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-   -   Election 2019, Week 1 (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33708325)

nomadking 01-11-2019 10:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36015756)
Why would a party that aims to improve wealth & opportunity equality celebrate such an individual? He represents all that is morally bankrupt the current system: UK's richest man moves to Monaco to 'save £4bn in tax'

Going from a council house to building such an empire is an example of the much vaunted social mobility. Although the grammar school system almost certainly played a part.


Ultimately those businesses have to be owned by somebody, whether an individual or another business. That ownership can be based anywhere in the world.

ianch99 01-11-2019 11:04

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36015686)
I am not advocating stopping the rise of automation but pointing out that the current system will likely cause the benefits of that automation to be largely won by the people who get their first by having the wealth to do so.

The industrial revolution was eventually met with a response in the form of the labor movement and more rights for workers. There is nothing wrong with a governmental and/or societal response to changes in work and wealth creation. The latest challenge we face is the march of automation and how that will radically change our society. I think this particular revolution is different as well because of the speed at which it'll happen.

How do we handle it? Where will the good new jobs come from? Even the jobs made by deliveroo - with low wages and few employment rights - are fleeting until that can be automated. Universal Income, 4 day weeks are at least examples of people thinking about these things rather than dismissing them as if nothing ever changes or the market is a uncontrollable force that never needed to be challenged by government.

The problem you highlight is a good one. The current light touch approach favoured by free market Governments is to observe and not challenge until/unless the change starts to impinge on legal constructs. All the while if the consumer, how you ever define this entity, is content with lower prices, more product choice, more product features, etc. then the Laissez-faire remains.

The issue that is ignored is that this policy has future consequences. These invariably turn out to be negative. Online shopping: convenient and cheaper than visiting the High Street. We all do it and are now reaping the "rewards". Town centres turning into bizarre versions of their former community-centric selves. Do we all miss the corner shop, the sub post office, the local baker, etc. Of course but did we do anything to change their destiny, absolutely not.

The free market must have constraints: these need to be for societal as much as economic reasons. Without boundaries, change will happen .. unchecked. Automation will be a runaway train that future Governments will be playing catch up to. We need impact assessments before these changes get momentum.

---------- Post added at 11:04 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015759)
Going from a council house to building such an empire is an example of the much vaunted social mobility. Although the grammar school system almost certainly played a part.


Ultimately those businesses have to be owned by somebody, whether an individual or another business. That ownership can be based anywhere in the world.

You fail to grasp the construct here: social mobility does not equate to immoral wealth. There need to be mechanisms in place to encourage market-driven innovations that benefit society as a whole and penalise the acquisition of disproportionate personal or corporate wealth.

nomadking 01-11-2019 11:18

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Competition, more product choice, and more product features, do not work with the High Street. Just try getting the huge choice of products that are available, anywhere on the high street. Even within a big city like London, you would have to search for the more specialist shops. EG HDMI cables. Just look at the range available, hundreds of different kinds available from Amazon, and compare that with what's available on the high street. It's not just physically possible for a high street shop to have such a wide range and at low prices.

Carth 01-11-2019 11:26

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
More automation leads to fewer workers
Fewer workers leads to more unemployment
More unemployment leads to less wealth
Less wealth leads to decreased spending
Decreased spending leads to fewer goods bought
Fewer goods bought leads to lower production
Lower production leads to less profit
less profit leads to more automation

Very simplistic I know, but if people cannot afford the items/services you provide . . then the market is open for cheap lower quality (probably from abroad)

nomadking 01-11-2019 11:31

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
More automation leads to cheaper goods, which leads to more demand.


Where would we be if Caxton hadn't invented the printing press, or the spinning jenny invented to make clothes cheaper, Henry Ford making cars cheaper, etc.

mrmistoffelees 01-11-2019 11:46

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Farage spouting cack about being able to use Article 24 again....

papa smurf 01-11-2019 11:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015767)
Farage spouting cack about being able to use Article 24 again....

Could you give us the benefit of your wisdom and explain what is wrong with this strategy.

Mick 01-11-2019 11:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
2016 Leave voter Westminster voting intention:

CON: 58%
BREX: 24%
LAB: 10%

via
@YouGov
, 17 - 28 Oct

2016 Remain voter Westminster voting intention:

LDEM: 34%
LAB: 33%
CON: 16%
GRN: 9%

via
@YouGov
, 17 - 28 Oct

mrmistoffelees 01-11-2019 12:01

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36015768)
Could you give us the benefit of your wisdom and explain what is wrong with this strategy.

It's already been done to death but to recap,

Gatt 24 applies if you have an agreement, or an agreement near to completion. It doesn't apply if you decide not to have an agreement, or iif you cannot reach an agreement.

---------- Post added at 12:01 ---------- Previous post was at 12:00 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36015769)
2016 Leave voter Westminster voting intention:

CON: 58%
BREX: 24%
LAB: 10%

via
@YouGov
, 17 - 28 Oct

2016 Remain voter Westminster voting intention:

LDEM: 34%
LAB: 33%
CON: 16%
GRN: 9%

via
@YouGov
, 17 - 28 Oct

Is that dated right? Or, should it be 2019. Or is it there for further/future comparison.


Genuine Q ! :)

nomadking 01-11-2019 12:11

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Doesn't GATT 24 also rule out the backstop?
Quote:

2. For the purposes of this Agreement a customs territory shall be understood to mean any territory with respect to which separate tariffs or other regulations of commerce are maintained for a substantial part of the trade of such territory with other territories.
NI and GB classed as two separate customs territories.


Then there is:-
Quote:

3. The provisions of this Agreement shall not be construed to prevent:
(a) Advantages accorded by any contracting party to adjacent countries in order to facilitate frontier traffic;


mrmistoffelees 01-11-2019 12:18

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Responding to Mr Farage's speech, a Conservative source says: "A vote for Farage risks letting Jeremy Corbyn into Downing Street via the back door - and the country spending 2020 having two referendums on Brexit and Scottish independence.

"It will not get Brexit done - and it will create another gridlocked Parliament that doesn’t work”.

The Conservatives have repeatedly ruled out any kind of pact with the Brexit Party, with government minister Robert Jenrick saying earlier: "We are not interested in doing any pacts with the Brexit Party or indeed with anybody else."

taken from the bbc

Are they worried ? Or, dismissive...

Carth 01-11-2019 12:20

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015765)
More automation leads to cheaper goods, which leads to more demand.

Can't remember the last time I saw a sign in a shop window saying " Due to advances in our factories, we can make our products twice as fast at 2/3 the price, therefore everything is reduced by 25%"

:D

. . closing down sales have signs offering goods at reduced prices though ;)

denphone 01-11-2019 12:29

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015775)
Responding to Mr Farage's speech, a Conservative source says: "A vote for Farage risks letting Jeremy Corbyn into Downing Street via the back door - and the country spending 2020 having two referendums on Brexit and Scottish independence.

"It will not get Brexit done - and it will create another gridlocked Parliament that doesn’t work”.

The Conservatives have repeatedly ruled out any kind of pact with the Brexit Party, with government minister Robert Jenrick saying earlier: "We are not interested in doing any pacts with the Brexit Party or indeed with anybody else."

taken from the bbc

Are they worried ? Or, dismissive...

Mr Farage also says.

