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OLD BOY 13-04-2019 20:08

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991152)
What's with the word police? We all knew what the post meant. Maybe he should have used an obscure french word instead :)

---------- Post added at 17:09 ---------- Previous post was at 16:59 ----------



A contradiction surely.

He 1) doesn't support his constituents (against Remain), 2) he doesn't support his country (for Hard Brexit) and 3) he does not support his party (voted against Mrs May)

Apart from this, he is a great MP ...

The only true bit about this comment is (1), because it is correct to say that the majority of his constituents voted to remain. However, as most thinking people appreciate, the electorate was promised that the result of the referendum would be honoured. Clearly, he is an honorable man because he is trying to honour that promise.

As for (2), there are many Brexiteers who do not agree with the pessimistic view that leaving without a deal would be a disaster, because it would not be. Rather, it would give us the opportunity to trade on our own terms, free from EU tariff policies, suffocating bureaucracy and legislation which hampers businesses' ability to function.

And in relation to (3), it is perfectly honorable to Brexit without being closely tied to EU policies and obligations as it is to have a bridging arrangement to smooth the transition.

Both the ERG and Theresa May are trying to help us leave the EU. The true disrupters are the remainers who are trying to prevent the will of the electorate. Shame on them.

---------- Post added at 20:08 ---------- Previous post was at 20:04 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991130)
The register of members interests will show that, all of those I've named, make far more from outside activity than they do from being an MP. I don't think that's an astonishing accusation in any way. It's a matter of public record.

Being a rational capitalist that I am if I had two jobs and one paid me four times the other, regardless of time commitment required, I know which I'd have more 'focus' on when it came to legislating on economic matters.

They get paid for their expertise. Can you justify your comment that those being paid from outside activity are doing less than those who don't?

As a Redwood constituent, I can tell you that I have raised a number of issues with him and received prompt and helpful responses. Xso I think your perception is completely wrong. Some people have an enormous capacity for work.

jfman 13-04-2019 20:12

Re: Brexit
 
suffocating bureaucracy and legislation which hampers businesses' ability to function.

That sounds more like trading on WTO rules with the largest single market in the world that just happens to be on your doorstep.

---------- Post added at 20:12 ---------- Previous post was at 20:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY
They get paid for their expertise. Can you justify your comment that those being paid from outside activity are doing less than those who don't?

As a Redwood constituent, I can tell you that I have raised a number of issues with him and received prompt and helpful responses. Xso I think your perception is completely wrong. Some people have an enormous capacity for work.

There’s no requirement for me to justify comments I didn’t make, although it doesn’t surprise me you are getting into contortions trying to twist my words. :)

OLD BOY 13-04-2019 20:17

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991181)
More money in the hands of the few is not equal to making the country a better place. It’s only the way public services are funded if income and profits are effectively (and progressively) taxed. Something we know it isn’t.

We rely on businessmen to bring money into the country. If you want to tax them until the pips squeak, they will simply move elsewhere. This is something socialists simply don't want to address. It's the politics of jealousy promoted by those without a clue.

---------- Post added at 20:17 ---------- Previous post was at 20:14 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991189)
suffocating bureaucracy and legislation which hampers businesses' ability to function.

That sounds more like trading on WTO rules with the largest single market in the world that just happens to be on your doorstep.

---------- Post added at 20:12 ---------- Previous post was at 20:09 ----------



There’s no requirement for me to justify comments I didn’t make, although it doesn’t surprise me you are getting into contortions trying to twist my words. :)

Well, that was the implication as I read it. OK, I'll humour you. What did you really mean to imply, then?

As for WTO rules, they are clearly liberating compared with EU legislation.

jfman 13-04-2019 20:18

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991191)
We rely on businessmen to bring money into the country. If you want to tax them until the pips squeak, they will simply move elsewhere. This is something socialists simply don't want to address. It's the politics of jealousy promoted by those without a clue.

You’re making the false assumption that everyone can just up sticks, move somewhere else and make similar income/profits doing equivalent roles elsewhere. That’s very unlikely to be true for the vast majority of “businessmen”.

You’ve also personalised it, ignoring the big global companies who make huge profits from UK consumers and pay minimal tax here.

Quote:

Well, that was the implication as I read it. OK, I'll humour you. What did you really mean to imply, then?
It’s not my obligation to explain my posts in greater detail because you fail to understand them.

Quote:

As for WTO rules, they are clearly liberating compared with EU legislation.
So liberating very few countries trade on those terms.

Dave42 13-04-2019 20:30

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991191)
We rely on businessmen to bring money into the country. If you want to tax them until the pips squeak, they will simply move elsewhere. This is something socialists simply don't want to address. It's the politics of jealousy promoted by those without a clue.

---------- Post added at 20:17 ---------- Previous post was at 20:14 ----------



Well, that was the implication as I read it. OK, I'll humour you. What did you really mean to imply, then?

As for WTO rules, they are clearly liberating compared with EU legislation.

is that why only 1 country in world trade only on them OB

jfman 13-04-2019 20:34

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 35991195)
is that why only 1 country in world trade only on them OB

I found this quote:

Quote:

For those of you not familiar with Mauritania, it’s GDP is $4,714million (0.2% of the UK’s), 50% of its exports consist of Iron Ore, and between 1% and 17% of the population still live in slavery.
Maybe that’s the plan. Reduce wages in the UK in real terms until 17% of us are slaves.

Pierre 13-04-2019 22:20

Re: Brexit
 
This is from a few weeks ago, but Henning articulates perfectly why a second vote would not necessarily go the way advocates for it think.

https://www.facebook.com/locbrexit/v...945300?sfns=mo

jfman 13-04-2019 23:01

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35991201)
This is from a few weeks ago, but Henning articulates perfectly why a second vote would not necessarily go the way advocates for it think.

https://www.facebook.com/locbrexit/v...945300?sfns=mo

I counted 116 people in the audience. 6 had changed their mind, each would represent 0.86%. Obviously we don’t know in which direction, but that’s the fine margin in which the referendum was won and lost.

1andrew1 13-04-2019 23:22

Re: Brexit
 
Looks like the prediction that a vote for Brexit could let in Corbyn could well come true!
Quote:

Jeremy Corbyn is on course to sweep into No 10 after Theresa May failed to deliver on her promise to take the UK out of the EU by March 29, a major polling analysis reveals.
The Conservatives would lose 59 seats in the event of a general election, making Labour the largest party in the Commons, according to an exclusive poll of polls for The Sunday Telegraph.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...s-hand-corbyn/

jfman 14-04-2019 08:13

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991203)
Looks like the prediction that a vote for Brexit could let in Corbyn could well come true!

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...s-hand-corbyn/

The giveaway, as always, is antisemitism in the news. A story with more comebacks than Madonna.

Carth 14-04-2019 09:21

Re: Brexit
 
We're still in the EU . . still ruled by the EU . . yet blocked by the EU when it suits :rolleyes:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47921375

If we had left on March 29th would that 'pollution' bill still have to be paid?

When (if) we eventually leave, will we still be bound by the EU pollution rules, or free to carry on business as usual without this 'extra tax' on steelmaking (and other businesses) ?

Chris 14-04-2019 09:47

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35991215)
We're still in the EU . . still ruled by the EU . . yet blocked by the EU when it suits :rolleyes:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47921375

If we had left on March 29th would that 'pollution' bill still have to be paid?

