Cable Forum - Coronavirus

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Pierre (Post 36116555)

I think you’ll find the recent omicron wave completely ………………..whatever, supports that view.

... and I was a case in point.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul (Post 36116547)

If you want to be a dick I can happily remove you from the topic.

Rising cases do not automatically mean rising hospital admissions, or deaths, as was noted in the figures many times over the last few months.

You are free to obsess over one virus if you want, I will be carrying on with my life, and worry about more important things that actually matter to me.

I am not being a "dick" as you so eloquently put it. I am pointing out the mistake in your evident denial of where this virus could take us.

A case in point:

Daily Covid cases surge 60% in a week to 61,900 in biggest rise since Freedom Day as admissions climb by a quarter and deaths creep up 9%

Quote:

Britain's Covid wave continued to rebound today, official data showed as cases surged by their largest jump since Freedom Day.

Government dashboard data revealed there were 61,900 new positive tests over the last 24 hours, up 58.7 per cent on last week's figure of 39,000.

There were also a further 212 people deaths registered today, up 9.3 per cent on the 194 recorded last Tuesday.

Meanwhile, hospitalisations continued to increase to 1,253 on March 4, the latest date UK-wide data is available for. That marks a 23.4 per cent rise on the 1,1015 the week before.

Infections first began picking up last Wednesday in a possible sign of the effect of lifting all measures in England on February 24. Hospital admissions - a lagging indicator - have started to creep up in the past week.

The rise in cases also coincides with the emergence of new, more infectious version of Omicron that has become dominant — although experts insist it is just as mild as its parent strain.

Figures also show that hospitals in the South West of England are recording more daily Covid admissions now than during the peak of the Omicron wave.

The region saw 150 admissions a day on average during the week to March 5, up 30 per cent in the first full week after 'Freedom Day'. For comparison, average daily virus admissions reached a previous high of 142 on December 31 at the peak of the Omicron wave.

Experts today claimed there was no reason to panic yet but admitted it may be an early sign of booster vaccine immunity starting to wane.

We need to remain vigilent.

Quote:

Experts today claimed there was no reason to panic yet but admitted it may be an early sign of booster vaccine immunity starting to wane.

These "experts" have been prophets of doom throughout the pandemic, which lost their credibility in recent months.

Of course positive tests are rising since isolation stopped; I was one of them (although this was contracted second hand from Royal Berkshire Hospital). I didn't 100% isolate so may well have contributed to the numbers.

My point, however, is that my booster was 5 months ago and I'm classed as vulnerable. No more than a prolonged cold, no aches etc, and the booster clearly did its job.

Ex - Has been
Spurt - Small drip under pressure.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ianch99 (Post 36116566)

% are the dog turd of statistics look at the numbers:

Quote:

hospitalisations continued to increase to 1,253 on March 4, the latest date UK-wide data is available for. That marks a 23.4 per cent rise on the 1,1015 the week before.

152

Quote:

The region saw 150 admissions a day on average during the week to March 5, up 30 per cent in the first full week after 'Freedom Day'. For comparison, average daily virus admissions reached a previous high of 142 on December 31 at the peak of the Omicron wave.

With small number, small changes give big percentages.

Last week : 1 death, This week : 2 deaths -> 100% increase
Last week : 100 deaths, This week : 150 deaths -> 50% increase but actual more real deaths

Increases now restrictions have been removed/eased in not exactly unexpected. New variants not unexpected and note the new variants (AFAWK) are coming from "outside" so what we really need to do is aid other countries to get their figures down and maintain border security.

All UK travel rules to end on Friday.

Quote:

Currently, everyone travelling to the UK must complete a passenger locator form before they arrive.

Travellers who are not fully vaccinated have to take a Covid test before departure, fill in the form, and book and pay for a PCR test after arriving.

Grant Shapps confirmed in a tweet that these rules will end at 04:00 on Friday.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-60741158

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...4&d=1647440730

https://twitter.com/imperialcollege/...369843713?s=21

Quote:

The Telegraph has corrected and apologised for another untrue claim about Imperial #COVID19 epidemiology. It's the 16th time they have had to correct or clarify false or misleading reporting on Imperial coronavirus research.

The newspaper falsely claimed that following a ‘brief spike in cases during summer 2021’ Prof Neil Ferguson predicted that ‘Britain would soon hit one million infections a day'. He and his Imperial team made no such prediction.

The Telegraph had come up with this claim by picking one of 72 analyses from a study - in this case clearly labelled as 'pessimistic' hypothetical and specific scenarios - and misleadingly presented it as a prediction of what 'would' happen. It was nothing of the sort.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh (Post 36116707)

https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...4&d=1647440730

https://twitter.com/imperialcollege/...369843713?s=21

Lying is OK Hugh, our Prime Minister continues to demonstrate that.

I would like to know how many of the 72 analysis's of the study even came close to being correct. Surely if there was even 1 they would be crowing about it.

Quote:

Originally Posted by pip08456 (Post 36116747)

I would like to know how many of the 72 analysis's of the study even came close to being correct. Surely if there was even 1 they would be crowing about it.

I don't think Imperial do 'crowing'. Though any published Covid predictions are doomed to failure because people modify their behaviour based on them. In that sense, the Telegraph's sloppy reporting may have done us a favour.

Just as a point of interest following posts made on this thread last year about Covid restrictions being flaunted in Westminster and Downing Street. It appears that some fines may soon be issued.

Quote:

The first fines for breaches of Covid-19 lockdown rules as part of a police inquiry into government parties will be issued soon, the BBC has been told.

The Metropolitan Police will issue at least 15 fixed-penalty fines initially and could start on Tuesday, Westminster sources suggest.

The investigation of 12 events held across government began in January.

It came after an internal inquiry passed information to the force.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-60906757