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Re: PM Boris forms a government
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Vichy had nothing to do with concentration camps - it was a pliant government doing a foreign power's bidding. As if you din't know. ---------- Post added at 15:32 ---------- Previous post was at 15:21 ---------- Quote:
The events of WW2 are far frlm forgotten in my mind - I'm closer to it than you. What I see now in the EU is a system that is rigged the way the Commission want, exercising pressure in the way that Greece was subordinated, for example. Nothing to do with Nazis and concentration camps. All to do the compliant governments whose parliaments are under the EU cosh as we can see from our simple request to leave the EU. |
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How will it be any different when Trump dictates a trade deal?
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Downing Street has been signaling increasingly clearly over the last 24 hours that it is confident there’s a loophole in the Benn Bill - confident enough to continue stating unequivocally that the letter demanded by the Bill will not be sent and the UK will leave the EU on 31 October.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49625431 |
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Also the only person that can bless me is a Bishop or the pope, you are neither, although I do imagine you as a complete Bishop. |
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Secondly, Rubbish. Nothing to do which side you’re on, so nothing odd at all. Stop trying to be smart. Re-read my last post. I said some forms of swearing is allowed. The form you tried, was not and you were correctly picked up on it. Using Asterisks was irrelevant as it’s still implied. |
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I was responding to this statement Quote:
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*anyone can bless, it just depends what you’re blessing... |
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Now *something* must have changed to cause that sudden reversal. At first I assumed a date for an election had been agreed; it soon became clear that wasn’t the case. So something else then. They didn’t simply get bored, or lobbied to death, and give up. That would surely have taken at least another 24 hours. So what changed? On the basis of what Boris Johnson, and today Sajid Javid has said, it seems now that by 1.30am on Thursday morning, their lawyers were confident that they had identified a weakness in the bill as worded, and at that point their priority would have been to get the bill passed into law with as little further scrutiny as possible, so to prevent anyone else spotting and amending it. Remember Boris has quite deliberately used phrases like “in theory” when discussing what the Bill would require a Prime Minister to do. He understands what the Bill is designed to achieve, but doesn’t think in practice that it does. Based on what we know so far, I think we can expect to wait until after prorogation before el gov begins to indicate what its tactics are. The Bill’s supporters will have to wait, however, until Boris fails to send the letter before they can invoke the Act and ask a judge to direct him to send it. Whoever loses that hearing will appeal it to the Supreme Court and there, according to Javid’s interview with Marr this evening, the government is surprisingly confident of victory. At that point we will most likely be mere days away from Brexit day. |
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I just think they saw it as futile. I think the air of confidence is simply to avoid saying they will break the law.
For the, very likely, people Vs Parliament election it's better to have Ministers out using air time to say "we will deliver Brexit" than Peers dragging out proceedings all weekend. Although I agree with a lot of your post - it's likely to end up in the supreme court on the point of can Parliament compel the executive in this way, regardless of how well or badly the Bill is drafted. |
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The constitutional question that is put to the Supreme Court is going to be momentous. We have all been bandying around the phrase “parliamentary sovereignty” in this discussion without ever really questioning the source or the limitations of that sovereignty (if any). If their lordships did, for example, rule that centuries of convention in which Parliament has allowed the government to govern means one perfunctory Act designed to force a sitting Prime Minister to write a letter is unconstitutional, there and then it will have ruled that there is something Parliament cannot do (other than bind itself). Alternatively, there may be sufficient statute law already in existence which is not effectively repealed or temporarily set aside by the Benn Act that renders it ineffective. That would not drive a coach and horses through the principle of parliamentary sovereignty but it will render it extremely difficult for a future “rebel alliance” to do what they did last week. Who would pin their career on something so easily picked apart in court? My feeling about this is towards the latter. A high debate about the ancient conventions surrounding the roles of legislature and executive, which in all likelihood would end up uncomfortably close to considering the outcome of the English civil war and the basis upon which the monarchy was restored, would be interesting but esoteric and difficult to do quickly and its outcome too hard to predict. Invalidating the Benn Act on the basis that it’s bad law that violates something else parliament has already enacted, and with all its usual scrutiny (whereas the Benn Act is manifestly a rush job and therefore inferior), is a more likely approach. But then here I am making predictions again, and that’s a very silly thing to do right now... |
