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Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
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Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
Well David was the dominant one. And Nick had cling film on. :shrug:
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Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
Sky News promoting its interview with Cummings with this prediction from him.
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Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
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Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
I usually think you have to take the proclaimed death of one of the two main parties with a large pinch of salt. It's been said of both of them so many times over the years. Tories in '97, Labour in '10, but especially in '19 and now the Tories again.
What gives me some cause for doubt is that Reform does seem a real threat to them. They are not gaining at all from Labour's unpopularity, and Badenoch doesn't have a good read on the country outside of Twitter. Farage is much better at connecting with what people are feeling. The other side of that is that Reform at the moment has less broad appeal. About 30% of Conservative voters are going for Labour over Reform in a hypothetical match-up. There is a reason why Labour are trying to position Reform front and centre over the Tories because, if the Tories got their act together, they're still a bigger electoral threat. Farage is a big turnoff for moderates and the centre ground. I am not sure of they are capable of broading that appeal in the way Cameron and Johnson did to win their elections. |
Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
Reform’s support is skin deep. It has councillors (and MPs) who don’t show up to work and who resign and swap parties. It is quite possible it could do very well in the next election but at some point it will do well enough that the spotlight is properly on them and that’s when it’ll go bad.
The Scottish Socialist Party was a thing at Holyrood - formed in 1998, got one seat in the first Scottish parliament, six seats in the second, and then utterly beclowned themselves with a series of stunts and pronouncements that would make a student activist blush. They lost all their seats in 2007 and gave up contesting Scottish elections prior to the 2021 vote. Populists are great at pointing out problems and getting people angry enough at what’s wrong to support them on the basis that they made people agree with them that everything’s awful. Whether they are as good at implementing workable solutions, especially solutions that take time, cost money, don’t have universal support and which involve some people winning and some people losing, is another matter. The Tories are the most successful political party in the world for good reason. They have a depth of support and a heritage. They may look awful now but they’ve looked awful before. |
Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-tory-failures
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Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
Truss has her reputation to protect. There is no doubt, that her measures were intended to stimulate economic growth; as in her heart was in the right place. But she wasn't in her right mind when she announced £45bn of unfunded tax reductions without consulting the relevant regulators (OBR/BoE).
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Kemi needs to meet me for a curry and implement my advice which starts with a front bench clear-out and the introduction of the 2024 intake. Also she realistically needs to acknowledge that a large proportion of Reform UK are natural Conservatives and to win them back, an accommodation with Reform UK is necessary. |
Re: Conservative Party's chronicles
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