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There are only estimates for how the vote went on a constituency level. Chris Hanretty, Professor of Politics at Royal Holloway has been working on this for some time. The data is here - https://app.polimapper.co.uk/?dataSe...38ea0461832a#_ You can look up your constituency and see the estimated vote.. He talks about methods and error here - https://medium.com/@chrishanretty/fi...p-5490b6cab878 He asked nicely if his paper could be cited when using his data so here we go - “Areal interpolation and the UK’s referendum on EU membership”, Chris Hanretty, Journal Of Elections, Public Opinion And Parties, Online Early Access, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2017.1287081 |
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I beg to differ on the anti-democratic part. They voted against the bill to oppose the process of leaving, yet more delay tactics to thwart the result, they are ignoring their key Manifesto policy of 'Accepting the referendum result', that they and their Momentum cohorts were only too happy to brag about before the snap election, I remember it well, waving it and bragging about it, "Read the manifesto, it's brill." and they cannot even stick to it, same old pathetic Labour. |
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It seems that even after Brexit there are some who just want nothing to do with Europe and to be as anagonstic as we can to the countries of Europe to the extent we'll rip up a beneficial arrangement just to stick it to the French. We're in trouble if even concessions made to us offend the public. |
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I was having a look at the cost of deportations. We reported to Eurostat an estimated cost of €407,000,000 to deport 46,610 illegal immigrants in 2014 which works out at as a cost of €8732 per person. Yikes! £44,000,000 extra looks like a bargain at this rate, though I don't know the total cost of running Le Touquet. Data source - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...7h4/edit#gid=0 |
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France would be well within its rights to tell us to deal with it post Brexit. Hence us having to give them a massive cash sweetener. Working out a bit pricey this Brexit lark.... |
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£45 million is nothing in Government budgets. Manchester United are about to pay more than that so a football player can play for them for a few years instead of someone else. I think it highlights how difficult a job Theresa May has with Brexit because there is a not insignificant contingent in his country who'll not countenance any compromise or concession to Europe no matter how beneficial it could be to us. At there mere suggestion it's beneficial to Europe as well they would rather we lose out in order spite them. |
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http://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/...-french-proud/
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tbh she voted and campaigned for Remain first time round. I'm sure she'll ensure 'Brexit' is purely cosmetic to limit the damage. |
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If you look at her Brexit peers, could any of them hold the Government together and steer it towards Brexit. I think the Conservative Party made the best choice in an era when we're not blessed with many great ones in all parties. I prefer fellow Remainer Ruth Davidson but she's sensibly decided to remain in Scottish politics for the time being. |
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So he's quite happy to deny the French people a say on the "Ever closer integration" Very democratic I'm sure.:rolleyes: |
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Well it is democratic. Le Pen was offering a referendum, he wasn't and he won. Now he won for different reasons but when you're voting people in you vote for them on a platform some of which may be unpopular.
France isn't run by a dictator. The French people are actually very politically engaged, more so than us, and knew what they were doing. Look at their Presidential debates, they sit down with each other for three hours, having long substantive debates. Macron went to his country with an unapologetic position of being pro-EU. He didn't lie about that, he didn't even pretend to be conflicted about it, he spoke of it constantly. He said that this was his position and it came as part of the package of his governance even if that particular position had minority support. I swear this forum uses 'Democracy' without any care for how democracies actually work. Anytime the notion of compromise, unpopular decisions or even an idea is floated that isn't liked out come the cries of 'democracy'. As if every democracy should decide every policy via what currently has 50% plus support. Very few nations manage their democracy this way. The only one that springs to mind is Switzerland. You just disagree with his decision. That's fine. Dissent is also part of a democracy but seriously let-up on the idea that everything that a government does, including holding a referendum or not, is undemocratic. |
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So the good news way more than compenastes for any Brexit hit. :) Must have stuck in his craw to have to say that. :D |
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We need to see the whole picture, not just the bit that reinforces our biases... |
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Boris and David Davis... They're behind you!!! |
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http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk...-a8174306.html
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Another Brexit scare story me thinks, key word ‘could’, not ‘would’. There are lots of things that got put forward that ‘could’ happen right after the Brexit vote, they didn’t. Enough said. :rolleyes:
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https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2018/01/13.jpg |
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Oh FFS, the red bus argument. Not going there, done to bloody death!
