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But you wanted Mr Gove as the leader so you have obviously changed your tune old boy.;)
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I think the Government will be poorer for his absence. |
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With your following one suspects you might get quite a few signing your petition old boy.;)
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Well sorry Mr Gove isn't involved in the Brexit talks but the two chosen are well capable of carrying out the task. In the end, it's up to Ms May to finalise the details. I still think we have a good chance of a50 by September assuming they work during recess.
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David Davis said its more likely to be pressed at the end of this year or the beginning of next year.
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He's a laughing stock across the Channel; better having someone negotiating who doesn't need to rebuild bridges they've previously burned. |
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Now it's apparent we aren't going to get stitched up with a U turn on the ref, it's quite correct to wait before article 50 and as we have seen there's wider issues concerning free movement, like the way France keeps being clobbered, we won't need too many more of those and no one will want free movement.
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I feel they may have to rethink the freedom of movement. We weren't meant to be one bug happy family, the world is too big for that. Of course, they won't. They might do us all a big favour though and build a big massive wall round the EU. Soon as we leave I vote we blow up our end of the tunnel. |
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If attacks continue and other nations are hit I think freedom of movement will be it's first victim and wouldn't that be ironic we vote out and events cause a bit of realism to hit home.
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I don't think they can, we already know that the EU won't entertain them as a sub member of an existing country, we also know that May won't allow them another referendum. It's just noises off. Unless they do a UDI.
Good luck with that, with no currency, no real means of support. SNP forward planning is a bit like this: Quote:
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If I had to pick who is the more astute political thinker out of Theresa May or Nicola Sturgeon it's not really a choice as Sturgeon is not remotely as clever as she thinks and now she's going to be dealing with a stronger female leader. Much as they might want Scotland cannot prevent brexit the only question for Scotland is does it stay apart of the union or find a way to leave with the horrendous consequences that would have for Scotland.
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I'm just sick to death of hearing them bitching all the time, it's as well we didn't have a referendum to break away from them, dollars to doughnuts says we'd do it.
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I would hope if there is another vote for Scottish independence that the other countries in the Union get a vote. I know I would vote farewell to Scotland. Maybe then I can hate on Murray without being harassed for it.
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If Scotland does leave the UK we will have to find a new home for our Trident submarines based at Faslane as Scotland are keen to show their non-nuclear credentials.
Moving the base to England would be difficult and expensive in what could be trying economic times. |
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I wouldn't see that as a showstopper, don't forget it also generates jobs and income, their loss if it goes...
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If there is ever another Scottish independence referendum then it's right the rest of the union gets to have their say on the issue and perhaps that might stop the calls for it so much one thing to be the one wanting out another to find out others don't want you. I really don't want to go through another unpleasant voting campaign and we know for a certainty another independence referendum would be very unpleasant and whilst I don't expect Scots to constantly thank the rest of the UK it would be nice not to have the constant venom.
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The Celtic Tiger Scots will probably agree with them in spite of the facts but maybe the're due a dose of reality... |
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Let's not blame all Scots for the venom of a few uppity nationalists. The vote was to remain part of the UK.
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That's their problem not mine. I've never been a great lover of tail wagging dog buit then I can understand why the likes of Salmond might feel being a tick is the best they'll ever do... ;)
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USA cools on prospect of a trade deal with a EU that doesn't include the UK.
http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/...a-Brexit-trade Apparently the UK is the destination for 25% of all US imports into the single market. Looks like la chaussure est sur l'autre pied, now. :D |
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Where's that facepalm meme Someone should do a 'Dear Nicola' letter something like: Dear Nicola, if you truly want your life's desire, simply arrange for the rest of the UK to vote for your independance, I think you'd get your wish ... Sincerely England |
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If Theresa May and the Brexit team can come up with better trade deals outside the EU it may well be that she and Scotland would be happy to stay. Canada, Australia, Germany and India all seem keen to do free trade deals. Canada already has a deal with the EU and seems willing to act as an intermediary allowing the UK to trade with them and access the EU indirectly. It will be interesting to see how the EU responds in light of the willingness of other countries to trade with the UK. Maybe we'll finally get the EU reform that the Syrian crisis and migration highlighted. Then again the EU could be glad to see the back of us. It will be interesting to see how this all turns out. |
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I kinda feel a bit daft now as I've supported the SNP since 1985 and I don't like the way they are going either. Yes I wanted independence but UDI wouldn't work as someone said no money. However, I suppose they could peg themselves to the currency. Trouble is, even using Scottish notes only is no use cos they are not allowed to print money unless they have a brand new currency and that, although workable, means they have to start from the low rung on the credit scale with the world banks. This could have been sorted out before the independence vote, yes I believe it came too quick and should have been about 5 years later when they had time to sort things like currency. I bet they wish they had voted for independence now? ---------- Post added at 12:30 ---------- Previous post was at 12:23 ---------- Quote:
What I don't agree with is Scottish MPs voting on English issues. Now it's meant to be a United Kingdom Parliament I know but this is why devolution doesn't work. It has to be independence or nothing. The same would happen if Cities get devolution. They would want something and the Parliament would say no. Scotland can't have another referendum without Parliament's say-so, so it's either UDI or nothing there. ---------- Post added at 12:32 ---------- Previous post was at 12:30 ---------- Quote:
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As far as relocating the sub base in the event of independence devonport would be the likely place with temporary use of US facilities if needed.
