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Graham M 05-04-2020 10:24

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36030464)

Seems to be pretty endemic to be honest in everything :)

Angua 05-04-2020 10:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030460)
The Swedish Government are seeking the emergency powers required to introduce a lockdown.

https://www.dw.com/en/sweden-mulls-u...ons/a-53020024

---------- Post added at 09:44 ---------- Previous post was at 09:43 ----------



Yes, as hospitals become overwhelmed with the Covid-19 response this will undoubtedly impact other treatments and wider mortality rates.

Chemotherapy also makes people more vulnerable, with a destroyed immune system. So choices could be no chemotherapy and able to fight the virus, and not destroying enough cancer cells soon enough. A rock & a hard place indeed.

jfman 05-04-2020 10:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36030466)
My thanks to jfman for introducing an article on the Deutsche Welle web site.

In my case the article of interest is: https://www.dw.com/en/eus-von-der-le...ope/a-53021106

Marshall plan for Europe!

A quote from DW: "The many billions that have to be invested today to avert a greater catastrophe will bind the generations together," she [von der Leyen] wrote, calling the crisis a chance to renew the feeling of community among the nations of Europe."

This was accompanied by what the Spanish PM said (obviously in begging bowl mode): "Europe has to establish a wartime economy and put in place measures for the defense, the reconstruction and the economic recovery of Europe....".

It will be interesting to watch this being played out as Brussels tries to take control ogf the Coronavirus situation and to hold the EU together.

I think the above just about squeaks in as on topic!


Well that's the nature of the Eurozone though - macroeconomic levers need a co-ordinated approach across states that use the currency and some of this has to be steered from the top.

That's what they agreed to in the 90s.

nomadking 05-04-2020 10:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
The problem is that Germany doesn't want to hand other countries a blank cheque to spend Germany's money on whatever they want. They want budgetary control as well.

Sephiroth 05-04-2020 10:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030470)
Well that's the nature of the Eurozone though - macroeconomic levers need a co-ordinated approach across states that use the currency and some of this has to be steered from the top.

That's what they agreed to in the 90s.

Indeed. The article also says: "She said that the EU budget was accepted by all member states as a means of leveling out inequalities in a spirit of solidarity and that it should now be tailored to cope with the crisis.".


But, as Nomadking says, Germany - the main beneficiary of the Marshall Plan - is ironically saying "nein".


jfman 05-04-2020 10:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
Considering we left the EU citing the amount we paid in I think members on that side of the fence should be more considerate of the German position.

nomadking 05-04-2020 11:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
IMO A major problem in general is that the focus on transmission methods has been coughing, sneezing, and contact with contaminated surfaces. People go out, they're not coughing or sneezing or touching something or somebody from another household, and everybody else out there is the same, they are given the impression that everything will be ok. The problem is greater than that. It seems to be becoming very apparent that breathing in and out is an issue, and passing saliva around by whatever method(eg drinking straight from same bottle) is an absolute no-no. Whether simply calmly breathing in and out is a problem is one thing, but breathing in and out more forcibly from exercising, singing, laughing, or shouting is going to be more risky. Saliva droplets will be forced out at a greater speed and range.

Sephiroth 05-04-2020 11:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030477)
Considering we left the EU citing the amount we paid in I think members on that side of the fence should be more considerate of the German position.

Actually - I am. Germany is a prudent nation and probably unsuited to the disparities of the EU. Like the UK, it needs to come out of Cornavirus with the ability to recover without having to subsidise less prudent nations.

Julian 05-04-2020 11:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Graham M (Post 36030467)
Seems to be pretty endemic to be honest in everything :)

First post in nearly 5 years!!!

Welcome back Graham I hope you are well :)

Hugh 05-04-2020 12:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36030472)
Indeed. The article also says: "She said that the EU budget was accepted by all member states as a means of leveling out inequalities in a spirit of solidarity and that it should now be tailored to cope with the crisis.".


But, as Nomadking says, Germany - the main beneficiary of the Marshall Plan - is ironically saying "nein".


The largest recipients of Marshall Plan were the United Kingdom, which received about 26% of the total, followed by France (18%) and West Germany (11%) - we received $3,297 million dollars, France $2,296 million dollars, and West Germany $1,448 million dollars.

https://www.cs.mcgill.ca/~rwest/wiki...shall_Plan.htm

jfman 05-04-2020 13:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Mogg getting a bit of stick on Twitter because his investment fund has issued an update that this situation presents a "once or twice in a generation opportunity". While against the backdrop of Premiership footballers being asked to take a wage cut (of course - the Government could legislate to make all high earners £1m+ p/a pay more tax) it doesn't look particularly good to the pitch fork wielders of Twitter.

The other part of me though is asking the obvious question - are they offering anything particularly insightful with this? It's not exactly a hot take to say if you pick up investments as the stock markets collapse in a panic that if you are willing to bide your time you are likely to see substantial returns at the other side of a recession.

Similarly if you are thinking of a big house move house prices will fall shortly and borrowing has never been cheaper. This doesn't make me Warren Buffet or George Soros here.