When (if) we eventually leave, will we still be bound by the EU pollution rules, or free to carry on business as usual without this 'extra tax' on steelmaking (and other businesses) ?

The pollution credits are on temporary hold pending acceptance of the withdrawal agreement. It’s temporary, which is why the company feels able to ask HMG for such a massive loan - they will be able to pay it back in full reasonably quickly.

As part of Brexit, EU law is being written into UK law, so in the short to medium term the pollution credit system will continue. However, if we find the system doesn’t work for us (and if we don’t subsequently sign a Europe-wide pollution treaty at some later date) then we will be free to change or abandon the pollution credit scheme altogether.

Again, just one of the many benefits of Brexit. Once we are no longer treaty bound to accept the entire body of EU law, we have sovereign freedom to decide what is in our national interest and what isn’t.

Carth 14-04-2019 10:05

Re: Brexit
 
Thanks Chris :tu:

1andrew1 14-04-2019 10:34

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991173)
On the contrary, Nige was the only reason many people voted UKIP last time. Had it not been for the toxicity of UKIP with its fanatical base, many more would have voted for them.

Nige has recognised this and formed his very own party. You have grossly underestimated Nigel Farage's popularity, but then again you are a remainer and presumably mix socially with remainers.

I think Nigel is a skilled orator whom the BBC, in particular, seem to love to give airtime to. Calling his new party the Brexit Party is a clever move. If you want to vote Brexit, put that on your form. If you want to vote Remain, do you vote Labour, Green, Change UK (if a party by then) or Liberal Democrat? And that's without mentioning the SNP or Plaid Cymru!
I suspect Damien's social circles are like most people's and include people who voted leave, remain and abstained

GrimUpNorth 14-04-2019 11:03

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 007stuart (Post 35991156)
Chris after your kind words on my post can you help GrimUpNorth with his sentence?

Wasn't he a big meat eater? ( The temptation to say meet, and I know it's steak )
!
---------- Post added at 11:03 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35991158)
Stake = tent peg
State = territory, defined politically

Where are the punctuation police?

Now I'll get back on topic!

ianch99 14-04-2019 11:09

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991168)
A shallow reply from you.

John Redwood has consistently campaigned against the EU's hegemony. He has consistently supported the concept of a Common Market. The electorate in his constituency have returned him to Parliament since 1987 fully knowing his position on the EU.

As you know, Brexit has turned everything on its head and your contribution is specious.

Shallow, specious? You need to get a perspective here. If they put a blue rosette on a hat stand, it would win Wokingham.

The individual you admire ignores the majority of his constituency's wishes, ignores the instructions of his party and ignores the real and present danger to the country of leaving without a deal.

I am puzzled why you admire him so?

Sephiroth 14-04-2019 12:59

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991226)
Shallow, specious? You need to get a perspective here. If they put a blue rosette on a hat stand, it would win Wokingham.

The individual you admire ignores the majority of his constituency's wishes, ignores the instructions of his party and ignores the real and present danger to the country of leaving without a deal.

I am puzzled why you admire him so?

Haven’t you read what I’ve said? JR has been voted in at Wokingham by people in the full knowledge of his EU views. They like him.

As to ignoring party stuff in Parliament, the guvmin’s mess is such that no Brexit respecting Tory MP would be worth a candle if they followed May’s whip.

As to no deal, you speak from a Remainer’s perspective; that should not be a basis for criticism of an excellent constituency MP.

Your puzzlement is a ridiculous and gratuitous sentiment.



jfman 14-04-2019 13:01

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991228)
Haven’t you read what I’ve said? JR has been voted in at Wokingham by people in the full knowledge of his EU views. They like him.

As to ignoring party stuff in Parliament, the guvmin’s mess is such that no Brexit respecting Tory MP would be worth a candle if they followed May’s whip.

As to no deal, you speak from a Remainer’s perspective; that should not be a basis for criticism of an excellent constituency MP.

Your puzzlement is a ridiculous and gratuitous sentiment.



The same argument could be made for every remainer elected in 2017.

ianch99 14-04-2019 13:15

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991228)
Haven’t you read what I’ve said? JR has been voted in at Wokingham by people in the full knowledge of his EU views. They like him.

As to ignoring party stuff in Parliament, the guvmin’s mess is such that no Brexit respecting Tory MP would be worth a candle if they followed May’s whip.

As to no deal, you speak from a Remainer’s perspective; that should not be a basis for criticism of an excellent constituency MP.

Your puzzlement is a ridiculous and gratuitous sentiment.



Yup, I read it and you are (still) wrong. Redwood was voted in because he is a Tory. That's it. The only qualification needed was a blue rosette.

He clearly fails Churchill's three tests:

Quote:

The first duty of a member of Parliament is to do what he thinks in his faithful and disinterested judgement is right and necessary for the honour and safety of Great Britain. His second duty is to his constituents, of whom he is the representative but not the delegate. Burke's famous declaration on this subject is well known. It is only in the third place that his duty to party organization or programme takes rank. All these three loyalties should be observed, but there in no doubt of the order in which they stand under any healthy manifestation of democracy.

— Winston Churchill, Duties of a Member of Parliament (c.1954-1955)


---------- Post added at 13:15 ---------- Previous post was at 13:08 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hom3r (Post 35991183)
I was there to day outside Parliament Square.

The were stopping several groups merging.

---------- Post added at 19:56 ---------- Previous post was at 19:54 ----------

There is talk that Anna Sourbitch, and two other MPs are going to try and make a law banning negative comments against MPs.

if you can't handle the heat, I'm sure a shelf stacking job awaits

You have spelt her name wrong. Her name is Anna Soubry. In case you are not sure who I mean, she looks like this:

https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/04/4.jpg

1andrew1 14-04-2019 13:50

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991228)
Haven’t you read what I’ve said? JR has been voted in at Wokingham by people in the full knowledge of his EU views. They like him.

I've voted for MPs without worrying about their views on Europe as until now, it's been a non-issue at the elections I've voted in. It will clearly be an issue with MPs like Kate Hoey and John Redwood whose views on this issue are at odds with their constituents. Ditto Remain MPs in leave-voting areas, But an election might be a little way off.

Sephiroth 14-04-2019 14:42

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991233)
I've voted for MPs without worrying about their views on Europe as until now, it's been a non-issue at the elections I've voted in. It will clearly be an issue with MPs like Kate Hoey and John Redwood whose views on this issue are at odds with their constituents. Ditto Remain MPs in leave-voting areas, But an election might be a little way off.

You are rationalising without knowing anything about the constituency. I’ve canvassed on the doorstep and know what I’m talking about.

Your argument smacks of the typical Remainer’s rhetoric: the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now; ignoring that the leavers would have taken into account the forecasts of calamity in the guvmin;s brochure.

It would be better if you stuck to what you can substantiate.


1andrew1 14-04-2019 15:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991236)
You are rationalising without knowing anything about the constituency. I’ve canvassed on the doorstep and know what I’m talking about.

Your argument smacks of the typical Remainer’s rhetoric: the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now; ignoring that the leavers would have taken into account the forecasts of calamity in the guvmin;s brochure.

It would be better if you stuck to what you can substantiate.


Honoured as I am, I think you may have quoted my post instead of someone else's. ;)

Sephiroth 14-04-2019 15:33

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991238)
Honoured as I am, I think you may have quoted my post instead of someone else's. ;)

Honoured that you are honoured. I know what you mean but it was your post that I read and was moved to reply!

