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As for (2), there are many Brexiteers who do not agree with the pessimistic view that leaving without a deal would be a disaster, because it would not be. Rather, it would give us the opportunity to trade on our own terms, free from EU tariff policies, suffocating bureaucracy and legislation which hampers businesses' ability to function. And in relation to (3), it is perfectly honorable to Brexit without being closely tied to EU policies and obligations as it is to have a bridging arrangement to smooth the transition. Both the ERG and Theresa May are trying to help us leave the EU. The true disrupters are the remainers who are trying to prevent the will of the electorate. Shame on them. ---------- Post added at 20:08 ---------- Previous post was at 20:04 ---------- Quote:
As a Redwood constituent, I can tell you that I have raised a number of issues with him and received prompt and helpful responses. Xso I think your perception is completely wrong. Some people have an enormous capacity for work. |
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suffocating bureaucracy and legislation which hampers businesses' ability to function.
That sounds more like trading on WTO rules with the largest single market in the world that just happens to be on your doorstep. ---------- Post added at 20:12 ---------- Previous post was at 20:09 ---------- Quote:
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As for WTO rules, they are clearly liberating compared with EU legislation. |
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You’ve also personalised it, ignoring the big global companies who make huge profits from UK consumers and pay minimal tax here. Quote:
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This is from a few weeks ago, but Henning articulates perfectly why a second vote would not necessarily go the way advocates for it think.
https://www.facebook.com/locbrexit/v...945300?sfns=mo |
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Looks like the prediction that a vote for Brexit could let in Corbyn could well come true!
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We're still in the EU . . still ruled by the EU . . yet blocked by the EU when it suits :rolleyes:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-47921375 If we had left on March 29th would that 'pollution' bill still have to be paid? When (if) we eventually leave, will we still be bound by the EU pollution rules, or free to carry on business as usual without this 'extra tax' on steelmaking (and other businesses) ? |
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As part of Brexit, EU law is being written into UK law, so in the short to medium term the pollution credit system will continue. However, if we find the system doesn’t work for us (and if we don’t subsequently sign a Europe-wide pollution treaty at some later date) then we will be free to change or abandon the pollution credit scheme altogether. Again, just one of the many benefits of Brexit. Once we are no longer treaty bound to accept the entire body of EU law, we have sovereign freedom to decide what is in our national interest and what isn’t. |
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Thanks Chris :tu:
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I suspect Damien's social circles are like most people's and include people who voted leave, remain and abstained |
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! ---------- Post added at 11:03 ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 ---------- Quote:
Now I'll get back on topic! |
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The individual you admire ignores the majority of his constituency's wishes, ignores the instructions of his party and ignores the real and present danger to the country of leaving without a deal. I am puzzled why you admire him so? |
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As to ignoring party stuff in Parliament, the guvmin’s mess is such that no Brexit respecting Tory MP would be worth a candle if they followed May’s whip. As to no deal, you speak from a Remainer’s perspective; that should not be a basis for criticism of an excellent constituency MP. Your puzzlement is a ridiculous and gratuitous sentiment. |
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He clearly fails Churchill's three tests: Quote:
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https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/04/4.jpg |
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Your argument smacks of the typical Remainer’s rhetoric: the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now; ignoring that the leavers would have taken into account the forecasts of calamity in the guvmin;s brochure. It would be better if you stuck to what you can substantiate. |
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My reply is equally applicable to Ian! |
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For example your statements - "the leave voters didn’t know then what they know now" doesn't make sense as I'm not talking about leavers, I've referenced the voting intentions of constituencies where the MP voted for/against Brexit in a different way to the majority of the constituents. "You are rationalising without knowing anything about the constituency." I don't doubt your knowledge of the constituency as a resident, canvasser and friend of John Redwood's. However, I do think that sitting MPs in constituencies like his will be severely tested where their views on Brexit differ from that of their constituents if an election occurred soon. I've also made the point that this applies both ways, eg if there is a Remain MP in a Leave constituency. |
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I’m being specific about Redwood; he was specifically mentioned as distinct from other Tories and balance needs tO be restored. Redwood is one of the Remainers’ targets and remember this part of the discussion started with an attack on his wealth in the context of being self serving. |
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I was there on Saturday outside the house of [Mod Edit- derogatory term removed].