Chris 05-04-2020 13:52

Re: Coronavirus
 
It’s not a good look, but the rules of financial conduct are pretty strict. They are almost certainly obliged by law to issue guidance of this sort, no matter how mercenary it seems.

nomadking 05-04-2020 16:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Where do people think the money that Governments borrow, comes from? It comes from Government bonds that are bought by people with money, who then expect their money back with an additional return. In that sense Government bonds from a reliable country that is going to pay it back could be seen as a good and safe investment.

jfman 05-04-2020 17:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030517)
Where do people think the money that Governments borrow, comes from? It comes from Government bonds that are bought by people with money, who then expect their money back with an additional return. In that sense Government bonds from a reliable country that is going to pay it back could be seen as a good and safe investment.

That's not what the advice relates to though. It related to the opportunity to make supernormal returns.

nomadking 05-04-2020 17:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030518)
That's not what the advice relates to though. It related to the opportunity to make supernormal returns.

Seeing as "normal" is going to not be that great or even a loss, a safe investment it a "supernormal" one. Still the underlying principal remains, it is people with spare money to invest that provides the money that government borrows. Same as for money for mortgages and business and personal borrowing.

jfman 05-04-2020 17:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030520)
Seeing as "normal" is going to not be that great or even a loss, a safe investment it a "supernormal" one. Still the underlying principal remains, it is people with spare money to invest that provides the money that government borrows. Same as for money for mortgages and business and personal borrowing.

Normal and supernormal are defined terms in economics. You can't conflate the two in this way in the context of the advice from Mogg's investment group.

nomadking 05-04-2020 19:02

Re: Coronavirus
 
Link

Quote:

Newly elected Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner told Sophy Ridge it was "all right for people who have got big houses and huge back gardens" to tell sunbathers observing social distancing to stop doing so.
"If you're stuck in inadequate accommodation... and you're all on top of each other, quite literally, then I think people should do social distancing and should keep their distance, but also be reasonable and proportionate about that," she said.
Harriet Harman, MP for Camberwell and Peckham, has called for a rota for the use of public parks, writing on Twitter that families in flats with young children need green spaces during the lockdown.
I see Labour still showing their contempt for people's safety and encouraging everybody to ignore the lockdown.

Hugh 05-04-2020 19:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030540)
Link

I see Labour still showing their contempt for people's safety and encouraging everybody to ignore the lockdown.

Eh?
Quote:

I think people should do social distancing and should keep their distance, but also be reasonable and proportionate about that

1andrew1 05-04-2020 19:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030540)
Link

I see Labour still showing their contempt for people's safety and encouraging everybody to ignore the lockdown.

Nothing in that link supports your assertion. Did you post the correct link?

nomadking 05-04-2020 19:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
They're giving people an excuse to ignore the lockdown. Doesn't have to be explicit, just enough to plant the idea in people's minds that it's perfectly ok to go out for no real justifiable reason at all. They are deliberately and maliciously subverting the notion of lockdown.

If they were remotely interested in the health of the nation, they should take the approach of "Unfortunately in the current circumstances, people should remain at home". Would that be so hard for them?

Chris 05-04-2020 19:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Angela Rayner is doing her one trick and turning it into a class war issue. No surprise there.

Mick 05-04-2020 21:15

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been taken to hospital as a precaution for tests due to ongoing Coronavirus Symptoms.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...tests-11969053

Hugh 05-04-2020 21:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36030553)
BREAKING: Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been taken to hospital as a precaution for tests due to ongoing Coronavirus Symptoms.

Not a fan, but I hope he is OK - this virus crisis means we have to rise above politics.

Julian 05-04-2020 21:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36030554)
Not a fan, but I hope he is OK - this virus crisis means we have to rise above politics.

+1

denphone 05-04-2020 21:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36030553)
BREAKING: Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been taken to hospital as a precaution for tests due to ongoing Coronavirus Symptoms.

l would not wish Coronavirus on anybody so l hope he gets better as soon as possible.

jfman 05-04-2020 21:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Obviously hope he's okay but I also hope that it helps people get the message - stay home.

1andrew1 05-04-2020 21:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36030553)
BREAKING: Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been taken to hospital as a precaution for tests due to ongoing Coronavirus Symptoms.

https://news.sky.com/story/coronavir...tests-11969053

Actually sad to hear that as I thought he was nearly recovered. Of course, he will have been very run down coping with the whole crisis. He'll be in the best possible place for care.

pip08456 05-04-2020 21:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36030560)
Actually sad to hear that as I thought he was nearly recovered. Of course, he will have been very run down coping with the whole crisis. He'll be in the best possible place for care.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...0&d=1586118861

Mick 05-04-2020 22:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
BREAKING: Scotland’s Chief Medical Officer Catherine Calderwood has just resigned, this is due to her position becoming untenable when on two occasions in the last week travelled twice to her holiday home, going against her own advice to Stay home.

https://news.sky.com/story/scotlands...kdown-11969073

Mr K 05-04-2020 22:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36030562)
BREAKING: Scotland’s Chief Medical Officer Catherine Calderwood has just resigned, this is due to her position becoming untenable when on two occasions in the last week travelled twice to her holiday home, going against her own advice to Stay home.

Well yes, unbelievable it took so long for her to go.

Paul 05-04-2020 22:09

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36030563)
<Removed> All the best Bozza.

I have removed a completely unnecessary dig from your post.
Carry on being an idiot and you will also have the honour of being removed from this topic.