My reply is equally applicable to Ian!


1andrew1 14-04-2019 21:50

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991242)
Honoured that you are honoured. I know what you mean but it was your post that I read and was moved to reply!

My reply is equally applicable to Ian!


Joking aside, if you re-visit my post you will see that your comments aren't really relevant to my post.

For example your statements
- "the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now" doesn't make sense as I'm not talking about leavers, I've referenced the voting intentions of constituencies where the MP voted for/against Brexit in a different way to the majority of the constituents.
"You are rationalising without knowing anything about the constituency." I don't doubt your knowledge of the constituency as a resident, canvasser and friend of John Redwood's. However, I do think that sitting MPs in constituencies like his will be severely tested where their views on Brexit differ from that of their constituents if an election occurred soon. I've also made the point that this applies both ways, eg if there is a Remain MP in a Leave constituency.

Sephiroth 15-04-2019 07:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991255)
Joking aside, if you re-visit my post you will see that your comments aren't really relevant to my post.

For example your statements
- "the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now" doesn't make sense as I'm not talking about leavers, I've referenced the voting intentions of constituencies where the MP voted for/against Brexit in a different way to the majority of the constituents.
"You are rationalising without knowing anything about the constituency." I don't doubt your knowledge of the constituency as a resident, canvasser and friend of John Redwood's. However, I do think that sitting MPs in constituencies like his will be severely tested where their views on Brexit differ from that of their constituents if an election occurred soon. I've also made the point that this applies both ways, eg if there is a Remain MP in a Leave constituency.

’the leave voters didn’t know ...’ sentence wasn’t a statement of fact; it was part of a mindset comparison as to arguments used by Remainers in the context of difficulties facing MPs at odds with the Referendum result in their constituencies. It’s a sort of deep point assisting my arguments.

I’m being specific about Redwood; he was specifically mentioned as distinct from other Tories and balance needs tO be restored. Redwood is one of the Remainers’ targets and remember this part of the discussion started with an attack on his wealth in the context of being self serving.

Hom3r 15-04-2019 19:13

Re: Brexit
 
I was there on Saturday outside the house of [Mod Edit- derogatory term removed].

The TV studios had packed up and buggered off. The upside they taken that [Mod Edit- derogatory term removed] Steve with them.

There was zero TV coverage and the crowd was relatively behaved.

There was one incident near me when a few [Mod Edit- derogatory term removed] tried to start trouble but the police told them to leave.

There was also some Orangemen who marched up to the Cenotaph. Followed by a load of cops.

Perhaps if there had been trouble the Brexit Biased Corporation might have covered it.

There are now plans to do another protest on the 28th April, same day as the marathon.

Hugh 15-04-2019 20:46

Re: Brexit
 
Reminder of the opening post by Mick on the previous Brexit thread

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...ghlight=Brexit

Quote:

While opening a new thread on Brexit. It has been noticed over the last few days that, we seem to be falling back in to the pathetic child like arguments, using words such as "Remoaners and Brexstremists".

A person who voted to leave the EU and expects that result to be enacted and leave the EU in it's entirety, they are not a extreme or hard Brexiteer.

So therefore, do not use any kind of extra labeling that can be considered provocative by either side...

...1) Avoid using these provocative terms. Remember CF terms and conditions state members should not provoke other members.

Attitudes towards each other are also unacceptable. The team are sick of the constant same petty arguments day in, day out. Enough is enough. The back biting has to finally stop.

2) Act more civil towards other members, lose the bad attitudes.

Some members are also going ridiculously over old ground, for some reason discussing merits of either leaving or not leaving the EU. Brexit has now become law, the UK is leaving the EU.

As of 27/6/18, Prime Minister Theresa May is still indicating that the UK will be leaving the Customs Union and Single Market.

3) We need to start moving on, stop using Provocative terms towards each other. If this does not happen, this new thread will ultimately be closed (And the persons responsible for it's closure dealt with accordingly).

Inappropriate phrases removed - repetition will invoke the infraction system

Angua 16-04-2019 07:39

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991255)
Joking aside, if you re-visit my post you will see that your comments aren't really relevant to my post.

For example your statements
- "the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now" doesn't make sense as I'm not talking about leavers, I've referenced the voting intentions of constituencies where the MP voted for/against Brexit in a different way to the majority of the constituents.
"You are rationalising without knowing anything about the constituency." I don't doubt your knowledge of the constituency as a resident, canvasser and friend of John Redwood's. However, I do think that sitting MPs in constituencies like his will be severely tested where their views on Brexit differ from that of their constituents if an election occurred soon. I've also made the point that this applies both ways, eg if there is a Remain MP in a Leave constituency.

In reality I doubt it. The correct colour rosette voters seem unbothered, as the results in David Cameron's constituency attest. A remain voting parliamentary seat now has an ERG MP, elected twice due to the bi-election.

ianch99 16-04-2019 07:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35991333)
In reality I doubt it. The correct colour rosette voters seem unbothered, as the results in David Cameron's constituency attest. A remain voting parliamentary seat now has an ERG MP, elected twice due to the bi-election.

I'd change your post quickly if I were you ;)

Seriously, the point you make is the one that matters and is where the denial is. The current system, with the entrenched tribal loyalties on both sides delivers people like Redwood who feel at liberty to push their personal, skewed ideology in opposition to the best interests & wishes of their constituency, party and country.

OLD BOY 16-04-2019 07:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991334)
I'd change your post quickly if I were you ;)

Seriously, the point you make is the one that matters and is where the denial is. The current system, with the entrenched tribal loyalties on both sides delivers people like Redwood who feel at liberty to push their personal, skewed ideology in opposition to the best interests & wishes of their constituency, party and country.

No. He's carrying out the will of the electorate as voted for in a UK-wide referendum.

GrimUpNorth 16-04-2019 08:07

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991335)
No. He's carrying out the will of the electorate as voted for in a UK-wide referendum.

He long should an assumed mandate last? I ask because Dave felt it OK to ask the people 'despite' the last vote in the 70's.

ianch99 16-04-2019 09:50

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991335)
No. He's carrying out the will of the electorate as voted for in a UK-wide referendum.

Not his job, he is not part of the Government. His duties as an MP are clear and distinct ..

Sephiroth 16-04-2019 15:06

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991334)
I'd change your post quickly if I were you ;)

Seriously, the point you make is the one that matters and is where the denial is. The current system, with the entrenched tribal loyalties on both sides delivers people like Redwood who feel at liberty to push their personal, skewed ideology in opposition to the best interests & wishes of their constituency, party and country.

You once again go well OTT on Redwood.

He was elected in 1987 - are you certain he wanted to push a skewed ideology? He wants a sovereign UK - hardly a skewed ideology. eign that rubbish in, please.


1andrew1 16-04-2019 20:19

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991354)
You once again go well OTT on Redwood.

He was elected in 1987 - are you certain he wanted to push a skewed ideology? He wants a sovereign UK - hardly a skewed ideology. eign that rubbish in, please.


