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-   -   Eurozone will collapse... (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33678876)

Anonymouse 22-10-2011 14:31

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35283810)
Europe cries out for leadership and courage

No change there, then! :p:

budwieser 22-10-2011 15:18

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kingofthedead4 (Post 35319718)
If there was a magic money tree, the council would have cut it down by now to make room for a new house.

No mate, They`re not building any new houses.!;)

Chris 22-10-2011 16:26

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by chris9991 (Post 35319725)
Was that the money as debt video(s)?

Yes, I think so. I'd really like to find that again, actually...

---------- Post added at 15:26 ---------- Previous post was at 15:23 ----------

Yes, just searched Yutube and it's there. Looks like its in several bits - there's one that looks like it runs for 45 minutes but the site I originally viewed it on ran for more than an hour. There are other uploads that have split it into multiple parts of about 10 minutes each.

chris9991 22-10-2011 16:35

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Google video has it here -
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...56453790090544

Certainly opened my eyes when I saw it a few years ago

Dai 22-10-2011 17:11

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Thanks Chris, grabbing that now. Hopefully that will answer a few questions for me. At the moment it does feel like the system just magics money out of thin air and I'm hoping I can understand it better.

Mind you, that'll probably leave me feeling even worse about our current financial situation..

Chris 22-10-2011 19:47

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
It will make you feel a whole lot worse, trust me. And if it seems as if our system magics money out of thin air ... That's because it does. :(

---------- Post added at 18:47 ---------- Previous post was at 17:28 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by chris9991 (Post 35319808)
Google video has it here -
http://video.google.com/videoplay?do...56453790090544

Certainly opened my eyes when I saw it a few years ago

Right - just watched it, and it's not the one I saw before, but it is in the same series. It looks like that's the original. The one I saw, and which I just found again, is "money as debt 2 - promises unleashed". It is on YouTube in its entirety here:

http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&sou...yU77nHnvt87yHg

Chrysalis 23-10-2011 04:49

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaiNasty (Post 35319715)
Every western economy seems to be borrowing money hand over fist. But where does that money come from?

Can anyone point me to a simple explanation of this system as it seems to me as a financial innocent that there must be a magic money tree somewhere.

They not actually borrowing, the term is misleading.

Usually they sell bonds to countries like china. Or it could be as simple as printing money.

Ignitionnet 23-10-2011 09:03

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
What do you think interest bearing bonds are if they aren't borrowing? They're a promise to pay back a certain amount of money that has been provided in advance after a period of time with interest payable in the interim. Sounds like borrowing to me?

Printing money isn't 'usual' either, we've done it with our quantitative easing programme but this is not 'usual', it's very unusual due to its effects.

Dai 23-10-2011 10:17

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
So apparently the banks 'create' money on the books from nowhere. Their gain comes from the interest due on this imaginary money.

If that's the case surely it could be un-created just as easily, leaving just an agreed and hopefully much-reduced interest fee payable as settlement.

Ignitionnet 23-10-2011 10:38

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaiNasty (Post 35319985)
So apparently the banks 'create' money on the books from nowhere. Their gain comes from the interest due on this imaginary money.

If that's the case surely it could be un-created just as easily, leaving just an agreed and hopefully much-reduced interest fee payable as settlement.

Sadly not, they insure this money against default, and they use the money stream from the lending of this money in securities.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Securitization

Once this stuff is created it's quite real and can't be made to disappear unless someone is prepared to purchase the securities / bonds and tear them up.

chris9991 27-10-2011 06:16

Re: Economy is worse under us, says Cable
 
Hooray! It's all sorted :rolleyes:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15472547

Osem 27-10-2011 11:12

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Yes how typical of the EU leaders to be so decisive when it really matters.. :rolleyes:

What planet are these guys on? If they spent less time time patting eachother on the back and more time facing up to the tough realities of economic life we'd all be a lot better off. I've long considered the economy to be a house of cards and right now that's looking rather generous.

nomadking 27-10-2011 13:10

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

They said banks holding Greek debt accepted a 50% loss, the eurozone bailout fund will be boosted and banks will have to raise more capital.
They don't really have to do anything for 2 out of 3 things.:rolleyes: It is the investors(including pension funds?) who will suffer.

Anonymouse 27-10-2011 13:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Someone once said "If builders built buildings the way programmers write programs, then the first woodpecker that came along would destroy civilisation." Perhaps he should have said "economists" and "economy". :p:

Chris 01-11-2011 10:34

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15533940

Greece will hold a referendum on the conditions of its bail out.

Pesky Greeks, upsetting the EU apple cart with their ancient democracy. Honestly, you'd think they invented it ...

Ignitionnet 01-11-2011 10:42

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I guess having 10% of their population protesting on the streets day after day finally gave them the hint that while there are a lot of issues at home the people don't deserve to pay for them with such savage austerity and a flat economy to protect other nations.

I have a little sympathy for banks though, many were required to invest in Greek debt.

Italy seem to be in bad shape at the moment, before long Silvio may have to stop trying to score with teenagers and actually take some action - what's happening puts in sharp focus how dependent on the EU backstopping their economy Italy have been.

Quote:

ROME -(Dow Jones)- Italy's Unicredit SpA (UCG.MI) led declines on the Milan bourse, with the bank's shares down as much as 6.8% in early trading Tuesday.

All of the shares on the blue-chip FTSE-Mib index were down and the index was down 3.1% on a day when Italy's sovereign debt woes increased after the Greek government announced a referendum on its austerity plans.