Grow up.

Chris 05-04-2020 22:48

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36030562)
BREAKING: Scotland’s Chief Medical Officer Catherine Calderwood has just resigned, this is due to her position becoming untenable when on two occasions in the last week travelled twice to her holiday home, going against her own advice to Stay home.

https://news.sky.com/story/scotlands...kdown-11969073

Delicious. The SNP machine spent all morning telling everyone she’d done nothing wrong, move along now, nothing to see here. Apparently the party that can do no wrong, got it wrong.

jfman 05-04-2020 23:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030571)
Delicious. The SNP machine spent all morning telling everyone she’d done nothing wrong, move along now, nothing to see here. Apparently the party that can do no wrong, got it wrong.

Good timing though.

1andrew1 05-04-2020 23:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030573)
Good timing though.

Yes, the Boris news is convenient cover for her resignation. Very surprised she wasn't asked to step down though.

Chris 05-04-2020 23:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36030575)
Yes, the Boris news is convenient cover for her resignation. Very surprised she wasn't asked to step down though.

It’s difficult to explain to anyone who doesn’t swim in Scottish politics every day of the week. The view you get of Sturgeon and the SNP down south is not the same as we get here where they are on the tv news every single sudding day.

The SNP is above everything else a campaigning organisation that believes in the righteousness of The Cause (that being independence). They have come to believe that their cause is so right that they, being in pursuit of it, can do no wrong. That tips over into everything they do. People who should get sacked don’t get sacked. People who should be criticised are defended. It’s a knee jerk reflex response, borne out of an inability to believe that the SNP (or by extension those working for it) can do any wrong. And yes, I am aware that Calderwood was a government employee and not a party hack but here in Scotland over the last 13 years the lines have become very blurred and the SNP shows precious little evidence that it understands the difference between itself and Scotland.

If Nicola Sturgeon was the politician that everyone in England seems to think she is, she would have had the instincts to distance herself from Calderwood today. But she didn’t. She had her government press office issue a strident defence of her all morning, and then this afternoon, embarrassingly, used the daily Covid press conference to state emphatically that she had to remain in post because of her expertise. That is because Sturgeon’s instinct is always that Sturgeon is right, the people Sturgeon is associated with are right, and everyone who questions her is a Tory.

It remains to be seen whether Boris’ hospitalisation will deflect much attention from this in the Scottish press tomorrow. Scottish news editors tend to have their own agenda (even the ones working for UK-wide titles) and the front pages in Scotland are almost always different than in England.

jfman 06-04-2020 08:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
In the Scottish press though it doesn’t really matter. SNP voters recognise the inherent bias of a London controlled unionist media and are naturally distrusting.

They will simply be preaching to their diminishing readership with their “SNP bad” mantra. While embarrassing for the SNP there’s already, understandably, traction among SNP voters in pushing the Prince Charles comparison.

The unionist parties need to get out of the rut they are stuck in relating to Scotland and offer a genuinely forward looking policy narrative rather than fight each other for the same roughly 55% of the vote.

Chris 06-04-2020 08:49

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030582)
In the Scottish press though it doesn’t really matter. SNP voters recognise the inherent bias of a London controlled unionist media and are naturally distrusting.

They will simply be preaching to their diminishing readership with their “SNP bad” mantra. While embarrassing for the SNP there’s already, understandably, traction among SNP voters in pushing the Prince Charles comparison.

The unionist parties need to get out of the rut they are stuck in relating to Scotland and offer a genuinely forward looking policy narrative rather than fight each other for the same roughly 55% of the vote.

The phrase “SNP bad” fairly neatly locates you in the debate ;)

Anyway, we’re drifting off topic here. Suffice it to say that the ex-chief medic is on every national front page in Scotland this morning, except for The National, which has a full page quote from the Declaration of Arbroath.

Move along, nothing to see here ...

jfman 06-04-2020 09:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030585)
The phrase “SNP bad” fairly neatly locates you in the debate ;)

Anyway, we’re drifting off topic here. Suffice it to say that the ex-chief medic is on every national front page in Scotland this morning, except for The National, which has a full page quote from the Declaration of Arbroath.

Move along, nothing to see here ...

Ah Scottish politics...

But yes we are drifting.

Some “analysis” while not referring to Boris specifically seems to be indicating the likelihood is his condition could be quite serious - simple testing could be done in Downing Street. Rather worrying really.

denphone 06-04-2020 09:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030589)
Ah Scottish politics...

But yes we are drifting.

Some “analysis” while not referring to Boris specifically seems to be indicating the likelihood is his condition could be quite serious - simple testing could be done in Downing Street. Rather worrying really.

There were some unproven reports last week that his condition was worse then was he or his officials were prepared to admit but Downing Street flatly denied this last week but obviously his condition has worsened thus there was only one option and that is hospitalisation before he develops serious complications.

jonbxx 06-04-2020 12:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36030590)
There were some unproven reports last week that his condition was worse then was he or his officials were prepared to admit but Downing Street flatly denied this last week but obviously his condition has worsened thus there was only one option and that is hospitalisation before he develops serious complications.