Quote:

Farage says Brexit party will contest every seat in Britain if Tories do not agree to pact
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...ries-live-news

nomadking 01-11-2019 12:43

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36015776)
Can't remember the last time I saw a sign in a shop window saying " Due to advances in our factories, we can make our products twice as fast at 2/3 the price, therefore everything is reduced by 25%"

:D

. . closing down sales have signs offering goods at reduced prices though ;)

Are you really saying that books didn't become cheaper and more readily available because of the printing press? Are you really saying that cars didn't become cheaper when Henry Ford introduced the production line?

mrmistoffelees 01-11-2019 12:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015778)


1) Does he have the money ?
2) Does he have the people ?

Carth 01-11-2019 12:50

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015781)
Are you really saying that books didn't become cheaper and more readily available because of the printing press? Are you really saying that cars didn't become cheaper when Henry Ford introduced the production line?

stop being silly, you'll be telling me next that Primark can sell clothes cheaper than BHS because it's top quality gear made on expensive machinery in Taiwan :p:

denphone 01-11-2019 13:02

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015782)
1) Does he have the money ?

They certainly don't have the party finances that the Conservatives and Labour have but they do have some financiers and former Conservative donors supporting them.

---------- Post added at 13:02 ---------- Previous post was at 13:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015782)
2) Does he have the people ?

Personally l don't think they will target every seat but l do see them targeting between 100 to 150 seats.

mrmistoffelees 01-11-2019 13:08

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015785)
They certainly don't have the party finances that the Conservatives and Labour have but they do have some financiers and former Conservative donors supporting them.

---------- Post added at 13:02 ---------- Previous post was at 13:01 ----------



Personally l don't think they will target every seat but l do see them targeting between 100 to 150 seats.

If that were to be the case then they’ll be targeting strong labour heartlands where historically the tories have no chance. So north east UK. Parts of Sunderland, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough etc.

That’s the leave vote split if that were to be the case. Hung parliament again !!

Hugh 01-11-2019 13:10

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36015739)
You sure about that? According to Hugh everybody sailed off into the sunset and didn’t lose a dime.

Didn’t say that - I said the companies (and it was mainly institutions that held the vast majority of shares) would be able to write off those losses against tax.

But you knew that, and decided to mischaracterise my comments.

(FYI, I worked in the Telecomms industry at that time, for Cable Companies and BT Cellnet (as was)).

denphone 01-11-2019 13:17

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015789)
If that were to be the case then they’ll be targeting strong labour heartlands where historically the tories have no chance. So north east UK. Parts of Sunderland, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough etc.

That’s the leave vote split if that were to be the case. Hung parliament again !!

That is the vexed question though as to what will transpire at the forthcoming General Election as l have just read some quotes from Rob Ford, the politics professor and co-author of a seminal book on the Ukip vote.

Here are several of his quotes from today from his Twitter account.

Quote:

People seem to be forgetting there are a lot less Labour Leave votes in Labour Leave seats now than in 2016 because a lot of them switched to Cons in 2017. So BXP candidates in Lab Leave seats will usually take more votes from Cons (mostly Leave) than Lab (mostly Remain)
Quote:

Farage, in short, is making the John Mann error of thinking most Lab votes in Lab Leave seats are Leave voters. They aren’t. By encouraging voters who went from ukip to Con in 2017 to switch back to Bxp in 2019 he’s helping Lab MPs defend such seats
Quote:

Once again the date of Brexit May hinge on politicians’ inability to understand the ecological fallacy
Quote:

Appreciate this May be hard to follow so will break it down:
1. Most Lab votes in Leave seats Farage is targeting voted Remain in 2016
2.The voters who will find BXP most attractive in such seats likely to be those who voted UKIP in 2015
3. Most of those voters backed Con in 2017
Quote:

4. Therefore, BXP will typically (tho not always) hurt Con more than Lab in such seats. Just as (and indeed because) UKIP’s collapse in 2017 benefitted Con more than Lab in such sets

nomadking 01-11-2019 13:33

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36015790)
Didn’t say that - I said the companies (and it was mainly institutions that held the vast majority of shares) would be able to write off those losses against tax.

But you knew that, and decided to mischaracterise my comments.

(FYI, I worked in the Telecomms industry at that time, for Cable Companies and BT Cellnet (as was)).

They still make losses from it. The tax adjustments mitigate against losses, they don't eliminate them.
Simple example: £100m profit with 20% tax = £20m to pay leaving £80m gain. Instead suffer £50m losses leads to £50m profit = £10m tax paid leaving £40m gain, rather than the £30m gain if the losses weren't allowed against tax.

Mr K 01-11-2019 13:34

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015795)
That is the vexed question though as to what will transpire at the forthcoming General Election as l have just read some quotes from Rob Ford, the politics professor and co-author of a seminal book on the Ukip vote.

Here are several of his quotes from today from his Twitter account.

It is a conundrum isn't it Den?

Farage is clever enough to work it all out i'm sure ;) Like Bozza he's only in it for himself, and his personal wealth.

Pierre 01-11-2019 13:37

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36015751)
If you cannot come up with any of these examples yourself then there is no point debating the point with you ..

I sense your immediate stance is to equate "Deserving" with "Unemployed". There is a whole spectrum of situations between the destitute and the wealthy. What is up for discussion is the shape of this distribution.

You made the statement, i’m Just enquiring how you would administer it.

denphone 01-11-2019 13:40

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Here is the latest polling out today, from Panelbase.

Quote:

Westminster
Con 40% (+4%)
Lab 29% (+2%)
Lib Dem 14% (-3%)
Brexit Party 9% (-2%)
Green 3% (NC%)

EU Referendum
Remain 53% (+2%)
Leave 47% (-2%)

Fieldwork Oct 30-31

Mick 01-11-2019 14:27

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015801)
Here is the latest polling out today, from Panelbase.

EU Referendum
Remain 53% (+2%)
Leave 47% (-2%)

Fieldwork Oct 30-31

Nothing to see here - Exactly what all those polls were saying prior to the 2016 EU Referendum.

jfman 01-11-2019 15:09

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Except the ones that didn't of course.

https://ig.ft.com/sites/brexit-polling/

mrmistoffelees 01-11-2019 15:24

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Anyone had any MP's at their doors yet?

denphone 01-11-2019 15:38

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015812)
Anyone had any MP's at their doors yet?

Not yet but the last one that knocked on our front door in the last election was answered at the door by my bigger brother nearly jumped out of his skin in shock at the size of my big brother.:D:D

Mick 01-11-2019 16:30

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015771)

Is that dated right? Or, should it be 2019. Or is it there for further/future comparison.


Genuine Q ! :)

Yes. :)

It's tell us what the % is of those who voted in 2016, would now vote in the General Election, 2019.

Mr K 01-11-2019 16:45

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36015812)
Anyone had any MP's at their doors yet?

If you're not in a marginal constituency they won't bother ! Crazy electoral system we have.

Carth 01-11-2019 17:07

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015817)
If you're not in a marginal constituency they won't bother !

