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-   -   Post-Brexit Thread (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33703180)

Ignitionnet 15-10-2016 13:24

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35863786)
Well they could stop sending me appointment dates translated into every conceivable language for a start,paper costs and postage must be astronomical ,they know what language i speak and they know what ethnic group i belong to .A small saving i know but the point is from my experience the NHS is really inefficient.Don't forget as well that in a few years migrants will no longer the right live and work here so that alone should reduce the numbers the NHS is expected to treat

Most of the growth in NHS requirements is due to an ageing population unfortunately, so even if we shut the doors right now it wouldn't make any difference to that the funding plans for the NHS for the rest of the Parliament are inadequate.

---------- Post added at 12:24 ---------- Previous post was at 12:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35863780)
We haven't left the European Union yet, and won't do for at least another 2.5 years, until then we keep paying into it.

So even if we were to spend some of the EU money on the NHS it Wouldn't see it for around 3 years from now. so it still has to sort itself out now.

Sadly at least initially the money won't be there. The funding plans for the NHS for the rest of the Parliament were based on growth figures that we're already undershooting and will undershoot further next year by all estimates.

There's also a ~£20 billion divorce payment that as of right now will be due on departure.

Presumably for those and other reasons the PM has been very clear that there are no plans for extra cash for the NHS for the duration of the Parliament over and above what's already been planned - which isn't enough.

EDIT: Note the 'divorce payment' isn't that high yet, however I'm working on the assumption that Sterling and the Euro will be at parity by the time it's due, which is obviously just an estimate based on past performance.

EDIT 2: Of course also noteworthy is that the £350 million a week figure was nonsense. The most recent figures, all in, are that it was about £125 million a week, still a non-trivial sum, and the loss of growth estimated alongside the fall in Sterling already seen wipes that out with interest on lost tax receipts and more expensive borrowing costs. Those borrowing costs are even with QE buying the gilts. When the BoE stops buying the government's debt this will rise further.

1andrew1 15-10-2016 13:29

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35863786)
Well they could stop sending me appointment dates translated into every conceivable language for a start,paper costs and postage must be astronomical ,they know what language i speak and they know what ethnic group i belong to .A small saving i know but the point is from my experience the NHS is really inefficient.Don't forget as well that in a few years migrants will no longer the right live and work here so that alone should reduce the numbers the NHS is expected to treat

Can't you request they email them to you?

---------- Post added at 12:29 ---------- Previous post was at 12:25 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35863749)
Remoaners told to decide: Are you FOR Britain or AGAINST Britain?

“REMOANER" politicians and business leaders have been challenged to decide whether they are “for Britain or against Britain" and get behind Theresa May's Brexit negotiations

http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...gainst-Britain

Shocking, hints of Germany in the 1930s. :(

martyh 15-10-2016 13:37

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35863792)
Can't you request they email them to you?(

I've not heard of that facility but it would be a good thing ,the same for the letters that are sent to my doctors and me from the specialist ,i want a copy but it would be fine in email form and more convenient

1andrew1 15-10-2016 14:51

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35863799)
I've not heard of that facility but it would be a good thing ,the same for the letters that are sent to my doctors and me from the specialist ,i want a copy but it would be fine in email form and more convenient

No harm in asking and suggesting they do it for other patients.

Ignitionnet 15-10-2016 16:09

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I think that was planned before they completely cocked up the NHS IT programme. My own GP surgery operates entirely electronically with me, doesn't seem onerous to expect hospital trusts to be able to do the same.

I suppose one major problem is confirming receipt of an email alongside those who refuse to use computers though the receipt problem isn't insurmountable. Supplying a one-time link to confirm the appointment isn't that big of a deal.

Kursk 15-10-2016 17:04

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863768)
EDIT: Just completed reading the article. If Theresa May et al are so desperate for a change they could try doing their bit with fiscal policy. Investing in things like the health service rather than demanding it do more with less year on year, to make us all more productive. Investing in infrastructure to make the UK more competitive.

I am absolutely sure the Prime Minister knows more about fiscal policy than you and can manage without your schoolboy solutions.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863768)
I note the three MPs the Telegraph mentioned criticising Carney were all vehement leavers. Their complaints are entirely because the output from the BoE disagrees with their dogma.

Or because they are democratic representatives representing the result of a domocratic vote to leave the EU. We are all leavers now.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863768)
Governance of the country right now is downright alarming.

In your opinion of course. I think the Government is doing fine. I wonder whether the majority of voters would agree with you or me?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863772)
Given you're incapable of writing anything worth reading on this topic as a whole I think I'll save my time reading it.

Petulance appears to be your refuge when your embarrassing armchair critique fails to be revered in the manner you feel it deserves. Tut tut.

Ignitionnet 15-10-2016 18:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/

Who would've thought playing UKIP to the point where even a UKIP MEP thought you were going too far would have consequences?

I actually agree with papa smurf on something: given there isn't much to negotiate on let's get article 50 served. We won't need anywhere near the full two years, so can be an independent, fabulously wealthy nation with free trade agreements with the entire world on our own terms by this time next year.

papa smurf 15-10-2016 19:03

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863837)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/

Who would've thought playing UKIP to the point where even a UKIP MEP thought you were going too far would have consequences?

I actually agree with papa smurf on something: given there isn't much to negotiate on let's get article 50 served. We won't need anywhere near the full two years, so can be an independent, fabulously wealthy nation with free trade agreements with the entire world on our own terms by this time next year.

its very good of you to let me know what my opinion is .

Kursk 15-10-2016 19:27

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35863844)
its very good of you to let me know what my opinion is .

Keep your wits about you papa, he's grooming you :D.

Anypermitedroute 15-10-2016 21:17

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35863823)
I am absolutely sure the Prime Minister knows more about fiscal policy than you and can manage without your schoolboy solutions.

I'm going out on a limb and say actually he does


And certainly more than boris Johnson

Ignitionnet 15-10-2016 22:12

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35863873)
I'm going out on a limb and say actually he does

And certainly more than boris Johnson

Thank you but I can't claim to be an expert, I just read things and don't ignore them because they don't fit with my own opinions. This puts me at odds with huge swathes of the Conservative party.

I appear to need to make this clear to a poster; when I said I had no intention of reading further output from you I did mean it.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/18.png

---------- Post added at 21:12 ---------- Previous post was at 21:05 ----------

To be honest, though, I suspect Theresa May does know more about this stuff than me. She just doesn't care as she'd rather court the UKIP vote than serve the country or even obey the instruction of the British people.

Quote:

On what the government should prioritise when negotiating Brexit:
Reducing migration: 39%
Favourable trade deals: 49%
(via ComRes)
Brexit means Brexit means whatever will win the Conservative Party the most votes, regardless of whether or not the nation has had second thoughts to the point where remain would win a referendum now some of the impacts have become clearer, or doesn't subscribe to the Conservative view that immigration is the red line.

