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Mr K 20-12-2020 11:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36062944)

Grant Shapps issues statement saying extra police will be deployed to Tier 4 to enforce travel restrictions.

Source BBC

Yes pen them all in. A few macine gun posts wouldn't go amiss.
We don't want the grotty plague ridden South Easterners spoling our green and pleasant land. Think we should make it permanent and declare independence. Could be the new Brexit.... ;)

1andrew1 20-12-2020 12:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36062951)
Yes pen them all in. A few macine gun posts wouldn't go amiss.
We don't want the grotty plague ridden South Easterners spoling our green and pleasant land. Think we should make it permanent and declare independence. Could be the new Brexit.... ;)

Many Home Counties types and Londoners now walk amongst you after hearing BoJo's latest u-turn.
Quote:

Crowded trains from St Pancras as people flee London
https://news.sky.com/video/crowded-t...ondon-12168043

Quote:

Travel: Rail chaos as Londoners scramble to leave Tier 4
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-leave-tier-4/

nomadking 20-12-2020 12:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36062950)

You think new evidence appeared in 3 days about a strain that has been around for months?

Dr Susan Hopkins (PHE) on impact of new variant: (today on Ridge on Sunday)

-'No signals' of increased mortality in SE.
-No disproportionate admissions to hospital or disproportionate increases in mortality.

"Disproportionate" means to the number of cases regardless of variant.
The rates of mortality etc may be similar for both variants, but if this newer variant spreads more easily, then that inevitably leads to more cases, leading to more deaths etc.

mrmistoffelees 20-12-2020 13:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36062950)

You think new evidence appeared in 3 days about a strain that has been around for months?

Dr Susan Hopkins (PHE) on impact of new variant: (today on Ridge on Sunday)

-'No signals' of increased mortality in SE.
-No disproportionate admissions to hospital or disproportionate increases in mortality.

Nobody is arguing about the mortality/admission rates have changed. This is about the increased transmission capability.

Carth 20-12-2020 13:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36062971)

Nobody is arguing about the mortality/admission rates have changed. This is about the increased transmission capability.

How is that measured with any accuracy?

Hugh 20-12-2020 13:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36062973)

How is that measured with any accuracy?

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-...ation-12161566
Quote:

It was initially found in a patient in September, Dr Hopkins said, with full genome sequencing being returned in October.

At first, there was "nothing to particularly highlight that this was something of major concern, as variants come and go", she added.

But by late November, scientists were struggling to understand why COVID-19 infections in Kent and Medway were not being lowered by national restrictions.

"Detailed clinical, behavioural and epidemiological investigations" were carried out, Dr Hopkins said, including whole genome sequencing, and a cluster of the new variant was found to be spreading in those areas.

The government was notified on Friday 11 December, after which further work was carried out to understand what was happening.

Scientists subsequently discovered that the new strain was "much more transmissible than the other variants in circulation", Dr Hopkins said.

"That made us hugely concerned and we notified government on Friday (18 December)," she added.

That was the first time "all of the evidence came together".

Mick 20-12-2020 13:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Phew. About 10 posts needed fixing with their quotes out of whack, members posting quotes that other members hadn't said, that others had said instead.

Thread re-opened. Try not to leave open/dead quote tags in a post as it can lead to this problem.

Pierre 20-12-2020 14:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36062935)
The article Pip is referencing, and your comment is based on has been superseded and is no longer relevant.

Still relevant to me.

Mad Max 20-12-2020 15:10

Re: Coronavirus
 
The year is 2025. The UK is in tier 53, only people named Colin who were born on a Tuesday can leave the house. Anyone over 31 must be wrapped in clingfilm over weekends.You MUST go into work unless you probably shouldn't.
Schools are still open.:D

Carth 20-12-2020 15:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36062982)
The year is 2025. The UK is in tier 53, only people named Colin who were born on a Tuesday can leave the house. Anyone over 31 must be wrapped in clingfilm over weekends.You MUST go into work unless you probably shouldn't.
Schools are still open.:D

. . . and the last pub in England that remains standing has been classified as a site of historical interest, with millions of mourners visitors expected yearly ;)

Sephiroth 20-12-2020 15:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
So is it migrants arriving in Kent?

Carth 20-12-2020 15:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36062984)
So is it migrants arriving in Kent?

If they're driving lorries, yes probably ;)

Damien 20-12-2020 15:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
The advice the government was given is out: https://khub.net/documents/135939561...=1608470511452

Don't understand a lot of it but understand this line is bad:
Quote:

Studies of correlation between R-values and detection of the variant: which
suggest an absolute increase in the R-value of between 0.39 to 0.93.