But . . but . . if they don't come and speak to us, we won't know what we're voting for

. . and then people will say we're thick ;)

papa smurf 01-11-2019 17:15

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36015820)
But . . but . . if they don't come and speak to us, we won't know what we're voting for

. . and then people will say we're thick ;)

What will people say if you vote for them after they have spoken to you:nutter:

Chris 01-11-2019 19:52

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015817)
If you're not in a marginal constituency they won't bother ! Crazy electoral system we have.

I live in a Tory/SNP swing seat, so I might expect a visit except for the fact that I live way out in the sticks. The only time I've ever had canvassers at the door was during the independence referendum. Both sides showed up for that.

Anonymouse 01-11-2019 23:24

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
I can't remember if I've said this before, but since the UK is (in theory) a democracy I'm going to say it anyway. :p:

From the Notebooks of Lazarus Long:

If you are part of a society that votes, then do so. There may be no candidates and no measures you want to vote for...but there are certain to be ones you want to vote against. In case of doubt, vote against. By this rule you will rarely go wrong.
If this is too blind for your taste, consult some well-meaning fool (there is always one around) and ask his advice. Then vote the other way. This enables you to be a good citizen (if such is your wish) without spending the enormous amount of time on it that truly intelligent exercise of franchise requires.

- Robert A. Heinlein, Time Enough For Love

I have followed this rule for decades. Unfortunately, when I first started doing so, I was led (or pushed) to a logical conclusion Heinlein might not have thought of: what happens when you want to vote against all the parties because you don't trust or agree with any of them? The only logical answer to this is to vote for none, i.e. not to vote at all. So except for the 1997 election, I haven't voted for decades.

(Even then, I was acting in accordance with Heinlein's principle - I wasn't voting for Labour, because Tony Blair always got my back up with that creepy smile; I was voting against the Tories because I'd bloody well had enough of 'em and so, I imagine, had millions of other voters. Of course "New Labour" turned out to be just a different flavour of Conservatism, but that's another debate.)

This, however, does not mean, as several politicians have said, that I and the millions who agree with me are apathetic. This is not the case. We do care. We simply object to all the available choices. Which is why I want to see a new choice added to the ballot paper, one familiar to Richard Pryor fans from the remake of Brewster's Millions:

NONE OF THE ABOVE.

Give us that option and I will quite happily vote. Such an option would mean that abstainers would no longer effectively be disenfranchised because their voice wasn't heard. With that option, they would have to be heard - and with millions voting that way as I strongly suspect they would, it would make all the parties sit up and take notice.

This option seems to me to be the ultimate expression of democracy: a way of telling all the parties you don't agree with any of them, without wasting your vote by spoiling the ballot paper or being self-disenfranchised by not voting at all.

For the record, I voted for Brexit, which I'm sure will come as no surprise to y'all. :p: I am frankly disgusted with the way successive Prime Ministers (none of whom we actually voted for!) have dragged their feet over this. We, the electorate who pay their damn salaries, told them what we wanted them to do. It is their responsibility and their duty to do as they were damn well told. The size of the Referendum majority was and is irrelevant. It was a majority vote. They should therefore abide by it. End of.

"But will you be voting this time?" I hear you cry. Hmm. Good question. I haven't decided yet. Though Boris Johnson seems to be pushing for what I and millions of others told the government what we wanted done, I'm not convinced by him or what he's offering.

Frankly, I don't trust him. Or Corbyn. Or any of them. I don't really believe democracy works any more in this country. NONE OF THE ABOVE is the only proper answer IMO.

"Suppose They Gave An Election And Nobody Came?" - now that I'd pay to see! :D

TheDaddy 02-11-2019 03:42

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anonymouse (Post 36015848)

Though Boris Johnson seems to be pushing for what I and millions of others told the government what we wanted done, I'm not convinced by him or what he's offering

What exactly is he offering, to tear up the last ten years of tory rule and blame others for his and his parties short comings, we've screwed it up for a decade so give us another go at it isn't reason to vote for him imo. Plus if his own brother doesn't trust him, why should we.

Mr K 02-11-2019 04:02

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anonymouse (Post 36015848)

Frankly, I don't trust him. Or Corbyn. Or any of them. I don't really believe democracy works any more in this country. NONE OF THE ABOVE is the only proper answer IMO.

"Suppose They Gave An Election And Nobody Came?" - now that I'd pay to see! :D

There is an answer, stand yourself. If nobody is representing you and your views or you don't trust them. There might be others that have the same views.
Not voting or standing really does give you no right to complain about politicians not doing what you want, or the state of things.

I'd be for compulsory voting, but 'none of the above' certainly would have to be an option on the ballot paper.

Carth 02-11-2019 10:40

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015856)
There is an answer, stand yourself. If nobody is representing you and your views or you don't trust them. There might be others that have the same views.

Yeah, 'cos that worked really well for the BNP and similar didn't it.

OLD BOY 02-11-2019 10:55

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anonymouse (Post 36015848)
I can't remember if I've said this before, but since the UK is (in theory) a democracy I'm going to say it anyway. :p:

From the Notebooks of Lazarus Long:

If you are part of a society that votes, then do so. There may be no candidates and no measures you want to vote for...but there are certain to be ones you want to vote against. In case of doubt, vote against. By this rule you will rarely go wrong.
If this is too blind for your taste, consult some well-meaning fool (there is always one around) and ask his advice. Then vote the other way. This enables you to be a good citizen (if such is your wish) without spending the enormous amount of time on it that truly intelligent exercise of franchise requires.

- Robert A. Heinlein, Time Enough For Love

I have followed this rule for decades. Unfortunately, when I first started doing so, I was led (or pushed) to a logical conclusion Heinlein might not have thought of: what happens when you want to vote against all the parties because you don't trust or agree with any of them? The only logical answer to this is to vote for none, i.e. not to vote at all. So except for the 1997 election, I haven't voted for decades.

(Even then, I was acting in accordance with Heinlein's principle - I wasn't voting for Labour, because Tony Blair always got my back up with that creepy smile; I was voting against the Tories because I'd bloody well had enough of 'em and so, I imagine, had millions of other voters. Of course "New Labour" turned out to be just a different flavour of Conservatism, but that's another debate.)

This, however, does not mean, as several politicians have said, that I and the millions who agree with me are apathetic. This is not the case. We do care. We simply object to all the available choices. Which is why I want to see a new choice added to the ballot paper, one familiar to Richard Pryor fans from the remake of Brewster's Millions:

NONE OF THE ABOVE.

Give us that option and I will quite happily vote. Such an option would mean that abstainers would no longer effectively be disenfranchised because their voice wasn't heard. With that option, they would have to be heard - and with millions voting that way as I strongly suspect they would, it would make all the parties sit up and take notice.

This option seems to me to be the ultimate expression of democracy: a way of telling all the parties you don't agree with any of them, without wasting your vote by spoiling the ballot paper or being self-disenfranchised by not voting at all.

For the record, I voted for Brexit, which I'm sure will come as no surprise to y'all. :p: I am frankly disgusted with the way successive Prime Ministers (none of whom we actually voted for!) have dragged their feet over this. We, the electorate who pay their damn salaries, told them what we wanted them to do. It is their responsibility and their duty to do as they were damn well told. The size of the Referendum majority was and is irrelevant. It was a majority vote. They should therefore abide by it. End of.

"But will you be voting this time?" I hear you cry. Hmm. Good question. I haven't decided yet. Though Boris Johnson seems to be pushing for what I and millions of others told the government what we wanted done, I'm not convinced by him or what he's offering.

