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-   -   Will Scotland Leave the UK? (https://www.cableforum.uk/board/showthread.php?t=33684496)

Mr Angry 11-05-2014 22:46

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Here's a certain brand of "unionism" that'll be almost certain to introduce a wee bit of NI style sectarianism, just for the craic.

"Campaigners against Scottish independence have moved to distance themselves from a planned pro-Unionist Orange Order march through the streets of Edinburgh just days before the crucial referendum vote."

Some insight from a former UDA commander.

Osem 14-05-2014 10:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Just waiting for Salmond to claim that it'd all have been done a lot better in an independent Scotland.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...-west-27404417

Quote:

The sale of Commonwealth Games tickets remains suspended while problems that caused long delays for customers are resolved.

Organisers apologised to people affected as the ticketing website and phone line closed at 18:00 on Tuesday.
He's not exactly slow to come forward when there's some kudos to be had is he... :)

Mr Angry 14-05-2014 17:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Clegg apparently having a spot of difficulty in answering calls to publish the results of a tax payer funded poll which some believe shows a rise in "Yes" support.

Hugh 14-05-2014 18:02

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35698173)
Clegg apparently having a spot of difficulty in answering calls to publish the results of a tax payer funded poll which some believe shows a rise in "Yes" support.

Probably be published as the same time as the (Scottish) tax-payer funded legal opinion that shows Scotland can join the EU (in the local argot) "nae bawther"... ;)

Mr Pharmacist 14-05-2014 18:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Nick should have just said that he'd reveal the poll results when Alex and Nicola come clean about the costs of the SNP leaders trips to America. Unless I've missed it that is...

Hugh 14-05-2014 18:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I believe all the costs for those trips have been published.

Mr Pharmacist 14-05-2014 18:17

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35698182)
I believe all the costs for those trips have been published.

Cheers Hugh. I wasn't totally sure. Nick still has a few months to reveal it then? If he does that is.

Damien 14-05-2014 18:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35698173)
Clegg apparently having a spot of difficulty in answering calls to publish the results of a tax payer funded poll which some believe shows a rise in "Yes" support.

Such a non-story. There is no evidence that any 'secret' poll exists other than a letter to a newspaper from a employee whose given name doesn't work at MORI. Governments paying for polling is not new and they've probably commissioned many, many polls none of which is evidence they have a secret poll that shows Yes surging. Also they wouldn't ask a headline yes/no poll, it would be more in-depth answers to specific questions.

Chris 14-05-2014 19:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35698173)
Clegg apparently having a spot of difficulty in answering calls to publish the results of a tax payer funded poll which some believe shows a rise in "Yes" support.

Learnings:

1. Clegg can't deny something outright in the Commons unless he is damned sure it doesn't exist. Misleading the House is a serious matter; his failure to provide an outright denial should be seen in that context, and not as obfuscation or 'difficulty'. Clegg is not running HMG's 'No' operation, Gideon and the ginger freckled one are. His failure to utterly deny is more likely a sign that he was ambushed.

2. Angus Robertson, on the other hand, knows that you can stand up on the opposition benches and say, with very few caveats, anything you like, and he knows that once it is said, newspapers can quote it at will, even if there is absolutely no evidence for it, thanks to the absolute privilege MPs enjoy when speaking in the chamber, and the corresponding protection from action newspapers have when reporting it.

3. Ipsos-MORI has no employee called Kelly Brown. Whoever she is, when she writes to the papers claiming her 'employer' has done a poll and the government is suppressing it, she's talking out of her hat. Assuming she has one.

The Nat's black ops department has been in overdrive for months now. It stretches from the use of Panelbase (which is known to have had its sample panel corrupted) in the production of badly constructed polls which overstate Yes support in comparison to all other polls to the recent, sudden upswing in the number of women apparently taking to Facebook to praise Alex Salmond, the SNP and the Yes camp, none of which are known for their attractiveness to female voters.

All the polling evidence that has been published and scrutinized over the past six months shows that support for Yes, at its most optimistic, has been unable to get past the 45% barrier, which as it happens is the maximum level of support garnered by the SNP in the 2011 Holyrood elections. Even the polls conducted for the Nats by Panelbase have never shown a Yes majority, or a trajectory likely to indicate one in future.

Hugh 14-05-2014 19:20

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Speaking of polls, latest one in the HeraldScotland.
Quote:

The survey, published in the Sunday Mail, found 54% plan to vote No in the independence referendum on September 18.

Just over a third (34%) of those questioned said they will vote Yes, while 12% are undecided.

It follows a separate survey for Channel 4 News published on May 1 which found 51% of people questioned were planning to vote No, compared to 37% who said they would back independence and 12% who were undecided.

The Sunday Mail survey was carried out by Progressive Partnership, which questioned more than 1,300 Scots on Wednesday and Thursday last week.

Of those surveyed, almost nine in 10 (88%) said they would vote.

Mr Angry 14-05-2014 19:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
@Damien & Chris

Chaps, seriously, no need to get so defensive.

It's only a link to a news story about a poll that took place, the supposed outworkings of which are being speculated upon.

Damien 14-05-2014 22:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35698224)
@Damien & Chris

Chaps, seriously, no need to get so defensive.

It's only a link to a news story about a poll that took place, the supposed outworkings of which are being speculated upon.

Yes but it's a negative story for Unionists as, since we perceive it to be flawed, we have a go at it for those flaws.

I'll be glad when this vote is over. I am surprised how emotional and depressing it's all become.

Mr Angry 14-05-2014 22:10

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35698264)
I'll be glad when this vote is over. I am surprised how emotional and depressing it's all become.

Ditto.