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https://publications.parliament.uk/p...90202_en_2.htm
2 Report on progress of negotiations on the United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union (1) In the event that an extension of the period under Article 50(3) of the Treaty on European Union ending at 11.00pm on 31 October 2019 is agreed with the European Council, the Secretary of State must, by 30 November 2019, publish a report explaining what progress has been made in negotiations on the United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union. (2) The Secretary of State must make arrangements for— (a) motion to the effect that the House of Commons has approved the report, to be moved in the House of Commons by a Minister of the Crown; and (b) motion for the House of Lords to take note of the report, to be moved in the House of Lords by a Minister of the Crown. (3) The motions required under subsections (2)(a) and (2)(b) must be moved in the relevant House by a Minister of the Crown within the period of five calendar days beginning with the end of the day on which the report is published. (4) If the motion tabled in the House of Commons is rejected or amended, the Secretary of State must, by 10 January 2020, publish a further report under subsection (1) setting out a plan for further negotiations on the United Kingdom’s relationship with the European Union. (5) The Secretary of State shall make a further report under subsection (1) at least every 28 calendar days starting on 7 February 2020 either until an agreement with the European Union is reached or until otherwise indicated by a resolution of the House of Commons. What have I misunderstood? 7-Feb-2020? |
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I still imagine you in a silly hat. Quote:
Any of of that only applies if the U.K. was to sign up to the withdrawal agreement, which it hasn’t and which it won’t. ---------- Post added at 19:46 ---------- Previous post was at 19:40 ---------- Quote:
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Thanks for clearing that up. :) |
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I am back, whinging as usual.
But, l have totally surprised that we are not taking General Election here. It is totally farcical that the joker Boris is running the country, and that the biggest joker Jeremy - and l am a Labour voter. could be PM. I have been watching all this stuff. And I makes me wonder WHY, our taxes are paying the wages of MPs and are behaving like kids. They should be saying - we will take it to the country, and let us decide. Boris, has some henchman going round sacking staff. And Jeremy, has the golden chance to have an election. And he is NOT going for the jugular. I voted to leave - but that was ???? Now, l have changed my mind why you ask. A certain Boris, said the money saved would be going to the NHS etc etc. What a liar, and a joker. I want to remain. |
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A interesting article by Conservative columnist Simon Heffer.
https://www.newstatesman.com/politic...e-fatal-tories |
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An interesting article from a French Official ;)
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It only takes one 'non' :p: |
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Boris will probably force the EU to kick us out instead this might be the best option
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I voted leave in 2016 and still want to leave. Boris as PM is defending the referendum result as any PM should. MP's need to weigh things more as they are representing their constituencies as well as their own selves. Maybe Boris' approach is flawed but parliament has had years to agree and work things out and have not really got anywhere. There are too many vested interests on both sides.
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Parliament might (or might not) have forced Boris to ask for an extension, but what if the EU refuses? Will the rebel alliance dare legislate to force revocation of Art.50? |
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In the meantime, Boris can have a lot of fun adding attachments to that Benn letter that will dissuade any serious talk of an extension by the EU and lots of little legal shenanigans that can be tested! There must also be some arcane rules of parliamentary goverence that can be used to thwart the Benn initiative. One way or another, the opposition takeover of parliament will be thwarted and post election, Bercow will be out on his ear. ---------- Post added at 12:56 ---------- Previous post was at 12:51 ---------- Quote:
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Farage says Boris is going to go for May's deal and hive off Northern Ireland. Would explain to why no filibuster or Lords amendments - the amendment to have another vote on a deal remains intact.
With the best will in the world to Old Boy, while people with no intention of voting Labour would have a fit those that would probably wouldn't mind revocation. |
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. . . and you've always said Farage tells porkies :D :D |
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How can the PM be held accountable for something not within their "gift". Parliament has 3 times turned down the "deal". The EU Parliament has to approve any changes. Strange that Parliament and the Remainers have never said what is acceptable to them in a "deal". They are the ones looking like they don't have a plan.
