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Damien 21-10-2019 12:59

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014606)
What I have suggested is that the new trade deals and other measures such as free ports will transform our economy. I have always said that you cannot forecast with any degree of accuracy how much extra income we will get from all this. However, to twist that into postulating that we don't know whether we will benefit at all is a bit of a stretch, even by your standards.

The mere fact that we are presenting new opportunities of this kind to business is known to lead to a positive response. Just like reducing high taxation leads to more yield for the Inland Revenue. It is a known known.

Although some cannot seem to grasp the concept.[

It's because you're negating the downside. For it to be a boost to our economy it needs to excede the benefit to it from the single market and the related trade deals. Not simply be a plus over no trade deals at all.

nomadking 21-10-2019 13:21

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36014608)
It's because you're negating the downside. For it to be a boost to our economy it needs to excede the benefit to it from the single market and the related trade deals. Not simply be a plus over no trade deals at all.

When has the EU ever passed a directive aimed at helping businesses and reducing their costs? The single market is aimed at forcing higher costs onto the "little guys". The way the EU puts it, is a "level playing field". Nobody is allowed to have an advantage over the likes of Germany and France. The "little guys" can't really complain because billions are sent their way, eg Poland gets 9 billion Euros a year. It's called gerrymandering in any other setting.

OLD BOY 21-10-2019 13:37

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36014608)
It's because you're negating the downside. For it to be a boost to our economy it needs to excede the benefit to it from the single market and the related trade deals. Not simply be a plus over no trade deals at all.

One of the main reasons why people voted to leave was to forge new trade deals to enable the country to be better off than if we stayed within the EU. I agree that the measure should be to exceed the benefit from the single market and it is my belief that this will indeed be the case.

I agree that there are some benefits of being in the EU, but there are many disbenefits too. Many remainers seem blind to these disadvantages.

Hugh 21-10-2019 13:43

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Anyway, back to new developments.

BJ wants a vote on the new Withdrawal Bill as soon as possible, but the 541 page document was only issued on Saturday (and very few people had seen it before then).

How can there be an informed debate/decision on a huge document, with immense implications of how we go forward as a country, in such a short time?

Some more updates.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...0859498cfb1fe6
Quote:

The Guardian’s Scotland editor, Severin Carrell, is in court in Edinburgh where Lord Carloway has rejected a call by the UK government to halt proceedings because the prime minister has met his legal requirements under the Benn act. (See my earlier post.)

The judge said he would continue with the case until it was clear that Downing Street had complied with the act in full – ie sought and, if it is offered, accepted a Brexit extension from the EU. A date for the next hearing is yet to be fixed.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...0898437061a91f
Quote:

The European commission has confirmed that – despite the prime minister’s unconventional approach to requesting a further Brexit delay – Brussels is considering the terms of a further prolongation of the UK’s membership.

A European commission spokeswoman said:

President Tusk is now consulting leaders of the EU27 on this and it is first and foremost for the UK to explain the next steps. We from our side, of course, follow all the events in London this week very closely.

What I can also add, the ratification process has been launched on the EU side. Michel Barnier debriefed EU ambassadors of the EU27 yesterday and he will debrief the European parliament’s Brexit steering group this afternoon in Strasbourg. And as I mentioned, he will also debrief the college of commissioners.

The request to extend article 50 was made by the UK’s permanent representative to the EU. President Tusk acknowledged receipt of the request on Saturday and stated that he’s now consulting with the EU27. So this form does not change anything.

Dave42 21-10-2019 15:40

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
speakers rejects government plan for vote

denphone 21-10-2019 15:44

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 36014620)
speakers rejects government plan for vote

Speaker John Bercow says it is clear that the motions before the house are “in substance the same” and that the matter was decided as recently as 48 hours ago.

ianch99 21-10-2019 15:56

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 36014620)
speakers rejects government plan for vote

You would have thought they would have learnt from May's experience.

---------- Post added at 15:56 ---------- Previous post was at 15:52 ----------

I was puzzled why the Government pulled the vote on Saturday, wasn't that the whole point of the Saturday sitting?

Mick 21-10-2019 16:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014603)
Ok, here we go...

https://www.politics.co.uk/reference...itical-artiesp

https://publications.parliament.uk/p.../337/33706.htm note: this is from parliament itself not sure how much more proof you could ask for?

I can provide many many more, but, I'll ask you to provide one single solitary source that shows that a UK member of parliament is the delegate of their constituency.

Where in any of my postings have I said MPs are delegates?

Clue - nowhere, so don't refer such nonsensical questions my way - my point still stands and I stand by my original point. MPs were instructed to leave the EU via the Democratic result of 2016 and were subsequently elected on the premise that they would implement the result of the EU referendum - they are not there to put our best interests at all, we are not children, we are entitled to a view and a right to vote a way we choose, they asked for our opinion, we gave it and now they must do as we told them.

Pierre 21-10-2019 16:18

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36014563)

doesn't alter one iota what I said.

ianch99 21-10-2019 16:33

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36014625)
Where in any of my postings have I said MPs are delegates?

Clue - nowhere, so don't refer such nonsensical questions my way - my point still stands and I stand by my original point. MPs were instructed to leave the EU via the Democratic result of 2016 and were subsequently elected on the premise that they would implement the result of the EU referendum - they are not there to put our best interests at all, we are not children, we are entitled to a view and a right to vote a way we choose, they asked for our opinion, we gave it and now they must do as we told them.

Why are we going around this yet again? There was no mandate for No Deal and our MP's have a duty to act in the best interests of the country, not to be delegates. No Deal, in the view of our Parliament (remember, the one that Leave insist should be sovereign?), is not in the best interests of the country.

Pierre 21-10-2019 16:39

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
1. Parliament vote for a referendum.

2. Parliament agree to implement the result of the referendum.

3. Parliament vote to trigger Article 50.

4. Parliament Reject May's deal 3 times

5. Parliament accuse Johnson of not trying to get a deal.

6. Parliament pass the Benn Act in 1 day to ensure no deal.

7. Johnson gets a deal.

8. Parliament enforce Johnson to trigger the Benn Act even though there is a deal.

9. Parliament now want god knows how many weeks to review and debate the deal, even though they accuse it of being substantially the same as May's deal.

10. Even if deal is passed through, Parliamentarians threaten to add amendments onto any Withdrawal legislation for example (to ensure UK stays in CU, to ensure a 2nd Referendum is held etc, etc) Basically amendments to wreck the bill and stop it from happening.


This is why Parliament is not fit for purpose. A general election is required. We must have a majority Government in place.

1andrew1 21-10-2019 16:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Good thread from Sky News's Lewis Goodall explaining the situation. It begins
Quote:

Bercow has many detractors but hard to see how he’s wrong here. It would be very odd, 36 hours after the House says no meaningful vote til the WAB passes, for the House to have...a meaningful vote
https://twitter.com/lewis_goodall/st...93330306650118

Pierre 21-10-2019 16:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36014627)
Why are we going around this yet again? There was no mandate for No Deal

According to who?

we voted for Leave, no deal is a form of Leave, Mandate fulfilled.

Quote:

and our MP's have a duty to act in the best interests of the country
they're not though.

mrmistoffelees 21-10-2019 16:49

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mick (Post 36014625)
Where in any of my postings have I said MPs are delegates?

