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Chris 27-01-2022 16:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111305)
BOOM! Headshot. Proceed to the next level.

Funny how he’s viewed the thread since I posted this but hasn’t seen fit to comment. He very quickly offered such forthright opinions when he was convinced he was right.

Mad Max 27-01-2022 20:35

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36111371)
Funny how he’s viewed the thread since I posted this but hasn’t seen fit to comment. He very quickly offered such forthright opinions when he was convinced he was right.

Often happens to those who think that they know better.

Damien 27-01-2022 20:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111202)
The scientists have cried wolf too many times and people now (the ones that have haven't been frightened into submission over the last two years) will just shrug their shoulders at news of another variant.

I think this is unfair and inaccurate really.

They were right that both the Alpha and Delta waves. Witty was even right back as the initial wave was declining that we would see another peak in December 2020. The Delta wave was worse than many on his forum were saying at the time as I remember it was being downplayed then as well.

It's really this latest wave that has thankfully not proven as bad as initially feared and I suspect we're in the endgame now as each new wave is less and less serious which is how we assumed this would end.

This has not been a fun couple of years. We've had two major waves of this virus and people seem to react to that in different ways, some people are understandably anxious when they see the numbers go up and others are understandably tired of the whole thing and want to move on. If you try to remember that people aren't being vindictive in their reaction it could help.

Pierre 27-01-2022 21:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36111404)
I
It's really this latest wave that has thankfully not proven as bad as initially feared

Feared! Feared or hyped?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...say-scientists

No one is going to listen to them anymore.

The government have lost their moral authority

Sage and independent sage and a whole host of other rent-a-gobs are spent.

Damien 27-01-2022 21:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111407)
Feared! Feared or hyped?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...say-scientists

No one is going to listen to them anymore.

The government have lost their moral authority

Sage and independent sage and a whole host of other rent-a-gobs are spent.

I don't think SAGE are spent. The Government will always need scientific advisors even if the Government itself has lost its moral authority.

As I said there is a lot science got right in this pandemic. The initial lockdown was clearly correct and given what happened with Delta that too was the right decision which, in hindsight, the Government took too long to implement. We got the fastest developed vaccine in human history and remember it was our own experts who broke with global consensus to prioritise the first vaccine dose and who were vindicated as the numbers dropped. It was also our experts who wanted to rollout boosters faster than a lot of the world as well, that was initially before Omicron, and what a smart decision that was.

They were wrong about Omicron. I think it's understandable to be so. Like the Government with PPE and the timing of these lockdowns, you're not going to get everything right in a fast-changing environment where decisions need to be made quickly.

All of us, albeit no one here is an expert, would have got some things wrong. I remember I didn't think a vaccine would be developed in time, that herd immunity back in April 2020 was a good idea, that it would have been over a year ago and so on. I know you're not someone burdened with humility but I am sure if you were to revisit some of your predictions on how various waves would turn out there would be mistakes there too. Maybe everyone trying to own each other online about whose right and wrong is throwing stones in glass houses.

Hugh 27-01-2022 21:59

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111407)
Feared! Feared or hyped?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...say-scientists

No one is going to listen to them anymore.

The government have lost their moral authority

Sage and independent sage and a whole host of other rent-a-gobs are spent.

From your link

Quote:

Omicron could cause between 25,000 and 75,000 deaths in England over the next five months without tougher Covid restrictions, experts have told the government.

Scientists from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) also warned that Omicron, first discovered in southern Africa, is likely to be the dominant coronavirus variant by the end of the month.

Even in the most optimistic scenario, projected infections could lead to a peak of more than 2,000 daily hospital admissions, with a total of 175,000 hospital admissions and 24,700 deaths between 1 December and 30 April.
From the 1st of December, we have had over 83,000 hospital admissions and over 9,400 deaths.

Total admissions to date 23/01/2021 - 688,800
Total admissions to date 01/12/2021 - 605,123

Total Deaths within 28 days of positive test by date of death 26/01/2022 - 155,036
Total Deaths within 28 days of positive test by date of death 26/01/2022 - 145,604

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths

Looks like we are (unfortunately) on track for around 25k deaths and 200k hospital admissions, if the current figures continue.

Chris 27-01-2022 22:06

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36111404)
I think this is unfair and inaccurate really.

They were right that both the Alpha and Delta waves. Witty was even right back as the initial wave was declining that we would see another peak in December 2020. The Delta wave was worse than many on his forum were saying at the time as I remember it was being downplayed then as well.

It's really this latest wave that has thankfully not proven as bad as initially feared and I suspect we're in the endgame now as each new wave is less and less serious which is how we assumed this would end.

This has not been a fun couple of years. We've had two major waves of this virus and people seem to react to that in different ways, some people are understandably anxious when they see the numbers go up and others are understandably tired of the whole thing and want to move on. If you try to remember that people aren't being vindictive in their reaction it could help.

The problem is that by the time Omicron started to bite in the UK there was mounting evidence from South Africa that it simply wasn’t as serious an infection as previous variants. This was pooh-poohed on here by certain posters who seem to have no concept of disagreeing well with those who hold a different view than their own. The mere suggestion that we might learn something from elsewhere in the world was rejected as some sort of Bullingdon club plot and South Africa’s relatively younger population held up as somehow self-evident proof that we could learn nothing from them. I think it ought to have been obvious that whatever the demographic differences things simply couldn’t be so different that we couldn’t risk taking serious note of what was going on,

The data from the last 4 weeks demonstrates that South Africa told us everything we needed to know about Omicron, and just how far we actually needed to trash Christmas and New Year in fear of it. The obvious over-reaction in Whitehall and particularly in the devolved administrations will come back to bite us all on the bum if we have to go through all this again because people will be less willing to believe another cry of “wolf”.

Personally I’d love it if some people on here were a little less quick to use the pandemic as a means of demonstrating their supposed moral superiority. And no, I don’t think that means we can’t disagree; I do think it means we need to stop attributing craven self-interest or ideology to those who view things differently.

Pierre 27-01-2022 22:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111409)
From your link



From the 1st of December, we have had over 84,000 hospital admissions and over 9,400 deaths.

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/healthcare

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/deaths

Looks like we are (unfortunately) on track for around 25k deaths and 200k hospital admissions, if the current figures continue.

“Optimistic” and or “realistic” projections we can get board with.

But as we all know, and as was admitted to Fraser Nelson by a sage scientist, only Worst Case scenarios are put forward, and ( not sage’s fault) grabbed by the MSM and pushed by them.

---------- Post added at 22:17 ---------- Previous post was at 22:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36111410)
Personally I’d love it if some people on here were a little less quick to use the pandemic as a means of demonstrating their supposed moral superiority.

Amen.

Damien 27-01-2022 22:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36111410)
The problem is that by the time Omicron started to bite in the UK there was mounting evidence from South Africa that it simply wasn’t as serious an infection as previous variants.

This was very fast-moving though, we're talking about new data coming out every day, and there was also concern on exactly what the data was telling us.

I think you can forgive scientists and the Government for acting with caution when presented with incomplete data. Even if it was only because of their experiences with not being cautious enough a year earlier. Remember this was spreading at an alarming rate so if something about that South African data turned out not to be applicable here the hospitalisation rate would have been huge and a couple of weeks delay means you don't have the luxury of waiting. You need to make a call.