Inteas Sanpaolo SpA (ISP.MI) shares fell 6.8%, while other financial sector companies suffered similar drops.

Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA (BMPS.MI) fell 4.9%, while Fiat SpA (F.MI) led declines in the industrial sector as its shares fell 5.3%.

Yields on Italy's 10-year government bonds hit a euro-era high in terms of their differential over equivalent German bunds. The gap was 422 basis points, or 4.22 percentage points, before share trading began. It later rose to 434 basis points.

Sirius 01-11-2011 13:42

Re: Economy is worse under us, says Cable
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by chris9991 (Post 35321628)
Hooray! It's all sorted :rolleyes:

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15472547

Not if the Greeks have anything to do with it :LOL:

Dai 01-11-2011 16:44

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35323957)
Don't think the markets like the nuclear option.

and if what Traduk says is correct, nuclear would be the right word. If a raft of credit default swaps are triggered it could be the start of a doomsday scenario.

chris9991 01-11-2011 17:03

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I guess the sooner the crash happens the sooner the rebuilding can happen; rather than helping those who made bad investment decisions

Sirius 01-11-2011 17:06

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by chris9991 (Post 35324016)
I guess the sooner the crash happens the sooner the rebuilding can happen; rather than helping those who made bad investment decisions

:clap:

Chris 01-11-2011 17:11

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
The Euro was always a political vanity project. Greece should be out of it. Everybody knows that but nobody is prepared to stand up and say it. It seems as if the Greek voters are going to get to be the ones to bring the axe down. Good luck to them.

Damien 01-11-2011 17:32

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Apparently the government might collapse before they can hold a referendum. The Greek people want to stay in the Euro anyway, they just don't want to experience further cuts in order to receive the bailout.

Chris 01-11-2011 17:39

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
In which case they seemingly want to both have their cake and eat it, which as we know is against the fundamental laws of the universe. ;)

However, this whole situation does once again raise the prospect of a European electorate being denied a referendum on a crucial European issue. The disapproval of politicians in other parts of Europe is troubling. Democracy really does appear to be an inconvenience in any sphere in which the EU is involved.

Damien 01-11-2011 17:49

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35324032)
However, this whole situation does once again raise the prospect of a European electorate being denied a referendum on a crucial European issue. The disapproval of politicians in other parts of Europe is troubling. Democracy really does appear to be an inconvenience in any sphere in which the EU is involved.

Is this a crucial European issue for them? My understanding, quite likely wrong, is that this doesn't change Greece's relationship within the EU but involves accepting money from them in exchange for more cuts to balance their books.

It's a financial decision for the government to make, it is the type of decision they are elected to make. There are no constitution changes involved either.

nomadking 01-11-2011 17:51

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I suppose that the main problem with having a referendum on this, would be the extended period of uncertainty.

martyh 01-11-2011 17:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35324032)
In which case they seemingly want to both have their cake and eat it, which as we know is against the fundamental laws of the universe. ;)

However, this whole situation does once again raise the prospect of a European electorate being denied a referendum on a crucial European issue. The disapproval of politicians in other parts of Europe is troubling. Democracy really does appear to be an inconvenience in any sphere in which the EU is involved.


Indeed, the EU would be wonderful thing but for us pesky citizens demanding rights

Chris 01-11-2011 18:02

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35324036)
Is this a crucial European issue for them? My understanding, quite likely wrong, is that this doesn't change Greece's relationship within the EU but involves accepting money from them in exchange for more cuts to balance their books.

It's a financial decision for the government to make, it is the type of decision they are elected to make. There are no constitution changes involved either.

The deal involves the presence of EU civil servants inside the Greek government machine to help ensure compliance. That in itself is a very troubling development and one which would have even me on the streets were it happening in my country to my government. Whether or not it is a formal change to a written constitution is immaterial in my view. It amounts to the institutionalisation of the European Union as a direct player in the business of government in Greece and arguably sets a precedent that historians might be pointing at years from now as the moment a Federal European Government was born, with powers to directly influence or even dictate the behaviour of state Governments, from within those governments.

It also imposes decades of taxation and falling living standards within Greece - consequences that will be felt by the Greek people, yet without the Greek people having had any opportunity to accept or reject them.

nomadking 01-11-2011 18:03

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by martyh (Post 35324041)
Indeed, the EU would be wonderful thing but for us pesky citizens demanding rights

You mean like the right of wanting to be paid back the money lent out to countries like Greece?

Chris 01-11-2011 18:08

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35324045)
You mean like the right of wanting to be paid back the money lent out to countries like Greece?

Default on a loan is as much a right as repayment - that's why interest rates vary according to the perceived risk of a default happening.

The value of any investment can fall as well as rise. 'twas ever thus. I don't advocate it as a lifestyle choice but there it is.

Osem 01-11-2011 18:29

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
As has been seen within the banking sector here in 2007/8, the problem if one EU country defaults is that the prospect of others following is no longer deemed quite as unlikely as would have been the case just a year or two ago and that alters the confidence equation greatly. The markets hate uncertainty and I dare say the prospect of Greek default is being factored into their mood and decision making as we speak. God only knows what the 'least worse' option for us all is but let's hope that the EU leaders get to grips with this problem before it's past the point of no return (if it isn't already that is).