The patriotic thing to do, as opposed to the Mail and Express's demands to just accept it all, is to react with anger and disgust at the government throwing the country under a bus to win votes. The cynical, careless politicking during the Conservative Party conference has utterly screwed up any chances of our finding a mutually beneficial deal with the European Union as we leave, and the bribery of Nissan is ridiculous given a major part of the case to leave was to take back control of our finances. Rather than giving money to the EU we're apparently going to be handing money directly to multinationals to bribe them into continuing to employ people. Is this supposed to be a better deal than remaining? Being held hostage by multinational corporations whose demands will never end?

A bunch of people voted with a 'soft Brexit' in mind. They are rapidly learning that they are going to be disappointed. Many more people voted because they believed the pile of BS that Boris Johnson and others sold them. They are increasingly learning that they are going to be disappointed. Post-Brexit people are having sunshine blown up their hindmost by David Davis, and while he and others say one thing the actions of the government show beyond any shadow of a doubt that they are lying.

I have absolutely no interest in stopping Brexit. If it works out well I will be delighted and we'll all win. If it goes completely pear shaped UKIP will be devastated, the Conservative Party will take a pounding and the UK may actually learn some humility and stop believing the jingoistic nonsense the Mail, Express and Three Brexiteers feed us.

We're a great country, one with an amazing history, a compassionate nature, a strong sense of moral justice and an enviable national identity. We are way better than the Britain portrayed recently and I very much hope we prove it.

1andrew1 15-10-2016 22:16

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35863873)
I'm going out on a limb and say actually he does.
And certainly more than boris Johnson

Ignitionnet knows his stuff but by choosing Johnson you have set the bar rather low.

Ignitionnet 15-10-2016 22:31

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35863888)
Ignitionnet knows his stuff but by choosing Johnson you have set the bar rather low.

I'm an IT guy, but I have the Internet and use a variety of sources some of which don't agree with me therefore can research things.

I very much stand on the shoulders of giants.

I have had a crash course in fiscal and monetary policy over the past months, mind.

Perhaps I should start posting full citations with every post? ;)

TheDaddy 15-10-2016 23:09

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863893)

I have had a crash course in fiscal and monetary policy over the past months, mind.

Perhaps I should start posting full citations with every post? ;)

I wouldn't, we don't like experts anymore

Ignitionnet 15-10-2016 23:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35863901)
I wouldn't, we don't like experts anymore

I was never interested in being popular anyway.

TheDaddy 15-10-2016 23:20

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863904)
I was never interested in being popular anyway.

Unlike Mrs May. In that case cite away.

Ignitionnet 16-10-2016 00:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
What a surprise.

http://news.sky.com/story/boris-john...ealed-10619546

Quote:

The content of a secret newspaper column written by Boris Johnson urging Britain to stay in the EU have been revealed.

According to a new book on the EU referendum campaign, he declared: "Britain is a great nation, a global force for good. It is surely a boon for the world and for Europe that she should be *intimately engaged in the EU."

His unpublished article for The Daily Telegraph was written two days before his shock announcement that he would campaign to leave.

He referred to warnings that Brexit could lead to an economic shock, Scottish independence and Russian aggression, according to All Out War, by Sunday Times political editor Tim Shipman.
What a piece of excrement.

---------- Post added at 22:23 ---------- Previous post was at 22:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35863907)
Unlike Mrs May. In that case cite away.

Duly will, see above.

---------- Post added at 23:14 ---------- Previous post was at 22:23 ----------

https://youtu.be/jQjrdp8ZtgQ?t=339

ianch99 16-10-2016 00:20

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35863780)
We haven't left the European Union yet, and won't do for at least another 2.5 years, until then we keep paying into it.

So even if we were to spend some of the EU money on the NHS it Wouldn't see it for around 3 years from now. so it still has to sort itself out now.

Touching that you still believe ... please post back in 2.5 years when the Government spends the EU money on the NHS ... just to remind us on how you weren't lied to?

Kursk 16-10-2016 03:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anypermitedroute (Post 35863873)
I'm going out on a limb and say actually he does

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35863888)
Ignitionnet knows his stuff but by choosing Johnson you have set the bar rather low.

Oh please, Ignitionnet is a Google plagiariser and, despite his protestations about ignoring posts his use of paraphrasing gives him away:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35863770)
He's not standing on the shoulders of giants

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863893)
I very much stand on the shoulders of giants.

;)

Pierre 16-10-2016 08:50

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35863922)
Touching that you still believe ... please post back in 2.5 years when the Government spends the EU money on the NHS ... just to remind us on how you weren't lied to?

I was merely pointing out that you were saying the government were failing to put the money the promised from Brexit into the NHS, and that there is no money from Brexit yet as we haven't left yet and won't for at least 2 years.

So to have a go at the government for their post Brexit spending promises now is a bit premature.

papa smurf 16-10-2016 10:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Theresa May will probably get a good Brexit deal, but nobody can say so

There is no way that the Prime Minister could contemplate doing something as stupid as setting out in Parliament what she hopes to obtain in Brexit negotiations

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/...-a7363026.html

Smitherz87 16-10-2016 10:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35863922)
Touching that you still believe ... please post back in 2.5 years when the Government spends the EU money on the NHS ... just to remind us on how you weren't lied to?

I don't recall anyone saying the whole figure that gets paid to the EU will all go to the NHS.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/14.jpg


I take from that statement on the bus the NHS is where we could be sending it, most are aware its much more complex than taking money from A and giving it to B. I never saw it as a problem then and I still don't see it as a problem now. Once we have untangled ourselves from the EU mess in around 5 years I don't doubt the NHS could possibly benefit from all this.

Hugh 16-10-2016 10:45

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Smitherz87 (Post 35863947)
I don't recall anyone saying the whole figure that gets paid to the EU will all go to the NHS.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/14.jpg


I take from that statement on the bus the NHS is where we could be sending it, most are aware its much more complex than taking money from A and giving it to B. I never saw it as a problem then and I still don't see it as a problem now. Once we have untangled ourselves from the EU mess in around 5 years I don't doubt the NHS could possibly benefit from all this.

True - the specific pledge was £100 million a week...

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a7105246.html

Quote:

Mr Grayling told ITV's Good Morning Britain that Vote Leave had only ever suggested spending £100 million a week on the NHS.

He insisted: "The specific proposal by the Vote Leave campaign was in fact to spend £100 million a week of that on the NHS. I hope that aspiration will be met."
However, the implication was that all the money would be available...

And on the Leave campaign posters, it said “Let’s give our NHS the £350 million the EU takes every week.” - pretty unequivocal...

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entr...b0d2571149c4d1

http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...5&d=1476609435

Kursk 16-10-2016 11:08

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Don't panic everyone CLEGG turned up on Andrew Marr to save us all.

papa smurf 16-10-2016 11:20

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35863957)
Don't panic everyone CLEGG turned up on Andrew Marr to save us all.

i was shocked to hear his family holiday to Spain had increased in price and lets not get started on the price of texting .

its still cheap here in Cleethorpes book early

Kursk 16-10-2016 11:27

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35863961)
i was shocked to hear his family holiday to Spain had increased in price and lets not get started on the price of texting .

its still cheap here in Cleethorpes book early

Seeing his mug again served only to remind how bad things were. I hope he shows up more:)

martyh 16-10-2016 11:30

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35863908)
What a surprise.

http://news.sky.com/story/boris-john...ealed-10619546



What a piece of excrement

Quote:

The Sunday Times says he first wrote an article arguing the case to leave the EU, then wrote the pro-Remain piece "as a way of clarifying his thoughts", before composing a final article for publication backing Brexit
Much ado about nothing

Ignitionnet 16-10-2016 12:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Good to know even MPs tweet when they really shouldn't :)

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/17.png

The honourable member for Peterborough doing his bit for national unity. To be fair to him his constituency was heavily leave, so probably playing up to the home audience somewhat.