Clue - nowhere, so don't refer such nonsensical questions my way - my point still stands and I stand by my original point. MPs were instructed to leave the EU via the Democratic result of 2016 and were subsequently elected on the premise that they would implement the result of the EU referendum - they are not there to put our best interests at all, we are not children, we are entitled to a view and a right to vote a way we choose, they asked for our opinion, we gave it and now they must do as we told them.

Wrong... They do as they believe what is best for their country. Don't like it? elect others...

As this is going round and round, I'll not comment further on this one but politely withdraw and wish you a happy Monday

Taf 21-10-2019 16:49

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
1 Attachment(s)
Boris' letter didn't do any good then?

OLD BOY 21-10-2019 16:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014633)
Wrong... They do as they believe what is best for their country. Don't like it? elect others...

As this is going round and round, I'll not comment further on this one but politely withdraw and wish you a happy Monday

No, you are wrong. The Conservative and Labour manifestos were based on honouring the result of the referendum. Many MPs are not fulfilling that pledge. They should be ashamed.

They will get their comeuppence at the general election, whenever they have the guts to vote for one.

It will be in the country's interests to vote for the Withdrawal Bill now, unfettered by those stupid amendments designed only to see off Brexit altogether. It will serve them right if the EU failed to grant an extension, wouldn't it?

mrmistoffelees 21-10-2019 16:59

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014636)
No, you are wrong. The Conservative and Labour manifestos were based on honouring the result of the referendum. Many MPs are not fulfilling that pledge. They should be ashamed.

They will get their comeuppence at the general election, whenever they have the guts to vote for one.

It will be in the country's interests to vote for the Withdrawal Bill now, unfettere by those stupid amendments designed only to see off Brexit altogether. It will serve them right if the EU failed to grant an extension, wouldn't it?

Well Churchill agrees with me... Or, rather, I agree with Churchill.

Yes, lets vote for a deal that is significantly worse than May's..... that's the obvious thing to do

If the EU refuse to grant an extension we can always vote to revoke Article 50... but that would open up a whole new can of worms ;)

OLD BOY 21-10-2019 17:02

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36014634)
Boris' letter didn't do any good then?

I like it!

---------- Post added at 17:02 ---------- Previous post was at 17:00 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014637)
Well Churchill agrees with me... Or, rather, I agree with Churchill.

Yes, lets vote for a deal that is significantly worse than May's..... that's the obvious thing to do

If the EU refuse to grant an extension we can always vote to revoke Article 50... but that would open up a whole new can of worms ;)

Most leavers see a massive improvement to May's Bill, which they view as being BRINO.

I thought the revocation of Article 50 had already been voted down by Parliament? Yet something else they don't want!

denphone 21-10-2019 17:03

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014636)
No, you are wrong. The Conservative and Labour manifestos were based on honouring the result of the referendum. Many MPs are not fulfilling that pledge. They should be ashamed.

They will get their comeuppence at the general election, whenever they have the guts to vote for one.

It will be in the country's interests to vote for the Withdrawal Bill now, unfettered by those stupid amendments designed only to see off Brexit altogether. It will serve them right if the EU failed to grant an extension, wouldn't it?

Manifestos are just two bob promises that ain't worth the paper they are written on...

mrmistoffelees 21-10-2019 17:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014638)
I like it!

---------- Post added at 17:02 ---------- Previous post was at 17:00 ----------



Most leavers see a massive improvement to May's Bill, which they view as being BRINO.

I thought the revocation of Article 50 had already been voted down by Parliament? Yet something else they don't want!

I'm not sure how you can define the loss of protection of workers rights as an improvement?

That's just the tip of the iceberg.....

jonbxx 21-10-2019 17:06

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36014612)
When has the EU ever passed a directive aimed at helping businesses and reducing their costs? The single market is aimed at forcing higher costs onto the "little guys".

Imagine 'Company X' (ahem) that ships ~250,000 orders from a warehouse in the European Union to countries across the European Union. With automated systems, 'Company X' estimates it would take around 30 seconds per order to check;
  • Commercial Invoicing
  • INCOTERMs specific to receiving country legislation
  • Correct application of Harmonised Tariff Codes
  • Correct diligence for 'dual use' products (red flags)

as a minimum.

So, 250,000 x 30 seconds = 7,500,000 seconds = 260days, assuming an 8 hour day. If 'Company X' paid minimum wage at UK rates, that would be a cost of £17,104 in salary alone. Bear in mind that salary is 30-50% of the cost of an employee...

The customs union and single market remove that cost

mrmistoffelees 21-10-2019 17:11

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36014643)
Imagine 'Company X' (ahem) that ships ~250,000 orders from a warehouse in the European Union to countries across the European Union. With automated systems, 'Company X' estimates it would take around 30 seconds per order to check;
  • Commercial Invoicing
  • INCOTERMs specific to receiving country legislation
  • Correct application of Harmonised Tariff Codes
  • Correct diligence for 'dual use' products (red flags)

as a minimum.

So, 250,000 x 30 seconds = 7,500,000 seconds = 260days, assuming an 8 hour day. If 'Company X' paid minimum wage at UK rates, that would be a cost of £17,104 in salary alone. Bear in mind that salary is 30-50% of the cost of an employee...

The customs union and single market remove that cost

Are you seriously advocating that we shouldn't pay hard working employees a minimum wage?

Wow

Pierre 21-10-2019 17:31

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014637)
Yes, lets vote for a deal that is significantly worse than May's..... that's the obvious thing to do

in what specific items is the deal significantly worse?

---------- Post added at 17:31 ---------- Previous post was at 17:29 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014642)
I'm not sure how you can define the loss of protection of workers rights as an improvement?

That's just the tip of the iceberg.....

Which rights have been lost? And as seen as you've read the whole thing and know it inside out compared to May's deal, don't stop at the tip. Give all reasons in detail.

OLD BOY 21-10-2019 17:34

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014642)
I'm not sure how you can define the loss of protection of workers rights as an improvement?

That's just the tip of the iceberg.....

What rights? This is just stupid speculation by remainers, and particularly the Labour opposition.

The Withdrawal Bill, if eventually enacted, will transfer all EU employment legislation into UK law. You seem to forget that the UK has been ahead of the game when it comes to employment rights. Particularly under a Conservative Government.

mrmistoffelees 21-10-2019 17:37

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014651)
What rights? This is just stupid speculation by remainers, and particularly the Labour opposition.

The Withdrawal Bill, if eventually enacted, will transfer all EU employment legislation into UK law. You seem to forget that the UK has been ahead of the game when it comes to employment rights. Particularly under a Conservative Government.

Well apart from you're wrong again.... because...

t's all to do with something called the "level playing field" - the idea that countries keep their rules and standards close, to stop one country giving their businesses a competitive advantage - for example by having lower standards and so lower costs.

EU regulations
The extent to which the UK might diverge from EU regulations in the future and become an economic competitor has been a big issue in the Brexit debate.

EU regulations cover things like:

The working time directive, which limits the number of hours people can work
Maximum amounts of particular pollutants there can be in the air
Requirements for workers doing the same jobs to be paid equally.
They set minimum standards below which government cannot go. After Brexit, UK governments would no longer have to abide by these minimum levels.

In the new Brexit deal finalised this week, references to a level playing field were removed from the legally-binding withdrawal agreemen
t.

Instead, they appear in the non-binding political declaration on the future relationship - as an aspiration, but not a legal commitment.




There's just on reason why it's worse

OLD BOY 21-10-2019 17:44

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014652)
Well apart from you're wrong again.... because...

t's all to do with something called the "level playing field" - the idea that countries keep their rules and standards close, to stop one country giving their businesses a competitive advantage - for example by having lower standards and so lower costs.