The TV studios had packed up and buggered off. The upside they taken that [Mod Edit- derogatory term removed] Steve with them. There was zero TV coverage and the crowd was relatively behaved. There was one incident near me when a few [Mod Edit- derogatory term removed] tried to start trouble but the police told them to leave. There was also some Orangemen who marched up to the Cenotaph. Followed by a load of cops. Perhaps if there had been trouble the Brexit Biased Corporation might have covered it. There are now plans to do another protest on the 28th April, same day as the marathon. |
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Reminder of the opening post by Mick on the previous Brexit thread
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Seriously, the point you make is the one that matters and is where the denial is. The current system, with the entrenched tribal loyalties on both sides delivers people like Redwood who feel at liberty to push their personal, skewed ideology in opposition to the best interests & wishes of their constituency, party and country. |
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He was elected in 1987 - are you certain he wanted to push a skewed ideology? He wants a sovereign UK - hardly a skewed ideology. eign that rubbish in, please. |
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Redwood: "So, you are flogging a dead horse with this agreement and the public is well ahead of you and the public accept, by a majority now that the best option is just to leave and offer them a free trade deal." Channel 4 "That is not true. That is not true. John Redwood thank you very much. What you've just said is not true but thank you very much for joining us." https://www.indy100.com/article/brex...murthy-8857691 |
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One peccadillo does not make him a liar. He was mistaken. From the same interview, the unquestionable truth to the question as to why he did not support May's deal:
"Well, no we couldn't possibly do that because that isn't leaving. The deal is a massively expensive and long delay . Our manifesto promised that within two years the government would negotiate a future partnership as well as any withdrawal issues the EU wanted mentioned or leave without a deal. Now we must keep our promise and I and my colleagues stand fully behind the manifesto. We hoped our prime minister did and I would urge her tonight to join us in upholding the manifesto, taking us out proudly on April 12 and agreeing on any remaining things that need agreeing so we have a smooth exit. There is no cliff edge. There is no disaster and we would have lots of money to spend and we need to spend the money urgently to give our economy a boost at a time when the German and French economies are ailing and the Italian economy is in recession.Well, no we couldn't possibly do that because that isn't leaving. The deal is a massively expensive and long delay. Our manifesto promised that within two years the government would negotiate a future partnership as well as any withdrawal issues the EU wanted mentioned or leave without a deal. Now we must keep our promise and I and my colleagues stand fully behind the manifesto. We hoped our prime minister did and I would urge her tonight to join us in upholding the manifesto, taking us out proudly on April 12 and agreeing on any remaining things that need agreeing so we have a smooth exit. There is no cliff edge. There is no disaster and we would have lots of money to spend and we need to spend the money urgently to give our economy a boost at a time when the German and French economies are ailing and the Italian economy is in recession." |
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Show me the evidential, fact-based consensus that a No Deal brexit does not risk my children's future and we can have a debate. Until then, he is an idiot betraying his constituency, party and country. Our elected representatives should make decisions based on reasoned, objective fact-based conclusions and not what they fantasise to be their free market, low tax, capitalist utopia. |
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First of all, you’re asking him to prove a negative. The assertion is that No Deal Brexit is damaging and it is for those who believe it to make their case. Second, if you think politics is merely a matter of drawing conclusions based on facts then you’ve been missing the point, and to be honest I’m curious how you would attempt explain the existence of at least three major parties, with three enormously different policy platforms, in the same Commons chamber. Moral and ideological considerations are always at play in policy formation, as well they should be. There are no facts that exist in isolation and weighing them, and assigning importance to them, is a task for moral beings, not statistical machines. |
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So of course it was his job. |
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The point is this, and it has always been the point: we are not betting on the 3:30 at Kempton. We are deciding the future of the country and the generations that will inherit it. Some may think that some arm waving conclusions that "we will be fine" suffices. I, and many others, do not. If you want to jump into the void show, beyond reasonable doubt, why it is not a risk. If you can't, then you have all your work ahead of you. You quite rightly assert that this process is a task for "moral beings" ... ---------- Post added at 08:45 ---------- Previous post was at 08:35 ---------- Quote:
2017 Conservative Party Manifesto TL;DR Quote:
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As to an earlier post, you cannot actually prove to sceptics such as your good self that a no-deal Brexit would lead to prosperity for this country because remainers just cannot envisage the many opportunities that are out there for businessmen to take advantage of. The EU is just one part of the world with whom we can do business. We will continue to trade with the EU and it makes sense for both sides to do so. But following Brexit we will have many additional opportunities that we can grasp. We are the fifth biggest economy in the world and as such we are in an excellent position to forge new trading arrangements. You are failing to factor into your calculations the concern that the EU will drag us down with it if we do not break free of its apron strings now. I really do not understand this view remainers have that the EU is such a good place to be. It is expensive to belong to and its advantages are too few. The problems it faces in the future, particularly with the smaller countries of the EU and their lack of ability to withstand the next global downturn and the increasing weight of legislation and bureaucracy on businesses may be something you are prepared to ignore due to the benefit you get from the holiday freedoms you enjoy, but it is too high a price to pay in my book. What private organisation would you trust that couldn't even get its financial books agreed by the auditors? The EU is as inefficient as it is debilitating and the sooner we leave, the better. |
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https://brexitcentral.com/managed-no...ariffs-quotas/ I know a lot of Brexiteers (as well as remainers, I might add) and all of them take the view that the 'disruption' that has been publicised is all part of project fear and that accommodations could be made in the early days to prevent mutual inconvenience. A few of them think there may be some disruption in the early days, but they only say that because they have been influenced by the scaremongering on the remainer side of the argument. |
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Freedom of movement allows anyone, with a few exceptions, including the young to live and work in another country, broadening their horizons, learning new skills and increasing their employability. Want some funding? How about the Erasmus+ program? |
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BREAKING: The Brexit Party sky rockets and trounces Labour in latest voting intentions in You Gov poll:
European Parliament voting intention: BREX: 27% LAB: 22% CON: 15% GRN: 10% LDEM: 9% UKIP: 7% CHUK: 6% via @YouGov, 15 - 16 Apr |
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There is nothing in that article to support your statement. ---------- Post added at 13:21 ---------- Previous post was at 13:19 ---------- Quote:
https://news.sky.com/story/labour-an...-real-11695821 |
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Everyday in life is a risk. People have looked at Brexit and believe it is worth the risk. ---------- Post added at 13:40 ---------- Previous post was at 13:38 ---------- Quote:
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If we have to fight the European elections, the current parties in Parliament will regret it. |
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When we cross the road, we don’t walk blindly across, assuming everything will be fine. When we drive or cars, we (should) ensure they are safe, we’re wearing seat belts, and we continually check for upcoming problems (other drivers, people walking out in front of us). We don’t live life assuming everything will be fine, we balance risks with rewards, usually quantifiable. |
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One person's article even if he is an MEP does not support the "most leavers" statement. ---------- Post added at 14:17 ---------- Previous post was at 14:15 ---------- Quote:
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Here’s a graphic from Guido just in case anyone is in any doubt as to the signifcance of today’s poll.
Even if these results wee pushing at the very edge of the margin of error (3 points, plus or minus) the Brexit party would be within 1 point of first place. https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1555508262 Of course the margin of error swings both ways and they could be 8 or more points clear. :rofl: |
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The problem is, to misquote, not all young people are created equal. I can't see the majority of the UK unemployed youngsters rushing off to work in factories, hotels, fast food outlets or nursing homes in the Eastern European Countries . . . can you? |
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As far as the statement I made about 'most leavers thinking that was possible' is concerned, I guess I was relying on the conversations I have been having with many acquaintences who are leavers, as well as reactions that I have noted from interviews with the public. Nothing scientific, but a fairly large sample of people all in all. It is quite noticeable when you talk to leavers how positive they are about the opportunities out there for the taking when we leave, whereas most remainers I have noticed are very negative 'cup half empty' types. I guess it is natural for people who only see problems and regard any change as a threat to vote to remain. It makes sense to people who have that mindset. |
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Half of the electorate support some form of Brexit or another. I, for one, am shocked that a single issue party in a meaningless election didn’t score higher.
Evidence that support for Brexit is eroding for me. |
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To hear some of them go on, you'd think that there will be no more trade with the EU and France will be difficult with us at the border, even though they know perfectly well that any deliberate attempt to slow our exports down will be met by reciprocation for the goods they want us to import. We will co-operate with the EU after we've left and they will co-operate with us. This makes sense to both sides. |
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It’s been obvious for some time that Labour and the Conservatives won’t deliver Brexit. A single issue party should hoover up the 52% (if they still exist).