As long as the EU recognises we are prepared to leave without a "deal", leaving the backstop issues firmly in their court, then the EU should be prepared to make the "deal" simply that of regulatory alignment until the end of 2020. After that point it would be no different for them on Nov 1st 2019 as things stand. Of course central to that is the UK convincing the EU we are ok without a "deal". The UK courts would have jurisdiction within the UK, the EU courts inside the EU. The only people in the UK Parliament likely to object to that is Labour, as they want the "deal" to be worse than it currently is. From the Political Declaration. Quote:
Eg The "chlorine-washed chicken" issue is a competitive edge one, not a food safety one. Chlorine washing is used in the EU for salad and vegetables, so it's not unsafe and deemed safer than blasts of air and water as the EU insists on for chicken. Link Quote:
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Boris Johnson would not win an election outright, polling seen by No 10 suggests https://news.sky.com/story/boris-joh...gests-11805584 |
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Speaker John Bercow to stand down on October 31st assuming GE vote does not pass tonight
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...P=share_btn_tw |
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Jump before you’re pushed. A pragmatic solution to his impending demise. :tu:
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I’d say there is a very good chance of Farage putting someone up against a remainer speaker in any case, especially if they represent a Brexit leaning constituency. Bercow has presided over a bonfire of convention, asserting parliamentary sovereignty at the expense even of challenging the most ancient convention is that parliament legislates but it does not attempt to govern. Granted many people think he’s done a grand old job, but in the longer run his undermining of the principle of respect for convention may have serious unforeseen consequences for our constitutional settlement. |
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The current odds on favourite to take over the role as speaker.
https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk...9Cwhen-speaker |
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I think it's likely No 10 will make clear they'll challenge any Speaker put in before an election.
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More Project Reality - British battery manufacturer will have to open factory in EU, not UK, in the event of no deal
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-p...ments-49636684 @19:28
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Having been involved in very many risk assessment/mitigation efforts, you assess what the upcoming scenarios are, what are the risks arising from these scenarios, score these risks/issues by likelihood and impact, and agree what mitigating actions/plans can/need to be put in place to reduce/remove the negative impacts - if Yellowhammer is not being used for these purposes, what is it being used for, and what planning/impact assessments/likely scenarios are being used? |
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The reality is that his lies are in a different league, which is why The Times sacked him. They may work successfully for a short campaign like Brexit but in the medium and long term, they tarnish your reputation. How can you negotiate with someone who's inherently untrustworthy? ---------- Post added at 20:01 ---------- Previous post was at 19:59 ---------- Quote:
---------- Post added at 20:10 ---------- Previous post was at 20:01 ---------- A good day for democracy. Quote:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-p...ments-49636684 |
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ERG members now talking up the positives of a Northern Ireland only backstop. It'd win a Northern Ireland only referendum.
In fairness, there's no Ireland in the word Brexit. |
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If a deal of any kind comes before the Commons before 31 October, the rump of the parliamentary Tory party can be relied on to vote for it, but what everyone will really be looking at is whether Labour does. Labour has to, really; if it doesn’t, it is going to be absolutely slaughtered in northern England at the election they have now publicly accepted has to follow after 31 October comes and goes. Not many Brexit-voting natural labour voters will be persuaded by the nuances they put forward as justification for refusing to back the WA earlier this year. Labour simply has to back a deal. |
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It's whether Jeremy will bail BoJo out considering all the bad blood between them. Perhaps the chicken jibes weren't such a good idea after all. |
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If my calculations are right if the ERG backed the third vote on TMs deal it would have passed.
Chris is on the money here. TMs future was tied to the DUP (in that she couldn’t lead the Tories into another GE). Boris isn’t tied in the same way. He wants a general election. After he delivers any kind of Brexit he must fancy his chances to win a decent majority. ---------- Post added at 21:42 ---------- Previous post was at 21:39 ---------- Quote:
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https://www.itv.com/news/2019-08-28/...deal-backstop/ |
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NI-Only backstop has been the most likely outcome for a while now I think so I wouldn't be surprised. It gets us back to what the EU originally proposed as well.