Osem 14-05-2014 22:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It's not depressing for me. If enough people buy Salmond's nonsense, Labour's electoral advantage will largely disappear. If they don't then we'll be better off together... :)

Damien 14-05-2014 22:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35698272)
It's not depressing for me. If enough people buy Salmond's nonsense, Labour's electoral advantage will largely disappear. If they don't then we'll be better off together... :)

Labour would have won at least two of their three elections. It would only favour the Tories in close run elections such as the last one. Still Labour would adjust to the right to compensate. Just as the Scottish Nat's dreams of a Toryless Scotland would be dashed by the arrival of a rebranded Scottish Conservative party free from the image of Thatcher and co and able to tailor their message to Scotland without having to consider the English Home Counties vote.

Scotland leaving would be horrible for all concerned IMO.

Chris 14-05-2014 23:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35698224)
@Damien & Chris

Chaps, seriously, no need to get so defensive.

It's only a link to a news story about a poll that took place, the supposed outworkings of which are being speculated upon.

Mr A, I have detected in several of your recent replies to me, an assumption that I'm being defensive. That's not the case, except in the sense that I'm 'defending' the contrary view. But I'm not getting personally agitated about it. No need to worry on that score.

Mr Angry 15-05-2014 06:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
:tu:

Derek 15-05-2014 09:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35698264)
I'll be glad when this vote is over. I am surprised how emotional and depressing it's all become.

Think it's bad now, Salmond is the first Scot in history actually wanting England to win the World Cup just to get the inevitable anti-English bounce in the polls. :(

For such an important vote with such far reaching implications the standard of campaigning and information is disgraceful. The most recent cinema advert for yes is one step away from Braveheart asking for a yes vote without giving a thought for any potential downsides.

Osem 15-05-2014 12:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35698275)
Labour would have won at least two of their three elections. It would only favour the Tories in close run elections such as the last one. Still Labour would adjust to the right to compensate. Just as the Scottish Nat's dreams of a Toryless Scotland would be dashed by the arrival of a rebranded Scottish Conservative party free from the image of Thatcher and co and able to tailor their message to Scotland without having to consider the English Home Counties vote.

Scotland leaving would be horrible for all concerned IMO.

It's not about favouring the Tories, it's about wiping out an unfair advantage Labour have enjoyed and it'd benefit all the other parties in the rest of the UK.

@ Maggy J - Nor is about not wanting a credible opposition 'whomever is in power'. Labour would be just as credible in opposition as they are now, indeed they'd have to try a lot harder.

Still, we digress.

Damien 15-05-2014 12:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35698396)
It's not about favouring the Tories, it's about wiping out an unfair advantage Labour have enjoyed and it'd benefit all the other parties in the rest of the UK.

Do you mean the boundaries? That would still be a problem without Scotland I think.

Osem 16-05-2014 08:12

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
This'll definitely be dismissed as 'bullying' north of the border:

Quote:

In just over five years Britain will have run out of oil, coal and gas, researchers have warned.

A report by the Global Sustainability Institute said shortages would increase dependency on Norway, Qatar and Russia.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-27435624

How credible these figures are remains to be seen but it does rather highlight a major and impending problem. Someone remind me what Plan B is again...

Derek 16-05-2014 13:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35698654)
Someone remind me what Plan B is again...

Whisky. Sell more of that.

Plan C is haggis, D is deep fried food and E is hoping for hosepipe bans in England to sell the water.

TheDaddy 16-05-2014 13:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35698717)
Whisky. Sell more of that.

Plan C is haggis, D is deep fried food and E is hoping for hosepipe bans in England to sell the water.

What about wind, alec's got enough in him to power all those wind turbines by himself

Osem 16-05-2014 15:11

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35698717)
Whisky. Sell more of that.

Plan C is haggis, D is deep fried food and E is hoping for hosepipe bans in England to sell the water.

:rofl:

Remind me who it was here not so long ago who advocated trucking water down to the parched south...

TheDaddy 16-05-2014 15:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35698743)
:rofl:

Remind me who it was here not so long ago who advocated trucking water down to the parched south...

It was you wasn't it, if it wasn't you I'm sure you thought it a very good idea at least :)

Mr Angry 16-05-2014 17:18

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Meanwhile.

"The prime minister has defended the decision not to publish an independence referendum poll that was commissioned by the UK government.

David Cameron told BBC Scotland the government did not routinely publish its opinion research.

But he said the findings of the government's polls were largely in line with other recently published polls."


And another contrary voice.


"David Cameron received a blow on the first day of a visit to Scotland when a former senior British diplomat said "tough but sensible" negotiations would be held on forming a currency union in the event of a vote for independence.

In a challenge to the prime minister, who will reiterate his rejection of a currency union during his two-day trip to Scotland, the former British permanent representative to the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe accused the government of arrogant behaviour towards the people of Scotland."


Better Together clearly have a job of work to do if they want a decisive pro union result in this campaign.

Hugh 16-05-2014 21:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I am confused.

Alex Salmond stated in a BBC interview today that
Quote:

since November, when we launched the White Paper, the average support in all opinion polls for "Yes" has gone from 37% to 45%."
However, an independent site, What Scotland Thinks, states that the latest average on the poll of polls, that the average scores of the last month's polls are Yes on 43% and No on 57%.

And in the previous month, the average was 43%
Quote:

All in all, some ten polls have been published since the currency intervention. With today’s poll, these now include at least one from every company polling regularly during the campaign.

On average these have put the Yes side on 43%, up two points on the equivalent statistic for all those polls conducted between the beginning of January and the currency intervention. Between them they represent the best sequence of results for the Yes side yet.
And this was the best sequence so far.

So how can it be 45%, if the the last couple of months were the best so far, and they were 43%?

Damien 16-05-2014 21:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Salmond has no shame at all. I wouldn't be surprised if he simply made it up (although the SNP probably have a way of measuring the polls that let him make that claim without outright lying).

The polls have stalled for now. I hope they give way to drop below 40%, ideally 35%, by September. I wouldn't rule out Salmond making even more ridiculous claims of a Utopia in the Summer. I think he might just think 'screw it' and announce a 'oil dividend' of £500 or more to each citizen if Scotland goes it alone. Wouldn't put it past him.