EU regulations
The extent to which the UK might diverge from EU regulations in the future and become an economic competitor has been a big issue in the Brexit debate.

EU regulations cover things like:

The working time directive, which limits the number of hours people can work
Maximum amounts of particular pollutants there can be in the air
Requirements for workers doing the same jobs to be paid equally.
They set minimum standards below which government cannot go. After Brexit, UK governments would no longer have to abide by these minimum levels.

In the new Brexit deal finalised this week, references to a level playing field were removed from the legally-binding withdrawal agreemen
t.

Instead, they appear in the non-binding political declaration on the future relationship - as an aspiration, but not a legal commitment.




There's just on reason why it's worse

If we had a level playing field, we would not be able to improve conditions for workers if the EU did not do the same.

How is that worse?

Perhaps you are looking through the wrong end of your binoculars.

Pierre 21-10-2019 18:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014652)
Well apart from you're wrong again.... because...

t's all to do with something called the "level playing field" - the idea that countries keep their rules and standards close, to stop one country giving their businesses a competitive advantage - for example by having lower standards and so lower costs.

EU regulations
The extent to which the UK might diverge from EU regulations in the future and become an economic competitor has been a big issue in the Brexit debate.

EU regulations cover things like:

The working time directive, which limits the number of hours people can work
Maximum amounts of particular pollutants there can be in the air
Requirements for workers doing the same jobs to be paid equally.
They set minimum standards below which government cannot go. After Brexit, UK governments would no longer have to abide by these minimum levels.

In the new Brexit deal finalised this week, references to a level playing field were removed from the legally-binding withdrawal agreemen
t.

Instead, they appear in the non-binding political declaration on the future relationship - as an aspiration, but not a legal commitment.




There's just on reason why it's worse

High on conjecture and interpretation, low on facts and detail.

ianch99 21-10-2019 18:15

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taf (Post 36014634)
Boris' letter didn't do any good then?

Won't work, they would send us one with european plugs :)

---------- Post added at 18:11 ---------- Previous post was at 18:09 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014630)
According to who?

we voted for Leave, no deal is a form of Leave, Mandate fulfilled.



they're not though.

Oh please! Nuclear Armageddon is a form of Leave but I doubt there are takers. Let's not replay 2016 all over again, we were all there and we all know what was promised.

---------- Post added at 18:15 ---------- Previous post was at 18:11 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014642)
I'm not sure how you can define the loss of protection of workers rights as an improvement?

That's just the tip of the iceberg.....

OB likes this version of the future. It means all those nice & generous business owners can invest profits in workers salaries, conditions & pensions and refuse to feed the greed of the stockholders. Oh damn .. I may have the wrong Brexit ..

papa smurf 21-10-2019 18:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36014656)
Won't work, they would send us one with european plugs :)

---------- Post added at 18:11 ---------- Previous post was at 18:09 ----------



Oh please! Nuclear Armageddon is a form of Leave but I doubt there are takers. Let's not replay 2016 all over again, we were all there and we all know what was promised.



No problem here's a back stop to cover it.

mrmistoffelees 21-10-2019 18:20

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014655)
High on conjecture and interpretation, low on facts and detail.

Really, seen the text have we ?

ianch99 21-10-2019 18:22

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014651)
What rights? This is just stupid speculation by remainers, and particularly the Labour opposition.

The Withdrawal Bill, if eventually enacted, will transfer all EU employment legislation into UK law. You seem to forget that the UK has been ahead of the game when it comes to employment rights. Particularly under a Conservative Government.

Did you write this with a straight face?

https://www.ier.org.uk/news/7-employ...-under-tory-pm

Quote:

A Conservative Prime Minister has been in Number 10 since the Coalition government formed in 2010. Although Theresa May has described her party as "the party of workers", its track record on employment law has largely revolved around weakening protections at work. Here, we look at some of the rights workers have lost over the last seven years.

1. The right not to be unfairly dismissed after working for your employer for one year

The Unfair Dismissal and Statement of Reasons for Dismissal (Variation of Qualifying Period) Order 2012, which amended the Employment Rights Act 1996, increased the qualifying period for unfair dismissal from one year to two years for those employed after 5th April 2012. This change was supposed to encourage small businesses to recruit more staff by reducing hiring costs, but in fact businesses pocketed a trifling extra £4.7 million in the first year.

2. The right for your employment tribunal claim to be heard by a ‘full panel’

The Employment Tribunals Act 1996 (Tribunal Composition) Order 2012, overturned the presumption that Employment Tribunal proceedings should be heard by a legally qualified Chair supported by two lay members – representing both the trade union movement and business community. Now, employment judges are given the discretion to pick and choose whether to hear an unfair dismissal case alone, or with a 'full panel'. The right to have your employment dispute heard by a panel is one of the unique and crucial features of the original industrial tribunal system with "lay members" being part of what was known as the "industrial jury". These panel members apply their "employment" expertise and real-life experiences in the work place to the interpretation and application of legal principles. They also provide a reassurance to the parties that their views are taken into account. They give the Tribunal a different look and feel to that of an ordinary Court and in many ways judge only hearings are a regressive back.

3. The right to be awarded more than one year's pay if you are unfairly dismissed

Under the Enterprise and Regulatory Reform Act 2013, the government set a maximum award for successful unfair dismissal claims at one year's gross pay for those earning less than £74,200 each year. This cap now allows bosses to easily calculate the cost of sacking their staff illegally and prevents an Employment Tribunal from punishing the worst-offending firms.

4. The right to bring a claim to the Employment Tribunal without paying fees

The introduction of tribunal fees under the Employment Tribunals and the Employment Appeal Tribunal Fees Order 2013 has priced tens of thousands of people out of justice. To bring an unfair dismissal claim you now need to pay an issuing fee of £250 and a hearing fee of £950 – at a time you are least likely to have cash to spare: When you've just lost your job! Anti-discrimination, equal pay rights, and a range of other individual employment rights have been effectively withdrawn from the millions of British people who cannot afford to pay £1,200 to bring a claim against their employer. Recent research by academics at Oxford University has shown that across the board the impact of Employment Tribunal Fees has led to a two-thirds reduction in most claims. Sex discrimination cases have reduced by a staggering 80% from their pre-fees level. Withheld wage claims are now uneconomic for the lower paid. If you think your employer owes you £400, the gamble of paying a £130 issuing fee, and a £250 hearing fee for a claim which might fail, and, might well not even be paid if it is successful (a 2013 government report found that 35% of claimants had not received any of the compensation they were owed), is a risk many are not prepared to make.

5. The right to be properly consulted by your employer if they are planning to make you and at least 99 of your colleagues redundant

Under the Trade Union and Labour Relations (Consolidation) Act 1992 (Amendment) Order 2013, the minimum period for consultation with workers where an employer proposes to make 100 or more employees redundant within a 90-day period was cut from 90 days to 45 days before the first dismissals could be made. Workers coming to the end of a fixed-term contract are now completely excluded from the consultation regime, so if your time with a firm is coming to an end they can now get rid of you without you being consulted at all.

6. The right to strike if you work in an 'important public service' and a majority of your trade union colleagues vote to take legitimate industrial action

Under the draconian Trade Union Act 2016, millions of public sector workers have had their fundamental right to take part in industrial action taken away. Under the Act, a minimum of 50% of those entitled to vote on any strike must take part in the ballot, and in 'important public services' at least 40% of those entitled to vote must vote in support of the action.

