |
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It’s like saying. 6 billion of the world didn’t vote fot Brexit, yes because they were either ineligible or didn’t bother. The only numbers that count are the ones that did. And won. |
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---------- Post added at 22:04 ---------- Previous post was at 22:00 ---------- Spain and France are iffy about the deal it seems. Maybe they really are and it would surely be curtains for May's deal if it were rejected by the EU! Or maybe it's a bit of theatre. Saturday rolls around and suddenly the deal is off! Panic stations. Gloomy leaks from No 10. Dire warnings from EU leaders. Too far apart, it's all going wrong. Late night sessions into the early hours of Sunday, the meeting won't happen. Until a last minute deal! She did it! That was hard. Surely Parliament can't vote against it now since it's clear this is the best we can get? |
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Re: Brexit
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The people who chose to abstain didn’t choose to be prohibited from voting in all future general elections, and rightfully are not. Equally if the question were to be put to the people again they may be inclined to vote. Their decision to abstain applies to that referendum only, for as long as that advisory vote is valid. You can’t really predict the impact of a reversal on a general election, especially if both main parties broadly support the decision. Even more so if the Tories remove May and she takes the fall for it, putting country before herself and the party. |
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Old saying - A week is a long time in politics, so never can mean maybe or soon or in due course, or as parliament feels at the time. |
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Still should be enough to sway her fickle Brexit base. The papers that were fervently in favour of meaningful Brexit have now gone luke warm in the face of reality. Seems the tactic if it fails a vote in parliament to keep making them vote again with increasing dire warnings. Labour MPs will slowly come on board and the ERG will continue to disintegrate. Even the DUP might grudgingly abstain or vote for it, faced with the prospect of a Corbyn govt., as long as they've had a 'fight' and made some trouble. It's a crap deal, we all know it, and it isn't really 'Brexit', but it's better than no deal. However it will be the end of May and probably the Govt., so look on the bright side :) |
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