Chris 16-05-2014 22:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35698833)
I am confused.

Alex Salmond stated in a BBC interview today that

However, an independent site, What Scotland Thinks, states that the latest average on the poll of polls, that the average scores of the last month's polls are Yes on 43% and No on 57%.

And in the previous month, the average was 43% And this was the best sequence so far.

So how can it be 45%, if the the last couple of months were the best so far, and they were 43%?

I'd be interested to know what the poll of polls average is, when polls commissioned by any political party or campaigning organisation are excluded. I'm thinking particularly of the Panelbase polls commissioned by nationalists with their dodgy leading questions and their thoroughly compromised sample base, but for balance I'd be quite happy to see any Better Together polls excluded also.

Derek 18-05-2014 07:57

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35698780)
And another contrary voice.

"David Cameron received a blow on the first day of a visit to Scotland when a former senior British diplomat said "tough but sensible" negotiations would be held on forming a currency union in the event of a vote for independence.

Better Together clearly have a job of work to do if they want a decisive pro union result in this campaign.

Well Salmond keeps on quoting the 'Senior unnamed Government source' who said of course there would be a currency union. He always stops short at the bit where that same source says keeping Trident at Faslane would be a likely bargaining chip for that.

And in any case not having control of your own currency isn't full independence IMO.

But yes the Better Together campaign is atrocious. I'd have thought they'd be able to comprehensively shoot down the Guess campaigns lies and spin with ease.

---------- Post added at 07:57 ---------- Previous post was at 07:52 ----------

Quite a good article with some very valid points raised.

http://ianssmart.blogspot.co.uk/2014...-question.html

Quote:

But there is one big exception to this aspired for unimportance in Nationalist mythology and that's in what happens if we vote Yes on 18th September. For then apparently the World will for the next eighteen months be at our beck and call. Not only will we be admitted to the EU but we will be admitted on a timescale and indeed terms of our choosing. Not only will the British Government allow us to join a currency union they will do so without *even asking their electorate. Indeed, Angus Robertson has even suggested they would cancel their General Election for our convenience. Not only would we be welcomed in to the NATO (expressly) Nuclear Alliance, we would be so welcome while closing that alliance's most important Eastern Atlantic Naval Base and indeed while possibly promulgating a constitution that forbade the stationing of nuclear weapons within our territorial jurisdiction!

So what if, just if, our negotiations with the EU over membership are not concluded by "Independence Day", specified in the White Paper to be 24th March 2016? What if, by then, the rest of the UK has not in fact agreed a currency union? What if the USA has insisted that the price of NATO membership is the retention of the "non-negotiable" Trident Submarine Base?

What happens then? Is Independence postponed?

Well here is where matters take a more sinister turn. There is a reason that Independence Day is scheduled for 24th March 2016, rather than, say, 24th June 2016 or indeed perhaps the entirely logical 18th September 2016.

There is a Scottish General Election scheduled for 5th May 2016.

Let's just speculate as to the fate of a Party who, by then, might have been exposed as misleading the Scottish people on the ease with which Independence: EU membership; currency union ; NATO membership would be accomplished. Who were faced with mass unemployment at the Clyde shipyards and the (formerly) Edinburgh Banks. Whose "optimism" over oil receipts had proved unfounded leading to them having to set a budget for the year ahead involving deep cuts to pensions and benefits and steep increases in personal taxation. Whose unilateral promise of an open border but a different immigration policy were belied by the customs barriers now erected by the British Government? What would be the electoral fortunes of such a Party?

Would they not inevitably say that on 18th September 2014 past people had voted for independence. And for that Independence to take place on 24th March 2016. The unfulfilled premises to that vote were "not their fault." Independence, without the EU; without the Pound; without NATO; without an open border would just have to go ahead. The people could vote for who they liked on 5th May 2016. The incoming Government, of whatever stripe, would be faced with a fait accompli.

Mr Angry 18-05-2014 09:14

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
An interesting blog post as you say.

I suspect much of the content is a follow on from what the house of lords recommended recently as covered here. As we can see, the whole issue of a Scotland after the referendum vote is tied to negotiations under the terms of the Edinburgh Agreement which Cameron has again said he would "stick absolutely" to. I would imagine that will involve moveable dates.

Hugh 18-05-2014 14:41

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
This (behind paywall) may cause some "tensions" if the Independence vote comes out in favour of staying in the Union....

Quote:

English votes may kill off independence

The poll suggests slightly more Scots support than oppose independence (44% versus 42%, with 14% undecided) ahead of September’s vote.

But it indicates that English voters, who account for 10% of Scotland’s electorate, are 66% against independence, with 27% in favour — which could make the difference between success or failure for the Yes campaign.

When the views of English and other non-Scots are combined with Scottish voters, 40% favour independence while 47% support the Union and 13% are undecided.

If those who have not made up their minds are excluded, the Better Together campaign enjoys an eight point lead (54% against 46%). It is the latest poll to suggest that progress made by the Yes campaign in recent months has halted.

There are some concerns that the effect of English votes in potentially making the difference between success or failure for the Yes campaign could lead to increased tensions in the event of a narrow No vote.

Chris 18-05-2014 14:49

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
On the other hand, if it had been possible to give votes only to those UK citizens who were born in Scotland, there would probably still be a 'no' ...

A whole range of recent polls (even a dodgy Panelbase one) have shown support for Yes stalling, and in most cases going backwards.

Osem 18-05-2014 14:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
My oh my, Jimi's been a long time compiling all those book/film/documentary quotes claiming England won the Battle of Britain... :rofl:

Hugh 18-05-2014 15:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35699301)
My oh my, Jimi's been a long time compiling all those book/film/documentary quotes claiming England won the Battle of Britain... :rofl:

Sadly, Jimi is no longer "with us".......

