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Now, I don't think they'll do it either because it's unpopular and unworkable. But that is what the proposal is. They like to signal one thing to one group, i.e telling the more radical right they want to do what the bill as introduced says, whilst then pretending it's liberal scaremongering when challenged on it. It's not a healthy place to be when politicians are proposing wildly radical ideas, and we simply think they won't actually do it. |
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The House of Lords could be a problem, which is why Reform would have to be careful to set out what they wanted to do in their manifesto. |
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The Government obviously can retrospectively change the Leave to Remain laws. If it's a good idea to do so, when you've essentially had an agreement with the people to whom you've offered it, is another question.
My main problem with it is the moral issue with kicking out people who've made their lives here, especially if they've been here for a long time, paid taxes and built families here. But it's also a stupid idea in terms of how confident people are that you'll uphold the agreements you'll make in future. |
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It’s the North African, and Middle Eastern backward cohort of Islamic “doctors and engineers” we would like removed. |
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I’m not sufficiently anorak to know for certain, however I suspect if the actual intention is to grant the SoS power to decide tougher rules on who can remain in the country, then the prior 7 clauses are entirely redundant in the main body of the act and would probably be deleted during the legislation’s passage through parliament. They belong in the accompanying Immigration Rules, which are variable by order of the SoS. Which rather calls into question why they’re even there in the draft Bill. My suspicion is that it’s grandstanding, an advert for Tory tough-talking designed to slash the tyres of Reform’s battle bus. I do think we need to be tougher on who gets ILR. I also do think we need to be able to revoke ILR. I simply don’t accept that we have to live forever with the social consequences of poor - possibly pernicious - immigration policy aimed at engineering radical social and cultural change in this country. However as written those rules would indeed cause chaos and there ought to be exceptions - pensioners being an obvious example, extreme length of stay being another. Re your earlier point about polling not supporting this - that is very much the point of a democracy. If there actually is no appetite for this in the country, then the Tories will fight 2028 (probably) on a core vote strategy and won’t win the election. So you have nothing to worry about. Also, if polling you’ve seen doesn’t show public support for this, in what sense can you think (as you indicated earlier) that you don’t like what the country’s becoming - because you don’t seem to think that’s what it actually is becoming? |
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We're talking about people who have built their lives here based on an agreement they had with the British Government, which told them they could do so. Had careers, families, purchased homes and even then retired. In several cases, this might now be the only home and community they have. That is why, even if we're all agreed this is unlikely to happen, it's still a cruel thing to play with for political stunts. We're talking of millions of people who, in theory, have been told they're one election away from getting the boot. People who were told this was their home and had the legal agreement to back that up. Quote:
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I read that, but EU nationals are not exempt from the rules as written. The suggestion they would be in the end isn't a defence against what was actually proposed.
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I was quite interested, so I looked up settlement grants by nationality. I might have interpreted these stats wrong but going by this: https://www.gov.uk/government/statis...les#settlement
We've given 1.8 million people from outside the EU settled status since 2010 and 5.7 million Europeans settled status since leaving the EU. I couldn't break it out between leave to remain and indefinite leave to remain. So this would impact a lot of EU citizens. These statistics don't include pre-2010 applications, and I was unable to work out the situation with Windrush. In theory, Windrush people should have had ILR. Some might have done. I am unsure of the legal status of those who went through the recent Windrush scheme. |
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I'd like to see an economic assessment of the Conservative Party's proposals with all that spending power taken out of the country.
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The £38k figure appears to have been chosen because it is comfortably below the level at which an individual is likely costing the State more than they’re contributing (which seems to be around £41k).* I think the very phrase ‘spending power’ tends to over-emphasise the effect of the thing it describes. *Here’s what I just got out of Grok: Quote:
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Those who have permission to live here and are not committing criminal offences should be allowed to stay. What is completely wrong is Labour’s plan to extend the ‘Right to Remain’ requirement by another five years to people who were encouraged to come here in the first place, such as people from Hong Kong. By extending that period, these people are having to find more money to stump up to cover any future NHS treatment, etc for another five years, which will cause financial hardship for many. ---------- Post added at 13:47 ---------- Previous post was at 13:45 ---------- Quote:
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But I agree with everything there. Including the extension of the right to remain. At the very least, I think it should have been from now so that those who thought they were a year away from ILR don't suddenly find themselves 6 years away and stuck with more charges (they pay a NHS surcharge btw ,which is £1,000 a year). At least in that case it's for future applicants. Same with putting conditions on ILR being revoked. I don't like it, but I think it's less morally outrageous if you were to say from now on ILR is revoked if you fail to meet certain terms. Most people would support its removal if you committed a serious crime. The US Green Card system works fine for this. You get to keep it unless you commit a serious crime or live outside the US for too long (we have this one). Again, the idea that you can take this away from someone retrospectively because they're in receipt of a pension or no longer earn £38,000 is incredible stuff. |
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No need to insult OB, Andrew.