This is quite interesting and may be part of why he was so upset.

papa smurf 16-10-2016 12:43

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35863963)
Seeing his mug again served only to remind how bad things were. I hope he shows up more:)

:tu:

Damien 16-10-2016 12:44

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I don't think The Economist has many subscribers of the type likely to boycott the magazine for a lack of patriotism. Hysterical knee-jerk popularism is not really their thing.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 15:29

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35863957)
Don't panic everyone CLEGG turned up on Andrew Marr to save us all.

The only thing that can save us is if May listens to the electorate. The country wants her to choose a good EU trade deal over immigration cuts. http://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/br...-a3370246.html

However, time is not on her side - something of her own making - so she may be tempted to shaft the country and take the easy option of a hard Brexit.
https://www.ft.com/content/ec35e07a-...6-2946058d1122
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/

papa smurf 16-10-2016 15:31

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864000)
The only thing that can save us is if May listens to the electorate. The country wants her to choose a good EU trade deal over immigration cuts. http://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/br...-a3370246.html

However, time is not on her side - something of her own making - so she may be tempted to shaft the country and take the easy option of a hard Brexit.
https://www.ft.com/content/ec35e07a-...6-2946058d1122
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/

isn't that what the loosing side wants ie remoaners

Ignitionnet 16-10-2016 15:53

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35863980)
I don't think The Economist has many subscribers of the type likely to boycott the magazine for a lack of patriotism. Hysterical knee-jerk popularism is not really their thing.

Indeed not. If they wanted to go for popularism they would join in the rhetoric from the Mail and Express.

---------- Post added at 14:53 ---------- Previous post was at 14:50 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864000)
The only thing that can save us is if May listens to the electorate. The country wants her to choose a good EU trade deal over immigration cuts. http://www.standard.co.uk/news/uk/br...-a3370246.html

However, time is not on her side - something of her own making - so she may be tempted to shaft the country and take the easy option of a hard Brexit.
https://www.ft.com/content/ec35e07a-...6-2946058d1122
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/

I don't think there is any option other than a full, and fast, Brexit. As I said before there is no need for much negotiation as there's little to negotiate over. May and company have made their position quite clear, it would be extremely politically difficult for them to back down from that.

At very least it will provide some clarity for businesses so that they can join Nissan and JLR in holding up the taxpayer for subsidies.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 16:09

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35864001)
isn't that what the losing side wants ie remoaners

You need to move on from 24 June and focus on what the country as a whole wants. The British Governments should be taking the views of everyone in the country and the majority want her to focus on a great trade deal and not immigration.

Osem 16-10-2016 16:42

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Good riddance to Carney. Maybe he could be the new England manager as he's been great at moving goalposts during his tenure and the team could clearly do with a bit of that...

Damien 16-10-2016 17:42

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35864008)
Good riddance to Carney. Maybe he could be the new England manager as he's been great at moving goalposts during his tenure and the team could clearly do with a bit of that...

What's Carney done that's so bad? I am not an expert on monetary policy but amongst people that are, at least who I have read, the reaction was positive. I was impressed with him in the aftermath of Brexit though as he was the only one who seemed to have a plan and the BoE stopped the immediate panic that hit after that vote.

It seems as the only person who seems to have a clue as to what they're doing he should be the next to go.

There are also rumours Philip Hammond might not be in his role for too long as he wants to keep Carney and wants to keep the single market option open.

Kursk 16-10-2016 18:07

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35864008)
Good riddance to Carney. Maybe he could be the new England manager as he's been great at moving goalposts during his tenure and the team could clearly do with a bit of that...

I agree.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35863757)
Good riddance. His predictions on interest rates have been useless and his political interventions ill-advised and now he's telling our Prime Minister what to do?

Boot up the arse asap please.

Carney got interest rate predictions consistently wrong, he pokes his nose into politics, he feels the Prime Minister can't tell him what to do, he was George Osbourne's mouthpiece, he contributed to Project Fear and he is not up to the job.

heero_yuy 16-10-2016 18:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864030)
Carney got interest rate predictions consistently wrong, he pokes his nose into politics, he feels the Prime Minister can't tell him what to do, he was George Osbourne's mouthpiece, he contributed to Project Fear and he is not up to the job.

He forgot what he was supposed to be doing IMHO and jumped on the project fear band wagon.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 18:21

Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

The UK’s car industry is doomed to a sharp decline if the country loses access to the EU single market, the head of Germany’s auto industry lobbying group has warned, with automakers likely to move production to low-cost EU countries in eastern Europe.

The comments by Matthias Wissmann mark the first time a senior figure in the German car industry has publicly outlined the consequences from a change to Britain’s trading arrangements with the EU for a sector that has powered the UK’s industrial renaissance in recent years.

Some British ministers have speculated about the possibility of seeking sectoral deals to keep trade flowing, including a special regime for key traded goods such as cars. But Angela Merkel, German chancellor, last week warned against such “comfortable” deals and urged companies engaged in sectoral talks on market access to avoid compromising on EU principles — particularly freedom of movement. Mr Wissmann backed that position. “The UK is an important market for us but the EU market is much more important,” he said. “If the EU were to fall apart, that would be a lot worse for our industry.”
https://www.ft.com/content/e801b67a-...8-d3778b55a923

---------- Post added at 17:21 ---------- Previous post was at 17:12 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864030)
he feels the Prime Minister can't tell him what to do.

I think you may have missed the events of 6 May 1997. Here's a reminder!

"The Chancellor, Gordon Brown, has given the Bank of England independence from political control. His surprise announcement - coming only four days after Labour's landslide election win - is being described as the most radical shake-up in the bank's 300-year history."
http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/d...00/3806313.stm

Kursk 16-10-2016 18:31

Re: Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864034)
I think you may have missed the events of 6 May 1997.

Not at all. I remember well that 19 years ago a Labour Prime Minister disassociated himself from changing interest rates to alleviate the Labour Government from potential negativity. That was Labour. That was 19 years ago. Things change.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 19:08

Re: Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864037)
. Things change.

The Bank of England is still independent. Nothing has changed.

martyh 16-10-2016 19:28

Re: Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864037)
Not at all. I remember well that 19 years ago a Labour Prime Minister disassociated himself from changing interest rates to alleviate the Labour Government from potential negativity. That was Labour. That was 19 years ago. Things change.