Seph, sometime's one's proximity and friendships can cloud one's judgments. Whatever Redwood's competence as a city investor, good friend and MP, his reputation has been tainted for lying about the public's views on Brexit.
Redwood: "So, you are flogging a dead horse with this agreement and the public is well ahead of you and the public accept, by a majority now that the best option is just to leave and offer them a free trade deal."
Channel 4 "That is not true. That is not true. John Redwood thank you very much. What you've just said is not true but thank you very much for joining us."
https://www.indy100.com/article/brex...murthy-8857691

Sephiroth 16-04-2019 20:35

Re: Brexit
 
One peccadillo does not make him a liar. He was mistaken. From the same interview, the unquestionable truth to the question as to why he did not support May's deal:

"Well, no we couldn't possibly do that because that isn't leaving. The deal is a massively expensive and long delay
.
Our manifesto promised that within two years the government would negotiate a future partnership as well as any withdrawal issues the EU wanted mentioned or leave without a deal.

Now we must keep our promise and I and my colleagues stand fully behind the manifesto.

We hoped our prime minister did and I would urge her tonight to join us in upholding the manifesto, taking us out proudly on April 12 and agreeing on any remaining things that need agreeing so we have a smooth exit.

There is no cliff edge. There is no disaster and we would have lots of money to spend and we need to spend the money urgently to give our economy a boost at a time when the German and French economies are ailing and the Italian economy is in recession.Well, no we couldn't possibly do that because that isn't leaving. The deal is a massively expensive and long delay.

Our manifesto promised that within two years the government would negotiate a future partnership as well as any withdrawal issues the EU wanted mentioned or leave without a deal.

Now we must keep our promise and I and my colleagues stand fully behind the manifesto.

We hoped our prime minister did and I would urge her tonight to join us in upholding the manifesto, taking us out proudly on April 12 and agreeing on any remaining things that need agreeing so we have a smooth exit.

There is no cliff edge. There is no disaster and we would have lots of money to spend and we need to spend the money urgently to give our economy a boost at a time when the German and French economies are ailing and the Italian economy is in recession."

1andrew1 16-04-2019 20:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991384)
One peccadillo does not make him a liar.

The body language in the interview to me suggests otherwise. But as he's a friend of yours I accept that you know him better so let's agree to disagree on this. ;)

ianch99 16-04-2019 21:42

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 35991354)
You once again go well OTT on Redwood.

He was elected in 1987 - are you certain he wanted to push a skewed ideology? He wants a sovereign UK - hardly a skewed ideology. eign that rubbish in, please.


Criticising anyone who want to risk the country's future who is driven by a faith-based ideology is not OTT, it is self preservation.

Show me the evidential, fact-based consensus that a No Deal brexit does not risk my children's future and we can have a debate. Until then, he is an idiot betraying his constituency, party and country.

Our elected representatives should make decisions based on reasoned, objective fact-based conclusions and not what they fantasise to be their free market, low tax, capitalist utopia.

Chris 16-04-2019 22:40

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991391)
Criticising anyone who want to risk the country's future who is driven by a faith-based ideology is not OTT, it is self preservation.

Show me the evidential, fact-based consensus that a No Deal brexit does not risk my children's future and we can have a debate. Until then, he is an idiot betraying his constituency, party and country.

Our elected representatives should make decisions based on reasoned, objective fact-based conclusions and not what they fantasise to be their free market, low tax, capitalist utopia.

There are a number of problems with this.

First of all, you’re asking him to prove a negative. The assertion is that No Deal Brexit is damaging and it is for those who believe it to make their case.

Second, if you think politics is merely a matter of drawing conclusions based on facts then you’ve been missing the point, and to be honest I’m curious how you would attempt explain the existence of at least three major parties, with three enormously different policy platforms, in the same Commons chamber.

Moral and ideological considerations are always at play in policy formation, as well they should be. There are no facts that exist in isolation and weighing them, and assigning importance to them, is a task for moral beings, not statistical machines.

Pierre 16-04-2019 22:53

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991391)
Show me the evidential, fact-based consensus that a No Deal brexit does not risk my children's future and we can have a debate. Until then, he is an idiot betraying his constituency, party and country.

Show me factually that staying in will not be to the detriment of my children’s future. You can’t because .....you can’t.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 06:53

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991342)
Not his job, he is not part of the Government. His duties as an MP are clear and distinct ..

He stood for election with a mandate to leave the EU. So in your opinion, it's ok to disregard that manifesto ciommitment? Of couse not, that would be the politics of deception.

So of course it was his job.

1andrew1 17-04-2019 07:16

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991404)
He stood for election with a mandate to leave the EU. So in your opinion, it's ok to disregard that manifesto ciommitment? Of couse not, that would be the politics of deception.

So of course it was his job.

He voted against the right for EU citizens to remain. By your rules, this makes him part of the politics of deception.

ianch99 17-04-2019 08:45

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35991396)
There are a number of problems with this.

First of all, you’re asking him to prove a negative. The assertion is that No Deal Brexit is damaging and it is for those who believe it to make their case.

Second, if you think politics is merely a matter of drawing conclusions based on facts then you’ve been missing the point, and to be honest I’m curious how you would attempt explain the existence of at least three major parties, with three enormously different policy platforms, in the same Commons chamber.

Moral and ideological considerations are always at play in policy formation, as well they should be. There are no facts that exist in isolation and weighing them, and assigning importance to them, is a task for moral beings, not statistical machines.

You are missing the point here. I am not making an arbitrary definition of the machinery of politics and how decisions are made, strategy formed, etc.

The point is this, and it has always been the point: we are not betting on the 3:30 at Kempton. We are deciding the future of the country and the generations that will inherit it. Some may think that some arm waving conclusions that "we will be fine" suffices. I, and many others, do not.

If you want to jump into the void show, beyond reasonable doubt, why it is not a risk. If you can't, then you have all your work ahead of you. You quite rightly assert that this process is a task for "moral beings" ...

---------- Post added at 08:45 ---------- Previous post was at 08:35 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991404)
He stood for election with a mandate to leave the EU. So in your opinion, it's ok to disregard that manifesto ciommitment? Of couse not, that would be the politics of deception.

So of course it was his job.

Can you show me where this manifesto promises to leave with No Deal? Here you go:

2017 Conservative Party Manifesto

TL;DR

Quote:

The best possible deal for Britain as we leave the European Union delivered by a smooth, orderly Brexit.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 09:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991416)
Can you show me where this manifesto promises to leave with No Deal? Here you go:

2017 Conservative Party Manifesto

TL;DR

In the opinion of most leavers, it is perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal.

As to an earlier post, you cannot actually prove to sceptics such as your good self that a no-deal Brexit would lead to prosperity for this country because remainers just cannot envisage the many opportunities that are out there for businessmen to take advantage of. The EU is just one part of the world with whom we can do business. We will continue to trade with the EU and it makes sense for both sides to do so. But following Brexit we will have many additional opportunities that we can grasp. We are the fifth biggest economy in the world and as such we are in an excellent position to forge new trading arrangements.

You are failing to factor into your calculations the concern that the EU will drag us down with it if we do not break free of its apron strings now. I really do not understand this view remainers have that the EU is such a good place to be. It is expensive to belong to and its advantages are too few. The problems it faces in the future, particularly with the smaller countries of the EU and their lack of ability to withstand the next global downturn and the increasing weight of legislation and bureaucracy on businesses may be something you are prepared to ignore due to the benefit you get from the holiday freedoms you enjoy, but it is too high a price to pay in my book.

What private organisation would you trust that couldn't even get its financial books agreed by the auditors? The EU is as inefficient as it is debilitating and the sooner we leave, the better.

1andrew1 17-04-2019 10:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991427)
In the opinion of most leavers, it is perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal.