Mr Angry 18-05-2014 15:56

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35699298)
On the other hand, if it had been possible to give votes only to those UK citizens who were born in Scotland, there would probably still be a 'no' ...

A whole range of recent polls (even a dodgy Panelbase one) have shown support for Yes stalling, and in most cases going backwards.

It seems you're on the money there, Chris.

Chris 18-05-2014 16:08

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It's worth remembering that there was predicted to be a "Yes bounce" after the currency intervention by Alexander OsBalls. That bounce was then followed by the SNP spring conference, which was their last decent chance to get their own undiluted separatist message onto the telly. From now on, the broadcasters in particular, are going to be scrupulously balanced (BBC Scotland did a set-piece studio interview with Eck last week, purely because Cameron was in Scotland for two days, and said lots about the referendum).

When the facts for and against are presented, and people then get to express a view in absolute secrecy, there is a substantial natural majority in favour of the Union in Scotland, and not just amongst us English settlers. Although the demographic is somewhat skewed, the best illustration we have so far are the mock referendums held on university campuses all over Scotland in the last 6 months. IIRC every single one of them has voted No, and most of those have done so by a very comfortable margin.

None of this means we should be complacent. The SNP will make shameless propaganda out of every podium finish Scotland achieves at the forthcoming Commonwealth Games (quietly omitting to mention the role the UK training structure plays in developing elite sport in all the home nations, but that's par for the course) and there is always the risk of what the strategists call a "black swan incident". We also need to ensure all potential No voters understand that they will only get a No if every single one of them actually goes out to vote.

But, on balance, things are on course.

weenie 18-05-2014 17:23

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35699306)
Sadly, Jimi is no longer "with us".......

:shocked: Why was he tae good with his Scottish talk LOL ... I used to enjoy his feedback whether good or bad it made me chuckle. I say bring back jimi ... he wasn't that bad was he guys?
I would have thought it would have been better to allow him to stay on the cf if only to brag if/when Scotland won the yes vote or slag him off if he was wrong either way a missed opportunity IMO.

Chris 18-05-2014 17:43

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Jimi is alive and well on at least one other internet forum, where I imagine he continues to post his opinions of this website.

Damien 18-05-2014 21:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35699321)
None of this means we should be complacent. The SNP will make shameless propaganda out of every podium finish Scotland achieves at the forthcoming Commonwealth Games (quietly omitting to mention the role the UK training structure plays in developing elite sport in all the home nations, but that's par for the course) and there is always the risk of what the strategists call a "black swan incident". We also need to ensure all potential No voters understand that they will only get a No if every single one of them actually goes out to vote.

But, on balance, things are on course.

Can you think of anything which Salmond could "pull out of the bag" to make it closer? They're promising a lot that I can't see anything other than something utterly ridiculous.

Hugh 18-05-2014 21:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Just before polling day, blame UK Gov for some shortfalls in funding after something goes badly wrong with a critical service.

Damien 18-05-2014 22:09

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 35699428)
Just before polling day, blame UK Gov for some shortfalls in funding after something goes badly wrong with a critical service.

Don't they do that all the time anyway? :p:

Chris 18-05-2014 23:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Damien (Post 35699431)
Don't they do that all the time anyway? :p:

They do. The senior SNP lot have had the righteous indignation turned all the way up to 11 for months now and it is beginning to sound rather shrill. It is losing its effect, IMO, even among those who are supposedly "undecided".

Osem 19-05-2014 07:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I imagine they'll roll out a national screening of BraveHeart with Salmond's image and voice digitally superimposed over Mel Gibson's... :D

Chris 26-05-2014 13:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Some interesting points arising from the Euro result in Scotland.

1. Despite having a higher profile than ever, a bank account groaning with lottery winnings and standing on the claim that Scotland needs independent representation in Europe, the SNP's support has gone nowhere since 2009. Actually, it's down just a fraction on the last Euros. It is down something like 16 points on Holyrood 2011, but it would be tricky to draw too much from that. What should not be understated, however, is that 71% of those who voted, rejected the argument that Scotland can't effectively be represented in Europe by any party that is not distinctly, uniquely Scottish.

2. Salmond takes every opportunity to claim that the Scottish body politic is distinct from the English. These results prove that actually, it's just a variation on the same thing. UKIP is on the rise in Scotland too, from a lower base but nevertheless doubling its support. UKIP is only slightly more popular in London than it is in Scotland (which have similar population levels), and won one seat in each. Bet you don't hear any SNP ministers talking up that similarity in the coming days.

3. The SNP and the Greens campaign for Scotland to remove itself from the UK. The combined support for these parties, based on the Euro election, is 37%, leaving the unionist parties with almost 63%. This was not an independence refendum, but with the intensity of campaigning that has been going on in Scotland, surely if Yes was on course to win a majority there would be *some* evidence of it in a real election held just 4 months from referendum day, and more than a year since campaigning began? As things stand, the combined support for separatist parties at this election is well within the usual range of separatist sentiment in Scotland.

4. Salmond claims that Scotland does not share England's Eurosceptic instincts. Yet Scotland has just binned its only Lib Dem (arch federalist) MEP and replaced him with an arch-sceptic from UKIP. Chew on that, Eck.

Chris 27-05-2014 18:55

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Desperate Eck is now so scared of what HM Treasury is going to say about the costs of setting up new government departments in Edinburgh, he has scheduled his own press conference to tell everyone it's a load of rubbish. His press conference rebutting the Treasure starts five minutes before Danny Alexander gets up to speak on behalf of HMG. Presumably he's hoping the meedja all comes to listen to him and ignores the other side.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...-break-up.html

Chad 27-05-2014 21:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
More bullying, this time from Barclays bank:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...-currency.html

"An independent Scotland would be twice as likely to adopt its own currency as continue using the pound, according to an analysis produced yesterday by Barclays for its investors.