Paul 20-12-2020 15:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Exactly how does it transmit more easily ?

pip08456 20-12-2020 16:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36062990)
The advice the government was given is out: https://khub.net/documents/135939561...=1608470511452

Don't understand a lot of it but understand this line is bad:

It's not been definatively proven though so still a reasonably high degree of speculation.

Quote:

In summary, NERVTAG has moderate confidence that VUI-202012/01 demonstrates a substantialincrease in transmissibility compared to other variants.

TheDaddy 20-12-2020 16:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36062993)
Exactly how does it transmit more easily ?

Spike protein according to the egg head on the radio yesterday, it's the way viruses hijack cells and apparently it's easier for the mutant. Tbh I'm just a simple guy, very simple some would say but isn't this the logical advancement, a virus that is easier to transmit but less deadly to the host?

Mr K 20-12-2020 16:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Bad news for anyone planning to run abroad, we're not wanted.
Quote:

Countries across Europe have started banning Britons from travelling in a bid to halt the spread of the new variation of coronavirus.

The Netherlands was the first to do so, prohibiting those from the UK flying in, followed by Belgium, whose restrictions apply not only to planes but also those entering by car or train (including the Eurostar). Austria and the Czech Republic are the latest nations to take action, and Ireland, Germany and France are also considering which measures to implement.

Italy’s foreign minister Luigi Di Maio announced on Twitter: “As a government we have a duty to protect Italians, so for this reason, after warning the British government… we are about to sign the order to suspend flights with Great Britain.”

Outside of Europe, Israel has announced that anyone travelling from the UK must quarantine for two weeks in a designated hotel.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...holiday-plans/

Carth 20-12-2020 16:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36062993)
Exactly how does it transmit more easily ?

Very good question.

Somebody may be along soon to explain that a multitude of virologists, scientists and Government busybodies have found - after very extensive testing and data manipulation - that there are 0.0371% more of the virus in droplets expelled from the mouth when shouting in anger at next doors cat wandering through your flower beds.

heero_yuy 20-12-2020 16:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36062999)
shouting in anger at next doors cat wandering through your flower beds.

Nerf gun. ;)

Hugh 20-12-2020 16:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36062984)
So is it migrants arriving in Kent?

If you mean the variant, there is no evidence of that, no matter how many times the Telegraph tries to dog-whistle that message... ;)

Chris 20-12-2020 16:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36062997)
Spike protein according to the egg head on the radio yesterday, it's the way viruses hijack cells and apparently it's easier for the mutant. Tbh I'm just a simple guy, very simple some would say but isn't this the logical advancement, a virus that is easier to transmit but less deadly to the host?

The spike protein is the virus' skeleton key - it 'unlocks' the target cell so the virus can get inside. Once inside it can set about turning the cell into a virus factory. The new variant virus has a more efficient design of spike protein that is more effective at unlocking target cells in the human body.

In a sense the most evolved virus would happily reside in a host body without damaging it or worse, killing it, but as a virus damages a host in the very act of turning host cells into virus factories in reality what it really needs is to be highly contagious, but not rapidly fatal. As long as it can spread to as many other people as possible without killing its host or incapacitating the host so the host doesn't come into contact with other potential hosts, the virus could be said to be doing very well.

Hugh 20-12-2020 16:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36062993)
Exactly how does it transmit more easily ?

https://virological.org/t/preliminar...-mutations/563

Quote:

Mutation N501Y is one of six key contact residues within the receptor-binding domain (RBD) and has been identified as increasing binding affinity to human and murine ACE2.

The spike deletion 69-70del has been described in the context of evasion to the human immune response but has also occurred a number of times in association with other RBD changes.
It binds to our receptors better, and avoids the immune response better.

Evolution in action

Pierre 20-12-2020 16:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36062998)
Bad news for anyone planning to run abroad, we're not wanted.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...holiday-plans/

Well it didn’t bloody well parachute in did it? We are an island. If the new variant is here, the chances are it’s already in many other places.

Hugh 20-12-2020 16:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063006)
Well it didn’t bloody well parachute in did it? We are an island. If the new variant is here, the chances are it’s already in many other places.

Mutations happen in situ, they don’t have to come from anywhere else.

The same mutation has been found in Denmark and Australia.

Pierre 20-12-2020 16:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063007)
Mutations happen in situ, they don’t have to come from anywhere else.

The same mutation has been found in Denmark and Australia.

Well done, you have both disagreed and agreed with me simultaneously!

Mad Max 20-12-2020 17:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36062998)
Bad news for anyone planning to run abroad, we're not wanted.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...holiday-plans/

So Danish people aren't wanted either then?

Mr K 20-12-2020 17:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36063011)
So Danish people aren't wanted either then?

You'll have to ask the countries concerned Max old chap.

We seem to have more cases and are more of an issue.

Hugh 20-12-2020 17:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063008)
Well done, you have both disagreed and agreed with me simultaneously!