This means that if you work in an 'important public service' such as a state school, fire station, A&E hospital or drive a London bus; and half of your trade union colleagues respond to a postal ballot, then it will require an 80% vote in favour to allow for legal industrial action to go ahead. If 79% of your colleagues vote in favour of striking, and the action goes ahead, then the employer will be almost certain to be granted an injunction to stop the action. If less than half respond then, even if 100% vote in favour, any industrial action will be similarly vulnerable. These ballot thresholds are undemocratic and breach the law: it is against international standards to effectively count abstentions as 'no' votes.

Moreover, the 40% threshold is discriminatory: 73% of those likely to be in these 'important public services' will be women and the Act's definition of what counts as an essential service is out of keeping with international legal norms. The International Labour Organisation defines "essential services" as services where "the interruption of which would endanger the life, personal safety or health of the whole or part of the population". It is hard to see how the Central Line not running, or a child missing one day of schooling, would "endanger life, personal safety or health of the whole or part of the population".

7. The right for public sector employees to ask for their trade union subs to be paid through their pay check without their union being charged a fee by the government

Provisions in the Trade Union Act 2016 were initially going to ban the process of 'check off', where trade union subscriptions are deducted by the employer on pay day. This was a blatant attempt by the Tories to deprive public sector unions of funds. The Government's own assessment of the policy suggested unions would be hit by £11 million in one-off transition costs and they would end up having to pay at least £5 million a year in banking fees. Scaled back after Parliamentary opposition, the Act now requires that unions pay a 'reasonable sum' for the service, and that every public-sector trade union member is given the option of paying union subs by an alternative means.

Pierre 21-10-2019 18:46

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36014656)

Oh please! Nuclear Armageddon is a form of Leave but I doubt there are takers. Let's not replay 2016 all over again, we were all there and we all know what was promised.

I remember.

To leave the Single market, to Leave the Customs union, to leave the jurisdiction of the ECJ.

To leave with a deal, but if we don’t get a deal to leave on WTO terms.

That is exactly what the Prime Minister said.......exactly.

Funny how selective people’s memories are.

In any event, there is a deal on the table. So no deal can be avoided if they are sensible and vote for the deal.

nomadking 21-10-2019 18:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36014661)
Did you write this with a straight face?

https://www.ier.org.uk/news/7-employ...-under-tory-pm

People cannot claim Parliament is sovereign, and in the same breath complain about Parliament being allowed to change any laws or rules. If people vote for a particular policy, then democracy(dirty word it seems) dictates the right for that policy to be introduced, and not be held hostage by Trade unions.

Pierre 21-10-2019 18:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014660)
Really, seen the text have we ?

Touché, I was referring to your posts

I’m not Making any claims about the WA, as you are correct I haven’t read it, and can’t be arsed to either. But neither have you read it but seem to be passing yourself off as some kind of expert on it.

jonbxx 21-10-2019 19:09

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014644)
Are you seriously advocating that we shouldn't pay hard working employees a minimum wage?

Wow

Where did I say that? I wanted to be super conservative in my numbers. In reality, your standard International Trade Compliance specialist would be paid a lot more than the minimum wage (around £30k pa or £12 per hour)

OLD BOY 21-10-2019 19:14

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36014661)
Did you write this with a straight face?

https://www.ier.org.uk/news/7-employ...-under-tory-pm

By reducing these burdens on employers, they have decreased unemployment to extremely low levels. Many of the protections listed were being abused and employers were having to fork out huge amounts of money.

Far better to concentrate on practical measures to help workers live more comfortable lives, such as the minimum wage and taking the lowest paid out of tax altogether. I say again, we have been quicker off the mark than the EU with a number of employment equality measures.

nomadking 21-10-2019 19:27

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014652)
Well apart from you're wrong again.... because...

t's all to do with something called the "level playing field" - the idea that countries keep their rules and standards close, to stop one country giving their businesses a competitive advantage - for example by having lower standards and so lower costs.

EU regulations
The extent to which the UK might diverge from EU regulations in the future and become an economic competitor has been a big issue in the Brexit debate.

EU regulations cover things like:

The working time directive, which limits the number of hours people can work
Maximum amounts of particular pollutants there can be in the air
Requirements for workers doing the same jobs to be paid equally.
They set minimum standards below which government cannot go. After Brexit, UK governments would no longer have to abide by these minimum levels.

In the new Brexit deal finalised this week, references to a level playing field were removed from the legally-binding withdrawal agreemen
t.

Instead, they appear in the non-binding political declaration on the future relationship - as an aspiration, but not a legal commitment.




There's just on reason why it's worse

The "level playing field" has always been in the political declaration. Whilst the political declaration is not legally binding, it is meant to be a basis for any future agreement.


The only references to "level playing field" in the old WA, are in relation to "ARTICLE 6 Single customs territory, movement of goods".


If this "level playing field" wasn't one-sided, then theoretically the UK could introduced a policy that helped businesses(well the EU won't), then theoretically the EU would have to follow. Unfortunately that won't be the way it works, especially if Labour get their way. Every further burden the EU places on businesses would also have to applied in the UK, and all without the UK having a say in matters.

Mick 21-10-2019 19:27

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mrmistoffelees (Post 36014633)
Wrong... They do as they believe what is best for their country. Don't like it? elect others...

As this is going round and round, I'll not comment further on this one but politely withdraw and wish you a happy Monday

No I’m not wrong. You are.

They get elected on the premise of what they promise to do to gain votes. They got elected in 2017 to honour the referendum result. Their lies and deceitful behaviour now requires a GE, which I do believe was OB’s actual point.

jfman 21-10-2019 19:46

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36014640)
Manifestos are just two bob promises that ain't worth the paper they are written on...

Nobody said when, or on what terms either.

Given we were supposed to be better off, why are we choosing between three models that make us demonstrably worse off to varying degrees? :confused:

The Boris deal actually has an excellent proposal buried in it he has to hide from the Brexit at all costs brigade. A possible two year extension to the transition period - excellent for economic stability and within the control of our sovereign Parliament. What’s not to like? Essentially giving us three years to prepare and get it done properly.

Pierre 21-10-2019 21:15

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
All the talk about Johnson and accusations against him and some yank.

This however, doesn’t seem to want to be picked up by the Remain media.

https://nyebevannews.co.uk/swinson-f...uropean-union/

1andrew1 21-10-2019 21:19

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Hearing that the penny is starting to drop with some leaver MPs. Having now read the details, they have belatedly woken up to fact that BoJo's deal contains some rather unsavoury ingredients. In particular, full EU law will apply to Northern Ireland, including the infamous European Court of Justice.
NI will, of course, cease to have MEPs if the UK leaves under BoJo's terms. Taxation without representation?

Damien 21-10-2019 21:45

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014677)
All the talk about Johnson and accusations against him and some yank.

This however, doesn’t seem to want to be picked up by the Remain media.

https://nyebevannews.co.uk/swinson-f...uropean-union/

Maybe because 'Nye Bevan News' is a bit of a dodgy source?

'Transparency International' is not a 'family company'. It's an independent NGO on which Jo Swindon's husband is a Director of Policy - he works for them. However he is not an owner (not even a senior Director) and the money didn't go to the family but to the organisation. In other words the EU gave money to a Non-Government Organisation

The amount was clearly fully declared: https://www.transparency.org/whowear..._supports_us/2

They also received funding from the UN, The U.K Government and the U.S Government.

