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1andrew1 08-02-2018 14:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35936103)
China, Russia and America have slightly bigger and stronger economies than us ! Being outside the EU will give us a much weaker hand in trade deals. Some Brexiters still think we have an Empire; we don't and we're relatively small.

If our hardworking civil servants are disparaged for their independent analysis and everyone in the UK who publishes an impact assessment is deemed a lying, treacherous remoaner, what chance do you stand with your facts?

Forum 08-02-2018 14:45

Re: Brexit discussion
 
All Members are reminded not to use terms such as 'Usual Suspects' to describe any member. Thanks.

Hugh 08-02-2018 16:13

Re: Brexit discussion
 
It seems appropriate to remind people of the first post in this thread

Quote:

New thread to discuss Brexit.

Guidelines

The constant baiting, belittling of either side of the vote needs to end. The new thread must be a reasonable and a frank debate, it's impossible to agree on this topic but none of this "he/she is thick" or "you're a snowflake". This is not Facebook or twitter.

Please adhere to these guidelines - if you feel you can't, please walk away from the keyboard until you can.

Carth 08-02-2018 17:24

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RizzyKing (Post 35936051)

I voted leave <skip a bit> most leave voters had reached that decision a long time before we got the chance to vote.

In my opinion, that is one of the things that swung it. The Government (whoever they were) had long ignored the voices of dissent, and once the chance of a vote came along we embraced it willingly.

It appears the pen is mightier than the (s)word. ;)

OLD BOY 08-02-2018 17:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936089)
This is independent analysis produced by a pro-Brexit government. You would need to be smoking an unusual brand of ciogarette to think it's Project Fear! It's Project Reality!

No, it's not reality. This is yet another flawed forecast that factors in all the negatives and simply fails to take account of the new opportunities.

Just as a vote to leave the EU did not lead to the near disaster as predicted by the remainers, so the real deal at the end of all this will produce more benefits than setbacks.

There may be some wobbles between now and then, but that's just because the markets don't like uncertainty. It will pass.

---------- Post added at 16:54 ---------- Previous post was at 16:45 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936105)
If our hardworking civil servants are disparaged for their independent analysis and everyone in the UK who publishes an impact assessment is deemed a lying, treacherous remoaner, what chance do you stand with your facts?

Did you notice that you used 'civil servants' and 'independent analysis' in the same sentence? :p:

jonbxx 08-02-2018 18:00

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936145)
No, it's not reality. This is yet another flawed forecast that factors in all the negatives and simply fails to take account of the new opportunities.

Are there figures if we take in to account the new opportunities? The leaked report, for its' sins, does include the effects of a UK/US trade deal (2% of GDP rise) I haven't seen anything for deals with India, China, etc.

1andrew1 08-02-2018 18:32

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936149)
Are there figures if we take in to account the new opportunities? The leaked report, for its' sins, does include the effects of a UK/US trade deal (2% of GDP rise) I haven't seen anything for deals with India, China, etc.

The reports do include the benefits of trade deals with many countries. For reasons I can't fathom, old Boy ignores this. The Government's analysis states free trade with the rest of the world would add less than 1% in GDP whilst leaving the EU would result in a 2%-8% reduction in GDP. https://www.buzzfeed.com/albertonard...P3#.pn0jkvELzp

OLD BOY 08-02-2018 18:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936159)
The reports do include the benefits of trade deals with many countries. For reasons I can't fathom, old Boy ignores this. The Government's analysis states free trade with the rest of the world would add less than 1% in GDP
whilst leaving the EU would result in a 2%-8% reduction in GDP. https://www.buzzfeed.com/albertonard...P3#.pn0jkvELzp

Well, that says it all, doesn't it? Less than 1%. That's all these 'independent civil servants' were able to bring themselves to admit!

The rest of the world is rather bigger than the EU, and 'less than 1%' is an embarrassing understatement that will come back to haunt them.

Carth 08-02-2018 19:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I find this bit interesting "leaving the EU would result in a 2%-8% reduction in GDP"

It seems strange they couldn't narrow it down any better than 2% - 8%, which is a rather large margin considering less than 1% was the other 'option'

Mr K 08-02-2018 19:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a8201286.html
Quote:

The Japanese ambassador has warned Theresa May that his country’s firms will quit Britain if a botched Brexit makes it “unprofitable” to stay.

Koji Tsuruoka laid bare growing nervousness about the impact of EU withdrawal on the Japanese car giants, banks and tech companies after meeting the Prime Minister in Downing Street.

“If there is no profitability of continuing operation in [the] UK, not Japanese only, no private company can continue'

The warning comes after the Japanese government, in a leaked letter, called on Ms May to keep Britain in the EU single market and customs union and maintain a free flow of workers..
We really need to wake up to what Brexit will mean in practice, the rest of the World owes us nothing.

Damien 08-02-2018 20:01

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35936172)
I find this bit interesting "leaving the EU would result in a 2%-8% reduction in GDP"

It seems strange they couldn't narrow it down any better than 2% - 8%, which is a rather large margin considering less than 1% was the other 'option'

The band is dependent on what model we go for: EEA, Trade agreement, WTO.

Mick 08-02-2018 20:23

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35936176)
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a8201286.html

We really need to wake up to what Brexit will mean in practice, the rest of the World owes us nothing.

Wrong.

Only tell half a misleading story, as usual, they also warned Brussels too, warning them the UK and EU is benefiting, not just the UK but also the EU and enhances the global economy as a whole.

papa smurf 08-02-2018 21:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The activists who are still fighting Brexit

Theresa May is facing calls to spell out what she wants from the next round of Brexit negotiations.

But these four people believe remaining in the EU is still the best option, and have dedicated their lives to stopping Brexit

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/uk-4290...ighting-brexit

1andrew1 08-02-2018 22:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936167)
Well, that says it all, doesn't it? Less than 1%. That's all these 'independent civil servants' were able to bring themselves to admit!

The rest of the world is rather bigger than the EU, and 'less than 1%' is an embarrassing understatement that will come back to haunt them.

It would be great if instead of criticising and moaning about our hard-working civil servants you could instead more positively share your alternative calculations and your expertise in international trade with us all.

Mick 09-02-2018 04:22

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936200)
It would be great if instead of criticising and moaning about our hard-working civil servants you could instead more positively share your alternative calculations and your expertise in international trade with us all.

Nobody knows because Brexit has NOT happened and stop telling other members to stop being critical to Civil servants, if they want to be critical of them, they can be, they don't need your permission or approval. At the end of the day, they get paid to do a job, nobody owes these folks any such gratitude.

1andrew1 09-02-2018 08:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35936221)
Nobody knows because Brexit has NOT happened and stop telling other members to stop being critical to Civil servants, if they want to be critical of them, they can be, they don't need your permission or approval. At the end of the day, they get paid to do a job, nobody owes these folks any such gratitude.

