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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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Unless you're Lenny Henry. |
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I like when he does his mum. |
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Helle Kinnock's political career has finally reverted to type.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-33171549 Quote:
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The "NO" campaign getting into gear early as they know that Cameron won't get any serious changes to our relationship with the EU. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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It's really a blow to Cameron until more senior figures break from the 'awaiting the result of the renegotiation line' and back the No campaign. The Electoral commission still has to decide which campaigns qualify as the 'official' ones as well. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
It's going to be a blow for us all if we don't have accurate information on which to base the decision we're being asked to make. The stakes are huge and I'd hate to feel we'd been misled into staying or leaving but maybe that's inevitable. :shrug:
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Who would you trust to give an unbiased view of the facts? Even if someone did attempt it then it would be labelled as biased by either side. If the facts are rock solid then they'll say they left out other facts. |
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
TBH I'd have more faith in them than if it came from a govt. minister because at least they attempt to explain both sides. Having said that I'd like to know that the data being presented came from independent sources and then listen to debate on the pros and cons.
As I've stated a few times before, I'd prefer us to be part of a reformed EU and we'll soon see whether the EU has any intention of changing anything. I fear that significant change will be impossible, however, so then it'd come down to a judgement as to where we'd be better off on the balance of probabilities as I see it. I really do wish we could have enjoyed the best of Europe in a less stringent and formal manner without the obsession with ever closer union, a single currency and a single state. |
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
We're never going to get entirely unbiased information so the best we can hope for is something which at least presents both sides of the argument in a meaningful way - albeit with a possible bias one way or the other. It'll be up to use then to make of it what we can and decide which box to tick. Maybe the Greek tragedy will have concluded by then and the way forward (or not) for the EU will be clearer.
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Any result that removes a Kinnock from power is a good result I reckon... :D
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So a secret stitch up with Merkel and then emerging Chamberlain-like waving a piece of paper and claiming he's got a good deal.:rolleyes: |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Not sure that'll work. It's a big gamble...
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The head of No is proposing another referendum over the terms of exit in the event of them winning the referendum: http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeeh...o-referendums/
The idea being that it would prevent the No vote being a risk as you'll always be able to vote again in a few months whereas Yes would be final. Another way of looking at it is that they don't have the power not the obligation to actually hold another referendum and may take that No vote as final. Plus it's bloody stupid and just prolongs the amount of time spent dealing with this issue. Like the Scottish Referendum we should make a decision then get on with it. We can't spend the years obsessing over Europe. |
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There's no easy or risk free way to proceed on this and the stakes are high. I wish I had some certainty as to the best way forward but I don't. It'd be a good sign if the EU had shown itself to be anything other than intransigent over reform but here we are, decades later, still waiting for reform of stuff like the CAP. As with issues like the Greece crisis, the EU's MO seems to be to equivocate and procrastinate on important matters as often and for as long as possible. They're like a giant version of TFL! Can an organisation like this be ever be reformed in an orderly manner? I have my doubts and I think that's what a lot of people who'll vote to leave will cite as their reasoning. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Uh Oh
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The problems appear to be mounting up quite quickly for him.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I'd say the problems are mounting up for the EU. We're a net contributor remember.
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That's the way l see it as well despite a very vocal minority wanting us to pull out of the EU.
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If Cameron comes back saying he's got everything he asked for I'll say he didn't ask for enough.
Minority? Polls have been wrong before. ;) |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I have been trying to work out how solid the numbers are. I think Yes will get a lot of Scotland, Wales and London so that would help. Also don't under estimate the fear factor. If people are generally happy with their prospects and current situation then they'll probably go the option of least change.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
David Cameron plans EU campaign focusing on 'risky' impact of UK exit.
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I believe Douglas Carswell told us exactly this quite some time ago.
This should be a surprise to no-one. ---------- Post added at 16:58 ---------- Previous post was at 16:56 ---------- Quote:
Wales I do get to an extent - they get £££ from the EU. London it's obvious. It's a nation where half the population were not British born, and is full of the kind of big corporates that benefit from the EU's corporatist nature. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
It's up to Cameron to decide what he thinks it's right. It's up to us to decide whether we agree...
