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Let’s not forget, Ireland would have had the EU in its corner |
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It is WTO membership that would require a hard border. If the UK had ventured down the route of no deal then all its trade globally would have tariffs which would wreck its economy as companies fled the UK. (As it is, it is just the slowly deflating tyre effect that the country is enjoying.) Ireland would have counted the US and the EU nations on its side. Who would have supported the UK? |
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Parallels can be drawn between may/Boris in Brexit and trump/Biden Afghanistan
Riddle me this? as Biden could have overruled Trumps Afghan antics he didn’t Boris could of quite easily taken out on no deal, he frequently stated that no deal was better than a bad deal, yet here we are with a bad deal. So, why didn’t he ? |
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You seem to be obsessed with everyone saying it was the UK's fault. You have no way of knowing that. A strong, resolute government (we don't have that) would have its ducks lined up and in any case, which countries outside the EU and US would care? They'd be eating their popcorn same as us. |
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Had we gone no deal who else’s fault could it have been??? As a Brexiteer you get funnier by the second, first of all it doesn’t matter if we upset the EU now it doesn’t matter if we upset the EU & the US |
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On your second point, all the upset by the EU and US would be posing. The US would get over it (the special relationship) and the EU would have a problem with Eire. |
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I’m still waiting for answer to the question I asked regarding why we haven’t taken the EU to court as some believe they’re breaking international law…. Re the beer running out ? Oh well never mind, just a shame all of his pubs haven’t caught fire. It’s alright though the staff that would be out of jobs could just retrain as hgv drivers |
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I’ll accept the above being possible in a far of crayola based reality Why didn’t Boris take us out on no deal? He had the opportunity |
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I’d genuinely like to understand why you think he didn’t do it ? |
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I see Therefore, as we continue meandering down this never ending discussion of politics Can we safely say you won’t be blaming May anymore as per your earlier post? Quite odd really, May has more balls than Boris, at least she was prepared to do what she believed in. Unless of course Boris didn’t believe in no deal all along ??? I’ll bid you good night and say thank you for a pleasant discussion, no doubt the shenanigans will continue tomorrow |
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Oh Christ I hope not . . .
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Boris accepted a bad deal rather than a no deal because firstly it got Brexit done without too much more aggro, but he also decided that any problems arising could be dealt with after the event, when we would be in a position of strength. This is only just starting to play out, but I can see him making the argument in the not too distant future that we will give the EU notice of termination, and he will explain that the existing deal was not working. Without the nonsense of having a hung parliament and with the advantage of having left the EU, plus the prospect of this unfolding chaos of EU malice under this bad deal, he will get more of the public on side. |
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A wonder indeed....... |
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Could Boris just have picked up the phone, rang that Barnier chap and said
"Right I've had enough, no more games, I'm buggering off, bye" ? or would it have had to be agreed by everyone who had a say in it . . including those who were totally against a no deal :shrug: Plenty of people were willing to scupper any kind of deal using delaying tactics. |
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---------- Post added at 13:20 ---------- Previous post was at 13:06 ---------- i think this thoughtful article neatly summarises where the country is at on Brexit. Quote:
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May is blamed for the Withdrawal Agreement which included the NI Protocol. Boris is blamed for not having the balls to unpick/undo this one way or another. As for shenanigans, they are not of my making. |
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Mon dieu... the desperation..... |
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I couldn’t take the pay cut ;) |
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Any withdrawal agreement had to contain provisions to protect the peace in Northern Ireland that is a simple fact. Boris knew what no deal meant, for all his gibberish & lunacy he’s not stupid. Shenanigans are fun ;) |
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Shenanigans are better fun than sitting staring out of the window wondering if it will start to rain when/if I get the lawn mower out :D
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Looking forward while we rebuild after Covid, we can diverge including on GB/NI trade; and we should and take no legalistic nonsense from the EU. The EU is a bad egg. ---------- Post added at 14:26 ---------- Previous post was at 14:25 ---------- Quote:
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How else could a hard border have been prevented ? The much vaunted technological route was quickly dismissed as the technology is approx five years away. |
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"We elect people to Parliament, usually from a particular party that we support in one way or another. Parliament votes on draft laws presented to it by government. Sometimes, government executes policies without further reference to Parliament and this can be subject to legal challenge (and has been). From that, if it was what you meant, who knows what Parliament would have done with a No Deal decision. But Boris didn't have the balls to try this. |
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Maybe whoever wants to take the lead in the future knows that doing so now would buy them a poison chalice.