I've not said that they need my permission or approval. Conversely, I don't need your permission to stick up for this great country and its civil servants.
If you and others want to criticise our hardworking civil servants because what they produce doesn't fit what Farage, Rees-Mogg preached etc it's your choice.. but constant sniping at servants of the Crown is not positive for democracy as the best people will leave. It's demotivating and you wouldn't like to be in their shoes.
In the context of Brexit it would be fantastic to hear some positive well-argued reasons as to why our civil servants are wrong. I guess I'm saying let's move on from a "I'm wrong, you're right" type of thing to something better argued. If there's a conspiracy theory behind it or well-calculated data, let's hear them.

1andrew1 09-02-2018 13:00

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Hmm. Is this what "taking back control" looks like!
Quote:

Northern Ireland will stay in single market after Brexit, EU says UK negotiators have been warned that the EU draft withdrawal agreement will stipulate that Northern Ireland will, in effect, remain in the customs union and single market after Brexit to avoid a hard border.
The uncompromising legal language of the draft agreement is likely to provoke a major row, something all parties to the negotiations have been trying to avoid.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/...brexit-eu-says

Carth 09-02-2018 17:24

Re: Brexit discussion
 
oh, more analysts announcing impending doom . . . http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/...-hit-uk-trade/

some snippets:

Over 2017 as a whole exports rose by £62.5bn, outpacing the £55.5bn rise in imports and so reduced the deficit to £33.7bn.

Despite the drag from trade in December the economy still accelerated overall in the final quarter of the year to grow by 0.5pc, even with these specific headwinds.

“Excluding oil and erratic items, growth in export volumes exceeded growth in imports in the fourth quarter, suggesting that the underlying picture for net trade is much better than these figures suggest,” said Paul Hollingsworth at Capital Economics.


The National Institute for Economic and Social Affairs estimates that UK GDP grew by 0.5pc in the three months to January, with both the manufacturing and services sectors contributing to the expansion.

"We are forecasting GDP growth of close to 2pc this year assuming a soft Brexit scenario," said Niesr's Amit Kara.

"At this speed the economy could start to overheat unless the Bank of England withdraws some of the stimulus that it has injected by raising the policy rate."

Mr Kara anticipates an interest rate rise in May, and another hike every six months until the base rate reaches 2pc.


Doesn't sound like a doomsday scenario to me, but it is short term . . . and we haven't left yet (added for Andrew) ;)

OLD BOY 09-02-2018 18:02

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936200)
It would be great if instead of criticising and moaning about our hard-working civil servants you could instead more positively share your alternative calculations and your expertise in international trade with us all.

I was not criticising, I was making the point that they are not neutral, as you like to think they are. Civil servants tend to be left of centre in their politics too, so being negative comes naturally to them!

Once again, I point out that the forecasts about how we would fare after a Brexit vote have been way out, but your deference to ‘experts’ and ‘independent civil servants’ is clouding your judgement.

1andrew1 09-02-2018 18:29

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936279)
I was not criticising, I was making the point that they are not neutral, as you like to think they are. Civil servants tend to be left of centre in their politics too, so being negative comes naturally to them!

Once again, I point out that the forecasts about how we would fare after a Brexit vote have been way out, but your deference to ‘experts’ and ‘independent civil servants’ is clouding your judgement.

Every civil servant I've met has been pro-Brexit. Yes, they hated Farage but they saw Brexit as creating more jobs for British civil servants. If anything, their motivations would be to encourage Brexit, not discourage it!
The forecasts we're seeing now aren't Project Fear. They've been scrutinised millions of times over by a Brexit-focused Government. We're also not seeing contradictory forecasts from other organisations. All are saying that Brexit means a reduction in growth and that's what we're seeing now as the Eurozone outpaces us. Maybe you'd Prefer Bill at No. 35 to do your cataract operation on his day off from Tesco. I'd prefer to trust experts if I can understand their logic.
Optimism on its own doesn't change the facts of geography and economics. Simply saying that because Project Fear has not come to pass, all economists' predictions will always be wrong is flawed.That clearly isn't the case as they would all be out of jobs.

richard s 09-02-2018 20:35

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Can't wait for the toryexit...:)

Mick 09-02-2018 22:52

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by richard s (Post 35936297)
Can't wait for the toryexit...:)

Never in a million years will the racist Labour Party be in government, as it currently stands, as a severely Anti-Semitic, Momentum-hard-left led party, that offers discounted tickets to rallies, based on ethnicity. But this thread is not about who will be in government, threadexit .... >>>

1andrew1 10-02-2018 07:53

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Plenty of talk about the recent EU negotiations.

Less emphasised was the fact that a long-scheduled meeting between EU and UK negotiators on Friday, to discuss the post-transition future relationship, had been cancelled following a “diary clash” on the British side. Of course, that's a polite term to cover the fact the UK side still haven't agreed amongst themselves what future relationship they want with the EU.

Kursk 11-02-2018 19:55

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936340)
Plenty of talk about the recent EU negotiations.

Less emphasised was the fact that a long-scheduled meeting between EU and UK negotiators on Friday, to discuss the post-transition future relationship, had been cancelled following a “diary clash” on the British side. Of course, that's a polite term to cover the fact the UK side still haven't agreed amongst themselves what future relationship they want with the EU.

The EU are starting to get the jitters. Bullying the UK will not work. Even Sir Foghorn Clegghorn is singing a different tune.

Our negotiation tactics are doing fine. We'll tell the EU what we want when we're ready.

jonbxx 12-02-2018 10:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35936469)
The EU are starting to get the jitters. Bullying the UK will not work. Even Sir Foghorn Clegghorn is singing a different tune.

Our negotiation tactics are doing fine. We'll tell the EU what we want when we're ready.

That's a good point - what would be the impact of a 'no deal' to the EU? I would be interested to find out what the government intends in terms of import tariffs and regulation at the most favoured nation (i.e. no deal) level.

At present of course, we work under the EU tariff schedule where MFN tariffs range from very low up to nearly 50% for dairy products for example. Should we look at reproducing what we have now post leaving or change emphasis? The current schedule is highly protectionist over agricultural products and commercial automotive industries. What would people on her like to see?

If we firm up what our import tariffs would be, then we would have a baseline for negotiation.

One other point - could we and should we continue the 'everything but arms' program where we do not charge import tariffs on the 47 poorest countries? I would suggest yes but I would be interested in other peoples opinions.

RichardCoulter 12-02-2018 11:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Since the vote I've met people who voted leave who have now changed their mind once becoming more informed about the implications, conversely some who voted to stay have said they would vote leave if another referendum takes place due to the behaviour of the EU during Brexit negotiations.

heero_yuy 12-02-2018 11:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun:


Michael Barnier is facing a rebellion from EU states after angering them with his aggressive Brexit demands.