Frankly, I don't trust him. Or Corbyn. Or any of them. I don't really believe democracy works any more in this country. NONE OF THE ABOVE is the only proper answer IMO.

"Suppose They Gave An Election And Nobody Came?" - now that I'd pay to see! :D

H'mm. You seem to be facing the same sort of dilemma as our Parliamentarians. You don't like the choices available, but you don't know what you do want!

Mr K 02-11-2019 11:01

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
The Tories are revolting ! ;)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...d-vote-lib-dem
Quote:

Former Tory MP and prominent columnist Matthew Parris has said he will quit the party after 50 years in a call for Conservatives who oppose Brexit to support the Liberal Democrats in the election.

The Times journalist said he will cast his vote for the remain-backing party in the 12 December ballot “to defeat Tory zealotry over Europe” as he joined a growing list of prominent members to quit.
He's always seemed to me like a sensible chap.

OLD BOY 02-11-2019 11:04

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36015855)
What exactly is he offering, to tear up the last ten years of tory rule and blame others for his and his parties short comings, we've screwed it up for a decade so give us another go at it isn't reason to vote for him imo. Plus if his own brother doesn't trust him, why should we.

The last 10 years has not been representative of 'Tory rule' because we have been in austerity during that time. An austerity caused by a banking crisis that could have been avoided had Gordon Brown and his cronies not spent all our money on socialist policies.

Now that we are coming out the other side of the tunnel, Boris is able to present us with an exciting agenda for the next five years, which will contain many of the things that the public have been crying out for without bankrupting the economy.

---------- Post added at 11:04 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015869)
The Tories are revolting ! ;)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...d-vote-lib-dem


He's always seemed to me like a sensible chap.

Another MP determined to frustrate the will of the people. These are the politicians we want out of the Conservative Party, so good riddance, I say.

Mr K 02-11-2019 11:06

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015870)
Another MP determined to frustrate the will of the people. These are the politicians we want out of the Conservative Party, so good riddance, I say.

He's not an MP OB, do try reading.....

Carth 02-11-2019 11:12

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015869)
The Tories are revolting ! ;)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...d-vote-lib-dem

He's always seemed to me like a sensible chap.

Seems like a hardened pro-EU person to me, obviously Boris got the measure of him quite early.
Probably a nice enough chap, but one wonders why he took so long to jump. Can't see him getting very far, but fair play for his principles.

In other news, Government puts a ban on Fracking. That will please many, and pee off those with money who saw a nice profit from it. I'm in the anti-fracking camp myself.

denphone 02-11-2019 11:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015869)
The Tories are revolting ! ;)

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...d-vote-lib-dem


He's always seemed to me like a sensible chap.

He was a sensible chap but when a party that he has supported all his life becomes a sect rather then a broad church then he and millions with him will go elsewhere.

MalteseFalcon 02-11-2019 12:01

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Undecided at the moment between voting for my current Tory pro Brexit MP or abstaining. Will make my mind up nearer the time if I vote or not.

nomadking 02-11-2019 12:16

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015878)
He was a sensible chap but when a party that he has supported all his life becomes a sect rather then a broad church then he and millions with him will go elsewhere.

How is it possible to support Leave and Remain at the same time?:confused:
The issue is that the Remain side insist on imposing their will, regardless of a democratic vote. If they more accepting of the result, it would be less of an issue.

papa smurf 02-11-2019 12:31

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015881)
How is it possible to support Leave and Remain at the same time?:confused:
The issue is that the Remain side insist on imposing their will, regardless of a democratic vote. If they more accepting of the result, it would be less of an issue.

Jeremy Corbyn seems to manage alright.

OLD BOY 02-11-2019 14:24

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015878)
He was a sensible chap but when a party that he has supported all his life becomes a sect rather then a broad church then he and millions with him will go elsewhere.

A 'sect'? This is the only party (apart from Brexit) that is determined to deliver on the result of the referendum.

That word is more appropriate to describe Corbyn's Labour Party.

---------- Post added at 14:24 ---------- Previous post was at 14:14 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36015872)
He's not an MP OB, do try reading.....

Thank you for correcting, but it wasn't clear in that article that he was an ex-MP, just that he was an ex-Tory MP.

Incidentally, your assumption that some of those who voted Conservative last time were oldies and have died off only to be replaced by younger socialist-minded people has received a bit of a knock.

According to newspaper reports, the age at which a voter was more likely to have voted Tory than Labour, is now 40, down from 47 at the 2017 election.

This is the finding of a MORI poll. As well as that, a YouGov poll has revealed that Labour has lost many young voters since the last election, most notably to the Green Party.

jfman 02-11-2019 15:10

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Labour will deliver a Brexit if the people approve of the deal. What’s unreasonable about that?

---------- Post added at 15:10 ---------- Previous post was at 15:07 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015870)
The last 10 years has not been representative of 'Tory rule' because we have been in austerity during that time. An austerity caused by a banking crisis that could have been avoided had Gordon Brown and his cronies not spent all our money on socialist policies.

Now that we are coming out the other side of the tunnel, Boris is able to present us with an exciting agenda for the next five years, which will contain many of the things that the public have been crying out for without bankrupting the economy.

---------- Post added at 11:04 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------



Another MP determined to frustrate the will of the people. These are the politicians we want out of the Conservative Party, so good riddance, I say.

Rolling back the function of the state is classic Tory policy. Austerity is just a mechanism to justify it.

OLD BOY 02-11-2019 16:03

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015903)
Labour will deliver a Brexit if the people approve of the deal. What’s unreasonable about that?

---------- Post added at 15:10 ---------- Previous post was at 15:07 ----------



Rolling back the function of the state is classic Tory policy. Austerity is just a mechanism to justify it.

What's unreasonable is:

1. The public has already voted but as it doesn't give the answer some wanted they want a pointless re-run of it.

2. Corbyn is promising a choice between a new deal which keeps us in the Customs Union or remain. Both are remain options. You can't be both in the customs union and be able to forge new trade deals, and that completely takes away the advantage of leaving the EU.

As for your final comment, austerity was necessary to avoid the country going bankrupt. There is nowt wrong with rolling back the state so that it doesn't take over the whole economy. It's our hard earned money that pays for the state sector, remember.

jfman 02-11-2019 16:24

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
It’s hardly a pointless re-run if it’s a detailed outcome vs the status quo. Not my thoughts, that was Jacob Rees-Mogg!

It’s our public services too that are suffering. The country was never in danger of “going bankrupt”, indeed other countries have in the past used public sector investment projects to drive growth in the economy.

The “our hard earned money” line is the oldest line in the neo-liberal capitalist handbook. It ignores that money moves round the economy driving demand and promoting growth. Doctors, nurses and teachers spend money in the economy.

Money sitting in offshore accounts doesn’t do any of this. It just sits waiting to be inherited, with no tax paid on it when that happens.

Hugh 02-11-2019 18:12

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015898)
A 'sect'? This is the only party (apart from Brexit) that is determined to deliver on the result of the referendum.

That word is more appropriate to describe Corbyn's Labour Party.

---------- Post added at 14:24 ---------- Previous post was at 14:14 ----------



Thank you for correcting, but it wasn't clear in that article that he was an ex-MP, just that he was an ex-Tory MP.