The banking giant estimated there was a 60 per cent chance of Scotland being forced to start its own currency despite Alex Salmond’s insistence the remainder of the UK would drop its opposition to sharing the pound after a Yes vote in the referendum."

Qtx 27-05-2014 22:45

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The vote is still 4 months away...this is going to be debated to death by then :soapbox:

Derek 28-05-2014 10:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Cinema chains across Scotland have announced they will introduce a ban on both pro and anti-independence adverts in the lead up to the referendum.

The outlets revealed they are bringing in the new rule after receiving a number of complaints from customers about the adverts shown ahead of film screenings.
http://bit.ly/1kmMstX

Good. I've had enough of crap Braveheart esque adverts that seem to say that if we are independent Tony Blair and George W Bush wouldn't have invaded Iraq.

Osem 28-05-2014 12:36

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Let's hope the majority of voters don't decide to stay at home and allow Salmond's Tartan Twits to get their way. There's no way back from a 'Yes' vote...

Chris 28-05-2014 12:58

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35702082)
Let's hope the majority of voters don't decide to stay at home and allow Salmond's Tartan Twits to get their way. There's no way back from a 'Yes' vote...

There's no danger of that. The unionist majority is quiet but is nevertheless thoroughly sick of Eck and his smug lieutenants in the SNP and the Guess campaign.

The No vote will be out in numbers, even if only for the pure joy of seeing the look on his face when the whole edifice comes crashing down.

Osem 28-05-2014 13:48

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35702095)
There's no danger of that. The unionist majority is quiet but is nevertheless thoroughly sick of Eck and his smug lieutenants in the SNP and the Guess campaign.

The No vote will be out in numbers, even if only for the pure joy of seeing the look on his face when the whole edifice comes crashing down.

If you're right I wonder if there'll be a new Scottish version of 'fail' in their dictionary to rival the 'Clegg' down south. Ermmm??.... Hmmm.... What about an 'Alec'?... :D

richard s 28-05-2014 15:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I think the Scots may well vote YES now, especially if the UKIPers win the next general election.

Chris 28-05-2014 15:03

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by richard s (Post 35702125)
I think the Scots may well vote YES now, especially if the UKIPers win the next general election.

Referendum = 3 months from now.
General Election = 11 months from now.

I think you're getting a bit confused ...

nashville 28-05-2014 15:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I certainly hope all the No voters come out in force. It would be a distasted for us to have independence. We could not go it alone and the change over alone would cost a fortune. It is Ok for Salmon to say we will be better off in 15, 20 years by £1000 each, people need help now to help our situation, Definitely NO for me.

Kursk 29-05-2014 00:21

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35702126)
Referendum = 3 months from now.
General Election = 11 months from now.

I think you're getting a bit confused ...

Facts should not be allowed to get in the way of a good ol' fashioned bit of UKIP bashing.

I despair. :sleep:

Pierre 29-05-2014 07:04

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kursk (Post 35702303)
Facts should not be allowed to get in the way of a good ol' fashioned bit of UKIP bashing.

I despair. :sleep:

As far as as I can tell, this thread has sod all to do with UKIP.

Would it be possible to have one thread on this forum that isn't to do with UKIP/ Farage?

Hell, let's throw in some Muslims and we'll have the full set.

richard s 29-05-2014 14:39

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35702126)
Referendum = 3 months from now.
General Election = 11 months from now.

I think you're getting a bit confused ...


No one is not... I know the dates for elections... just been looking at my crystal ball.

Chris 29-05-2014 18:33

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Now the FT is bullying Alex Salmond.

John McDermott, analysing the SNP's panic stations 'report' into their claimed 'independence bonus' yesterday:

Quote:

Nowhere is there an analysis of how productivity will increase or how Scotland will improve its demographics. The “bonus” is therefore not a reflection of the Scottish National party’s proposed policies, as laid out in Scotland’s Future, its white paper. It assumes good things will happen and works out how to share the bounty. There is nothing wrong in speculating what a more productive Scotland would look like but to pass fantasies off as robust pieces of analysis is an insult to the country of David Hume and Adam Smith.
http://blogs.ft.com/off-message/2014...endence-bonus/

(Free to view with registration)

Oh, dear.

Osem 31-05-2014 10:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I dare say Salmond will be wanting to take full credit for this demonstration of how to get the job done in Scotland:

Quote:

Edinburgh's tram service has taken its first paying customers as the long-awaited route from the airport to the city centre opens to the public.

The first tram services set off at 05:00 BST from the Gyle Centre in the west of the city.

It follows six years of disruption and problems, including a bitter dispute between the council and its contractor.

The Edinburgh tram route cost £776m and covers 8.7 miles (14km) from the New Town to Edinburgh Airport.

In the decade since the first money was allocated to the project, the price has doubled, the network has halved and it has taken twice as long to build as originally planned.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-27602618

Chris 31-05-2014 11:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Actually, to be fair to the Nats (much as it pains me), they tried to can the whole thing back in 2007, when they first became a minority administration, but they didn't control the Holyrood parliament and the other three main parties voted to force them to continue funding it. Then a couple of years ago when Edinburgh Council tried to cut their losses and terminate the tram line at Haymarket (so that it wouldn't even come into the city centre, much less through it and down to Leith docks as originally planned), as they were by now a majority in parliament they threatened to withdraw all funding unless the council agreed that the line had to come into the city centre.

The tram project has been one disaster after another, but the incompetence is firmly located in Edinburgh City Council chambers and, for once, the SNP's instincts were correct, in first of all trying to kill it, and afterwards insisting that if it was going to be done, it had to be doe properly.