Quote:

The data from the last 4 weeks demonstrates that South Africa told us everything we needed to know about Omicron, and just how far we actually needed to trash Christmas and New Year in fear of it. The obvious over-reaction in Whitehall and particularly in the devolved administrations will come back to bite us all on the bum if we have to go through all this again because people will be less willing to believe another cry of “wolf”.
I would hope the relative success we've had over the last two years would give people faith that we're actually quite capable people in dealing with this. The science got most of it right and getting some things wrong doesn't invalidate that, they'll get more things wrong I am sure.

jfman 28-01-2022 00:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36111410)
The problem is that by the time Omicron started to bite in the UK there was mounting evidence from South Africa that it simply wasn’t as serious an infection as previous variants. This was pooh-poohed on here by certain posters who seem to have no concept of disagreeing well with those who hold a different view than their own. The mere suggestion that we might learn something from elsewhere in the world was rejected as some sort of Bullingdon club plot and South Africa’s relatively younger population held up as somehow self-evident proof that we could learn nothing from them. I think it ought to have been obvious that whatever the demographic differences things simply couldn’t be so different that we couldn’t risk taking serious note of what was going on,

The data from the last 4 weeks demonstrates that South Africa told us everything we needed to know about Omicron, and just how far we actually needed to trash Christmas and New Year in fear of it. The obvious over-reaction in Whitehall and particularly in the devolved administrations will come back to bite us all on the bum if we have to go through all this again because people will be less willing to believe another cry of “wolf”.

Personally I’d love it if some people on here were a little less quick to use the pandemic as a means of demonstrating their supposed moral superiority. And no, I don’t think that means we can’t disagree; I do think it means we need to stop attributing craven self-interest or ideology to those who view things differently.

Yet Her Majesty's most glorious Government produces data that indicates the third dose of the vaccine (some 18 million mRNA doses since the start of December) is having the impact of significantly reducing the risk of both symptomatic infection and hospitalisation.

(Page 25)

https://assets.publishing.service.go...nuary-2022.pdf

The so-called "over-reaction" is far from obvious, even if the worst case scenarios never came to pass through voluntary behavioural changes, school closures limiting transmission, more working from home, etc.

There was no rush back to the pre-pandemic economy in the days of 30,000 infections 100 odd deaths in October. It's fantasy to imagine that six figures of cases and 300 odd deaths a day will bring back the halcyon days of 2019.

Chris 28-01-2022 07:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36111417)
Yet Her Majesty's most glorious Government produces data that indicates the third dose of the vaccine (some 18 million mRNA doses since the start of December) is having the impact of significantly reducing the risk of both symptomatic infection and hospitalisation.

(Page 25)

https://assets.publishing.service.go...nuary-2022.pdf

The so-called "over-reaction" is far from obvious, even if the worst case scenarios never came to pass through voluntary behavioural changes, school closures limiting transmission, more working from home, etc.

There was no rush back to the pre-pandemic economy in the days of 30,000 infections 100 odd deaths in October. It's fantasy to imagine that six figures of cases and 300 odd deaths a day will bring back the halcyon days of 2019.

All of which is less Jfman and more strawman. Maybe you should change your forum username.

jfman 28-01-2022 09:21

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 36111425)
All of which is less Jfman and more strawman. Maybe you should change your forum username.

It’s hardly a straw man unless you genuinely believe 20 million boosters had no impact on hospitalisations or deaths (against the scientific studies by the Government you usually so rubustly defend).

jonbxx 28-01-2022 09:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111407)
Feared! Feared or hyped?

https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...say-scientists

No one is going to listen to them anymore.

The government have lost their moral authority

Sage and independent sage and a whole host of other rent-a-gobs are spent.

It's the press who are fault here, not the scientists. They pick up figures from these studies and run with them with to regard to the uncertainties. That 75,000 figure in the Guardian who are amongst the worst for this is the worst case where previous immunity and booster effectiveness is poor.

The London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicines study is very clear on what was known and not known at that time;

Quote:

There is still substantial uncertainty surrounding the biological characteristics of the Omicron variant (particularly its clinical severity), the effectiveness of existing vaccines and pharmaceuticals, and the efficacy of control measures enacted by policymakers for suppressing SARS-CoV-2 transmission
Here is the study BTW

It looks like the whole study assumed that the severity of Omicron was the same as for Delta. Without good data at that time, they can only work with the information they do have and therefore used an existing variant as the baseline.

As always, the question needs to be asked is what are the consequences of being wrong? Over reacting and locking down hard when it wasn't needed will affect economies. Under reacting and not locking down when it was needed will kill people

Carth 28-01-2022 09:57

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111436)
<snip> It's the press who are fault here,

. . . applies to almost all stories thrown about with nothing but mayhem and backstabbing in mind.

Mr K 30-01-2022 21:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
I quite like this virus sometimes... :)
Quote:

Laurence Fox has revealed he has Covid-19 days after speaking out against the vaccine.

On Wednesday (26 January), Fox posted a photo of himself wearing a t-shirt that read: “No vaccine needed. I have an immune system.”

However, on Sunday (31 January), he shared a photo of a positive lateral flow test, telling his followers: “In other news, felt shivery and crap yesterday. Turns out I have been visited by Lord Covid at last and have the Omnicold (if the LFT is to be believed!)”
https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-e...-b2003747.html

papa smurf 30-01-2022 21:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36111682)
I quite like this virus sometimes... :)

https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-e...-b2003747.html

My triple vaccinated sister had it last week ,she said she felt really bad the symptoms were awful.

Chris 30-01-2022 21:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36111683)
My triple vaccinated sister had it last week ,she said she felt really bad the symptoms were awful.

Just as well she’s had all 3 then - if she’s still that susceptible after two vaccines plus the booster, then without them she might well have ended up in hospital.

Paul 30-01-2022 21:27

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

No vaccine needed. I have an immune system
Pretty much all of us have one of those, it doesnt mean it always copes well with everything (and everyone is different).

Damien 30-01-2022 21:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
One of the more annoying things about COVID is how some aspects of it have just become part of the culture war. So people don't take the vaccine or wear a mask purely to make a statement, or people make a show about how concerned they are and insist they will wear an N95 mask everywhere and stay indoors because 'it's not over yet'. Everyone suddenly taking Ivermectin just because it's become this rallying point for American culture warriors is another example.

Pierre 30-01-2022 22:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36111682)
I quite like this virus sometimes... :)

https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-e...-b2003747.html

Well it shows the bad decisions made by the gov, and all bull sheet spouted by the rent-a-gob scientists and doctors.

The vaccine(s) are great at preventing you, personally, from getting really Ill………..and that is about it.

By taking the vaccine you are not saving granny, Helping anyone ( other than yourself) or doing diddlysquat.

The vaccines are for personal protection. This is were the narrative had to change and most of the population said screw it.

Thankfully it’s over now. Wear a mask if you need to but we’re all past that now.

nffc 30-01-2022 22:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36111691)
One of the more annoying things about COVID is how some aspects of it have just become part of the culture war. So people don't take the vaccine or wear a mask purely to make a statement, or people make a show about how concerned they are and insist they will wear an N95 mask everywhere and stay indoors because 'it's not over yet'. Everyone suddenly taking Ivermectin just because it's become this rallying point for American culture warriors is another example.

Quite a lot is virtue signalling these days to be honest...

1andrew1 30-01-2022 22:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111694)
Quite a lot is virtue signalling these days to be honest...

I think that choice of terminology underlines Damien's point.

Hugh 30-01-2022 22:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111693)
Well it shows the bad decisions made by the gov, and all bull sheet spouted by the rent-a-gob scientists and doctors.

The vaccine(s) are great at preventing you, personally, from getting really Ill………..and that is about it.

By taking the vaccine you are not saving granny, Helping anyone ( other than yourself) or doing diddlysquat.

The vaccines are for personal protection. This is were the narrative had to change and most of the population said screw it.

