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There's also a ~£20 billion divorce payment that as of right now will be due on departure. Presumably for those and other reasons the PM has been very clear that there are no plans for extra cash for the NHS for the duration of the Parliament over and above what's already been planned - which isn't enough. EDIT: Note the 'divorce payment' isn't that high yet, however I'm working on the assumption that Sterling and the Euro will be at parity by the time it's due, which is obviously just an estimate based on past performance. EDIT 2: Of course also noteworthy is that the £350 million a week figure was nonsense. The most recent figures, all in, are that it was about £125 million a week, still a non-trivial sum, and the loss of growth estimated alongside the fall in Sterling already seen wipes that out with interest on lost tax receipts and more expensive borrowing costs. Those borrowing costs are even with QE buying the gilts. When the BoE stops buying the government's debt this will rise further. |
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I think that was planned before they completely cocked up the NHS IT programme. My own GP surgery operates entirely electronically with me, doesn't seem onerous to expect hospital trusts to be able to do the same.
I suppose one major problem is confirming receipt of an email alongside those who refuse to use computers though the receipt problem isn't insurmountable. Supplying a one-time link to confirm the appointment isn't that big of a deal. |
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/
Who would've thought playing UKIP to the point where even a UKIP MEP thought you were going too far would have consequences? I actually agree with papa smurf on something: given there isn't much to negotiate on let's get article 50 served. We won't need anywhere near the full two years, so can be an independent, fabulously wealthy nation with free trade agreements with the entire world on our own terms by this time next year. |
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And certainly more than boris Johnson |
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I appear to need to make this clear to a poster; when I said I had no intention of reading further output from you I did mean it. https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/18.png ---------- Post added at 21:12 ---------- Previous post was at 21:05 ---------- To be honest, though, I suspect Theresa May does know more about this stuff than me. She just doesn't care as she'd rather court the UKIP vote than serve the country or even obey the instruction of the British people. Quote:
The patriotic thing to do, as opposed to the Mail and Express's demands to just accept it all, is to react with anger and disgust at the government throwing the country under a bus to win votes. The cynical, careless politicking during the Conservative Party conference has utterly screwed up any chances of our finding a mutually beneficial deal with the European Union as we leave, and the bribery of Nissan is ridiculous given a major part of the case to leave was to take back control of our finances. Rather than giving money to the EU we're apparently going to be handing money directly to multinationals to bribe them into continuing to employ people. Is this supposed to be a better deal than remaining? Being held hostage by multinational corporations whose demands will never end? A bunch of people voted with a 'soft Brexit' in mind. They are rapidly learning that they are going to be disappointed. Many more people voted because they believed the pile of BS that Boris Johnson and others sold them. They are increasingly learning that they are going to be disappointed. Post-Brexit people are having sunshine blown up their hindmost by David Davis, and while he and others say one thing the actions of the government show beyond any shadow of a doubt that they are lying. I have absolutely no interest in stopping Brexit. If it works out well I will be delighted and we'll all win. If it goes completely pear shaped UKIP will be devastated, the Conservative Party will take a pounding and the UK may actually learn some humility and stop believing the jingoistic nonsense the Mail, Express and Three Brexiteers feed us. We're a great country, one with an amazing history, a compassionate nature, a strong sense of moral justice and an enviable national identity. We are way better than the Britain portrayed recently and I very much hope we prove it. |
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I very much stand on the shoulders of giants. I have had a crash course in fiscal and monetary policy over the past months, mind. Perhaps I should start posting full citations with every post? ;) |
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What a surprise.
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So to have a go at the government for their post Brexit spending promises now is a bit premature. |
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Theresa May will probably get a good Brexit deal, but nobody can say so
There is no way that the Prime Minister could contemplate doing something as stupid as setting out in Parliament what she hopes to obtain in Brexit negotiations http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/...-a7363026.html |
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https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/14.jpg I take from that statement on the bus the NHS is where we could be sending it, most are aware its much more complex than taking money from A and giving it to B. I never saw it as a problem then and I still don't see it as a problem now. Once we have untangled ourselves from the EU mess in around 5 years I don't doubt the NHS could possibly benefit from all this. |
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And on the Leave campaign posters, it said “Let’s give our NHS the £350 million the EU takes every week.” - pretty unequivocal... http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/entr...b0d2571149c4d1 http://www.cableforum.co.uk/board/at...5&d=1476609435 |
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Don't panic everyone CLEGG turned up on Andrew Marr to save us all.
