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Re: Government & Post Election Discussion
Ye who place their faith in politicians...:(:td:
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The only question I have is whether the Conservative Party will allow Theresa May to continue as Leader for another election, given the last mash up. |
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Mrs May is not good at publicity which is (unfortunately) too big a thing for the party to ignore. You could be the best at the job but if you can't show as being good at the PR stuff your chances are much diminished.
I can imagine the LD would be licking their lips at the chance to get in and throw the whole referendum out, after all an election win would be a mandate not to proceed. |
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The question is what would convince them the outcome would be much different? The local elections might encourage the Tories in that Corbyn hasn't made further inroads it still suggested a hung Parliament, in fact it suggested one in much Labour are the biggest party.
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The results of the local elections are no real guide to what will happen in a General Election. Only some council areas had an election anyway, and the results were skewed by London.
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l think this just about sums up many politicians nowadays who can't give a straight answer to a straight question...
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/poli...-a3849896.html |
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I think that Fox is worried that he won't have a department to run in a while. The fear of redundancy can make people say stupid stuff. He'll still have a job though, just not a cabinet level position.
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(FYI that wasn't a swipe at you, May did that exact thing on PMQs which is precisely the kind of behavior that makes me view her so poorly). |
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For where there is anti Semitic abuse with some parts of the Labour party we also have Islamophobic abuse with some parts of the Conservative party.:(
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...mophobic-abuse https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk...nvolvement-pro https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a8390121.html |
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Hands up who said "F*** business" Was it a) Diane Abbott b) Boris Johnson?
The answer is the latter. Is there no party which will stand up for hard-working job-creating companies? https://www.ft.com/content/8075e68c-...7-1e1a0846c475 |
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Incidentally, there is little point linking to The Times or The Financial Times as they are for subscribers only and the rest of us can't read it. You could copy and paste the relevant parts that make your point, however. |
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https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...bs-theresa-may https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...ness-ncwfljkcm http://www.itv.com/news/2018-06-24/a...usiness-party/ https://www.ft.com/content/8075e68c-...7-1e1a0846c475 |
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If yes, then lets do it, no 'negotiations' If No, then the EU are negotiating to save . . err . . whatever they are trying to save. Anyone can negotiate a deal, whether it's a good deal is another matter |
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That is the part of this that you are not getting ; there is no deal to negotiate. Does not matter how many times over May says that it is a negotiation / process under way the "no" will mean just that from Brussels. No to SM access without FM, no to FT without CU membership etc. These are not negotiations - they are refusals.
If they go hard / a hard leave then there is nothing to negotiate. If it is soft / a soft leave then there are simply going to be rules and stipulations that the UK must abide by and given that it can't then perks are going to be forsakes I suppose. The EU won't decide which option the UK goes for - but whichever it is, the UK will have to abide by whatever is required in return ; whether that be sacrificing access or independence. One or the other. |
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This is the same kind of mentality Churchill faced in the late 1930s with Hitler, with the majority of the Commons arguing that appeasement was the only option, and interestingly, the public disagreed with their politicians then too. You can keep saying that May is weak all you like, but your assessment does not take into account that she has got us this far in the negotiations despite the remainers and Brexiteers in her own party, a lack of a majority in the Commons, a Labour Party in disarray who cannot remember whether it wants to leave or stay and so just tries to disrupt and an EU determined to do all it can to upset the will of our electorate. Most would have given up long ago. ---------- Post added at 09:42 ---------- Previous post was at 09:34 ---------- Quote:
Frankly, I am OK with no deal and fall out, but understanding that this will cause short term disruption which many people are uneasy with, I am happy for Theresa May to attempt a deal in everyone's interests. However, make no mistake, a no deal with the EU will hurt both sides, and while the UK will recover, the EU will slip into disadvantage, trying to compete with our lower tax rates, reduced bureaucracy and our new found entrepreneurism. |
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The last time I called May out, your delicate sensitivities got a little bent out of shape and you got all huffy, made up a load of crap and I had to school you some - this time I thought that I would spare you the embarrassment / indignity but you apparently seem hell bent, on going there. People need strength and courage / commitment. May is pathetic and now you have resorted to comparing me to someone who appeased Hitler, just because someone spoke ill of your little princess. Suck it up, some. I won't take this crap from you every single post. Quote:
You are correct - most would have given up long ago. She doesn't have a shred of dignity to do so. There is a word for women like her, you know it so I won't pollute the thread with it. Want me to feel sorry for her that she can't keep the remainers and leavers in one piece? I thought a minute ago you said (and I quote) " that she has got us this far in the negotiations despite..." You then follow it up with: "Most would have given up long ago." So what is it you want me to do - admire her resilience or pity her? Can't be both - you tell me. I am not the type to follow though - that is her. I'll just try be a little more delicate about your fawning adoration of her - I would hate to upset you given what an admirable job you do, of defending her. |
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First of all, I have not compared you with anyone - I don't know you. I was commenting on an attitude of hopelessness, negativity and fear of signing up to change. I am not in awe of Theresa May, but I feel she deserves some credit for getting us where we are despite the adversity she faces. You can campaign to ditch May if you want to, but who else is there who can get even close to Brexit without fudging it? Yes, most would have given up long ago and that is why she deserves credit. She's got a lot further than Cameron ever did. |
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Chamberlain had to deal with a country that wasn't ready for war and was scarred by the last one. He also, privately, seemed to be well aware he couldn't trust Hitler. The historical view of him as an idiot is unfair IMO.
