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Leave wins 2nd ref and all the criticisms of the first are invalid. People, without doubt, would be making an informed choice. Unicorn Brexit doesn’t exist. Remain wins and all this becomes a damp squib. |
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Remain wins - especially by a margin similar to leave’s win in 2016 - and our fractured society becomes worse and trust in our political system hits rock bottom. Do you seriously think that a simple remain win in another referendum would make all this just go away?
(Which of course is to accept your assumption that a new referendum would be “Deal or remain”, something everyone is being careful not to talk about right now.) |
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In the words of the Chancellor the talk is of a “confirmatory referendum”, that necessitates endorsing the decision to leave. |
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If the politicians can't decide, we have to. It'll be a while yet (slowly, slowly catchee monkey ;)) , but they'll have go back for another vote eventually. Politicians can then wash their hands if it. Hopefully this time people will know exactly what they're voting for. If they genuinely want to be worse off, fair enough. |
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That aside, I note you sidestepped my question with an oblique swipe at Margaret Thatcher, which really is a tired old cliche even on Clydeside these days. Why should a remain victory in a 2019 referendum settle the issue when a leave victory in 2016 did not - especially as the result of that referendum was never implemented? |
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For many they have literally no investment in the success, or otherwise, of the wider economy because they won’t (or at least believe they won’t) see it. The referendum won’t solve people’s problems either way, but it’ll solve politicians problems. |
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Maybe that would change though if half of the 'financial sector' down south suddenly uprooted and moved to Slovenia (with the aid of EU grants) and left people with bugger all . . . . . . oh hang on, that's what they're worried about isn't it :D |
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This wasn’t the fault of the EU. Successive governments of both colours did little to resolve it just parking people on benefits until they got to pension age. It was only sustainable during the boom. Now it’s not. Austerity has hit the exact same communities again. We digress... but at least there’s some agreement! |
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Granted here in Scotland the political dynamic is somewhat different, but that’s because the natural Leave support base in the central belt is still in thrall to the SNP, which is still clinging to the bizarre, contradictory ideas that Brexit will be a disaster for Scotland whilst Scexit would somehow bring about nirvana. Regardless, a second referendum campaign would solve nothing. In the event of a further Leave victory we would have all the same accusations of lies and misrepresentation as we have had since 2016. The problem has never been a faulty or illegitimate campaign in 2016; the problem has only and ever been the disconnect between our overwhelmingly Remain political class (and the commentariat that hangs on its coat tails), and the clear majority of the population which is for Leave, most especially in those parts of the country that don’t get to experience the prosperity they are assured the EU has brought about. |
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As with leaving on March 29th, things can (and do) change. Until we actually agree and leave the EU the prospect of a second referendum will continue to loom over the process. |
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A second referendum is politically toxic. A majority of MPs understand that, even if their leaders have to pretend not to in order to excuse their discussions. |
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Amazes me how a second referendum is still touted as a possibility yet leaving with no deal isn't :shrug:
I'm probably wrong, but I always thought leaving with no deal was the default position if we had no deal . . . which we haven't . . . but still not left :rolleyes: The way it's going, the EU will be assimilated into the Great Pacific Corporation (which doesn't exist yet) before we actually get anywhere :D |
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No deal guarantees we do not remain. 2nd referendum is probably 50/50 on the outcome. |
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Everything is in play now, apart from No Deal, which was a threat that nobody meant. |
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Thought we had a discussion the other day on my thoughts on Obama involving himself in our affairs, just in case I wasn't clear I strongly disapproved of it, much in the same way I dissaprove of two wrongs making a right 're the referendum campaigns, if they're part of the democracy we must uphold at all costs then you can keep it., it's not worth fighting for. |
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We already has the denials there was not going to be a EU Army, but there will be. The EU is just going to get worse and worse when it comes to power - they are already inflicting misery with their Article 13 bullshit that was voted on and approved the other week, the young in the UK will like that one - not! |
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And just to go over the hypocrisy of the corrupted EU and Article 13 - Donald Tusk was going on about the Parliamentary petition with 6 million signatures on it saying they should be listened to, conveniently forgetting that 17.4 Million beats 6 million, well minus the multiple sigs on it, yet they (the EU) are quite happy to ignore this one:-
https://www.change.org/p/european-pa...e-the-internet Bloody hypocrites. :rolleyes: |
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The EU is nothing else other than a slow conduit to globalism. It matters nothing to me as I'll most likely be gone by then but all those millenials (sorry, remainers) will be the ones who will rue the day democracy was overturned in the UK. They just cannot see it. It's been obvious as time went on. That said, it is their life ahead of them not mine. I just take heart in the thought of them saying in the future-"If only we'd listened!". I'll happily laugh in my existential state.;) |
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Then we can start striving for better things while continuing to trade with the EU. |
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People know my stance on polling but....