Incidentally, your assumption that some of those who voted Conservative last time were oldies and have died off only to be replaced by younger socialist-minded people has received a bit of a knock.

According to newspaper reports, the age at which a voter was more likely to have voted Tory than Labour, is now 40, down from 47 at the 2017 election.

This is the finding of a MORI poll. As well as that, a YouGov poll has revealed that Labour has lost many young voters since the last election, most notably to the Green Party.

https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics...ividing-britai

nomadking 02-11-2019 18:24

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015909)
It’s hardly a pointless re-run if it’s a detailed outcome vs the status quo. Not my thoughts, that was Jacob Rees-Mogg!

It’s our public services too that are suffering. The country was never in danger of “going bankrupt”, indeed other countries have in the past used public sector investment projects to drive growth in the economy.

The “our hard earned money” line is the oldest line in the neo-liberal capitalist handbook. It ignores that money moves round the economy driving demand and promoting growth. Doctors, nurses and teachers spend money in the economy.

Money sitting in offshore accounts doesn’t do any of this. It just sits waiting to be inherited, with no tax paid on it when that happens.

Labour was borrowing way back in 2002, when the economy was supposedly doing well. They also deferred borrowing by using PFI on an epic scale. If the same levels of spending had been retained we would be borrowing more and more. Unsustainable.

jfman 02-11-2019 18:36

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015915)
Labour was borrowing way back in 2002, when the economy was supposedly doing well. They also deferred borrowing by using PFI on an epic scale. If the same levels of spending had been retained we would be borrowing more and more. Unsustainable.

And Thatcher borrowed throughout her tenure despite the windfalls of privatisation.

I agree it's not sustainable to structure the economy this way. However the choice of finding public services through taxation or scaling back the state is ideological.

Mr K 02-11-2019 18:44

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36015914)

The voting intention by educational level is also interesting...

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...%202019-01.png

jfman 02-11-2019 18:48

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Surprised so many "highly" educated people can't see through the Lib Dems.

denphone 02-11-2019 18:55

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Two opinion polls released in the last hour.

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 42% (+2)
LAB: 26% (+2)
LDEM: 16% (+1)
BREX: 9% (-1)
GRN: 2% (-1)

via
@OpiniumResearch
, 30 Oct - 01 Nov


Westminster voting intention:

CON: 36% (+10)
LAB: 28% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+6)
BREX: 12% (-2)

via
@ORB_Int
, 30 - 31 Oct
Chgs. w/ Apr

Pierre 02-11-2019 21:39

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015903)
Labour will deliver a Brexit if the people approve of the deal. What’s unreasonable about that?

Give over, Labour will deliver Hobson’s choice.

A deal which is remaining in the EU or choice B, Remain in the EU.

whoo Ff’no Hoo.

Chris 02-11-2019 21:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015921)
Two opinion polls released in the last hour.

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 42% (+2)
LAB: 26% (+2)
LDEM: 16% (+1)
BREX: 9% (-1)
GRN: 2% (-1)

via
@OpiniumResearch
, 30 Oct - 01 Nov


Westminster voting intention:

CON: 36% (+10)
LAB: 28% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+6)
BREX: 12% (-2)

via
@ORB_Int
, 30 - 31 Oct
Chgs. w/ Apr

And another one:

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 40% (+3)
LAB: 28% (+4)
LDEM: 14% (-5)
BREX: 11% (-)

via DeltaPoll UK, 31 Oct - 02 Nov

Very early days but these polls are people’s first impressions based not on the election campaign but on the recent conduct of the parties in Parliament. They suggest that Farage isn’t going to benefit from Boris not having delivered Brexit on Thursday. They also suggest the Limp Dumbs aren’t hoovering up the remainer vote. Perhaps vowing to summarily overturn a democratic vote is too much for all but the most hardened EUphiles.

So far, so Boris. Good.

Damien 02-11-2019 22:09

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36015929)
Very early days but these polls are people’s first impressions based not on the election campaign but on the recent conduct of the parties in Parliament. They suggest that Farage isn’t going to benefit from Boris not having delivered Brexit on Thursday. They also suggest the Limp Dumbs aren’t hoovering up the remainer vote. Perhaps vowing to summarily overturn a democratic vote is too much for all but the most hardened EUphiles..

More likely the vote is reverting back to the two parties under FPTP. The Lib Dems announced their revoke policy back in early September.

jfman 02-11-2019 22:31

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a9182371.html

Old Vince has finally worked it out.

Hugh 02-11-2019 22:38

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Brexit supporters - is Nigel right or is BJ right?

(on BJ’s deal - NF says don’t back the deal, it’s not Brexit).

Chris 02-11-2019 22:45

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36015932)
Brexit supporters - is Nigel right or is BJ right?

(on BJ’s deal - NF says don’t back the deal, it’s not Brexit).

It gets us out of the EU and into transitional terms with an end date that cannot be extended without our agreement. It is Brexit. We can argue until the cows come home over whether there could have been better transitional terms than these but nobody should be in any doubt that they represent our exit from the EU. Nigel Farage seems to have let his EU election win, his friendship with Trump and his shock jock talk show go to his head.

nomadking 03-11-2019 01:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015917)
And Thatcher borrowed throughout her tenure despite the windfalls of privatisation.

I agree it's not sustainable to structure the economy this way. However the choice of finding public services through taxation or scaling back the state is ideological.

But not when the economy was supposedly doing well. Gordon Brown deliberately threw money around on things like tax credits. An example of unnecessary expenditure was free TV Licences for the over 75s. If may sound nice, but there was no legitimate basis for it. They don't suddenly suffer a drop in income when they hit 75.



It's not sustainable to have to borrow when the economy is doing well. Think of the everyday household budgeting situation. If you use bonuses and overtime to fund more borrowing in order to have a "better" lifestyle, it is inevitable that in time, those bonuses and overtime will disappear. Leaving you with debts and a lifestyle you can no longer afford.


Link

Quote:

A Labour government would fund £60bn of energy-saving upgrades to low-income households over the next decade while wealthier households would receive interest-free loans for enhancements.
...
Labour says its policy, called "Warm Homes for All", would create 450,000 jobs involved in the installation of energy-saving measures and renewable and low-carbon technologies, the party said.
May sound nice, but apart from where are all those skilled workers going to magically come from, what happens when the job is completed? Those 450,000 will be out of work.

---------- Post added at 01:49 ---------- Previous post was at 01:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36015932)
Brexit supporters - is Nigel right or is BJ right?

(on BJ’s deal - NF says don’t back the deal, it’s not Brexit).

The backstop and the political declaration are definitely not Brexit. The backstop seems to be illegal in terms of Article 50. Everything else in the WA currently has a defined endpoint. The problem is that as Remainers have shown, they are going to insist on it being extended, long enough for them to impose Remain in full.

jfman 03-11-2019 03:05

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015940)
May sound nice, but apart from where are all those skilled workers going to magically come from, what happens when the job is completed? Those 450,000 will be out of work.

So the Government shouldn’t fund anything unless it guarantees a “job for life” for those involved in a project? :confused:

nomadking 03-11-2019 04:01

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015944)
So the Government shouldn’t fund anything unless it guarantees a “job for life” for those involved in a project? :confused:

Artificially makes things look better until a Conservative government comes along and has to pick up the pieces, again.