Meanwhile in the news at home, MF Global have today gone bust having seen, as I understand it, their exposure to dodgy EU sovereign debt come home to roost. Before the anti-capitalists rub their hands with glee, for every fat cat trader and City slicker who's lost their job in the company's Canary Wharf offices, there'll probably be 10 ordinary back office, support and other staff who're also now unemployed through no fault of their own.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/15519124

Chris 01-11-2011 18:33

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I'm beginning to suspect that we are already well past the point of no return and that continuing efforts to 'solve' the crisis are actually stalling tactics to give breathing room to those planning Greece's exit from the Euro.

Osem 01-11-2011 18:36

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35324055)
I'm beginning to suspect that we are already well past the point of no return and that continuing efforts to 'solve' the crisis are actually stalling tactics to give breathing room to those planning Greece's exit from the Euro.

If I had any shred of confidence that Greece leaving the Euro would significantly help solve the problems in Euro-lala-land that prospect might make me feel a bit better. :erm:

Traduk 02-11-2011 01:50

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaiNasty (Post 35324003)
and if what Traduk says is correct, nuclear would be the right word. If a raft of credit default swaps are triggered it could be the start of a doomsday scenario.

I doubt and very much hope that the nuclear option does not get triggered. I think this media report sums the situation up very well and will save me typing loads.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2...urozone-crisis

A major broker with a reported 6Bn exposure to Euro bonds filed for bankruptcy on Monday. It is (according to various reports) either the 7th or 8th largest bankruptcy in US history. A company with a prior net worth of over $40Bn has gone under in this ongoing mess and although tragic for the thousands of staff globally who have lost their jobs (I know a few of them) it is in reality a snowflake sitting on the tip of the iceberg in this crisis.

What I hope will focus European leaders minds is the old saying of "if you owe the a million, you are in trouble but if you owe the bank a billion they are in trouble".

With Italy also looking very vulnerable they must stop the problem with Greece and in Greece because failure to do so will see the other PIIGS coming under fire and one failure in Europe will be taken as the measure of European lack of resolve. The European now must walk the walk as talking the talk hasn't achieved anything. I think they will.

Previous crises that I have witnessed in the markets, like our ejection from the ERM were handled fairly well but we didn't have to convene a committee to talk about talks ad infinitum.

mertle 02-11-2011 13:43

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I have to say I back the ordinary folk of Greece its not there fault so why should THEY be punished with even more hypocrite austerity. Then thats the fault greek government like UK's dont attack the right people for the mess but hit the soft targets.

So would be hypocrite to think ordinary people in greece are wrong hope they get there corrupt government out and likewise I hope we got guts here.

All those greek millionairres probaly left sinking ship like rats.

I think we seeing finally the reason why you should not allow capitilst greed of excess profiteering over jobs.

We seeing the harm to economy of years of massive pay shifts gorging the money. I also think you seeing what happens when critical infrastructure is allowed to be dictated by market forces in pretence they was never going to profiteer inflate costs to businesses/people. We also see what happens when you lose control of housing prices and land costs.

Can we rectify it possible it might mean some ugly decisions nothing to do squeezing the life out people who cant be squeezed.

Hurt the banks, hurt the high roller businesses who wont job create. Would hasten to say new stock rules too to prevent histeria of investors removing shares too easily or at least make penalty TAX.

another might be distasteful for some but might actually help raise some capital for governments. When drugs is seized its destroyed when alcohol and sigs are seized not counterfeit its destroyed. I suggest it should be resold by government.

We not going to stop people using drugs it might be distatesful but it would mean legalising it. However sure if Government sold it under controlled system it could NET the government huge amounts money. Its blood money but we have to come off our pedestal accept it.

Also how much resale seized alcohol sigs would make could also be winner.

Councils who empty houses have loads furniture/goods which all gets crushed surely auctioning or selling them could make funds for councils.

Its crazy how much money we just flush down the drain when if we put some thought into it could earn the country funds.

Damien 02-11-2011 13:47

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mertle (Post 35324254)
I have to say I back the ordinary folk of Greece its not there fault so why should THEY be punished with even more hypocrite austerity. Then thats the fault greek government like UK's dont attack the right people for the mess but hit the soft targets

Because their way of life is not sustainable.

Chris 02-11-2011 13:50

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35324255)
Because their way of life is not sustainable.

Indeed. And arguably the best way to force them to recognise this is to cut them loose from the Euro and let them balance the books for themselves, using Drachmas.

Hugh 02-11-2011 13:57

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mertle (Post 35324254)
I have to say I back the ordinary folk of Greece its not there fault so why should THEY be punished with even more hypocrite austerity. Then thats the fault greek government like UK's dont attack the right people for the mess but hit the soft targets.snippety snip snip.

Error.

"the ordinary folk" are the one's avoiding taxes, having two months pay as a bonus each year, and retiring in their mid-50s on 70% of their salary - how can they not accept some responsibility for expecting a lifestyle that is not affordable/sustainable?

Osem 02-11-2011 14:17

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35324263)
Error.

"the ordinary folk" are the one's avoiding taxes, having two months pay as a bonus each year, and retiring in their mid-50s on 70% of their salary - how can they not accept some responsibility for expecting a lifestyle that is not affordable/sustainable?

Correct!

Just as responsible as all those who're now blaming the banks for everything whilst failing to take their portion of the blame for jumping on the property remortaging bandwagon and spending far more than they were earning without a care for what would happen when the bubble inevitably burst.

Ignitionnet 02-11-2011 14:25

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Greece doesn't need austerity forced down its throat, it needs to be cut loose and made to balance its own books being isolated from having Germany backstop its borrowing.