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The problem with all these votes and referendums is that you cannot rely on the campaigning politicians to tell you the truth as they all have their own agendas.
I'm hoping that the Brexit free trade deals are good enough to keep Scotland in the UK but out of the EU. Indirect trading with the EU via Canada seems to offer the best of both worlds. I also hope that such deals equally satisfy Wales and Northern Ireland who are also important players in this equation. |
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The negative is that in the event of war/conflict etc. the base will be high on the strategic target destruction list and the subject of any subsequent bombardment. |
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The argument against nuclear weapons based on proximity to civilians is entirely bogus. |
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If things get that bad nukes are used we are all screwed there are no safe areas of the UK so not something that needs too much worrying about. There is no real strength or bargaining power over faslane and the SNP know it so they will concentrate on other areas. I do find it a bit amusing that Nicola Sturgeon constantly talks about how Scotland's democratic vote in the referendum has to be accommodated and respected then talks about blocking brexit completely disrespecting the democratic vote of the majority.
Being honest I love Scotland and most of the Scottish people but I'm fed up of the whole independence thing hanging over everyone's heads and knowing the SNP can and will spit the dummy anytime they don't like something. I'd be in favour of Scotland going it's own way now and the rest of union restructure rather then have a situation where one part of the UK can constantly create tension and uncertainty. Feeling towards Scotland after the last independence referendum became more hostile and I'd hate it to get to the point where there was hate involved so would rather we part while relations are more positive then negative. |
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The whole point is that they're unusable. Deterrence - if they are used, the doctrine which led to their development has failed.
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The EU need to confirm along with the UK that the right to stay in the UK has ended along with the all other rights of EU citizens as soon as A50 is triggered |
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The upside to this when she fails she will have to resign and fall in to the Nicola who! bracket
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Whilst the Vienna convention is not cast in stone I don't think it would be in britains interest to show a max exodus of EU migrants back to the continent doesn't exactly look good for business and as the European court of human rights will still be valid so expect lengthy delays whilst people have legitimately settled and bought homes fight for their right to stay. Rules apply until we actually leave otherwise expect all the expat retirees coming back from Spain putting drain on the NHS who haven't paid in for years |
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But the British abroad tend to be the ones with money compared to the dross we have to put up with from the EU, eg one-legged Romanian roofers, family of 24 from Czech Republic with only one working.
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Oh ffs, does the Brexit not mean we can leave that stupid Human Rights crap?
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Personally I'd rather we didn't as I don't for a second trust the Tories or Labour to properly replace it given their recent records, though your mileage may vary. ---------- Post added at 22:47 ---------- Previous post was at 22:45 ---------- Quote:
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Sorry, but you will still be in it and British judges will still need to interprete the rulings based on this |
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There was one stat that might have indicated 'dross' - higher levels of in-work benefit claims. These would've been largely taken care of through a combination of the measures agreed in February and the minimum wage increasing. If you're looking for 'dross' you might be thinking of some nations outside the EU, the immigration we can control, where unemployment is 40%+, out of work welfare claims are far higher than average and levels of integration with wider society far lower we see from most of the EU-27. |
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I don't mind that, I do however, resent things like the farce surrounding the deportation of people like Abu Hamza or people not being able to be deported because they have a pet cat and things of that nature. There IS distinct room for movement on the current ECHR so please... don't pee on my shoes and tell me it's raining. |
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as for Abu Hamza, ECHR took 2 years of the 10 year delay so again take that one up with British Government We might blame EU/ECHR for a lot of things but a lot of these problems were not of EU and/or we had power to act upon it |
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either way we are going off topic as its has nothing to do with us leaving the EU |
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I'm a bit fuzzy on the whole European Court thing.
I thought the ECHR was nothing to do with the EU, and even if we left the EU then judgements made by the ECHR could still overule our courts. Whereas the European Court of Justice was an EU formed body, so we would now be outside of that. Can anyone save me the google time and advise? |
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Correct.