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its still cheap here in Cleethorpes book early |
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Good to know even MPs tweet when they really shouldn't :)
https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/17.png The honourable member for Peterborough doing his bit for national unity. To be fair to him his constituency was heavily leave, so probably playing up to the home audience somewhat. This is quite interesting and may be part of why he was so upset. |
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I don't think The Economist has many subscribers of the type likely to boycott the magazine for a lack of patriotism. Hysterical knee-jerk popularism is not really their thing.
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However, time is not on her side - something of her own making - so she may be tempted to shaft the country and take the easy option of a hard Brexit. https://www.ft.com/content/ec35e07a-...6-2946058d1122 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016...an-to-exploit/ |
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At very least it will provide some clarity for businesses so that they can join Nissan and JLR in holding up the taxpayer for subsidies. |
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Good riddance to Carney. Maybe he could be the new England manager as he's been great at moving goalposts during his tenure and the team could clearly do with a bit of that...
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It seems as the only person who seems to have a clue as to what they're doing he should be the next to go. There are also rumours Philip Hammond might not be in his role for too long as he wants to keep Carney and wants to keep the single market option open. |
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Germany warns hard Brexit will damage UK car industry
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"The Chancellor, Gordon Brown, has given the Bank of England independence from political control. His surprise announcement - coming only four days after Labour's landslide election win - is being described as the most radical shake-up in the bank's 300-year history." http://news.bbc.co.uk/onthisday/hi/d...00/3806313.stm |
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The questions where asked in pairs not as a whole ,for example i could ask "should the government prioritise reducing immigration or prioritise getting a good trade deal when negotiating Brexit" that question would give the result you and the media are reporting,however the question wasn't a single question it was a 2 part question ,one part dealing with immigration and the other part dealing with trade and then asking to choose which one best suits your view Quote:
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Brexit or no Brexit it will still happen. |
UK looks at paying billions into EU budget after Brexit
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I could see such a deal being attractive to net budget contributors like Germany and France as this would go some way to making up EU contributions when the UK leaves. We may even end up contributing more than we do at the moment. ---------- Post added at 21:14 ---------- Previous post was at 21:07 ---------- Quote:
The issue with downsizing by a Japanese manufacturer is that they are relatively new operations whereas Ford's factories were a lot older. Ford Dagenham opened in 1931, Southampton in 1939. |
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However a lot of the possible replacements aren't going to take a job which is notionally independent but subject to government interference. If Carney goes because he won't play ball then others will be reluctant too. |
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Well this might have a positive effect on the markets tomorrow:
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Irish leaders fear Brexit will bring economic disaster
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What I think some Brexiters object to is his openness. This was picked up during his job interview and seen then as a positive. Quote:
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The BoE is independent but he was pro-remain; he stepped over the line and into politics. It was not simply openness, it was bias. |
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Time for pigmy Clegg and the moaners to grow up
Like the rest of the embittered moaners in the Remain camp, he cannot believe that on June 23 people knew exactly what they were voting for and did so with glad hearts, despite the lies of a snobbish metropolitan elite. http://www.express.co.uk/comment/exp...Ps-vote-Brexit |
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Quite right, why should we let facts and reality get in the way of a mature debate. Thank god for the daily express that keeps the focus on those pesky swarm of foreigners.