I would imagine that the medical facilities in and around Downing Street including the Pindar Nuclear Bunker under Whitehall are somewhat more sophisticated than a green box of plasters hanging on a wall and an accident book. Also, the political optics of the Prime Minister to use NHS resources for a low level checkup wouldn't look great. Unless of course he went private which again, looks pretty bad.

For the Prime Minister to have to go to hospital suggests things are not great...

nomadking 06-04-2020 12:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36030601)
I would imagine that the medical facilities in and around Downing Street including the Pindar Nuclear Bunker under Whitehall are somewhat more sophisticated than a green box of plasters hanging on a wall and an accident book. Also, the political optics of the Prime Minister to use NHS resources for a low level checkup wouldn't look great. Unless of course he went private which again, looks pretty bad.

For the Prime Minister to have to go to hospital suggests things are not great...

I doubt they have a CT scanner in the bunker to check for lung damage.

denphone 06-04-2020 12:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030602)
I doubt they have a CT scanner in the bunker to check for lung damage.

Most definitely not as CT scanners brand new would cost a pretty fair packet

1andrew1 06-04-2020 12:29

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030602)
I doubt they have a CT scanner in the bunker to check for lung damage.

I doubt using a CT scanner requires an overnight stay though.

denphone 06-04-2020 12:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36030601)

For the Prime Minister to have to go to hospital suggests things are not great...

Absolutely as Pneumonia among one of the potential complications is extremely dangerous as l know full well myself.

---------- Post added at 12:34 ---------- Previous post was at 12:32 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36030605)
I doubt using a CT scanner requires an overnight stay though.

That depends on the condition of the patient Andrew.

He is in the right place that is for sure.

mrmistoffelees 06-04-2020 12:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030549)
They're giving people an excuse to ignore the lockdown. Doesn't have to be explicit, just enough to plant the idea in people's minds that it's perfectly ok to go out for no real justifiable reason at all. They are deliberately and maliciously subverting the notion of lockdown.

If they were remotely interested in the health of the nation, they should take the approach of "Unfortunately in the current circumstances, people should remain at home". Would that be so hard for them?

There's multiple facets to health that need to be considered.

Going out for an hour or so a days exercise as a family group, isn't ignoring the 'lockdown' that we're currently in.

---------- Post added at 12:45 ---------- Previous post was at 12:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030550)
Angela Rayner is doing her one trick and turning it into a class war issue. No surprise there.

It's not a class thing though, it's a space thing

My brother in law lives in Leeds with his wife and also their housemate, they live in a 3 bedroom mid terrace house with no garden/driveway. . They're struggling with this a lot more than my wife and myself who are in our detached house with front and rear gardens. Due to them being constantly on top of each other and unable to find somewhere quiet.

Chris 06-04-2020 12:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36030614)
It's not a class thing though, it's a space thing

My brother in law lives in Leeds with his wife and also their housemate, they live in a 3 bedroom mid terrace house with no garden/driveway. . They're struggling with this a lot more than my wife and myself who are in our detached house with front and rear gardens. Due to them being constantly on top of each other and unable to find somewhere quiet.

Your brother-in-law's wife .. wouldn't that be your sister?

Not an idea situation though, married couple with a housemate in any house at any time, let alone a terrace at a time like this. Just remembering, the only place I've ever seen/been inside a back-to-back terrace was in Leeds. Not one of those I hope.

We are insanely well off being out here in the countryside. There's a massive forestry commission plantation right behind our house, and I can step out of my front door, nip through the woods and onto the forestry access road, and then walk uphill for almost 2 hours with next to zero chance of seeing anyone, let alone meeting up (we have half a dozen neighbours, but would only meet them if they happened to be dog walking at the same time, and even then only on the nearest stretch of track).

Damien 06-04-2020 13:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
It's not a surprise the highest reported - by the press anyway - instances of people being in parks are in places like London with a lot of high density housing. People and families who may not have any private outdoors space.

The lockdown isn't sustainable if you force people to be inside for weeks on end. No one should congregate with people from outside their household and probably shouldn't be just sitting down having a few cans but overall the risk of people being apart in open air is minimal and might actually help sustain the lockdown for longer. Banning exercise or families walking in a park seems counterproductive to me, people will rebel if the measures are too strict or go on too long.

There seems to be a few people who are fetishising ever more draconian lockdown measures irrespective of how helpful those measures would be in slowing the spread of the virus. These are people for whom this crisis has been a boon for their own sense of self-importance and desire to police other people's behaviour, from inventing their own interpretation of the rules they demand others follow to online portals where these wannabe Stasi informants can report on their neighbours. You have people who want to ban all exercise, ban the sale of Easter eggs as they're not essential and have the army on the streets to enforce all of this.

The point of these measures are not to punish the public. It's to stop the virus and liberties should only be restricted to the extent it's effective in doing that. Even if you think we should entire total lockdown for 'as long as it takes' then remember that these measures depend on the cooperation of the public and that cooperation will break if they feel that they're are being penalised and cannot understand the reasoning why. Let people run outside, let them buy Easter eggs for their children at Easter.

Chris 06-04-2020 13:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Exactly. And at the risk of invoking Godwin's Law, this is a useful lesson in recent history. It has become quite fashionable over the last couple of decades to talk about WW2 in terms of what 'the Nazis' did, rather than simply 'Germany' as was more common throughout the latter half of the 20th century.