Do you have a source for this?

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 11:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991436)
Do you have a source for this?

This may assist you.

https://brexitcentral.com/managed-no...ariffs-quotas/

I know a lot of Brexiteers (as well as remainers, I might add) and all of them take the view that the 'disruption' that has been publicised is all part of project fear and that accommodations could be made in the early days to prevent mutual inconvenience. A few of them think there may be some disruption in the early days, but they only say that because they have been influenced by the scaremongering on the remainer side of the argument.

jonbxx 17-04-2019 11:11

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35991398)
Show me factually that staying in will not be to the detriment of my children’s future. You can’t because .....you can’t.

I don't know how old your children are but I assume they are literally children..

Freedom of movement allows anyone, with a few exceptions, including the young to live and work in another country, broadening their horizons, learning new skills and increasing their employability. Want some funding? How about the Erasmus+ program?

Mick 17-04-2019 13:00

Re: Brexit
 
BREAKING: The Brexit Party sky rockets and trounces Labour in latest voting intentions in You Gov poll:

European Parliament voting intention:

BREX: 27%
LAB: 22%
CON: 15%
GRN: 10%
LDEM: 9%
UKIP: 7%
CHUK: 6%

via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr

1andrew1 17-04-2019 13:21

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991438)
This may assist you.

https://brexitcentral.com/managed-no...ariffs-quotas/

I know a lot of Brexiteers (as well as remainers, I might add) and all of them take the view that the 'disruption' that has been publicised is all part of project fear and that accommodations could be made in the early days to prevent mutual inconvenience. A few of them think there may be some disruption in the early days, but they only say that because they have been influenced by the scaremongering on the remainer side of the argument.

Alas, it doesn't assist your argument. You said "In the opinion of most leavers, it is perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal."
There is nothing in that article to support your statement.

---------- Post added at 13:21 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35991455)
BREAKING: The Brexit Party sky rockets and trounces Labour in latest voting intentions in You Gov poll:

European Parliament voting intention:

BREX: 27%
LAB: 22%
CON: 15%
GRN: 10%
LDEM: 9%
UKIP: 7%
CHUK: 6%

via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr

As I've said before, it's a great name for a party, a clear offer to voters and he should never, ever be under estimated. A Sky News article makes the same point in more depth.
https://news.sky.com/story/labour-an...-real-11695821

Pierre 17-04-2019 13:40

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 35991416)
If you want to jump into the void show, beyond reasonable doubt, why it is not a risk.

Wow, if we lived by that we’d accomplish nothing.

Everyday in life is a risk.

People have looked at Brexit and believe it is worth the risk.

---------- Post added at 13:40 ---------- Previous post was at 13:38 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35991439)
I don't know how old your children are but I assume they are literally children..

Freedom of movement allows anyone, with a few exceptions, including the young to live and work in another country, broadening their horizons, learning new skills and increasing their employability. Want some funding? How about the Erasmus+ program?

That didn’t answer the question, but it’s OK because I know you can’t answer the question, because you’re not a fortune teller.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 14:02

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35991455)
BREAKING: The Brexit Party sky rockets and trounces Labour in latest voting intentions in You Gov poll:

European Parliament voting intention:

BREX: 27%
LAB: 22%
CON: 15%
GRN: 10%
LDEM: 9%
UKIP: 7%
CHUK: 6%

via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr

As I expected! But this poll will be rubbished by those pesky remainders who deny the vote of the referendum.

If we have to fight the European elections, the current parties in Parliament will regret it.

Hugh 17-04-2019 14:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35991465)
Wow, if we lived by that we’d accomplish nothing.

Everyday in life is a risk.

People have looked at Brexit and believe it is worth the risk.

---------- Post added at 13:40 ---------- Previous post was at 13:38 ----------



That didn’t answer the question, but it’s OK because I know you can’t answer the question, because you’re not a fortune teller.

Usually assessed, mitigated, and managed risk(s).

When we cross the road, we don’t walk blindly across, assuming everything will be fine.

When we drive or cars, we (should) ensure they are safe, we’re wearing seat belts, and we continually check for upcoming problems (other drivers, people walking out in front of us).

We don’t live life assuming everything will be fine, we balance risks with rewards, usually quantifiable.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 14:05

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991459)
Alas, it doesn't assist your argument. You said "In the opinion of most leavers, it is perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal."
There is nothing in that article to support your statement.

---------- Post added at 13:21 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ----------


As I've said before, it's a great name for a party, a clear offer to voters and he should never, ever be under estimated. A Sky News article makes the same point in more depth.
https://news.sky.com/story/labour-an...-real-11695821

The article was not provided to answer that question. It was to answer the other question you posed in your post.

1andrew1 17-04-2019 14:17

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991472)
The article was not provided to answer that question. It was to answer the other question you posed in your post.

There's only one question in my post - something to support the statement that "In the opinion of most leavers, it is perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal."
One person's article even if he is an MEP does not support the "most leavers" statement.

---------- Post added at 14:17 ---------- Previous post was at 14:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35991471)
Usually assessed, mitigated, and managed risk(s).

When we cross the road, we don’t walk blindly across, assuming everything will be fine.

When we drive or cars, we (should) ensure they are safe, we’re wearing seat belts, and we continually check for upcoming problems (other drivers, people walking out in front of us).

We don’t live life assuming everything will be fine, we balance risks with rewards, usually quantifiable.

Wealth-creating Business has looked at Brexit in a dispassionate manner. Most - including Virgin Media - have said the disadvantages far outweigh any advantages.

denphone 17-04-2019 14:34

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991470)
As I expected! But this poll will be rubbished by those pesky remainders who deny the vote of the referendum.

If we have to fight the European elections, the current parties in Parliament will regret it.

Who is rubbishing it? as l for one won't but some others will if it does not suit their own personal political agenda of dismissing polls that they don't like the look of and bigging up the ones that they do like the look of.

Chris 17-04-2019 14:41

Re: Brexit
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here’s a graphic from Guido just in case anyone is in any doubt as to the signifcance of today’s poll.

Even if these results wee pushing at the very edge of the margin of error (3 points, plus or minus) the Brexit party would be within 1 point of first place.

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1555508262

Of course the margin of error swings both ways and they could be 8 or more points clear. :rofl:

1andrew1 17-04-2019 14:56

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991470)
As I expected! But this poll will be rubbished by those pesky remainders who deny the vote of the referendum.

If we have to fight the European elections, the current parties in Parliament will regret it.

I'm not sure that language is condusive to sensible debate, old Boy. I'm sure the elections will happen and I'm sure the Brexit Party will do well. It says what it does on the tin.

jonbxx 17-04-2019 16:32

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35991465)
That didn’t answer the question, but it’s OK because I know you can’t answer the question, because you’re not a fortune teller.

But on the balance of probabilities, freedom of movement and programs like Erasmus+ will continue to exist in the EU and those are of benefit for young people

Carth 17-04-2019 17:29

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35991488)
But on the balance of probabilities, freedom of movement and programs like Erasmus+ will continue to exist in the EU and those are of benefit for young people


The problem is, to misquote, not all young people are created equal. I can't see the majority of the UK unemployed youngsters rushing off to work in factories, hotels, fast food outlets or nursing homes in the Eastern European Countries . . . can you?

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 18:11

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991475)
There's only one question in my post - something to support the statement that "In the opinion of most leavers, it is perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal."
One person's article even if he is an MEP does not support the "most leavers" statement.