Well well well... https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1554484846 You Gov poll along similar lines too earlier this week. |
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Looks like May's deal is as popular as a rattlesnake in a lucky dip. :D
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The alternative scenario is millennials (a generation which didn't causing a banking crisis they suffered from or accrue the debt they'll need to pay back) live though an era where the British economy and status in the world declines and they don't think 'they were right' of the generation that went before. |
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I jest. It’s valid as a poll, with the usual caveats. If two polls show it then it’s nkt likely to be rogue. |
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As for the millenials, they will make their own mistakes in time. I would also point out that the millenials did not all vote to remain, which is what you seem to be implying. There is no point in trying to justify the unjustifiable by dividing people against each other. Leavers know why they voted leave and unlike most remainers, could see that we would be better off, yes, better off, than remaining in that rotting, undemocratic monstrocity they call the EU. ---------- Post added at 19:07 ---------- Previous post was at 19:05 ---------- Quote:
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BREAKING: France, Spain and Belgium 'ready for no-deal Brexit next week'
Chance of May getting 30 June extension appear slim after notes of EU meeting emerge. Quote:
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It's not as if May's request for a delay are in order to prepare for Brexit, it's to allow remain by whatever possible means.
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Must be because the narrative to that poll was Quote:
https://www.televisor.co.uk/featured...it-news/040513 |
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I saw this on Twitter:
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Most of the "No Deal" advocates in the poll above are just wanting this farce to be over. Of course, when the pain arrives they will have other thoughts but hey, we live in an age of a Wish is a Fact so for the lemmings, the cliff awaits. For the Leave voters who the political class and big business have ignored & exploited for decades, this vote was all about sticking, quite rightly, a middle finger up to the establishment. The pain of a No Deal was/will not be what they were/will expect and yet again, those that will truly suffer will be those who can afford it least. The people who deserve the most criticism are those who sold Leave as a 100% positive outcome, lying through their teeth and now, when the proverbial is hitting the fan, they claim to have said No Deal was acceptable all along. Shame on them ... Damien's point of the millenials is so valid: the Tories have sold their political birthright down the toilet. I give them 5 to 10 years at the most .. |
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They have done no such thing because project fear is exactly that - just fiction. We should have every right to prosper as a pure independent country, we do not need to be tied in to a corrupted union that wants to seek more power from it's members. :rolleyes: I wasn't old enough to vote in various elections - it happens, you don't run the same vote just because people become of age. My future was chosen for me, it happens!!! :rolleyes: |
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I really don’t know what May is thinking asking for basically the same extension date she asked for - and was denied - less than two weeks ago. She can only imagine she has some way of convincing the 27 that there’s sufficient progress to justify it. The problem with that is that simply meeting Jezza and then promising more votes in the Commons isn’t going to prove progress. ---------- Post added at 20:07 ---------- Previous post was at 20:03 ---------- Also ... Sky and Yougov polls this week have both shown sufficient support for a No Deal Brexit that if it comes to it, the Tory party need not consider allowing it to be electoral suicide. |
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We are paying £1bn a month into their budget. They need us more than we need them!
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You and I both know that the UK Parliament is basically unable and unwilling to draw a line under this. You think that means we’re in for a referendum; I think it is reasonably likely that France in consort with at least one other member state will draw a line under it for us. The French have always known we’d be a spanner in le works. They were right, and should never have undone De Gaulle’s good work in denying us membership in the first place. Maybe now they’ll take the chance to right a historic wrong and veto an extension just as De Gaulle once vetoed our membership. |
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Every little helps.