Thankfully it’s over now. Wear a mask if you need to but we’re all past that now.

https://www.newscientist.com/article...re-vaccinated/
Quote:

People who are fully vaccinated against covid-19 are far less likely to infect others, despite the arrival of the delta variant, several studies show. The findings refute the idea, which has become common in some circles, that vaccines no longer do much to prevent the spread of the coronavirus.

“They absolutely do reduce transmission,” says Christopher Byron Brooke at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. “Vaccinated people do transmit the virus in some cases, but the data are super crystal-clear that the risk of transmission for a vaccinated individual is much, much lower than for an unvaccinated individual.”

A recent study found that vaccinated people infected with the delta variant are 63 per cent less likely to infect people who are unvaccinated.
https://www.news-medical.net/news/20...ssibility.aspx
Quote:

The study findings show that vaccination reduces SARS-CoV-2 transmission and should therefore be employed to reduce the risk of infection among susceptible populations who are in contact with infected individuals.
https://www.osfhealthcare.org/blog/f...-19-to-others/
Quote:

"We do not have conclusive proof. But more and more studies and real-world evidence points to fully vaccinated people, who are not immunocompromised, are less likely to transmit the virus if they become infected,” said Brian Laird, PharmD, a manager in Pharmacy Operations at OSF HealthCare.

“The reason why is that vaccinated people have a lower viral load if they get infected,” Brian said.

Viral load means the amount of virus an infected person produces. If the viral load is significantly smaller because someone is vaccinated, that lessens the risk of transmitting the virus to others through the transmission of respiratory droplets.

Damien 30-01-2022 22:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36111695)
I think that choice of terminology underlines Damien's point.

Nah I think he's got it.

My point is there is a lot of performance to it now. This guy wears a t-shirt proclaiming he won't get the vaccine and he is taking treatments with little medical backing because it's become a thing over in America. People who won't respect a shop's request to wear a mask as a point of principle.

But there is some the other way too where people announce to the world that the pandemic isn't over and they, being the good citizens they are, have decided they're going to stay in lockdown or whatever.

People just need to chill out a bit. Not everything has to be a fight.

pip08456 30-01-2022 22:41

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36111691)
One of the more annoying things about COVID is how some aspects of it have just become part of the culture war. So people don't take the vaccine or wear a mask purely to make a statement, or people make a show about how concerned they are and insist they will wear an N95 mask everywhere and stay indoors because 'it's not over yet'. Everyone suddenly taking Ivermectin just because it's become this rallying point for American culture warriors is another example.

Just goes to show how successful the fear mongering by Govenment and MSM has been.

Those who (rightly IMHO) didn't believe it naturally rebel.

Mr K 30-01-2022 23:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36111698)
Just goes to show how successful the fear mongering by Govenment and MSM has been.

Those who (rightly IMHO) didn't believe it naturally rebel.

Yes, guess the 156,000 UK deaths are just down to fear mongering...

Anyway, let's hope lovely Lawrence Fox is OK and doesn't develop any complications from being a rebel without a cause...

Jimmy-J 31-01-2022 02:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
Had a feeling this would never happen.

"U-turn on mandatory Covid vaccinations for NHS and social care workers"

Quote:

Mandatory Covid jabs for NHS and social care workers are set to be scrapped, The Telegraph can reveal, after warnings of crippling staff shortages if the plan went ahead.

Sajid Javid, the Health Secretary, will on Monday meet fellow ministers on the Covid-Operations Cabinet committee to rubber stamp the decision on the about-turn.
Linkage-1

Linkage-2

Paul 31-01-2022 02:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
About time.
It made no sense at all, and given that Wales, Scotland and [likely] Northan Ireland had no plans to do the same, just made them look like nanny state fools.

nffc 31-01-2022 07:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36111695)
I think that choice of terminology underlines Damien's point.

I don't.

papa smurf 31-01-2022 09:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimmy-J (Post 36111711)
Had a feeling this would never happen.

"U-turn on mandatory Covid vaccinations for NHS and social care workers"



Linkage-1

Linkage-2

How many virtue signalling gob shytes will refuse treatment by the unclean :shrug:

Pierre 31-01-2022 09:39

Re: Coronavirus
 
well the obvious question then, in such "overwhelming" evidence, is why the need for restrictions in a highly vaccinated population?

Damien 31-01-2022 09:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36111730)
well the obvious question then, in such "overwhelming" evidence, is why the need for restrictions in a highly vaccinated population?

We've been through this before but the concern was that Omicron had significant vaccine escape and the vaccine doesn't stop you from getting COVID, it helps reduce the chances of getting COVID, then if that fails it reduces the chances of serious symptoms and so on.

It's all a percentage game but when you're dealing with very high numbers, 67 million people in the UK, then those numbers can add up quickly.

nffc 31-01-2022 10:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36111724)
How many virtue signalling gob shytes will refuse treatment by the unclean :shrug:

Well, they can always be given the option to refuse treatment from an unvaccinated member of staff and then drop further behind in the queue to wait for a vaccinated one?

Not sure their issue with it either. They're presumably routine tested to ensure they don't have covid, and may have medical or other reasons not to be vaccinated. And as has already recently been emphasised on here getting vaccinated neither stops you getting or spreading covid anyway.


Definite virtue signalling. They're acting more superior because they're vaccinated.

jonbxx 31-01-2022 10:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
You can't do virtue signalling unless you have virtues to signal...

Knowing that the vaccine;
  • Reduces infection, meaning that you are available to do your job and not isolating
  • Reduces symptomatic disease
  • Reduces hospitalisation, freeing up NHS resources
  • Reduces mortality so there's a good chance they will come back to work
  • Reduces transmission, making society safer as a whole

You would have to question someone working in the healthcare field who refused the vaccine, putting themselves and those around them at risk

Chris 31-01-2022 10:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111737)
You can't do virtue signalling unless you have virtues to signal...

Knowing that the vaccine;
  • Reduces infection, meaning that you are available to do your job and not isolating
  • Reduces symptomatic disease
  • Reduces hospitalisation, freeing up NHS resources
  • Reduces mortality so there's a good chance they will come back to work
  • Reduces transmission, making society safer as a whole

You would have to question someone working in the healthcare field who refused the vaccine, putting themselves and those around them at risk

Minor correction …. You can’t do virtue signalling unless you possess the things perceived as virtuous by your peer group. Which means falling on your sword rather than getting vaccinated is highly virtuous if you’re trying to impress your anti-vax Facebook mates.

papa smurf 31-01-2022 10:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111734)
Well, they can always be given the option to refuse treatment from an unvaccinated member of staff and then drop further behind in the queue to wait for a vaccinated one?

Not sure their issue with it either. They're presumably routine tested to ensure they don't have covid, and may have medical or other reasons not to be vaccinated. And as has already recently been emphasised on here getting vaccinated neither stops you getting or spreading covid anyway.


Definite virtue signalling. They're acting more superior because they're vaccinated.






And some who spent a life time denying science now see themselves as leading experts in it now they are jabbed.

Mr K 31-01-2022 10:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36111724)
How many virtue signalling gob shytes will refuse treatment by the unclean :shrug:

How many gob shytes, or their families, will complain if they contract covid in hospital from the staff ? :shrug:

Sephiroth 31-01-2022 11:13

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111737)
You can't do virtue signalling unless you have virtues to signal...

Knowing that the vaccine;
  • Reduces infection, meaning that you are available to do your job and not isolating
  • Reduces symptomatic disease
  • Reduces hospitalisation, freeing up NHS resources
  • Reduces mortality so there's a good chance they will come back to work
  • Reduces transmission, making society safer as a whole

You would have to question someone working in the healthcare field who refused the vaccine, putting themselves and those around them at risk


If the vaccine reduces transmission then vaccinated people in hospital are less likely to become infected themselves - and, indeed, from what?

