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Have you noticed how irrelevant the EU has been to Cornavirus? The EU fans may say something about ventilator procurement, but we seem to be doing alright in that department.
Btw, Hugh's diagram is an important message. |
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The EU and anything like that should be irrelevant. The virus doesn't respect borders so neither should treatment. It's to the advantage of both the EU members and non-members to stop spread. If you've contained things in your country you now help contain it elsewhere so it doesn't come back to your country.
It's why we should help other nations now, especially those that can't afford "stuff" and often have large populations in very high density quarters. (Generations living in one single room - try self isolating there) People who earn daily what they need daily. |
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Herd immunity is just Darwinism. You’re proposing to let people die to everyone left over doesn’t have the disease. We could extend that principle to plenty of illnesses - yet don’t. |
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We can't say for sure that natural herd immunity will be possible with this Coronavirus; it might be susceptible to rapid mutation, thereby bypassing our acquired immune response, or it may be of a type that only provokes a weak and not very persistent immune response in humans. If either of those turns out to be the case, then an ongoing vaccination programme will be necessary, probably going on for years until we can induce immunity to new strains almost as fast as the virus can produce them. On the other hand, we still do not yet have sufficient data to know if those things will happen. It is quite possible that we could get herd immunity within a year or two. In any case, neither herd immunity nor a vaccine is a cure. |
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Health care like the NHS will always have limits on what it can afford. Doctors will always have to make choices about who gets the limited treatment and when. COVID-19 is highlighting this but instead of "fighting" over a piece of equipment for patient A with condition X or patient B with condition Y it's lots of patients all at the same time with condition COVID-19. Individually it's terrible when patient A is "Joe Bloggs" and terrible for the individuals making the decisions.
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Captain Moore is currently just short of £13 million. :clap: :clap: :clap:
More bravery and gumption in that man than in the whole of Parliament. |
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People are calling for him to get a knighthood. I agree, he's cheered the country up, and I can see it going up and up, dare I say £50 million. ---------- Post added at 13:55 ---------- Previous post was at 13:50 ---------- Quote:
My mother didn't know she had it, we where making plans before lockdown and both my parents stay at home. But other than Doctors/hospital appointments she only did the tesco shop with me. She had no symptoms. |
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It's why people used to have Pox Parties to give children the illnesses now that were deadlier in adults. Remember the way our immune system works is even if there are different strains of a virus if they're similar enough to the previous one then it can adapt quicker. Most of us have immune systems that can detect a new strain of flu vaccine being similar to another as thus cope with it better. That's why we don't all need a flu vaccine. |
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I get flu every time I take a vaccine! I never get flu if I don't! Now, about that Cornavirus vaccine ....
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Vaccines have only existed for a very small period of time. |
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The question is how did we manage to eradicate Smallpox? This disease had the following qualities;
Smallpox was one nasty disease so governments and, more importantly, the public were SUPER motivated not to have it spread so many countries had mandatory vaccination which had a very high degree of compliance (of course, this was a long time back and a simpler time when people were more likely to do what they were told) As the WHO approached the endgame and routine vaccination was phased out, sporadic outbreaks were tackled by very tough lockdowns and 'ring vaccination' where everyone within a certain area was vaccinated to nip outbreaks in the bud. Unfortunately, it looks like Coronavirus can be spread by the 'walking sick', there may be animal hosts and the virus may mutate over time making things a lot more challenging |
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That's controlled.
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It's natural for people to become complacent if these things come and go and they remain unaffected, but the Govt's pandemic planning is a shambles given they had the warnings from other flu outbreaks. Indeed its own flu pandemic exercise a few years ago showed the deficiencies we now have. They did diddly squat apart from hide the report findings in case we got too scared by it. |
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BREAKING: Wales First Minister says, Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland and the UK Government have agreed a further three week lock down extension to continue.
UK Government is yet to announce these measures. But the Wales FM, has basically outlined what is about to be announced at the 5PM Press briefing in the next 5 Minutes, in Downing Street. |
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Excellent announcement.