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Unshackled from the burdens of Johnson's immigration policy, they will be able to devise an immigration policy that works for the country and helps fill Wetherspoons with lagers and supermarkets with great British produce. |
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31-October is one when the 3 month grace on NI expires; the court cases whenever they are re-invoked will be another. The EU holds the trade agreement over the UK's head if we default on the NI Protocol and what's more the EU decides on whether or not the UK has defaulted. So, the wobble point now is GB/NI trade. My understanding is that the UK intends to honour the customs border in the Irish sea, though the necessary systems appear not to be ready. However the meat products trade is likely to remain the flash point on which someone needs to bend over. I don't think Boris has the balls to stand firm after the grace extension finishes. So expect the EU to get difficult and pretend that they were always reasonable. |
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AKA when two organisations try to reach an economic agreement the org with the biggest economic clout generally gets to dictate the terms. Still, I'm sure our newly agreed or soon to be agreed trade deal with the mighty economy that is New Zealand will make significant inroads into any issues we may face. Long way for the lorry drivers mind you. |
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On the contrary - dictation only occurs when there is a gross imbalance of power or influence. At all other times there is negotiation, and give and take, and in any situation as complex as this one, size isn’t everything. The significance of individual parts of the deal, even the relatively small ones, can come to dominate for all sorts of reasons.
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Which in this case due to economic 'power' between the EU & the UK there is. There has been a negotiation, the EU let us have some bits, but on the bits they really wanted i would hazard a guess they got their way. Just IMHO |
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A food order arrived in a big box today (the missus decided to pamper herself). Picked and packed in France last evening. Here with us this afternoon.
Brexit problems? |
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The new Brexit rules and inspections will commence from 1st October. You could compare and contrast by ordering a similar box in October and report back. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/webinars...-great-britain |
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I am sure it was Boris himself who said the deal was not great, but it would be easier to amend or ditch it once Brexit had been achieved. And the way the EU nonsense is playing out, I think he will be able to make the argument that a no deal is better than a bad deal, with the evidence laid out for all to see. |
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It would require an application programming interface, similar to what has already been put in place for New Zealand lamb exports. Defra claims that such a system could be up and running within ten weeks. You guys are throwing everything negative at this to try to prove that Brexit won’t work, and you add to that your group ridicule and baiting to try to silence those with an alternative viewpoint. Typical left-wing tactics, always used when losing an argument. Why can some of you not engage in intelligent discussion rather than all this schoolboy idiocy? I would just like to remind you that we are out of the EU and there will be no turning back. Now we have to look at the best ways of making this work, like it or not. It’s what we as a country voted for, after all. ---------- Post added at 20:32 ---------- Previous post was at 20:25 ---------- Quote:
And besides which, you had all these opponents lining up to suggest that the country didn’t vote for a no deal - and the last thing Boris would have wanted was a legitimate charge that he had been undemocratic. No, this deal either has to be made to work in a sensible manner, or he will have to prove to thinking people that the deal was a bad one and should be ditched. ---------- Post added at 20:36 ---------- Previous post was at 20:32 ---------- Quote:
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As a reminder, Johnson did not say that the deal was not great. He said it was “a good deal for the whole of Europe”. https://www.express.co.uk/news/polit...nouncement-evg |
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Joking aside, I think Johnson cleverly called it a "fantastic moment". But Johnson's speech does show jfman's assertion of revisionism to be a valid one. |
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If you genuinely believe that, as opposed to just being contrary, I’d seriously consider a man of your age speaks to your GP. |
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Apart from that the Wokingham Medical Centre is still barriered off with a metal trellis gate. See a GP? No chance. |
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Had anyone said to me that we would be staying in the Single Market, I would have asked why we were trying to 'leave' at all, because this would have been disadvantageous to us without reaping the benefits of Brexit. ---------- Post added at 08:03 ---------- Previous post was at 08:01 ---------- Quote:
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You just needed to agree that you misremembered. Your comments above are entirely irrelevant to the point I raised. |