I thought the emphasis in your question was relating to my statement that it was perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal.Hence, the link that I posted.

As far as the statement I made about 'most leavers thinking that was possible' is concerned, I guess I was relying on the conversations I have been having with many acquaintences who are leavers, as well as reactions that I have noted from interviews with the public. Nothing scientific, but a fairly large sample of people all in all.

It is quite noticeable when you talk to leavers how positive they are about the opportunities out there for the taking when we leave, whereas most remainers I have noticed are very negative 'cup half empty' types. I guess it is natural for people who only see problems and regard any change as a threat to vote to remain. It makes sense to people who have that mindset.

jfman 17-04-2019 18:12

Re: Brexit
 
Half of the electorate support some form of Brexit or another. I, for one, am shocked that a single issue party in a meaningless election didn’t score higher.

Evidence that support for Brexit is eroding for me.

Hugh 17-04-2019 18:14

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35991492)
The problem is, to misquote, not all young people are created equal. I can't see the majority of the UK unemployed youngsters rushing off to work in factories, hotels, fast food outlets or nursing homes in the Eastern European Countries . . . can you?

Well, since they don’t rush to do it here, it’s unlikely.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 18:14

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991479)
I'm not sure that language is condusive to sensible debate, old Boy. I'm sure the elections will happen and I'm sure the Brexit Party will do well. It says what it does on the tin.

My wrath is reserved for those remainers who are trying to overturn our democratic referendum vote. Not all remainers, by any means.

Hugh 17-04-2019 18:15

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991495)
I thought the emphasis in your question was relating to my statement that it was perfectly possible to leave in an orderly fashion without a deal.Hence, the link that I posted.

As far as the statement I made about 'most leavers thinking that was possible' is concerned, I guess I was relying on the conversations I have been having with many acquaintences who are leavers, as well as reactions that I have noted from interviews with the public. Nothing scientific, but a fairly large sample of people all in all.

It is quite noticeable when you talk to leavers how positive they are about the opportunities out there for the taking when we leave, whereas most remainers I have noticed are very negative 'cup half empty' types. I guess it is natural for people who only see problems and regard any change as a threat to vote to remain. It makes sense to people who have that mindset.

You seem to confuse "identifying and assessing impacts of issues" with "very negative".

Pierre 17-04-2019 18:20

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35991471)

When we cross the road, we don’t walk blindly across, assuming everything will be fine.
.

Correct, in which bit about Brexit are we doing that?

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 18:21

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35991499)
You seem to confuse "identifying and assessing impacts of issues" with "very negative".

Yes, but what they are not doing is balancing their perceived impacts against the opportunities. Added to that, the impacts they perceive are magnified to give a completely false picture.

To hear some of them go on, you'd think that there will be no more trade with the EU and France will be difficult with us at the border, even though they know perfectly well that any deliberate attempt to slow our exports down will be met by reciprocation for the goods they want us to import.

We will co-operate with the EU after we've left and they will co-operate with us. This makes sense to both sides.

Pierre 17-04-2019 18:24

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35991488)
But on the balance of probabilities, freedom of movement and programs like Erasmus+ will continue to exist in the EU and those are of benefit for young people

Is Erasmus the engine behind the EU economy?

---------- Post added at 18:24 ---------- Previous post was at 18:22 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991496)
Half of the electorate support some form of Brexit or another. I, for one, am shocked that a single issue party in a meaningless election didn’t score higher.

Evidence that support for Brexit is eroding for me.

It’s the way you tell ‘em.

jfman 17-04-2019 18:28

Re: Brexit
 
It’s been obvious for some time that Labour and the Conservatives won’t deliver Brexit. A single issue party should hoover up the 52% (if they still exist).

Even if, through self preservation, the Conservatives coalesce around something the most Brexity outcome will be May’s deal.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 18:31

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991496)
Half of the electorate support some form of Brexit or another. I, for one, am shocked that a single issue party in a meaningless election didn’t score higher.

Evidence that support for Brexit is eroding for me.

Not really. There are many Conservative leavers who will vote Conservative rather than for Brexit, and the same can be said for Labour leavers.

The fact that a brand new party can command this level of support this early in its short life is nothing short of amazing.

Strange that you seem to think that support for Brexit is waning when this new party is clearly much more popular than the rest! They are set to be the largest UK party in the EU if Parliament can't get its act together and leave. This poll should be a sobering wake up call for all MPs. Deliver a proper Brexit now, or else.

pip08456 17-04-2019 18:37

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35991499)
You seem to confuse "identifying and assessing impacts of issues" with "very negative".

With a negative approach the outcome is bound to be negative.

jfman 17-04-2019 18:39

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991508)
Not really. There are many Conservative leavers who will vote Conservative rather than for Brexit, and the same can be said for Labour leavers.

The fact that a brand new party can command this level of support this early in its short life is nothing short of amazing.

Strange that you seem to think that support for Brexit is waning when this new party is clearly much more popular than the rest! They are set to be the largest UK party in the EU if Parliament can't get its act together and leave. This poll should be a sobering wake up call for all MPs. Deliver a proper Brexit now, or else.

Are they? You can’t quantify that claim as true. There’s no rational reason why a leave voter would stay with Conservatives/Labour in an election to offices they dint want to exist anyway.

Or else what? In a FPTP general election the Brexit party falls like a stone much like UKIP previously. A general election matters - we could get Corbyn after all, a European one doesn’t.

There’s nothing amazing about this poll. It’s entirely predictable. The question is whether someone else can become an effective vehicle for remain/2nd ref and get the rest of the Con/Lab votes. A brand new party, led by Farage, isn’t really new at all.

OLD BOY 17-04-2019 19:01

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991512)
Are they? You can’t quantify that claim as true. There’s no rational reason why a leave voter would stay with Conservatives/Labour in an election to offices they dint want to exist anyway.

Or else what? In a FPTP general election the Brexit party falls like a stone much like UKIP previously. A general election matters - we could get Corbyn after all, a European one doesn’t.

There’s nothing amazing about this poll. It’s entirely predictable. The question is whether someone else can become an effective vehicle for remain/2nd ref and get the rest of the Con/Lab votes. A brand new party, led by Farage, isn’t really new at all.

You know very well that Labour and Conservative diehards will never vote for any other party. Do you seriously believe that ALL such voters voted for UKIP last time? Of course they didn't. It'll be the same this time, except that more of these voters will want to demonstrate that they've had enough, and will vote Brexit out of sheer frustration. That does NOT mean that there are no leavers voting Conservative or Labour, though.

The remainder of your post I did find amusing, and entirely predictable! UKIP never got such a good poll as this one.

jfman 17-04-2019 19:37

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991515)
You know very well that Labour and Conservative diehards will never vote for any other party. Do you seriously believe that ALL such voters voted for UKIP last time? Of course they didn't. It'll be the same this time, except that more of these voters will want to demonstrate that they've had enough, and will vote Brexit out of sheer frustration. That does NOT mean that there are no leavers voting Conservative or Labour, though.

The remainder of your post I did find amusing, and entirely predictable! UKIP never got such a good poll as this one.

These people may exist but in what numbers? Is Brexit more important than the party? Once again you are resorting to relying on conjecture, supposition and your own observations.

