Re: Coronavirus
 

So was Thanos.

Re: Coronavirus
 

Semantics up there with OB claiming the original variant went away in summer. Equally every school holiday is correlated with a drop in community transmission.

Not sure what being a school governor has to do with anything other than perhaps explaining an emotive and irrational response to the subject of pandemic management.

As I say, you've been wrong before. You aren't considering the data. You're just opining about a subject you profess to be bored of and not care about. Yet here you are, passionately opining that there's no justification for any restrictions nor lockdowns.

You may claim there's no real data, but unfortunately - as before - taking a British centric approach to data leads to being late to the table.

My certainty is well placed. Give it a month, max. See I consider the data. I care about the subject. And I don't view it through an ideological prism of despising state intervention at all costs - even if it's saving jobs and lives.

Re: Coronavirus
 

Best laugh I’ve had all evening.

You’ve been predicting “lockdown within a month” ever since summer. Even a broken clock is right twice a day - if there’s a lockdown of any sort this winter, you won’t have predicted it based on data.

Re: Coronavirus
 

I’m a school governor, I am seeing the school plans being put in place to try and get the pupils to recover from some of them being restricted from attending for no good reason.

You, however are not.

as have you, regardless of your self adulation, I guarantee many of your recent proclamations won’t age well.

that’s all I’m considering.

if you have data I’ll view it ………..do you have any?…………

I’ve bookmarked it.

You are a wonderful human being. Don’t let anyone tell you otherwise. I believe in you. You can do it!

Not when there’s free money…why would you.

---------- Post added at 23:11 ---------- Previous post was at 23:09 ----------

:tu:

Re: Coronavirus
 

Grateful if you could source a single post where I predicted a lockdown within a month at any point since July.

We both know I've not predicted that - I have said at points if growth rates aren't kept in check, via other restrictions, a lockdown is inevitable as the emergency brake. Growth rates have fluctuated - in particular around school holidays - and finally vaccines for teenagers and boosters with mRNA vaccines are all positives.

However they only push back so much. Against Delta the Government have found it's sweet spot of cases, hospitalisations and deaths that it can live with - R roughly 1. 50k/1k/200.

Yet Omicron is out there - R is at least 2 it could be as high as 4. It throws the whole thing in the bin if the NHS is at 70-80% capacity. That's why this prediction is substantively different from the others.

---------- Post added at 23:22 ---------- Previous post was at 23:18 ----------

Educators looking after educators interests - long holidays on an agricultural calendar. I'm sure they're totally impartial.

I cannot wait. You have no basis to offer any such guarantees other than blind hope. I've ignored the rest of your post - as you've said you don't consider there is a point in bringing in restrictions so pointing to any evidence in either direction is a fruitless exercise.

You're a school governor after all, I'm sure you could source your own empirical data if genuinely interested.

Re: Coronavirus
 

priceless….you on the Buckfast tonight?

well it’s only a few weeks.

well why change a winning formula?

Re: Coronavirus
 

Well Pierre, I think we can substantively leave it there for a couple of weeks at least I'm not lowering myself to your petty insults. Our chips are in.

That said I'm not sure I'd want to be in your school. After all...

Sentences start with a capital letter and end with a full stop. Basic literacy? Public health? Who knows where your interests lie.

Re: Coronavirus
 

Why is "more transmissible" far far worse than "more deadly" ?

Re: Coronavirus
 

I may have dreamt this and therefore may end up looking silly but I'm sure I heard or read that it's hard to catch covid if you have a cold as the cold virus is a stronger virus and physically stops covid invading the already infected cells. I could quite easily be wrong on this though

---------- Post added at 00:07 ---------- Previous post was at 00:05 ----------

Perhaps we had the same dream, worryingly

Re: Coronavirus
 

Because it can infect more people. The virus itself might not be more deadly per person injected but the spread might be more deadly if it hits more people.

Re: Coronavirus
 

At least you haven’t lost your sense of humour, or Irony. See you in a few weeks.

Re: Coronavirus
 

Like the common cold you mean? Well we have learned to live with it why not a more transmissible but gentler version of Covid?All these infections are seeking to get replicated quickly and fast.A gentler version would be much more successful in surviving.

Re: Coronavirus
 

Conjecture & speculation.. but with current ongoings will anyone take note?

https://www.thesun.co.uk/health/1697..._source=pushly

Re: Coronavirus
 

I'm hoping it is just the usual meticulous Sun journalism.

and from same article

and

Re: Coronavirus
 

Also in the FT...