Apologies, I mis-read your post.

Damien 20-12-2020 18:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Well looks like the world is cutting us off!

papa smurf 20-12-2020 18:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063028)
Well looks like the world is cutting us off!

Bloody foreigners:)


as long as the north pole don't cut us off before Christmas we'll be ok.

jfman 20-12-2020 18:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063028)
Well looks like the world is cutting us off!

They need us more than we need them, honest guv. ;)

Maybe we should go full New Zealand now seeing as they aren’t that bothered about our international transport hub status.

Hugh 20-12-2020 18:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36063030)
Bloody foreigners:)


as long as the north pole don't cut us off before Christmas we'll be ok.

It’s OK, Santa’s had his vaccination.

https://www.npr.org/2020/12/19/94840...uci-tells-kids

Quote:

Kids want to know: Is it safe for Santa to stop by this year?

"Will Santa still be able to visit me in coronavirus's season?" asked 6-year-old Paxton from Geneva, Ill., during a CNN-Sesame Street town hall Saturday. "What if he can't go to anyone's house, or near his reindeer?"

Luckily for children everywhere, the nation's top infectious disease specialist is on the case. "I took care of that for you, because I was worried that you'd all be upset," Dr. Anthony Fauci responded. "So what I did a little while ago: I took a trip up there to the North Pole, I went there and I vaccinated Santa Claus myself.

"I measured his level of immunity, and he is good to go," Fauci added. "He can come down the chimney, he can leave the presents, he can leave, and you have nothing to worry about."

jfman 20-12-2020 19:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Even herd immunity Sweden don’t want the new strain, you couldn’t make it up. :D

Thought Tengell would be subsidising flights over to get it done with.

Hugh 20-12-2020 19:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063036)
Even herd immunity Sweden don’t want the new strain, you couldn’t make it up. :D

Thought Tengell would be subsidising flights over to get it done with.

https://www.newstatesman.com/world/e...ainst-covid-19
Quote:

Both supporters and detractors have described Sweden’s strategy as one of “herd immunity”: allowing the majority of the population to contract Covid-19 in the hope of building resistance to it. But Tegnell insists that this is not the case. “That’s incorrect – in common with other countries we’re trying to slow down the spread as much as possible... To imply that we let the disease run free without any measures to try to stop it is not true.”

He warned that a genuine herd immunity strategy could be disastrous: “If you have Covid-19 spreading, so that 50-60 per cent of your society eventually have the disease, it can rapidly overwhelm your health service and possibly cause a number of deaths indefinitely and leave people with long-term consequences. If you can avoid that I would say that you definitely should.”

Mick 20-12-2020 19:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: Italy reporting they have a case of the new COVID-19 Variant found UK.

https://news.sky.com/story/covid-new...weeks-12162014

Spain decides against banning flights from UK

Damien 20-12-2020 19:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
COVID is a bit rubbish really isn't it?

#CancelCOVID

Hugh 20-12-2020 20:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063039)
COVID is a bit rubbish really isn't it?

#CancelCOVID

Snowflake!

jfman 20-12-2020 20:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063039)
COVID is a bit rubbish really isn't it?

#CancelCOVID

I’m looking forward to the sequel. :)

Chris 20-12-2020 20:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063041)
I’m looking forward to the sequel. :)

That will be #BDSCovid

Hugh 20-12-2020 20:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063041)
I’m looking forward to the sequel. :)

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063042)
That will be #BDSCovid

The COVID Strikes Back!

Mr K 20-12-2020 20:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36063039)
COVID is a bit rubbish really isn't it?

#CancelCOVID

Oh I don't know, there's a lot to be said for social distancing #unwelcomerelatives@xmas ;)

Hugh 20-12-2020 21:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Covid-19: Dover port halts exports to France for 48 hours

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-55389505
Quote:

France will stop lorry movements from the UK for 48 hours in the wake of fresh concerns over the spread of a new strain of coronavirus in the UK.

The move means outbound traffic from Dover will stop.

Ministers and officials will discuss the move at the government's COBRA emergency committee on Monday.

Freight from France to the UK will be allowed, there are fears lorry drivers will not travel plans to avoid being stuck in the UK.

The Port of Dover is closed to traffic leaving the UK "until further notice" due to border restrictions in France, port authorities said in a statement.

Pierre 20-12-2020 22:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Peak fear has been initiated, “new variant”...”out of control”.......we’re all doomed.

Sir Kier hindsight, says we should have gone into lockdown earlier and harder.

I can’t remember when a Labour leader demanded that more people should lose their jobs? But that’s the left nowadays, so far removed from the working class as to be totally irrelevant in modern politics.

Ports have closed......not political at all, but then if you promote a “new variant” fear agenda, then you might scare the neighbours....well done.