Cabinet minister Penny Mordaunt spoke out against the EU’s chief negotiator to reveal the 27 national members are more “pragmatic” than his hard line.

It also emerged the veteran French politician faced a grilling from the states’ ambassadors on Friday over his threat to slap punishment sanctions on the UK for any transgressions during the post-Brexit transition period.

Brussels sources have claimed Mr Barnier will be forced to drop the sanctions clause from the transition deal, in what would be a humiliating U-turn for him.

One said of the ambassadors’ grilling: “There was a general feeling that something was wrong”.

The threat sparked a major row with Brexit Secretary David Davis last week, who accused his opposite number of acting “in bad faith”.
Looks like Barnier has overplayed his hand.

Mick 12-02-2018 12:07

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The EU are nothing but a corrupt set of bullies and I’m glad it is backfiring on them politically for trying to take the tough stance on us.

OLD BOY 12-02-2018 12:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35936469)
The EU are starting to get the jitters. Bullying the UK will not work. Even Sir Foghorn Clegghorn is singing a different tune.

Our negotiation tactics are doing fine. We'll tell the EU what we want when we're ready.

Yes, it's beginning to dawn on EU countries that they need GB. Barnier is stuck in a rut with his attitude and needs to step up.

---------- Post added at 11:31 ---------- Previous post was at 11:23 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936283)
Every civil servant I've met has been pro-Brexit. Yes, they hated Farage but they saw Brexit as creating more jobs for British civil servants. If anything, their motivations would be to encourage Brexit, not discourage it!
The forecasts we're seeing now aren't Project Fear. They've been scrutinised millions of times over by a Brexit-focused Government. We're also not seeing contradictory forecasts from other organisations. All are saying that Brexit means a reduction in growth and that's what we're seeing now as the Eurozone outpaces us. Maybe you'd Prefer Bill at No. 35 to do your cataract operation on his day off from Tesco. I'd prefer to trust experts if I can understand their logic.
Optimism on its own doesn't change the facts of geography and economics. Simply saying that because Project Fear has not come to pass, all economists' predictions will always be wrong is flawed.That clearly isn't the case as they would all be out of jobs.

If every Civil Servant you've met is pro-Brexit, you must associate with a very discrete group of Civil Servants!

You may be right that at least some forecasts are not designed deliberately to put fear into the minds of voters, but I am afraid they are not taking full account of the opportunities to be gained from Brexit. Furthermore, they are not taking account of the fact that there will be a minimal adverse impact on trade if we get the deal our government wants.

Despite all Brexit forecasts so far, there is little evidence that any of them are anywhere near right, and the siren voices who proclaimed a major impact immediately following the vote to leave have been proved hilariously wrong.

I find no reason at all to believe that the economy will suffer post Brexit. The EU isn't that great.

jonbxx 12-02-2018 16:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936535)
I find no reason at all to believe that the economy will suffer post Brexit. The EU isn't that great.

I can give you a simple example of the impact of leaving the EU and customs union that will have an impact...

Switzerland is in the EU single market but not in the customs union. For every export to Switzerland from the EU, a 'preferential certificate of origin' is required which states that the goods were made or significantly processed in the EU and therefore covered by the Switzerland/EU trade agreements. This ensures that the correct tariffs, if any are applied to the goods on import.

If and when we leave the customs union, all exports to the EU from the UK will require either a preferential (deal) or non-preferential (no deal) certificate of origin to ensure that the goods originated in the UK and not imported from a third country and shipped through the UK to the EU, thus importing to the EU 'through the back door'.

Certificates of origin are not an EU thing, it is an internationally agreed instrument of global trading.

The company I work for estimates certificates of origin take 3-5 'man minutes' per order to complete. So, for a 1000 orders, that's 50-83 man hours. That's 2 additional head count for a small number of orders.

At present, 45% of our exports go to the EU and will need this certification where they didn't before.

On the plus side, that's additional employment. On the minus side, that's a significant increase in costs to an exporter meaning they will either have to take the cost or increase pricing to maintain margins, making our good less competitive on the global market.

Ignoring every other tariff and non-tariff trade barrier, something simple like certificates of origin will have an impact...

OLD BOY 12-02-2018 19:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936559)
I can give you a simple example of the impact of leaving the EU and customs union that will have an impact...

Switzerland is in the EU single market but not in the customs union. For every export to Switzerland from the EU, a 'preferential certificate of origin' is required which states that the goods were made or significantly processed in the EU and therefore covered by the Switzerland/EU trade agreements. This ensures that the correct tariffs, if any are applied to the goods on import.

If and when we leave the customs union, all exports to the EU from the UK will require either a preferential (deal) or non-preferential (no deal) certificate of origin to ensure that the goods originated in the UK and not imported from a third country and shipped through the UK to the EU, thus importing to the EU 'through the back door'.

Certificates of origin are not an EU thing, it is an internationally agreed instrument of global trading.

The company I work for estimates certificates of origin take 3-5 'man minutes' per order to complete. So, for a 1000 orders, that's 50-83 man hours. That's 2 additional head count for a small number of orders.

At present, 45% of our exports go to the EU and will need this certification where they didn't before.

On the plus side, that's additional employment. On the minus side, that's a significant increase in costs to an exporter meaning they will either have to take the cost or increase pricing to maintain margins, making our good less competitive on the global market.

Ignoring every other tariff and non-tariff trade barrier, something simple like certificates of origin will have an impact...

But you are simply describing a problem which can be resolved by having a trade and services agreement, incorporating a bespoke customs agreement for the UK. It’s not really what I would call rocket science. It is simply a matter for negotiation.

jonbxx 12-02-2018 20:15

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936571)
But you are simply describing a problem which can be resolved by having a trade and services agreement, incorporating a bespoke customs agreement for the UK. It’s not really what I would call rocket science. It is simply a matter for negotiation.

It is possible to avoid the certificate of origin issue I posted and that’s where goods clear customs in one country and can then be exported freely to other countries. To be able to do that, you need a common external tariff. The EU want to impose an anti dumping tariff of 100% on Chinese steel but the UK doesn’t. If the UK imposes a 20% tariff, what’s to stop China importing to the UK and then the UK exports to the EU at a lower tariff. That’s what this certification stops.

If there’s a common tariff, then the certification isn’t needed. Unfortunately, that’s a customs union which HMG has said we’re leaving.

Personally, I think we will be in a customs union with the EU after leaving but it won’t be called that.

OLD BOY 12-02-2018 20:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936575)
It is possible to avoid the certificate of origin issue I posted and that’s where goods clear customs in one country and can then be exported freely to other countries. To be able to do that, you need a common external tariff. The EU want to impose an anti dumping tariff of 100% on Chinese steel but the UK doesn’t. If the UK imposes a 20% tariff, what’s to stop China importing to the UK and then the UK exports to the EU at a lower tariff. That’s what this certification stops.

