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Re: Falkland Islands: Tensions Rising again ahead of Prince William visit
You have to remember that during the '82 war the naval aircraft during the conflict were limited and semi-scarce.. So they didn't do any night defence or much ground attack.. This time we wouldn't be relying on these with the current typhoons probably the equivelant to all the harriers in the task force. Also Argentine are still relying on the older Mirages which failed so miserably last time.
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Have you ever seen the program on one of the discovery channels about how close we came to losing last time. And that is was just a combination of events that we were very lucky with, that saved the day for us? |
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Although I realise that the Typhoons have a massive advantage over the Mirage. It only takes one lucky shot by SAM, or air to air missiles, or even a mechanical failure, to knock out 25% of out fast jets. Then there is maintenance and resupplying the aircraft, which all takes time. So my point is that our defences could be completely overwhelmed. I'm concerned that a mad, overconfident Argentinian general, could cost a lot of lives. When he probably wouldn't even try if we had our carriers. |
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Nobody thinks it'd be easy - but it isn't the same as last time and we're better placed now than we/they were then despite the lack of carriers. Now if we had no subs either that'd be a different story.......
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Also last time we had full backing from America. This time we don't. |
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Since nothing is actually happening, besides rhetoric, there is nothing to back....
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If I can put my crazy hat for one moment; what about China? I could see there being an interest in China into who controlled the islands if there is oil. China would like to increase its own oil supply to meet domestic demand and it may try to do a deal with Argentina in supplying military capability. This might seem far fetched but China have been buying a lot of influence in South America so that it could gain access to the raw materials. China might also be interested to test its military capability against a highly defended island and see what lessons it could learn in what it takes to do so.
I don't think China would want to rock the boat but it is capable on going it's own way - just look at the veto in the security council at the UN with regards to Syria |
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Oil is very likely to get the US involved, they'd rather deal with the UK over any resources than a South American country.. They've taken that route before and severely regretted South American involvement |
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I did say it was my crazy hat ;)
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Viceroy...Do_de_la_Plata ---------- Post added at 10:23 ---------- Previous post was at 10:21 ---------- Quote:
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---------- Post added at 10:26 ---------- Previous post was at 10:25 ---------- We could send some Nulclear Missile Submarines to the Falklands! |
Re: Falkland Islands: Tensions Rising again ahead of Prince William visit
That may be a little "over-kill", Alan.....
Nuking Buenos Aires in retaliation for a couple of sheep - brings a whole new meaning to "asymmetric warfare"... |
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Good point, well made....
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Let's at least finish with one war zone before we move onto another..:rolleyes:
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So you are proposing incinerating nearly three million people, to deter the invasion of some islands with 3000 people and some sheep - you need to seriously re-evaluate your priorities..... |
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The UK have never launched a Nuclear Bomb, only the USA have and that was 1945! Those 3000 people are subjects of the UK! |
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Not that i think they ever would invade but we wouldn't use nuclear weapons and Argentina knows that so as a deterrant in this case they are useless |
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I doubt that the UK would send nuclear ballistic submarines to the falklands but hunter killer subs will already be there 1 for sure as that is standard operations for the royal navy and that will have some sbs troops on boards if they need to be used.
raf mount pleasant can hold at most a squadron of euros anymore and they would be out in the open |
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When you hear talk of 'nuclear submarines' heading for the Falklands, 'nuclear' refers to the sub's power plant and is an indication of its ability to remain on station, submerged and undetected, for a very long time. In 1982, one torpedo from one British submarine was enough to force the entire Argentine navy back into port for the duration of the war. Memories of the General Belgrano will still be sharp within the Argentine military and this weekend's very rare leak about British submarine movements will have been calculated to poke that old wound and give any hawks in their defence ministry pause for thought. |
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Yeah nobody likes sending in ships when a couple of nuclear hunter subs roaming about.
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A Trafalgar-class HK can spoil your day, for sure....
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Nuclear missiles are not a deterrent against conventional invasion of a group of islands in the south atlantic. They are supposed to be a deterrent against a nuclear attack. As no country would launch a nuclear attack in such a situation. There are probably two or three submarines in the area, but if they ever did have to launch weapons against Argentina, then they would only be conventional. ---------- Post added at 22:40 ---------- Previous post was at 22:37 ---------- Quote:
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The British government is presenting a diplomatic and principled face to the world at large whilst allowing the military to dance a Hakka off the coast of Argentina. |
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Yes, they are. That fact was leaked to the Press at the weekend. Cameron and Hague have both since refused to confirm or deny it because it is Government policy not to discuss submarine deployments, however you can be sure the reason we're all talking about it is that they (the military, at least) wants us to.
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No, that is not going to happen under any circumstances. To think otherwise is to inhabit a very strange fantasy universe.
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No we wouldn't. Nukes are meant for mass scale destruction and are sure to result in massive civilian casualties. If Argentina tried to invade the Falklands, we'd target their military, not their civilians.
