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I can't see the EU prospering much compared with the rest of the world over the coming years. Why would you want to get sucked further into that bureaucratically stifling hell that is the EU. You know what they say - better out than in. |
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The Brexit Party will crash as it will no longer be relevant and has no policies on anything other than Brexit, which will have been achieved. |
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Jimmy Krankie is currently very busy trying to foment constitutional chaos here in Scotland. Current stage name is Nicola. Be careful what you wish for.
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Nobody wants a poorer society apart from Jeremy Corbyn and his henchman, McDonnell, who want to wipe out everyon's savings by printing as much money as they want and force food prices up by creating rampant inflation. I want to see a prospering economy and a government that ensures that people in poverty are helped towards a better existence. Anything wrong with that? ---------- Post added at 13:16 ---------- Previous post was at 13:12 ---------- Quote:
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https://brexitcentral.com/lets-recal...lion-per-year/ |
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I am glad someone actually is being honest with what actually happened. When you then add 54% of the electorate voted for parties rejecting No Deal at the last GE, it really makes it very clear. Any other position is just duplicitous posturing by those who wish to impose an ideological Brexit at all cost. We need more honesty here. The Hard Brexiters are willing to risk the livelihoods of us all, they just do not give a damn. What is quite telling is that there are many who whined & moaned about the money spent by Cameron on the Remain leaflet who are totally silent on the many, many millions more planned to be spent by Johnson on No Deal propaganda. |
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Now post some links to objective, independent research and we can debate the conclusions. |
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No deal is better than a bad deal. Heard that one before? The dystopian view you have been sucked into believing from the EU collaborators will not happen. How can you believe that nonsense? Now they are trying to claim that food rationing will have to be introduced! Is there nothing this lot won't say to frighten people into believing this claptrap? I'm surprised that none of these truthtwisters haven't yert claimed that we're all gonna die! |
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Yet you can’t bring any unbiased and quantifiable alternative!
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Certain key concepts were at the heart of the Leave vote. Those have to be reflected in any mythical deal. Eg Customs union not allowed.
The current only available options are "no deal" or remain on vastly inferior terms compared to before(eg no rebate). Link Quote:
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I've actually nothing against no deal, as long as it's at a time and place of our choosing. Not a simple four months after official Government policy was to achieve a deal.
We loaded the gun and held it to our own heads triggering Article 50. We now know why - the corruption within the Leave campaign would have undergone multiple legal challenges and Parliament would never have triggered A50. Equally leaving while maintaining a customs union for goods (but not services) would have been an adequate half way house giving us all the benefits of leaving (end to freedom of movement) without all the uncertainty, or precarious negotiating position with the USA, of no deal. |
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What do you expect to happen? It is clear any other deal that may be considered by the EU would be BINO, and our Remain Parliament EU sycophants would happily do a deal that kept us tied to them Single Market, Customs Union, ECJ and therefore not Brexit. We need to leave, with a deal that respects what we were there led would happen and if you can’ Remember it was: - leave the Single Market - leave the Customs Union - leave the ECJ As a minimum. If that can’t be achieved then to achieve that would be by just leaving. “No Deal” is a fallacy as there would be a deal, it would just be after we have left....that’s all. If this subversion of democracy was being undertaken in Central America, Africa or asia we’d be denouncing them as oppressive rogue states governed by despots. I am sick of the bullshiite, I was a remainer....but this process has turned me into the most hardened leaver. Just do as you’re Fff’n told. |
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Boris writes to the EU.
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Haha. "Do one, Boris" comes the reply. How does Boris propose to protect the integrity of the Single Market?