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And Raab sets out the exit criteria:
1) Confident that NHS can continue to provide critical care 2) sustained and consistent fall in death rates 3) reliable data from SAGE that rate of infection is decreasing 4) testing/PPE sorted 5) confident that relaxation doesn't yield second peak |
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It was said on the news today that it looks like those of us at severe risk of complications arising from the virus are going to have to lock ourselves away for up to 18 months (when it's expected that a vaccine will have been found) :shocked: I also heard someone put forward the idea that all those at risk of severe complications should be shielded, whilst everybody else should go about their business as usual. He believed that this would help to quell the damage being done to the economy, encourage herd immunity and allow extra funds to be diverted to help those who cannot leave their homes e.g. 100% of wages paid by the Government, extra money for those on benefits to mitigate the extra expenses that they face. This would be cheaper than paying many people 80% of their wages. My family lost a distant cousin to the virus the other day, which is a bit too close for comfort. |
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Not just medical screening - personal details. Who are you? Where are you staying? If we need to find you in the next month how can we contact you? If you develop symptoms contact this number straight away. |
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The government was very clear all along that the whole point of isolation was to slow down the virus so the NHS can cope. Did you miss that? You have seen the rate at which the people started to come down with coronavirus. What makes you think that we can stop this in its tracks? Only a vaccine will stop it short and we are nowhere near getting that. All those people in care homes, with no visitors allowed and not going out anywhere, are still going down like flies. That shows how impotent we really are at dealing with new viruses like this. The fact that we have managed to slow it down is a massive achievement. But it will get that 80% of the population, of that I have absolutely no doubt. |
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I think you are just being provocative now. |
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We have a further opportunity here to learn from other European countries that are intending to ease their restrictions and allow that to inform our decision making. ---------- Post added at 20:26 ---------- Previous post was at 20:25 ---------- Quote:
I've explained over and over how the economy can be protected. The economy will tank, as Raab correctly pointed out, with a devastating second wave of the virus. ---------- Post added at 20:27 ---------- Previous post was at 20:26 ---------- Quote:
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The government also has a duty to businesses that employ it's citizens. To secure supplies and markets. And those businesses need to trade so need people earning, moving, spending. --- Reading on the BBC today that some second home owners (in Wales) are claiming business rebates on their second homes. The rules let them set these homes as businesses if they are available to let for 140 days and actually let for 70 days per year. So not only are some moving to small locations to get away from virus they are also getting money from it. --- Help some small businesses buy buying now for later delivery. For example I get guitar strings from New Tone Strings. At the moment they are operating with just one person so may not be able to get strings out as quickly as possible but if players who don't need strings now but can order now (with delivery note to that affect) it may help them keep going, pay their bills are recover quicker. There are likely other traders maybe in your area you can help. This is all part of helping the fight against COVID-19. A sort of futures market as it were. |
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2) The virus was probably brought into care homes in one of two ways. a) prior to lockdown by somebody asymptomatic b) during the lockdown period by a resident being taken to hospital and contracting whilst in hospital The situation in care homes further exacerbated by staff having inadequate PPE which allowed transmission. |
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There have been isolated cases but these were due to other immunity issues the individuals had. |
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There's not enough concrete evidence as of yet to suggest that a normal healthy person cannot be reinfected. There's quite simply too many unknowns to deviate away from the most restrictive method of protection possible. On a side note, Letting 15,000 people into the country each week of fights without testing or forcing into quarantine is hardly going to help get our cases down either. |
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Yes but the must be NO BLAME. |
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There should be an independent enquiry, lessons learnt |
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Because this is something that cannot be planned for. The best thing is to see what has gone wrong and why, then what can be done if it happens again. If there is any blame it's to the idiots going out with a valid reason. Sunbathing in the park or beach is not one. ---------- Post added at 14:03 ---------- Previous post was at 14:02 ---------- Quote:
Better put that I have. |
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So, there are two issues with the bolded part. We DO plan for pandemics, and we were found to be woefully unequipped to fight against them. (last time was 2016 IIRC) This virus was known about since mid-late January, the government could have and should have started to purchase the PPE and other equipment that was needed. They did not The governments inactions have to a degree contributed to the +6000 deaths and countless thousands of critically ill patients that we would normally see at this time of year. ---------- Post added at 14:15 ---------- Previous post was at 14:13 ---------- Quote:
Those who are currently treating the ill and are without suitable PPE will have a different viewpoint If the government is found to have failed to prepare for this, then blame should be apportioned and the people responsible replaced. |
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Tell me what countries were prepared for something like this. |
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https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/04/a...hnk/index.html Also South Korea https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...-state-testing |
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I got this email (extracted) from the Thames Valley Police Gold Commander:
With minor breaches, such as people reporting those who have taken multiple walks in a day, we may not be responding right there and then but that doesn’t mean we are ignoring them. Your reports help to provide vital information around patterns and hotspots which then go across to our local policing teams to inform their patrol plans. Please report minor breaches to us online. Jeez, what would have happened if there were Jews living in the street had Hitler won? There are some real shit people around. |
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Have to disagree with you there.