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17 LD Town Councillors out of 25, 28 out of 54 Borough Councillors, and a LD MP… Strangely enough, not one Reform Councillor. |
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cling on to that thought ;)
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Its more of a fact than a thought. ;)
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Wow, talking like the LibDems are relevant in any way.
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https://www.wokingham.gov.uk/news/20...tion-results-0 Quote:
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It’s still “anyone but the Tories”. I’m not surprised. The 60% that didn’t vote are Conservatives (imo) who have noted that much of the Tory front bench are among the failures from their 14 years in power.
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We’ll, we’ll see what happens next time, won’t we? Things have changed - perhaps some people haven’t noticed….
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What does that mean, OB? Where are you taking us with your last remarks? |
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The Wokingham Popular Front is coming! |
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I bet you didn’t see Brexit coming either, did you? |
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I'm very disappointed. The Tories needed Jenrick to keep some of its policies straight.
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Jenrick is such a weasel. Good on Badenoch to get ahead of this and take the wind out of his sails a bit.
Jenrick will say and do anything. Many politicians do, but he shifts from one extreme to another if he thinks it will advance his career. |
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Good to see the expulsion of this incompetent grifter. Badenoch has really grown into her role.
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never a dull moment in British politics :omg:
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Given the current state of play in UK politics, if there was a general election tomorrow would the voter turnout reach double figures?
I think the Raving Loony Monster lot would have a greater shout at gaining power |
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Jenrick is giving a first class speech to the Reform UK press conference.
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One thing that Jenrick said that mattered was (I paraphrase) that the Tory front bench contains the very people that broke Britain (he mentioned three names including Priti Patel). |
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Pretty sure Jenrick was on the Conservative Government Front Bench when he was Secretary of State for 27 months, and when he was a Minister of State for 14 months…
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Reform is becoming the Tory Party in exile.
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It's quite an eye opener when the fresh new face of British politics actually turns out to be mostly the old failures from previous regimes . . .
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"Every Tory defection to Reform raises the IQ of both parties"
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LOL.
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Farage has thanked Badenoch for the late Christmas present from her. ---------- Post added at 15:13 ---------- Previous post was at 15:10 ---------- Quote:
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He has the political effectiveness of a wet lettuce. Reviled in his own constituency, and in his whole tenure in the HoC has done nothing at all of merit. |
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I'd love "none of the above" to be a valid option when voting.
Quite obviously a great many people choose that by not bothering to vote, but if it was an official choice it would give the statisticians a good time :D |
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Should voting become mandatory, you could be sure that a “None of the above party” would be formed. Great fun that would be. |
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Hmm. Voting becoming mandatory. Presumably it would be a criminal offence not to vote.
Yeah. Aren't the prisons overflowing already? :p: I've said this before: in a true democracy, the right to vote should and must include the right not to vote. Having said that (again), if we got NOTA as an option I suspect turnout would be greatly increased. Certainly I would vote NOTA. We the electorate are not apathetic. We just no longer see the point of voting for ineffectuals (to be more accurate, I don't - I can't speak for others, obviously). I don't vote for a candidate/party; as per Lazarus Long (see Time Enough For Love), I vote against. Unfortunately, if you vote against all of them that reduces to voting for none of them...not something Heinlein envisaged, I suspect. 'Suppose They Gave An Election And Nobody Came?' Ooh, I'd love to see what politicians and statisticians would make of that. Eat your heart out, Montgomery Brewster! :p: |
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You don't have to make it a criminal offence, when they send you your voting card there could be a serrated bit you rip of and get stamped, with it you get a bit of a rebate on your council tax, without it you pay a bit more, we could call it the democracy rebate, they could also introduce freedom cakes and democracy hot dogs like Australia. You don't have to make voting mandatory in a democracy but you can incentive it because for me without it you get extremists and populists with their simple answers to complicated questions and the antidote to that is mass turnout. |
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Wouldn't that in effect simply be buying votes?