An end to such things as this would be a start.

mertle 02-11-2011 15:32

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Hugh this point too many rich people hogging all the money you say that simple workers its unreasonable to retire that early. I have advicated we should drive our retirement down to churn jobs in this country.

The 2 month pay holiday not issue if firms can afford messures infact it gives the working class more funds to spend again not issue.

What the issue is bosses whopping pay MP's cheating systems milking cow that now empty.

If Greece redistributed wealth they would ease the preasure the governments wont because propably they in the troughing too.

If we dont sort it out in this country then WE wont be far down road too.

Austerity measures fine if IT HITS ALL FAIRLY then argument that you cant squeeze blood out of stone.

Ignitionnet thats good point about porches doubt ordinary joe public the ones driving them. But its joe public these austerity measures hitting hardest its not there fault why blame them.

Wealth distribution seems the only answer to greeces woes fairly say its ours too. You wont get government who got the bottle to do it.

Ignitionnet 02-11-2011 15:46

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I'm reading the post above mine and it still isn't making any sense.

Widespread tax evasion at all income levels, systemic corruption and a ridiculously overweight, inefficient and corrupt public sector with completely unaffordable and unsustainable compensation and pensions aren't going to be fixed by redistributing wealth as far as I can see?

Oh and yes, ordinary people were driving the Porsches mertle. That was the point, ordinary people driving Porsches and dodging taxes.

Greece has less income inequality according to the UN than such states in peril as Australia, New Zealand, Italy and the UK. The ridiculously generous public sector compensation and benefits are a way of redistributing wealth, the problem is the wealth they redistribute isn't actually theirs to begin with as they don't collect their taxes, even if they did collect them there wouldn't be enough to cover the bills, and if they did collect them private capital would probably take flight from Greece as the environment would become so much more hostile to cover such an absurd level of public expenditure.

The austerity is futile in that Greece need to default and start again, without the Eurozone allowing them to borrow themselves stupid. That's the only reason I'm against it, they spent money they will never have and their economy cannot return to proper operation with the austerity measures.

Osem 02-11-2011 20:26

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy
Those of us who "survived" the nationlised suppliers of the sixties/seventies can vouch for the "Sod you" attitude that was wide spread then.

Too true. Short memories....

Ignitionnet 02-11-2011 20:26

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35324401)
You're not socialist enough!

I'm afraid that there are still some who think that nationlising all service providers automatically convert these companies into some kind of charitable provider with a social conscience.


Those of us who "survived" the nationlised suppliers of the sixties/seventies can vouch for the "Sod you" attitude that was wide spread then.

Oh it's fine, in Greece even the nationalised industries don't pay their taxes.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/03/bu...s-pile-up.html

Quote:

Greece, where improving tax collection is a condition for aid from its E.U. partners and the International Monetary Fund, has started to publicize the names of companies that owe taxes, hoping that will shame them into paying. It recently released a list of 6,000 enterprises owing a total of more than €30 billion in taxes, including the state-owned railway operator.
I'm not quite sure how redistributing wealth would resolve this issue, I'm also not sure how it would fix the issues highlighted below:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...x-evasion.html

Quote:

There have been some imaginative attempts to widen the collection pool. Helicopters have been hovering over plush suburbs in northern Athens in the search for swimming pools in the homes of professional people who claim they are living on only €35,000-€43,000 a year.
Quote:

Cash provides a convenient escape route for lawyers, accountants and builders. The government has published the names of almost 70 doctors it says have cheated the taxman and some surgeons are said to be earning €900,000 a year and not declaring tax.

Economists estimate that 2m private sector workers are carrying the brunt of the tax load while a million public sector employees and 1.3m self-employed escape almost financially unscathed.

Damien 02-11-2011 20:31

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
I think the German people have more cause to be upset at this bailout than the Greeks. The Greeks are getting some of their debt written off, gone, value which was spent by their government leaving someone else to pick up the bill.

The German government seems to have managed their economy sensibly and has avoided such a crisis but that means the German people didn't get the benefits of early retirement on massive pensions and had to pay more in tax. They are now expected to bailout their neighbours for their lavish lifestyle.

If I was German I would be livid at the Greek government right now and demanding they get kicked out right now.

Osem 02-11-2011 20:56

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
For Geman taxpayers substitute all those UK citizens who didn't fuel the property bubble, didn't spend what they didn't have, didn't borrow like there was no tomorrow but saved and invested for their future and you have a significant proportion of the population who've done nothing wrong, have acted prudently and are suffering hugely through meagre investment returns and inflation. They didn't run up vast sums of credit and walk away but just like the Germans they're the ones paying for the excess of others. In what way is that a recipe for encouraging long-termism and personal responsibility in financial matters? :confused:

My elderly parents downsized from a modest semi to a one bed flat a few years ago. To supplement their basic state pension (Dad was a self employed manual worker after WWII) they were relying on the interest on their modest savings but even this has dried up. They've done the right thing, worked hard, scrimped, saved and gone without all their lives and have been rewarded by having what little extra income they had being lost. How's that for encouragement?

