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I suspect that any systems that still allow recordings will eventually adopt this system though. This will mean that we will have gone full circle to the days when viewers had no way to avoid the adverts being played out (unless they pay) and to a situation where TV channels control what is watched, only this time they will be able to harvest and possibly sell our data. Perhaps it will also be used to detect TV Licence evasion too?? |
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Very meta… ;)
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I must say, you lot are pretty good at ridicule. I wonder who will have the last laugh? ---------- Post added at 20:25 ---------- Previous post was at 20:21 ---------- Quote:
It is wrong, I agree. I do believe that you should be able to access all content from on demand on payment of a subscription or on pay per view. But we are in the hands of the content providers until such time that legislators decide to change it. ---------- Post added at 20:30 ---------- Previous post was at 20:25 ---------- Quote:
Look in the mirror, jfman. ---------- Post added at 20:34 ---------- Previous post was at 20:30 ---------- Quote:
The rest is history, and it’s all here! ^ I can assure you, it matters not to me if we don’t exactly meet 2035! This seems to bother you rather than it does me! I simply stated how I think things would look in 20 years’ time (back in 2015). I think at least a substantial amount, if not all, of my prediction so far is exactly on track. The only thing I didn’t anticipate was the advent of the FAST channels. |
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While we are relieved it's not your decision since it would leave millions without television at all just to lubricate your fantasy of no broadcast, linear television before the market - supply and demand side - is prepared for is. If (when) 2035 comes to pass with linear, scheduled television continues it won't be because of 4 or 5 users of a niche technology forum. It's the millions of households absolutely passive to the idea at all. The millions who watch television "live" despite 5 or 6 tuner devices sitting below their TV. The cable customers who watch BBC live despite having it on demand for twenty years. ---------- Post added at 20:52 ---------- Previous post was at 20:42 ---------- Quote:
You've been posting about Pluto TV since 2015. I'd not talk yourself down, OB. You are a pioneer on the forum of the concept of linear-over-IP (FAST channels). https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...82&postcount=9 |
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As for the rest of your post, you really don’t get it, do you? Viewers will not have the choice if the channels are wound up and replaced by on demand only. In the last 10 years, TV audiences have been watching less and less by way of our TV channels and audience growth for the streamers is pretty well the same as for the channels now. In another 10 years, the audience for the channels will have diminished to such an extent that to continue supporting them will no longer be worthwhile and there will be the same old content on repeat, watched by people advertisers are not so interested in. Quote:
While it is possible for channels and streamers to co-exist, by now even you must be asking yourself why this would be necessary, and you refuse to contemplate that we may be losing the capacity to use the bandwidth anyway! I guess 5G broadcasts are possible, but there appear to be few signs of interest in that option in this country. Once again, you are fighting this argument tooth and nail as if this is my decision to choose the streaming only path. It’s actually nothing to do with me, guv, I’m just reporting what I see as the likely outcome. No need to get so exercised about it. Other views are available. |
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Your misconception that linear and streaming are somehow contradictory and mutually exclusive positions for some of the largest companies in the media market to pursue one (and one only) is the inherent flaw in all of your speculative “analysis”. Quote:
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It’s your visceral response to anyone who comprehend any alternative, based on what rational consumers in the marketplace will continue to watch and rational profit seeking companies may provide, that prolongs these threads. Your Netflix Nostradamus shtick provides light entertainment as each prediction unravels. No adverts on streamers. Blowing Sky out the water for Premiership rights. |
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The beneficiaries of the current situation to date have been on the production side (studios like Elstree and Shepperton and beyond, writers, actors, producers, directors etc). |
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In the dystopian streaming future where you are unable to record and retain even a few hours of your favourite content not only will you have to subscribe to be able to retain the ability to view such content you might even have to follow it around as it moves from one fledgling streamer to another. All the while unable to skip any ads or trailers said provider mandates to be included. Gone are the days when you could rely on the economies of scale of a single pay-tv platforms to provide the broadest range of content from TV and movie studios with an extensive back catalogue. Given the precarious financial situation of many of the “streamers” they’ll be eager to exploit more ways of monetising end users now that growth has stalled. |
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There is a definite push towards streaming, and those who doubt what I’ve been saying about where all this is leading need to address the alternative reason for this blatant encouragement, because it certainly eludes me. |
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Since the advent of the first generation TiVo on the United States broadcasters have been looking for ways to stop consumers skipping adverts. Streaming is the Trojan horse by which it can be delivered. |
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The streamers are doing rather well, all things considered and are now looking for more ways to attract subscribers. The free or low-cost advertising options offered will go along way to increasing the yield from subscribers, although yes, they will be non—skippable commercials. This will ensure that advertisers know that by advertising on the streamers, the audience will have to watch them (unless viewers use the time to go to the loo or make a cuppa!). Quite an advantage over ‘linear’ (I’m still getting used to using that word - much less convoluted than referring to ‘conventional broadcast TV channels’!). Welcome to 2024! https://hardmanandco.com/streamed-content-takes-over/ |
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It’s mildly entertaining how you now push non-skippable adverts as an ‘advantage’ for streamers as if you always were the sage who knew it would be thus, whereas in fact when this whole sorry saga began, you swore blind it would never happen, pointed to the boss (at the time) of Netflix saying it’d never happen, and jeered at those of us who said no business ever says never, and professed you were shocked - shocked - that anyone could ever consider such a thing.