The idea that the conflagration was caused entirely by the aggression of a political party is nonsense. The Nazi Party could never have achieved what it did without the passive approval of the masses, especially in the early years of their rise, and the active participation of the ones who, as you put it, found it a boon to their own self-importance to be able to inform on their neighbours to the authorities and took joy in seeing their vision of order and discipline enforced by men in uniform.

It is mildly disturbing to see how vocal some people have become in that vein in this country, and it is not hard to see how, given a prolonged existential crisis, we could end up with enthusiastic little Hitlers in every community in the UK.

mrmistoffelees 06-04-2020 13:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030619)
Your brother-in-law's wife .. wouldn't that be your sister?

Not an idea situation though, married couple with a housemate in any house at any time, let alone a terrace at a time like this. Just remembering, the only place I've ever seen/been inside a back-to-back terrace was in Leeds. Not one of those I hope.

We are insanely well off being out here in the countryside. There's a massive forestry commission plantation right behind our house, and I can step out of my front door, nip through the woods and onto the forestry access road, and then walk uphill for almost 2 hours with next to zero chance of seeing anyone, let alone meeting up (we have half a dozen neighbours, but would only meet them if they happened to be dog walking at the same time, and even then only on the nearest stretch of track).

Nope...

Yep, they're in a back to back terrace in the middle of studentsville they were early in the process of selling and moving further out into the 'burbs' but obviously thats been stopped.

Very lucky here too, big house only two humans and one dog so plenty of space for us when needed to be able to keep apart from each other, big rear garden. and a five minute walk from public footpaths enabling us to go on a walk with the dog.

Mr K 06-04-2020 13:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030624)
Exactly. And at the risk of invoking Godwin's Law, this is a useful lesson in recent history. It has become quite fashionable over the last couple of decades to talk about WW2 in terms of what 'the Nazis' did, rather than simply 'Germany' as was more common throughout the latter half of the 20th century.

The idea that the conflagration was caused entirely by the aggression of a political party is nonsense. The Nazi Party could never have achieved what it did without the passive approval of the masses, especially in the early years of their rise, and the active participation of the ones who, as you put it, found it a boon to their own self-importance to be able to inform on their neighbours to the authorities and took joy in seeing their vision of order and discipline enforced by men in uniform.

It is mildly disturbing to see how vocal some people have become in that vein in this country, and it is not hard to see how, given a prolonged existential crisis, we could end up with enthusiastic little Hitlers in every community in the UK.

Jeepers, now we have gone off on one ! :D

Chris 06-04-2020 13:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
According to strict Usenet protocol, this thread is now over. :D

downquark1 06-04-2020 13:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
While it is indeed worrying I have to point out these are extraordinarily specific circumstances. I am holding out that this will prompt a liberalisation of sorts once it is over.

Damien 06-04-2020 13:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36030629)
While it is indeed worrying I have to point out these are extraordinarily specific circumstances. I am holding out that this will prompt a liberalisation of sorts once it is over.

Well I for one won't be washing my hands again.

mrmistoffelees 06-04-2020 13:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36030631)
Well I for one won't be washing my hands again.

So, you wash your hands of washing your hands?

SnoopZ 06-04-2020 13:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Finally taken delivery of a N95 facemask and hand sanitiser, they screwed up and sent 2 though.

nomadking 06-04-2020 13:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36030629)
While it is indeed worrying I have to point out these are extraordinarily specific circumstances. I am holding out that this will prompt a liberalisation of sorts once it is over.

:confused:

papa smurf 06-04-2020 14:04

Re: Coronavirus
 
Looks like the Gov has brought out the big guns to keep us in isolation

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/113372...navirus-video/

Mr K 06-04-2020 14:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by SnoopZ (Post 36030633)
Finally taken delivery of a N95 facemask and hand sanitiser, they screwed up and sent 2 though.

Is it something like this?
https://x-merry.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/15-2.jpg

Saw somebody walking about wearing one in the background of a TV news report from London the other day !

---------- Post added at 14:26 ---------- Previous post was at 14:24 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36030645)
Looks like the Gov has brought out the big guns to keep us in isolation

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/113372...navirus-video/

The Daleks were unwise to invade at Robin Hoods bay, they'll have a few technical issues getting out of the place.

cimt 06-04-2020 14:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36030625)
Nope...

Yep, they're in a back to back terrace in the middle of studentsville they were early in the process of selling and moving further out into the 'burbs' but obviously thats been stopped.

Very lucky here too, big house only two humans and one dog so plenty of space for us when needed to be able to keep apart from each other, big rear garden. and a five minute walk from public footpaths enabling us to go on a walk with the dog.

God help them being in a back to back. Those are really cramped spaces. I almost moved in one and I'm glad I never now. Still don't have a garden though...

Damien 06-04-2020 14:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36030635)
:confused:

I am pretty sure he means that the public's experiences of having freedoms we've typically taken for granted being restricted causes them to be more zealous about individual freedom when we get it back. Isn't that confusing?

downquark1 06-04-2020 14:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36030650)
I am pretty sure he means that the public's experiences of having freedoms we've typically taken for granted being restricted causes them to be more zealous about individual freedom when we get it back. Isn't that confusing?