If there’s a common tariff, then the certification isn’t needed. Unfortunately, that’s a customs union which HMG has said we’re leaving.

Personally, I think we will be in a customs union with the EU after leaving but it won’t be called that.

The customs agreement will address such issues. It is not a problem that cannot be resolved.

Mr K 12-02-2018 21:11

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936577)
The customs agreement will address such issues. It is not a problem that cannot be resolved.

Unlike Northern Ireland.....

jonbxx 12-02-2018 21:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35936578)
Unlike Northern Ireland.....

Well that’s where a customs union but obviously not ‘the’ customs union comes in. Solves a tiny aspect of international trade I raised as an example of trading friction and a big aspect of the Northern Ireland issue.

However.... This will be the governments toughest sales job ever both to members of their own party and the general public.

1andrew1 12-02-2018 22:04

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936583)
Well that’s where a customs union but obviously not ‘the’ customs union comes in. Solves a tiny aspect of international trade I raised as an example of trading friction and a big aspect of the Northern Ireland issue.

However.... This will be the governments toughest sales job ever both to members of their own party and the general public.

That customs union or customs agreement will presumably mean that the UK can't negotiate its own trade deals. Which Old Boy, Rees-Mogg, et al will need a lot of convincing on despite the detailed insight you have shared with us.

OLD BOY 13-02-2018 10:18

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936586)
That customs union or customs agreement will presumably mean that the UK can't negotiate its own trade deals. Which Old Boy, Rees-Mogg, et al will need a lot of convincing on despite the detailed insight you have shared with us.

The whole point of departure from the EU is that we will be free to conduct our own trade deals. Any customs agreement needs to recognise this. The border between NI and Ireland is also capable of being resolved.

We do not yet know what either agreement will look like but all will be revealed eventually. The government is deliberately keeping its cards close to its chest, and for good reason. When you look at Barnier's stance, and the growing reaction to that from other EU countries, it is clear, as it has always been, that ultimately the EU must face the reality of our leaving and that without a deal, the EU will be much worse off.

I know it is frustrating for everyone that things are moving so slowly, but the government know how the EU operates very well. May has not lost her way on this, and some of the voices off are necessary to show the EU that she has little room for maneouvre. The detail of Britain's proposals will be revealed when Barnier and his nasty friends are willing to listen. Shouldn't be too much longer now - be patient!

TheDaddy 13-02-2018 10:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936610)
The whole point of departure from the EU is that we will be free to conduct our own trade deals. Any customs agreement needs to recognise this. The border between NI and Ireland is also capable of being resolved.

We do not yet know what either agreement will look like but all will be revealed eventually. The government is deliberately keeping its cards close to its chest, and for good reason. When you look at Barnier's stance, and the growing reaction to that from other EU countries, it is clear, as it has always been, that ultimately the EU must face the reality of our leaving and that without a deal, the EU will be much worse off.

I know it is frustrating for everyone that things are moving so slowly, but the government know how the EU operates very well. May has not lost her way on this, and some of the voices off are necessary to show the EU that she has little room for maneouvre. The detail of Britain's proposals will be revealed when Barnier and his nasty friends are willing to listen. Shouldn't be too much longer now - be patient!

Vicious rumour ( being spread by me) That she is moving the date we leave forward, smart move imo

1andrew1 13-02-2018 13:11

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936610)
The whole point of departure from the EU is that we will be free to conduct our own trade deals. Any customs agreement needs to recognise this. The border between NI and Ireland is also capable of being resolved.

We do not yet know what either agreement will look like but all will be revealed eventually. The government is deliberately keeping its cards close to its chest, and for good reason. When you look at Barnier's stance, and the growing reaction to that from other EU countries, it is clear, as it has always been, that ultimately the EU must face the reality of our leaving and that without a deal, the EU will be much worse off.

I know it is frustrating for everyone that things are moving so slowly, but the government know how the EU operates very well. May has not lost her way on this, and some of the voices off are necessary to show the EU that she has little room for maneouvre. The detail of Britain's proposals will be revealed when Barnier and his nasty friends are willing to listen. Shouldn't be too much longer now - be patient!

We can either do our own trade deals or we can have seamless trade with the EU. As Jonbxx has explained, we can't do both. Which is it to be?

Kursk 13-02-2018 14:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936628)
We can either do our own trade deals or we can have seamless trade with the EU. As Jonbxx has explained, we can't do both. Which is it to be?

The former. A mutually beneficial arrangement for the latter might be possible once M. Barnier learns respect for the UK; he is walking a knife edge.

jonbxx 13-02-2018 16:40

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35936641)
The former. A mutually beneficial arrangement for the latter might be possible once M. Barnier learns respect for the UK; he is walking a knife edge.

If we go and strike our own trade deals, it is not possible to have frictionless trade with the EU. It doesn't matter what mood Michel Barnier or anyone else is in. Those are the rules of international trade - customs and regulatory compliance dictate this, it isn't a decision that can be made bilaterally

1andrew1 13-02-2018 17:45

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936648)
If we go and strike our own trade deals, it is not possible to have frictionless trade with the EU. It doesn't matter what mood Michel Barnier or anyone else is in. Those are the rules of international trade - customs and regulatory compliance dictate this, it isn't a decision that can be made bilaterally

This is one of the key thing that Old Boy needs to appreciate.
It's not about being negative or positive, Brexiter or Remainer. It's about the facts of international trade.

Kursk 13-02-2018 19:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936648)
If we go and strike our own trade deals, it is not possible to have frictionless trade with the EU. It doesn't matter what mood Michel Barnier or anyone else is in. Those are the rules of international trade - customs and regulatory compliance dictate this, it isn't a decision that can be made bilaterally

Oh well, striking our own deals it is then. Au revoir Barney.

jonbxx 13-02-2018 20:12

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35936670)
Oh well, striking our own deals it is then. Au revoir Barney.

It’s only an additional burden for 45% of our exports that never existed before. The point I was making was that this 100% will affect exporting businesses if they ship to the EU so to say there won’t be a cost is incorrect.

In other news, the letter presented in 2016 by the Japanese Ministry for Foreign Affairs to the UK and EU has just been published. It’s pretty blunt! The requests are on page 4 with extra details further on.

You can see it here - http://www.mofa.go.jp/files/000185466.pdf

Carth 14-02-2018 00:11

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Japan knows it's playing on the slide, not the climbing frame. They're just trying to make sure their economy doesn't hit a brick wall by ensuring ours does :p:

OLD BOY 14-02-2018 10:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936648)
If we go and strike our own trade deals, it is not possible to have frictionless trade with the EU. It doesn't matter what mood Michel Barnier or anyone else is in. Those are the rules of international trade - customs and regulatory compliance dictate this, it isn't a decision that can be made bilaterally

I don't believe you are thinking outside the box. Clearly, the government believes there is a way through this.