---------- Post added at 11:05 ---------- Previous post was at 10:50 ----------

Meanwhile, it's B&Q's turn to bully Alex Salmond. Kingfisher has already suspended openings of new Screwfix branches, B&Q itself will suspend investment in the event of a Yes vote until issues surrounding currency and tax rates are resolved.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...ependence.html

Be sure to scroll down to the Diqus panel, some of the cybernat comments are absolutely priceless. :rofl:

Derek 31-05-2014 17:47

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Some of the cybernats aren't taking B&Q operators comments well.

https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...05/1.jpg:large
https://www.cableforum.co.uk/images/...05/2.jpg:large

Chris 31-05-2014 20:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The cause of separatism is becoming like a cult. The way some of the real hardcore nats react when someone says something they don't like is quite chilling. Heaven only knows what's going to happen when September comes and they lose the vote ...

Ignitionnet 31-05-2014 22:27

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
They should go to Tower Hamlets to do a fact-finding mission on election rigging.

Osem 31-05-2014 22:42

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35703002)
The cause of separatism is becoming like a cult. The way some of the real hardcore nats react when someone says something they don't like is quite chilling. Heaven only knows what's going to happen when September comes and they lose the vote ...

Odd how people who reckon they're the victims of 'racism' so often fall back on the sort of stereotyping they claim they've suffered from...

So some twit in Scotland reckons B&Q are 'racist ****' because they've made a business decision based on the inevitable uncertainty. How very pathetic...

Chad 31-05-2014 23:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I'm voting NO as I can't face the lunatics running the asylum

Kursk 01-06-2014 00:19

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 35702325)
As far as as I can tell, this thread has sod all to do with UKIP.

Would it be possible to have one thread on this forum that isn't to do with UKIP/ Farage?

Hell, let's throw in some Muslims and we'll have the full set.

My comment was made in direct response to another which specifically mentioned UKIP. You'd be better off quoting that one if you want to deride someone's opinion. Here you go:

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard s (Post 35702125)
I think the Scots may well vote YES now, especially if the UKIPers win the next general election.

Incidentally, I see nothing wrong in anyone making a comment that is associated with the thread content even if we are all probably a bit UKIP punch-drunk following the recent exchanges.

Chris 02-06-2014 10:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Most Scots think oil revenue should be shared across the UK.

http://www.scotsman.com/news/politic...poll-1-3429680

Derek 02-06-2014 10:25

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
A blueprint for the future endorsed by the SNP.

Quote:

Scotland should embrace a shorter working week, higher wages, an expanded welfare state and higher taxes, according to a new blueprint.
...
Among the main recommendations are:

a high-skill, high-wage economy and a 30-hour working week
An expanded welfare state with universal public services and an expansion in affordable housing
A minimum income for all
Raising the 40p income tax rate to 50p, and the 45p rate for those earning more than £150,000 to 60p
Higher taxes on land, industry, retailers and whisky production
...
Deputy First Minister Nicola Sturgeon welcomed the publication of the paper.

She said: "As the Common Weal publication makes clear, Scotland is ready for change and independence is the only way to secure a better future for the people of Scotland.

"With the full set of economic and fiscal levers, independence would unlock Scotland's full potential as a vibrant and dynamic economy and a fairer society.
http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-27655214

As much as I'd like a 30 hour week I'm a realist and know there isn't a magic money tree, I also pay a not insignificant chunk of my wages in taxes and don't relish the thought of paying more.

Is imagine the guess camp will be flogging this guaranteed income message to the less salubrious areas that they've already been leafleting about the independence bonus and who won't be effected by whacking great tax rises.

Chris 02-06-2014 10:31

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Alec actually thinks he's God. He thinks he can declare a 30 hour week, wage rises and free money for the poor and it will all just happen. His delusions are getting dangerous.

How hard do they think it is for someone to move from Edinburgh or Glasgow to Leeds or Newcastle, or Manchester or London, to escape such inane tax rates as 60pc?

No doubt there are some real thick people out there who will be taken in by this, but I have to hope that there are enough Scottish voters who are educated enough to see that this would be a recipe for disaster.

weenie 02-06-2014 13:45

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I wonder if I am the only Scot who cannot wait till this all goes away, totally fed up with the yes vote campaign it is in your face every day. Vote NO I say. I wish it was September then it would all be over.

nomadking 02-06-2014 15:22

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by weenie (Post 35703466)
I wonder if I am the only Scot who cannot wait till this all goes away, totally fed up with the yes vote campaign it is in your face every day. Vote NO I say. I wish it was September then it would all be over.

If only.

Damien 03-06-2014 20:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
It looks like this is over. I noticed the other day that we're closer to the vote than we are to Osbourne's currency speech. Polls haven't moved since their uptick in April and according to the latest polling people's positions are hardening whilst undecideds decline. The amount of people certain to vote, over 80%, also suggests that the Yes campaign can't depend on a few points swing due to a enthusiasm gap.

Yes need a big event to happen for this to change now. They might be able to close the polls a bit over the Summer but not by enough without a major intervention to help them. As long as Cameron hasn't got a hidden recording of him burning the Scottish flag with Ed Miliband and Prince Charles then I fail to see what could happen (that's feasible).

I think when we look back at this though we made a couple of mistakes. Allowing the SNP to not include Scottish residents elsewhere in the UK in the vote was a big mistake. Also the timing should have been now rather than after the Glasgow Commonwealth Games.

Chris 03-06-2014 22:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
I agree Cameron should have made the powers to hold the referendum expire at the end of May 2014, I really can't see what has been achieved by allowing the bloodletting to go on this long.

We are now seeing the nats revert to type, boycotting businesses whose owners have expressed anything remotely unhelpful to their cause (B&Q being only the latest) and, on Sunday morning, demonstrating outside BBC Scotland in Glasgow to protest against 'unionist bias'. They are starting to look like a batty fringe group, which is unsurprising because at their core that's what they are.