TheDaddy 03-11-2019 04:06

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015870)
The last 10 years has not been representative of 'Tory rule' because we have been in austerity during that time. An austerity caused by a banking crisis that could have been avoided had Gordon Brown and his cronies not spent all our money on socialist policies.

Now that we are coming out the other side of the tunnel, Boris is able to present us with an exciting agenda for the next five years, which will contain many of the things that the public have been crying out for without bankrupting the economy.

What utter bovine excrement, we are coming out of austerity because it failed, they told us we had to do it to live within our means and reduce the national debt, neither of which the Tories managed, they missed the targets they themselves set on deficit reduction and added half a trillion to the national debt, for what, to punish the poor and hurt the vulnerable, the tories and their acolytes would have us believe that Labour were over spending but the percentage against gdp is the same now as it was pre banking crisis, what does that say about their stewardship, tells me they're either incompetent or deliberately targeting the weakest, poorest and most vulnerable in our society, so in the latter's case austerity might not have failed, they're not called the nasty party for nothing.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015909)
It’s hardly a pointless re-run if it’s a detailed outcome vs the status quo. Not my thoughts, that was Jacob Rees-Mogg!

It’s our public services too that are suffering. The country was never in danger of “going bankrupt”, indeed other countries have in the past used public sector investment projects to drive growth in the economy.

The “our hard earned money” line is the oldest line in the neo-liberal capitalist handbook. It ignores that money moves round the economy driving demand and promoting growth. Doctors, nurses and teachers spend money in the economy.

Money sitting in offshore accounts doesn’t do any of this. It just sits waiting to be inherited, with no tax paid on it when that happens.

Jacob rees-smug who also says the people can't have a referendum on the final deal because "we might lose it", doubt he's ever been more honest in his life.

These companies want to use the infrastructure and public services this country provides but are less keen on contributing towards them

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36015584)
No it isn’t, this election is all about Brexit. Corbyn will be desperate to not talk about Brexit as the Labour policy is stupid.

Labour will try to talk about anything other than Brexit.

If they succeed in changing the agenda they have a chance. If Brexit stays as the focus of this election they will find it challenging.

Problem is general elections should never be about a single issue, important single issue stuff should be handled by a referendum, I myself am in a bit of a bind over this, I feel obligated to vote conservative because the mp helped my mother years ago but I don't like what the austerity they've championed for years has done to the country, seemed more ideological than anything and that's without even thinking about brexit.

jfman 03-11-2019 04:35

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36015946)
Artificially makes things look better until a Conservative government comes along and has to pick up the pieces, again.

It’s hardly artificial if it’s working on an important piece of work the private sector would never be able to fulfil. Improving the housing stock has a collective common good in energy efficiency and additionally social and health benefits.

Of course nobody wants to pay for it, which is fine, but at least admit that’s grounded in pure ideology. Not whether it’s a good investment by the state or not.

Hugh 03-11-2019 10:28

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36015921)
Two opinion polls released in the last hour.

Westminster voting intention:

CON: 42% (+2)
LAB: 26% (+2)
LDEM: 16% (+1)
BREX: 9% (-1)
GRN: 2% (-1)

via
@OpiniumResearch
, 30 Oct - 01 Nov


Westminster voting intention:

CON: 36% (+10)
LAB: 28% (-1)
LDEM: 14% (+6)
BREX: 12% (-2)

via
@ORB_Int
, 30 - 31 Oct
Chgs. w/ Apr

At this stage before the 2017 General Election, these were the Conservative leads in main polls

ICM: 19%
Panelbase: 17%
YouGov: 19%
Opinium: 16%
Kantar: 24%
ORB: 16%

Actual in general election: 2.5%

OLD BOY 03-11-2019 10:53

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36015947)
What utter bovine excrement, we are coming out of austerity because it failed, they told us we had to do it to live within our means and reduce the national debt, neither of which the Tories managed, they missed the targets they themselves set on deficit reduction and added half a trillion to the national debt, for what, to punish the poor and hurt the vulnerable, the tories and their acolytes would have us believe that Labour were over spending but the percentage against gdp is the same now as it was pre banking crisis, what does that say about their stewardship, tells me they're either incompetent or deliberately targeting the weakest, poorest and most vulnerable in our society, so in the latter's case austerity might not have failed, they're not called the nasty party for nothing.

The Conservatives brought austerity to an end because they managed to achieve the position where they could start to bring down the nation's debt. The half a trillion added to that debt was what was funding the deficit created by Labour. The deficit could not be left as it was - I assume you understand that.

jfman 03-11-2019 11:05

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015966)
The Conservatives brought austerity to an end because they managed to achieve the position where they could start to bring down the nation's debt. The half a trillion added to that debt was what was funding the deficit created by Labour. The deficit could not be left as it was - I assume you understand that.

Have they brought down the national debt? No. Are we still running a defect? Yes.

The national debt has never been higher than it’s current position, and the Brexit mess isn’t helping.

So the Tories have not achieved either objective. Austerity is “coming to an end” because in 2017 the Tories got slaughtered on the doorsteps finding people were more concerned about public services and living standards falling.

Chris 03-11-2019 13:45

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36015961)
At this stage before the 2017 General Election, these were the Conservative leads in main polls

ICM: 19%
Panelbase: 17%
YouGov: 19%
Opinium: 16%
Kantar: 24%
ORB: 16%

Actual in general election: 2.5%

That really underlines how dreadful a campaign Teresa May ran in 2017. The chances of the campaign being that bad again are small. It is of course possible that a Tory Prime Minister with a withdrawal agreement in the bag and refraining from threats to steal from the pension pots of his core vote will actually increase his poll lead. ;)

TheDaddy 03-11-2019 14:10

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015966)
The Conservatives brought austerity to an end because they managed to achieve the position where they could start to bring down the nation's debt. The half a trillion added to that debt was what was funding the deficit created by Labour. The deficit could not be left as it was - I assume you understand that.

They brought in austerity for some (poor people) and not others (rich people) and I suspect there were better ways of cutting the deficit than stripping services to the bone and giving tax cuts to the richest especially when there were record low interest rates at the time that continued throughout this ideological crusade.

jfman 03-11-2019 14:29

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36015983)
That really underlines how dreadful a campaign Teresa May ran in 2017. The chances of the campaign being that bad again are small. It is of course possible that a Tory Prime Minister with a withdrawal agreement in the bag and refraining from threats to steal from the pension pots of his core vote will actually increase his poll lead. ;)

Will the Jeremy Corbyn is a terrorist, anti-Semite who hates big business message resonate though? They threw the kitchen sink at this in 2017 and the numbers just went up and up.

As bad as May was the Labour Party had an anti-austerity message that was getting through on the doorsteps.

Although you are right Boris does have the “I have a deal” message, but will the deal hold up with Farage saying it’s not Brexit?

Interesting times ahead I think.

Pierre 03-11-2019 15:18

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015948)
It’s hardly artificial if it’s working on an important piece of work the private sector would never be able to fulfil.

Who do you think would do the work, The Government Ltd.

This kind of work has/and is already done by lots of construction companies for council owned properties and housing association properties.

Quote:

Improving the housing stock has a collective common good in energy efficiency and additionally social and health benefits.