Also Jo Swinson was not on any committee that donated this money. She was not a senior member of the EU. She wasn't even an MEP. She has no connection to the money given to the EU to a NGO that her husband works for.

It's a completely and utter lie that his money was donated to their 'family company'.

Boris Johnson was Mayor of London when money DID go to a personal company of a woman he is accused of having an affair from City Hall. She was paid to go on trips abroad with him as part of this business.

jfman 21-10-2019 21:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
It’s all mud slinging because they know Boris is going to get brought down by the pole dancer.

1andrew1 21-10-2019 21:49

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014677)
All the talk about Johnson and accusations against him and some yank.

This however, doesn’t seem to want to be picked up by the Remain media.

https://nyebevannews.co.uk/swinson-f...uropean-union/

That story is BS. And you know that most of the UK media is in favour of Leave so would jump at a chance to run such a story were it true. Hopefully, you're not trying to distract people from Johnson's Brexit failures?

jfman 21-10-2019 22:08

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
It’s a total joke they’re trying to put this through in so little time and reduced scrutiny. :)

1andrew1 21-10-2019 22:15

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014683)
It’s a total joke they’re trying to put this through in so little time and reduced scrutiny. :)

Fortunately, the UK's checks and balances have been effective to date.

jfman 21-10-2019 22:21

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36014684)
Fortunately, the UK's checks and balances have been effective to date.

I’m just pulling everyone’s leg. Parliament is sovereign I’m sure it’ll do something. :)

Pierre 21-10-2019 22:45

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014680)
It’s all mud slinging because they know Boris is going to get brought down by the pole dancer.

That sounds quite pleasurable!

---------- Post added at 22:43 ---------- Previous post was at 22:42 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36014681)
That story is BS. And you know that most of the UK media is in favour of Leave

Not sure how you come to that conclusion!

---------- Post added at 22:45 ---------- Previous post was at 22:43 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014686)
I’m just pulling everyone’s leg. Parliament is sovereign I’m sure it’ll do something. :)

Of course it will, it’s proven itself to be no better than a tinpot dictatorship, i’m Expecting troops on the streets by the weekend.

1andrew1 21-10-2019 22:49

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014687)
Not sure how you come to that conclusion!

Which conclusion?

Pierre 21-10-2019 23:27

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36014690)
Which conclusion?

That the U.K. media is Leave biased. I would argue the opposite.

1andrew1 21-10-2019 23:36

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014691)
That the U.K. media is Leave biased. I would argue the opposite.

The best-selling broadsheet (Telegraph), best-selling tabloid, (The Sun) and most popular news website (dailymail.co.uk) and the Brexit Broadcasting Corporation suggest otherwise.

denphone 22-10-2019 05:26

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014683)
It’s a total joke they’re trying to put this through in so little time and reduced scrutiny. :)

Would one do that if one was going to buy a house or business...

---------- Post added at 05:26 ---------- Previous post was at 05:20 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36014692)
The best-selling broadsheet (Telegraph), best-selling tabloid, (The Sun) and most popular news website (dailymail.co.uk) and the Brexit Broadcasting Corporation suggest otherwise.

All those are leave biased and you can add to that The Daily Express whilst there are two remain papers which are The Guardian and the red top tabloid The Daily Mirror while the other broadsheets The Times and the FT are on neither side.

Despite to the contrary of what some think the BBC is on neither side and is only doing its job.

Maggy 22-10-2019 08:32

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014691)
That the U.K. media is Leave biased. I would argue the opposite.

So which media are you reading?

mrmistoffelees 22-10-2019 08:37

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014666)
Touché, I was referring to your posts

I’m not Making any claims about the WA, as you are correct I haven’t read it, and can’t be arsed to either. But neither have you read it but seem to be passing yourself off as some kind of expert on it.

There's enough evidence presented by multiple parts of the media outlets who have had varying levels of access to form an opinion.

Funny how the pro Brexit papers have kept this part of the deal very quiet.

Unless of course you're suggesting that the media are lying?

I've not tried to try to pass myself of as any expert, merely someone who takes time to read and research BOTH sides of the argument. Feel sorry for you resorting to digs like that when you're intelligence is somewhat higher

jonbxx 22-10-2019 09:06

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
That is a good point, where do people on here go to find their news and other info? I can kick off;

News websites
BBC News
Sky News as a backup to compare with the BBC
Politics.co.uk

Newspaper websites
Independent and Guardian for a 'remainy' point of view
FT is good for analysis but paywalled
Daily Mail for a 'leave' point of view and to read the fury 'below the line'
Irish Independent, Deutsche Welle and Die Welt for an EU view

Twitter
Mainly sketch writers, namely Michael Deacon (Telegraph) Marina Hyde (Guardian) Tom Peck (Independent - funny but super biased)
Lewis Goodall, Sky News is good
David Allen Green has been useful for legal analysis recently
David Gauke is my MP

General fact checking
Full fact is great!
Reality Check on the BBC website is good too
UK Parliament Library
EU websites including EUDRALEX for getting EU Directives and Treaties
Trading Economics for financial figures

There are many more but those are my basic 'go to' sources of info

ianch99 22-10-2019 11:39

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jonbxx (Post 36014706)
That is a good point, where do people on here go to find their news and other info? I can kick off;

News websites
BBC News
Sky News as a backup to compare with the BBC
Politics.co.uk

Newspaper websites
Independent and Guardian for a 'remainy' point of view
FT is good for analysis but paywalled
Daily Mail for a 'leave' point of view and to read the fury 'below the line'
Irish Independent, Deutsche Welle and Die Welt for an EU view

Twitter
Mainly sketch writers, namely Michael Deacon (Telegraph) Marina Hyde (Guardian) Tom Peck (Independent - funny but super biased)
Lewis Goodall, Sky News is good
David Allen Green has been useful for legal analysis recently
David Gauke is my MP

General fact checking
Full fact is great!
Reality Check on the BBC website is good too
UK Parliament Library
EU websites including EUDRALEX for getting EU Directives and Treaties
Trading Economics for financial figures

There are many more but those are my basic 'go to' sources of info

Excellent list! I agree with with most of these. I would add some others:

Listening to Nick Ferrari for a honest Leave perspective and Maajid Nawaz for good analysis of both sides of arguments on LBC radio.

Google & Apple news aggregators are good for presenting headlines/views of the same event side by side.

I would also recommend visiting Europe itself and talking to people to get a view from outside our Brexit bubble.

nomadking 22-10-2019 13:06

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Link

Quote:

Firms in Northern Ireland will have to submit declaration forms for goods heading to the rest of the UK, under the government's Brexit deal.
Brexit Secretary Steve Barclay was forced to make the admission after initially denying it was the case.
This followed previous assurances that Northern Ireland-GB trade would be "unfettered".
DUP MP Sammy Wilson said it represented a "clear breach" of previous commitments made by the government.
Meanwhile, a government risk assessment has warned the new Brexit deal could mean a reduction in business investment, consumer spending and trade in Northern Ireland.
And that's an example of why full and proper scrutiny should apply each and every bill, eg the Benn bill. Not cobbled together in private with hidden agendas. Will EU companies have to do the same when shipping goods to NI from Ireland, or is it yet another in the very long list of one-sided arrangements.

Hugh 22-10-2019 13:42

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nomadking (Post 36014717)
Link

And that's an example of why full and proper scrutiny should apply each and every bill, eg the Benn bill. Not cobbled together in private with hidden agendas. Will EU companies have to do the same when shipping goods to NI from Ireland, or is it yet another in the very long list of one-sided arrangements.