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If Boris delivers any sort of Brexit next month, Labour will have nowhere to turn. It will have to agree to an election, which Boris would fight without any of the Gaukeward squad standing in any constituencies and, one assumes, any new candidates forced to attest in their own blood that they’re fully behind the leader’s Brexit strategy (the substantive negotiations still being ahead of us). If Brexit is anything other than the No Deal kind, Farage won’t go away, but I think it will be fairly easy for Boris to neutralise him by simply pointing out that Brexit has happened and there’s no point to Nigel any more. Without their platform and funding via their MEP seats it will be increasingly difficult for them to continue and to get any significant hearing anyway.
There are still too many variables to make a comfortable prediction, but it is possible at least to see a scenario in which Boris delivers Brexit next month and acquires a governable, compliant Commons majority shortly thereafter. |
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So, France will not block an extension. Great news! :D
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well done to all MPs stopping the trap
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Mitigated=Reduced. Revoked=Removed. |
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I'm still waiting for a remainer to provide 100% that a no deal Brexit or a Brexit in general will be a disaster/crashing out.
With out the saying "Prove it won't" |
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With out the saying "Prove it will" ;) |
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I was being ironic (I think you knew that).
Neither can be "proved 100%", only evaluated using available information, and then impact estimated using that evaluation, with levels of confidence on those estimations - just like when a business puts together its 1 year, 3 year, and 5 year plans. And like those plans, they are continually reviewed for changes in the environment and amended accordingly - not just carry on with the original plan because "that’s what we agreed then". |
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Staying in will be a democratic disaster for our politics and governance which is worse than the short term challenges that no-deal exit must bring.
Boris, not known nor revered for his honesty, does at least understand what I’m saying. Btw, I like the letter in today’s Tory graph that suggests he adds a letter to accompany the letter drafted by Labour to say that he, the UK PM did not write the other letter and it is not the UK guvmin’s policy. Cat, pigeons and indignation’s will follow. Can’t wait. |
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As the Taoiseach pointed out yesterday all the stumbling blocks of a deal are the stumbling blocks of a future trade agreement. The fact we would have left, instead of be leaving, doesn’t change that. |
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The latest polling intention released last night.
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http://britainelects.com/polling/westminster/ |
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Parliament suspension ruled 'unlawful'
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The last 3 years have shown that we’re not very good at negotiating (and you can’t just blame the EU for being "obstructive" or "perfidious", because if you don’t understand/agree that other major countries will be equally, if nor more, "tough" in negotiating, I’ve got a bridge you can buy...). I don’t live my life hoping "something magic" will make my life better, but that appears to be our Government’s current approach. YMMV Re your 2nd letter comment https://inews.co.uk/news/politics/br...johnson-video/ Quote:
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Nigel Farage offers Boris Johnson no-deal Brexit election pact.
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£100 million "Get Ready for Brexit" information campaign £400 million spent on Brexit preparations 17/18 £900 million spent on Brexit preparations 18/19 total cost so far £2 billion additional cost budgeted of £4.2 billion Total HMG available for Brexit £6.3 billion <cough> |
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Annual payment to the EU roughly £9 billion
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I miss when the country was divided over if smoking in pubs should be banned or not
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I do agree that some pubs should have been allowed to declare a no -smoking policy but to force it on all... |
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Oh, and improved (legislated) ventilation in separate rooms would have been enough to allow smoking in some places . . with of course the obligatory warning signs for those who were too thick to understand the difference between smoking and non smoking areas |
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Not arguing with someone who can't see the bigger picture
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It was a stupid decision which will have a lasting effect on communities. |
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Well, my work here is done
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Pubs are also closing because the latest drinking generation prefer to do other things. |
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From the UK Government's Lord Chancellor and Secretary of State for Justice.
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Interesting viewpoint... |
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