No they haven't,you are completely wrong ,the Prime Minister is not allowed to influence the BofE at all ,it is independent from government

---------- Post added at 18:28 ---------- Previous post was at 18:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864006)
You need to move on from 24 June and focus on what the country as a whole wants. The British Governments should be taking the views of everyone in the country and the majority want her to focus on a great trade deal and not immigration.

I've been looking at at that poll and it strikes me that the result isn't as clear cut as the media is making out .

The questions where asked in pairs not as a whole ,for example i could ask

"should the government prioritise reducing immigration or prioritise getting a good trade deal when negotiating Brexit"

that question would give the result you and the media are reporting,however the question wasn't a single question it was a 2 part question ,one part dealing with immigration and the other part dealing with trade and then asking to choose which one best suits your view


Quote:

For each of the following pairs of statements, which comes closest to your own opinion?

The government should prioritise reducing immigration when negotiating the UK’s exit from the EU 39%

The government should prioritise getting favourable trade deals with EU countries when negotiating the UK’s exit from the EU 49%
I don't think it's the same as asking "which would you prefer"

1andrew1 16-10-2016 20:33

Re: Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35864048)
No they haven't,you are completely wrong ,the Prime Minister is not allowed to influence the BofE at all ,it is independent from government.

Indeed. With all the resources available on the internet, it's sad that people do not check the fundamentals before posting.

Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35864048)
I've been looking at that poll and it strikes me that the result isn't as clear cut as the media is making out .

The questions where asked in pairs not as a whole, for example, I could ask

"should the government prioritise reducing immigration or prioritise getting a good trade deal when negotiating Brexit?"

that question would give the result you and the media are reporting,however the question wasn't a single question it was a 2 part question ,one part dealing with immigration and the other part dealing with trade and then asking to choose which one best suits your view

I don't think it's the same as asking "which would you prefer"

An interesting and well-argued point. I'm not a pollster so I can't say but I would be interested to hear from someone who is.

martyh 16-10-2016 20:52

Re: Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864087)
Indeed. With all the resources available on the internet, it's sad that people do not check the fundamentals before posting.


An interesting and well-argued point. I'm not a pollster so I can't say but I would be interested to hear from someone who is.

Maybe the question is designed like that to give a more accurate result ,i don't know but yes it would be interesting to find out why it was put like that after all polling companies invest vast amounts of money looking at how to ask questions so as not to influence the answer

pip08456 16-10-2016 21:12

Re: Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864034)

So let me get this right. The automotive industry will /may relocate to Eastern Europe due to lower production costs and this will affect Brexit because...

Brexit or no Brexit it will still happen.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 21:37

UK looks at paying billions into EU budget after Brexit
 
Quote:

Britain would continue to pay billions of pounds into the EU budget after Brexit to maintain cherished single-market access for the City of London and other sectors under plans being discussed by Theresa May’s cabinet...

But in a move likely to upset many Conservative Eurosceptics, Mrs May has not ruled out making future payments to the EU to secure privileged access to the single market. Finance is among the sectors most likely to benefit in any deal that recognised the “equivalence” of regulatory regimes.
https://www.ft.com/content/a8ec5e90-...c-bdf38d484582

martyh 16-10-2016 21:59

Re: UK looks at paying billions into EU budget after Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864106)

Is that even possible ? what would the rest of the EU members say to the UK buying back privelidge

---------- Post added at 20:59 ---------- Previous post was at 20:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 35864100)
So let me get this right. The automotive industry will /may relocate to Eastern Europe due to lower production costs and this will affect Brexit because...

Brexit or no Brexit it will still happen.

Didn't Ford do it a few years back with the Transit production and to be honest Nissan have been threatening to cut production OR cast doubt on future investment for some years now,long before brexit

1andrew1 16-10-2016 22:14

Re: UK looks at paying billions into EU budget after Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35864113)
Is that even possible ? what would the rest of the EU members say to the UK buying back privilege?

We just don't know. I think Norway and Switzerland do something similar. They get a worse deal than member states do as they have to implement equivalent legislation, fund the EU but, have freedom of movement but don't get a chance to influence legislation.
I could see such a deal being attractive to net budget contributors like Germany and France as this would go some way to making up EU contributions when the UK leaves. We may even end up contributing more than we do at the moment.

---------- Post added at 21:14 ---------- Previous post was at 21:07 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35864113)
Didn't Ford do it a few years back with the Transit production and to be honest Nissan have been threatening to cut production OR cast doubt on future investment for some years now,long before brexit

Ford has ended all vehicle production in the UK, it just manufactures engines and does design and engineering work here.
The issue with downsizing by a Japanese manufacturer is that they are relatively new operations whereas Ford's factories were a lot older. Ford Dagenham opened in 1931, Southampton in 1939.

Kursk 16-10-2016 22:30

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864047)
The Bank of England is still independent. Nothing has changed.

I said things change not things have changed. And I was referring to the current incumbent, whom I think is appointed by the Government, not the status of the bank. Geddit?:sleep:

1andrew1 16-10-2016 22:47

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
:confused:
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864120)
I said things change not things have changed. And I was referring to the current incumbent, whom I think is appointed by the Government, not the status of the bank. Geddit?:sleep:

So why did you state that "he feels the Prime Minister can't tell him what to do." knowing that the Bank of England is still independent and the PM can't tell Carney what to do?

Kursk 16-10-2016 22:53

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864126)
So why did you state that "he feels the Prime Minister can't tell him what to do." knowing that the Bank of England is still independent and the PM can't tell Carney what to do? :confused:

Dear Lord, don't be tiresome there's a good boy. Do you think that the Government might tell him to go?

Damien 16-10-2016 23:00

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864128)
Dear Lord, don't be tiresome there's a good boy. Do you think that the Government might tell him to go?

They can and probably will.

However a lot of the possible replacements aren't going to take a job which is notionally independent but subject to government interference. If Carney goes because he won't play ball then others will be reluctant too.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 23:03

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864128)
Dear Lord, don't be tiresome there's a good boy. Do you think that the Government might tell him to go?

It was a simple question I asked, it's regrettable that you found it too tiring to answer it.

Kursk 16-10-2016 23:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864130)
It was a simple question I asked, it's regrettable that you found it too tiring to answer it.

Tbh a simple extrapolation would have provided your answer for you and you ninja edited your post. :nono:

1andrew1 16-10-2016 23:23

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864133)
Tbh a simple extrapolation would have provided your answer for you and you ninja edited your post. :nono:

I just don't know why you won't give me a straight answer to a straight question and be done with me.;)

Damien 16-10-2016 23:26

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Well this might have a positive effect on the markets tomorrow:

https://www.ft.com/content/a8ec5e90-...c-bdf38d484582

Quote:

Britain would continue to pay billions of pounds into the EU budget after Brexit to maintain cherished single-market access for the City of London and other sectors under plans being discussed by Theresa May’s cabinet.

1andrew1 16-10-2016 23:40

Irish leaders fear Brexit will bring economic disaster
 
Quote:

Irish leaders have warned of an economic “disaster” on both sides of the border without decisive action to confront the effects of Britain’s impending departure from the EU.

