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Looks like Hammond and allies believe they have enough numbers so the unelected Australian Cummings v democratically-elected British Parliament battle is on!
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Justine Greening will not be standing for the Conservatives at the next election.
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An interesting piece of speculation from the BBC’s Norman Smith this morning. If, as is sounding increasingly likely, the no-no-deal bill passes and Labour then refuses to support Boris’ call for a general election, Boris could go to the European Council on 17 October and, as mandated, ask for an extension to Art.50. Then, as a member of the European Council, he could veto the granting of an extension. :rofl:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-49557734 |
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Just beat me to it- interesting approach.
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I wonder whether Norm came up with that idea himself, or if he’s being fed by a No.10 source. The latter, I suspect. There are a lot of mind games being played this morning, seemingly to underscore the futility of opposing Boris on this. He was quite emphatic that he wouldn’t ask for an article 50 extension yesterday ... politicians are rarely so explicit. Yet it is still much, much easier for Boris in the immediate term if the bill falls and there isn’t an election before 31 October. The government clearly wants rebels to see the pointlessness and futility of sacrificing their careers on a gesture that ultimately won’t change anything.
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-49557734 @11:03
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According to Sky's Sam Coates.
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If the backstop were triggered, it would be entirely possible for the UK to be kept in a form of associate membership of the EU, yet without voting privileges or representation, simply by the EU’s refusal to allow us to leave. Given that these circumstances would most likely transpire in the middle of trade deal negotiations, there is a very clear and obvious incentive for the EU to hold the backstop over the UK government as a means of extracting concessions. The backstop is absolutely absurd and intolerable to any sovereign democratic state. |
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Withdrawal Agreement pages 305&308 Quote:
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1) The government doesn't really have a majority, especially if it removes the whip from rebels - they've got nothing to lose if they're going to be de-selected (bit of an own-goal, that one...) 2) Any bill to revoke the FTPA would be amendable. 3) It would have to go through the Lords, so it might take some time to call an election. Of course, it could be done by government calling a vote of no confidence in the government. It’s "you couldn’t make it up territory"... https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/09/1.jpg |
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However, the EU have been quite clear that they don't want the backstop, but for them it has to exist to protect the integrity of their single market and customs union. The alternative is a hard border that all other 3rd party countries have with the EU where an agreement does not exist, and that then violates the Good Friday Agreement. Quote:
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The objection about the date sounds like little more than a convenient excuse. A General Election (2019) Bill would smoke them out. It would also require only a simple majority to pass. |
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You have to be careful with setting the date in law as then Parliament can’t change it. The reason the PM has the power to change it is in case there is an emergency. Such as a terrorist attack, and so it would be better to delay a week or so.
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Re: PM Boris forms a government
Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall · 1m BREAKING: Philip Lee crosses the floor and joins the Lib Dems. The government now has a majority of -1. |
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Brexit really is the gift that keeps on giving, isn’t it. There’s been enough this year to last a political anorak a lifetime, and it’s not over yet.
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It's compelling viewing. That and a recession house price collapse is all good news for anyone that enjoys chaos.
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So we have Red Momentum on one side and Blue Momentum on the other. Johnson is pushing through the demise of the Tory party as was so there is an up side to all of this. In the same way, the Labour of old was taken over by radicals & activists, the Tory party has gone the same way. We just need someone with a modest amount of talent and no baggage to sweep up the vacant centre ground. It is a political open goal at the moment. .. orders more popcorn ... |
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I think an election is absolutely inevitable and now necessary.
Then all those conservatives that don't wish to stand under Johnson, and his Brexit manifesto, can do the honourable thing and decline to stand and al those that defected to Lib-Dems or as independents can stand again against a new conservative candidate, and put their case to the electorate. Corbyn has done nothing but demand another election since 2017, so if one was offered it would be amazing if he didn't back it. |
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As far as chaos goes, well so far the chaos has spread no further than the Westminster bubble, and they’re quite welcome to it. For most of the last 20 years our politics has been anodyne and centrist, managerial in nature and lacking in conviction. We at last have new dividing lines that have forced our politicians to decide which side of the house they’re on and we have a very clear choice between Corbyn and Johnson. All other predictions of chaos are, and remain until proven otherwise, nothing more than the wet dreams of remainers who still don’t accept they lost the referendum. ---------- Post added at 16:53 ---------- Previous post was at 16:50 ---------- Quote:
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There ISN'T a deal on the table to accept or refuse. At most is a DELAY of just over a year. Anything that is supposed to happen on Nov 1st 2019, would happen anyway on Jan 1st 2021. The hypocrites are the ones that say "no to no deal" when there isn't a deal as an alternative, and even said no to the Withdrawal Agreement. How on earth can you say "no to no X", when there is no X? Just not possible. |
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IIRC many of the ERG including JRM, did eventually compromise and reluctantly vote for May's deal. If there is an election, there will be a manifesto. Depending what is in that manifesto, Tory candidates can decide if they want to stand up for it. ---------- Post added at 17:30 ---------- Previous post was at 17:24 ---------- Quote:
It is Remain, an extension means nothing. The Withdrawl Agreement has been comprehensively rejected by Parliament, no other deal is on offer. An election is required in order to return a government that has a majority and united under a manifesto that promises to Leave with or without a deal. It is a massive risk, another hung parliament is very probable. The difference this time around however is. a) the Brexit Party b) a resurgent Lib Dems ---------- Post added at 17:40 ---------- Previous post was at 17:30 ---------- Quote:
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Interesting...