Yes this, all the busy bodies will have it out of their system and everyone will be tired of them.

mrmistoffelees 06-04-2020 14:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cimt (Post 36030649)
God help them being in a back to back. Those are really cramped spaces. I almost moved in one and I'm glad I never now. Still don't have a garden though...

Yeah, they bought it when they were still students..... been trying to get out for a while now

Hugh 06-04-2020 17:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Not good news, but to be expected with new technology.

https://www.ft.com/content/f28e26a0-...b-b3a618ca659d
Quote:

The UK government has admitted that none of the 17.5m antibody tests it ordered in the fight against the coronavirus pandemic work well enough to be used.

Ministers had high hopes that the arrival of the tests would give a much clearer picture about how many people had been infected by Covid-19, paving the way for an eventual easing of lockdown restrictions.

The failure of the tests is a significant setback and suggests Britain may be further away from being able to launch an effective programme of mass testing.

The government is working with nine companies that have developed coronavirus antibody tests, which screen for whether someone has recovered from the disease and is likely to be immune. The tests are being assessed by researchers at Oxford university — but each one has so far proven unreliable.

“Sadly, the tests we have looked at to date have not performed well,” wrote Professor John Bell, Regius Professor of Medicine at Oxford university on Monday.

“We see many false negatives (tests where no antibody is detected despite the fact we know it is there) and we also see false positives. None of the tests we have validated would meet the criteria for a good test as agreed with the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency. This is not a good result for test suppliers or for us,” he said.

Last week Matt Hancock, the health secretary, said the government had placed a provisional order for 17.5m antibody tests. “We will only use them if they work,” he said.

Downing Street confirmed on Monday that “no test so far has been proved to be good enough to be used” and said it was working with the companies to improve their quality.

denphone 06-04-2020 20:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Alex Wickham has just reported breaking news about the PM Boris Johnson.
Quote:

@alexwickham
·
54s


No10:

‘Over the course of this afternoon, the condition of the Prime Minister has worsened and, on the advice of his medical team, he has been moved to the Intensive Care Unit at the hospital.'

1andrew1 06-04-2020 20:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Prime Minister Boris Johnson has been moved to intensive care in hospital after his coronavirus symptoms worsened, Downing Street has said.

Mr Johnson has asked Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab to deputise for him, a spokesman added.

The prime minister, 55, was admitted to St Thomas' Hospital in London with "persistent symptoms" on Sunday.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52192604

Damien 06-04-2020 21:12

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Awful news. Both for him and his family but also the country.

denphone 06-04-2020 21:23

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Terrible news.

Chris 06-04-2020 21:27

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Dreadful news for all who know him and not the best news for the UK, although constitutionally he isn’t an executive president and there doesn’t have to be an election if the worst happens. The Tories are pretty good in a crisis and I reckon the 1922 committee would crown a successor pretty quickly.

Let’s not dwell on that though. I have a friend who was in and out of the ICU twice with C19 and he has pulled through. Going into intensive care isn’t the death knell and there’s still every reason to believe he will pull through. Here’s wishing him a speedy recovery anyway. :tu:

Mick 06-04-2020 21:56

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
BREAKING: Prime Minister Boris Johnson suffered breathing difficulties and placed on oxygen before being moved in to ICU earlier tonight.

jfman 06-04-2020 22:53

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Nolan inviting callers on talking about him in the past tense ffs.

Dave42 07-04-2020 01:13

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
get well soon as possible Boris

Martin_D 07-04-2020 03:03

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Get well soon Boris

jfman 07-04-2020 07:40

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
https://www.theguardian.com/educatio...onavirus-study

Irresponsible headline from the Guardian here.

The actual study says school closures on their own have negligible effect. Of course not, if you let everyone else go about their daily business in offices, on public transport, gather at events, in pubs, clubs and other places to spread the virus then it stands to reason the difference is barely noticeable.

Hugh 07-04-2020 08:44

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030701)
https://www.theguardian.com/educatio...onavirus-study

Irresponsible headline from the Guardian here.

The actual study says school closures on their own have negligible effect. Of course not, if you let everyone else go about their daily business in offices, on public transport, gather at events, in pubs, clubs and other places to spread the virus then it stands to reason the difference is barely noticeable.

Agreed - from the article
Quote:

Prof Neil Ferguson, of Imperial College London, who is one of the key epidemiologists advising the government, said: “While school closure as a measure on its own is predicted to have a limited effectiveness in controlling Covid-19 transmission, when combined with intense social distancing it plays an important role in severing remaining contacts between households and thus ensuring transmission declines.”

downquark1 07-04-2020 08:46

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Isn't this the paper that came out weeks ago? Did they only just read it?

spiderplant 07-04-2020 08:48

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36030701)
https://www.theguardian.com/educatio...onavirus-study

Irresponsible headline from the Guardian here.

The actual study says school closures on their own have negligible effect. Of course not, if you let everyone else go about their daily business in offices, on public transport, gather at events, in pubs, clubs and other places to spread the virus then it stands to reason the difference is barely noticeable.

That isn't what it's saying.
"The University College London team says keeping pupils off has little impact, even with other lockdown measures."
(from the BBC's reporting of it)

pip08456 07-04-2020 08:59

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36030704)
That isn't what it's saying.
"The University College London team says keeping pupils off has little impact, even with other lockdown measures."
(from the BBC's reporting of it)

Seems to contradict itself then.

