Cable Forum

Cable Forum (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/index.php)
-   Current Affairs (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/forumdisplay.php?f=20)
-   -   Russia has invaded Ukraine (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33710768)

jfman 03-05-2024 18:02

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Is it not then easier, and more cost effective, for Ukraine to surrender to the NATO border rather than sacrifice themselves for it?

We wouldn’t be debating F-16s then.

Chris 03-05-2024 18:16

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
What do you mean by ‘surrender to the Nato border’?

jfman 03-05-2024 20:19

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
As was suggested. Surrender their entire territory so that NATO can play toy soldiers with their own toy soldiers, and provide sufficient defensive and offensive ammunition for the next phase of an inevitable never ending war?

If that’s not most cost effective, in terms of Ukrainian lives or money, I’m open to idea on how the drip feeding of resource that won’t achieve anything meaningful is advantageous to Ukranian conscripts.

I do not, for a second, subscribe to the “til the last Ukrainian” narrative - but if I do accept it I he last Ukranian lives under a NATO shield (ironically in Poland).

It’s a fact easy to be lost among some as they white knight Ukranian women refugees.

Chris 03-05-2024 21:37

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
The problem Ukraine has at present is that Nato will not admit a member already at war and not in control of its whole territory. Putin has a viable plan B, if his army is unable to conquer the country - and it plainly isn’t; its present micro-advances are coming at immense human and material cost - then he can keep it in a state of permanent-war, thereby keeping Ukraine out of Nato. Once Ukraine is in Nato, his dream of a greater Russia is dead.

jfman 03-05-2024 21:49

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Ukraine has far more problems than that, to be fair.

The fallacy is believing on a “a once Ukraine is in NATO”. There’s Poland and disputed territory now. Unless Poland invade from the other side, proving the Russian point.

Ukraine ceases to exist in any meaningful way - no return of the refugees - and thus a rump state headed by the Zelensky regime that none of its neighbours takes seriously.

Unless of course the F-16s turn up :rofl:

Chris 03-05-2024 22:37

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
I suspect you may be surprised - pleasantly, I hope - on the F-16 front, within the next 3 to 4 months.

Supposed territorial disputes between Ukraine and Poland, or Ukraine and Hungary, are part of Russia’s info-ops campaign and un-serious. Ukraine’s international boundaries are uncontested and established at the United Nations.

jfman 03-05-2024 22:52

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36174446)
I suspect you may be surprised - pleasantly, I hope - on the F-16 front, within the next 3 to 4 months.

Supposed territorial disputes between Ukraine and Poland, or Ukraine and Hungary, are part of Russia’s info-ops campaign and un-serious. Ukraine’s international boundaries are uncontested and established at the United Nations.

Disputed territory is disputed territory. The only question is whether you think dead Ukrainians is a price worth paying on the way to defeat.

Russia will down every F-16 within a month. And I assure everyone I’ll lament the death of the conscript in the cockpit. In case there is any doubt.

Hugh 03-05-2024 23:06

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Disputed territory is disputed territory
Made up propaganda from the Putin regime is made-up propaganda - you’re not even pretending anymore…

https://carnegieendowment.org/politika/88585

Quote:

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov theorized that Poland would use this idea as a pretext for seizing control over western Ukraine. Soon thereafter, the SVR began regularly reporting on Poland’s alleged plans to annex Ukrainian territories.

On April 28, Naryshkin said that Poland was preparing to enter western Ukraine as part of a coalition of “interested countries.” On June 30, the SVR claimed that Poland was considering a scenario for partitioning Ukraine because it did not expect Kyiv to win. On July 12, Naryshkin followed up by contending that Warsaw was “nervous” and trying to “disavow its plans” because the SVR had revealed them.

Other Russian officials have also spoken about Poland’s “predatory plans,” including the controversial presidential adviser Vladimir Medinsky and Russia’s ambassador to the EU Vladimir Chizhov. The most recent wave of such statements began in the late fall, coming directly from Putin.

In reality, of course, Polish officials have never made any statements questioning the territorial integrity of Ukraine, to whom Warsaw remains a staunch ally. The idea of a NATO peacekeeping mission has never been anything more than a proposal by Kaczyński, who does not currently hold any official positions

jfman 03-05-2024 23:07

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
So it’s not disputed territory?

Chris 03-05-2024 23:36

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36174453)
So it’s not disputed territory?

Not on the basis of anything Russia says, no. And there is no credible evidence of anyone else disputing Ukraine’s borders as established at the UN in 1991 either.

Thanks for the prediction re the survivability of the F-16s though. That’s a firm prediction we can easily evaluate a month after they are confirmed to be in active service in Ukraine.

jfman 03-05-2024 23:53

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36174454)
Not on the basis of anything Russia says, no. And there is no credible evidence of anyone else disputing Ukraine’s borders as established at the UN in 1991 either.

Thanks for the prediction re the survivability of the F-16s though. That’s a firm prediction we can easily evaluate a month after they are confirmed to be in active service in Ukraine.

I’m more than happy to have my speculation held against event when they come to pass. It’s the crux of my argument that Ukrainian conscripts are mere fodder on the front line for a regime out of ideas.

I doubt any F-16s will be airborne in combat under the Zelensky regime for more than mere hours but I feel that’s splitting hairs for now.

I’m not quite sure why 1991 borders have more value than say, 1946 other than for academic reasons.

Hugh 04-05-2024 09:52

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...ent-may-3-2024

Quite an interesting (and fairly even-handed) read on the state of the invasion…

Damien 04-05-2024 09:58

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Hopefully they don't get anywhere near Kharkiv.

Hugh 04-05-2024 10:36

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36174453)
So it’s not disputed territory?

What makes you think it is disputed territory?

What are the grounds for the alleged dispute?

---------- Post added at 09:36 ---------- Previous post was at 09:05 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36174434)
Is it not then easier, and more cost effective, for Ukraine to surrender to the NATO border rather than sacrifice themselves for it?

We wouldn’t be debating F-16s then.

There are already five NATO members* who have borders with Russia (or Russian territories), so not sure what point you’re trying to make?

pip08456 05-05-2024 21:41

Re: Russia has invaded Ukraine
 
I wonder what Russia is going to do now?

Quote:

France has sent its first troops officially to Ukraine. They have been deployed in support of the Ukrainian 54th Independent Mechanized Brigade in Slavyansk. The French soldiers are drawn from France’s 3rd Infantry Regiment, which is one of the main elements of France’s Foreign Legion (Légion étrangère).
https://asiatimes.com/2024/05/france...e-battlefront/

That is of course if the source is reliable.


All times are GMT +1. The time now is 23:11.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
All Posts and Content are © Cable Forum