Of course nobody wants to pay for it, which is fine, but at least admit that’s grounded in pure ideology. Not whether it’s a good investment by the state or not.
Grants for this type thing have been available in one form or another. I agree it’s a good thing and a good investment if managed properly, and available for all based on the property and not the means of the people living in them.

---------- Post added at 15:18 ---------- Previous post was at 15:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015987)
Will the Jeremy Corbyn is a terrorist, anti-Semite who hates big business message resonate though? They threw the kitchen sink at this in 2017 and the numbers just went up and up.

They didn’t really, also nobody called him a “terrorist”......”terrorist sympathiser” ...yes. The anti-Semitic problem has really evolved since then, refused to go away and he’s done little to stop it too. I don’t think he’s done anything in the last two years and with Brexit especially to improve his standing since 2017, and he lost then.

Quote:

As bad as May was the Labour Party had an anti-austerity message that was getting through on the doorsteps.
it wasn’t just anti-austerity, Corbyn managed to move the agenda away from Brexit and con the students with a promise he couldn’t deliver.


Quote:

Although you are right Boris does have the “I have a deal” message, but will the deal hold up with Farage saying it’s not Brexit.
Only for the hardest hardliners, people want it over and to move on - with a deal. This may not be the perfect deal, but it’s a deal. I think most Brexiteers could live with it.

OLD BOY 03-11-2019 16:15

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015971)
Have they brought down the national debt? No. Are we still running a defect? Yes.

The national debt has never been higher than it’s current position, and the Brexit mess isn’t helping.

So the Tories have not achieved either objective. Austerity is “coming to an end” because in 2017 the Tories got slaughtered on the doorsteps finding people were more concerned about public services and living standards falling.

Of course they have not brought down the national debt - they have been paying off the deficit.

Austerity has been prolonged because the Lib Dems wouldn't agree all the measures that the Conservatives wanted to introduce from 2010.

The Conservatives now find themselves in the position of being able to spend money again because the deficit has been reduced to levels that make this possible.

Mr K 03-11-2019 16:47

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015997)
Of course they have not brought down the national debt - they have been paying off the deficit.

Austerity has been prolonged because the Lib Dems wouldn't agree all the measures that the Conservatives wanted to introduce from 2010.

The Conservatives now find themselves in the position of being able to spend money again because the deficit has been reduced to levels that make this possible.

Urrm no, they are making promises to spend on everything and cut taxes because there's an election coming. It doesn't add up and people rightly don't believe it. Not so much a magic money tree, than a magic money forest... Same reason fracking has been 'suspended', Bozza was one of its keenest supporters. Lies, lies and more lies, combined with an habitual liar... It's election time alright ! ;)

jfman 03-11-2019 17:00

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36015997)
Of course they have not brought down the national debt - they have been paying off the deficit.

Austerity has been prolonged because the Lib Dems wouldn't agree all the measures that the Conservatives wanted to introduce from 2010.

The Conservatives now find themselves in the position of being able to spend money again because the deficit has been reduced to levels that make this possible.

You literally don’t pay off a deficit. As we’ve always suspected you are just banding about terms you don’t fully understand.

You pay off debt.

Deficit is the difference between income and expenditure.

TheDaddy 03-11-2019 17:36

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36016000)
You literally don’t pay off a deficit. As we’ve always suspected you are just banding about terms you don’t fully understand.

You pay off debt.

Deficit is the difference between income and expenditure.

And there was plenty of wriggle room between the two as well, the true art of conservative politics shows it's head again, convincing poor people to keep the rich in power while all the time making policies against those people's best interests

Mr K 03-11-2019 17:48

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
What a surprise, here's another porky pie from Bozza....
https://www.theguardian.com/media/20...johnson-column
Quote:

The Daily Telegraph has been forced to correct a column written by Boris Johnson, after he falsely claimed the UK is set to “become the largest and most prosperous economy in this hemisphere”.

The newspaper said that Johnson misrepresented long-term economic projections to give the impression that the British economy would overtake Germany “in our lifetimes” – despite no such data existing.

Hugh 03-11-2019 17:50

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36016003)
What a surprise, here's another porky pie from Bozza....
https://www.theguardian.com/media/20...johnson-column

It's an aspiration...

Mr K 03-11-2019 17:53

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36016004)
It's an aspiration...

Yes, I aspire to open the batting for England , but time's running out... ;)

nomadking 03-11-2019 18:17

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015971)
Have they brought down the national debt? No. Are we still running a defect? Yes.

The national debt has never been higher than it’s current position, and the Brexit mess isn’t helping.

So the Tories have not achieved either objective. Austerity is “coming to an end” because in 2017 the Tories got slaughtered on the doorsteps finding people were more concerned about public services and living standards falling.

Are you suggesting that spending should have been turned off so completely, that overnight there was no deficit?:shocked:
Labour added around £200bn of debt before the crash, and over £270bn in the 2 years afterwards. That's without PFI and without the banking system.
Welfare spending alone rose by more than 33%(£20bn) between 2002 and 2006.

That is the central problem, you cannot turn off that sort of spending overnight. The impact carries on for years.

jfman 03-11-2019 18:19

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36016006)
Are you suggesting that spending should have been turned off so completely, that overnight there was no deficit?:shocked:
Labour added around £200bn of debt before the crash, and over £270bn in the 2 years afterwards. That's without PFI and without the banking system.
Welfare spending alone rose by more than 33%(£20bn) between 2002 and 2006.

That is the central problem, you cannot turn off that sort of spending overnight. The impact carries on for years.

It’s been nearly ten years. By that rationale everything that happened in the period you describe is a hangover for the Major years. Which, as you know, is an utterly ridiculous notion.

Pierre 03-11-2019 18:40

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36016005)
Yes, I aspire to open the batting for England , but time's running out... ;)

Don’t give up on yourself.

nomadking 03-11-2019 18:45

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36016007)
It’s been nearly ten years. By that rationale everything that happened in the period you describe is a hangover for the Major years. Which, as you know, is an utterly ridiculous notion.

The policies of the Major years resulted in Labour starting off by continuing to reduce the deficit and paying off the national debt. Until they ripped those spending plans apart and went on a big spending splurge, eg extra £20bn/year on Welfare by 2006. Before 2002 and the ripping up of spending plans, welfare spending was either going down or remaining fairly stable. It can't have been unemployment related because at that time the economy was supposedly doing well.


Just look at the graphs.
Spending on tax credits alone shot up after 2002. The local Housing Allowance rules of 2008, were too generous, and allowed landlords to up their rents and know Housing Benefit would still cover it. The HB spending shot up after 2008.

jfman 03-11-2019 19:09

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36016010)
The policies of the Major years resulted in Labour starting off by continuing to reduce the deficit and paying off the national debt. Until they ripped those spending plans apart and went on a big spending splurge, eg extra £20bn/year on Welfare by 2006. Before 2002 and the ripping up of spending plans, welfare spending was either going down or remaining fairly stable. It can't have been unemployment related because at that time the economy was supposedly doing well.

Just look at the graphs.
Spending on tax credits alone shot up after 2002. The local Housing Allowance rules of 2008, were too generous, and allowed landlords to up their rents and know Housing Benefit would still cover it. The HB spending shot up after 2008.