Amid warnings of “incalculable consequences” for the Irish Republic and Northern Ireland as the Brexit process unfolds, Ireland’s prime minister Enda Kenny will convene an unprecedented cross-border summit of political leaders to consider what steps to take.

McGrane predicted job losses after Christmas on both sides of the Irish Sea, saying it was not possible to “pent up price increases without being able to pass them on”.

A mushroom factory in the small rural town of Tipperary that closed in August was an early warning sign, a canary in the coalmine. An estimated 90% of mushrooms are exported to the UK, bringing in about €120m each year.

The Tipperary factory relied heavily on British sales and closed with the loss of 75 jobs as a direct result of Brexit, with the owner blaming the drop in sterling against the euro.

“I did not expect when the British people went to the polls that it would have had any consequence for a small town like ours,” independent councillor Denis Leahy told the Guardian.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...looming-crisis

Kursk 17-10-2016 00:43

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864135)
I just don't know why you won't give me a straight answer to a straight question and be done with me.;)

Sigh. Damien has already spelt it out for you:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35864129)
They can and probably will.

If the Government tell Mr Carney to go, they are telling him what to do. That's as clear as I can be.

1andrew1 17-10-2016 01:24

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864155)
Sigh. Damien has already spelt it out for you:

If the Government tell Mr Carney to go, they are telling him what to do. That's as clear as I can be.

So do you really think Dr Carney should ignore his own job description and second-guess what the PM wants instead? I think people at his level are made of stronger stuff than that.

What I think some Brexiters object to is his openness. This was picked up during his job interview and seen then as a positive.
Quote:

23. We welcome the fact that Dr Carney was prepared on occasion to offer views on things that his predecessors would have been reluctant to comment on publicly. For example, in his questionnaire he gave his view on how changes in individual countries could contribute to ameliorating the problems in the eurozone..
He told us that he intended to continue to offer such comment
Source: House of Commons Treasury Committee Appointment of Dr Mark Carney as Governor of the Bank of England HC 944 Published on 19 April 2013

Kursk 17-10-2016 01:47

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864159)
So do you really think Dr Carney should ignore his own job description and second-guess what the PM wants instead? I think people at his level are made of stronger stuff than that.

What I think some Brexiters object to is his openness. This was picked up during his job interview and seen then as a positive.

Source: House of Commons Treasury Committee Appointment of Dr Mark Carney as Governor of the Bank of England HC 944 Published on 19 April 2013

No, I don't, but nor is it wise of him to make public statements of an unnecessarily adversarial nature.

The BoE is independent but he was pro-remain; he stepped over the line and into politics. It was not simply openness, it was bias.

papa smurf 17-10-2016 08:24

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Time for pigmy Clegg and the moaners to grow up

Like the rest of the embittered moaners in the Remain camp, he cannot believe that on June 23 people knew exactly what they were voting for and did so with glad hearts, despite the lies of a snobbish metropolitan elite.


http://www.express.co.uk/comment/exp...Ps-vote-Brexit

Anypermitedroute 17-10-2016 08:43

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quite right, why should we let facts and reality get in the way of a mature debate. Thank god for the daily express that keeps the focus on those pesky swarm of foreigners.

Dammit I want British fruit and veg all year round picked by British hands served on a British plate using cutlery forged with British steel no mater what the cost is

P.s love the hypocrisy "How dare Clegg heap disdain on the 17 million who stood up for Britain’s interests and voted for Brexit. His argument is so juvenile he even invents a word for them – in “brenial”" - says the section that invented remoaners

Damien 17-10-2016 08:50

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I think this might be interest to some on here: https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/168882

:D

denphone 17-10-2016 09:16

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35864171)
Time for pigmy Clegg and the moaners to grow up

Like the rest of the embittered moaners in the Remain camp, he cannot believe that on June 23 people knew exactly what they were voting for and did so with glad hearts, despite the lies of a snobbish metropolitan elite.


http://www.express.co.uk/comment/exp...Ps-vote-Brexit

l am certainly not embittered old boy as l did not vote for Brexit and l ain't from from some imaginary snobbish metropoiltan elite as l was born in the worse area of our fair city so put that in your put that in your pipe and smoke it this morning :devsmoke::p: as we are where we are and that is it as far as l am concerned.

Ignitionnet 17-10-2016 10:49

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35864173)
I think this might be interest to some on here: https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/168882

:D

As produced and shared by a Tory Councillor in Guildford.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/16.png

---------- Post added at 09:46 ---------- Previous post was at 09:45 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35864136)
Well this might have a positive effect on the markets tomorrow:

https://www.ft.com/content/a8ec5e90-...c-bdf38d484582

Not right now. Offset by the news regarding Hammond being sidelined in meetings and his position in jeopardy for acting like a Chancellor / finance minister rather than a minister for Brexit propaganda.

---------- Post added at 09:49 ---------- Previous post was at 09:46 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35864175)
l am certainly not embittered old boy as l did not vote for Brexit and l ain't from from some imaginary snobbish metropoiltan elite as l was born in the worse area of our fair city so put that in your put that in your pipe and smoke it this morning :devsmoke::p: as we are where we are and that is it as far as l am concerned.

That quote is funny. A bunch of people clearly had no idea what they were voting for. They either expected others to pay the price or thought the cost to them would be extremely small.

That this doesn't look like being the case is why the Express, Mail and other media outlets along with politicians at various levels are turning up the propaganda dial to 11, and why they attack those with influence who mention it.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/12.jpg

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/13.jpg

This fascistic crap is getting really, really scary now. There are always going to be some nutters on councils but when they are being egged on by national newspapers and politicians are leaning on 'independent' experts for being 'off message' it's pretty alarming. I don't think politics has stooped this low in my lifetime.

1andrew1 17-10-2016 11:23

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864160)
No, I don't, but nor is it wise of him to make public statements of an unnecessarily adversarial nature.

The BoE is independent but he was pro-remain; he stepped over the line and into politics. It was not simply openness, it was bias.

Theresa May stated that there were “bad side effects” from the Bank of England’s loose monetary policy. A clear case of a born-again Brexiter wanting her cake and eating it as well. Fortunately, Dr Carney's reaction to this criticism was quite modest, restrained and non-adversarial, "it can be difficult sometimes if there are political comments on our policies”.
He continues to comment on the economy as that's one reason why he was chosen for the post. If you expect him to sugar-coat every item of economic news or kick bad news under the carpet then he's not your man.

---------- Post added at 10:23 ---------- Previous post was at 10:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35864171)
Time for pigmy Clegg and the moaners to grow up

Like the rest of the embittered moaners in the Remain camp, he cannot believe that on June 23 people knew exactly what they were voting for and did so with glad hearts, despite the lies of a snobbish metropolitan elite.

http://www.express.co.uk/comment/exp...Ps-vote-Brexit

Can you explain what the 51.9% were voting for? How much immigration was it for? How much budget contribution to the EU was it for? How much free trade with the EU was it for? How much increased weekly contribution to the NHS?

Kursk 17-10-2016 11:39

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864193)
....he's not your man.

No he's not :rolleyes:. For full Groundhog Day repetition of the story so far start here.