For example, you can have frictionless trade for certain goods and not others. I haven't looked into this, but it may be possible to give the UK some sort of agency status to conduct certain affairs on behalf of the EU, and the EU on behalf of the UK.

It is a question of looking in detail at the rules and working out how they can be applied in this situation. It is not as black and white as some are making out.

The government has said often enough that our future outside the EU is dependent on our being able to strike our own trade deals. If what you said was correct, why do you think the government is proceeding in the way it is? Problems are rarely insurmountable.

Hugh 14-02-2018 11:16

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35936726)
Japan knows it's playing on the slide, not the climbing frame. They're just trying to make sure their economy doesn't hit a brick wall by ensuring ours does :p:

It’s the third largest economy in the world, twice the size of the UK’s.

---------- Post added at 10:16 ---------- Previous post was at 10:13 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936756)
I don't believe you are thinking outside the box. Clearly, the government believes there is a way through this.

For example, you can have frictionless trade for certain goods and not others. I haven't looked into this, but it may be possible to give the UK some sort of agency status to conduct certain affairs on behalf of the EU, and the EU on behalf of the UK.

It is a question of looking in detail at the rules and working out how they can be applied in this situation. It is not as black and white as some are making out.

The government has said often enough that our future outside the EU is dependent on our being able to strike our own trade deals. If what you said was correct, why do you think the government is proceeding in the way it is? Problems are rarely insurmountable.

Because this government (and previous ones) have such a great track record in getting the outcomes they expect... (Referendum, 2015 General Election, etc.).

OLD BOY 14-02-2018 13:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35936758)
It’s the third largest economy in the world, twice the size of the UK’s.

---------- Post added at 10:16 ---------- Previous post was at 10:13 ----------

Because this government (and previous ones) have such a great track record in getting the outcomes they expect... (Referendum, 2015 General Election, etc.).

Ha ha! Yes, but we all know how fickle the public is! Just one event during the run up to an election or referendum can change everything.

I guess it would be repetitive to remind everyone of all the economic forecasts that have been completely wrong. Wasn't the economy meant to have nose dived by now, incidentally? :rolleyes:

Osem 14-02-2018 13:58

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936774)
Ha ha! Yes, but we all know how fickle the public is! Just one event during the run up to an election or referendum can change everything.

I guess it would be repetitive to remind everyone of all the economic forecasts that have been completely wrong. Wasn't the economy meant to have nose dived by now, incidentally? :rolleyes:

Now you know none of that matters don't you. lol

All the speculation and 'what ifs' do but the facts of what's actually happened despite all the remain side's numerous predictions of doom about what would follow the vote can just be forgotten and in no way cast any doubt on the validity of their argument. Talk about being selective eh?...

Gavin78 14-02-2018 17:29

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The EU is backwards, for the 21st Century that fact you have to be in a "club" and pay billions into this club in order to trade and make rules is prehistoric. We need to be out of this club we are being used not just by the EU but the world that is using the UK as a means to gain access to the EU.

The world needs to know that we are standing on our own 2 feet now. Where was the EU when it came to paying back the billions of $$ in order to save it from WW2 no thanks for that.

Especially when you get the likes of Junker making fun of the UK "******" and people want to be part of this club.

I would sooner go off the cliff edge than stick around in a club that more than likely sniggers at the UK when we are not around.

Racists they are and we can't even claim back on investments put into the EU but they are happy to take billions in a divorce bill for future commitments.

How many are these so called experts actually genuine in wanting to leave or had back handers to say these dooms day things?

As I already said companies currently putting prices up and using Brexit as an excuse is utter bull they don't even know how all this will turn out yet but have made a mockery out of the general public riding on the back off it.

The governement needs to step in on this as well.

arcimedes 14-02-2018 18:17

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35936814)

As I already said companies currently putting prices up and using Brexit as an excuse is utter bull they don't even know how all this will turn out yet but have made a mockery out of the general public riding on the back off it.

Nothing at all to do with the drop in value of the pound against the euro and dollar is it?

OLD BOY 14-02-2018 18:41

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by arcimedes (Post 35936825)
Nothing at all to do with the drop in value of the pound against the euro and dollar is it?

The drop in the pound was actually helpful for trade. It was over-valued anyway, that was pretty well known. This really is clutching at straws! Look again at the predictions that were made about what would happen immediately after a vote to leave.

It. Didn't. Happen.

heero_yuy 14-02-2018 18:49

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Quote from OLD BOY:


The drop in the pound was actually helpful for trade. It was over-valued anyway, that was pretty well known. This really is clutching at straws! Look again at the predictions that were made about what would happen immediately after a vote to leave.

It. Didn't. Happen.
Takes a special kind of pig-headedness to be wrong 100% of the time and not be man enough admit it.

Even a stopped clock is right twice a day. :D

Hom3r 14-02-2018 19:18

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The bremoaners are peeing me off, with the constant going on and on about stopping brexit.

We're leaving get the fuff over it.

1andrew1 14-02-2018 20:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35936836)
Takes a special kind of pig-headedness to be wrong 100% of the time and not be man enough admit it.

Even a stopped clock is right twice a day. :D

Do you think that a decrease in the value of the Pound can lead to a rise in the cost of imported goods and services?

Carth 14-02-2018 20:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936852)
Do you think that a decrease in the value of the Pound can lead to a rise in the cost of imported goods and services?

Do you think it hasn't happened before, and won't again?

jonbxx 14-02-2018 21:43

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Yes, the value of GBP has gone down in the past and will go up again. However, we live in a globalised world now. The level of self sufficiency of the UK is lower now than ever - we need to import goods just as much as other countries want to import what we make and use services we provide.

The effect of globalisation means that exchange rate fluctuations make a bigger difference than ever to the UK population and business. Sometimes it will work in your favour (my salary is in GBP and is set but underlying this, I am officially paid in USD so I am cheaper to employ) Sometime it doesn’t (my company sells to the UK in GBP but accounts in USD so the UK branch is making less money)

OLD BOY 14-02-2018 23:53

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936852)
Do you think that a decrease in the value of the Pound can lead to a rise in the cost of imported goods and services?

What it does is increase our ability to export our products.

As for imports from the EU, if they get to expensive, we will import from elsewhere.

So the problem is....

Sorry, you've got me there. :shrug:

---------- Post added at 22:51 ---------- Previous post was at 22:48 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35936836)
Takes a special kind of pig-headedness to be wrong 100% of the time and not be man enough admit it.

Even a stopped clock is right twice a day. :D

I assume that you are referring to the minority of the country who are trying to deny the will of the majority to get out of EU domination.

If so, I agree.

If not, we have a problem. ;)

---------- Post added at 22:53 ---------- Previous post was at 22:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35936857)
Do you think it hasn't happened before, and won't again?

It's simply desperation, Carth, don't worry about it!

1andrew1 15-02-2018 00:16

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936852)
Do you think that a decrease in the value of the Pound can lead to a rise in the cost of imported goods and services?