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"One recipient said she was "truly appalled" at the change."
This was the only reaction reported by the Biased Broadcasting Corporation. Shame on the BBC. |
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With all of this talk of potentially having to participate in the upcoming European Parliamentary elections - can I just say that it’s bad enough being ruled by unelected bloody Eurocrats, without having to bloody vote for them!
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The Cabinet Office are hiring for the role of Policy adviser - electoral campaigning and referendums - https://cabinetofficejobs.tal.net/vx...erendums/en-GB
What can that be for I wonder? |
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You Remainers, beware. |
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:) Yes it's a real double whammy ! |
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The Commission proposes and develops legislation. The Parliament must be consulted and may propose amendments (which the Commission does not have to accept). The Parliament must consent to the final formulation and may withhold that consent (but in practice, does not), and the Council of Ministers takes the final decision on whether to enact. In the Council, we have one elected representative out of 28 and an ever-shrinking number of areas in which they can exercise a veto. That’s the process which I’m pretty sure you didn’t previously understand ... no need to thank me. And I stand by my claim that the pretend parliament is more or less an irrelevance in the overall process. |
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And the reason most stuff gets passed is that it’s done by consensus, discussing and agreeing things first, rather than the adversarial system we have that leads to the farrago we have with Brexit.
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Nothing I've said above pays any compliment to our wretched, dare I say perfidious, Parliament. |
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The only way to have any influence at all is to elect disruptive MEPs. If we end up having to participate in more EU elections, all leavers should vote UKIP. Maybe that will get the message across, and there would be no adverse implications as there would be if we elected UKIP MPs. ---------- Post added at 18:58 ---------- Previous post was at 18:55 ---------- Quote:
I mean - democratic? No way. No more so than in a Communist society, where elections mean nowt. |
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As for the Council, there is nothing democratic (nor undemocratic) about it. The members are the political leaders of the 28 countries. These are appointments to the Council, not elected to the Council; of course I have no objection to the Council - it needs to be there; but it doesn't fall into the "democratic" category. In the UK we don't elect a PM. Perversely, it was better when there was no EU parliament - just the Commission (they were turds then) and the Council or whatever it was called then. |
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Sarcasm sometimes works - as on this occasion it did.
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Majority of the public want a second referendum.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...-a8857211.html |
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So cultural differences negate the fact that the representatives that were elected by the population and is therefore undemocratic? What level of cultural, political of historical granularity is democratic? Is, for example, Belgium as a nation democratic when there are clear historical and cultural differences between Wallonia and Flanders? How about Germany that was federalised in 1871? How about the UK in 1707? in Does devolution in the UK make this country more or less democratic? On ganging up, does the party political system in any governmental system result in the same thing? Do we vote for a representative or a party? If we vote for a party, then 'ganging up' occurs in any system. In terms of the council, the heads of state are democratically and directly elected in France, Poland, Austria, Ireland, Finland, Portugal, Czech Republic, Romania, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Slovania, Lithuania and Cyprus. The heads of state for Germany and Italy are voted by their relevant Parliaments. It's a pretty good sample to be fair. To say the Council is undemocratic because of how nations appoint their heads of state states that systems where the head of state is appointed are equally undemocratic and this would include the UK ---------- Post added at 21:32 ---------- Previous post was at 21:29 ---------- Quote:
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We seem to be re-fighting the 2016 campaign ... again ... which is more than a little tiresome.