How anyone thought the Eurozone could work is beyond me. It flies in the face of all we know about human nature and as always the innocent suffer. Ironically, when you consider the motivations behind the EU, it's the stuff that leads to unrest and wars isn't it?....

martyh 02-11-2011 21:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35324420)
For Geman taxpayers substitute all those UK citizens who didn't fuel the property bubble, didn't spend what they didn't have, didn't borrow like there was no tomorrow but saved and invested for their future and you have a significant proportion of the population who've done nothing wrong, have acted prudently and are suffering hugely through meagre investment returns and inflation. They didn't run up vast sums of credit and walk away but just like the Germans they're the ones paying for the excess of others. In what way is that a recipe for encouraging long-termism and personal responsibility in financial matters? :confused:

How anyone thought the Eurozone could work is beyond me. It flies in the face of all we know about human nature....

Such as me .I am a sole trader and could have used my quite reasonable credit to buy a new van for work ,new furniture for the house a couple of decent holidays ect ,ect .Instead i didn't use any credit but refurbished the van i have ,bought good quality second hand furniture and took on extra work instead of going on holidays .Today i don't have a credit card bill ,mortgage payments and van payments so i think i have weathered the storm quite well but i still see my earnings being whittled away by rising costs .

Sirius 02-11-2011 21:28

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 35324401)
You're not socialist enough!

I'm afraid that there are still some who think that nationlising all service providers automatically convert these companies into some kind of charitable provider with a social conscience.


Those of us who "survived" the nationlised suppliers of the sixties/seventies can vouch for the "Sod you" attitude that was wide spread then.

Yep they had the same financial aims as the Labour party. Spend spend spend then spend some more and then if needed beg for more from the next government:rolleyes:

mertle 02-11-2011 21:34

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Ignitionnet (Post 35324413)
Oh it's fine, in Greece even the nationalised industries don't pay their taxes.

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/03/bu...s-pile-up.html



I'm not quite sure how redistributing wealth would resolve this issue, I'm also not sure how it would fix the issues highlighted below:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...x-evasion.html

well they should collected the tax or chaised up those who owed that therefore is the fault of the government. No doubt they doing the same.

Its noticable that in this country to lesser degree allowing the same issues we allow 1bn unclaimed taxes go allow people to trough into tax havens.

Yes nationalising critical infrastructure firms would in my opinion give the country safety net. We shown enough companies cant run trains without bailouts which is disgraceful. We proven companies cut corners causing train crashes. We seen what the urtilities have done to cripple country with high bills.

Ok state own was rubbish but that was down to government at the time not operation properly.

Now if they was run better then they could make nice earner for the government net result tax burden lessens. There nothing fundemently wrong with state own business its how its run which can be. Governments ran them down used them too much a cash cow or ran them down that bad they became burden.

As for business are charity cause they are they there to provide jobs that in essense is the crux existence. They make money themselves as reward its when those profits impact jobs which what I hate. Sacking workers to provide shareholders bosses huge returns or wages is quite frankly wrong.

Its about time they provide higher minimum wage say £8 raise bar skilled workers too. Too many companies using the tax credit to justify only providing the lowest wage. Higher pay means more spending more money goes to buying goods will drive economy.

The tax credit should then be reduced burden on the firms to provide decent living not government top workers pay. I think tax credit relief should be only support companies who cant afford to provide decent wage ie small profit businesses. Businesses should pay up.

However the meantime Government has to sort out DEAR standard living sort out the banks, the expensive house market/land costs. Once sorting control it so it dont get out of hand again.

The south need to be sorted to be fair jobs should be spread arround country. Dont understand incestant need to get all jobs around london when other areas have good transport link, infrastructure workforce links to europe.

Its one craziest things that company who makes items them travels up motorway then boards a boat goes to europe. Surely if they export be near the port make items there less transport costs and cheaper to own factory up north too. Plus crazy thing job workforce cheaper. Problem is governments subsidised firms to setup in london and the area even though its costing more. The added bonus would be housing issue would be less lots empty properties up north. They would not keep running out water. simply to many live down south hint less traffic jams too.

Osem 02-11-2011 21:46

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35324433)
Yep they had the same financial aims as the Labour party. Spend spend spend then spend some more and then if needed beg for more from the next government:rolleyes:

Yes I heard Ed Balls' middle name is Viv.... :D

mertle 02-11-2011 22:02

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35324433)
Yep they had the same financial aims as the Labour party. Spend spend spend then spend some more and then if needed beg for more from the next government:rolleyes:

so narrow minded to what happening so private businesses who now run previous state owned been so good running these companies. They never had goverment financial support they not charged the hilt to breaking point.

Its causing this country so much more these businesses not state owned.

The add danger is our utilities owned by foreign countries who to say they deliberately charging high to cripple our Businesses and our country.

Lets all put head in sand say austerity doing fantastic job that labour was to blame for whole mess when yes they partly blamed but they tried to bail rightly or wrongly those who put us in mess. I think Labour was wrong should hit banks hard. Labour had same problems they tried to solve it they also had some disasters in world which they helped the tusami springs to mind. I would not be suprised the banks did it deliberate knowing they would get bailed labour would cribbled the country doing so they would got there tory chummies back in.

Labour also desided waste money playing war games guess what coalisition likes doing same therye all bad each other.

The crazy situation governments think everyone should own home or 100% employment is pipedreams. All parties set out policies which never good for the country but self interests.

Quite frankly all three parties useless they either crazy or hurt the wrong people scared chasing those who trough all the money for capitilist greed.

I not talking about equality people deserve to earn have luxurious lifestyles. Its when they go tooo far when those decisions effect employment the haves haves go too far. Then something has to give the world in mess because of it there only one answer it aint quantitive easing. Making dud money will just implode it worse slight wealth redistribution is needed and big job creation.

read world needs 80 million jobs I doubt the businesses got the desire to create that numbers.