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936884)
What it does is increase our ability to export our products.

As for imports from the EU, if they get to expensive, we will import from elsewhere.

So the problem is....

Sorry, you've got me there. :shrug:

Indeed I have as I'm talking about a decrease in the value of the Pound which makes all imports more expensive.

---------- Post added at 23:16 ---------- Previous post was at 23:13 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35936726)
Japan knows it's playing on the slide, not the climbing frame. They're just trying to make sure their economy doesn't hit a brick wall by ensuring ours does :p:

They've recently signed a free trade deal with the largest trading bloc in the World, so the country is pretty sorted out trade wise.

OLD BOY 15-02-2018 00:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936890)
Indeed I have as I'm talking about a decrease in the value of the Pound which makes all imports more expensive.

Whereas our exports are cheaper, making it good for British businesses. And our ability to trade with other parts of the globe reduce or eliminate the downsides of EU detriments.

Trust you to paint the negatives at the exclusion of the positives, Andrew! Please let's have some honesty in this debate.

Are you dependent on the EU for your pension, by any chance?

1andrew1 15-02-2018 00:41

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936893)
Whereas our exports are cheaper, making it good for British businesses. And our ability to trade with other parts of the globe reduce or eliminate the downsides of EU detriments.

Trust you to paint the negatives at the exclusion of the positives, Andrew! Please let's have some honesty in this debate.

Are you dependent on the EU for your pension, by any chance?

I just asked a reasonable binary question which people seem to avoid answering "Do you think that a decrease in the value of the Pound can lead to a rise in the cost of imported goods and services?"

That's not negative or positive.

Honesty is not pretending you can have your cake and eat it and accepting the knowledge of people who actually work in import/export like jonbxx even if it's uncomfortable.

With regard to your EU pension question, nope, I'm not Nigel Farage and you can't claim your £5! :D

OLD BOY 15-02-2018 00:50

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35936901)
I just asked a reasonable binary question which people seem to avoid answering "Do you think that a decrease in the value of the Pound can lead to a rise in the cost of imported goods and services?"

That's not negative or positive.

Honesty is not pretending you can have your cake and eat it and accepting the knowledge of people who actually work in import/export like jonbxx even if it's uncomfortable.

With regard to your EU pension question, nope, I'm not Nigel Farage and you can't claim your £5! :D

Your reassurance is accepted! :)

However, the main point I was making, which I'm sure you will not disagree with, is that a decrease in the value of the pound makes it cheaper for us to export our goods.

I think that, being an honest person, you would agree that this is a fact.

I hope I have not misjudged you.

Bircho 15-02-2018 08:06

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936903)

However, the main point I was making, which I'm sure you will not disagree with, is that a decrease in the value of the pound makes it cheaper for us to export our goods.

Which is good if you were to export more than you import. Except in the UK........

OLD BOY 15-02-2018 10:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Bircho (Post 35936924)
Which is good if you were to export more than you import. Except in the UK........

Well, Andrew is also concerned about out imports being more expensive. I omitted to answer this properly last night, there was a lot going on here.

What I should have said was that while EU exports are more expensive for us to import with a weaker pound, with our new found ability to trade with additional countries, those same goods may be cheaper. The EU is not necessarily the cheapest to import from, I would say.

Anyway, the cheaper pound does not seem to have affected the average man in the street much, so it's not a reason in itself not to leave the EU.

jonbxx 15-02-2018 10:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The UK isn't much of a primary manufacturer (raw materials) What's left of our manufacturing base is secondary manufacturing - making things, not materials basically. Those raw materials need to be shipped in from somewhere so while a low GBP may help exports, it adds to the costs of the raw materials used to make what we export which will impact margins.

Fun fact of the day - cars produced in the UK contain only 44% of UK made content, the rest is imported. Most trade agreements require >50% of a product to be made in country for preferential trade deals to apply. UK manufactured Nissans and Hondas would not be regarded as UK made. Some canny trade negotiations would be required here.

Source - Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders https://www.smmt.co.uk/wp-content/up...ew-Figures.pdf

Carth 15-02-2018 16:47

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35936950)
cars produced in the UK contain only 44% of UK made content, the rest is imported. [/url]

You could probably say the same about most things . . . especially if you buy from the major supermarkets.

1andrew1 15-02-2018 20:59

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35937028)
You could probably say the same about most things . . . especially if you buy from the major supermarkets.

I'm not sure you understand Jon's point. The inference is that Nissans and Hondas will no longer be exportable from the UK.

---------- Post added at 19:59 ---------- Previous post was at 19:51 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35936944)
Well, Andrew is also concerned about out imports being more expensive. I omitted to answer this properly last night, there was a lot going on here.

What I should have said was that while EU exports are more expensive for us to import with a weaker pound, with our new found ability to trade with additional countries, those same goods may be cheaper. The EU is not necessarily the cheapest to import from, I would say.

Anyway, the cheaper pound does not seem to have affected the average man in the street much, so it's not a reason in itself not to leave the EU.

Which countries will we be able to trade with that we're not trading now? The EU opens up access to free trade with markets like Korea, Japan, Canada, Chile and Turkey that we wouldn't get automatically. There may be a village in Africa that we might be able to sell a few pots of Marmite too if we had a free trade deal with it but membership of the EU provides the largest free trade deals. And that's before we've even counted the 500m EU residents.

Carth 16-02-2018 00:51

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Considering the EU imports probably 10 times the amount of cars and car parts into the UK than the UK export to the EU, I'd suggest the EU need to tread carefully if they try to shaft us on any deals regarding the Auto industry.

They need to strike a good (fair) deal or it may bite them in the exhaust manifold.

And if the motor manufacturers pull out of the UK, just slap their imports with a massive tariff - I can go without a new car for a year or two while their stock piles up :D

TheDaddy 16-02-2018 02:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35937078)
Considering the EU imports probably 10 times the amount of cars and car parts into the UK than the UK export to the EU, I'd suggest the EU need to tread carefully if they try to shaft us on any deals regarding the Auto industry.

They need to strike a good (fair) deal or it may bite them in the exhaust manifold.

And if the motor manufacturers pull out of the UK, just slap their imports with a massive tariff - I can go without a new car for a year or two while their stock piles up :D

It's interesting the ones insisting on "a fair playing field" are the EU and they're so desperate we cooperate they've gone as far leaking that very statement to the press, I'm confident we'll get a deal that suits us, it won't be as good in terms of trade as we have now but it won't be that bad either.

OLD BOY 16-02-2018 10:34

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35937045)
I'm not sure you understand Jon's point. The inference is that Nissans and Hondas will no longer be exportable from the UK.