None of which change the fact Brexit is under existential threat and 27% of the population getting angry in a European election is far less than 52%.

jonbxx 17-04-2019 20:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 35991492)
The problem is, to misquote, not all young people are created equal. I can't see the majority of the UK unemployed youngsters rushing off to work in factories, hotels, fast food outlets or nursing homes in the Eastern European Countries . . . can you?

It's the fact that the opportunity has been removed. The opportunity to grow, develop and work your way up. Yes, some young will start low and stay there but to be honest, they aren't the ones likely to be mobile. You could say however that old Norman Tebbits' 'get on your bike and find work has become more limited. It's the ones willing to take the risk and reap the rewards that have had that opportunity taken away.

In my twenties, I worked in three countries outside the UK, two of which were thanks to EU freedom of movement. It's a challenge but you get to know about yourself and other cultures and get broader horizons than you get from just living and working in one country. If I am looking at CVs, seeing employment abroad is a big plus for me as I understand the resilience needed to do this. I would be very happy if my kids went abroad to work in a summer job at 18 or something as it makes you a more rounded character.

---------- Post added at 20:52 ---------- Previous post was at 20:50 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35991504)
Is Erasmus the engine behind the EU economy?

No, it's an engine behind the EU economy for the future but not the sole engine. Training the next generation...

Here are some famous Erasmus graduates - http://www.programmallp.it/lkmw_file.../famous_en.pdf

Pierre 17-04-2019 21:14

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 35991524)
No, it's an engine behind the EU economy for the future but not the sole engine. Training the next generation...

Here are some famous Erasmus graduates - http://www.programmallp.it/lkmw_file.../famous_en.pdf

So are you saying because of Erasmus, and perhaps other programmes” you can guarantee that staying in the EU will not be to the detriment of my kids and their kids. You can guarantee it? As that is how this particular thread started?

jfman 17-04-2019 21:26

Re: Brexit
 
With the best will in the world remain isn’t going to win the argument by making the case for rich kids to get a jolly abroad while studying. Whether this is the reality or not it’s the perception. Essentially you are trying to then win two arguments, in favour of Erasmus which people who voted leave are less likely to participate in and then remain.

Angua 17-04-2019 22:33

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991528)
With the best will in the world remain isn’t going to win the argument by making the case for rich kids to get a jolly abroad while studying. Whether this is the reality or not it’s the perception. Essentially you are trying to then win two arguments, in favour of Erasmus which people who voted leave are less likely to participate in and then remain.

I don't think any argument for remaining would sway those who want Brexit who post in this thread.

Chris 17-04-2019 23:26

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35991535)
I don't think any argument for remaining would sway those who want Brexit who post in this thread.

This is because we heard the arguments in 2016, and made informed choices. I know that’s hard to believe but it is true. The facts, the potential risks and benefits haven’t changed in 3 years, despite the massive parliamentary chimps tea party designed to make us soil ourselves in fear and repent of daring to vote leave.

Hugh 17-04-2019 23:55

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35991539)
This is because we heard the arguments in 2016, and made informed choices. I know that’s hard to believe but it is true. The facts, the potential risks and benefits haven’t changed in 3 years, despite the massive parliamentary chimps tea party designed to make us soil ourselves in fear and repent of daring to vote leave.

But the arguments you made ‘informed choices" on were sub-optimal interpretations of actuality (lies).

“The day after we vote to leave, we hold all the cards and we can choose the path we want.”

We were told we would replicate, or improve, all the Trade Deals the E.U. has

“The free trade agreement we will have to do should be one of the easiest in human history,”

“There will continue to be free trade and access to the single market”

"Post Brexit a UK-German deal would include free access for their cars and industrial goods, in exchange for a deal on everything else"

"Turkey joining the EU in the near future, bringing 77 million Turks exercising their free movement"

The Vote Leave promise of a free trade area "stretching from Iceland to Turkey"

David Davis, said that Britain would negotiate individual trade deals with other EU countries. EU member states cannot negotiate individual trade deals with outside countries and instead do so as a bloc of 28.

GrimUpNorth 18-04-2019 06:07

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35991539)
This is because we heard the arguments in 2016, and made informed choices. I know that’s hard to believe but it is true. The facts, the potential risks and benefits haven’t changed in 3 years, despite the massive parliamentary chimps tea party designed to make us soil ourselves in fear and repent of daring to vote leave.

I think you've just summed up the intransigence of some on the leave side quite well - play down the risks as 'potential' but no such uncertainty about the benefits. In 2016 I voted knowing the risks and potential benefits and I'm getting pretty fed up being grouped with the hard liners. I think many people had their own reasons for voting the way they did which are not the same as yours. To use your phrase from above - I know that's hard to believe but it's true.

jfman 18-04-2019 06:43

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Angua (Post 35991535)
I don't think any argument for remaining would sway those who want Brexit who post in this thread.

Well, that’s true. However, that’s not a reason to be despondent about the situation. Remain needs to convince just 1 in 17 leave voters to switch sides, and they’re going to come from the “soft” side as opposed to the ideologues.

In fact I’m convinced that change has already happened so it’s just down to Parliament who are going a grand job at fudging Brexit for now.

Angua 18-04-2019 07:20

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991550)
Well, that’s true. However, that’s not a reason to be despondent about the situation. Remain needs to convince just 1 in 17 leave voters to switch sides, and they’re going to come from the “soft” side as opposed to the ideologues.

In fact I’m convinced that change has already happened so it’s just down to Parliament who are going a grand job at fudging Brexit for now.

My big fear is how people will vote for Farage and his ilk, just to stick it to the government. Then we will be stuck having to pay for poor attending MEPs and their pensions.

Odd how Farage calls for an insurance based Health care system and one of his main backers sells insurance. Let alone all the hidden £499 donations the the Brexit Party paid via PayPal which hides the real source of the money.

ianch99 18-04-2019 07:31

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 35991548)
I think you've just summed up the intransigence of some on the leave side quite well - play down the risks as 'potential' but no such uncertainty about the benefits. In 2016 I voted knowing the risks and potential benefits and I'm getting pretty fed up being grouped with the hard liners. I think many people had their own reasons for voting the way they did which are not the same as yours. To use your phrase from above - I know that's hard to believe but it's true.

Well said :tu: However, this does not fit the narrative so your particular interpretation will be ignored.

We are now getting the new spin on the narrative where "most Leavers want a No Deal". Patently untrue but this will be repeated and repeated. The lesson learned from 2016 is that if you repeat an untruth often enough, it becomes "true" and people get tricked into accepting it as a "fact".

Mr K 18-04-2019 07:31

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 35991455)
BREAKING: The Brexit Party sky rockets and trounces Labour in latest voting intentions in You Gov poll:

European Parliament voting intention:

BREX: 27%
LAB: 22%
CON: 15%
GRN: 10%
LDEM: 9%
UKIP: 7%
CHUK: 6%

via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr

I'm going to start a party called FREE BEER. It would trounce the BREXIT party ;).

1andrew1 18-04-2019 08:10

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 35991555)
I'm going to start a party called FREE BEER. It would trounce the BREXIT party ;).

Inspired by this?

Mr K 18-04-2019 08:19

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 35991562)
Inspired by this?

No, just inspired by beer Andrew :)

You could say that support for Brexit has fallen from 52% to 27%, but I know Mick doesn't like polls ;)

1andrew1 18-04-2019 08:22

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35991544)
But the arguments you made ‘informed choices" on were sub-optimal interpretations of actuality (lies).

“The day after we vote to leave, we hold all the cards and we can choose the path we want.”