The EHCR is the enforcement body of the Council of Europe. The CofE was set up after world war 2 to monitor and prevent a repeat of the atrocities committed by Nazi Germany. We are a member of the Council of Europe and have been since founding it in 1949 (the Treaty of London in case you're interested). There are now 47 member states. Membership of the EU is conditional on a state first being a member of the Council of Europe, but the bodies are completely independent of each other. The European Union muddied the waters in 1985, perhaps intentionally, by stealing the Council of Europe's flag, which it had been using since 1955. |
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We need to stop the right of travel to this country immediately or we will have a rush of migrants wanting to get here .That won't affect any migrants already here or any of the Brits living and working abroad ,i don't know where you get that idea from . |
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A gave 2 real examples. The family of 24 was just some of 6,000 of that grouping living in just one UK town. Add in others from that grouping from other countries/living in other towns/cities and the same with other groups, and you get a huge number, all getting housing and benefits etc. Why should other EU countries be allowed to export their dross? The fact we have our own dross doesn't make any difference. When a British ex-pat has gone over to Spain or wherever, they usually take their savings with them thereby bringing NEW additional money to that country. |
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Millions of chavs or working class people doing their best guess it depends what media you observe as someone on a former council estate I don't see chavs I see my neighbours and friends trying to do the best they can and still maintaining a sense of community. Another aspect of the modern UK the eu referendum bought into focus was the level of self hate a sizable majority have regarding this country and some of it's citizens May is going to need to work really hard to resolve that problem.
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Well I must say all this positive talk of trade deals with Canada, China, Australia, New Zealand etc. isn't at all what that tragic group the Remainers predicted in the Morrissey-style, doom laden, dirge they subjected us to for weeks leading up to the referendum. Nope, there's precious little evidence of fences going up or little Englanders cutting us off from anyone, except maybe the faceless suits in Brussels whose head in the sand egotism has driven the EU to the edge of the precipice...
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It's a tad early for 'I told you so', and a long way from being constructive. I could happily pile in with various links, citations, etc, but I think the forum as a whole gratefully left recrimination over the referendum behind and is looking towards the future now.
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University pf Salford study from 2013.
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These people are here in large numbers and more are on their way. Of course those who can't or don't want to see beyond the ends of their noses won't acknowledge the massive problem which is being exacerbated and isn't going away. Maybe it hasn't reached their doorsteps yet... Our society is not so gradually being irreversibly changed and undermined by a huge influx of people which shows no signs of even slowing down let alone stopping.
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We probably don't want to get things off on that kind of foot. A smooth, amicable break-up would be best. Going back on treaties doesn't inspire confidence in others that we're a reliable partner. ---------- Post added at 20:42 ---------- Previous post was at 20:39 ---------- Quote:
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On the whole EU migrants take less out-of-work welfare than natives and more in-work welfare due to working for lower pay, however we had agreement to refuse in-work welfare to EU migrants for a time. That agreement expired with the referendum result. As with so many other things the root of this issue is our own system. I would be a huge advocate of a more contributory welfare system, it would solve many problems, but rather than grasp that nettle it's been easier to blame migrants. |
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I understand there is an EU mechanism for an emergency brake on migration and, if so, maybe we should trigger it.
Whilst there are plenty of things wrong with our internal systems and procedures, I don't see anything wrong with blaming those who chose to come here deliberately to exploit them, whether that be benefit and housing claimants, health tourists or indeed people who come and immediately set about having children despite having no job and no prospects. Why would anyone do that except for triggering the extra benefits and entitlements (e.g.g housing) which some with children? The system of free movement coupled with our benefit system exacerbates this problem and no matter what we do, unless we embark on the sort of tough reforms of our welfare, legal, health services many of us wouldn't wish to see, we are going to be unable to prevent large scale abuse of the system be people who've never contributed a thing and whose only motivation is to get something for nothing. Even then, with fake documents easy to obtain, who's going to be able to check entitlement with any degree of certainty? ---------- Post added at 07:53 ---------- Previous post was at 07:50 ---------- Quote:
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I think it's worth mentioning that even outside of the EU there's a good chance we'll still have to retain freedom of movement if we want a decent trade deal with the EEA. Hell, there's talk of a new agreement even possibly requiring joining the Schengen (which I can understand people have concerns about, especially since 'islands are different').