---------- Post added at 19:59 ---------- Previous post was at 19:51 ----------


Which countries will we be able to trade with that we're not trading now? The EU opens up access to free trade with markets like Korea, Japan, Canada, Chile and Turkey that we wouldn't get automatically. There may be a village in Africa that we might be able to sell a few pots of Marmite too if we had a free trade deal with it but membership of the EU provides the largest free trade deals. And that's before we've even counted the 500m EU residents.

Are you aware that the USA is not a small village in Africa? :D

Hugh 16-02-2018 10:38

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35937085)
Are you aware that the USA is not a small village in Africa? :D

The same USA that is becoming more and more protectionist and talking about imposing tariffs on imports?

jonbxx 16-02-2018 11:08

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35937081)
It's interesting the ones insisting on "a fair playing field" are the EU and they're so desperate we cooperate they've gone as far leaking that very statement to the press, I'm confident we'll get a deal that suits us, it won't be as good in terms of trade as we have now but it won't be that bad either.

I must have missed a statement from the EU. Would you be able to put a link up?

Many thanks in advance!

1andrew1 16-02-2018 21:54

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Interesting interview with Sir David Warren, British ambassador to Tokyo from 2008 to 2012, and now head of the Japan Society, the leading independent body in Britain on UK-Japan relations. Some extracts below.
Quote:

“I don’t think we should indulge in ‘Project Fear’ by thinking that disinvestment is likely or imminent,” he said. “The Japanese government and Japanese companies are pragmatic, they are not going to radically change their immediate or short-term plans.”...
“Membership of the customs union is important for Japanese companies, especially in the motor sector, because it gives frictionless access to and from the UK and EU, with large numbers of components crossing boundaries all the time. Japan will not want to see that access being undermined.”..
Sir David believes there is a strong emotional tie between Britain and Japan that will endure. “But fundamentally, every Japanese official or business figure that I meet fails to understand what we are doing.
“The EU has never placed any constraint whatsoever on trade between the UK and Japan. And the Japanese just don’t get the argument that, by leaving the EU, we are somehow throwing off our shackles.”
https://www.ft.com/content/786c8efe-...6-b9ccc4c4dbbb

TheDaddy 16-02-2018 23:56

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35937087)
The same USA that is becoming more and more protectionist and talking about imposing tariffs on imports?

Yes and it's the same USA that wants chlorinated chicken and the NHS included in any deal and Mrs Mayday is desperate enough to give it to them

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35937093)
I must have missed a statement from the EU. Would you be able to put a link up?

Many thanks in advance!

Seeing as you asked so politely

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/eu-seeks-p...165151876.html

1andrew1 17-02-2018 00:09

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35937218)
Yes and it's the same USA that wants chlorinated chicken and the NHS included in any deal and Mrs Mayday is desperate enough to give it to them

But not steel.
The Trump administration said it was weighing broad-based tariffs and quotas to curb imports of steel and aluminum in the name of "national security

Or stock exchanges
SEC blocks Chicago Stock Exchange sale to China-based investors

OLD BOY 17-02-2018 01:42

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35937087)
The same USA that is becoming more and more protectionist and talking about imposing tariffs on imports?

Well, that's your interpretation. What President Trump said in his State of the Nation speech was that he wanted 'fair and reciprocal trade deals'.

I have no problem with that. It's a demonstration of how all agreements should be negotiated. Why are you so afraid of that?

Dave42 17-02-2018 02:10

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35937230)
Well, that's your interpretation. What President Trump said in his State of the Nation speech was that he wanted 'fair and reciprocal trade deals'.

I have no problem with that. It's a demonstration of how all agreements should be negotiated. Why are you so afraid of that?

you have no problem with USA wanting to take over our NHS as part of deal?

OLD BOY 17-02-2018 03:30

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35937235)
you have no problem with USA wanting to take over our NHS as part of deal?

My God, the indoctrination of this tired old narrative knows no bounds, Dave!

The NHS will always be free at the point of delivery. Why should it matter who delivers it, as long as they are competent?

I've seen enough of the people I know who have opted in the end for private health treatment that they have paid for, who say they are amazed at how well they were treated compared with their previous NHS experiences.

Why should I, or anyone else, worry that my treatment is provided by the private sector if I don't have to pay for it?

Oh, and by the way, the last period of Labour Government introduced a fair amount of privatisation, so let's not go down that ideological route!

TheDaddy 17-02-2018 09:23

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35937237)
My God, the indoctrination of this tired old narrative knows no bounds, Dave!

The NHS will always be free at the point of delivery. Why should it matter who delivers it, as long as they are competent?

I've seen enough of the people I know who have opted in the end for private health treatment that they have paid for, who say they are amazed at how well they were treated compared with their previous NHS experiences.

Why should I, or anyone else, worry that my treatment is provided by the private sector if I don't have to pay for it?

Oh, and by the way, the last period of Labour Government introduced a fair amount of privatisation, so let's not go down that ideological route!

Let's go down that route, the creeping privatisation of the NHS can only end one way and it won't be fee at the point of use. We are already seeing private patients being given beds in NHS cancer wards at the expense of the public. Private ambulances are costing more and more for a worse service and who does oily little Gideon Osbourne invite to discuss opportunities with, our closest neighbours in Europe or America, yes didn't need two guesses did you. The thing I find most worrying is the lack of transparency, if what's happening is good for the public you think they'd want to tell us all how well they'd done rather than hide figures.

OLD BOY 17-02-2018 11:37

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35937244)

Let's go down that route, the creeping privatisation of the NHS can only end one way and it won't be fee at the point of use.

We are already seeing private patients being given beds in NHS cancer wards at the expense of the public. Private ambulances are costing more and more for a worse service and who does oily little Gideon Osbourne invite to discuss opportunities with, our closest neighbours in Europe or America, yes didn't need two guesses did you. The thing I find most worrying is the lack of transparency, if what's happening is good for the public you think they'd want to tell us all how well they'd done rather than hide figures.

You see, that is the lie that those who are 'weaponising' the NHS want you to believe, and you've just sucked it in!

There are no plans to have people pay for NHS treatment, which will remain free at the point of delivery, whether the public or private sector is providing the service.

Tha academy schools are run by the private sector, but they don't expect parents to pay for their children to get educated there, do they?

As for private patients in NHS wards, you forget that whether you are a NHS or private patient, you still have the right to NHS care. It should also be remembered that private patients take a lot of strain off the NHS.

As for private ambulances, they are being brought in to take the strain of an overloaded health service, caused by an ever growing number of people using it. Without the private sector, you would have even longer waits following 999 calls.

Carth 17-02-2018 12:33

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Academy run schools: Struggling the same way as ordinary schools and getting Government help with funding. I may be wrong (often am) but I thought the idea of an academy school was to place it in private hands to save tax payers money?