Perhaps the only benefit of having to wait until September is that the more bitter and desperate the nats get, the more stupid they will make themselves look. The three stooges, Alec, Nicola and John boy, are looking increasingly crazed as they parrot the same lines about bullying etc. Only the most dyed-in-the-wool separatists can't see that they're desperate and devoid of any strategy. They really did think they could paint Westminster as a great big bogeyman and then wing it.

Osem 04-06-2014 08:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
They really are behaving like spoilt children. Some of what's going on is pathetic.

There's some more 'bullying' here too:

Quote:

A think tank has suggested an independent Scotland would face bigger spending cuts and higher tax rises than previously predicted if it is to balance the books.

The Institute for Fiscal Studies has updated its calculations, based on the latest official forecasts.

Pro-Union campaigners have welcomed the analysis.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-27690028

Derek 04-06-2014 10:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
More bullying, negative campaigning and scaremongering according to the guess camp.

I'm constantly amazed they make absurd promises, throw tantrums when they are called out on their back of a fag packet calculations and generally fail to debate like adults yet some people are still dumb enough to believe them. :(

Osem 04-06-2014 10:06

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35703953)
More bullying, negative campaigning and scaremongering according to the guess camp.

I'm constantly amazed they make absurd promises, throw tantrums when they are called out on their back of a fag packet calculations and generally fail to debate like adults yet some people are still dumb enough to believe them. :(

That'd be right. :)

Just out of curiosity, has the SNP ever once conceded that their opposition have a point and that things might not be a bed of roses?

Derek 04-06-2014 10:09

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Osem (Post 35703957)
Just out of curiosity, has the SNP ever once conceded that their opposition have a point and that things might not be a bed of roses?

Nope. If that happens I'd expect snowflakes in hell, cats and dogs living in harmony and Arthur praising the Tories. :D

Osem 04-06-2014 11:28

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35703960)
Nope. If that happens I'd expect snowflakes in hell, cats and dogs living in harmony and Arthur praising the Tories. :D

So it IS all going to be just tickety-boo then after Salmond's Tartan Twits get their way... no risks, no downside, no problems at all... A veritable tartan Utopia with Braveheart Salmond's image emblazoned on everything as his reward for saving the proud Scots from their dire fate at the hands of the despicable English... :rolleyes: :D

If it all goes to plan I reckon Salmond can see a Hollywood film in this with his chum Sean Connery playing the SNP leader... :D

Derek 04-06-2014 17:51

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Looks like IKEA will be joining the list of boycott targets for the Nats.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-27696769

Quote:

The Swedish foreign minister has said he believes Scottish independence could have "profound implications" for the the rest of Europe.

Carl Bildt told the FT newspaper he believed the "Balkanisation of the British Isles" could set off "unforeseen chain reactions".

The FT quoted Mr Bildt as saying: "I think it (independence) is going to have more profound implications than people think.

"The Balkanisation of the British Isles is something we are not looking forward to. It opens up a lot, primarily in Scotland but also in the UK.

Osem 04-06-2014 18:07

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35704156)
Looks like IKEA will be joining the list of boycott targets for the Nats.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-27696769

That'll do a lot of good for Scottish jobs won't it... :spin:

Chad 04-06-2014 21:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
This is actually bullying:

http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/late...r-Alex-Salmond

:)

TheDaddy 04-06-2014 22:01

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chad (Post 35704224)

Indeed, poor old blob fish, compared to that twit

Chris 04-06-2014 23:00

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Alistair Darling says Eck's comments about the BBC "beaming" Ukip into Scottish living rooms is the sort of thing Kim Jong Il would say.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...m-Jong-il.html

The nats, predictably, have burst a communal blood vessel. The problem is, they turned the outrage up to 11 a long time ago and nobody really takes any notice any more.

Mr Angry 05-06-2014 01:13

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35704254)
The problem is, they turned the outrage up to 11 a long time ago and nobody really takes any notice any more.

Except the opposition.

---------- Post added at 01:13 ---------- Previous post was at 01:06 ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by Derek (Post 35704156)
Looks like IKEA will be joining the list of boycott targets for the Nats.

http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-...itics-27696769

Shocker. Ex Swedish prime minister states the obvious.

Chris 05-06-2014 08:20

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Courtesy of the New Statesman:

http://www.newstatesman.com/sites/de...?itok=jsBUfRlU

:D

http://www.newstatesman.com/politics...ng-kim-jong-il

richard s 05-06-2014 10:15

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Blimey ol Alex has had a make over.

Mr Pharmacist 05-06-2014 13:05

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35704254)
Alistair Darling says Eck's comments about the BBC "beaming" Ukip into Scottish living rooms is the sort of thing Kim Jong Il would say.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/ukne...m-Jong-il.html

The nats, predictably, have burst a communal blood vessel. The problem is, they turned the outrage up to 11 a long time ago and nobody really takes any notice any more.

Out of order comparing people to Nazis. Luckily, Salmond would never stoop so low.... http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/poli...-official.html

Chris 05-06-2014 15:59

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Now Barack Obama is bullying Alex Salmond.
Quote:

"The United Kingdom has been an extraordinary partner to us. From the outside at least, it looks like things have worked pretty well.

"And we obviously have a deep interest in making sure that one of the closest allies we will ever have remains a strong, robust, united and effective partner.

"But ultimately these are decisions that are to be made by the folks there."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotlan...itics-27713327

Pretty obvious how he wants to see it turn out.

Mr Angry 06-06-2014 21:32

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Setting aside endorsements from the Droneranger™ it looks as though Lego™ are bullying the better together crowd.

nashville 07-06-2014 13:53

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
We all wish it was all over and done with as Salmon is a dangerous man and would try any dirty tricks to be a winner in the campaign, Thank The Lord most people are beginning to see sense and voting No. Just hope the undecided see through him

Derek 08-06-2014 10:16

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
In a more that will infuriate at least one member on here Andy Murray has hit out at Alec Salmond after his saltire stunt at Wimbledon last year.

http://www.thesundaytimes.co.uk/sto/...ard-2014_06_07

Quote:

ANDY MURRAY has revealed that he “didn’t like it” when Alex Salmond unfurled a Scottish flag following his victory at Wimbledon last year.