1andrew1 17-10-2016 11:49

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864197)
No he's not :rolleyes:. For full Groundhog Day repetition of the story so far start here.

The fact that you now acknowledge the Bank is required to operate independently, you now title Mark Carney correctly as Dr and not Mr but we disagree on the fact that he comments on issues is all progress in my book.
Trying to find a replacement who is pro-Brexit yet knows his monetary policy is a task that is probably harder than the Brexit negotiations!

Damien 17-10-2016 11:49

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35864186)
As produced and shared by a Tory Councillor in Guildford.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/16.png

There are so many odd-ball Councillors around. Everyone focuses on MPs and their expenses but local councils are full of stories that no one knows about. Fact finding trips to exotic places, internal politics akin to that you would find in school playgrounds, criminal offenses or Councillors trying to use the powers inexplicably given to them to prosecute/intimidate/bully anyone who questions them or anyone they've simply taken a dislike too.

One read of Private Eye makes you seriously question localism and devolving power to local areas.

Kursk 17-10-2016 11:59

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864199)
The fact that you now acknowledge the Bank is required to operate independently

Always did :erm:

Quote:

you now title Mark Carney correctly as Dr and not Mr
Do I? :erm:

Quote:

but we disagree on the fact that he comments on issues is all progress in my book.
What is it like in airy-fairy land?

Quote:

Trying to find a replacement who is pro-Brexit yet knows his monetary policy is a task that is probably harder than the Brexit negotiations!
In your opinion. Shouldn't you be managing domains or websites or something useful?

Ignitionnet 17-10-2016 13:12

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864193)
Can you explain what the 51.9% were voting for? How much immigration was it for? How much budget contribution to the EU was it for? How much free trade with the EU was it for? How much increased weekly contribution to the NHS?

You'll have to let him see what the Express or possibly Mail if feeling especially highbrow have to say about it.

If the budget contribution they had in mind was zero if this story is true they're going to be disappointed by the government's aims.

If it was loads more cash to spend at home that alongside the car manufactures getting concessions to keep their plants here they are again likely to be disappointed.

So, if this is true, in return for 'taking back control' the government wants to subsidise Nissan, Jaguar Land Rover, and other car manufacturers, along with paying into the EU budget to preserve our access to the Single Market for financial services.

With being in the Single Market for financial services will also almost certainly come recognising the ECJ's competence for some things. Not as many as now, but still there. That or we go to the expense of setting up a bespoke arrangement, entirely at our cost.

That's just what we have heard about so far. I presume there'll be more to come as other industries do the obvious and pursue such deals for themselves to offset impacts from Brexit.

Looks like a great deal to me. :dunce:

Priti Patel babbled about how discussing Brexit terms in Parliament would be like showing your hand in a game of high-stakes poker. Looks to me like the EU already knows our hand, it's not particularly good, and is getting progressively weaker as, despite the ever-intensifying propaganda, economic reality refuses to go away.

I'm hugely biased, of course, but with each and every mention of costly concessions being made in order to protect our economy this whole thing seems more and more ideological and less and less about what's best for the country.

---------- Post added at 12:03 ---------- Previous post was at 12:01 ----------

Here's a fine piece of self-delusion from the intellectual powerhouse that was the Euro-sceptic's choice to be our Prime Minister.

This is from June this year.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/11.jpg

To be fair the Treasury also got it wrong. Their worst-case scenario, premised around immediate serving of Article 50, foresaw a drop in Sterling of 15%. It's at 17% for right now.

---------- Post added at 12:12 ---------- Previous post was at 12:03 ----------

Talking of the Mail this was in the Mail on Sunday.

Quote:

Retailers are poised to impose a wave of price rises that could add 5 per cent to shopping bills in the new year after the pound plunged by more than the worst forecast of so-called ‘Project Fear’.

The hikes, expected to hit soon after Christmas, will cost consumers an estimated £15billion next year.

A slew of executives from supermarkets, fashion retailers and suppliers have issued warnings. Most declined to be named – saying the issue has become too political – but all predicted price rises of at least 5 per cent.
Pants, but inevitable.

Pierre 17-10-2016 13:20

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35864193)
Can you explain what the 51.9% were voting for? How much immigration was it for? How much budget contribution to the EU was it for? How much free trade with the EU was it for? How much increased weekly contribution to the NHS?

The 52% voted to leave the EU.

Now, in real terms leaving the EU and everything associated with it. Including the Single Market.

Anyone that says they didn't know what they were voting for are stupid and if they've had a change of mind then tough.

Ignorance is no excuse or a defence. You should avail yourself of the facts before you make a decision.

We should exit the EU and then negotiate our relationship.

TheDaddy 17-10-2016 17:00

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35864215)
The 52% voted to leave the EU.

Now, in real terms leaving the EU and everything associated with it. Including the Single Market.

Anyone that says they didn't know what they were voting for are stupid and if they've had a change of mind then tough.

Ignorance is no excuse or a defence. You should avail yourself of the facts before you make a decision.

We should exit the EU and then negotiate our relationship.

Facts were in short supply during the campaigns and experts were dismissed irrelevant, I for one could have easily jumped ship to brexit if only some of these facts had been forthcoming. It seemed to me being in Europe got the blame for a load of stuff that other things were responsible for, a close friend voted out due to him never being able to get a doctor's appointment, post vote I asked him to inquire with the surgery why patients now have to phone in on the day to book an appointment and it was nothing to do with immigrants, to many people were booking in advance and not turning up and I actually heard one woman on the radio who bragged about her qualifications and how she'd worked for the EU but was entirely ignorant of European elections for instance.

papa smurf 17-10-2016 17:37

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
'The Euro is FINISHED' Currency's creator says it will soon COLLAPSE and destroy the EU


In an explosive intervention professor Otmar Issing predicted that Brussels' dream of a European superstate will finally be buried amongst the rubble of the crumbling single currency he designed.

The respected economist launched a withering attack on eurocrats and German leader Angela Merkel, accusing them of betraying the principles of the euro and demonstrating scandalous incompetence over its management.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...y-Otmar-Issing

TheDaddy 17-10-2016 18:35

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35864263)
'The Euro is FINISHED' Currency's creator says it will soon COLLAPSE and destroy the EU


In an explosive intervention professor Otmar Issing predicted that Brussels' dream of a European superstate will finally be buried amongst the rubble of the crumbling single currency he designed.

The respected economist launched a withering attack on eurocrats and German leader Angela Merkel, accusing them of betraying the principles of the euro and demonstrating scandalous incompetence over its management.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...y-Otmar-Issing

All of a sudden you like experts

papa smurf 17-10-2016 19:02

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35864269)
All of a sudden you like experts

i wasn't aware i disliked anyone and i only posted a news article i never proclaimed my feelings for the man .

Kursk 17-10-2016 19:05

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 35864263)
'The Euro is FINISHED' Currency's creator says it will soon COLLAPSE and destroy the EU


In an explosive intervention professor Otmar Issing predicted that Brussels' dream of a European superstate will finally be buried amongst the rubble of the crumbling single currency he designed.