We need jobs we need money in hand people who will spend it. We need cost living back on course.

I read that the so called experts want interest rates cuts and housing boom there idiots false economy the last thing we need.

Chris 03-11-2011 13:13

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Papandreou is expected to hand in his resignation this afternoon.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-15575198

---------- Post added at 12:13 ---------- Previous post was at 12:12 ----------

Quote:

He is expected to offer a coalition government, with former Greek central banker Lucas Papademos at the helm.
Great ... So the bankers really are taking over Greece ...

Osem 03-11-2011 13:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Fear pushes eurozone debt to record highs
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15571540

Quote:

The eurozone debt crisis has caused further turmoil in European debt markets. The gap between German and French debt widened to a record high since the euro was created in 1999. Italy's borrowing costs also surged. Investors are worried that a Greek default will spread financial contagion to other highly indebted nations.
Not looking very good is it!

Dai 03-11-2011 13:26

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35324672)
Papandreou is expected to hand in his resignation this afternoon.

Hardly surprising, he's a socialist leader. If there's no public money available to throw at a problem he'll be lost.

Chrysalis 03-11-2011 14:18

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
funny how greece is covering our news to hide our own problems, seems the news now days is either about foreign issues or the welfare system.

Hugh 03-11-2011 14:27

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
You must have a different news source to me.

The stories on the BBC news front page are

Greek leader "to offer to resign" (with a rolling update next to it)
Cricketers jailed for fixing scam
MPs criticise regeneration cuts
"Shocking delays" in child cases
St Paul's protest 'can stay until new year'
Tanks 'open fire' in Syrian city
English diet 'could save 4,000' 145
Man arrested in fake death probe
Arrests over racist Ameobi tweet
Gaddafi son Saif 'trying to flee'
Latest Bond film called Skyfall

The facts don't seem to back up your assertion.

denphone 03-11-2011 14:29

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35324679)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-15571540



Not looking very good is it!

No it is not.

Chris 03-11-2011 14:37

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Greek TV is now reporting that Papandreou has denied he is going to resign.

Hugh 03-11-2011 14:39

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Perhaps he will put his resignation to a referendum?

Chris 03-11-2011 14:46

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Roffle ...

This is now not so much a Greek tragedy as a good old British Carry On.

I propose Kenneth Williams for the role of Papandreou, Hattie Jacques for Angela Merkel and naturally Sid James for Sarkozy.

Hugh 03-11-2011 14:49

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Charles Hawtrey as Cameron?

Chris 03-11-2011 15:08

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Terry Scott and June Whitfield as Jose Manuel Barrosso and Catherine Ashton ...

---------- Post added at 14:08 ---------- Previous post was at 13:53 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35324731)
Greek TV is now reporting that Papandreou has denied he is going to resign.

... but a number of his cabinet colleagues are now saying publicly that he should.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-15575198

Damien 04-11-2011 23:53

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Vote of confidence is about to take place but it seems redundant now. Seems people have given up on Greece and are fretting about Italy.

---------- Post added at 22:53 ---------- Previous post was at 21:53 ----------

Papandreou has just won the vote of confidence! We might have just avoided a bullet here...

Maggy 05-11-2011 03:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35325392)
Vote of confidence is about to take place but it seems redundant now. Seems people have given up on Greece and are fretting about Italy.

---------- Post added at 22:53 ---------- Previous post was at 21:53 ----------

Papandreou has just won the vote of confidence! We might have just avoided a bullet here...

Really? A vacillating PM hardly seems something to be cheerful about.

mertle 05-11-2011 20:46

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
If Greece was allowed in by this alledged wrongly then bank surely that bank should cough up.

Although euro should done forensic accounts they can only do it with what was given.

I hope this bank taken to cleaners for it.

Hugh 05-11-2011 20:51

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Sorry - what bank are you talking about?

Damien 05-11-2011 20:56

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35325447)
Really? A vacillating PM hardly seems something to be cheerful about.

Means they will likely take the bailout, which means they don't default on their debts, which means no domino effect where banks badly exposed to Greek debt also go under. For now.

Maggy 05-11-2011 22:27

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35325914)
Means they will likely take the bailout, which means they don't default on their debts, which means no domino effect where banks badly exposed to Greek debt also go under. For now.

All under a PM whom doesn't seem to have much of a backbone..Not a very comforting thought.

denphone 06-11-2011 09:48

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worl...ne-caucus.html

Quote:

Britain will be marooned inside a "permanent minority" in European Union decision making in just three years' times after rule changes kick in on member states' voting powers, according to a new report.


http://www.independent.co.uk/news/wo...t-6258010.html

Quote:

Tomorrow, the markets will start to place their bets on the likelihood of Silvio Berlusconi stopping the eurozone debt contagion spreading beyond Greece to lands that are too big to be rescued. Italy will begin, under International Monetary Fund supervision, to see if his government can rein in the spending that has already seen its debts reach 120 per cent of its entire GDP.

Quote:

Thus will the stability of the eurozone be handed into the care of Europe's flakiest leader. It was not reassuring when, even after effectively being placed on probation by the IMF, Mr Berlusconi told Italian television: "Life in Italy is good. The restaurants are full. It's difficult to get a seat on a plane they're so busy; holidays are all booked up." At least in Athens yesterday there was a genuine sense of crisis, with solemnity to match.

Talking of PMs well here is a even worse one.