In comments that will be interpreted by some as pro-union, Murray also pointed out that he has been “competing for Britain for 16 years”.

Earlier this year Murray said he would not reveal if he intended to vote yes or no in the referendum on Scottish independence because of the controversy it would generate.

Qtx 08-06-2014 15:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The state of the media and their tricks to influence voters has got ridiculous

http://s8.postimg.org/pqgynmh5h/20140608_144348.jpg

As far as im concerned it's up to the scottish what they choose and I wish them the best of luck either way but seeing things like that in paper makes me want everyone to vote for a split, just to say :upyours: to the newspaper.

Chris 08-06-2014 17:38

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
The story is a report of comments by Sir Paul Nurse, who is President of the Royal Society. His words have been reported in several national newspapers today. This has nothing to do with the Daily Express.

Given the man's expertise in the whole area of scientific research and funding, I think it's worth reflecting on what he has actually said rather than getting uppity about it.

Mr Angry 08-06-2014 17:50

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
And again the UK / ROI cross border collaboration is cited as a current working and successful model.

"The pro-independence group, Academics for Yes, pointed to collaborations across the Irish border.

"Several bilateral arrangements exist between the UK and the Republic of Ireland," a spokesman said.

"These include joint funding arrangements between the UK Arts and Humanities Research Council and the Irish Research Council for Humanities and Social Sciences, the merging of the postgraduate research councils of the Republic and Northern Ireland, and an agreement giving the universities of Ulster and Queen's University Belfast access to the Republic's scientific research funding scheme.

"Why would an independent Scotland be treated differently?""


From here.

Chris 08-06-2014 18:29

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35705145)
And again the UK / ROI cross border collaboration is cited as a current working and successful model.

"The pro-independence group, Academics for Yes, pointed to collaborations across the Irish border.

"Several bilateral arrangements exist between the UK and the Republic of Ireland," a spokesman said.

"These include joint funding arrangements between the UK Arts and Humanities Research Council and the Irish Research Council for Humanities and Social Sciences, the merging of the postgraduate research councils of the Republic and Northern Ireland, and an agreement giving the universities of Ulster and Queen's University Belfast access to the Republic's scientific research funding scheme.

"Why would an independent Scotland be treated differently?""


From here.

I think a lot of people wilfully ignore the somewhat difficult circumstances in which the Irish Republic was founded, the partition of the island and the many cross-border institutions and arrangements, both formal and informal, which exist.

To repeat the obvious, this referendum campaign is not an argument over whether it is possible for Scotland to be independent. It is an argument over whether it is desirable.

And in the realm of scientific research, as with so many others, the nationalist case seems to be to tear up arrangements that just work because they exist within the context of a unified nation state, and replace them with cross-border agreements between sovereign states. With all the goodwill in the world, agreements between separate, sovereign governments are never going to be as easy to set up and operate as those that are made in a domestic context.

Mr Angry 08-06-2014 18:44

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35705153)
I think a lot of people wilfully ignore the somewhat difficult circumstances in which the Irish Republic was founded, the partition of the island and the many cross-border institutions and arrangements, both formal and informal, which exist.

To repeat the obvious, this referendum campaign is not an argument over whether it is possible for Scotland to be independent. It is an argument over whether it is desirable.

And in the realm of scientific research, as with so many others, the nationalist case seems to be to tear up arrangements that just work because they exist within the context of a unified nation state, and replace them with cross-border agreements between sovereign states. With all the goodwill in the world, agreements between separate, sovereign governments are never going to be as easy to set up and operate as those that are made in a domestic context.

I think we get that.

However, we are where we are as far as the UK and ROI are concerned and, irrespective of the "difficult circumstances", the cross border institutions work and as such it is a perfectly bonafide comparator.

It is obvious that independence can work. From what I've seen it is the "NO" campaign which appears to consistently paint a picture of doom.

What the nationalists might deem to do post referendum is anyones guess but, as has been stated before, it will be a negotiated basis from which to begin.

That was always the deal.

Chris 08-06-2014 18:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 35705162)
I think we get that.

However, we are where we are as far as the UK and ROI are concerned and, irrespective of the "difficult circumstances", the cross border institutions work and as such it is a perfectly bonafide comparator.

It is obvious that independence can work. From what I've seen it is the "NO" campaign which appears to consistently paint a picture of doom.

What the nationalists might deem to do post referendum is anyones guess but, as has been stated before, it will be a negotiated basis from which to begin.

That was always the deal.

The name of the principal no campaign organisation is the big giveaway here. It is, Better Together. I know you know that already. ;)

The No campaign's message is to get people to vote for the negative. That puts them at an immediate disadvantage, for anyone looking for someone to point a finger at and accuse of doom-mongering.

But the truth - as I see it, and, I believe, as the comfortable majority of Scots voters see it - is that while independence can work, iScotland would not be a more prosperous place, an easier place to live or work in, and a great deal of time and money would have to be spent re-forging a lot of things that at present a lot of people take for granted, such as the cancer research funding arrangements under discussion today.

Mr Angry 08-06-2014 19:30

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35705165)
.... and a great deal of time and money would have to be spent re-forging a lot of things that at present a lot of people take for granted, such as the cancer research funding arrangements under discussion today.

Yes, quite, but that is only if they wish to maintain the status quo.

Independence - if that is the outcome of the wishes of the democratic majority - will require change and self governance.

Qtx 08-06-2014 21:54

Re: Will Scotland Leave the UK?
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Chris (Post 35705137)
This has nothing to do with the Daily Express.

You don't think newspapers are putting the story as a full front page story due to how they want to the Scottish public to vote?


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