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The pros and cons according to the Beeb:
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How unbiased is this summary do you reckon? :confused: |
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Quoting the size of the EU membership and using words like "hit" seems to be intended to emphasise difficulty. I wonder whether the Beeb will also point out that the 27 remaining members of the EU would each also have very good reasons not to want to be "hit" with tariffs as they try to sell into the highly lucrative UK market ... |
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Yes the opening question seems to be rather loaded. Would the Beeb ever have posed it this way I wonder?
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The news output does it quite subtly by relegating some stories, promoting others to headline status, limiting the time dedicated and the use of certain words and phrases. Current affairs though can be quite blatent. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Interested to know whether recent events in Europe have changed anyone's minds about how they'll vote when the time comes. I started out hoping that we'd be able to reform the EU sufficiently to make me want to stay in but all that's been happening in recent months has proved to me that the chances of meaningful reform are virtually zero and all we can do is get out and hope we're not dragged down with the wreckage.
The fact that the EU seems so unconcerned about the very real prospect of a major member leaving the club says a lot to me. They'd rather cut of their nose to spite their face in spite of the obvious need to address serious problems within. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I was always going to vote to get out of the EU, and with the situation going on just now, I very much believe it is a wise decision to make, We need out
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Lets face the public will vote however the govt. and their media friends tell them to, whatever opinion polls say now. The public are stupid like that. eg. the General Election, Scottish referendum and the PR referendum - voting was swayed by the media coverage. Governments don't hold referendums unless thay are assured of the outcome.
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I think people have had enough and will stick to what they believe in this time,
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Well if they don't vote to get out after all this chaos you'd have to wonder what might get them to do so. :erm:
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I predict...
Cameron will ask for too little, not even get all of that - and still try and spin it as a success. |
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No matter what Cameron gets or even says he's got I'll vote to get out of the burning building. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
It's not wrong to want to stay in a reformed EU but I think the majority of people here now believe the EU is incapable of reform. They're just like Fifa FGS. They've lied and deluded themselves so often they maybe now they even believe their own nonsense and rhetoric. Cameron's inclination is to stay in but I can't see how he can come back from his 'negotiations' with little/nothing and present that as an unmitigated success worthy of our backing at the ballot box The fact that the EU won't negotiate on any of the key areas of reform which are required says it all about the head in the sand attitude which prevails in Brussels. As it stands that attitude is what a) will lead the UK to leave and b) result in the EU's demise. Our main concern must be how to limit the damage done to our economy when that happens.
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I agree Osem,
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Even if we vote to get out, the EU won't let us leave. They will stop us leaving somehow. It's as simple as that. |
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It's really very simple: You tear up the treaty of Rome on TV and then stop writing the cheques. That will bring them to the negotiating table PDQ.
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As I say just stop writing the cheques. |
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It costs us a fortune to stay in and we'll be writing the cheques and suffering the Euro-madness in perpetuity. I know which option I prefer.
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I've said it before and I'll keep saying it.
Its not a simple Stay or Leave. We need to be told in plain English what the pros & cons are, both sort & long term. If its pain all the way then stay, but I can accept short term pain for long term gain. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The outcome is a forgone conclusion; can't believe anybody thinks otherwise. Opinion may genuinely be 50/50 now, be it'll be a comfortable 'stay in' vote when it comes to it. The public are easily manipulated and scared of change.
Cameron, as we all know, will get nothing from the EU but pretend he has. All major parties will campaign to stay in, the media will do as their Tory bosses instruct when it comes to it. The undecided confused voters will vote for the status quo on the day as all sorts of scare stories will be circulated about the alternative - this always works as most of the British public are dim. Total waste of time and money. |
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So most people are dim, except you and those who agree with you?
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I'm not dim. and I agree with him.
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Very few of us have doubts about the level of your intelligence, Gary...
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A lot of us are in no doubt about yours, Hugh :)
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The problem is I think many people would want to stay in a European Union, just not this one.
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We need to get back our proper stiff British Passport and dump the limp wristed bus pass we use to travel.
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The reason for travelling "Imperialism"
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/e...-GE-chief.html
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
Renegotiation is going well, then.
Hollande doesn't seem optimistic. Indeed, integrate more or leave is his message. Of course it'd help if Dave would stop dithering, trying to avoid the issue as we are all abundantly aware that he seems to have no intention of trying to renegotiate at any substantive level and is hoping for cosmetic changes to use to blag the voters into voting to stay in. |
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Vote Leave campaign gets major funding boost:
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... and the BBC is properly rattled. Their on-the-hour bulletins this morning on R2 have featured a 10-second read about the launch, followed by a somewhat longer interview clip in the form of an ode to the EU from a pro-EU businessman (the guy who founded Innocent Smoothies), who talks in general terms about how great the EU is but doesn't address the actual news story at all. Needless to say they don't quote anyone from the Vote Leave campaign.