It's no axiom that an unvaccinated person is infected with Covid.

Personally, it seems mad not to be vaccinated - but what will do more harm? Losing thousands of medically qualified staff or the risk of becoming infected and passing Covid on to hospital patients? Especially when there are good treatments for the disease.


papa smurf 31-01-2022 11:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36111742)
How many gob shytes, or their families, will complain if they contract covid in hospital from the staff ? :shrug:

If you turn up to hospital after a car accident and the doctor says your legs hanging off but i can save it, but i haven't had any covid jabs and no other doctor/ surgeon is available, do you want them to proceed with the operation or do you want to stay in the ambulance until you bleed to death :shrug:

nffc 31-01-2022 11:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111737)
You can't do virtue signalling unless you have virtues to signal...

Knowing that the vaccine;
  • Reduces infection, meaning that you are available to do your job and not isolating
  • Reduces symptomatic disease
  • Reduces hospitalisation, freeing up NHS resources
  • Reduces mortality so there's a good chance they will come back to work
  • Reduces transmission, making society safer as a whole

You would have to question someone working in the healthcare field who refused the vaccine, putting themselves and those around them at risk

Well, first of all I don't see any reason why the vast majority wouldn't get vaccinated. As you say, even if it doesn't eliminate, it reduces covid outcomes, and reduces them more effectively the more severe the outcome. Protecting others is a sideshow to getting yourself protected but it's all still important.


I don't realistically see why anyone, especially those working in the front line of the NHS, or any job where they are in contact with a lot of people, shouldn't be vaccinated.


Nor do I see the logic in anyone refusing the vaccination unless they have a valid medical or other reason not to.


But, we do not live in a country where vaccination is mandatory, nor should we. People ultimately do have and should have that choice.


NHS workers should be no different from this. It is ultimately their risk if they decline protection against the virus, though there is still the ongoing discussion over the relative protections of having the virus vs vaccination. I would assume at this stage that virus testing, use of PPE, etc, is still being used for anyone (given the immune escape of Omicron vs prior infection).



I guess they could make it a contractual obligation for NHS workers to be vaccinated or have a valid exception and then dismiss the others. But ultimately this move would exacerbate an existing staff shortage which is presumably one reason why it hasn't been done.


And this only goes so far to addressing the view of a patient who is refusing to get treated by an unvaccinated NHS worker. This is virtue signalling as it's projecting your virtue that everyone should be vaccinated, onto someone who you are dealing with, whose vaccination status you have no right to know, and assuming other mitigations are in place to reduce the chance you will get covid from them, no risk to you anyway. Presumably these also apply the no vaccinated rule to bus drivers, delivery drivers, supermarket workers, and anyone else they come into any form of contact in their lives? You are mainly correct, but it still is virtue signalling, amongst other things.



There's nothing wrong with good vaccine takeup but people should stick to their own business.

jonbxx 31-01-2022 12:50

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111750)
Well, first of all I don't see any reason why the vast majority wouldn't get vaccinated. As you say, even if it doesn't eliminate, it reduces covid outcomes, and reduces them more effectively the more severe the outcome. Protecting others is a sideshow to getting yourself protected but it's all still important.


I don't realistically see why anyone, especially those working in the front line of the NHS, or any job where they are in contact with a lot of people, shouldn't be vaccinated.


Nor do I see the logic in anyone refusing the vaccination unless they have a valid medical or other reason not to.


But, we do not live in a country where vaccination is mandatory, nor should we. People ultimately do have and should have that choice.


NHS workers should be no different from this. It is ultimately their risk if they decline protection against the virus, though there is still the ongoing discussion over the relative protections of having the virus vs vaccination. I would assume at this stage that virus testing, use of PPE, etc, is still being used for anyone (given the immune escape of Omicron vs prior infection).



I guess they could make it a contractual obligation for NHS workers to be vaccinated or have a valid exception and then dismiss the others. But ultimately this move would exacerbate an existing staff shortage which is presumably one reason why it hasn't been done.


And this only goes so far to addressing the view of a patient who is refusing to get treated by an unvaccinated NHS worker. This is virtue signalling as it's projecting your virtue that everyone should be vaccinated, onto someone who you are dealing with, whose vaccination status you have no right to know, and assuming other mitigations are in place to reduce the chance you will get covid from them, no risk to you anyway. Presumably these also apply the no vaccinated rule to bus drivers, delivery drivers, supermarket workers, and anyone else they come into any form of contact in their lives? You are mainly correct, but it still is virtue signalling, amongst other things.



There's nothing wrong with good vaccine takeup but people should stick to their own business.

Would you not have an expectation that going to a hospital whose sole purpose is your good health that staff should take all reasonable efforts to ensure exactly that? It's not protecting your virtue, it's protecting your health.

I am taking my daughter to a hospital appointment this week and if my daughter or I were to get infected from an unvaccinated health provider, should I shrug my shoulders and say that's the price to pay for someone else's freedom?

Hugh 31-01-2022 13:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111734)
Well, they can always be given the option to refuse treatment from an unvaccinated member of staff and then drop further behind in the queue to wait for a vaccinated one?

Not sure their issue with it either. They're presumably routine tested to ensure they don't have covid, and may have medical or other reasons not to be vaccinated. And as has already recently been emphasised on here getting vaccinated neither stops you getting or spreading covid anyway.


Definite virtue signalling. They're acting more superior because they're vaccinated.

But it does reduce the chance of you spreading it, or having severe symptoms/being hospitalised.

Not much in this world is 100% effective (for example, even though cars have brakes, there are still car crashes all the time, but I don’t hear a widespread outcry for people to be allowed to not have brakes/seatbelts/airbags in their cars), but surely a reduction in infection/severity is worthwhile. According to your logic, wearing a seatbelt is "virtue signalling".

https://www.sciencemediacentre.org/e...lege-hospital/
Quote:

“There is a logical fallacy sometimes referred to as the Nirvana fallacy – that if something is not totally effective, it is useless and not worth using.[2] This is a trope common to anti-science and antivaccine advocates. It seems to be his primary argument. Even if vaccination only halves the likelihood that a healthcare worker will be infected and infect others, that is very valuable.

“And the efficacy against serious illness is much higher than it is against infection and transmission. If anybody – healthcare worker or otherwise – gets ill and blocks a hospital or ICU bed for weeks, because they declined vaccination, they deny treatment to many other people, given that the NHS has far-too limited resources. This is irresponsible.

OLD BOY 31-01-2022 14:14

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111761)
Would you not have an expectation that going to a hospital whose sole purpose is your good health that staff should take all reasonable efforts to ensure exactly that? It's not protecting your virtue, it's protecting your health.

I am taking my daughter to a hospital appointment this week and if my daughter or I were to get infected from an unvaccinated health provider, should I shrug my shoulders and say that's the price to pay for someone else's freedom?

You could always sue…

nffc 31-01-2022 14:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111764)
worthwhile. According to your logic, warning a seatbelt is "virtue signalling".

No it isn't.


But someone going round banging on doors of cars where people aren't, or drawing overt attention to the fact that they are wearing a seatbelt, would be virtue signalling.


I do understand that the vaccines reduce the risk even if they don't eliminate it...

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111761)
Would you not have an expectation that going to a hospital whose sole purpose is your good health that staff should take all reasonable efforts to ensure exactly that? It's not protecting your virtue, it's protecting your health.

I am taking my daughter to a hospital appointment this week and if my daughter or I were to get infected from an unvaccinated health provider, should I shrug my shoulders and say that's the price to pay for someone else's freedom?