I also don't think invoking WW2 is helpful here anyway. |
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Only those who don’t believe in democracy will fail to recognise what she has done. |
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You know full well that it was her decision and her's alone to call the General Election that reduced her ability to make serious decisions and, consequently, led to the current near civil war within her party at a time when the country is on a precipice. You couldn't make it up .. |
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It's interesting to hear from one of our EU allies, Denmark. Put your head back in the sand anyone who's sensitive to analysis of the British Government.
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An interesting analysis that tells us nothing new.
A 14 year old could have trawled through this very thread and given the same analysis from what's been posted in it :p: |
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Good call, badly executed. |
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Then IDS came out with his opinion on the whole matter: https://news.sky.com/story/tory-brex...ement-11419694 Quote:
Guess that it wasn't his fault, after all. |
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Oh, yes, you are batting for the other side so disruption and sowing the seeds of doubt are the name of the game! :D Silly me! ---------- Post added at 19:25 ---------- Previous post was at 19:21 ---------- Quote:
I never did welcome you to the forum, but belatedly, welcome! Your views are appreciated, although I'm not sure how often we will have a meeting of minds! :erm: |
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On a more serious, it appears that if Theresa May ups her game and faces down the Brextremists in her party, the chances of a trade deal increase. So will you be cheering for BoJo or Therese May on this issue, Old Boy? Quote:
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It is the EU way and negotiating tactic to try and wear people down well into the eleventh hour of negotiations so they get the best deal available - nobody should be surprised that this is taking so long. One of TM's cards is to convince the EU negotiators of the difficulty she faces at home in giving anything away at all, and that reality will focus minds at the EU not to demand too much of her. This negotiation is a multi-faceted one and most of us do not understand all the intricaces of it, so we cannot second guess the way the government is going to land this agreement, but I am absolutely convinced that they will. The EU don't want a 'no deal' any more than we do. |
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There was a good article on May's ability to compromise...I can't remember where it was or I would link to it but it basically went along the lines of: May and the EU negotiated on ECJ oversight for EU citizens and May said that there should be no oversight. In the end, both sides agreed that there would be oversight. May and the EU negotiated on access to the SM without free movement and May said she would be willing to stay in the SM for goods but not services. In the end both sides agreed that the UK will be leaving the SM. May and the EU negotiated on a divorce bill with many in the UK saying that the UK may not owe a cent / penny / Euro etc and the EU saying that the UK could be on the hook for 50 billion. In the end, both sides agreed to 40 million. May and the EU negotiated on the length of the transition period. May had wanted 24 months or more and the EU said not a day over 18 months. In the end, both sides agreed to 18 months. May and the EU negotiated the idea of concurrent trade talks while formalizing the Irish border issue. May said both could be done at the same time and the EU said the Trade agreements would come at the end of the progress on the Irish border issue. In the end, both sides agreed to discuss trade right at the end of the talks. There were like 300 examples...the paper may have been the Guardian but to me it showed how unilateral / self executing her negotiation strategy is. In subservience, to the EU. If she didn't go through the first part of her nonsensical "negotiations" talking points, I would give her credit for at least being grounded in reality. (Though some have disputed that she needs to give the nationalists within her party some lip service from time to time, when she doesn't believe in it). I agree that nobody should be surprised as to how long the talks are taking. I hope though that you will agree with me that nobody should be surprised as to how little the talks achieve, too. Unless May agrees to every single one of the EU's terms ; because they are setting the rules on everything through these discussions. Quote:
One thing though...at the beginning of her stint of grand delusions why did she go about life with the whole "strong and stable" stuff? :erm: Also, if she is willing to be honest with the EU about how weak she is but continues to lie through her teeth to the UK public then does she not think more of EU diplomats / bureaucrats than the UK public? Tsk tsk tsk... Quote:
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But what then happens when Scotland & Wales decide they want the same thing? |
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No one said Brexit was going to be easy. Apart from Banks, Davis, Fox, etc, etc. |