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From the same article you also conveniently neglect to mention the other two services that are required for this to work. one being the surveillance system for automated customs checks, which does not exist and would be years away from implementation, this is a key system which would be required at the launch of any API integration. Secondly you forget to mention the automated tax reimbursement system that to a lesser degree is also required, and guess what that doesn't exist either. Would you like to post that article link, or shall i? Or, would you like to pipe down on a subject you have absolutely no knowledge of whatsoever ? |
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It's not five years away in terms of technology - we could do it now. I agree that the two sides would have to agree on the specification, etc, and it will certainly take a couple of years, particularly when you take into account that the EU moves at a snail's pace. We put forward these ideas well before any deal was agreed, and the EU's refusal to consider the technology solution is why it could not be implemented yet. But the solution is there if indeed a solution is wanted. As for surveillance systems, there are other ways to accomplish all this with agreed methods of packaging, labelling and security. If the will is there, these problems can be resolved. Insulting me does not prove your argument. On the contrary, it shows that you are on shaky ground and wouldn't welcome a reply. All par for the course in this place, I suppose. Shame. |
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No, we, can't The monitoring and surveillance technology required to monitor the automated customs routines via the as of yet unspecified & uncreated API does not exist and will not exist for five years. These systems must be automated and implemented at the same time as the API. The only technology that does not have to go in at the same time is the automated rebate service. Having spent some time in my past roles designing architecture & services for government IT projects, specifically in my case the home office. I can tell you that the pace set by the EU will be Usain Bolt esque compared to UK. A technological solution is the answer but is not deliverable at the moment. |
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:clap::clap::clap: |
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OB's insights into Brexit have been interesting and valuable - not to be sneered at as some here do. |
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People's opinions tend to come up for for criticism a lot when they've been built largely upon incorrect information. No one's perfect and I've rightly been called out for this too but that's why his recent postings here have met with the reception they have. And some posts do have a Comical Ali feel to them, which I'm sure he would be the first to acknowledge. :D |
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Turning to the topic, I see that the perfidious Varadkar (the Irish tanasty) is on manoeuvres as he visits NI.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-58422191 I've taken a highly selective quote! My bold highlights. Quote:
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Surely that's his country's perfidious red line ? |
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Just been told that there's over 70 000 excess pigs in the country due to the abattoirs and meat processing plants being so short of staffed.
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You really need to get over yourself. Time will prove me right and you wrong. In the end, the evidence will be undeniable. Once again, you are insulting me because you don’t actually like being challenged on your negative remainer views. |
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That some of the more stupid sales pitches didn't come to fruition has nothing to do with the wish to be out. People aren't that stupid as to believe the hype. |
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https://www.politicshome.com/news/ar...ys-brexit-deal He proceeded because it was the only way of getting Brexit done by the end of the year. I have not misremembered. Look at his tweet in that link. ‘I have been and remain intensely critical of the deal. But we have a choice to make now, and that means choosing between options that actually exist. I have come to the sad conclusion that neither this government nor this parliament is willing to leave with no deal.’ And I have not forgotten the technical issues either. We can overcome this problem, but the will needs to be there on the EU side. In the meantime, we could have a straight forward and secure system of packaging and labelling which would overcome the questions relating to the transitional period. Quote:
The more nonsense you spout now, the more it will all come back and haunt you in due course. That’s OK. I can wait. |
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The transitional period is over Old Boy. We left the Single Market and from 1st October we will be inspecting EU imports. What technical issues does your suggestion of labelling provide, and what labelling do you mean given that goods are labelled and now require extensive documentation when being exported to the EU? ---------- Post added at 20:36 ---------- Previous post was at 20:31 ---------- Quote:
You seem to be a tad unhappy about the Irish situation though, and a tad idealistic in expecting a country backed by the large EU bloc to give in to the UK. |
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I want my Guvmin to play this right by not allowing th NI Protocol to stand in its present form. |
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