It's the tightly edited, news-in-brief bulletins like this that really show you which side their bread is buttered. |
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When they're in reciept of £millions in grants from the EU it's not surprising who's songsheet they'll be singing from.
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The total income of the BBC in 2014 was £5,066 million (licence fee and BBC Worldwide/other subsidiaries), and the funding from the EU was around £3 million (for work they do on behalf of EU in educating and helping other broadcasters in developing countries).
Do we really believe that a figure of less than 0.000588% of their budget would influence them that much? |
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I hope during the EU campaign they refuse to accept that money because if they don't then how can we trust them. What they hell am i saying we cannot trust them anyway just like i don't trust Dave. :rolleyes: |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I voted against staying in the common market back in '75 (we joined in '73) and will vote to come out if we ever get a referendum.
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I never minded being in the common market but never envisaged it'd turn into a bloated 'superstate' * run by faceless suits and career politicians with their snouts in the euro-trough. Thank the lord we stayed out of the Euro.
* it's anything but 'super'... |
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Big industrialists who's only priority is their fat salaries and a never ending flow of cheap foreign labour to keep wages depressed. They have no interest in the lives of normal people who's communities are being overrun by immigrants. |
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
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:rofl: Attachment 26370 |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I can't see any realistic option except getting out of this madness before it's too late. They won't compromise and when their ship is sinking they'll still be rearranging the deckchairs deluding themselves that it'll all be OK...
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Well its seems one of the Prime Ministers supporters thinks very differently to some who want us out of the EU.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-34502343 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/news...uart-Rose.html |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I don't know where Rose gets his £450 worth of benefits from the EU seeing as it's costing us £10's of billions net to be a member. He also calls leaving a "leap in the dark" and then says it will cost families £thousands. If it's in the dark then he cannot make that silly prediction. Nail hit squarely on the thumb.
No substance to the "IN" campaign just supposition and scare mongering. How long will it be before they start peddling the lie about 3 million jobs depending upon our membership of the EU when in fact those jobs only depend upon us trading with the EU and that's not going to change substantially whether we're in or out. Far better to trade with the world that's growing than be shackeld to the dead EU corpse that's flatlined. |
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Perhaps if they could provide a positive case for membership, one that doesn't use dubious stats from an organisation that said we'd be in huge trouble if we didn't join the Euro, or a case that doesn't operate on the absurd assumption that the other members of the EU will immediately break WTO rules alongside cutting their own throats by putting up huge tariffs and barriers to trade with the UK I could pay more attention. As it is same old nonsense. I am increasingly feeling like the reason there has been no robust, positive case offered is simply because there is no robust, positive case for continued membership of the EU. |
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Does anyone think the chaos in the EU strengthens our position with respect to the current 'negotiations' or an inevitable distraction from them which could result in a stronger 'out' vote'? Although I've pretty much decided we need to get out, if we were going to stay in I'd prefer to do so with significant changes and would hate to think that we'd be left with the worst possible outcome which would be to remain in an unreformed EU carrying on regardless... :erm:
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re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
I believe the situation we have just now will help people to decide and vote NO, The EU is just a pure mess and where all these people are going to go is just madness, We need to get out .
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The solution to every problem is always closer integration it seems. |
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I'm remembering the first referendum..and I'm pretty sure that TPTB have their fingers crossed behind their backs.We were lied to then and I suspect we will be lied to again.
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He'll sort of get what he's asking for because he's not asking for nearly enough. I don't care what he'll say he's achieved, it'll all be baloney. I know which way I'm voting.
Even more so because of the Europhiles scaremongering about Brexit without any cogent arguments for staying in the EU. EU Myths and facts |
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The Economist had some clear arguments for the EU: http://www.economist.com/news/leader...173f4f0f060a07 although that isn't unbiased either. |
re: [Update] The UK votes to leave the EU
The problem for me is the major downsides appear far more serious than the upsides. Please someone tell me the last time the EU covered itself with glory over anything resembling a major issue/emergency? The fact is it's too big, too complex and their are far too many conflicting interests for it to ever work and that's aside from the ridiculous single currency straightjacket.
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