Does that also include the current 100+ page WAB that the government wants reviewed, debated, amended, and passed in three days?

nomadking 22-10-2019 14:29

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36014718)
Does that also include the current 100+ page WAB that the government wants reviewed, debated, amended, and passed in three days?

Does the term "each and every" have any other meaning?

jfman 22-10-2019 14:41

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Parliament will vote for the programme motion, b------ise the deal so it's gets voted down, then vote of no confidence their way to a GE. Why do things the quick way?

Pierre 22-10-2019 17:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Maggy (Post 36014703)
So which media are you reading?

Watching and listening

---------- Post added at 17:04 ---------- Previous post was at 17:00 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014723)
Parliament will vote for the programme motion, b------ise the deal so it's gets voted down, then vote of no confidence their way to a GE. Why do things the quick way?

Extension would need to be granted in amongst that, but for a GE, EU have already said they would.

denphone 22-10-2019 19:17

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Withdawal agreement bill passes in Commons.


Quote:

MPs have voted to allow the government’s withdrawal agreement bill to pass to the next stage of the parliamentary process.

They voted by 329 votes to 299; a majority of 30 on the second reading.

Jimmy-J 22-10-2019 19:21

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36014748)
Withdawal agreement bill passes in Commons.

By 52 / 48 % lol

denphone 22-10-2019 19:34

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
MPs reject Johnson's Brexit timetable.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...e-eu-live-news

Quote:

MPs have voted to reject the government’s timetable for the passage of the bill that would implement the prime minister’s Brexit deal.

They voted against by 322 to 308; a majority of 14.

Mr K 22-10-2019 20:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by denphone (Post 36014752)
MPs reject Johnson's Brexit timetable.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...e-eu-live-news

A 1-1 score draw then. Extra time EU? ;)

Damien 22-10-2019 20:08

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
The timetable seems caviller to be honest. Would any Brexiter care that much about October 31st if Brexit is 100% about to happen? Literally just a few weeks more for legislation to pass?

richard s 22-10-2019 20:12

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Being a person of European stock I would like to ask the EU if I can have a dual passport and to be able to travel between member states without any red tape being involved.

Hugh 22-10-2019 20:41

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
1 Attachment(s)
NF isn’t happy with BJ

Pierre 22-10-2019 20:46

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 36014756)
The timetable seems caviller to be honest. Would any Brexiter care that much about October 31st if Brexit is 100% about to happen? Literally just a few weeks more for legislation to pass?

It’s symbolic isn’t it. I think you’re right if Brexit is to happen I don’t think anyone cares about a week or two. But the deadline focused the mind.

The extension letter asks for three months, which gives the remainer Parliament 3 more months to bugger about and if someone puts in a wrecking amendment or other spanner you can guarantee a Benn Act Mk2 demanding a further extension beyond Jan 31st ad infinitum.

If there was an amendment requiring parliament to conclude the passage of the bill by Nov 7th or something then no problem.

It looks like the will is there to get this bill through and done. The only obstacle would be an amendment from remainers for a second ref, Customs Union or similar.

If any of them get through and wreck this bill, then a General Election has to follow and i’ll Order the popcorn.

jfman 22-10-2019 20:52

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014761)
It looks like the will is there to get this bill through and done. The only obstacle would be an amendment from remainers for a second ref, Customs Union or similar.

If any of them get through and wreck this bill, then a General Election has to follow and i’ll Order the popcorn.

It's contradictory to claim there is a will to pass this Bill. If such a will existed there would be no wrecking amendments - each and every one would be voted down.

There's no will for this Parliament to deliver Brexit. If there was we'd be spending the next two days debating this Bill. If it survived intact, or broadly intact, Johnson would have gone down the minor technical extension approach.

It won't survive.

Pierre 22-10-2019 21:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36014759)
NF isn’t happy with BJ

Unfortunately for Nige, he won’t do as nearly as well as he thinks he may in a GE. Certainly not in Tory seats.

Most sensible Tory voters know that a vote for the Brexit party is a wasted vote ( unless you live in a labour stronghold)

And it is evident that Boris has tried his best to get the deal through, if it fails he will squarely blame Labour.

Die hard Labour voters that voted Leave but cannot bring themselves to vote Tory will vote for the Brexit party.

Tory leave voters will vote Tory. Tory remain voters will not vote Labour, some may vote LibDems but I doubt any great numbers.

I would expect Labour to be spanked in a GE, which is why they don’t want one. But if they continue to vote against a GE and against a Brexit deal, they are just compounding the swell of frustration from many of their voters in their Northern heartlands so much so that there will never be a good time for them to fight an election.

---------- Post added at 21:04 ---------- Previous post was at 20:55 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014763)
It's contradictory to claim there is a will to pass this Bill. If such a will existed there would be no wrecking amendments - each and every one would be voted down.

I take your point, but I have been watching Parliament for most of the day today. And I have heard several MPs advise ( from all three parties) hat they will vote for the bill if it has a referendum attached to it.

That scenario is entirely plausible

Quote:

There's no will for this Parliament to deliver Brexit. If there was we'd be spending the next two days debating this Bill. If it survived intact, or broadly intact, Johnson would have gone down the minor technical extension approach.

It won't survive.
GE then, look forward to it.

jfman 22-10-2019 21:13

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Plenty said they would with a second referendum because they know Johnson would do everything to prevent it. Others will have backed the deal, but not the programme motion, for the benefit of their electorate in any future election. "Look - I voted for the deal I just wanted more time".

It'd kill his 'do or die' image, and worse there'd be a genuine risk we would vote to remain. The Tories would collapse in the polls as a result, if they even continued to exist as a single party.

Pierre 22-10-2019 21:26

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014766)

It'd kill his 'do or die' image, and worse there'd be a genuine risk we would vote to remain. The Tories would collapse in the polls as a result, if they even continued to exist as a single party.

Won’t happen, if anyone tables a wrecking amendment, and it gets voted in, Boris will just pull the Bill. Cancel it and call for a GE.

With no deal off the table ( assuming an extension has been applied). Labour have no grounds to object to it. Indeed that is the scenario in which they have said they want.

Then, i’m Afraid, Corbyn will have his arse handed to him by Boris. Thing is Jezza knows this so it will be massively entertaining to see him try and weasel his way out of a GE.

Damien 22-10-2019 21:32

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
https://twitter.com/eucopresident/st...37952313004032

Donald Tusk will recommend the EU accepts the UK's request for an extension until January 31st.

One overlooked thing here is the EU are probably happy with where they are now. They did one deal and then did another one, each time extending the deadline when requested. If we crash out there will be few people blaming them for it. They'll probably sit back, accept extension requests until such a time we finally do something.

---------- Post added at 21:32 ---------- Previous post was at 21:30 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014768)
With no deal off the table ( assuming an extension has been applied). Labour have no grounds to object to it. Indeed that is the scenario in which they have said they want.

Remember the Liberal Democrats and the SNP also stopped an election and they stood to gain from one. There was genuine concern about Boris Johnson using the election to push though No Deal in the absence of a Parliament. As soon as the extension is confirmed those two parties will likely go for an election (although the Libs will likely try a referendum first).

jfman 22-10-2019 21:38

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014768)
Won’t happen, if anyone tables a wrecking amendment, and it gets voted in, Boris will just pull the Bill. Cancel it and call for a GE.