The respected economist launched a withering attack on eurocrats and German leader Angela Merkel, accusing them of betraying the principles of the euro and demonstrating scandalous incompetence over its management.

http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...y-Otmar-Issing

Don't panic papa, someone will be along soon to tell us why this bloke has got it all wrong. There will be a short interlude for googling and assembly of relevant graphs/statistics but the euro will be saved....zzzzzzzz:sleep:

papa smurf 17-10-2016 19:10

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35864277)
Don't panic papa, someone will be along soon to tell us why this bloke has got it all wrong. There will be a short interlude for googling and assembly of relevant graphs/statistics but the euro will be saved....zzzzzzzz:sleep:

yes googling while standing on the backs of giants will probably save the day

1andrew1 17-10-2016 19:52

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35864215)
The 52% voted to leave the EU.

Now, in real terms leaving the EU and everything associated with it. Including the Single Market.

Anyone that says they didn't know what they were voting for are stupid and if they've had a change of mind then tough.

Ignorance is no excuse or a defence. You should avail yourself of the facts before you make a decision.

We should exit the EU and then negotiate our relationship.

Good news for you - you have to exit the EU before negotiating your new relationship with it.

The trouble is Brexit means different things to different people, and your view will differ significantly from the next person's. Just because their views are different from yours doesn't nake them stupid. In the same way, remainers all feel differently about the EU - some wanted us to join the euro, others wanted us to have looser ties.

martyh 17-10-2016 21:39

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35864215)

We should exit the EU and then negotiate our relationship.

Hold on a mo ,i'm probably the most rabid brexiter on the forum with the most simplistic idea of how it should be done and even i think that's just plain backwards .:dozey:

Pierre 17-10-2016 23:04

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35864301)
Hold on a mo ,i'm probably the most rabid brexiter on the forum with the most simplistic idea of how it should be done and even i think that's just plain backwards .:dozey:

Please give me the benefit of your teachings wise one.

Maybe I didn't put it across well.

our starting position should be a complete exit of everything EU.

And then negotiate our new relationship taking into account our wants and aims and their wants and aims.

But laying out that if it is a complete break we end up with, so be it, we won't be bullied or coerced into a poor deal.

If we get into a negotiation practically begging to be in the single market we have nothing.

Ignitionnet 18-10-2016 10:37

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
A couple of articles from the well known pro-EU Telegraph and two well-known pro-EU commentators, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and Jeremy Warner.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/...een-verdict-a/

Quote:

The bond vigilantes are sharpening their knives. The last five trading sessions have seen a sudden and potentially ominous shift in the reflexes of the Gilts market, a sign that ‘hard Brexit’ rhetoric has rattled global debt managers.

“For the first time, foreign investors are beginning to question the credit-worthiness of the United Kingdom, “ said Vatsala Datta, UK rates strategist at RBC.
There goes one of John Redwood's points he used to gloat after the referendum result.

Quote:

Break-even rates stopped rising last week, yet this time Gilt yields spiked higher, a divergence of 18 basis points. RBC said the pattern in the interlocking currency and debt markets is clear: sterling is no longer trading like a bona fide reserve currency.

“The parallel sell-off in gilts and sterling is potentially a worrying development, consistent with the UK’s having growing difficulty funding its internal and external deficits,” it said.
Beware, a long period of belt-tightening is in prospect

Quote:

Does this sound familiar? The pound has long been far too strong, so devaluation is very much to be welcomed; it will allow Britain to tackle the “root cause” of its economic travails, “break out from the straitjacket” of boom and bust, and “in summary … sell more goods abroad on a competitive basis”.

Well it should be familiar, because it is the sort of stuff we have been hearing almost daily from leading Brexiters ever since the pound took its latest, post-referendum tumble.

But it is also almost word for word what Harold Wilson said about his own devaluation nearly 50 years ago. As everyone who lived through those times knows, he then went on to explain: “It does not mean, of course, that the pound here in Britain, in your pocket or purse or in your bank, has been devalued.
Looks as though the Telegraph has joined in talking the country down now. Hang them all for treason.

Ramrod 18-10-2016 12:11

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35863490)
Those two 'facts' were campaign pledges and were disparaged by the experts. Both of them were intentionally misleading people on the actual facts underneath.

The 350 million was admittedly a campaign pledge but the £3500 was,iirc, touted as a fact......but anyway, you get the idea. :)

---------- Post added at 11:11 ---------- Previous post was at 11:08 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35864317)

our starting position should be a complete exit of everything EU.

And then negotiate our new relationship taking into account our wants and aims and their wants and aims.

But laying out that if it is a complete break we end up with, so be it, we won't be bullied or coerced into a poor deal.

If we get into a negotiation practically begging to be in the single market we have nothing.

I agree

Mr K 18-10-2016 13:09

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35864365)
Looks as though the Telegraph has joined in talking the country down now. Hang them all for treason.

More like they are waking up to the reality of the economic gloom ahead. Pound devalued, inflation starting to kick off, UK's credit worthiness questioned, firms starting to look to other countries to relocate.

That 'dodgy' anti-Brexit dossier might have had something in it after all.

Got to make the best of it, but we've made an incredibly stupid decision for all the wrong reasons.

Mick 18-10-2016 13:15

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35864388)

Got to make the best of it, but we've made an incredibly stupid decision for all the wrong reasons.

No we have not - utter Bollocks.

---------- Post added at 12:15 ---------- Previous post was at 12:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35864378)

I agree

Agreed also, some people are just so blind when it comes to the EU, they cannot see the corrupt entity that is the EU and heaven knows why people want to be associated with that mess they call they EU, is beyond me.

The sooner we leave the bloody better.

Mr K 18-10-2016 13:52

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35864389)
No we have not - utter Bollocks.

---------- Post added at 12:15 ---------- Previous post was at 12:11 ----------



Agreed also, some people are just so blind when it comes to the EU, they cannot see the corrupt entity that is the EU and heaven knows why people want to be associated with that mess they call they EU, is beyond me.

The sooner we leave the bloody better.

Having a bad day Michael ? ;) Cheer up, it could be worse, Trump could be running for PM - his next strategy I should think.

I think many Brexiters are blind to the oncoming economic crisis and are having to justify their decision, if only to themselves. The EU has faults, however the advantages of membership will become apparent to many over the next few years, too late of course.

Ramrod 18-10-2016 14:02

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35864395)
I think many Brexiters are blind to the oncoming economic crisis and are having to justify their decision, if only to themselves. The EU has faults, however the advantages of membership will become apparent to many over the next few years, too late of course.

I'm not blind to the probable economic problems we'll be having but they are worth it to be shot of the EU. Self determination as a country is more important than a temporary economic downturn.
There is more to life than money!

Osem 18-10-2016 14:12

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35864389)
No we have not - utter Bollocks.

---------- Post added at 12:15 ---------- Previous post was at 12:11 ----------



Agreed also, some people are just so blind when it comes to the EU, they cannot see the corrupt entity that is the EU and heaven knows why people want to be associated with that mess they call they EU, is beyond me.

The sooner we leave the bloody better.