I'm not sure how the backstop can be anti-democratic. The democratically elected Government negotiated it - we don't have direct democracy in international negotiations. |
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Also it was negotiated, in so far it was not proposed by the U.K., it was an EU device that we failed to negotiate out. |
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I refer to the statements made numerous times by the then PM and just about every other talking head at the time. - Leave the Single Market - Leave the Customs Union - Leave the jurisdictions of the ECJ. That it what we were told Brexit was. It was, and to suggest otherwise is an outright lie. The Backstop fails on point 2. |
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I recall everything before the fact. Which is why I voted remain. Those 3no. Results of Brexit were front and centre, and to say otherwise is disingenuous to be kind, and an outright lie to be less kind. |
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I didn’t include it because it is intrinsically implied by leaving the Single Market, we leave the four freedoms. But happy to explicitly list it. |
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You, along with many others are just being revisionist. I don't care what you are sick of. I don't care whatever you have turned into. I care about my family and I care about the country. Follow the process, follow the promise. The promise was a deal so a deal it is .. ---------- Post added at 22:21 ---------- Previous post was at 22:17 ---------- Quote:
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Your use of cartoon language: "sucked into believing", "EU collaborators", etc. just undermines any rational point you start to make. |
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The propaganda at the time, remember sent out to every household by a pro-Remain government set out many scenarios and invited you to judge them. There were no promises, but there were many claims. The easiest trade deal in history being one and many others of that ilk. We haven’t even got to that point. We still haven’t agreed on the Withdrawl agreement so any future agreement at this point is irrelevant. Quote:
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How can we leave the Customs Union when there is a clause saying we can’t...........duh |
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From reading Johnson's leaked letter, I suspect we'll end up with a re-branded backstop.
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Let agree to differ as we just go round in circles. You have your reality and I have mine. |
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And where did the leave(IE the side that won) campaign say remaining at any cost was ok? Or freedom of movement, customs union, having to follow EU rules and the ECJ.
Why do I have to keep pointing this out:-:mad: THERE ISN'T AND NEVER HAS BEEN, A DEAL OF ANY SORT ON OFFER. The Withdrawal Agreement isn't a deal. It is only supposed to cover less than 2 years until the end of 2020. Come 2021 we would be back to "No Deal". That is unless you count the backstop as some kind of back door illicit deal that we(including Parliament) get no say over. |
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All they are doing is attempting to frighten people into putting pressure on the government to ignore the referendum result, and it is highly reprehensible. ---------- Post added at 10:12 ---------- Previous post was at 10:09 ---------- Quote:
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That study was SOLELY based upon the presumption that consumption of fruit and veg would go down. |
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One problem I foresee with No Deal being seen as the cleanest Brexit is that any future trade deal will likely require some reintegration with the European Union. Whether it's regulation, some laws including special privileges for European citizens or less rigorous customs checks.
What is going to happen when these details come out as part of future trade negotiations? |
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The EU and ECJ are responsible for the imports to the EU, and the UK should be responsible for imports to the UK. What is problematic or controversial about that? It will take time before any divergence in rules and regulations to take place, and then it is most likely to be the EU(ie Germany) driving any changes. |
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Absolutely no way. We will be negotiating as an independent country. The EU will no longer have any hold over us. Boris knows this, and it is what the ERG have been claiming for quite a while now. ---------- Post added at 12:37 ---------- Previous post was at 12:36 ---------- Quote:
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The question is whether we negotiate from a position of strength with access to the biggest market in the world with the EEA plus the largest number of trade deals in the world (eg Vietnam, Israel, Canada, South Africa, Korea, Chile, Turkey, Argentina, Morocco, Mexico, Puru, Barbados, Seychelles). Or whether we negotiate from a position of weakness with no deals in place. I know which I would prefer to do. |
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We are not doing too bad from a position of weakness. Link |
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The Palestinian Authority. The thriving economy that it is.
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Looks like the EU have rejected Boris backstop demand (again), now there's a surprise ! We blink again and again and they remain steadfast.
He has no plan, being PM and just trying to muddle through seemed to be about it. What a plonker. No deal is a bluff and he's been found out. |
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Backstop rejected
Election called after no-deal DUP lose leverage Border in the Irish Sea. |
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Boris "really means" backstop discussion must be reopened.
