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Damien 23-05-2019 22:16

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 35996021)
I thought nothing was allowed that could influence the vote in other countries that don't vote up until Sunday.

Clearly not if the Netherlands have Exit polls being reported on before elections closed here (social democrats seem to have done well).

---------- Post added at 22:16 ---------- Previous post was at 22:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35996023)
Exit polls cost a fortune. They only happen when enough people give a toss for it to be worth Sky, the BBC and ITV’s while to club together.

Given the interest in these elections and the ongoing drama of Brexit, the Conservative Party and general basket case of politics at the moment you would think they would have commissioned Exit polls for this election.

My assumption was that something about UK law means we do not report until polls close everywhere...

Chris 23-05-2019 22:19

Re: Brexit
 
The Scottish independence referendum didn’t get one. IIRC the EU one didn’t either. I think we only get them for general elections in the UK.

Damien 23-05-2019 22:43

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35996027)
The Scottish independence referendum didn’t get one. IIRC the EU one didn’t either. I think we only get them for general elections in the UK.

Referendums are harder to poll as they don't have a baseline from which to measure change. If there was another referendum (in either case, but Scotland might have to be quite soon) then they may have one because of the amount of data they have from the last referendum. They can then set up in demographically relevant areas to attempt to judge any change in mood.

In 2016 they could have had a 39 year old white male in Oldham saying he voted Remain but what good does that do them? However if they knew what this demographic did in this area in a prior referendum then a picture starts to be built.

---------- Post added at 22:43 ---------- Previous post was at 22:34 ----------

Pollsters probably hate referendums and popular votes anyway because of the binary nature of the result. You may only be 2% out but that's the difference between Remain or Leave and suddenly you look like an idiot. Wheres if you said it would be 56-44 and it was actually 58-42 then it looks like you got it almost spot in.

Angua 23-05-2019 23:05

Re: Brexit
 
I actually made 2 votes, my own by post and as proxy for my brother in the polling station.

OLD BOY 23-05-2019 23:18

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35996031)
I actually made 2 votes, my own by post and as proxy for my brother in the polling station.

Hopefully, they would have cancelled each other out! :D

Gavin78 24-05-2019 00:45

Re: Brexit
 
I wonder how many votes Russia had lol

nomadking 24-05-2019 00:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35996035)
I wonder how many votes Russia had lol

It's Labour supporters(or a particular group within that) that tend to have a couple of dozen voters per one-bedroom flat.

OLD BOY 24-05-2019 02:28

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 35996035)
I wonder how many votes Russia had lol

I'm sure Mr Kremlin can clarify that! :D

denphone 24-05-2019 10:06

Re: Brexit
 
Theresa May announces her Departure date as 7th June..

pip08456 24-05-2019 10:07

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35996047)
Theresa May announces Departure date as 7th June..

Friday 7th June.

OLD BOY 24-05-2019 10:39

Re: Brexit
 
Good. Then we can start work on the hard Brexit that is necessary to get us out of the EU.

mrmistoffelees 24-05-2019 10:44

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35996058)
Good. Then we can start work on the hard Brexit that is necessary to get us out of the EU.

Which IMO isn't going to happen..... The only way we will perform a hard brexit is if the EU decide they have had enough. It won't be instigated by HM government.

Taf 24-05-2019 10:46

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35996047)
Theresa May announces her Departure date as 7th June..

Straight onto a large ex-PM's pension... :mad:

Damien 24-05-2019 10:55

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 35996061)
Straight onto a large ex-PM's pension... :mad:

Don't really see the problem with that. It's not like she has been corrupt or anything.

Pierre 24-05-2019 10:58

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 35996060)
Which IMO isn't going to happen..... The only way we will perform a hard brexit is if the EU decide they have had enough. It won't be instigated by HM government.

It could, but it would have to be following a general election with Tories winning with a thumping majority and all MPs voting with the whip.

So not anytime soon.


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