Big difference between informing on people so they can be murdered by a genocidal regime and letting the police know that people are risking other’s lives by possibly increasing the number of infectious contacts. |
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Taiwan were apparently hit badly by SARS, so still had plans in place. No idea about South Korea, your link is behind a paywall. ---------- Post added at 17:46 ---------- Previous post was at 17:43 ---------- Quote:
We are not a police state (yet) but its a slippery slope we can easily fall down. |
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"Likely to be reasonable: Exercising more than once per day" Source: https://www.college.police.uk/What-w...ble-excuse.pdf |
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It's either ignorance, or incompetence. take your pick. The government could and should have done more. Especially since UK hospitals were briefed on the situation in January |
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Prime example, Government says one thing actual legislation says something else. Police don't know which way to go, and err on the more draconian side of things the latest CoP guidance just muddies the water further. |
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We are two/three weeks behind Italy, France etc. there was still time then to step up a gear. However, that would have been short sighted. We shouldn't have been looking at them, we should have been looking at China, As I said UK hospitals were briefed on the end of January on the probable spread and transmission rates. The UK government on the advice of the CMO etc have Stopped contact tracing Waited to long to impose lockdown Not tested arrivals into the country Not forced arrivals into the country to self isolate for fourteen days. Failed to provide sufficient or of adequate quality PPE to secondary care & care homes Failed to increase testing to a suitable quantity They have built the Nightinggales, but that's about the only thing they have got right. ---------- Post added at 18:29 ---------- Previous post was at 18:28 ---------- Quote:
I did find this however. https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ly-implemented |
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The favourite phrase of those who just want to attack whoever is in power. I'm sure you would have done a much better job if you were in charge. :sleep: |
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https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...y_to_clipboard
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If you're telling me that governments we're not aware of what was going on in China then that should make you more concerned. Or, is it more likely that governments decided to treat it like SARS-1/MERS and thought it would never reach here. I'm not just slating the UK government, every government in Europe and the rest of the western world should be deeply concerned by the way they've handled this. (possible exception for Germany) Surely the whole point of debate such as this is to put forward how we would deal with a situation if we were the ones in charge? ---------- Post added at 18:38 ---------- Previous post was at 18:35 ---------- Quote:
Nope, it's absolutely not the governments fault... they couldn't have possibly prepared for this..... |
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The NHS have taken all the PPE from the nationwide supply chain leaving others with none. Our supplies have been seized at source including impounding containers on the dockside. The ability of the NHS to mismanage the supply is breathtaking. You'd have thought all those managers could be better organised. |
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Full GHS report heree. https://www.ghsindex.org/ |
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In Wales, you may only go out for exercise once a day. Elsewhere there is no limit as long as your exercise is "reasonable".
Isn't devolution great? |
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If you had any clue as to what is going on you might be in a position to comment. Your anti-government stance is as tiresome as it is predictable. I have had care homes on the phone today in tears pleading for supplies which we cannot fulfill due to the NHS stealing all the supplies. The NHS have somehow managed to lose/waste PPE. |
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You don't think the normal day to day usage, plus nearly 20,000 COVID-19 patients may be upping the burn rate a bit? Trying to blame nurses and doctors seems a bit off. |
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The truth will come out in the end as to the handling of this crisis. |
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I think the Government will largely be ok on how they handled the scientific advice and approach the situation. I suspect they will probably do badly when it comes to things like PPE and testing. Especially when it comes to care homes and social care generally. |
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Having taken all the PPE available in the UK the numerous managers have failed to get it to where it is needed. That is not a government issue that is overpaid people mismanaging the resource ---------- Post added at 00:36 ---------- Previous post was at 00:22 ---------- Quote:
She will be reliant on the procurement team and distribution to ensure the front line staff have their PPE. It is that link which is clearly broken. Meanwhile people's loved ones are dying in care homes where there is no access to PPE at all. |
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I think the problem is that it is expected that, during a world-wide shortage of PPE, and an unforeseen requirement for PPE in Care Homes (the supply requirement went from a couple of hundred Trusts to over 58,000 organisations), there would/should be enought for everyone - this is a massive shift in requirements in a time of crisis, and a complex supply chain, mostly from overseas.