We have nothing to fear, but fear merchants themselves.

jfman 20-12-2020 22:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063050)
Peak fear has been initiated, “new variant”...”out of control”.......we’re all doomed.

Sir Kier hindsight, says we should have gone into lockdown earlier and harder.

I can’t remember when a Labour leader demanded that more people should lose their jobs? But that’s the left nowadays, so far removed from the working class as to be totally irrelevant in modern politics.

Ports have closed......not political at all, but then if you promote a “new variant” fear agenda, then you might scare the neighbours....well done.

We have nothing to fear, but fear merchants themselves.

To be honest I think we’ve got more to fear from those ignorant to reality, but each to their own.

I can’t think of a rational reason any Government - let alone a Conservative one - would willingly pursue these policies with economic impacts unless there was an overwhelming health concern.

Damien 20-12-2020 22:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063050)
Sir Kier hindsight, says we should have gone into lockdown earlier and harder.

He did call for these restrictions before the Government did and he did call for the lockdown in November before the Government did. Hardly hindsight. Although he was only advocating what SAGE had already recommended in both cases.

Quote:

We have nothing to fear, but fear merchants themselves.
And a pandemic.

Hugh 20-12-2020 22:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063050)
Peak fear has been initiated, “new variant”...”out of control”.......we’re all doomed.

Sir Kier hindsight, says we should have gone into lockdown earlier and harder.

I can’t remember when a Labour leader demanded that more people should lose their jobs? But that’s the left nowadays, so far removed from the working class as to be totally irrelevant in modern politics.

Ports have closed......not political at all, but then if you promote a “new variant” fear agenda, then you might scare the neighbours....well done.

We have nothing to fear, but fear merchants themselves.

We also have to fear those who deny reality...

Do you really believe that every country in the world has been taken in by scientists who have created a global conspiracy (but to what end)?

downquark1 20-12-2020 22:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063056)
We also have to fear those who deny reality...

Do you really believe that every country in the world has been taken in by scientists who have created a global conspiracy (but to what end)?

To normalise the idea that the government should regulate every action for the good of the public health?

jfman 20-12-2020 22:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063059)
To normalise the idea that the government should regulate every action for the good of the public health?

At huge economic cost to the globe? Meanwhile other governments continue life as normal coining it in? The rational capitalist out there would see huge economic advantages to be gained over neighbouring countries by not joining the global conspiracy.

Yet they seemingly do not exist. Nobody, anywhere.

Pierre 20-12-2020 23:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063063)
Meanwhile other governments continue life as normal coining it in?

China seem to be perfectly normal, no issues there anymore..........weird that......, just a little bit, to the passing individual?

Quote:

The rational capitalist out there would see huge economic advantages to be gained over neighbouring countries by not joining the global conspiracy.

Yet they seemingly do not exist. Nobody, anywhere.
The USA and Western Europe totally prolapsed by COVID, yet China just ticking along nicely......again nothing to be suspicious about.....,like I said a while back, my tin foil hat well and truly broken in recently.

jfman 20-12-2020 23:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063069)
China seem to be perfectly normal, no issues there anymore..........weird that......, just a little bit, to the passing individual?

That would be China that locked down and severely restricted internal travel for months? Dare I say a success of state planning/infrastructure and not outsourcing.

Quote:

The USA and Western Europe totally prolapsed by COVID, yet China just ticking along nicely......again nothing to be suspicious about.....,like I said a while back, my tin foil hat well and truly broken in recently.
We have always had the blueprint from the SARS affected countries if we (the West) didn’t have white exceptionalism. It won’t happen to us, we’ve got better healthcare, better scientists, cultural differences, etc... etc...

RichardCoulter 21-12-2020 03:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Great. They're now backtracking and saying that the vaccine for Covid-19 may not work with the much more infectious mutated Covid virus and that having had it in the past might not provide any protection through antibodies created by the body.

I think a cancelled Christmas may well be the least of our worries.

jfman 21-12-2020 05:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36063080)
Great. They're now backtracking and saying that the vaccine for Covid-19 may not work with the much more infectious mutated Covid virus and that having had it in the past might not provide any protection through antibodies created by the body.

I think a cancelled Christmas may well be the least of our worries.

Source?

nomadking 21-12-2020 08:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by RichardCoulter (Post 36063080)
Great. They're now backtracking and saying that the vaccine for Covid-19 may not work with the much more infectious mutated Covid virus and that having had it in the past might not provide any protection through antibodies created by the body.

I think a cancelled Christmas may well be the least of our worries.

They have to ask the question, and look at what the answer is. Doesn't mean that there is yet any actual evidence that it is a problem.

mrmistoffelees 21-12-2020 09:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36063069)
China seem to be perfectly normal, no issues there anymore..........weird that......, just a little bit, to the passing individual?