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If you know what you want and what your prepared give, you only need a team of 1. |
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I am a Remainer and I wanted May's Deal to pass. It wasn't perfect at all and much of it left me unhappy. It wasn't EEA for example. But it wasn't No Deal. It gave us a two year period to get something else in place, and we'll eventually have to deal with the EU first anyway, and it gave some degree of confidence to the country. It helps us move on a bit too. I hope Boris Johnson gets some, even cosmetic, details on the backstop that gets the deal though. |
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Not been part of major multi-billion negotiations, have you? It’s not like asking for 10% discount for cash in Currys... |
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They don't have another idea. Because there isn't one. If you don't have a customs union or agreement of some sort then there has to be a border with another country. That's it. There isn't any technological solution out there yet. People can say 'blockchain', 'AI' and 'the cloud' as much as they like but none of that tells us how you get around the prospect of regulatory divergence in a region there you want products to flow back and forth unchecked. Therefore the Government must, just has to have, one of the following planned:
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Even if Boris navigates around the Backstop his problem is that Labour, if they revert to type, will just block anything that is put before them. The only way Brexit happens is with a Government with a majority and a membership fully behind them. The only way of getting that is a GE. No guarantees though. The funny thing is though the 2017 election, May tried to make about Brexit, but Labour made it about other issues and stole the initiative. However, this election - if it happens will be squarely about Brexit. ---------- Post added at 21:10 ---------- Previous post was at 21:05 ---------- Quote:
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The complexity involved in negotiating deals for thousands of different tracks that Brexit involves would be vastly more than any I was involved in, and I recognise this - you think it could be done by 1 person. How many negotiations involving 10s of millions have you been involved? Re your iPad example - Apple don’t discount on new iPads; they don’t need to (speaking as someone who bought 3000 in one go for a University, using our Procurement professionals); they can sell as many as they want at full price, they don’t need to discount. |
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There is a chance that Dominic Cummings' approach to politics doesn't work when it comes to campaigns based on a group that needs to exist past a single election. The withdrawing of the whip and the aggressive approach to the party.
This is from Tim Shipman who is a Times Political Reporter and one of the best reporters on Brexit having written two authoritive books on the referendum and the subsequent May-called election: https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/...38852200976384 Quote:
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government loses vote by majority of 27
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More rebels than expected.
---------- Post added at 22:15 ---------- Previous post was at 22:13 ---------- Labour looks to be refusing to allow the election until the No Deal bill goes though |
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I’d give you a job. Make sure post something inspirational too. Quote:
In my humble career, I have been involved in several negotiations, admittedly only worth millions not billions. I am not a negotiator, I am one of the SME’s that you mention. But in each case the whole team has been no bigger 4-5, and that consisted of the negotiator, the SME, the Lawyer and 2no. Money men. Quote:
Best one was a mediation, to avoid a court situation and that involved just 3 of us. SME, Lawyer and Accountant. Settled for a few million. Sorry if that’s not big enough in the trouser dept for you. Quote:
For a multi-million pound negotiator- you don’t come across as that switched on - if you don’t mind me saying. |
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Pierre has had enough of experts!
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The following Tory MPs look no longer to be Tory MPs:
- Guto Bebb - Richard Benyon - Steve Brine - Alistair Burt - Greg Clarke - Ken Clarke - David Gauke - Justine Greening - Dominic Grieve - Sam Gymiah - Philip Hammond - Stephen Hammond - Richard Harrington - Margot James - Oliver Letwin - Anne Milton - Caroline Noakes - Antionette Sandbach - Sir Nicholas Soames - Rory Stewart - Ed Vaizey |
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Although now looks like they'll Remain? Leadsom has said they can stay if they vote for an election. Looks like they called Boris' bluff.
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If Corbyn doesn’t go for it, he’s a jockey of the order of the knob. But why would that surprise you? |
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It's tactics in the end. He knows as well as anyway that these are the circumstances in which Boris Johnson wants to call an election. He is probably wary of that.
---------- Post added at 22:44 ---------- Previous post was at 22:42 ---------- No 10 confirms those MPs will have the whip withdrawn. Philip Hammond, Ken Clarke, Nicholas Soames, Rory Stewart and Oliver Letwin are no longer Tory MPs along with 16 more. |
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The absurd dog’s breakfast that is the Fixed Term Parliament Act has got to go. In any other time, a defeat like this (or the sudden loss of a working majority) would rightly have been construed as a confidence issue and any previous PM would have been perfectly correct to call an immediate election. Amidst all the breathless claims about the death of democracy, the democrats seem to have forgotten that just about the oldest convention of them all is that parliament lets the government govern. It does not attempt to control the normal process of government via statute and it does not attempt to keep a government in place that can no longer function.