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Either we will get a decent deal, or it will be WTO rules. I am happy with either. We will have more trade as a result, which will more than make up for any reduction in trade with the EU. Incidentally, on NI, there has been a long standing arrangement regarding trade on the border, which pre-dates the Good Friday agreement by a substantial amount. So why is this suddenly a problem now? Because Barnier says it is? |
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No one has got it in for Theresa May as stop inventing conspiracies that we all have it in for her because you could not be further from the truth as many of us have voiced our opinions of her without being biased or lacking balance in our posts as its clear as night and day she ain't up to the job.
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This is the result of not having a majority and no-one would be able to get controversial legislation through in that situation. Nobody else in the Conservative Party wants her job at the moment because it is just too difficult. I notice that Corbyn has been a bit quiet about pushing himself forward as the better person to lead the country at this time as well! |
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Whatever is Den's opinion (even if it was just that and nothing more) I value - I like Denphone's comments, whether I agree with them or not. Same with Mick, Ianch, Andrew, Damien, Hugh etc - they don't all agree with me but more speech is definitely the answer. So if May has a tough time in the commons then good...she needs to be made to work harder, scramble more - put more effort in, have more backbone, more dignity. Quote:
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We all get that this is a poison chalice of a job but there is no way that you are going to convince anyone that it is not her fault for hanging on to the position like her life depended on it. Her political life of course, does. |
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I respect your view that you do not see how these negotiations are going to result in a good deal for Britain, but I think you are being unfair on her. Yes, she made a bad call on the election, but she has been in there, trying to get a good deal from the EU in relation to Brexit. She may not be successful of course if Barnier & co are determined to teach Britain a lesson even though this will hurt them more than us. So then we go to the 'no deal' option. Not so good for us in the short term owing to the disruption that would cause, but after a short time, we would make up for lost time and the EU will suffer at their leisure. It seems to me that what Theresa May is trying to do is explore all options, including the weaker ones, to show to the world that the EU won't budge on anything, and that 'no deal' is the best for us in those circumstances. Those who would seek to criticise would be in a quandary, because she would have shown that the only remaining alternative was capitulation. I still think that common sense will prevail, but as I said before, if we have to, we should just walk away. There are now reports on the third option to be considered on Friday. I won't comment on what has been published as it is speculation, except to say that if that is it, we will still not get an agreement within the Cabinet. If that is the case, and the EU is already ruling it out anyway, then surely the Cabinet will be united in the view that a 'no deal' is the only option left. Fantastic! |
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Cabinet collective responsibility
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I know that sometimes I use initials but when I say "CR" in regards to any of this, I mean collective responsibility in regards to the cabinet.
CU / SM are pretty self explanatory - if anyone else gets irritated by my abbreviating of words please let me know. The current crop of secretaries btw is closer to a zoo than a cabinet. It is a disgrace to a nation that founded the Westminster style of government. |
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The only thing was, he was a card carrying TP member and turned into a Trump apologist overnight...I would ask him, over and over again the same questions and he would never give me a straight answer. About any of the things that he used to stand for but now hates (free trade / corporate growth etc etc) and like you always had a "because Trump said so" mentality. You seem to keep saying "we're going to get a deal" - because...? You seem like a pleasant guy and so did he but it is not conducive to debating someone when you don't agree and I can't see a way in which me and you will do anything but differ on almost every political issue. Sorry. |
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I feel that she has lost sight of the bigger picture. She should sack the Cabinet members that publicly rebel against her and run with the consequences. She will be judged by history more favourably as having stuck to the tenets of Cabinet Responsibility and principled Government rather that bending over to be rogered by Gove et al. |
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Sorry, I had not seen this part of your reply when I made mine Old Boy, the DP function makes it tough for me to navigate - better late than never, eh?