Not even remotely sure where the word 'would' was used, pretty sure it said 'Let's give'. But as I said, been here many many times before, tired argument that Remainers clutch at. |
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The bus had two statements on it. Only the naive connected them directly.
Of course that was the intention IMHO but as written they were not connected. |
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All going pear shaped as the reality of the situation dawns. Even Farage has started to panic about his 'legacy'. Quote:
Never mind Nige, Trump will welcome you. |
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The bus wasn't a lie. It was a suggestion, 'Let's give' is a suggestion 'Let's go to the park', is also a suggestion. 'We're going to the park' is a statement, you used to be a substitute teacher, surely you know the distinction between a suggestion and a written statement.... |
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Bollocks. Why? Because.... Pound back up to level is was at time of referendum... ....All the lies you told about there is going to be a market crash and pensions are going to suffer and there will be a recession in 2017. All never happened, so no it has not gone pear shaped. Unemployment at it lowest level in decades... So where exactly is it going pear shaped ? ---------- Post added at 21:08 ---------- Previous post was at 21:07 ---------- Quote:
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(and to remind you Brexit hasn't happened yet, the consequences will be felt by all of us in the decades to come). |
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No such thing as a soft or hard brexit, terms made up by Remainers. Leave means leave. I have no desire to ask Nigel anything, I don't care what he thinks. We are leaving and that means the EU, Single Market and Customs Union. Theresa May said the same today at PMQ. Get it in to your head, we are leaving the EU, as democratically elected to do so!!! |
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'Let's give' is not a statement, it is a suggestion and it was definitely not a promise either. 'We promise to give to the NHS' is a promise and a statement. Those words were not used, so you are fundamentally incorrect. Either way, all the people I know who voted for Brexit made their choice way before any red bus campaigining began because they had enough of the corrupt EU for many many years before hand. |
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Cameron caught on camera admitting: Brexit ISN'T 'disaster' is 'not as bad as we thought'
Let's spend £9m of public funds on a leaflet full of bull. |
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https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politi...brits-11027263 I find the truly bizarre thing is that people believed charlatans who have said numerous times they wanted to do away with the NHS altogether, the Farages and Banks of this world who all of a sudden wanted to bless the NHS will billions post brexit Quote:
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Does the crappy Mirror give a balanced view of the % of people took in by Remain camp lies...? Then came the pathetic black mailing attempt from President Obama with the back of queue bullshit. But oh dear, you are posting a poll from an Anti-Brexit paper. 1) Most polls are and have been wrong so I find them unreliable. 2) Mirror is Anti-Brexit, so I wouldn't trust them whatsoever. 3) Only one poll mattered, far bigger sample size of around 33 Million and it's being enacted on. I couldn't give a toss what opinion you take over mine. I know why I voted and that's all I care about and it was not the damn 'suggestion' on the red bus, that persuaded me! :mad: Farage and Banks were not in the official leave campaign, that launched the red bus and even if they had 'suggested money to the NHS', they were not in government to enact on it and as I have said repeatedly, no promise was made, read the bloody words. Stop clutching at straws and looking for silly reasons as to why people voted the way the did to try and de-legitimise the result, it is not going to change the result. Leaving this clip here, as I see we are here again, must be Groundhog Day!. :rolleyes: |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=1458 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=1454 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=1258 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...postcount=1051 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=884 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=765 I could go on but I know you're not a fan of clicking links from sources you don't like. Funnily enough I have my own take on polls and pollsters to https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...7&postcount=42 |
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The EU is far from perfect but does do some postive things e.g. stopping drug firms ripping us off, getting rid of credit charges (even though Theresa tried to claim the credit for that !), cheap flights, freedom to work in the EU, consumer and worker protection Be prepared to lose these, and the interests of the rich and businesses to come first. Still at least we'll have our country back (in a sort of Charles Dickens type way :rolleyes: ). |
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Because it had nothing to do with what you posted earlier and what I subsequently replied to. ---------- Post added at 12:14 ---------- Previous post was at 12:12 ---------- Quote:
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How exactly is the EU as an institution corrupt? I hear this mentioned a number of times. There is certainly evidence of corruption at a state level but I would be interested in hearing about corruption at the EU (Parliament, Council, Commission, etc.) level
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Not that I am trying to defend Nigel, he can do that himself but he’s categorically denied what’s in that link. Wasn’t there issues with funds from the Remain camp too ?