I'd expect that the hospital would have mitigations in place to ensure that staff or other patients did not spread infectious diseases.


Not just covid, but other infections like norovirus, flu, colds, MRSA, etc etc.


In the case of specifically covid, we know that even vaccinated people can spread it, so the chance of getting from an unvaccinated person exists similarly that the chance of getting it from a vaccinated person does.


So they should be doing daily LFTs, regular PCRs as often as is practical, wearing proper surgical PPE and changing it when it's contaminated, ventilation systems checked, adequate cleaning, it's all part of the jigsaw to keep people safe where there are sick people and germs all over.


I'm pro-vaccination, it's the best way we have out of this, and the best solution we have to stopping people getting covid, but no vaccine is perfect, it's one tactic. So actually, whilst I largely agree with you, they shouldn't be relying on that a staff member is vaccinated to say that this staff member is OK to act without other precautions anyway. And as these precautions would identify if someone is covid positive then they would equally apply to non vaccinated staff. That's sensible really.

Hugh 31-01-2022 15:17

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36111767)
You could always sue…

But wouldn't reduction of risk be better than the increased possibility of a sick child - suing won't help the child's health.

---------- Post added at 15:17 ---------- Previous post was at 15:15 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111768)
No it isn't.


But someone going round banging on doors of cars where people aren't, or drawing overt attention to the fact that they are wearing a seatbelt, would be virtue signalling.


I do understand that the vaccines reduce the risk even if they don't eliminate it...


I'd expect that the hospital would have mitigations in place to ensure that staff or other patients did not spread infectious diseases.


Not just covid, but other infections like norovirus, flu, colds, MRSA, etc etc.


In the case of specifically covid, we know that even vaccinated people can spread it, so the chance of getting from an unvaccinated person exists similarly that the chance of getting it from a vaccinated person does.


So they should be doing daily LFTs, regular PCRs as often as is practical, wearing proper surgical PPE and changing it when it's contaminated, ventilation systems checked, adequate cleaning, it's all part of the jigsaw to keep people safe where there are sick people and germs all over.


I'm pro-vaccination, it's the best way we have out of this, and the best solution we have to stopping people getting covid, but no vaccine is perfect, it's one tactic. So actually, whilst I largely agree with you, they shouldn't be relying on that a staff member is vaccinated to say that this staff member is OK to act without other precautions anyway. And as these precautions would identify if someone is covid positive then they would equally apply to non vaccinated staff. That's sensible really.

1 - have to say, I've not seen anyone going around telling everyone they're vacccinated

2 - You keep posting this, but that does not make it true - being vaccinated reduces the risk of spreading COVID.

nffc 31-01-2022 16:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111782)
But wouldn't reduction of risk be better than the increased possibility of a sick child - suing won't help the child's health.

---------- Post added at 15:17 ---------- Previous post was at 15:15 ----------



1 - have to say, I've not seen anyone going around telling everyone they're vacccinated

2 - You keep posting this, but that does not make it true - being vaccinated reduces the risk of spreading COVID.

1. I meant more banging on car doors of people not wearing seat belts pointing out this fact. Like vaccinated people banging on at unvaccinated people that they aren't vaccinated.


2. Yes. It reduces it but it does not eliminate it, which is what I'm saying :) We are both right.

papa smurf 31-01-2022 16:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111782)
But wouldn't reduction of risk be better than the increased possibility of a sick child - suing won't help the child's health.

---------- Post added at 15:17 ---------- Previous post was at 15:15 ----------



1 - have to say, I've not seen anyone going around telling everyone they're vacccinated

2 - You keep posting this, but that does not make it true - being vaccinated reduces the risk of spreading COVID.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36106631)
Had my Moderna booster 26th November, felt under the weather for a day, then OK.


Chris 31-01-2022 17:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
In a thread deliberately designed to allow us to share our experiences of the vaccine programme?

This is pretty desperate even for you.

Hugh 31-01-2022 18:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111791)
1. I meant more banging on car doors of people not wearing seat belts pointing out this fact. Like vaccinated people banging on at unvaccinated people that they aren't vaccinated.


2. Yes. It reduces it but it does not eliminate it, which is what I'm saying :) We are both right.

You said
Quote:

In the case of specifically covid, we know that even vaccinated people can spread it, so the chance of getting from an unvaccinated person exists similarly that the chance of getting it from a vaccinated person does.
There’s actually a lesser chance, not similar, of being infected by a vaccinated person.

nffc 31-01-2022 19:08

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111809)
You said

There’s actually a lesser chance, not similar, of being infected by a vaccinated person.

I said similarly. The chance exists to get covid from a vaccinated person. As it does from getting an unvaccinated person... ;)
It doesn't mean that the chance is necessarily the same ...

Paul 31-01-2022 19:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111764)
But it does reduce the chance of you spreading it, or having severe symptoms/being hospitalised.

Masks do that (so everyone keeps telling us :erm:).
So front line NHS staff are all still using them (and generally insisting patients / visitors do as well) what's the issue ? or do masks suddenly not work now ?

Damien 31-01-2022 19:32

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36111818)
Masks do that (so everyone keeps telling us :erm:).
So front line NHS staff are all still using them (and generally insisting patients / visitors do as well) what's the issue ? or do masks suddenly not work now ?

I think N95 ones are pretty effective, our cloth ones much less so (much less than the vaccine).

With the NHS though I think the unvaccinated staff members take daily tests.

Paul 31-01-2022 19:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36111782)
... being vaccinated reduces the risk of spreading COVID.

You keep posting this, but that does not make it true. ;)

Is there evidence that vaccinations reduce the actual transmissibility of the virus ?

As I understand it, they reduce the chance of you being ill, and mean your body is better prepared to fight it off quicker, so there may be a shorter period in which you can pass it on, but I dont think they reduce you risk of passing it on while actually infected ?

Damien 31-01-2022 19:56

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36111821)
You keep posting this, but that does not make it true. ;)

Is there evidence that vaccinations reduce the actual transmissibility of the virus ?

As I understand it, they reduce the chance of you being ill, and mean your body is better prepared to fight it off quicker, so there may be a shorter period in which you can pass it on, but I dont think they reduce you risk of passing it on while actually infected ?

Here is some stuff on that: https://fullfact.org/online/neil-oli...ccines-effect/

Quote:

Dr Peter English, a retired consultant in communicable disease control and former editor of Vaccines in Practice, told Full Fact via the Science Media Centre: “We know that two doses of Covid-19 vaccines reduce your chances of being infected and passing the disease on to others to about 20%.

“Some would say in response to that "so it doesn't prevent onward transmission" and they'd be right that it doesn't completely prevent this; but it does reduce the chances by about 80%. So others would say "it does prevent onward transmission [by about 80%]".

However, more recent data suggests that vaccination may not hugely reduce the risk of transmitting the Delta variant within households. A study published in The Lancet Infectious Diseases in October, which measured the likelihood of catching the Delta variant from someone else in your household, found a fully vaccinated individual has a 25% chance of catching the virus from an infected household member, while an unvaccinated person has a 38% chance.
So yes although less so if you're in the same household (which i guess means prolonged exposure to the virus).

Here is some more on it: https://www.newscientist.com/article...re-vaccinated/

And obviously if you have a reduced chance of getting it then you can't spread it at all.

Mr K 31-01-2022 20:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
The Foreign Secretary has just tested postive for Covid. Silly girl didn't wear a mask in Parliament today either. Let's hope she doesn't bring down half the Govt. down, actually that might improve things ....

Outbreak at my office too, so much for the muppets that went back !

nffc 31-01-2022 21:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36111824)
The Foreign Secretary has just tested postive for Covid. Silly girl didn't wear a mask in Parliament today either. Let's hope she doesn't bring down half the Govt. down, actually that might improve things ....