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I don't 'do' politics, so freely admit that much of the aforementioned stuff is well over my head and beyond comprehension.
What I do understand though, is that they're all backstabbing and shuffling about forming cliques instead of sitting down and discussing how to get the deal they all want so much . . I'll go as far as saying it's akin to trade unions of the 70's :shocked: |
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The trouble is most MPs don't want a deal because they want to remain. So the also reject the default no deal.
They also don't want a GE as they know full well we will routed from parliament. |
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From BBC's Nick Robinson:
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I applaud the 21 Tory MP's who put Country before Party. I thought the age of principles in politics had passed. They went through the due diligence and asked Johnson face-to-face if he had anything to offer as a deal and if he had made any progress in the backstop alternative and they concluded, correctly as Cummins himself confirmed, the whole negotiation line is a sham. What this does imply is that unless Johnson does the No Deal election pact with the devil (Farage), the Tories will be very vulnerable in seats where Tory voters are more moderately aligned. If you then throw in possible opposition party collaboration then a Tory majority is not assured. ---------- Post added at 08:33 ---------- Previous post was at 08:31 ---------- Quote:
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I am not too concerned about the opposition getting a law through to ban a no deal because I fully expect Boris to be able to win the election with a comfortable majority. He is a popular politician and will win over a significant number of voters who would not have voted for the last two Tory leaders. Assuming he does get in with a workable majority and no turncoats in his number, he will be able to withdraw the 'no to no deal' legislation with his new found majority. |
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Scottish court decision.
The prorogation of parliament by the Prime Minister is not a matter for the courts. |
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It was always going to be appealed either way.
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:rofl: :rofl: :rofl:
Of course it isn’t. It’s a matter for the Queen, on advice from her Prime Minister, whose judgement is itself judged by those who support him in parliament, whose judgement is in turn judged by the electorate. Not that I expect the self-important lot who brought the action to leave it there. It is going to end up in the Supreme Court no matter what. |
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His judgement is that it is a question for the electorate, and also that the government has not broken any law. |
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North Korea will soon announce of new system of full democracy. Voters can vote what ever way they want, but if North Korean leader Kim Jong-un doesn't agree with the result, it is overturned and not allowed. In the US the Democrats seem to also want that system.
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And all those dictators that were demanding democracy and an election 5 mins ago, now no longer wish to give one to us. |
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I'm waiting for the general election when boris gets back in and then the crazy people can all stand up in arms and protest that it wasn't a fair result and they want another one because it's not what they voted for.
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Theo Usherwood
@theousherwood · 48s Legislation to force Boris Johnson back to Brussels to delay Brexit until January 31st clears second reading: Ayes: 329 Noes: 300 Rebel majority: 29 Another Conservative MP rebels? If so, somebody else can expect to lose the whip. |
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Caroline Spelman, who voted with the government yesterday... |
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Bank of England: No-deal Brexit not as bad as we predicted
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In other words, now it looks like it’s going to happen and there’s little point continuing Project Fear, they want to try to put on record a prediction that’s probably closer to the truth, in the hope that everyone remembers that prediction and not the blood-curdling nonsense they’ve been putting out for the last 3 years.
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Boris proposed to the 1922 Committee an all Ireland agrifood zone. Haha.
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I think the title of this thread should be changed: Boris Forms a Government... Ha, Ha, Ha.
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Given the way they calculate how many (few) hours a week you need to work in order to qualify as 'employed', I doubt very much that the unemployment figures will rise to anything that comes remotely near 7% . . . unless they decide to move the goalposts again for . . . reasons :rolleyes:
oh, and two words to note in one of the quotes above are: MAY and PEAK . . . which actually leaves a big area below that |
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Thankyou Hugh ;)
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-49578400 |
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Well Parliament have killed any negotiations for any kind of deal.
No doubt they’ll decline a General Election too. Which achieves what, exactly? Proof that Parliament is arrogant and believes it is above the people from which it garners its executive power. Whenever the election is, the forgotten 17.4 million people that have been ignored, will speak again, no doubt. |
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hmm, I'm pretty sure . . no I'm definite . . that that wasn't what I was 'whinging' about but you carry on mate :p: ---------- Post added at 20:13 ---------- Previous post was at 20:11 ---------- Quote:
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Go on then, post the figures relating to zero hour contracts :rolleyes:
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We’ll see what the nation think of this, as when we get an election. I doubt it will be pretty. Quote:
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Central to it all is:- Link Quote:
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nope, not what I suggested either. Feel free to keep guessing though :D |
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There isn't a deal on the table, and why should we simply be forced to accept whatever the EU decides to offer us? Imagine a trade union dispute, where the union says to the employer "we'll accept whatever you choose to offer", and the reply comes back "what about a 20% pay cut", and the union is forced to say yes to that. Then also imagine that prior to the dispute the union said that they would never go on strike or work to rule or anything like that. That is effectively what May and the Remainers have said to the EU. That is why the EU is being obstructive. They know the Remainers are on their side. |
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https://www.itv.com/news/2019-09-02/...en-from-space/ |
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I hope BoJo finds a way to circumnavigate this undemocratic and handicapping half arsed legislation. |
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