We were told we would replicate, or improve, all the Trade Deals the E.U. has

“The free trade agreement we will have to do should be one of the easiest in human history,”

“There will continue to be free trade and access to the single market”

"Post Brexit a UK-German deal would include free access for their cars and industrial goods, in exchange for a deal on everything else

"Turkey joining the EU in the near future, bringing 77 million Turks exercising their free movement"

The Vote Leave promise of a free trade area "stretching from Iceland to Turkey"

David Davis, said that Britain would negotiate individual trade deals with other EU countries. EU member states cannot negotiate individual trade deals with outside countries and instead do so as a bloc of 28.

Not only were such choices based on lies such as those you list above, but the agenda was also supported by faked film clips.

Quote:

Revealed: How Leave.EU faked migrant footage
An investigation by Channel 4 News also reveals how Arron Banks’ pro-Brexit group appears to have staged photos of migrants attacking women in London
https://www.channel4.com/news/reveal...igrant-footage

OLD BOY 18-04-2019 08:49

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35991544)
But the arguments you made ‘informed choices" on were sub-optimal interpretations of actuality (lies).

“The day after we vote to leave, we hold all the cards and we can choose the path we want.”

We were told we would replicate, or improve, all the Trade Deals the E.U. has

“The free trade agreement we will have to do should be one of the easiest in human history,”

“There will continue to be free trade and access to the single market”

"Post Brexit a UK-German deal would include free access for their cars and industrial goods, in exchange for a deal on everything else"

"Turkey joining the EU in the near future, bringing 77 million Turks exercising their free movement"

The Vote Leave promise of a free trade area "stretching from Iceland to Turkey"

David Davis, said that Britain would negotiate individual trade deals with other EU countries. EU member states cannot negotiate individual trade deals with outside countries and instead do so as a bloc of 28.

In the interests of balance, here are some of the porkies the remainers are trying to have us believe....

https://brexitcentral.com/remainers-...g-litany-lies/

jonbxx 18-04-2019 08:57

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991528)
With the best will in the world remain isn’t going to win the argument by making the case for rich kids to get a jolly abroad while studying. Whether this is the reality or not it’s the perception. Essentially you are trying to then win two arguments, in favour of Erasmus which people who voted leave are less likely to participate in and then remain.

Ha, maybe I was doing it wrong with the two Erasmus students I supervised way back when I worked in academia (one from L'Universite Paris-Sud and one from University of Coimbra) I worked them hard! No jolly on my watch...

My first degree had work placements so I didn't go for Erasmus but would have if I did a standard degree. Certainly wasn't a rich kid however

denphone 18-04-2019 08:58

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991566)
In the interests of balance, here are some of the porkies the remainers are trying to have us believe....

https://brexitcentral.com/remainers-...g-litany-lies/

It would be nice if we had a independent body with no allegiance to either side that could separate the lies from the truth rather then the perpetual lies that both sides seem to practice in with their biased media mouthpieces.

Mr K 18-04-2019 09:22

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35991570)
It would be nice if we had a independent body with no allegiance to either side that could separate the lies from the truth rather then the perpetual lies that both sides seem to practice in with their biased media mouthpieces.

What worries me is that lies just seem to be accepted now by the public as 'part of the game'.

C4 revealed last night that Banks paid for a faked a video of migrant crossings over the channel. His boat went to Folkestone and back, and the 'migrants' were very British ! Those involved didn't particularly deny or were embrassed by it.

Chris 18-04-2019 09:37

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 35991548)
I think you've just summed up the intransigence of some on the leave side quite well - play down the risks as 'potential' but no such uncertainty about the benefits. In 2016 I voted knowing the risks and potential benefits and I'm getting pretty fed up being grouped with the hard liners. I think many people had their own reasons for voting the way they did which are not the same as yours. To use your phrase from above - I know that's hard to believe but it's true.

Re my comment the other day, the intransigence in this debate, on this forum at least, is evidenced to a great extent by people’s determination to read whatever they want/expect to read into any given text.

The natural reading of “potential risks and benefits” is that the qualifying adjective, “potential”, applies to both the abstract nouns, “risks” and “benefits”. I could have written “potential risks and potential benefits” but that would have been needlessly clumsy.

That you read it as only applying to the word that you perceive as attacking your position, and not applying to the word that you perceive as a defence of mine, says more about your mind set than it does anything else.

tweetiepooh 18-04-2019 10:02

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

"You mean," said Lucy rather faintly, "that it would have turned out all right – somehow? But how? Please, Aslan! Am I not to know?"
"To know what would have happened, child?" said Aslan. "No. Nobody is ever told that."
"Oh dear," said Lucy.
"But anyone can find out what will happen," said Aslan.


C S Lewis - Prince Caspian
This is the problem, and know one knows what will happen, we can only move on from where we are and "take the adventure Aslan sends us".

We can't follow more that one path. All each side can do is state what they think will be the outcome good or bad.

TheDaddy 18-04-2019 10:45

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991566)
In the interests of balance, here are some of the porkies the remainers are trying to have us believe....

https://brexitcentral.com/remainers-...g-litany-lies/

You're not interested in balance, you're interested in trying to excuse them on the basis the other side were at it to but it doesn't excuse anyone, it makes the whole thing worse and in turn makes something of a mockery of the democracy some people seem so desperate to defend

jfman 18-04-2019 12:41

Re: Brexit
 
And in elections that matter:

Westminster Voting Intention

LAB: 33% (+1)
CON: 23% (-9)
BXP: 14% (+14)

Via @ComRes,
Changes w/ 5-7 Apr.

Lowest CON vote share in a WM VI poll since 1997...

OLD BOY 18-04-2019 12:44

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 35991583)
You're not interested in balance, you're interested in trying to excuse them on the basis the other side were at it to but it doesn't excuse anyone, it makes the whole thing worse and in turn makes something of a mockery of the democracy some people seem so desperate to defend

Oh, so 'leavers lies' should be taken into account, but not 'remainers lies'. Is that your definition of balance?

denphone 18-04-2019 12:47

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991605)
And in elections that matter:

Westminster Voting Intention

LAB: 33% (+1)
CON: 23% (-9)
BXP: 14% (+14)

Via @ComRes,
Changes w/ 5-7 Apr.

Lowest CON vote share in a WM VI poll since 1997...

Looking at that there is plummeting support for the Conservatives which is not surprising given the omnishambles we have witnessed and rising support for the Brexit party while Labour have lost some support to the Brexit party but not as much as the Conservatives have.

jfman 18-04-2019 12:50

Re: Brexit
 
You’ve linked to an opinion piece that isn’t evidence based.

TheDaddy 18-04-2019 12:52

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 35991606)
Oh, so 'leavers lies' should be taken into account, but not 'remainers lies'. Is that your definition of balance?

Where did I say that, this them and us irrationality is clouding your actual vision now as well as your judgement, what I actually said is none of the liars should get away with it and all should be held to account regardless of whose side they're on, basically for the hard of thinking two wrongs don't make a right

denphone 18-04-2019 13:08

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 35991609)
You’ve linked to an opinion piece that isn’t evidence based.

By whom? as it reminds me of that old English idiom of "you can't have your cake and eat it"

jfman 18-04-2019 13:12

Re: Brexit
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 35991612)
By whom? as it reminds me of that old English idiom of "you can't have your cake and eat it"

Old Boy and his “unbiased” Brexit Central link.


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