Outbreak at my office too, so much for the muppets that went back !

Zahawi tested positive as well.


And I had noticed earlier the mask wearing is now a bit more mixed, as it is generally anywhere.

papa smurf 31-01-2022 21:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36111824)
The Foreign Secretary has just tested postive for Covid. Silly girl didn't wear a mask in Parliament today either. Let's hope she doesn't bring down half the Govt. down, actually that might improve things ....

Outbreak at my office too, so much for the muppets that went back !

she was facing the opposition benches, how far do droplets travel :erm:

Mr K 31-01-2022 21:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36111826)
she was facing the opposition benches, how far do droplets travel :erm:

2 sword lengths apart apparently, 3.96m, for obvious reasons... Be more worried if I was sat next to her, and in Bozzas little meeting afterwards which she attended with all the Tory MPs. It was after that, she decided to take a test...:dunce:

Paul 01-02-2022 00:38

Re: Coronavirus
 
I was in my house for 3 weeks with my daughter, and then wife, both getting infected - it still never made it past my body's defences. ;)

jonbxx 01-02-2022 08:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36111836)
I was in my house for 3 weeks with my daughter, and then wife, both getting infected - it still never made it past my body's defences. ;)

We're riding that wave now - my eldest has it and the rest of us don't. Her red line came up in seconds so she must be riddled with it! Doing daily testing right now to cover options for a hospital appointment later this week. Touch wood, we will keep getting negative results...

Carth 01-02-2022 10:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36111836)
I was in my house for 3 weeks with my daughter, and then wife, both getting infected - it still never made it past my body's defences. ;)

Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111846)
We're riding that wave now - my eldest has it and the rest of us don't. Her red line came up in seconds so she must be riddled with it! Doing daily testing right now to cover options for a hospital appointment later this week. Touch wood, we will keep getting negative results...

We eventually got a hit too when the daughter (2 jabs) tested positive beginning of January and tested positive for a whole 3 weeks. She works from home, as does the wife, and they share the kitchen table (large kitchen/diner) as a workspace. Neither the wife or myself (both 3 jabs) tested positive during that time.

:shrug:

Mad Max 01-02-2022 20:45

Re: Coronavirus
 
I have a pretty heavy cold, usual stuff for this time of year, in fact, I rarely pick up anything, must be the red wine :p:
Did I take a test, nope, and have no intention of doing so.

nffc 01-02-2022 22:03

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36111948)
I have a pretty heavy cold, usual stuff for this time of year, in fact, I rarely pick up anything, must be the red wine :p:
Did I take a test, nope, and have no intention of doing so.

You potentially should if you're off out anywhere as there's a reasonable chance it could actually be covid.


But in the hypothetical sense, where exactly do we draw the line with this ultimately being "over"? I'd personally right now draw the line at asymptomatic testing; though there is a possibility someone has covid with no symptoms at all, it's probably more likely they do have some, even if it's just mild tiredness, headache, a slightly iffy throat, blocked nose etc. If you're not coughing or sneezing all over the place which forces out then any aerosols are going to come from breathing, talking, singing, etc which isn't as much. Longer term we can't keep testing anyone with any symptoms which aren't normal for them because we'd still need to be giving out LFTs and keeping them around just in case. At some point that does have to end.

Damien 01-02-2022 22:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nffc (Post 36111961)
But in the hypothetical sense, where exactly do we draw the line with this ultimately being "over"? I'd personally right now draw the line at asymptomatic testing; though there is a possibility someone has covid with no symptoms at all, it's probably more likely they do have some, even if it's just mild tiredness, headache, a slightly iffy throat, blocked nose etc. If you're not coughing or sneezing all over the place which forces out then any aerosols are going to come from breathing, talking, singing, etc which isn't as much. Longer term we can't keep testing anyone with any symptoms which aren't normal for them because we'd still need to be giving out LFTs and keeping them around just in case. At some point that does have to end.

I think it will just tail off. This summer will probably be the most 'normal' we've had since this started with no restrictions and low rates once again as people are outdoors more.

Next winter is the big question mark now. Can we get through it without another outbreak that leads to hospitalisation? Will there be another booster program in September and if so, who qualifies?

The final stage will be if it just resembles a normal flu season. Testing might stop then?

TheDaddy 01-02-2022 23:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36111745)

Personally, it seems mad not to be vaccinated - but what will do more harm? Losing thousands of medically qualified staff or the risk of becoming infected and passing Covid on to hospital patients? Especially when there are good treatments for the disease.

Cerebral venous thrombosis, thromboembolism and thrombocytopenia are three reasons some quack gave on the radio the other day

1andrew1 02-02-2022 00:07

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

UK squanders £10bn on defective or unsuitable PPE during pandemic

Health department accounts show largest writedown was £4.7bn for stock bought for higher than current market price

The UK squandered almost £10bn on defective, unsuitable and overpriced personal protective equipment as ministers rushed to meet unprecedented demand at the height of the coronavirus pandemic.

The losses, revealed in the Department of Health and Social Care’s annual report, will put more pressure on the government over its response to the Covid-19 crisis. It follows the recent resignation of Lord Theodore Agnew, the minister responsible for Whitehall efficiency, who criticised the UK government’s “lamentable record” on tackling fraud in a state-backed coronavirus business loan scheme.

The report shows the government had to write down £4.7bn spent on equipment because the market price of equivalent stock was lower than the price paid. An additional £4bn was spent on kit that was either faulty or surplus to requirements.
https://www.ft.com/content/740aa990-...b-0a5ce50b55c8

jonbxx 02-02-2022 08:44

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36111948)
I have a pretty heavy cold, usual stuff for this time of year, in fact, I rarely pick up anything, must be the red wine :p:
Did I take a test, nope, and have no intention of doing so.

Why wouldn't you get a test? Surely it's good to know if you could potentially COVID to others?

It's free and takes 15 minutes...

Sephiroth 02-02-2022 08:53

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111990)
Why wouldn't you get a test? Surely it's good to know if you could potentially COVID to others?

It's free and takes 15 minutes...


I've had two colds in the past 9 months and didn't take a test. I didn't want to know, as simple as that. If symptoms had worsened, then I would have taken a test.

I suspect that many people think that way.

Mr K 02-02-2022 09:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36111991)

I've had two colds in the past 9 months and didn't take a test. I didn't want to know, as simple as that. If symptoms had worsened, then I would have taken a test.

I suspect that many people think that way.

What about anyone else you came into contact with? They may be worse affected than you ?

spiderplant 02-02-2022 09:05

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDaddy (Post 36111978)
Cerebral venous thrombosis, thromboembolism and thrombocytopenia are three reasons some quack gave on the radio the other day

You are more likely to get those from the disease than the vaccine

https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/374/.../F1.medium.jpg

Sephiroth 02-02-2022 09:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36111992)
What about anyone else you came into contact with? They may be worse affected than you ?


I hardly go out, except to Waitrose so I didn't come into contact with anyone. Anyway, I had no respiratory issues and was fairly confident, in addition to not wishing to know.

EDIT: I hear you ask "how did you contract the cold?". Prolly my grand-children.

Damien 02-02-2022 09:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Sephiroth (Post 36111991)

I've had two colds in the past 9 months and didn't take a test. I didn't want to know, as simple as that. If symptoms had worsened, then I would have taken a test.

I suspect that many people think that way.

I think you would want to know because then you would also know you've got even better immunity when combined with the vaccine. I wish I had got an antibody test done before getting the very first vaccine to see if I ever had it in the initial wave.

heero_yuy 02-02-2022 09:46

Re: Coronavirus
 
If you know then you have to self isolate upon pain of £1,000 fine. If not then you don't.