Sirius 06-11-2011 12:41

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35326071)

Good then why dont they just kick us out, Or will they lose the vast amount of money they get from us.

denphone 06-11-2011 18:25

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sirius (Post 35326132)
Good then why dont they just kick us out, Or will they lose the vast amount of money they get from us.

Exactly.

Maggy 07-11-2011 00:48

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15614883

Quote:

Greek leaders at crisis talks in Athens have agreed to form a new national unity government, the president's office says.
Beleaguered Prime Minister George Papandreou will step aside and his successor will be chosen on Monday, the statement said.
He and main opposition leader Antonis Samaras attended Sunday's talks, hosted by President Karolos Papoulias.
The announcement follows a week of turmoil over Greece's debt crisis.
A coalition government..I wonder if that will work?:erm:

denphone 07-11-2011 06:27

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy J (Post 35326540)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15614883


A coalition government..I wonder if that will work?:erm:

Well if the experience of other coalition governments is to go by then the answer is no.

Hugh 07-11-2011 07:50

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Strange you should say that - the markets think the UK Coalition Government is following the right fiscal path....

denphone 07-11-2011 09:45

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35326555)
Strange you should say that - the markets think the UK Coalition Government is following the right fiscal path....

Ah the markets the bible and bastian of The Great Transformation.:)

Ignitionnet 07-11-2011 10:17

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Coalitions come as standard in many countries with proportional representation.

Dai 07-11-2011 12:28

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Has anyone read any Michael Lewis stuff? I'm working my way through "Boomerang - Travels in the new Third World" at the moment. He makes the financial games relatively easy to understand and thus even more frightening..

Damien 07-11-2011 13:13

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Berlusconi might actually be on this way out today. Can't be possible..can it?

Hugh 07-11-2011 13:56

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Please let it be so....

---------- Post added at 12:56 ---------- Previous post was at 12:54 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35326567)
Ah the markets the bible and bastian of The Great Transformation.:)

A) bastion ;)
B) the Greeks tried ignoring the Financial Markets - how's that working out for them? :(

Alan Fry 07-11-2011 14:05

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
europe has to make a move on by creating a united states of europe

denphone 07-11-2011 14:06

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35326674)
europe has to make a move on by creating a united states of europe

No thank you.

Will21st 07-11-2011 14:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35326674)
europe has to make a move on by creating a united states of europe

Well,that may actually work.... it's this or get out completely.

denphone 07-11-2011 14:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35326665)
Please let it be so....

---------- Post added at 12:56 ---------- Previous post was at 12:54 ----------


A) bastion ;)
B) the Greeks tried ignoring the Financial Markets - how's that working out for them? :(



A) Damn my spelling must get better.;)
B) Ah the financial markets the tool of capitalism and stock market crashes.

Hugh 07-11-2011 15:16

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Re b)

Ah, the instant meaningless emotive soundbite answer....:D

Dai 07-11-2011 16:10

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35326725)

Ah, the instant meaningless emotive soundbite answer.

In fairness, that makes as much sense as anything the experts have managed to come up with so far.
;)

To my simple mind it just seems that the whole western world has been living well beyond it's means for a long time. If I lived my personal life the same way I'd probably have the bailiffs hammering at my door by now.

Hugh 07-11-2011 16:20

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
In total agreement with you on that one.

devilincarnate 07-11-2011 17:09

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35326725)
Re b)

Ah, the instant meaningless emotive soundbite answer....:D

Could you put that in something that I'am able to understand:erm:

denphone 10-11-2011 07:15

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2...rozone-breakup

Quote:

Fears that Europe's sovereign debt crisis was spiralling out of control have intensified as political chaos in Athens and Rome, and looming recession, created panic on world markets.
Quote:

Reports emerging from Brussels said that Germany and France had begun preliminary talks on a break-up of the eurozone, amid fears that Italy would be too big to rescue.
Quote:

Financial regulators across Europe were last night carefully monitoring the health of their heavily exposed banks, amid concern that the turmoil could lead to a debt default, or even the break-up of the euro.

Sirius 10-11-2011 07:54

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35326674)
europe has to make a move on by creating a united states of europe

And why in hell would WE want or need that ?

Alan Fry 10-11-2011 10:58

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
we need a united states of europe so that europe can no longer be draged down by 5 european nations, europe itself is doing fine except for those 5 european nations (italy, spain, ireland, portugal and greece)

and another thing, britain and france germany are no longer major powers, let alone superpowers, why do the frist two have perminant sercurty conciil places and india does not

if europe was one it would be a superpower, espcially if it included the all the eu and cis nations

denphone 10-11-2011 11:10

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35328145)
we need a united states of europe so that europe can no longer be draged down by 5 european nations, europe itself is doing fine except for those 5 european nations (italy, spain, ireland, portugal and greece)

and another thing, britain and france germany are no longer major powers, let alone superpowers, why do the frist two have perminant sercurty conciil places and india does not

if europe was one it would be a superpower, espcially if it included the all the eu and cis nations

thats the last thing we need is a United States of Europe.

nomadking 10-11-2011 11:30

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35328145)
we need a united states of europe so that europe can no longer be draged down by 5 european nations, europe itself is doing fine except for those 5 european nations (italy, spain, ireland, portugal and greece)

and another thing, britain and france germany are no longer major powers, let alone superpowers, why do the frist two have perminant sercurty conciil places and india does not

if europe was one it would be a superpower, espcially if it included the all the eu and cis nations

Britain's financial contributions to the issue have mainly been to the IMF, which is independent of Europe. So we would still be impacted one way or another. The scale of the problem is bigger, because of the size of the EU and the Euro. The only way a united states of Europe(ie EUSSR) could have had any effect in preventing this all, would have been by a central government setting out budgets and spending plans for the individual countries. The countries wouldn't like that and what do you do when, and it would be a matter of when and not if, the countries decided to overspend and run out of money and then the central government would have to bail them out anyway.