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Well can we at least send some more of our armed forces to the Falklands after Afgansitan!
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What is this fascination of yours with sending troops in ,annexing countries and using nuclear weapons ,are you 10yrs old or something ? |
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Also, I am not 10! |
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Reality check for Mr Fry . The current issue re Argentina and the Falklands will be sorted out by very boring diplomatic means .There will be no war ,no nuclear weapons used or threatened to be used and 1000's of troops will not be mobilised .In fact we will probably blink and miss any resolutions that are reached |
Re: Falkland Islands: Tensions Rising again ahead of Prince William visit
Well the Argies might block the flights from Chile flighing oover Argie airspace, which take food / goods & Chilean workers to the Falklands.
OK then can they not fly over the south pole? |
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Theres actually no need to put a bomber near the Falklands, with a trident having a range of 12000 km and the Falklands being a touch over 12000 km from to uk to there. We could, but wont, fire them from anywhere.
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There will be no society if countries start throwing nuclear weapons about. |
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Can we move on from the nuclear weapons discussion? Everyone knows where everyone stands on it and it's being going on in a circle for a few pages now.
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Can we now please steer this discussion back on topic. No more posts about nuclear missiles, they are pointless and do not advance the discussion of the actual current events unfolding between the UK and Argentina.
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In today's Guardian - link
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Breaking News from AFP: Argentina says it will present a formal complaint in the UN over what it calls 'Britains Militarisation' in the Falklands.
http://news.sky.com/home/world-news/article/16165366 Is there any substance to their complaint? |
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No ... it's British sovereign territory, military movements there are nobody's business but ours.
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That's what I was thinking. ;)
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Times really must be hard in Argentina. I feel sorry for the ordinary people there who're being manipulated in this manner.
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The key thing to remember, however, is that there are no negotiations, and nor will there be any. The British Government has made clear that as far as it is concerned, there is nothing to negotiate. The Falklands are legally held British territory inhabited by British citizens whose occupation and government is every bit as legitimate as the overwhelmingly ethnic European occupation and government of South America (which Kirchner herself describes as Latin America, a term I think I'd be slightly peeved at if I were an Amerindian native of that continent). Argentina's territorial claim over the Falklands is at odds with its disinterest in pursuing claims on the mainland over territory that was at one time or other governed by the Spanish Crown's Viceroy based in Buenos Aires - such as, for example, most if not all of modern-day Uruguay. Kirchner's gambit can continue for only as long as she can convince her people she is making progress. As they are not going to get what they actually want - negotiations, leading to control of the Falklands - all she can do by way of a convincer is to continually ratchet up the rhetoric and pull stunts like grassing the UK up to the United Nations for having the temerity to send the Queen's grandson on a mission to rescue drowning fishermen, or for sending a shiny new naval vessel to replace the venerable but slightly creaky old frigate that's currently in the South Atlantic. |
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It's rather irritating me to see her demand peace and accuse us of militarization.
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We'll have to adopt "Don't cry for me Argentina" as our national tune. :D
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I've always been aware of the Falklands War - but never really read up on it's History in great detail in terms of how once Argentina Invaded the Islands back on April 2nd 1982, we had a cat in hell's chance of getting them back.
Also interesting to note how 3rd party nations reacted. Like how the then Libya Dictator, Gaddafi supplied Argentina with Arms. :rolleyes: Quote:
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How many times does it have to be repeated that Argentina do not have the money or the resources at this time to mount an invasion of the Falklands.They only managed it the last time because there were no British forces of any kind on the island and no naval or air presence either so they could just stroll in.
Now we have forces and an air force present as well as a naval presence..much harder for the Argentine forces to just land and walk onto the island. So it's not going to happen. |
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The government were really panicking at the time because of the exorcet threat to our fleet. It was very borderline that we were going to win anyway, so if we had lost another couple of ships, it would have tipped the balance in Argentinas favour. |
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There have been a few programs abot the Falklands war that mentioned the exorcets. And there is one particular program all about how close we came to losing the war, and how lucky we were. I'll have a search for you anyway. Edit: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exocet Quote:
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EDIT: Just picked his book up for £8.10 including postage. |
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Having sold planes and missiles to Argentina, France was mortified to see those weapons deployed against us and immediately started doing everything possible to show us how to defeat those weapons. |
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I know this is an old article. But I just found it, and thought it might explain the situation to those who don't know: http://www.thedailybeast.com/newswee...lands-war.html
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I think that the "This stunning but uncorroborated revelation..", "The author freely admits that there is no way to back up his claims of what Mitterrand apparently said" and "Shortly after that, according to Magoudi’s unsubstantiated disclosures" caveats in that article pretty much tell a story in themselves. I'm looking forward to reading Sir John Notts memoirs. |
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entente_cordiale |
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