Sephiroth 02-02-2022 10:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by heero_yuy (Post 36112000)
If you know then you have to self isolate upon pain of £1,000 fine. If not then you don't.

It's almost as if the loophole was made for Boris!

Frankly, my wife and I are half convinced that we've had Covid if only because our grand-daughter was in very close contact at school with a number of kids who tested positive. She tested negative. Likewise the little fellow and his nursery. He's always got a runny nose but tested negative.

What the heck - we don't know and didn't want to. We wear masks (even now) and this week is our first foray into the wider world (beyond Waitrose) as we go and stay overnight at a country hotel. By the way, Schuessler Tissue Salts Formula J manages the cold symptoms very well.


jonbxx 02-02-2022 14:33

Re: Coronavirus
 
That seems so strange to me. I tested to make sure I was clear to see other people and not spread anything to them (and for work as many of my customers require a clear test to visit their sites) Without knowing who you might meet that is vulnerable, it feels the right thing to do.

It certainly wasn't regularly, only if I had sniffles or a few days after riskier events such as watching the Euros or celebrating New Years down the pub. Looking at the NHS app, up until this week, 11 tests in total (more now as I am a contact to a COVID positive daughter and so testing daily)

1andrew1 02-02-2022 14:58

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

COVID symptoms appear quicker than previously thought - study

Symptoms of COVID-19 appear much more quickly following infection than previously thought, a government-backed study has found.

The landmark Human Challenge Programme, which saw healthy people deliberately infected with coronavirus, found symptoms start to develop very fast, taking just two days on average to appear.

Experts found that coronavirus infection first appears in the throat and then peaks on around day five.

Until now, experts, including from the World Health Organisation (WHO), have widely believed it takes five to six days from when someone is infected with COVID for symptoms to show.

But the new research suggests mild symptoms are apparent even after a few days - even if it takes until five days to become more noticeable.

As part of the study, 36 volunteers aged 18 to 29, who had never had COVID, were deliberately infected with a small dose of the virus via nasal drops.

Just over half became infected.
https://news.sky.com/story/covid-lat...cases-12507015

TheDaddy 02-02-2022 15:23

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by spiderplant (Post 36111993)
You are more likely to get those from the disease than the vaccine

https://www.bmj.com/content/bmj/374/.../F1.medium.jpg

I knew he was a quack! He was quite assertive in his claims of vaccine embolism effecting his colleagues in hospitals though

OLD BOY 02-02-2022 20:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36111990)
Why wouldn't you get a test? Surely it's good to know if you could potentially COVID to others?

It's free and takes 15 minutes...

Because if it’s positive, you have to isolate.

You don’t do that for flu, so why for omicron, which is similar?

Hugh 02-02-2022 20:43

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36112107)
Because if it’s positive, you have to isolate.

You don’t do that for flu, so why for omicron, which is similar?

Parroting the Telegraph line, I see…

Pierre 02-02-2022 21:30

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36112111)
Parroting the Telegraph line, I see…

True though!

nffc 02-02-2022 22:01

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36112125)
True though!

It's certainly an argument worth making.


Isolation makes sense, where the risks of having the person out to others are obvious.



Less so when the person being infectious is less of a risk to others they may infect.


So this can go several ways. And it all depends on the exact situation.


If you have something like noro, which usually goes away after a day or so, after making your room look like a scene from Bridesmaids, and in most cases doesn't really make any lasting effects on people, the unpleasantness of the illness is a bit meh but the vast majority will recover perfectly fine, though you'd still be a bit of a dick to infect others which is why a lot of schools and workplaces do prefer 48 hours after last puke or diarrhoea before allowing people back - which is a form of isolation isn't it?


Colds, yeah, they're mild and unpleasant but people don't usually think about stopping when they do get one, maybe they should. Maybe we shouldn't be so phobic of getting mild illnesses, this has only recently become a thing (aside from practising good hand hygiene etc).



Flu kind of forces it because - aside from the serious infections still progressing to more severe outcomes - most people recover but whilst ill don't feel up to doing much. But again the virus itself is forcing the isolation isn't it?


So where did covid sit at various points in the pandemic?


Well, at the start it was a virus we knew very little of besides a fair amount of short term effects, medium and long term effects were not known, it hadn't been around enough, more crucially, we had no idea how to treat it, and nothing to prevent it. We knew it could put people in hospital, we knew it could cause deaths, so isolation to prevent others getting infection was a very sensible policy.


Where were we with vaccination? Well, they always have and still do prevent severe outcomes, and have an effect if not complete on infection and transmission: this effect has waned with various variants with Delta (where you'd need a booster to nigh-on prevent it) and Omicron (where the protection usually causes some illness once infected). Isolation in a vaccinated population makes significantly less sense when the progression to more severe outcomes is lessened.


And Omicron? So yeah, we know by now it's very infectious, we know it can partially sidestep immunity from infection or vaccination, we also know that especially in these situations, the illness which does arise may well be unpleasant but is milder, and NPIs make less effect because of the transmissibility gains. So, isolation is starting to make less sense.


All of this is making covid progress into a more cold/flu like illness, which of course doesn't have mandatory isolation. If the response is proportionate, then something's not consistent there.



FWIW, I do think people should consider - or limit - leaving home if they have any signs of infectious disease, and though the effect is partial at best, should consider a face covering to try and reduce the amount of virus they emit. But, then, if the virus isn't going to cause more than an illness for 2-3 days, how much benefit does this have?

It's a classic case of risk balancing, there's answers, but not a single correct one which suits every situation.

GrimUpNorth 02-02-2022 22:26

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36112107)
Because if it’s positive, you have to isolate.

You don’t do that for flu, so why for omicron, which is similar?

Can't believe you're still spouting that long debunked comparison.

Pierre 02-02-2022 22:40

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36112142)
Can't believe you're still spouting that long debunked comparison.

Is it?

pip08456 02-02-2022 23:00

Re: Coronavirus
 
Little Jimmy's at it again.

Scottish National Party ministers plan to spend £300,000 chopping the bottoms off hundreds of classroom doors to try and stop the spread of Covid in schools.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...box=1643821386 (doesn't appear to be paywalled, at least not for me).

Mad Max 02-02-2022 23:28

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36112142)
Can't believe you're still spouting that long debunked comparison.

It's a skiver's charter, no one should need to isolate for a cold.

Paul 03-02-2022 01:47

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36112142)
Can't believe you're still spouting that long debunked comparison.

Maybe becasue it isnt ' long debunked'.
The symptoms of omicron are similar to flu, making it harder to tell the difference (feel free to use google).

---------- Post added at 01:47 ---------- Previous post was at 01:44 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36112147)
Little Jimmy's at it again.

Scottish National Party ministers plan to spend £300,000 chopping the bottoms off hundreds of classroom doors to try and stop the spread of Covid in schools.

Its paywalled here.

As i cant read it, it makes no sense, how is it supposed to stop the spread :confused:

Jimmy-J 03-02-2022 02:16

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36112147)
Little Jimmy's at it again.

Scottish National Party ministers plan to spend £300,000 chopping the bottoms off hundreds of classroom doors to try and stop the spread of Covid in schools.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...box=1643821386 (doesn't appear to be paywalled, at least not for me).

It would be cheaper and less hassle if they just left it ever so slightly ajar. :D

Pierre 03-02-2022 09:25

Re: Coronavirus
 
New study by John Hopkins university claims "Lockdowns" caused more harm than good and only prevented 0.2% deaths.

https://www.wcjb.com/2022/02/03/econ...hopkins-study/

the actual study paper is here.

https://sites.krieger.jhu.edu/iae/fi...-Mortality.pdf

So it was all worth it then.

jonbxx 03-02-2022 09:36

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36112107)
Because if it’s positive, you have to isolate.

