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And so much also for those earlier comments that the UK is doing so much worse than other equivalent EU countries. While those countries are panicking now and considering even more loss of freedoms, we can now look forward to getting back to normal.
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I really don't mind if people choose to wear one after the measures expire. If they think it is safer for them or they have a cold or something which might protect others, then that is down to them (the only time I wore a mask when it wasn't mandatory was when I went for some cold medicine). But I don't see how general mask wearing by members of the public who don't have the virus helps anything and makes matters worse in other areas. |
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If the rhetoric about “mild” Omicron holds up then these countries will have played a blinder. I do like the fact country comparisons are completely invalid except for the few weeks over two years England haven’t been as bad as the worst countries in the world. The ONS prevalence surveys certainly put England in that ballpark of infections. |
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I have been going to a bereavement group, and nearly everyone there lost a family member through Covid, one woman and her mother have lost 5 members.
So people who say it's just a cold need a good kicking. |
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Whilst obviously any death is a sad thing especially for those close to that person, such things do realistically need some point of perspective in regards to the circumstances.
And even though people are still dying of/with covid with the omicron variant, whether due to the vaccination or previous infection, or if it is actually milder (which UKHSA seem to think it is) by most accounts, those who are infected now, do tend to have milder cold/flu like symptoms and not anything more severe. Whilst it clearly wasn't true before vaccination, and potentially may still not be in unvaccinated people, for most people the illness is unlikely to progress past this stage. People do still occasionally get severe illness and complications from flu and other viruses. Whilst evidently anything regarding someone dying is emotive for those who are close to them, in the current situation, the comment probably isn't disproportionate. |
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But even though I'm clearly not the greatest fan of masks, I don't really think that not wearing one when the virus is prevalent is wise. Unless of course you know you don't have the virus. |
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Hope that helps. Oh and for the record, I did wear a mask in the first round. I chose not to wear mask during Plan B, as the rules made no sense - whatsoever. |
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Bye bye to PlanB from Jan 26.
No more face masks The end of working from home guidance. The end of mandatory Covid certification. |
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As if any of that was ever going to stop Omicron. But we can't really say for sure. It's clearly not needed any more. Don't really care if people choose to wear a mask if they feel that is safer for them, but it shouldn't be the law to. Covid certification was meaningless when triple jabbed people could still spread the virus to others. Working from home was the only one which was going to do anything, but that couldn't be applied to every situation could it? |
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Looks like this thread is dying out, much like the virus.
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If employers find it better to have their employees working from home it will continue. |
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And obviously the most important factor being those that made the conscious choice to not mitigate spread and infect people in the hope of building immunity. That makes it really difficult for the propaganda machine to make favourable comparisons.
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I still find it staggering that people think you can stop a virus. Yes, you can slow it down, but that's not quite the same thing. Canute is outside for these people.
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Two or more countries could have bad Covid policies, with the outcome varying based on a number of factors. General health of the population, availability of healthcare at the point of infection, what treatments were available, vaccines, which vaccines. ---------- Post added at 22:03 ---------- Previous post was at 21:50 ---------- Quote:
Although rehashing that debate is of little value. |
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If you're wondering, I am classed as "Decentralised", which means I WFH permanantly, regardless of any covid measures. ---------- Post added at 23:23 ---------- Previous post was at 23:16 ---------- Quote:
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Heck, let's add polio. Quote:
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But do feel free to carry on. |
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So it’s possible. Thanks for sourcing all that and saving me the hassle, pip.
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Interesting that your solution would take centuries to achieve. Not very practical, is it? Still, it would achieve the lockdown you crave for the rest of your life! |
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The Telegraph reports that Sajid Javid has admitted that Covid death data is skewed because many people die from conditions unrelated to the virus after testing positive. ONS data shows a big discrepancy between weekly death registrations and the figures on government dashboards.
Nothing we didn't know already |
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As long as the measurement is consistent it's still useful as a way to benchmark what's happening. ---------- Post added at 08:56 ---------- Previous post was at 08:50 ---------- Quote:
So when they identified a case of Smallpox the WHO would take a break from their touring schedule and swoop into the area to do 'ring-vaccination' around the suspected case. Basically starving it of further carriers. Every time another case occurred they too would be isolated and people in that community vaccinated again until it had nowhere left to go. No more Smallpox. |
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I've seen a report that it doesn't even exist in labs. |
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It shouldn’t be a problem working out who has actually been admitted and/or died of coronavirus, but recording has been shambolic because no country seems to have taken a sensible and pragmatic means of recording. Even we cannot differentiate which patients are admitted because of or die because of Covid. |
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My sister works in a solicitor's office, and working from home did initially have IT issues, but all staff have been given a Laptop, Scanner/Printer and mobile etc.