Alan Fry 10-11-2011 11:42

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35328164)
Britain's financial contributions to the issue have mainly been to the IMF, which is independent of Europe. So we would still be impacted one way or another. The scale of the problem is bigger, because of the size of the EU and the Euro. The only way a united states of Europe(ie EUSSR) could have had any effect in preventing this all, would have been by a central government setting out budgets and spending plans for the individual countries. The countries wouldn't like that and what do you do when, and it would be a matter of when and not if, the countries decided to overspend and run out of money and then the central government would have to bail them out anyway.

will then those countries of be part of this united states of europe

plus the uk and ireland will be part of the united states of europe

nomadking 10-11-2011 11:46

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alan Fry (Post 35328172)
will then those countries of be part of this united states of europe

plus the uk and ireland will be part of the united states of europe

Either way the UK would be still be affected.

Damien 10-11-2011 11:52

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
The main way the UK would be affected would not be via our previous contributions to the IMF - that's already written off - but by banks having to write off any debts they are owed by Italian banks (or by other banks who are exposed to Italian banks).

Chris 10-11-2011 14:04

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Yup. Remember the 'credit crunch' that kicked all this off in 2008? A root cause of that was banks being exposed to mortgages that could never be repaid, because they were lent to people that should never have had them, and then packaged up together with other mortgage accounts (some of which were more or less toxic than others) and re-repackaged, and sold off from one bank to another, until it became impossible to work out how reliable any one package of mortgage debt actually was.

Banks became wary of lending to each other because they could no longer trust that the institution they were lending to had the reliable income stream necessary to pay back.

We are already spiralling towards a similar crisis of confidence in the Eurozone that could cause a similar refusal of banks to issue credit, but this could turn out to be a whole lot worse as we're talking about colossal sovereign debts formally being declared unpayable and being written off.

And even now, Merkel fiddles while Rome burns.

---------- Post added at 13:04 ---------- Previous post was at 11:27 ----------

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-15671354
Quote:

Former European Central Bank vice-president Lucas Papademos has been named as Greece's new prime minister, following days of negotiations.
So the Greek government is headed by a Euro-banker and the machine is being 'supervised' by EU civil servants ... and all in the cradle of democracy. What a sad day this is.

Dai 10-11-2011 15:59

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35328191)
So the Greek government is headed by a Euro-banker and the machine is being 'supervised' by EU civil servants ... and all in the cradle of democracy. What a sad day this is.

Inevitable that it would be a placeman approved by the EU mafia. That's democracy gone for another member state.

Let's run through the process again. Give them unlimited free money until they're up to their shoulders in debt. Then reel them in and tell them the only way they can be saved is to agree to certain officials having final approval of key financial choices.

Sad indeed that the country that invented democracy should be swallowed up by this most un-democratic of monsters.

Alan Fry 10-11-2011 16:19

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DaiNasty (Post 35328313)
Inevitable that it would be a placeman approved by the EU mafia. That's democracy gone for another member state.

Let's run through the process again. Give them unlimited free money until they're up to their shoulders in debt. Then reel them in and tell them the only way they can be saved is to agree to certain officials having final approval of key financial choices.

Sad indeed that the country that invented democracy should be swallowed up by this most un-democratic of monsters.

this whole stuation is a mess

nomadking 10-11-2011 16:58

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Nobody forced them to spend on the ridiculous things that they have done or not get people to pay their taxes.

Quote:

Public spending soared and public sector wages practically doubled in the past decade. It has more than 340bn euros of debt - for a country of 11 million people, about 31,000 euros per person.
However, whilst money has flowed out of the government's coffers, its income has been hit by widespread tax evasion.
Quote:

It is a point of view shared by Constantine Michalos, president of the Athens Chamber of Commerce: "The horrific example I always bring is that cleaners in the Ministry of Finance earn as much as managers in other ministries," he says.
Quote:

Jubilation about the German deal to save the euro could prove short-lived if fresh news of Greek tax evasion gains wider currency. There are more Porsche Cayennes registered in Greece than taxpayers declaring an income of 50,000 euros (£43,800) or more, according to research by Professor Herakles Polemarchakis, former head of the Greek prime minister’s economic department.

Chris 10-11-2011 17:40

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35328362)
Nobody forced them to spend on the ridiculous things that they have done or not get people to pay their taxes.

Indeed, Greece has continued to run its affairs has it always did. The difference is, southern European countries are used to devaluing their currencies every time they get in trouble. Now they're in the Euro they can't do that.

The root of the problem is that Greece was allowed into the Euro in the first place. They were locked into the system because the European Council took a political decision to declare that they met the convergence criteria. This was a complete fudge (and not only for Greece).

Osem 12-11-2011 18:38

Re: Eurozone will collapse...
 
Quite right.

Aside from averting a financial catastrophe, possibly the best thing we can hope for from all this is that the problems in Euro-lala-Land have put paid to any hopes the Turks had for gaining full admission to the 'club'. Given the Eurocrats' track record, however, perhaps not....... :erm:


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