The EU is corrupt in many ways. They lie, extort and just basically rip countries off and we are the ones getting ripped off. We are handicapped when taking trade deals. They did not listen when Cameron asked them to reform. Told countries they had to take extra migrants or else, when we are taking 300K per year already. Bit by bit, they want more control of our laws. They told us they are not trying to become a United States of Europe, but they have ambitions to be so and have a EU Army. No thank you. |
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The fact is that it was an aspiration concerning the amount we send to the EU and what we'd be able to use it for - the NHS. Only time will tell whether the amount quoted will be freed up and what it'll be used for. |
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The use of the wod 'Let's' also indicates that it was a suggestion. It certainly was not meant as a pledge. |
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The fact that politicians of all colours routinely lie or renege on their pre-election promises is neither here nor there but it surprises me that so many supposedly intelligent people who're highly cynical when it comes to politics and soundbites seem to be claiming they were taken in by that one statement for some reason and it altered everything. I wonder why... :rolleyes: |
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---------- Post added at 16:37 ---------- Previous post was at 16:13 ---------- Still struggling on corrupt practices by the EU by the way. Are there any examples of corrupt practices performed by the EU out there? Certainly there doesn't seem to be any systemic bribery culture as far as I can find and I am sure people have looked for it. I did find what initiatives the EU have put in place to fight corruption which explains why EU tenders I have helped complete are a right pain - https://ec.europa.eu/home-affairs/wh.../corruption_en |
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The official leave campaign was not a Manifesto of government policy. ---------- Post added at 16:45 ---------- Previous post was at 16:39 ---------- Quote:
I gave you perfect examples of corruption in the EU and I am sick of telling you I do not want to be part of a United States of Europe which is exactly what the EU wants to become, eventually. |
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I think a lot of this is very disingenuous to be honest. As far as I am concerned the Leave campaign lied. Yes you can do the cynical political defence of parsing the words very carefully and going into the legal status of the campaign but the Remain campaign wasn't the Government either - at least not in the campaigning period when Cameron couldn't act as 'the government' - and that defence curiously doesn't seem to apply to them. The Leave campaign was clearly being dishonest. The Remain campaign did the same thing, the 'cost' per each family, was clearly a lie. Now if you use the right formulas and read the small print then 'technically' it wasn't a lie but it clearly was! We all know they were being dishonest and although I supported them I don't feel the need to cortort myself to defend them. I didn't run that campaign. |
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You still haven't answered that, conveniently. |
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https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/ne...-public/08/02/ Oh and what I posted this morning had plenty to do with what YOU posted earlier, the very first paragraph of your post being the clue |
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No it did not. Rubbish.
Still no answer on the crappy mirror article, thanks for highlighting you don’t do balanced arguments, just like the Mirror you linked to. |
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Good on Damian Collins for tackling this situation.
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Are we seriously back to the red bus seriously it was not a promise it's clearly not worded as a promise nor do they claim it to be backed by experts it clearly states "lets give it" a suggestion not a promise. The campaigns of both sides were so incredibly pathetic i don't know anyone that voted leave that did so due to the campaign but i do know people who voted remain because of the immediate economic collapse that would follow a leave vote told to us daily by politicians and experts. I know young people who voted remain because they thought a leave vote would mean no more trips to ibiza and mobile phone charges would skyrocket and i know a few pensioners who voted remain because our prime minister at the time invoked the prospect of world war 3.
It simply beggers belief that the same group on here constantly sieze on the red bus rubbish and so conveniently forget all the lies and outright scare tactics employed daily by the remain campaign. The same group that whenever there is a bit of bad news it's all down to brexit but when there's anything positive it's despite brexit how lovely it is to have your cake and eat it. Things are not as bad as they are often represented and significant progress is being made outside of the main EU negotiation fiasco that will have a greater impact economically so instead of wallowing in gloom it might be best to stay quiet that way in a little over a year you won't look quite so stupid to have believed everything you've been spoon fed from agenda ridden press of both persuasions. Things are not quite as they appear and time will show how manipulative some are being with the public, oh and those deluding themselves that brexit is going to be so soft as to be meaningless might want to stop hanging onto that hope your going to be very very disappointed. |
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As i said time will tell and i gaurantee you won't be quite as happy as you are now when the final situation is resolved. I see you yet again failed to acknowledge the lies your preferred side repeatedly told and all those dire predictions of immediate consequences that failed to materialise i have no doubt you now adopt the standard remain position that they will come to be in time, how much time is that again 1andrew1??.