I get that it's more 'complicated' than that, but bottom line is people would vote for anyone just to get there bin emptied on time :D |
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*thanks to E Blackadder |
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How, in anyone’s world, is that acceptable? |
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Make everyones vote count - under the current system your vote only really matters if youre in a 'swing' constituency. A safe seat and many dont see the point. Folks feel obliged to tactically vote for partys they dont really back. The bigger turnout the better, regardless of who you support.The Govt would have more legitimacy with a higher turnout/fairer voting system |
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The trade-off is a disconnect between voters and their representatives. It’s impossible to get rid of any of the utterly odious greens in the Scottish parliament, for example, because all of them are elected off a regional list where you vote for a party rather than an individual from that party. The top few names on the list will always get returned to Parliament as long as the party polls 7-10% overall, no matter how manifestly batsh** they’ve behaved over the course of a 5-year term.
When the Tories refused to do the decent thing and deselect Neil Hamilton ahead of the 1997 election, Martin Bell stood as an independent in Tatton and unseated him. Had there been a regional list for that part of England, Hamilton, as a safe-seat candidate, would also have been near the top of the regional list and almost certainly would still have been an MP from 1997-2001. |
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Mr K carefully said "more legitimacy". He didn't question the government's legitimacy per se. Within the law, they are the legitimate government. Within emotion, more legitimacy would arise with greater turnout. Different nuance on the word "legitimacy".
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Not sure it’s a simple as that - the Conservatives have been steadily losing Council Seat in Wokingham Borough Council for the last seven years (they always used to have 40+ seats). Year Conservative—LD—Labour 2018 42——————8——-3 2019 31—————-16——-4 2021 31—————-18——-3 2022 26—————-23——-3 2023 22—————-26——-5 New ward boundaries (54 seats) 2024 19————-—27——-8 Could be a number of factors, including changing demographics… |
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I obviously know Wokingham as well as OB. OB is right - "anyone but the Tories". Demographics haven't changed in the past couple of years.
Reform UK has a higher profile now and they could well split the conservative vote, leaving the wretched Lib Dems in power. |
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How do you explain the changes in Local Election voting over the last 8 years?
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There could also be local factors at play too if the Liberal Democrat councillors are doing a better job on the ground. |
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In Wokingham, the Lib-Dems are not doing a “lousy job”. They have their woke moments, but, by and large, the Borough is not suffering.
The Tories have a mountain to climb to regain a majority and Reform UK an even greater mountain to even gain a seat. To my knowledge, Brexit is not a particular factor in the Tories’ decline. The economy and migration is/was the “anyone but the Tories” driver. I still voted Conservative. |
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I see Liz is off her meds again…
https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...8&d=1770578276 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...9&d=1770578939 |
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Badenoch at PMQs
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Taking out incoming missiles is the one thing the T45 was designed to do above everything else, that being the next generation priority identified after that little skirmish in the South Atlantic where incoming missiles turned out to be a significant inconvenience. A single one of these ships sat between the South American mainland and the Falkland Islands would have ensured a very different outcome. From time to time the RN sails one of them south and has it patrol up and down, to make that very point.
The problem with the T45 is that there aren’t nearly enough of them, and those that were built (6 of the originally planned 12) were fitted with woefully inadequate power systems. All of them have had to have their hulls blowtorched open to get new engines in. The reason Dragon is going and other deployable T45s are not is that it has completed this ‘power improvement programme’ and so stands half a chance of not blowing a fuse in the warm waters of the Med. To be fair to the Conservative Party for a moment, the shortcomings of the T45 programme belong to the Blair-Brown years, not the Coalition or subsequent Tory administrations. |
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Why is Badenoch, and Farage for that matter, so determined that we should send our armed forces into a war that has nothing to do with us?
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For what my opinion is worth: 1. We could not have participated in initial strikes (see Israel for details). 2. We should not have prevented the USA from using our sovereign bases. 3. We were bombed - so now we are ivolved. My understanding is that the USA was bounced into the war by Israel who, legitimately, attacked Iran. The USA rightly feared (because Iran so threatened) that their bases and assets would be legitimate target for Iran. So the USA legitimately attacked Iran. Simples, really. |
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So, insecurity I guess on Badenoch's part and keeping his job at GB News on Farage's. Fortunately, Britons oppose US strikes on Iran by 49% to 28%. https://yougov.com/en-gb/articles/54...-iran-conflict |
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The Torygraph has been sold to the Germans...
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There are many exploded Brexiteer blood vessels in their readers comments :D |
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