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And no worse than those predicting we will fall off a cliff edge if we leave with no deal. Happier? |
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It’s a prediction of a possible course of action. |
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If anything changes it will first be thrashed out on the fringes of the G7 next week. France and Germany will then go and tell the rest of them what to think. BoJo’s letter was never intended to get the EC to change its position today, it was intended to put his absolute rejection of the backstop and his determination to leave the EU in October in writing, before the G7, by way or convincing Macron and Merkel that he’s actually serious about it. They may still be unmoved, in which case his final gambit will be to try to blame EU intransigence for No Deal, but understanding that Boris isn’t bluffing might be what does make them move. I believe an acceptable fudge, sans backstop, will be forthcoming, and when Parliament sits it will be presented with a single deal or no deal scenario to vote on. I wonder who would vote no deal in such a binary situation. |
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Thing is, even without the backstop it's a really crap deal. It leaves us much worse off than if we stayed in the EU, however that now seems to be an irrelevance to true ''believers', any opposition is 'collaboration', being a 'quisling' or 'treachery'. Wake up and listen to the mad, demented, stuck in WW2 language. We're a laughing stock to the rest of the World, with a clown for a leader. |
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There is a realistic potential for a compromise on the backstop. It would have to meet these standards:
Now I am not sure what solution that would be. In the end if standards diverge after the transition period then you need customs checks and 'blockchain' is not an answer. But you can kick that problem into the long grass with some clever wording whereby everyone understands the issue needs to be resolved without those checks and is confident it will be. I still think it will take the form of a cleverly worded way of saying in the event of no agreement after the transition period the U.K Government gets to decide between continuing the transition or diverging without N.Ireland. Essentially what the EU offered a year or so ago. The EU gets to say they got what they wanted - especially Ireland - and Boris got rid of the backstop. DUP might not be happy though. |
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That argument means nothing Being that remaining will not happen What’s your pleasure? No deal or amended deal? |
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*neither |
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Why would that be a problem? There certainly won't be a backstop if there's a no deal. Ireland need to get their act together and start to get real about this. Posturing won't get them anywhere. They are just a little country attempting to have their day on the world stage. If they continue like this, it will all end in tears. But it won't be the UK that's weeping. ---------- Post added at 20:48 ---------- Previous post was at 20:44 ---------- Quote:
I don't see why you have this perverse attraction to the EU. It is an appalling set-up and we will be well shot of them. |
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The driver behind my ire for this whole situation, is the failure to deliver a democratic decision. That I can’t abide. I’ve been on the losing side of many decisions, made by others, in my life and accepted and moved on. I look at Hong Kong, and they are literally fighting for democracy. Yet many of us seem happy to throw it away as it suits us. That is to me disgusting. The failure by Parliament to put aside party politics and deliver Brexit...and that is aimed directly at Corbyn, and the failure of the EU to not be the EU has just turned me into an ardent leaver. I doubt I am alone. Probably not a massive amount but as in many elections, the silent righ right of centre grou usually voice their opinion in the polling booth. To think re-running the referendum would bring about a substantial turnaround to the 2016 result, I think, would be seriously mis-placed. |
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Why do so many people in this country try and do this country down? This narrative has got to change or we will be the architects of our own downfall. |
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One of the largest economies in the world is true, but we used to be the 4th largest, now we are 7th (in one measure, we are 9th) We do punch above our weight, due to historical reasons, but the modern world is made up of economic groupings, as they carry more weight than individual countries - just look at some of the trade deals we have completed so far, which include the groupings of Central America, Andean countries, Caribbean countries, and Eastern and Southern Africa. |
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Well over £300bn exports from rest of EU to UK is not chicken feed. |
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With respect, you are not being realistic, Hugh, you are being negative. |
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Since the EU economy is forecast to grow by 1.4% this year and 1.6% next year, how can it be "dwindling’? And if it is, and the U.K. economy is forecast to grow by 1.3% this year and 1.2% for next year, does that mean the U.K. economy is dwindling even faster? |
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@Hugh Yes, there are a number of different polls on that page. All depends on the question.;)
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The UK's economy is growing slower than it should be at the moment due to uncertainty over Brexit, but after 31 October, we will start to turn the corner. There is no reason not to expect real dynamism in the economy once the dust settles. |
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