With no deal off the table ( assuming an extension has been applied). Labour have no grounds to object to it. Indeed that is the scenario in which they have said they want.

Then, i’m Afraid, Corbyn will have his arse handed to him by Boris. Thing is Jezza knows this so it will be massively entertaining to see him try and weasel his way out of a GE.

Odd that you omitted to quote my first sentence:

Quote:

Plenty said they would with a second referendum because they know Johnson would do everything to prevent it.

1andrew1 22-10-2019 21:47

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36012126)
Why would Boris ask for an extension when he has pledged to leave by 31 October? You're not really joining up the dots here, jfman.

Old Boy, do you still feel this way? You do have a right to change your mind. ;)

Pierre 22-10-2019 21:48

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014772)
Odd that you omitted to quote my first sentence:

Not odd, it’s the point I was making from the start, RE a wrecking amendment.

The 2nd reading of the Bill went through, the timetable for it didn’t. But it will still be read. The numbers that voted to progress the bill may include those that would pass the bill only with an amendment such as a referendum e.g a wrecking amendment.

So we may end up with a week or two debate on the bill, which had a decent majority to get that point, but then only to have it wrecked by an amendment for a 2nd Ref or CU or other. Only then to have Boris pull it because of that and call for a GE, that Labour would find it very hard to weasel out of.

jfman 22-10-2019 21:56

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014774)
Not odd, it’s the point I was making from the start

It is, because you ignored a pertinent point, indeed one that agreed with you.

I doubt Labour are worried about an election to be honest. Boris will be comparable to May on the campaign, lose votes to the Brexit Party and who knows what the pole dancer has up her skirt/sleeve.

---------- Post added at 21:56 ---------- Previous post was at 21:56 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36014773)
Old Boy, do you still feel this way? You do have a right to change your mind. ;)

:D

Pierre 22-10-2019 22:05

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014778)

I doubt Labour are worried about an election to be honest. Boris will be comparable to May on the campaign, lose votes to the Brexit Party and who knows what the pole dancer has up her skirt/sleeve.

Unusually naive of you.

May made a monumental mistake by thinking the 2017 election was about Brexit, which in the mind of the nation then, it wasn’t. Back then Brexit had been sorted, we voted Leave and people turned their attention to other things. Also poor May had as much personality as nasal hair.

No, there is no doubt, that this election - should it happen - will be a surrogate referendum. No body cares a flying duck about education, welfare, nhs, climate change - non of that is on the agenda until Brexit is sorted.

jfman 22-10-2019 22:16

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014780)
Unusually naive of you.

May made a monumental mistake by thinking the 2017 election was about Brexit, which in the mind of the nation then, it wasn’t. Back then Brexit had been sorted, we voted Leave and people turned their attention to other things. Also poor May had as much personality as nasal hair.

No, there is no doubt, that this election - should it happen - will be a surrogate referendum. No body cares a flying duck about education, welfare, nhs, climate change - non of that is on the agenda until Brexit is sorted.

I like getting called naive in this thread. It usually means I’m on the right track. 29th March... 31st October...

A surrogate referendum is hugely risky if Farage comes to the table. The Tories will lose seats in Scotland - that’s 13 they need to find elsewhere to be a minority Government again.

Pierre 22-10-2019 22:34

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014782)
I like getting called naive in this thread. It usually means I’m on the right track. 29th March... 31st October...

A surrogate referendum is hugely risky if Farage comes to the table. The Tories will lose seats in Scotland - that’s 13 they need to find elsewhere to be a minority Government again.

They will lose seats, as will Labour. Scotland will be almost entirely SNP again ( fuelling wee Jimmy Krankys 2nd Indy Ref demands)

Labour will suffer much more than Tory, I see Brexit party impacting Labour more than Tory.

I don’t see Brexit party winning any seats, but diluting Labour letting Tory in.

Depending on arithmetic, don’t rule out DUP propping up Tories again, if that gives them a proper majority with no Tory rebels. With that they could force through no deal, or at least properly threaten it. Potentially getting the EU to give even more ground over N.I.

It's all Up for grabs

Gavin78 22-10-2019 23:04

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
If half the labour MP's actually stayed awake they would have had time to read the documents instead of voting it down for no reason

OLD BOY 22-10-2019 23:06

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by 1andrew1 (Post 36014773)
Old Boy, do you still feel this way? You do have a right to change your mind. ;)

I demand more time before I answer that question! :D

Jfman was putting forward a suggestion that Boris goes voluntarily for an extension, but I said he wouldn't do that because he pledged not to.

Being forced into it is a different thing over which, frankly, he has no control.

A small, technical extension to give a little extra time (another day or so) I can live with, but I accept that if amendments are put forward that the PM cannot agree, he will need to pull the Bill and go for an election. Given that an extension is likely to be in place, there is no reason why the opposition parties shouldn't agree that now.

Then, with a working majority, BJ will be much better placed to push the Bill through. The opposition had better hope that he doesn't go for a no-deal Brexit when he has the votes to do so. Serve 'em right if he does.

Dave42 22-10-2019 23:46

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by OLD BOY (Post 36014787)
I demand more time before I answer that question! :D

Jfman was putting forward a suggestion that Boris goes voluntarily for an extension, but I said he wouldn't do that because he pledged not to.

Being forced into it is a different thing over which, frankly, he has no control.

A small, technical extension to give a little extra time (another day or so) I can live with, but I accept that if amendments are put forward that the PM cannot agree, he will need to pull the Bill and go for an election. Given that an extension is likely to be in place, there is no reason why the opposition parties shouldn't agree that now.

Then, with a working majority, BJ will be much better placed to push the Bill through. The opposition had better hope that he doesn't go for a no-deal Brexit when he has the votes to do so. Serve 'em right if he does.

no chance OB another hung parliament in the making Brexit party gonna split tory votes as we still be in EU in Novemeber as I said we would when liar Johnson promised that

1andrew1 23-10-2019 05:53

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Good thing about an election is that the parties have now clarified their positions.
So we have:
Brexit Party: No deal
Conservatives: Boris's withdrawal agreement
Labour: Second referendum
LibDems/Greens/Plaid Cmyru: Revoke Article 50

Chris 23-10-2019 06:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
SNP: Free woad and broadswords for all

Hugh 23-10-2019 07:23

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gavin78 (Post 36014786)
If half the labour MP's actually stayed awake they would have had time to read the documents instead of voting it down for no reason

Yes, because it’s easy to review, annotate, and put together questions on a huge complex document in less than 24 hours...

denphone 23-10-2019 08:00

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36014796)
Yes, because it’s easy to review, annotate, and put together questions on a huge complex document in less than 24 hours...

According to a ex cabinet minister it needs far more then 24 hours to go through it with a fine tooth comb.

Maggy 23-10-2019 08:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
The real fun in all this is the blame game which of course means accusing everyone else of being perfidious traitors to the voters/country whilst punching themselves in the eye..;)

Carth 23-10-2019 08:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
It really really has become something of a borefest now :(

We all know that the EU, understandably, won't budge very far from the two deals already tabled. We also know they will not willingly let a 'no deal' happen, and obviously do not want us to leave.

We should all also be aware that, given the fragmentation of brexit desires (as shown in Andrews post), parties are going to fight tooth and nail (and Scottish courts) to block what they don't want.

52% of the electorate that voted in the 2016 referendum, voted to leave, around 85% of the politicians want to remain . . . make of that what you will . . .

Another extension looks set to happen, which IMO will solve nothing. Eventually someone in the EU will be frustrated enough to say NO . . and that's how we've wasted 4 years.