They are now set to carry on working in the office 2 days a week (on set days), it has gone so good that their bonus will be at least £2,000. It has saved her nearly £1,500 a year on diesel, plus she can do the washing as well in between work |
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Polio hopefully is going the same way for the same reasons. There were only 5 wild cases noted globally last year |
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And when you then take inaccurate figures and then compare with non-compatible foreign data, those figures become extremely misleading. Still, Andrew, I suppose that as long as it supports your take on things, that's OK as far as you are concerned. |
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Yes it's unthinkable that Bojo would put his well being before that of the country, it's not like he has form for self serving behaviour. :rolleyes: |
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The precise number of people who actually died directly due to a covid infection is interesting for all sorts of reasons but the nature of our society means it may well not be the most vital information. In an advanced industrial society with a universal healthcare system, the overall effect on the system by a novel infection is of great importance. Excess deaths is certainly a far better indicator of the magnitude of the crisis and the measures we might need to put in place to improve resilience, precisely because it allows us to account - for example - for cancers that went undetected because someone couldn’t get to their GP soon enough. Calling excess deaths “at best an indicator” is a word salad that doesn’t make you look as clever as you seem to think it does. |
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Dismissing this information as "not very accurate" is simply wrong. To do so for obvious party political reasons is disappointing. ---------- Post added at 18:33 ---------- Previous post was at 18:29 ---------- Quote:
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But it does not measure deaths that are directly connected to Covid infection. That was my point. ---------- Post added at 19:21 ---------- Previous post was at 19:13 ---------- Quote:
Comparison of Covid deaths between countries when every country includes different criteria for producing the statistics is clearly inaccurate. And these are not small inaccuracies. If one country only records Hospital Covid deaths and another records all deaths including deaths in the community and in care homes, that’s a pretty big difference. Similarly, if excess deaths includes people who are not having their health conditions monitored and those whose operations have been put back, this does reflect the scale of the problem, but what that figure is not showing is the number of Covid deaths. I would have thought that all the pedants we encounter on this forum would recognise that immediately. But not when it doesn’t suit your argument, it seems. |
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In the interests of completeness, here are the deaths purely from COVID. About 17,000 in England & Wales.
https://www.ons.gov.uk/aboutus/trans...ingcauses?s=09 |
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If people died due to not being able to be treated because the hospitals are full of COVID patients, they are excess deaths due to COVID. |
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James Brian, is a pathetic, woke idiot, to be simply ignored.
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Looking at the proportion of deaths with pre-existing conditions, before vaccines, it was 12.8% and in Q3 2021, it was 17.4% which surprised me as I would have guessed that COVID would be more likely to pick off the already sick. It would be interesting to see the rates of those without pre-existing conditions who were not vaccinated, those who say they are fit and healthy and therefore don't need a vaccine. Personally, I am quite uncomfortable with people saying COVID is only killing people with underlying conditions and that's OK. It either labels those with those conditions as 'weak' or somehow deserving or irrelevant. Many of the underlying conditions are not a death sentence in themselves and are quite manageable. In the top 20 pre-existing conditions are diabetes, hypertension, cardiac arrythmias, musculoskeletal disorders and obesity. All of these can be treated or managed - those people weren't necessarily going to die anyway |
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The Covid statistical dashboard is at last conceded to be unreliable.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/202...-increasingly/ [EXTRACTS] Covid data updates on the Government’s online dashboard are becoming increasingly unreliable, experts have warned, as it emerged up to 70 per cent of coronavirus patients in hospital were primarily being treated for other problems. Deaths are reported as Covid on the dashboard if they occur within 28 days of a positive test. But so many people are now being diagnosed with omicron that a large proportion of natural deaths are now also ending up in the figures. |
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So you are saying that if people have COVID, it shouldn't be recorded if they have something else as well?
Unfortunately, we can't see who these "experts" are who are saying this, as it's behind a paywall (and btw, you missed out the important word "current" from proposition, which is what the "experts" are saying - I am sure this was purely accidental, and you weren't deliberately trying to cast doubt on all previous statistics... And one of the experts states Quote:
Update - here's a non-paywall link https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...a-updates.html |
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You know very well that’s what I’m saying, Hugh, please stop being difficult. |
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I can’t read your mind, OB, I can only see what you post.
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You also (again, probably not deliberately) ignored the point about under-reporting… |
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A colleague lost her father the death certificate stated covid as the cause of death making no mention of the fact he was in a hospice with terminal mesotheleoma (probably spelt that wrong). I've also heard from numerous doctors and nurses that covid has become an easy way to deal with more complicated causes of death. We cannot carry on as we are forever and a day we have to get back to normality and stop living in fear of a hugely hyped illness.
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Good thread on that 17k Coronavirus death thread.