Dammit I want British fruit and veg all year round picked by British hands served on a British plate using cutlery forged with British steel no mater what the cost is P.s love the hypocrisy "How dare Clegg heap disdain on the 17 million who stood up for Britain’s interests and voted for Brexit. His argument is so juvenile he even invents a word for them – in “brenial”" - says the section that invented remoaners |
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That this doesn't look like being the case is why the Express, Mail and other media outlets along with politicians at various levels are turning up the propaganda dial to 11, and why they attack those with influence who mention it. https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/12.jpg https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/13.jpg This fascistic crap is getting really, really scary now. There are always going to be some nutters on councils but when they are being egged on by national newspapers and politicians are leaning on 'independent' experts for being 'off message' it's pretty alarming. I don't think politics has stooped this low in my lifetime. |
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He continues to comment on the economy as that's one reason why he was chosen for the post. If you expect him to sugar-coat every item of economic news or kick bad news under the carpet then he's not your man. ---------- Post added at 10:23 ---------- Previous post was at 10:15 ---------- Quote:
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Trying to find a replacement who is pro-Brexit yet knows his monetary policy is a task that is probably harder than the Brexit negotiations! |
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One read of Private Eye makes you seriously question localism and devolving power to local areas. |
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If the budget contribution they had in mind was zero if this story is true they're going to be disappointed by the government's aims. If it was loads more cash to spend at home that alongside the car manufactures getting concessions to keep their plants here they are again likely to be disappointed. So, if this is true, in return for 'taking back control' the government wants to subsidise Nissan, Jaguar Land Rover, and other car manufacturers, along with paying into the EU budget to preserve our access to the Single Market for financial services. With being in the Single Market for financial services will also almost certainly come recognising the ECJ's competence for some things. Not as many as now, but still there. That or we go to the expense of setting up a bespoke arrangement, entirely at our cost. That's just what we have heard about so far. I presume there'll be more to come as other industries do the obvious and pursue such deals for themselves to offset impacts from Brexit. Looks like a great deal to me. :dunce: Priti Patel babbled about how discussing Brexit terms in Parliament would be like showing your hand in a game of high-stakes poker. Looks to me like the EU already knows our hand, it's not particularly good, and is getting progressively weaker as, despite the ever-intensifying propaganda, economic reality refuses to go away. I'm hugely biased, of course, but with each and every mention of costly concessions being made in order to protect our economy this whole thing seems more and more ideological and less and less about what's best for the country. ---------- Post added at 12:03 ---------- Previous post was at 12:01 ---------- Here's a fine piece of self-delusion from the intellectual powerhouse that was the Euro-sceptic's choice to be our Prime Minister. This is from June this year. https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...2016/10/11.jpg To be fair the Treasury also got it wrong. Their worst-case scenario, premised around immediate serving of Article 50, foresaw a drop in Sterling of 15%. It's at 17% for right now. ---------- Post added at 12:12 ---------- Previous post was at 12:03 ---------- Talking of the Mail this was in the Mail on Sunday. Quote:
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Now, in real terms leaving the EU and everything associated with it. Including the Single Market. Anyone that says they didn't know what they were voting for are stupid and if they've had a change of mind then tough. Ignorance is no excuse or a defence. You should avail yourself of the facts before you make a decision. We should exit the EU and then negotiate our relationship. |
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'The Euro is FINISHED' Currency's creator says it will soon COLLAPSE and destroy the EU
In an explosive intervention professor Otmar Issing predicted that Brussels' dream of a European superstate will finally be buried amongst the rubble of the crumbling single currency he designed. The respected economist launched a withering attack on eurocrats and German leader Angela Merkel, accusing them of betraying the principles of the euro and demonstrating scandalous incompetence over its management. http://www.express.co.uk/news/politi...y-Otmar-Issing |
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The trouble is Brexit means different things to different people, and your view will differ significantly from the next person's. Just because their views are different from yours doesn't nake them stupid. In the same way, remainers all feel differently about the EU - some wanted us to join the euro, others wanted us to have looser ties. |
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Maybe I didn't put it across well. our starting position should be a complete exit of everything EU. And then negotiate our new relationship taking into account our wants and aims and their wants and aims. But laying out that if it is a complete break we end up with, so be it, we won't be bullied or coerced into a poor deal. If we get into a negotiation practically begging to be in the single market we have nothing. |
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A couple of articles from the well known pro-EU Telegraph and two well-known pro-EU commentators, Ambrose Evans-Pritchard and Jeremy Warner.