Could things have been done better - probably; does it help blaming people until we know the facts - probably not. There have been shortfalls in lots of places - an example would be in Care Homes, where the group that my mum-in-law is in got supplies of PPE early in the crisis, whilst other Care Home organisations didn't; the other care homes shouldn't be blamed for not being as forward thinking as the one mum's in, because at the beginning very few people thought it would come to this. Should all the GP Surgeries, which are in effect private businesses, be blamed for not having ordered PPE equipment earlier? In the vast complexity of Health and Social Care, whatever the Government does, it won't be enough - review afterwards, critique constructively during, but blaming is inappropriate at this stage, imho (especially without evidence, as in the comments about NHS managers). From the Times Quote:
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Yes definitely things could have been done better but you are right a contructive very wide ranging review of that there is no doubt afterwards as this was another example of muddled disjointed thinking in the link below.
https://www.ft.com/content/5f393d77-...7-416efbc575ec |
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Not the point.
If you provide a link, it needs to work, not require google searches. |
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JustGiving makes a profit from donations to people like Tom Moore. 5%, 10% or 15%!
And all payments processed through JustGiving are still be subject to standard card processing fees of 1.9% plus 20p. https://metro.co.uk/2020/04/15/justg...iser-12561876/ Virgin Money Giving, another popular online platform for donating to charity, charges a 2% platform fee and 2.5% payment processing fee, which the donor can choose to cover. If not, the charity will pick up the tab. https://www.theguardian.com/society/...t-has-profited |
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... and we're waffling on about JustGiving's take.
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I seriously object to the cremation advert being peddled regularly - very poor taste. |
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Do you mean this? https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...als-say-bosses Quote:
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The Sunday Times has a pretty brutal item about the Governments failings in February: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/n...ster-hq3b9tlgh http://archive.vn/ofnfS
- Calls to stock up on PPE were ignored - Boris Johnson skipped five Cobra meetings - Warnings from SAGE and other scientists about the danger of the virus were ignored Some parts: Quote:
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Would be interesting to understand the reasons for this. Is it because Johnson is not into detail and meetings? Was it because the Government had little bandwidth as it was focused on Brexit? |
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Hold the government to account, yes.
Investigate were things went wrong and were “mistakes” were made, yes. Even, when it’s over, investigate if there was culpable negligence, yes. But also appreciate what they are trying to do, what they are up against, and what they have done. Support what they are trying to do during this crisis so we can get through it, and have a country and economy when we come out of it. Also the media need to take a good hard look at themselves as some of the reports, from Sky and the BBC, have been misleading and sensationalist and not helpful. |
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I suppose all the supermarket bosses are at fault for not stocking up on supplies ready for the insane panic buying. They should have had more toilet rolls ready ....
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A Cobra meeting is just a meeting coordinating different departments. If an issue is raised then it has to be investigated by the department(s) and a potential response can then be decided. If is becomes apparent during the course of a meeting that a particular thing needs doing immediately, then that can be reported to the PM immediately. The different ministers and departments would go away and formulate plans. That is THEIR job. The PM wouldn't need to be there for those stages.
Which country that has been affected in a major way has had enough PPE? Japan has had only 200+ deaths so far, yet.... Link Quote:
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The Sunday Times is reporting that schools will open in three weeks' time
https://twitter.com/alexwickham/stat...097024/photo/1 Good article on planning for the return here https://www.buzzfeed.com/alexwickham...tage-exit-plan |
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Education secretary has basically rubbished that Sunday Times report about Schools. They will open when the science says they should open, he says.
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It's about reacting quickly by having all the key decision-makers together. "The point is to have the important officials in the same place, so quick, decisive action can be taken." https://inews.co.uk/news/uk/cobra-me...t-stand-508755 They're usually chaired by the PM: "The Prime Minister will usually chair Cobra meetings, and tends to always do so if the crisis at hand is more severe. https://metro.co.uk/2018/03/07/cobra...9/?ito=cbshare Just to make that clear "The Prime Minister will usually chair the meetings." https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/316037...cobra-meaning/ ---------- Post added at 09:31 ---------- Previous post was at 09:28 ---------- Quote:
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The only meaningful thing they could have done was introduce lockdown/ social distancing earlier, let’s not forget when social distancing was first requested the great British public ignored them. ---------- Post added at 10:02 ---------- Previous post was at 10:02 ---------- Quote:
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Key decision makers = different departments. 9th March, ie before nonsense agenda. Quote:
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