The USA and Western Europe totally prolapsed by COVID, yet China just ticking along nicely......again nothing to be suspicious about.....,like I said a while back, my tin foil hat well and truly broken in recently.


Ah yes, China, those most honest of chappies.... not that they have historically hidden things from the world stage... nope, definitely not.

They certainly didn't nail/weld the entrances for entire residents of apartment blocks closed.

They certainly did not isolate entire cities from the rest of the country

They certainly don't have a population who are used to dealing with pandemics

They certainly don't have a population who are more subservient to authority.


A fine comparison to make......

Maggy 21-12-2020 09:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55388846

Quote:

Will the vaccines work against the new variant?
Almost certainly yes, or at least for now.

All three leading vaccines develop an immune response against the existing spike, which is why the question comes up.

Vaccines train the immune system to attack several different parts of the virus, so even though part of the spike has mutated, the vaccines should still work.

"But if we let it add more mutations, then you start worrying," said Prof Gupta.

"This virus is potentially on a pathway for vaccine escape, it has taken the first couple of steps towards that."

Vaccine escape happens when the virus changes so it dodges the full effect of the vaccine and continues to infect people.

This may be the most concerning element of what is happening with the virus.

This variant is just the latest to show the virus is continuing to adapt as it infects more and more of us.

A presentation by Prof David Robertson, from the University of Glasgow on Friday, concluded: "The virus will probably be able to generate vaccine escape mutants."

That would put us in a position similar to flu, where the vaccines need to be regularly updated. Fortunately the vaccines we have are very easy to tweak
.

jfman 21-12-2020 09:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36063085)
A subservient to authority.

I'm not sure following the rules should necessarily rely on bring "subservient". That's the emotionally charged language of the no mask morons.

mrmistoffelees 21-12-2020 09:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
One wonders when the entire country will move to Tier 4, it's the logical thing to do to stop the spread of this new mutation.

---------- Post added at 09:40 ---------- Previous post was at 09:37 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063088)
I'm not sure following the rules should necessarily rely on bring "subservient". That's the emotionally charged language of the no mask morons.

In my opinion I believe that the majority of chinese nationals will be subservient to their government. However, should you wish. replace with obedience etc.

Hugh 21-12-2020 09:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063059)
To normalise the idea that the government should regulate every action for the good of the public health?

So all the Governments have got together and agreed this, even the ones with coalitions?

mrmistoffelees 21-12-2020 09:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063091)
So all the Governments have got together and agreed this, even the ones with coalitions?

Unfortunately, my sister in law is an absolute nut job...... I

t's a huge smokescreen to cover a global peadophile ring with children being smuggled underground, governments, media, businesses all in on it. With the only honest person in the entire high profile world being, wait for it, Donald Trump.....


1st in Law, clever lass, but plain loopy

downquark1 21-12-2020 10:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063091)
So all the Governments have got together and agreed this, even the ones with coalitions?

If they are threatened with world trade collapse or war then yes. However, I do not know this is the case. But to suggest there is no other explanation is a lack of imagination.

Chris 21-12-2020 10:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063095)
If they are threatened with world trade collapse or war then yes. However, I do not know this is the case. But to suggest there is no other explanation is a lack of imagination.

An explanation requires a base level of plausibility and treatment of available evidence to be worthy of the name.

Imagination permits speculation, analytical thought sifts and produces plausible explanations. Nothing you have suggested here qualifies.

mrmistoffelees 21-12-2020 10:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
UK's 'supercharged mutation' spotted in the spring, in Brazil.....

source: The Indy. .

downquark1 21-12-2020 10:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063097)
An explanation requires a base level of plausibility and treatment of available evidence to be worthy of the name.

Imagination permits speculation, analytical thought sifts and produces plausible explanations. Nothing you have suggested here qualifies.

On the contrary is it supposedly on the record that Macron threatened to block shipments unless Borris locked down.

The justification for lockdowns have been shifting widely. Politicians have stated it was impossible to predict the need for a second lockdown when I predicted it in this very thread as it was mainstream scientific opinion.

So we are either in farce or malice. Or farce to hide malice.

1andrew1 21-12-2020 10:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063100)
On the contrary is it supposedly on the record that Macron threatened to block shipments unless Borris locked down.

Do you have a link for this allegation?

downquark1 21-12-2020 11:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36063104)
Do you have a link for this allegation?

https://www.euractiv.com/section/uk-...gent-measures/

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dai...-measures.html

---------- Post added at 11:02 ---------- Previous post was at 11:00 ----------

Sorry this one

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.dai...e-borders.html

1andrew1 21-12-2020 11:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063105)

Thank you. :)

papa smurf 21-12-2020 11:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063105)

OOh looks like someone could have been kissing the wrong arse:)

Chris 21-12-2020 11:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063100)
On the contrary is it supposedly on the record that Macron threatened to block shipments unless Borris locked down.