Quote:

“While school closure as a measure on its own is predicted to have a limited effectiveness in controlling Covid-19 transmission, when combined with intense social distancing it plays an important role in severing remaining contacts between households and thus ensuring transmission declines.

jfman 07-04-2020 09:26

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
The problem is the BBC haven't interpreted the research correctly and published a line based on that.

Now, more than ever, we need to ensure messaging is right on this. Yet the average person reading that article could reasonably decide to let their kids play with other kids in the street/neighbourhood (doesn't really matter does it?) completely undermining the monumental effort that the NHS, Government, police and everyone else involved are putting into this.

Less compliance = longer lockdown because the figures won't support weakening measures. I want to get to the pub as much as the next bloke, preferably sooner.

Maggy 07-04-2020 09:33

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Well it's all a little bit late..

nomadking 07-04-2020 09:38

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
A central problem with these studies is that they use very different types of societies to make comparisons. This study uses schools in China, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Not sure behaviour of schoolkids in China is going to be comparable to those in the UK.

tweetiepooh 07-04-2020 09:58

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
There is a big difference in the UK between primary schools where parents congregate to pick up their children and secondary where kids wouldn't be seen dead with their parents and make their own way home.
Also primary kids tend to sit closer and group closer than secondary who probably keep social distancing as a norm (until the happy hormones kick in).

More detail is needed to look at transmission between kids and the carrying to others of their interactions. If it can be proven that children (in a certain age group) don't act as good vectors for the virus MAYBE some options can be given but it's always the outliers that can cause problems and it's better to err on the side of safety.

Prayers going up for our PM.

downquark1 07-04-2020 10:13

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Seeing some good theories on how the virus works starting to fit together. They think it causes the red blood cells to dump their iron in the lungs (which is very toxic) and this can be mitigated with vitamin c or prevented with the Malaria drug Trump keeps recommending.*

*All early days theories so far.

Maggy 07-04-2020 10:19

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
All I know is that trying to socially distance an entire school would be impossible. There's no classroom big enough.

mrmistoffelees 07-04-2020 10:20

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by downquark1 (Post 36030713)
Seeing some good theories on how the virus works starting to fit together. They think it causes the red blood cells to dump their iron in the lungs (which is very toxic) and this can be mitigated with vitamin c or prevented with the Malaria drug Trump keeps recommending.*

*All early days theories so far.

Some interesting theories regarding cytokine storms and they part that may be playing.

jonbxx 07-04-2020 10:23

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36030712)
More detail is needed to look at transmission between kids and the carrying to others of their interactions. If it can be proven that children (in a certain age group) don't act as good vectors for the virus MAYBE some options can be given but it's always the outliers that can cause problems and it's better to err on the side of safety.

Prayers going up for our PM.

That's pretty much what the original paper said in their conclusions;

Quote:

More research is urgently needed on the effectiveness of school closures and other school social distancing practices to inform policies related to COVID-19. We also need more detailed knowledge about how COVID-19 affects children and young people, as the role of school measures in reducing COVID-19 transmission depends on the susceptibility of children to infection and their infectiousness once infected.
Original paper link

The original paper is pretty good at saying what s not currently known as well as what is known. The big issues seem to be that schools are not shut in isolation, other things tend to be shut at the same time either deliberately or by consequence of people having to stay at home to look after their kids.

A lot of the data in that paper are from studies of SARS as COVID-19 is just too new. If COVID-19 behaves like SARS, then it appears that transmission in children is low as they are generally asymptomatic or have very mild symptoms and so are less likely to spread the disease (R0<1) unlike influenza infections that are rapidly spread by children.

Epidemiologists will be looking very closely at countries that are starting or will shortly start to open their schools again such as China and Denmark

heero_yuy 07-04-2020 11:05

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Quote from The Sun: "The moral question is how to weigh up what does the most harm," Michael Buerk, host of Radio 4's Moral Maze, tells Sun Online.

"Put crudely, is it worth blighting the lives of the many to save the relatively few, most of whom might not have much longer to live anyway?"

While he says it may be a "heartless calculation" to have to make at any time, especially when it's your own family member, he says it's something doctors face every day.
An interesting piece and well worth the read.

denphone 07-04-2020 11:06

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Michael Gove is now reported to be self-isolating because a member of his family has displayed symptoms of coronavirus.

https://twitter.com/bbclaurak/status...64344151089155

jfman 07-04-2020 11:09

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36030721)
An interesting piece and well worth the read.

Yeah let's pull the plug on Boris now and just open the pubs.

mrmistoffelees 07-04-2020 11:17

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36030721)
An interesting piece and well worth the read.

Sorry, that's utter gutter journalism from the Sun as usual.

Pretty much all of those scenarios are answered in a black and white manneer when the answers to most of those questions are a grey cloud.

Chris 07-04-2020 11:21

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36030715)
All I know is that trying to socially distance an entire school would be impossible. There's no classroom big enough.

Missus is absolutely fuming at the story on the BBC this morning (here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-52180783 ). Professor Viner, it seems, hasn’t visited a school since he passed his A levels, if he thinks social distancing can be enforced with even half the kids in attendance or by “banning playtimes”. Even I know that banning playtime just makes the kids harder to control as the day progresses.