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Ask me again when we have left the single market but the UK is underperforming its peers right now when it should be outperforming them. As a proud economically-literate Brit, it's a disappointing situation to contend with. |
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I think it's clear the expected impact of Brexit I believe would happen has not happened. We've not even had a mild recession. At the same time though the economy isn't exactly doing great either, it's clearly slowed and even more so compared to Europe and America. We've slipped pretty far down. And Leavers are also not seeing the optimistic projections working out either. The EU hasn't exactly folded to our whims. The EU is not begging to give us a trade deal at the demands of German car manufactures. Instead we've had a rather pragmatic and to some sobering negotiation so far. It's not been great, it's not been a disaster. . |
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There are aspects of the negotiations that are not being publicly discussed and the initial stage was always going to be difficult but things are not as one sided as they are being portrayed currently and discussions will move onto areas where the UK holds the upper hand. There will be a reciprocal trade deal that will give neither side everything it wants but will give each side enough to live with. MrK we were told almost gauranteed by numerous politicians and experts that there would be an immediate economic hit of large scale it never happened and saying "in the coming decades" well in or out of the EU economic downturns will happen just as they did while we were members of the EU so that's a little silly isn't it.
As I've said time will tell the reality but on balance it will be leavers rather then remainers that will be more satisfied. This is not even touching on the growing problems within the EU lets please not pretend that just over the channel is a utopia with no issue's and as usual the EU is moving at a snails pace trying to catch up on how to deal with those issue's. The one thing that remain supporters have to stop doing is pretending that the leave campaign which was shockingly bad and just as full of lies and exaggerations as the remain campaign somehow changed the opinions of voters whilst the remain campaign didn't. You can't have it both ways both campaigns were pathetic and both may have had an impact on how some chose to vote but the majority knew how they were going to vote before the campaigns and were not altered by the fiasco that followed. |
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What does that even mean ? When did you comment on the mirror article you linked to this morning, I am not talking about what you posted historically ? Still no answer on the % of people 'taken in' by Remain lies, that the mirror conveniently forgot to report on, but then again, it's a paper that supports a Racist/Anti-Semitic political party AKA Labour. Enough said. |
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As long as you believe it RK, that's the main thing ;)
Has it made our country a more united happy place? Are we still 'all in it together'? I'd suggest those heading our negotiations have only their own interests and ambitions at heart. ---------- Post added at 22:00 ---------- Previous post was at 21:56 ---------- Quote:
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I think your the last one to insinuate delusions given nothing you've predicted has come to pass and yet you continually repeat it ad infinitum and everytime it fails to materialise you move the clock back and just rinse and repeat.
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(Rhetorical question by the way) I tell you what. I can give you a nice forum break if you cannot learn to mind your own business regarding team actions or decisions I make. There is a topic here, I suggest you stick to it. |
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I think I gave my opinion on the lies remain told, it irked me so much at one point I would've voted leave there and then, as for a figure on numbers taken in by remain lies, it was probably a lot, not sure why that matters though, it doesn't make what leave did right nor excuse them from what they did and if remains lies had won the day don't think I wouldn't be on here banging on about it just as much, probably more so in fact as deep down I'd feel like I'd have been taken in by them by association Quote:
That's the democracy we keep banging on about and threatening to export to other countries, 26% think they were lied to :( |
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There really is no point attempting to rationally discuss this with you MrK your in your own little world you were quite vocal about how dire things would happen if there was a leave vote and it would be almost immediate it didn't happen but rather then admit you got it wrong along with many politicians and experts you just say "brexit hasn't happened yet". I'm very aware of the state of things and certainly wouldn't choose you as a source for any information i needed as there are infinitely better resources for me you got it wrong it's that simple just give it up rather then desperate statements like "decades to come" which shows how badly your in denial.
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On the who lied and when during the campaign, Full Fact and The UK In A Changing Europe (Funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), and based at King’s College London) produced a nice booklet going through at least some of the claims made by both sides - http://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uplo...the-claims.pdf |
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Seeing as almost every "consequence" of leaving the EU has not come to pass. |
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Civitas report (pdf) |
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