The justification for lockdowns have been shifting widely. Politicians have stated it was impossible to predict the need for a second lockdown when I predicted it in this very thread as it was mainstream scientific opinion.

So we are either in farce or malice. Or farce to hide malice.

Nice attempt to side-step the point but it won’t do.

You weren’t making a point about France restricting travel from the UK, you were indulging in wild speculation about Covid being an international conspiracy and suggesting such an ‘explanation’ ought to be entertained, lest one be found lacking imagination.

I responded that your understanding what constitutes an ‘explanation’ is somewhat lacking in finesse. Anything to add?

jfman 21-12-2020 11:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063095)
If they are threatened with world trade collapse or war then yes. However, I do not know this is the case. But to suggest there is no other explanation is a lack of imagination.

Not all countries are dependent on world trade to the extent they couldn't live without it. Similarly not all countries - especially western democracies - allow for an easy justification for war.

Quite often the answer is the most straightforward one. We are dealing with SARS 2 and making a half arsed attempt at deploying the SARS playbook, limping along until a vaccine rather than locking down to elimination without one.

downquark1 21-12-2020 11:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063110)
Nice attempt to side-step the point but it won’t do.

You weren’t making a point about France restricting travel from the UK, you were indulging in wild speculation about Covid being an international conspiracy and suggesting such an ‘explanation’ ought to be entertained, lest one be found lacking imagination.

I responded that your understanding what constitutes an ‘explanation’ is somewhat lacking in finesse. Anything to add?

I do not know what the answer is. I have various theories in my head and update them as information arrives. I will not outline them here as I am too busy.

I do not belive covid or the vacines are fake or anything like that. Only that we are under a fog of political obfuscation.

jfman 21-12-2020 11:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063113)
I do not know what the answer is. I have various theories in my head and update them as information arrives. I will not outline them here as I am too busy.

I do not belive covid or the vacines are fake or anything like that. Only that we are under a fog of political obfuscation.

Again the answer is the obvious one. Governments (many) trying to hide their own incompetence. We used to call it 'spin' not a New World Order conspiracy theory.

downquark1 21-12-2020 11:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063115)
Again the answer is the obvious one. Governments (many) trying to hide their own incompetence.

That is one of the theories.

Hom3r 21-12-2020 11:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Dealing with Covidiots on my towns Facebook page.


They are saying this isn't in law as it is only guidance, and so they are going ahead as planned, even though we are in tier 4

Chris 21-12-2020 11:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063116)
That is one of the theories.

And that is precisely the sort of equivocation that allowed the MMR scare to take root. Failure to evaluate plausibility, or failure to give appropriate weight to a claim which is contested within a relevant peer group, leads to competing ‘theories’ getting equal airtime in popular media and creates the misleading impression that batschitt crazy speculation should be given equal prominence to thoroughly considered hypothesis.

Occam’s razor is a very useful interpretive principle in situations like this. The simplest explanation is usually the right one. A massive, coordinated virus scare designed to reset the world financial system in favour of control by shadowy elites is not simple. It would be terrifyingly difficult to plan, much less pull off. You’re not demonstrating imagination and flexibility of thought by entertaining it alongside good old fashioned government cock up. Quite the opposite.

jfman 21-12-2020 11:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
I want to know in what way the 2018 financial system wasn't already rigged in favour of said 'shadowy global elite'.

papa smurf 21-12-2020 11:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36063118)
Dealing with Covidiots on my towns Facebook page.


They are saying this isn't in law as it is only guidance, and so they are going ahead as planned, even though we are in tier 4

People have had enough of this farce, many will do xmas as they had planned following the original guidance.

downquark1 21-12-2020 11:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063121)
And that is precisely the sort of equivocation that allowed the MMR scare to take root. Failure to evaluate plausibility, or failure to give appropriate weight to a claim which is contested within a relevant peer group, leads to competing ‘theories’ getting equal airtime in popular media and creates the misleading impression that batschitt crazy speculation should be given equal prominence to thoroughly considered hypothesis.

Occam’s razor is a very useful interpretive principle in situations like this. The simplest explanation is usually the right one. A massive, coordinated virus scare designed to reset the world financial system in favour of control by shadowy elites is not simple. It would be terrifyingly difficult to plan, much less pull off. You’re not demonstrating imagination and flexibility of thought by entertaining it alongside good old fashioned government cock up. Quite the opposite.

In February when I said people should get supplies and consider self isolating I was denounced as a nutcase then. You can go back and read the thread.

jfman 21-12-2020 12:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36063118)
Dealing with Covidiots on my towns Facebook page.