It’s a classic example of research by scientists who are great with statistics but don’t have much clue how humans (and especially children) actually behave.

---------- Post added at 11:21 ---------- Previous post was at 11:18 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36030725)
Sorry, that's utter gutter journalism from the Sun as usual.

Pretty much all of those scenarios are answered in a black and white manneer when the answers to most of those questions are a grey cloud.

To be fair, an essay on the relative merits of deontology and consequentialism as ethical schemes would be a bit pointless in your Soaraway Sun.

Carth 07-04-2020 11:22

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030726)
It’s a classic example of research by scientists who are great with statistics but don’t have much clue how humans (and especially children) actually behave.

Yep, almost everything works on paper, but add in the variables encountered in 'real life' and . . .

OLD BOY 07-04-2020 11:44

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030689)
Dreadful news for all who know him and not the best news for the UK, although constitutionally he isn’t an executive president and there doesn’t have to be an election if the worst happens. The Tories are pretty good in a crisis and I reckon the 1922 committee would crown a successor pretty quickly.

Let’s not dwell on that though. I have a friend who was in and out of the ICU twice with C19 and he has pulled through. Going into intensive care isn’t the death knell and there’s still every reason to believe he will pull through. Here’s wishing him a speedy recovery anyway. :tu:

Only 50% of coronavirus patients have been surviving intensive care. 54% at Boris's age group, apparently.

denphone 07-04-2020 11:52

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36030733)
Only 50% of coronavirus patients have been surviving intensive care. 54% at Boris's age group, apparently.

Boris Johnson is a pretty fit man for his age OB so there is a very good chance he will pull through.

l don't like to mention my own health experiences too much but l have pulled through several times so l am very confident he will pull through.

He is not on a ventilator which is a good sign.

jonbxx 07-04-2020 12:16

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36030726)
It’s a classic example of research by scientists who are great with statistics but don’t have much clue how humans (and especially children) actually behave.

You might want to check the original paper that I linked up the page a bit. The work he published cites back to previous studies around the SARS outbreak and previous influenza outbreaks which showed little transmission in children and suggested that the effect of closing schools in isolation is limited.

Of course, school are never closed in isolation and one big side effect of closing schools is that it forced a significant part of the population to work from home or not work at all to look after their children. This has great social distancing impact but also an economic impact as, in the UK, 16% of the workforce are primary caregivers of children of school age.

Taiwan learned from SARS in 2003 and implemented social distancing in schools during the 2009 H1N1 influenza outbreak with some success and might provide a model for future reopening. Influenza is somewhat different to Coronavirus outbreaks as it spreads rapidly through children.

Russell Viners study is important as we go forward as it helps define the path back to normality. We will reopen schools, we will go back to work. The big questions are how and when - the famous 'exit strategy'

Chris 07-04-2020 12:32

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
I’m not questioning any of that. Simply the practicality of some of the specific suggestions Viners has made around the partial reopening of schools, which betray a complete lack of understanding of how British school premises are designed and utilised, and how children behave when they’re denied the chance to blow off steam in the playground.

Missus is volunteering at the local key workers school where the staff/pupil ratios, maximum room occupancy and other infection control measures are absolutely insane (in a good way). The building is a school with a capacity of a little under 200 and it is presently able to accommodate something like 40 children in order for social distancing to be maintained.

Russ 07-04-2020 12:43

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
I hope he pulls through quickly and with minimal (if any) complications but his current situation does not change how much I can't stand the fat lying so-and-so.

1andrew1 07-04-2020 12:55

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36030737)
Boris Johnson is a pretty fit man for his age OB so there is a very good chance he will pull through.

l don't like to mention my own health experiences too much but l have pulled through several times so l am very confident he will pull through.

He is not on a ventilator which is a good sign.

I'm confident of his fitness but suspect he got a heavy dose as his line of work meant he was meeting and being with lots of different potential carriers day in, day out. The fact that he's not on a ventilator is a very positive sign.

When he does recover, I am sure he will also be deservedly resting up for a few weeks to fully recuperate.

Mick 07-04-2020 12:58

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
BREAKING: Prime Ministers official spokesman has given an update this lunchtime on PM's health condition. Says Boris remains stable, has received Standard Oxygen treatment, he is not on a ventilator and is not receiving any invasive respiratory assistance.

OLD BOY 07-04-2020 13:17

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Russ (Post 36030741)
I hope he pulls through quickly and with minimal (if any) complications but his current situation does not change how much I can't stand the fat lying so-and-so.

All politicians are liars, Ross. They have to be, because when they change their minds (as a result of the listening, as they are frequently told they must do) they are accused of doing u-turns. To cover up their earlier mistakes, they tend to be economical with the truth.

Trouble is, with the media of today, every piffling gaff is highligted in the most sensationalist way ever.

Boris does mean well, and that's why he is so popular with most. He's human.

Russ 07-04-2020 13:22

Re: Coronavirus: PM Boris Johnson in Intensive Care
 
*Russ

Yes, I know they’re all liars but this particular MP has a track records of being caught out with his lies and also happens to be in charge of running the country. I think the only way he means well is when he and his millionaire chums benefit.

Either way, I do hope he pulls through the CV.


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