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Only JRM / Phillip Hammond are even arguing for lower taxes - Hammond said that the UK may turn into a tax haven and JRM said that the way to grow an economy is to keep taxes low. (Yesterday). That was of course, in response to May saying that she would raise taxes to fund the NHS. (While agreeing with unite, a union). How many times...nationalism and Free market economics are the total antitheses of one another. If we were to remain a society that wished to tax less, spend less etc (more trade etc) we wouldn't have quit the EU. Osbourne warned that we may need an emergency budget if we left - look who is now trying to increase taxes to fund the NHS. Good job Hammond / JRM are here to say no. FYI, last time that Hammond tried to raise rates it was over NI contributions - he couldn't as his own backbenchers said no. So May called a GE to increase her majority. We all know what happened. See if she wants to try play that game a second time. Time to call her bluff. |
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Did you think that I was masquerading as May or something? I know that we are both women but I am not the one who has twisted or spun anything. Again with just randomly making up stuff about me. Quote:
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FYI it was hardly change back in the 1930's either (for the ones who refused to join Churchill) - they went to war with Germany at the start of the century, too in WW1. Just quit making up stuff about me. Quote:
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What specifically are you referencing that she got farther than Cameron on? |
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More squabbles over how spending increases can be funded.
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Sadly the Conservative party are just as much in denial with Islamophobia as the Labour party are with Antisemitism.
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WTO, here we come, with TM still in charge. And Jeremy agonising over his bus fares, which is proving rather a difficult nut to crack. Maybe he should ditch the idea and move on to litter. |
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A poor and underfunded transport system affects us all as this is just one story from the many that are out there where someone is affected by a our transport system..
https://www.theguardian.com/society/...-hospitals-gps |
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Yes Transport problems are a priority but it is not a top of the list one.
It's not something that can pack-a-punch back at the government. The current Government situation is very very weak for them, 7 Top cabinet resignations under Theresa May and there is no powerful opposition in play here that can give May a wallop and this is why fundamentally, why the opposition cannot collapse the government with Corbyn at the helm. May can get away with what she is doing. No other prior Prime Minister had such free reign as May has. |
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However, I completely agree that something needs to be done about the buses. When you look at the amount of time, energy and money going into the railways, it is very disappointing that the buses have been left to wither on the vine. Personally, I think the best way to resolve this is for local authorities to be given the task of drawing up a public transport co-ordination system with model timetables and then tender out the services needed to make it work. Tenderers would have the flexibility to suggest changes to the models to make services work better and those routes that failed to get bids would be subsidised by the appropriate local authority. I think also, there needs to be a national subsidy to reduce bus fares, which are currently at too high a level to encourage people to use buses. At the moment, it is cheaper and less time consuming to go by car. This will sound too much like a socialist system for many Conservatives, but I think this is the best way of making the system far better. It is not acceptable to allow bus services to be reduced as they have, and if we do nothing, services will ultimately be available only in urban areas. A much better bus network with more frequent services will reduce congestion and pollution, which are two tick boxes that would be a feather in any Government's hat. |
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Theresa May's approval rating dips to new low.
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Apparently, Brandon Lewis and Gavin Barwell hosting conference call today with senior Tory regional and area grassroots representatives to gauge anger at Chequers on the doorstep and among the grassroots and there is a lot of anger, May is in trouble. Tories are down 6 points in the polls.
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And if she is brought down then what Conservative politician do you replace her with? as the many potential candidates are not that popular as many of them are polarising figures according to voters.
https://news.sky.com/story/who-could...ssors-10910722 |
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And are they sure they can ride out a new leader without an election and this wafer thing majority for the next 4 years?
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Being a polarising figure didn't stop Donald Trump. ---------- Post added at 14:37 ---------- Previous post was at 14:33 ---------- Quote:
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Incidentally Corbyn clearly loves Brexit since the EU would stop him from implementing the 1970s, everything is nationalised, country he wants. |
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