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A valid argument which will no doubt be called out simply due to the platform. |
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of the other 140K it's how many were going to die anyway? and then how many may have lived with a terminal illness for several more years but had their life shortened. The whole 17K thing is a red herring of the reddest type. Just because you had a co-morbidity doesn't mean you wouldn't have lived a long and happy life without catching COVID. But what it does show you is that COVID is/was a culling virus that takes out the weak and the vulnerable. Young, fit and healthy are unlikely to die from it. As well as vaccines the NHS/ Govt should also be pushing the narrative that getting fit and healthy will also reduce your chances of dying from it............unless that upsets {tinfoil} their big pharma paymasters {tinfoil} |
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There are people of my acquaintance I’d like to share the data with but I’m not going to do it by linking to him because I don’t think you win anyone round by hating on them. Of course he’s not really trying to win anyone round, he’s trying to prove he truly belongs in the club formed of people who he follows/follow him, and express similar, correct views. He’s preaching to the choir and getting off on re-tweets. |
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This article which I posted some time back really brings things home. Many of the co-morbidities are those which are only seen in old age or are more serious in old age.
After about 5 years old, your chances if dying in any particular year will continuously go up due to general diseases. After about 5 years old, the risk if dying of COVID pretty much follows the same path. It probably isn't fair to say that the risk of dying in a particular year is doubled if you get COVID as the severity of co-morbidities will have an effect but the risk of death across the population at any given age is increased by a factor of between 1 and 2 if you get COVID |
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So basically, 17,371 people died just from covid, for the rest - it [possibly] contributed to their death, but they may (or may not) have died anyway - is that about right ?
Doesnt seem like anything new, we have always known that some people classed as dying from the virus may have died anyway, or died in an unrelated manner (e.g. accident). |
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What is an "underlying condition"? Seems to be a convenient but ambiguous coat-hook onto which to hang statistics.
Is an "underlying condition" within the meaning of the death stats a respiratory condition? Does that cover, for example, asthma normally controlled by 4 puffs a day of Fostair? Does it cover people with a stomach ulcer, etc? All too vague for this stage of the pandemic. |
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https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulat...isticsjuly2017 Section 9, paragraphs headed "Underlying cause of death versus contributory causes" and "final cause of death". |
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So I don't think it's fair to exclude them from the death tolls. |
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'Never before has so much harm been done to so many by so few... based on dodgy data':
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/a...modellers.html A blistering verdict on Covid 'experts' from MP BOB SEELY in a landmark speech |
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The significance of what I am saying is that if we don’t count deaths the same way in all countries, we cannot compare how we are all doing. And yet we see people doing just that all the time. |
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I suspect they are counting people who had other health conditions. It would be mad not to do so.
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it doesn't really make any difference now anyway.
People don't trust the politicians. People don't trust the scientists. (the ones that made all those "accurate" predictions) People don't trust the media. Although there may have been a valid reason for the very first lockdown, as there was no vaccine and no one knew what to do. There was no good reason for subsequent lockdowns. The vaccines were on the way and other measures should have been implemented. There's no way we'll see another lockdown in this country, (England) or even closure of certain businesses. The scientists have cried wolf too many times and people now (the ones that have haven't been frightened into submission over the last two years) will just shrug their shoulders at news of another variant. |
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I am in a really boring phone call so I decided to have a look at how we and other countries count COVID deaths. The UK uses the World Health Organisation International Classification of Diseases (ICD) scheme for registering deaths. Here is a nice map of what countries use the same system;
https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2022/01/8.jpg Here's a document from the WHO on how and when you should register COVID as a cause of death to differentiate between dying of and with COVID - https://www.who.int/classifications/...ID-19.pdf?ua=1 |
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I agree that sounds sensible, but my question was, do other countries do that? This document does not cover such a example. Additionally, during the first wave, it was reported that some countries (I think one of them was Spain from memory) were only counting hospital deaths. I assume not only that this has now been put right, but also deaths in the community and in care homes during that period were added to the figures retrospectively. |
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I’m pretty sure the families of the 2,000 who died that week probably don’t feel like celebrating…
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Hope that helps. |
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Rather be seen as sanctimonious than sociopathic…
One doesn't need to personally know someone to have empathy for their plight. ymmv |
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Sorry, Hugh, you are on your own. |
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He didn't say that or even imply it. Not at all. |
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Chris then posts factually that he was right and toffeelees was wrong, and I found that funny commented on it. Nothing EXTREMELY ANTISOCIAL about that? N'est pas? Quote:
So in short, I am not a sociopath, but you are without a shadow of a doubt a sanctimonious bore. Hope that helps ---------- Post added at 15:54 ---------- Previous post was at 15:49 ---------- Quote:
1. yes it can. 2. that isn't even what I was doing, I wasn't even commenting on COVID or the deaths because of it. But Hugh is so eager nowadays to attack, he couldn't wait to jump in. |
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