They are saying this isn't in law as it is only guidance, and so they are going ahead as planned, even though we are in tier 4

I'd stay off for your own sanity, Hom3r.

I hope you have a Merry Christmas when it comes.

Chris 21-12-2020 12:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063130)
In February when I said people should get supplies and consider self isolating I was denounced as a nutcase then. You can go back and read the thread.

I’m trying really hard, but I’m failing to understand why this means I should take seriously your claims about a shady international attempt to put one over the common folk.

downquark1 21-12-2020 12:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36063135)
I’m trying really hard, but I’m failing to understand why this means I should take seriously your claims about a shady international attempt to put one over the common folk.

Ok if we discount that. Am I suppose to be happy Borris went around promising he would not cancel Christmas and then change the rules last minute. That is either farce or malice.

Chris 21-12-2020 12:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063138)
Ok if we discount that. Am I suppose to be happy Borris went around promising he would not cancel Christmas and then change the rules last minute. That is either farce or malice.

You’re proposing a false dilemma. There are other equally plausible explanations in this case, among them the possibility that the government reacted to compelling new evidence as soon as it could reasonably do so. In favour of this possible explanation is the fact that the leaders of the Scottish and Welsh governments agreed the Christmas relaxation with the UK gov acting for England, and withdrew it at the same time. Neither Nicola Sturgeon nor Mark Drakeford owe Boris any favours and both of them would lose no time in exploiting either farce or malice for their own advantage. But they didn’t. Everyone agreed everything at the same time.

downquark1 21-12-2020 12:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Fine. I predict the 70% more contagious will be dropped or proven wrong. It is ludicrous to think they have such a precise measurement so early. It was most likely justification for Borris' uturn.

nomadking 21-12-2020 13:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
There has been talk before, of different strains with different infection rates and mortality rates. So nothing that unusual.
Either way, whether because of the newer variant or bad behaviour, if the indications are the R number is higher, then harsher restrictions are required.

Chris 21-12-2020 13:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063148)
Fine. I predict the 70% more contagious will be dropped or proven wrong. It is ludicrous to think they have such a precise measurement so early. It was most likely justification for Borris' uturn.

They don’t have such a precise measurement and the technical papers that have been issued are laced with caveats to that effect. Much of that has actually found its way into mainstream news reports. There is a level of uncertainty that was reflected in the press conference by stating the new strain “might be” 70% more transmissible but that was always going to get lost in the noise.

To be honest I think the sudden spike in new infections is likely to have more to do with people rapidly getting complacent after the vaccination programme began and deciding to sack off the rules and go to a Christmas party or two. I’m not doubting the new strain exists but I find it too much of a coincidence that the infection spike corresponds so closely to the vaccine approval. Human behaviour is always the weak link in any system.

As to whether the potential transmissibility of the new strain is being exploited to crack down on rule breaking, well, quite possibly it is.

RichardCoulter 21-12-2020 13:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063081)
Source?

Interview on yesterday's Andrew Marr show.

jonbxx 21-12-2020 13:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 36063118)
Dealing with Covidiots on my towns Facebook page.


They are saying this isn't in law as it is only guidance, and so they are going ahead as planned, even though we are in tier 4

Local Facebook feeds are a minefield of fruitloopery to be honest. I'm sure we will all recognise some classic greatest hits such as;
  • My journey out was essential but all these other people were doing 'non essential' things
  • A multitude of anitvax things such as 'this vaccine hasn't been tested enough' (how much is 'enough'), I don't want my DNA changed, New World Order, etc.
  • This is all the fault of young people/old people/immigrants
  • Brexit will make all this better or worse
  • The whole thing is a hoax anyway

RichardCoulter 21-12-2020 13:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36063084)
They have to ask the question, and look at what the answer is. Doesn't mean that there is yet any actual evidence that it is a problem.

Let's hope there isn't. They should have said that the vaccine will probably still be effective,, but that to be 100% they need more time to be able to do more tests.

Perhaps they thought that this would would cause panic etc, but we are adults and need to be told the facts straight away, even if It's possible/actual bad news.

downquark1 21-12-2020 13:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36063150)
There has been talk before, of different strains with different infection rates and mortality rates. So nothing that unusual.
Either way, whether because of the newer variant or bad behaviour, if the indications are the R number is higher, then harsher restrictions are required.

It is perfectly plausible there is a new strain. What is unusual is to know the R number so early. As I said before viruses do not come with R values written on them.

Most likely this is some estimation that actually came with a wide error bar that Boris has chosen not to share with us.

nomadking 21-12-2020 13:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
The newer variant hasn't just popped up in the last week. It's had time to be able to compare transmission rates.

Maggy 21-12-2020 13:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063156)
It is perfectly plausible there is a new strain. What is unusual is to know the R number so early. As I said before viruses do not come with R values written on them.