A sovereign independent nation decides its laws via electoral processes and representatives within its borders. It does not have legislation forced upon it by supranational institutions, and the fig leaf of democracy which we are graciously allowed to have a small share in is no recompense. For me, that really is the beginning and the end of the Brexit debate. Whatever the supposed benefits of EU membership, the cost is far too high. ---------- Post added at 22:06 ---------- Previous post was at 21:58 ---------- Quote:
The question within the UK and across Europe is whether or not there is a single demos - a single political consciousness. Within the UK, there is. A general election campaign is visibly similar in Glasgow and in London, even despite regional differences such as the SNP, which for all its pretensions is a very British political party that operates in just the same way as, for example, Labour. Spend a few minutes watching First Minister’s Questions in Holyrood and you are left in no doubt that you’re observing exactly the same political culture as Westminster, no matter how much they might hate to admit it. There is an identifiable British political consciousness which allows political parties to operate across the country (with the notable exception of Northern Ireland) that is not replicated at the EU level. There are no pan-EU parties; there will be no pan-EU manifestos or coordinated campaigns this May. There is no coherent programme for governance that we can vote for, and which electors in Cologne, Cardiff and Caen may understand and judge in the same way. That is why the British Parliament is a legitimate democratic institution, fit to legislate for the whole British population, and the European Parliament is not. |
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All these polls show is that they don't work for something very complex, that said, only one poll matters, the one taken in 2016 that said the UK wants to leave the EU, so lets get on with leaving. |
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You need to take your blindfolds off. The EU is not a democracy. Not in any sense of the word. Why are so many people, including you, are blind to this? |
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---------- Post added at 23:13 ---------- Previous post was at 23:11 ---------- Some comparisons to add to the debate; https://www.cableforum.uk/images/local/2019/04/1.jpg |
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Amazing what you can do with deliberate choice of wording isn’t it.
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From Geoffrey Cox, the (very) Pro-Brexit Attorney General yesterday
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Surely you mean those pro-Brexiters in office who have struggled to find another gravy train to ride if the present one finishes
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What is missing is civility in the discussion. Not everyone on either side is rabid about their decision and some are allowed to have doubts and possibly to change their mind and their stance without being attacked for doing so as the last I knew we are still a democracy.
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Democracy can be measured by how much respect is shown for a democratic vote. Leave WON, apparently. The disrespect is being shown the Remain side. If Remain had won there would be nothing like the outright sabotage that is going on.
Every single thing that is going on is aimed fully at preventing the outcome of the democratic vote. |
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Btw, when I provoke reaction through the use of words such as "hegemony", "perfidy" and the like, I enjoy whatever lack of civility ensues. |
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With a family argument, if there was a majority or agreed decision, then those trying to subvert that decision would rightly be criticised. |
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Cameron offered the referendum on the basis of thinking it was a slam dunk and he could heal divisions within the Conservative party. The establishment is simply trying to correct its error (offering the referendum in the first place). The opinions of you, me and the general population are irrelevant really. An unelected House of Lords and a lack of proportional representation ensure nothing can change significantly. |
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Any lack of respect and civility is coming from the Remain side. None of the delays and discussions are aimed at being prepared. They are ONLY aimed at preventing Brexit.
Just imagine if the outcome of the last or a future referendum on Scottish Independence went the same way as this. At least the "Remain" side(No to independence) in that situation wouldn't obstruct the outcome to the same extent and would complain if it was. That is a truly sinister aspect of all this. Only certain opinions are allowed. Certain groups cannot be criticised, no matter what. You do so, on "pain of death". EG your career is over. |
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I think most of us here are reasonably well informed on the structures of the EU and out Government. The disagreement comes on what that actually means. The EU way of doing things is different from the UK as the executive and legislative are separate organisations. To an extent, the EU system is like the US system with the President setting policy and the houses voting on those policies. So yes, the system is different. Is it wrong, no. Is it perfect, no. Is it better or worse than the UK system? That's where we disagree. In my view, it's not better or worse, just different. Of course, when the executive and legislative disagree, that's when the fun begins - see where we are now in the UK and recent shutdown in the US. Looking through Votewatch Europe, the Parliament seems to vote against proposals roughly 10-15% of the time suggesting a reasonably good alignment between the Commission and Parliament but that isn't too much of a surprise as the makup of the commissioners is roughly the same as the makeup of the Parliament in terms of party affiliation (interestingly, the UK Commissioner is non-aligned) Contrast this with the UK Government losing a vote on proposed legislation. Then, all hell breaks loose! |
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