The potential of trade deals with the USA, Canada, Australia do seem promising but keep in mind that it's very unlikely that they would work in our favour. The fact is that we can't start negotiations (though we can have informal talks) until we have officially left the EU, and the UK, being in a vulnerable position post-Brexit, is almost certainly going to be offered the short end of the stick. It's also worth considering that these deals could take a long time to hammer out, during which time we would have to pay tariffs on trade with these countries, though I suspect less time than some have made out. Whilst it's true that such deals have taken 7 to 10 years for other countries to negotiate, coming out of the EU, assuming we keep the majority of EU legislation we should be *mostly* compatible with similar agreements to what we already have via the EU. If you were concerned about TTIP especially this should concern you, as the US are likely to offer our government something very similar or potentially even more draconian, especially since the Conservatives apparently had no issue with it when the EU were considering it, despite the objections of other EU member states. Even so, the simple fact is that our trade with these countries does not make up anywhere near what our trade with the EU has - it's a tiny fraction by comparison and it's unlikely that it could ever replace it simply due to the distances and costs involved. Some people on other forums have brought up the possibility of freedom of movement within the commonwealth (so say, with the UK, Canada and Australia) and I genuinely could see this being very appealing to the British public, especially as I imagine British people feel more of a connection with people from these countries than they do with say, Europe. Unfortunately I do think it's unlikely that such a deal could happen, especially since it'd probably cause a lot of younger and more qualified Brits to jump ship. Personally, this has given me a nice kick to get off my arse and start considering what my other options elsewhere in the world may be. |
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Theresa May Will Not Start Brexit This Year
The High Court is told the Prime Minister does not intend to trigger Article 50 this year, as lawyers mount a Brexit challenge. http://news.sky.com/story/theresa-ma...snt-sf-twitter |
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Nigel Farage wants second referendum if Remain campaign scrapes narrow win |
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In terms of immigration the only way to reduce immigration is to ensure that there are no jobs available and that the unemployed are got into work as soon as possible particularly in the NHS where we have spectacularly under-rated the numbers of staff we need to run the service. The vast amount spent on agency nurses is undermining the NHS and it's time that the government set up its own agency and set national rates and conditions that the NHS can cope with without the massive overheads caused by the existing agencies. Where immigrants come from does not matter provided that they have the necessary knowledge, skills, qualities and attitudes to make a positive contribution to society in numbers that we can adequately resource and provide for without having a negative impact on existing British nationals or their environment. |
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The same, of course, applies to Joiners, Builders, Engineers, etc. We can do this! |
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Adult training is an area the UK has failed miserably in the last few decades it's often just been easy money for the company's that got the contract with no real oversight or means to ensure decent standards. I am hoping as we go forward that those areas of skills shortages are identified and the means to train people to fill those shortages are created so that we become as self sufficient as we can be. It can't be done overnight but we can make a start and if you turn round to most unemployed people and offer them the chance for proper training with a skilled job at the end of it they will jump at the chance.
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If they had been we would have had a seamless transition from old staff leaving and new staff arriving with staff levels being correctly staffed. |
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Germany also has a problem recruiting doctors, so it's not just the UK.
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I can understand Greek medics coming here for better wages but surely German doctors are better paid than ours. Then again we have been "poaching" medical staff from the EU for years to make up for staff shortages caused by bad planning.
Bad planning is also responsible for the shortage of prisons, nuclear power stations, navy ships etc. |
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Theresa May appears to drop migration target deadline...
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...corbyn-in-pmqs |
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What's wrong with agreeing to signing up to x no of years to offset the time and money invested in training you?
Other places do it, notably the forces where, dependant on your specialization and the level you attain, you agree to sign up for a number of years, essentially so the organisation that spent a lot of time and money investing in YOU, ensures that YOU give some back in return. Or would you rather have it that (as now) people get trained, get a skill useful elsewhere in the world and fark right off without a second thought because 'it's better for them' At least with option 1, you still get the opportunity to peddle your skill elsewhere, but not until you've somewhat repaid the time and effort put into getting you that skill. Win win for everyone, instead of having to import dodgy 3rd world, barely english speaking/reading doctors with no benefit for anyone. |
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We absolutely need to get this right, else we risk affecting so many things both within and without Europe. As far as democracy goes, that's an entirely different barrel of monkeys. When I see people protesting en masse for proportional representation and an elected second house then I'll take seriously people's complaints about democracy. ---------- Post added at 22:56 ---------- Previous post was at 22:55 ---------- Quote:
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We need to get our house in order here. We do that we can manage immigration way, way better. We needed it desperately in the 2000s but some of it was the wrong kind, although on hindsight realistically we couldn't expect it all to be exactly what we wanted. For the most part the migration from the EU has been positive, although Romania and Bulgaria not so positive. Among the worst if not the worst immigration has been from elsewhere, with bits of Africa, Bangladesh and Pakistan standing out. ---------- Post added at 23:23 ---------- Previous post was at 23:00 ---------- This article kinda puts forward the difficulties ahead. For right now it really is that black and white. This is a good article too. I don't envy her the fine line she has to tread and am pretty sure that she chose some of her cabinet with the intention of their treading that fine line instead of her. Seems reasonable based on her performances in PMQs and the reshuffle that she's nothing if not ruthless. |
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l suspect many of us are not surprised by this...
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/...09-says-survey |
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This never was going to happen quickly, and if the Leave campaign ever even hinted it would, they were lying. ---------- Post added at 12:25 ---------- Previous post was at 12:17 ---------- Quote:
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Anyway the rest of the EU isn't doing that great so that by itself will have an impact, eg less exports. |
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