Most likely this is some estimation that actually came with a wide error bar that Boris has chosen not to share with us.

:tu:

mrmistoffelees 21-12-2020 13:42

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063156)
It is perfectly plausible there is a new strain. What is unusual is to know the R number so early. As I said before viruses do not come with R values written on them.

Most likely this is some estimation that actually came with a wide error bar that Boris has chosen not to share with us.


Did Boris also create it in Brazil in the Spring? (If the Telegraph story is to be believed)

nomadking 21-12-2020 13:51

Re: Coronavirus
 
New coronavirus variant: What do we know?
Quote:

Why is this variant causing concern?
Three things are coming together that mean it is attracting attention:


  • It is rapidly replacing other versions of the virus
  • It has mutations that affect part of the virus likely to be important
  • Some of those mutations have already been shown in the lab to increase the ability of the virus to infect cells
All of these come together to build a case for a virus that can spread more easily.
Quote:

The other mutation - a H69/V70 deletion, in which a small part of the spike is removed - has emerged several times before, including famously in infected mink.
Work by Prof Ravi Gupta at the University of Cambridge has suggested this mutation increases infectivity two-fold in lab experiments.
Quote:

Has this happened before?
Yes.
The virus that was first detected in Wuhan, China, is not the same one you will find in most corners of the world.
The D614G mutation emerged in Europe in February and became the globally dominant form of the virus.
Another, called A222V, spread across Europe and was linked to people's summer holidays in Spain.

jfman 21-12-2020 13:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063156)
It is perfectly plausible there is a new strain. What is unusual is to know the R number so early. As I said before viruses do not come with R values written on them.

Most likely this is some estimation that actually came with a wide error bar that Boris has chosen not to share with us.

It does have a range and it's in the published paper. It is, obviously, to some extent based on an limited data.

These things don't, in and of themselves, mean that the best estimate isn't the best estimate available now or that decisions based upon them are not correct. There's no lab conditions where both viruses are spread identically for a comparison.

Once again this is some distance from the Illuminati.

downquark1 21-12-2020 14:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36063162)
It does have a range and it's in the published paper. It is, obviously, to some extent based on an limited data.

These things don't, in and of themselves, mean that the best estimate isn't the best estimate available now or that decisions based upon them are not correct. There's no lab conditions where both viruses are spread identically for a comparison.

Once again this is some distance from the Illuminati.

If you want to look up that theory. It is the world economic forum not the illuminati. And it stems from papers they wrote saying they will use the next pandemic as a time to implement new economic models.

Hugh 21-12-2020 14:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Links?

Did you mean this?

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/...-the-pandemic/

Quote:

we invited participants to share their ideas on sparking positive change as the world recovers from COVID-19.

What is the biggest opportunity you see for positive change in the post-pandemic world? And what is your best piece of advice for how to make change happen?
Asking for "positive ideas" is a huge difference from "using the pandemic as a time to implement new economic models"...

They have some really evil ideas there, such as

Target illicit profits to fight financial crime
Strengthen primary healthcare
Universal Basic Housing for all
Protect ourselves from future pandemics
A local, sustainable and fair food system

Mad Max 21-12-2020 14:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063164)
Links?

Did you mean this?

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/...-the-pandemic/



Asking for "positive ideas" is a huge difference from "using the pandemic as a time to implement new economic models"...

https://www.mccaskiebutcher.co.uk/pr...link-sausages/

Fill your face, Hugh.....:D

downquark1 21-12-2020 14:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36063164)
Links?

Did you mean this?

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/...-the-pandemic/



Asking for "positive ideas" is a huge difference from "using the pandemic as a time to implement new economic models"...

Yes. although claims vary. Sometimes they claim they want to phase out private property or develop mind reading technology. The question is if these people hold any real influence or are just mindless yuppie marketers.

jfman 21-12-2020 14:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36063166)

:D

Banter alert tho - calm down.

---------- Post added at 14:26 ---------- Previous post was at 14:25 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36063167)
Yes. although claims vary. Sometimes they claim they want to phase out private property or develop mind reading technology. The question is if these people hold any real influence or are just mindless yuppie marketers.

Why would those who make the most money from private property (and debt) want to eliminate it altogether?

While I'm sure some would like to see the return of everything to state ownership it's not there guys.

RichardCoulter 21-12-2020 14:31

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just been on the BBC News that the PM is to have another news briefing to update us "later on this afternoon".

They also said that there are problems getting covid information out to some people in Bradford because about 15% of it's population doesn't speak English. Maybe this is one of the reasons why it's affecting the BAME community more??

downquark1 21-12-2020 14:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

While I'm sure some would like to see the return of everything to state ownership it's not there guys.
we have never had everything under state ownership. And I don't mean housing. I mean everything down to your spoons will be rented from someone.


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