So which is it, is there a ten year delay or isn’t there? Or is it just blame Labour at all costs?

Pierre 03-11-2019 19:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36016011)
Or is it just blame Labour at all costs?

Yes of course it is. Because Labour, in their present form, are dangerous for this country.

I hope they are beaten convincingly, and hopefully an opposition may evolve that offers a credible choice for the nation.

jfman 03-11-2019 20:19

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36016016)
Yes of course it is. Because Labour, in their present form, are dangerous for this country.

I hope they are beaten convincingly, and hopefully an opposition may evolve that offers a credible choice for the nation.

Dangerous for the country??? That’s quite laughable really. There’s not a single policy that can credibly be described as a danger to the UK. I’m not even convinced you’d support a “credible” opposition anyway. Tories or Blairite Tories. It’s all the same.

The propaganda machine is in full force so the 1% must be starting to worry.

Pierre 03-11-2019 20:44

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36016017)
Dangerous for the country??? That’s quite laughable really.

.

A Labour Government is laughable.

Quote:

There’s not a single policy that can credibly be described as a danger to the UK.
It’s not the policies as such ( although the public ownership issue we have discussed on here previously, that you failed to defend/Justify is one) but the people behind them.

It like having Jimmy Saville promise he’ll look after your kids, and you say....” well he seems nice”

Quote:

I’m not even convinced you’d support a “credible” opposition anyway. Tories or Blairite Tories. It’s all the same.
intend to steer away from Marxists, communists ....you know..as a matter of principle

Quote:

the 1% must be starting to worry
I’m not part of the 1%, I know you didn’t ask but i’ll Give a quick history of Pierre.

I’m 49. I grew up in Liverpool in the 80’s under Mrs Thatch. My Father was probably employed 50% of the time. A welder at Cammell Laird’s originally.

We were on benefits, we used to cheat the gas and electric, at times it was very tough.

Any aged 16 I was told that I had better start bringing some money in as my family allowance had now ended. So I did. I got a job, and went to college and studied and worked at the same time. Then went to Uni and worked. I’ve never been unemployed, never as an adult claimed any benefit. Now have a very good lifestyle.p, and am in the higher tax bracket.

But according to Labour, i’m The enemy. In the politics of envy i’m Doing too well. How dare I send my kids to a private school or a tutor ( although Corbyn is privately educated, and Abbot sent her kids to private school). I came from a Labour heartland, and have voted Labour, but not for these.

I believe in a safety net, I believe in welfare. But as an stop gap not a lifestyle.

I’m working class and always will be. Corbyn does not represent the true working class.

nomadking 03-11-2019 20:45

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36016011)
So which is it, is there a ten year delay or isn’t there? Or is it just blame Labour at all costs?

The annual overspending by Labour couldn't be stopped completely overnight. Do you massively reduce tax credits overnight? That massive pre-crash spending cannot be denied. Some of the adjustments didn't start until 2013, and then it wasn't an overnight change for everybody. It took time for people to be subject to any new rules. With HB, the damage had been done, All that could be done is to limit further big increases in rents, that Labour's LHA rules had allowed. Then PFI repayments also started to kick in, adding to costs.


The deficit has gone down consistently since 2010, whereas it consistently went up from 2001 until 2010.

Hugh 03-11-2019 21:08

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36016020)
The annual overspending by Labour couldn't be stopped completely overnight. Do you massively reduce tax credits overnight? That massive pre-crash spending cannot be denied. Some of the adjustments didn't start until 2013, and then it wasn't an overnight change for everybody. It took time for people to be subject to any new rules. With HB, the damage had been done, All that could be done is to limit further big increases in rents, that Labour's LHA rules had allowed. Then PFI repayments also started to kick in, adding to costs.


The deficit has gone down consistently since 2010, whereas it consistently went up from 2001 until 2010.

Your assertion is factually incorrect.

pip08456 03-11-2019 21:45

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36016023)
Your assertion is factually incorrect.

OK it went down in 3 of those years but spiked significantly in 2008/9 and then has consistently reduced.

Hugh 03-11-2019 22:10

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36016029)
OK it went down in 3 of those years but spiked significantly in 2008/9 and then has consistently reduced.

Except for 2012-13...

pip08456 04-11-2019 00:34

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36016033)
Except for 2012-13...

Good to know you can still google for graphs that contradict your first one.

OLD BOY 04-11-2019 08:02

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36016000)
You literally don’t pay off a deficit. As we’ve always suspected you are just banding about terms you don’t fully understand.

You pay off debt.

Deficit is the difference between income and expenditure.

I know what a deficit is, jfman. The point I'm making is that the difference between income and expenditure was in seriously negative figures and that money had to be made up.

Hugh 04-11-2019 08:35

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36016037)
Good to know you can still google for graphs that contradict your first one.

You appear to be confusing clarification with contradiction - the second graph showed more detail (numbers as well as chart), whilst the first one only showed a chart with two years that looked similar.

Just like you confused "consistently" with "mostly"... ;)

ianch99 04-11-2019 08:49

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36015735)
Don't remind me of that my bum still hurts.

my friend who was a company director lost just over £1,000,000.

Lost or did not gain?

---------- Post added at 08:49 ---------- Previous post was at 08:41 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anonymouse (Post 36015848)
The size of the Referendum majority was and is irrelevant. It was a majority vote. They should therefore abide by it. End of.

Let me ask you this question: you say that size of the majority was irrelevant, if the majority was a single person which was possible & allowable under the rules in place, is this then the "will of the people"?

papa smurf 04-11-2019 08:53

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36016045)
Lost or did not gain?

---------- Post added at 08:49 ---------- Previous post was at 08:41 ----------



Let me ask you this question: you say that size of the majority was irrelevant, if the majority was a single person which was possible & allowable under the rules in place, is this then the "will of the people"?


ianch99 04-11-2019 09:02

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36015987)
Will the Jeremy Corbyn is a terrorist, anti-Semite who hates big business message resonate though? They threw the kitchen sink at this in 2017 and the numbers just went up and up.

As bad as May was the Labour Party had an anti-austerity message that was getting through on the doorsteps.

Although you are right Boris does have the “I have a deal” message, but will the deal hold up with Farage saying it’s not Brexit?

Interesting times ahead I think.

Yes indeed. Corbyn is already starting to gain in the polling. The message that you cannot trust the Tories is a real one esp. being led by the most untrustworthy PM is modern times.

---------- Post added at 09:02 ---------- Previous post was at 09:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36016048)
?

A vacant reply .. appropriate I suppose ..

Chris 04-11-2019 09:03

Re: Election 2019, Week 1
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36016045)
Lost or did not gain?

---------- Post added at 08:49 ---------- Previous post was at 08:41 ----------



Let me ask you this question: you say that size of the majority was irrelevant, if the majority was a single person which was possible & allowable under the rules in place, is this then the "will of the people"?

Democracy is the worst system, apart from all the others. Etc etc etc.

Yes, in a vote that is held with a binary question requiring a simple majority outcome, a win by 1 vote is the “will of the people” because that was the means by which the people agreed their will should be determined.

It really is quite a straightforward concept.

To keep this relevant to the election debate (ie not the Brexit referendum), we even had a referendum on alternative votes in parliamentary constituencies. It failed.


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