You don’t do that for flu, so why for omicron, which is similar?

Well that's a good question - is there an argument for isolating for flu? There is a strong culture of work presenteeism in this country that you don't see in other countries which certainly has the potential for frankly unnecessary spread of a disease which does kill.

Here is a comparison between COVID and inflenza from the BMJ

Quote:

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimated that in the US there were 1.8 deaths from flu per 100 000 population between 1999 and 2019. The estimated death rate from covid was 217.54 per 100 000 in the US and 206.73 per 100 000 in the UK.

The global figure for the covid-19 death rate is estimated at 279 per 100 000 population.

In the UK the Health Foundation has articulated the difference in impact between flu and covid in terms of life years. “In a bad flu year on average around 30 000 people in the UK die from flu and pneumonia, with a loss of around 250 000 life years. This is a sixth of the life years lost to covid-19,” it noted.
How many lives being saved is the limit to justify isolation programmes? 30,000 lives being lost in a bad flu year seems a hell of a lot. The Infection Fatality Rate for Omicron seems to be a bit up in the air at the moment with things slowly becoming clearer. What we have seems to be good news. I do feel a conversation needs to be had on what we as a society are willing to accept as an acceptable number of deaths.

tweetiepooh 03-02-2022 11:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Don't forget that if you've lost someone that's one too many regardless of the stats.


Covid is/was a novel virus. It was bound to cause problems both medically and epidemiologically as we had no natural immunity either as individuals or as a society.


The far east was badly hit by the 18/19/20 flu epidemic hence the tendency there to mask up in flu season. Was that due to it being bad flu or that their population was more susceptible? Maybe both, that flu killed a lot of people worldwide.


The problem is that we can't go back and try again with different approaches much though a number of "residents" of Westminster may wish they could. The approach taken was likely the sensible one given what was known at the time and the effect it did have on health services.


Going forward is going to be interesting. How will the next variant present? How do we deal with that? Remember the concern about household pets being vectors? Dogs are easy but cats? What would happen if cats were shown to be an unaffected vector? Vaccinate all the cats? Cat masks? Isolate your moggie? What if some "cute" wild critter was a vector? Imagine the outcry if need to cull off hedgehogs/voles/otters?

nffc 03-02-2022 12:19

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tweetiepooh (Post 36112212)
Don't forget that if you've lost someone that's one too many regardless of the stats.


Covid is/was a novel virus. It was bound to cause problems both medically and epidemiologically as we had no natural immunity either as individuals or as a society.


The far east was badly hit by the 18/19/20 flu epidemic hence the tendency there to mask up in flu season. Was that due to it being bad flu or that their population was more susceptible? Maybe both, that flu killed a lot of people worldwide.


The problem is that we can't go back and try again with different approaches much though a number of "residents" of Westminster may wish they could. The approach taken was likely the sensible one given what was known at the time and the effect it did have on health services.


Going forward is going to be interesting. How will the next variant present? How do we deal with that? Remember the concern about household pets being vectors? Dogs are easy but cats? What would happen if cats were shown to be an unaffected vector? Vaccinate all the cats? Cat masks? Isolate your moggie? What if some "cute" wild critter was a vector? Imagine the outcry if need to cull off hedgehogs/voles/otters?

Flu does kill people. But there are vaccines, and the issue is usually pre-empted well enough by vaccinating those at risk of complications if they do get flu. We didn't get that with covid and even now the vaccines are still playing catch up as they were designed for viruses with far less mutated spikes than now.


Hindsight is great and I'm sure a few would have their own ideas how to deal with it. But I think generally speaking they have tried to keep things open as much as possible whilst keeping the virus under control at hospitalisation level.



The first lockdown made perfect sense as we had little idea about the virus at all, but knew it was dangerous enough to be an issue from Italy. However, after then wiping it out to lower numbers they then decided to open up foreign holidays without much control which brought it back. The tiers were a bit of a waste of time (presumably they didn't think people might leave the tiers if the next town had pubs open and they didn't) but again seemed to be down to keeping things open as much as possible. Locking down for Alpha made sense and the lockdown along with vaccination brought the virus down but I think there they might have been a bit slower to open up, and for various reasons, chose to then open up after Delta had come in, which seems to be right. Plan B measures I'm not sure actually did anything much, but at least avoided the Goves etc wanting more...

OLD BOY 03-02-2022 14:11

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by GrimUpNorth (Post 36112142)
Can't believe you're still spouting that long debunked comparison.

I think you need to keep up, Grimmy. Omicron is not like the original strains.

Carth 04-02-2022 12:34

Re: Coronavirus
 
Scam email received today regarding NHS passport . . .

"Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination - NHS - National Health Service (UK) 2022 04/02/2022

Hard Copy and Digital Covid-19 Passport


Hello 'my email address, not my name'

The NHS is performing selections for coronavirus vaccination on the basis of family genetics and medical history.

Through the certificate, the Commission intends to remove travel restrictions as entry bans, quarantine obligation, and testing.

Those holding such a document will be able to travel throughout Europe without the need to quarantine or test for COVID-19

Please confirm or reject your invitation by selecting an option below:

N H S *UK- ACCEPT Invitation > >


N H S *UK- Reject Invitation > >



Who can use this service

The Passport will be issued to all those who have been fully vaccinated against the Coronavirus, with one of the four vaccines approved by the National Medicine Agency, which are:

AstraZeneca, Pfizer, Moderna and Janssen (Johnson & Johnson)

auto generated id: a80e8612a00d2b7e0416397d012e46

The certificate will prove that its holder has been vaccinated while also containing additional information on the vaccine, as when the doses were administered, who is the manufacturer, etc.

[ 7412d47139M71l ]


You are required to reply to this invitation within 24 hours of this notification."

As you can see, my name isn't mentioned as a recipeint, only my email address.
The email address it came from is . . . NHS News Notification <news337548.181353428@>

Bloody poor show if it's legit :erm:

Damien 04-02-2022 14:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Just to be clear that isn't legit.

Mad Max 04-02-2022 15:18

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36112348)
Just to be clear that isn't legit.

He did start with scam email.

Paul 04-02-2022 23:54

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mad Max (Post 36112358)
He did start with scam email.

He also ended with this, which would be what Damien was replying to ;)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Carth (Post 36112332)
Bloody poor show if it's legit :erm:

I got something similar the other day, and just binned it.

1andrew1 09-02-2022 09:12

Re: Coronavirus
 
Not really leading by example.
Quote:

Health minister Gillian Keegan apologises for continuing in-person meeting despite positive COVID lateral flow result

Health minister Gillian Keegan said she "took further precautions" after receiving her positive lateral flow test result - but continued the in-person meeting with the consent of the individuals involved.
https://news.sky.com/story/health-mi...esult-12537038

papa smurf 09-02-2022 09:20

Re: Coronavirus
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36112883)

Hope she's ok.

OLD BOY 09-02-2022 09:22

Re: Coronavirus
 
It's time that rule was changed. It is being broken pretty extensively, and I know that from the people in my circle and in my wife's circle.

Like the social distancing and mask wearing, it should be left to individuals to decide. Covid is no longer the undefeatable menace it once was, and Omicron is weaker too.

---------- Post added at 09:22 ---------- Previous post was at 09:21 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by papa smurf (Post 36112885)
Hope she's ok.

The positive test may well be the only indication she gets of having the virus, papa.

nffc 09-02-2022 09:37

Re: Coronavirus
 
Why didn't she do the LFT at home and wait for the result before meeting others?


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