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That 'dodgy' anti-Brexit dossier might have had something in it after all. Got to make the best of it, but we've made an incredibly stupid decision for all the wrong reasons. |
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The sooner we leave the bloody better. |
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I think many Brexiters are blind to the oncoming economic crisis and are having to justify their decision, if only to themselves. The EU has faults, however the advantages of membership will become apparent to many over the next few years, too late of course. |
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There is more to life than money! |
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Anyway the good news for those who're truly convinced that the UK is on the verge of becoming a third world country and the EU is so obviously the place to be, they still have time to pack up and head off over there. What's to lose after all? The way some folks are talking, I'm just surprised that there doesn't seem to have been a mass exodus already... ;) |
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As with too many other times where there is a down turn there are leaches who sell short and hope for things to get worse. I've worked in companies that hit a hard patch and these low life come out boasting about how well they will do when the company collapses and they have to buy their short sold stock for a pittance. No thought of people losing their jobs and livelihoods.
Seems same is applying here. There are those "betting" on a sterling collapse and almost ensuring it's self fulfilling. And the brokers win whatever happens. And in this country we have doughnuts. |
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Incidentally the markets work the other way too. If sterling is too low then you'll make a ton buying it before it corrects itself. This isn't short selling but a lack of faith, justified or not, in the currency which is either temporary or not. |
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I have no problem in people "betting" on things doing well. Buying shares or whatever because you want them to appreciate. That's doing what it was intended to do, providing capital to allow something to be developed/marketed/grow and getting rewarded for it with dividends and increased value to holdings. I object to the opposite.
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By the way that court case on Article 50 isn't look as good for the government as expected. Losing it seems to be a real possibility at the moment.
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https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/local/2016/10/7.jpg Can you blame someone who invested in UK debt via US Dollars for pulling their money with this kind of performance? https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/local/2016/10/8.jpg Without that status we're left on our own in the big wide world, we can no longer depend on the 'kindness of strangers' to finance our deficits. Regarding today's inflation report, we are certainly due an inflation spike due to Brexit but if it's influenced this month's results it's the very early stages. Finance houses are increasingly activating contingency plans. What effects these will have on jobs and taxes in the UK is unclear. All may end well but for now and for the foreseeable the UK's economic position is materially worse as a result of the vote. That's a simple statement of fact. Some people were prepared for this and accept it as the price to pay for getting what they consider sovereignty back, the majority of the country however have no interest in becoming poorer due to this. 48.1% of them didn't want it anyway, another couple of % have now changed their minds, and of those that still would vote leave at least a quarter did so thinking it wouldn't affect them financially, and were wrong. Those who are not of pensionable age and on welfare, a group that voted heavily leave, will see the welfare freeze impact them more this year and even more next as it won't come close to keeping up with inflation, as will those on in-work welfare, another group that voted overwhelmingly to leave. https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/local/2016/10/9.jpg |
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Might be some good news, at least for those on the flight paths. Looks like further airport expansion after an additional runway for Heathrow or Gatwick might not be necessary after all.
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I have no idea why the EU would be in any way bothered by that course of events; Schipol, CDG, Frankfurt and others would be quite happy to take the fees from transit travellers. |
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The airport decision being delayed again is pathetic. It really gets down to the actual problems this country has which is the constant inertia when it comes to any infrastructure development. Nuclear power plants take decades, railways decades, runways decades. Most of the time spent with successive governments delaying the decision as long as possible and then more so. They keep wanting to build more homes but never do. They could just allow local authorities to build and sell affording housing but as so ideologically opposed they would rather sit on their hands for years trying to find a way to build houses without looking like the state is involved.
Whole thing is a mess. Generations before us wondered if their government would get a man on the moon in their lifetime, we get the 3rd runway instead. |
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You're not wrong Damien it's a joke.
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