Me too. I can understand why people might well be wedded to a certain idea of what the EU could/should have been but Eurocrats are clearly not for turning...

Anyway the good news for those who're truly convinced that the UK is on the verge of becoming a third world country and the EU is so obviously the place to be, they still have time to pack up and head off over there. What's to lose after all? The way some folks are talking, I'm just surprised that there doesn't seem to have been a mass exodus already... ;)

Damien 18-10-2016 14:14

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35864399)
There is more to life than money!

But money can buy so many of those things! Such as donuts, beer and more donuts still. :shocked:

tweetiepooh 18-10-2016 15:36

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
As with too many other times where there is a down turn there are leaches who sell short and hope for things to get worse. I've worked in companies that hit a hard patch and these low life come out boasting about how well they will do when the company collapses and they have to buy their short sold stock for a pittance. No thought of people losing their jobs and livelihoods.

Seems same is applying here. There are those "betting" on a sterling collapse and almost ensuring it's self fulfilling. And the brokers win whatever happens.

And in this country we have doughnuts.

Damien 18-10-2016 15:39

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 35864426)
As with too many other times where there is a down turn there are leaches who sell short and hope for things to get worse. I've worked in companies that hit a hard patch and these low life come out boasting about how well they will do when the company collapses and they have to buy their short sold stock for a pittance. No thought of people losing their jobs and livelihoods.

Seems same is applying here. There are those "betting" on a sterling collapse and almost ensuring it's self fulfilling. And the brokers win whatever happens.

And this country we have doughnuts.

For now.....:erm:

Incidentally the markets work the other way too. If sterling is too low then you'll make a ton buying it before it corrects itself. This isn't short selling but a lack of faith, justified or not, in the currency which is either temporary or not.

tweetiepooh 18-10-2016 15:46

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
I have no problem in people "betting" on things doing well. Buying shares or whatever because you want them to appreciate. That's doing what it was intended to do, providing capital to allow something to be developed/marketed/grow and getting rewarded for it with dividends and increased value to holdings. I object to the opposite.

Damien 18-10-2016 15:52

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
By the way that court case on Article 50 isn't look as good for the government as expected. Losing it seems to be a real possibility at the moment.

Mick 18-10-2016 16:19

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35864432)
By the way that court case on Article 50 isn't look as good for the government as expected. Losing it seems to be a real possibility at the moment.

Don't get your hopes up too quickly - Government will still find a way to execute Article 50 regardless of that stupid Court case.

Damien 18-10-2016 16:23

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35864438)
Don't get your hopes up too quickly - Government will still find a way to execute Article 50 regardless of that stupid Court case.

Article 50 will still be executed either way. The politics of it make it impossible for MPs to block it without massive consequences. It's just interesting if it's the Government or Parliament that has the authority to issue it.

Ignitionnet 18-10-2016 18:26

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 35864428)
I have no problem in people "betting" on things doing well. Buying shares or whatever because you want them to appreciate. That's doing what it was intended to do, providing capital to allow something to be developed/marketed/grow and getting rewarded for it with dividends and increased value to holdings. I object to the opposite.

It isn't betting on Sterling being weak that's dragged it down. There is capital flight, investors see the UK as a materially worse place to put their money, and Sterling seems to be losing its status as a world reserve currency. This is largely at least due to the Brexit vote and the position adopted by the government.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/local/2016/10/7.jpg

Can you blame someone who invested in UK debt via US Dollars for pulling their money with this kind of performance?

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/local/2016/10/8.jpg

Without that status we're left on our own in the big wide world, we can no longer depend on the 'kindness of strangers' to finance our deficits.

Regarding today's inflation report, we are certainly due an inflation spike due to Brexit but if it's influenced this month's results it's the very early stages.

Finance houses are increasingly activating contingency plans. What effects these will have on jobs and taxes in the UK is unclear.

All may end well but for now and for the foreseeable the UK's economic position is materially worse as a result of the vote. That's a simple statement of fact. Some people were prepared for this and accept it as the price to pay for getting what they consider sovereignty back, the majority of the country however have no interest in becoming poorer due to this. 48.1% of them didn't want it anyway, another couple of % have now changed their minds, and of those that still would vote leave at least a quarter did so thinking it wouldn't affect them financially, and were wrong. Those who are not of pensionable age and on welfare, a group that voted heavily leave, will see the welfare freeze impact them more this year and even more next as it won't come close to keeping up with inflation, as will those on in-work welfare, another group that voted overwhelmingly to leave.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/local/2016/10/9.jpg

TheDaddy 18-10-2016 20:28

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ramrod (Post 35864399)
I'm not blind to the probable economic problems we'll be having but they are worth it to be shot of the EU. Self determination as a country is more important than a temporary economic downturn.
There is more to life than money!

Easy to say when you've got lots of it, not quite so easy for those already struggling still it's what we voted for and perhaps that was what was meant by taking back control of the decision making, the peasants can decide whether to eat or heat their homes

Ignitionnet 18-10-2016 21:59

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
Might be some good news, at least for those on the flight paths. Looks like further airport expansion after an additional runway for Heathrow or Gatwick might not be necessary after all.

Quote:

Revised projections from Iata suggest traffic will be nearer the lower limit of the forecast if the UK goes for a hard Brexit, compounding the impact of a falling pound and increased travel costs from limited access to the EU aviation market. Iata’s analysts said that reduced air capacity to and from the EU would “be expected to increase directly the cost of air travel with the bloc”.

If ongoing membership of the European Common Aviation Area is forfeited, Iata’s report warns, the impact would be “frontloaded” and the costs of air travel to the UK would remain higher for decades, dampening demand.

However, the weaker overall demand will make little difference to the main contenders for a new runway in south-east England, with Heathrow having effectively reached capacity in 2011, and Gatwick’s subsequent rapid growth seeing it forecast to reach capacity by the next decade if not before.


---------- Post added at 20:59 ---------- Previous post was at 20:56 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35864317)
our starting position should be a complete exit of everything EU.

And then negotiate our new relationship taking into account our wants and aims and their wants and aims.

But laying out that if it is a complete break we end up with, so be it, we won't be bullied or coerced into a poor deal.

The above is just another of the impacts from a complete exit of everything EU.

I have no idea why the EU would be in any way bothered by that course of events; Schipol, CDG, Frankfurt and others would be quite happy to take the fees from transit travellers.

Damien 18-10-2016 22:20

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
The airport decision being delayed again is pathetic. It really gets down to the actual problems this country has which is the constant inertia when it comes to any infrastructure development. Nuclear power plants take decades, railways decades, runways decades. Most of the time spent with successive governments delaying the decision as long as possible and then more so. They keep wanting to build more homes but never do. They could just allow local authorities to build and sell affording housing but as so ideologically opposed they would rather sit on their hands for years trying to find a way to build houses without looking like the state is involved.

Whole thing is a mess.

Generations before us wondered if their government would get a man on the moon in their lifetime, we get the 3rd runway instead.

techguyone 18-10-2016 22:42

Re: Post-Brexit Thread
 
You're not wrong Damien it's a joke.


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