Private patients take a lot of strain off the NHS is it by using NHS facilities, equipment and personnel? Used to be called 'queue jumping' at one time. And don't get me started on NHS dentists v Private dentists

Private ambulances 29 September 2017 One of the largest providers of private ambulance services in the Eastern region went into administration today. “We have been very concerned about this company for months. Both patients and staff have suffered. We know of numerous cases of vulnerable patients not being collected from hospital and ambulances that failed to meet even basic standards of road worthiness.”
https://eastern.unison.org.uk/news/2...dministration/

It all seems to me to have the look of 'Carillion Mk2' about it :(

Mr K 17-02-2018 20:46

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Revealed: rightwing groups plot to ditch EU safety standards on food and drugs

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...y_to_clipboard

Quote:

An unprecedented drive to lobby ministers to ditch strict EU safety standards in order to secure a US trade deal is being drawn up by a transatlantic group of conservative thinktanks, it has emerged.

Organisers of the self-styled “shadow trade talks”, which are set to include 10 leading rightwing and libertarian groups from the UK and the US, are preparing to push their “ideal free trade agreement” that would allow the import of US meats, drugs and chemicals banned in Britain.
All for our own good I should think. Chlorinated chicken and hormone injected beef here we come. All part of the Brexit dividend....

Mick 17-02-2018 22:00

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Another fear mongering bullshit story. Sourced from the crappy leftie, vomit inducing guardian.

Mr K 17-02-2018 22:20

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35937373)
Another fear mongering bullshit story. Sourced from the crappy leftie, vomit inducing guardian.

And your news sources are Mick? ( you rarely post any links to your valuable info ;) )

GrimUpNorth 17-02-2018 22:22

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35937373)
Another fear mongering bullshit story. Sourced from the crappy leftie, vomit inducing guardian.

I don't understand why you feel this incessant need to use childish names for all the people/groups/institutions/entities etc that you don't agree with or like. I'm beginning to wonder if deep down you feel threatened by them.

Cheers

Dave

Mick 17-02-2018 22:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 35937382)
I don't understand why you feel this incessant need to use childish names for all the people/groups/institutions/entities etc that you don't agree with or like. I'm beginning to wonder if deep down you feel threatened by them.

Cheers

Dave

I certainly don’t feel threatened by the lefties from the guardian. And calling them lefties is not childish.

My turn for question time... I don’t understand the need why you keep saying ‘cheers Dave’ at the end of every post, but there you go. (Here’s a tip, get a signature that does it for you.) :rolleyes:

Mr K 17-02-2018 22:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35937386)
I certainly don’t feel threatened by the lefties from the guardian. And calling them lefties is not childish.

My turn for question time... I don’t understand the need why you keep saying ‘cheers Dave’ at the end of every post, but there you go. (Here’s a tip, get a signature that does it for you.) :rolleyes:

it's a lot nicer signature than your usual sign off Mick.

Cheers

Mr K.

Mick 17-02-2018 22:44

Re: Brexit discussion
 
I don’t care how my sign offs look, here’s another....

Back on topic.

GrimUpNorth 17-02-2018 22:52

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35937386)
I certainly don’t feel threatened by the lefties from the guardian. And calling them lefties is not childish.

My turn for question time... I don’t understand the need why you keep saying ‘cheers Dave’ at the end of every post, but there you go. (Here’s a tip, get a signature that does it for you.) :rolleyes:

I would use an automatic signature if adding 'Cheers Dave' to what's already there didn't fall fowl of the 4 line automatic signiture rule - increase the maximum line count and I'll happily automate it. That's why I type it every time.

So I take it you don't think calling them 'crappy leftie, vomit inducing' is even slightly childish?

Regards

Dave

TheDaddy 17-02-2018 22:57

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 35937394)
So I take it you don't think calling them 'crappy leftie, vomit inducing' is even slightly childish?

Regards

Dave

Paul does :)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...24&postcount=3

But then I guess this isn't a forum with close links to newspapers in general or the guardian in particular

Mick 17-02-2018 23:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35937396)
Paul does :)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...24&postcount=3

But then I guess this isn't a forum with close links to newspapers in general or the guardian in particular

Erm, that is totally misleading to bring that here. Paul is on about people using Vomit Media instead of Virgin Media, this has nothing to do with me using the words ‘vomit inducing’, nor is it childish.

This will be the last time I say back on topic, unless people actually want a forum break?!?!

denphone 18-02-2018 07:12

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35937373)
Another fear mongering bullshit story. Sourced from the crappy leftie, vomit inducing guardian.

Just like many other bullshitting rags..

Mr K 18-02-2018 09:17

Re: Brexit discussion
 
https://www.ft.com/content/9cd44aa0-...e-08320fc2a277
Quote:

.Fishermen from the Cornish port of Newlyn were among the most spirited Brexiters.

As Britain tries to negotiate a two-year transition agreement with Brussels that is supposed to provide a smooth path for industry after the country leaves the EU next year, its fishermen fear they may be getting a raw deal.

The arrangement proposed by Brussels would leave the UK in the EU’s common fisheries policy for at least the next two years but without a seat at the table to defend its interests in crucial negotiations. Its fishermen say they would be at the whim of rivals from France and Spain, for example, when it comes time to divvy up catch quotas and agree regulations.
It's a shame such enthusiastic Brexit supporters are now realising the practical reality. A privileged few might benefit, the majority won't.
(sorry for posting from the 'lefty vomit inducing 'Financial Times' ...)

denphone 18-02-2018 10:03

Re: Brexit discussion
 
The Financial Times is one of the most reasonable rational newspapers and there ain't many of those..

Mr K 18-02-2018 10:27

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35937427)
The Financial Times is one of the most reasonable rational newspapers and there ain't many of those..

Yes but it's rubbish for stories on diets, soaps, the weather, strictly/x-factor etc ;)

Carth 18-02-2018 10:31

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35937424)
https://www.ft.com/content/9cd44aa0-...e-08320fc2a277


It's a shame such enthusiastic Brexit supporters are now realising the practical reality.


The arrangement proposed by Brussels . . . just say no, it's that easy

Mr K 18-02-2018 10:36

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35937431)
The arrangement proposed by Brussels . . . just say no, it's that easy

Just as they can say no to our begging for a 'transition', which is needed as Brexit is going to be incredibly damaging.

OLD BOY 18-02-2018 12:08

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35937361)
Revealed: rightwing groups plot to ditch EU safety standards on food and drugs

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...y_to_clipboard



All for our own good I should think. Chlorinated chicken and hormone injected beef here we come. All part of the Brexit dividend....

You could always avoid meat that is 'Made in America' if it worries you.

1andrew1 18-02-2018 12:17

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35937443)
You could always avoid meat that is 'Made in America' if it worries you.

Not so easy in restaurants and processed foods to determine country of origin.

denphone 18-02-2018 12:28

Re: Brexit discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35937444)
Not so easy in restaurants and processed foods to determine country of origin.

Add on top of that the food companies ability in telling us what we want to hear and not what we don't want to hear makes it a bewildering confusement at times for the consumer..


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