Even if, through self preservation, the Conservatives coalesce around something the most Brexity outcome will be May’s deal. |
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The fact that a brand new party can command this level of support this early in its short life is nothing short of amazing. Strange that you seem to think that support for Brexit is waning when this new party is clearly much more popular than the rest! They are set to be the largest UK party in the EU if Parliament can't get its act together and leave. This poll should be a sobering wake up call for all MPs. Deliver a proper Brexit now, or else. |
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Or else what? In a FPTP general election the Brexit party falls like a stone much like UKIP previously. A general election matters - we could get Corbyn after all, a European one doesn’t. There’s nothing amazing about this poll. It’s entirely predictable. The question is whether someone else can become an effective vehicle for remain/2nd ref and get the rest of the Con/Lab votes. A brand new party, led by Farage, isn’t really new at all. |
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The remainder of your post I did find amusing, and entirely predictable! UKIP never got such a good poll as this one. |
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None of which change the fact Brexit is under existential threat and 27% of the population getting angry in a European election is far less than 52%. |
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In my twenties, I worked in three countries outside the UK, two of which were thanks to EU freedom of movement. It's a challenge but you get to know about yourself and other cultures and get broader horizons than you get from just living and working in one country. If I am looking at CVs, seeing employment abroad is a big plus for me as I understand the resilience needed to do this. I would be very happy if my kids went abroad to work in a summer job at 18 or something as it makes you a more rounded character. ---------- Post added at 20:52 ---------- Previous post was at 20:50 ---------- Quote:
Here are some famous Erasmus graduates - http://www.programmallp.it/lkmw_file.../famous_en.pdf |
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With the best will in the world remain isn’t going to win the argument by making the case for rich kids to get a jolly abroad while studying. Whether this is the reality or not it’s the perception. Essentially you are trying to then win two arguments, in favour of Erasmus which people who voted leave are less likely to participate in and then remain.
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“The day after we vote to leave, we hold all the cards and we can choose the path we want.” We were told we would replicate, or improve, all the Trade Deals the E.U. has “The free trade agreement we will have to do should be one of the easiest in human history,” “There will continue to be free trade and access to the single market” "Post Brexit a UK-German deal would include free access for their cars and industrial goods, in exchange for a deal on everything else" "Turkey joining the EU in the near future, bringing 77 million Turks exercising their free movement" The Vote Leave promise of a free trade area "stretching from Iceland to Turkey" David Davis, said that Britain would negotiate individual trade deals with other EU countries. EU member states cannot negotiate individual trade deals with outside countries and instead do so as a bloc of 28. |
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In fact I’m convinced that change has already happened so it’s just down to Parliament who are going a grand job at fudging Brexit for now. |
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Odd how Farage calls for an insurance based Health care system and one of his main backers sells insurance. Let alone all the hidden £499 donations the the Brexit Party paid via PayPal which hides the real source of the money. |
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We are now getting the new spin on the narrative where "most Leavers want a No Deal". Patently untrue but this will be repeated and repeated. The lesson learned from 2016 is that if you repeat an untruth often enough, it becomes "true" and people get tricked into accepting it as a "fact". |
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You could say that support for Brexit has fallen from 52% to 27%, but I know Mick doesn't like polls ;) |
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https://brexitcentral.com/remainers-...g-litany-lies/ |
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My first degree had work placements so I didn't go for Erasmus but would have if I did a standard degree. Certainly wasn't a rich kid however |
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C4 revealed last night that Banks paid for a faked a video of migrant crossings over the channel. His boat went to Folkestone and back, and the 'migrants' were very British ! Those involved didn't particularly deny or were embrassed by it. |
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The natural reading of “potential risks and benefits” is that the qualifying adjective, “potential”, applies to both the abstract nouns, “risks” and “benefits”. I could have written “potential risks and potential benefits” but that would have been needlessly clumsy. That you read it as only applying to the word that you perceive as attacking your position, and not applying to the word that you perceive as a defence of mine, says more about your mind set than it does anything else. |
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We can't follow more that one path. All each side can do is state what they think will be the outcome good or bad. |
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And in elections that matter:
Westminster Voting Intention LAB: 33% (+1) CON: 23% (-9) BXP: 14% (+14) Via @ComRes, Changes w/ 5-7 Apr. Lowest CON vote share in a WM VI poll since 1997... |
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You’ve linked to an opinion piece that isn’t evidence based.
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