OLD BOY 23-10-2019 09:45

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave42 (Post 36014790)
no chance OB another hung parliament in the making Brexit party gonna split tory votes as we still be in EU in Novemeber as I said we would when liar Johnson promised that

I doubt that, Dave. Corbyn has lost a lot of credibility since the last election and Boris is more popular than you give him credit for. The Lib Dems have been very clever with their 'no Brexit' stance and they will increase their share of the vote without doubt. However, much of that will be at the expense of Labour. If they split the Labour vote, this will enable the Conservatives to take a good proportion of their seats. That will more than make up for the loss of Scottish seats, if that comes about as predicted.

ianch99 23-10-2019 09:59

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36014780)
No body cares a flying duck about education, welfare, nhs, climate change - non of that is on the agenda until Brexit is sorted.

And there is the essential truth of this surreal journey. They don't care now but when things change, as they will, then, and only then, will they care. Too late ...

So many previously sensible and rational people have been bewitched by the false prophets. Part of this entrapment is the perversion of the mainstream media. Peter Obourn, a notable conservative commentator, has the honesty to call this out:

British journalists have become part of Johnson’s fake news machine

Quote:

It’s chilling. From the Mail, The Times to the BBC and ITN, everyone is peddling Downing Street’s lies and smears. They’re turning their readers into dupes.

But there is now clear evidence that the prime minister has debauched Downing Street by using the power of his office to spread propaganda and fake news. British political journalists have got chillingly close to providing the same service to Boris Johnson that Fox News delivers for Donald Trump.
So reminds me of the Child Catcher in Chitty Chitty Bang Bang:



"Sweeties and lollipops children, all free today, come and get them .."

Hugh 23-10-2019 10:50

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
People ask "why don't you trust Boris Johnson?"

Here's why - things he said yesterday in Parliament that weren't true.

Quote:

2 falsehoods on workers’ rights
Boris Johnson is trying to persuade Labour MPs to back his deal by saying he cares for workers’ rights. Now that the Withdrawal Agreement Bill has been published, he is misrepresenting it.

- Johnson told MPs “there can be no regression” from the rights workers currently enjoy. This is untrue. If the government wishes to pass legislation that would weaken rights, the relevant minister must say they are “unable to make a statement of non-regression.” Telling MPs that workers are going to lose their rights is very different from guaranteeing that they won’t. (See Schedule 5A, Part 1, Clause (1)(b)).

- The Prime Minister added: “If the EU decides that it wishes to introduce new legislation on social protection… there will be an amendable motion by which the government will give parliamentary time for the implementation of that measure.” False again. If the government doesn’t want to copy new EU rights, it must merely make parliamentary time for MPs to say they approve. The motion isn’t amendable – and so MPs won’t be given time to force the government to follow suit. (Schedule 5A, Part 2, Clause 5(a)).

4 new Northern Ireland porkies
The Prime Minister continues to mislead Parliament about how he has agreed that Northern Ireland (NI) should become a quasi-colony – following EU regulations without a vote on them and with checks in the Irish Sea.

- He said: “The salient feature of these arrangements is that they evaporate. They disintegrate. They vanish, unless a majority of the Northern Ireland Assembly elects to keep them.” He added: “The default position is alignment with the UK unless… there is a majority vote in the Assembly against that alignment.” This is false. The default position is alignment with the EU – and that only changes if a majority of the NI Assembly votes otherwise. If the Assembly doesn’t meet, which has been the case for most of the past three years, there won’t even be a vote. (See Article 18, para 5 of the revised Irish protocol).

- Johnson claimed: “There are no checks GB-NI. There will be some light touch measures to ensure there is no illegal trade in endangered animal species and banned firearms”. That provoked laughter. The Brexit Secretary admitted the previous day that paperwork would be required for sending goods from Great Britain to NI. What’s more, the government’s own impact assessment says: “Goods moving from Great Britain to Northern Ireland will be required to complete both import declarations and Entry Summary (ENS) Declarations because the UK will be applying the EU’s UCC [Union Custom Code] in Northern Ireland. This will result in additional administrative costs to businesses.” (See para 241.)

- The Prime Minister added that there was “absolutely no provision for the EU to have a say” on whether NI leaves these arrangements. That’s also wrong. The revised NI protocol says: “Any subsequent agreement between the Union and the United Kingdom shall indicate the parts of this Protocol which it supersedes.” So NI may leave parts of these arrangements if the EU agrees – and that means there is provision for it to have a say. (See Article 13 (8)).

- He also claimed his deal “ensures that Northern Ireland is part of the UK customs territory and benefits immediately from any UK trade deals”. But he left out a crucial passage to the effect that NI can only benefit from trade deals with third countries “provided that those agreements do not prejudice the application of this Protocol.” Some deals Johnson might cut – such as importing chlorine-washed chicken from America – would contravene EU regulations. So NI wouldn’t be able to “benefit” from those. (See Article 4).

Mr K 23-10-2019 10:52

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36014807)
And there is the essential truth of this surreal journey. They don't care now but when things change, as they will, then, and only then, will they care. Too late ...

So many previously sensible and rational people have been bewitched by the false prophets. Part of this entrapment is the perversion of the mainstream media. Peter Obourn, a notable conservative commentator, has the honesty to call this out:

British journalists have become part of Johnson’s fake news machine



So reminds me of the Child Catcher in Chitty Chitty Bang Bang:



"Sweeties and lollipops children, all free today, come and get them .."

That child catcher was creepy, gave me nightmares as a kid... Roald Dahl - he hated kids ;).

Day by day Boris's chances of an election win become less as his lies get exposed. Labour know this, so does he, hence his failed attempt to rush things through.

denphone 23-10-2019 10:58

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36014812)
That child catcher was creepy, gave me nightmares as a kid... Roald Dahl - he hated kids ;).

Day by day Boris's chances of an election win become less as his lies get exposed. Labour know this, so does he, hence his failed attempt to rush things through.

Michael Heseltine has some thoughts on the forthcoming general election.

https://www.theguardian.com/politics...0859498cfb29f0

Quote:

Asked whether he thought the Tories would win an election, he said: “No, I don’t.”

jfman 23-10-2019 11:40

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Corbyn and Johnson meeting to discuss a new programme motion. Pointless. Just means when it gets voted down in a couple of weeks we still need a GE but it'll be too close to Christmas.

Mr K 23-10-2019 11:57

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jfman (Post 36014820)
Corbyn and Johnson meeting to discuss a new programme motion. Pointless. Just means when it gets voted down in a couple of weeks we still need a GE but it'll be too close to Christmas.

Nothing was agreed apparently. They couldn't even agree on tea or coffee....

denphone 23-10-2019 12:00

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36014821)
Nothing was agreed apparently. They couldn't even agree on tea or coffee....

One sugar for me old chap.;)

nomadking 23-10-2019 12:07

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
If there are changes to employment law in the future, so what. It's called democracy(check your dictionaries:rolleyes:, but not the Remainer version).


It has always been the case that if the EU and the UK came to an agreement, it might affect the backstop. After all isn't that what the backstop is all about? Something that is in place "unless and until" the EU says otherwise.

jfman 23-10-2019 12:12

Re: Brexit Development(s) Discussion
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr K (Post 36014821)
Nothing was agreed apparently. They couldn't even agree on tea or coffee....

I've always said Brexit will have to win a mandate at a GE or a another referendum. Let's get on with it.


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