… and also how you still don’t understand why we’re not minded to rate you as much of a futurologist. |
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I’ve nothing against streaming television as I’ve explained before - I currently subscribe to four (five if you count Prime, although it’s not my reason for subscribing) targeted at 4 different countries. My main contention is your flawed observations on the market as a whole which is very much distinct from the personal preferences of me, Chris, Hugh, Andrew or anyone else you have in mind when you vent your spleen in the direction of forum members. Quote:
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In my view, the change to streaming only will come when the existing contracts for the use of transmitters and transponders ends. Your insistence that broadcasters would use two different methods of content provision when one would do, is bonkers. Successful businesses survive by keeping costs low and maximising income. Quote:
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I have considered the alternative of which you speak, but I’ve ruled it out for all the reasons I've given. None of my predictions have ‘unravelled’ although FAST channels are now in the mix, and I acknowledge that these will continue. The streamers continue to provide ‘no ads’ options and it was the Netflix CEO who said there would never be any advertisements on Netflix. As for the Premier League, the point I have been making is that the global streamers could blow Sky out of the water if they wished to, because simply they have more resources, and that is undeniable. They have not yet chosen to do so, but sports streaming is becoming more prevalent now, as I am sure you will acknowledge. |
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No adverts, undoubtedly appealing to anyone who watches television, has been debunked. Quick movement of "streamers" into the top tier of sports rights has not came to pass. Quote:
Nor would a content owner have additional rights costs in broadcasting both. Quote:
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Not at all your favourite ‘straw man’ scenario. Your argument is based on viewer preferences, whereas I am saying that the broadcasters, not the viewers, will determine the position. Quote:
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There must be better causes in your life OB? How about supporting John Redwood in his hour of need , or saving the Panda, or Wokingham Town FC ? They need your support more than streaming TV :).
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The viewing preferences for the public as a whole are a matter of public record across linear, on demand, etc. through ratings and Ofcom surveys. I understand the value of content in a technologically agnostic way, not that I expect rights holders would necessarily approve of me taking up services not targeted at the UK. I don’t sit there and be a slave to whatever the Netflix window wants to promote to me because 20,000 or less people watched it in the UK in the last 7 days and make an assumption of quality on that basis. ---------- Post added at 21:28 ---------- Previous post was at 21:21 ---------- Quote:
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You are also incorrect in stating that this supposed USP was that you could ‘skip ads’. This is incorrect. You don’t need to skip ads if the ads aren’t there in the first place. The USP was clearly the vast video library at one’s fingertips, which you could select from just like Blockbusters, but without getting out of your armchair. Other streamers such as Amazon Prime were set up on a similar basis, without ads. As time has passed, and after shedloads of money have been spent on content, and debts have mounted due to the initial investment and the need to continue to create more and more originals of a suitable quality, the streamers have hit on the idea of cheaper subscriptions with ads that people can opt for, increasing their customer base while increasing yield still further with the money gained from commercials. Note that the absence of ads on the premium package has been preserved, and with time I hope the streamers will provide a more limited library with ads free of charge to increase their audience and revenue from advertising still further. Quote:
Channel 5 has even taken to making the first episode of a series available on its channel and telling us that to see the rest, we have to go to the streamer. Open your eyes, jfman. What you keep saying is impossible is already happening. Quote:
I am well aware that at present, many people consume TV through the ‘linear’ channels as well as through streaming. I am also well aware that a lot of people currently watch scheduled TV only. What is your point? What I have been saying is that in the future, that choice may not, and probably will not, be available. People can’t watch on a service that has been pulled. I don’t know why you perceive me being in a ‘rage’ about this. You’re the one relentlessly picking over the bones on this subject like your life depended on it. I could ask you why you keep carrying on with this same old argument. You may disagree, which is your right, but you are so determined to have everyone believe that I am wrong, you just can’t leave it alone, can you? I am opining over nothing. As long as I have choices, as I have now, I am happy. The demise of ‘linear’ TV is simply my view of what I see as where this is all leading. You don’t see it. Fine. Watch and learn. Quote:
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I’m not making anything happen. I’m observing. You are burying your head in the sand with your fingers in your ears singing “La la la” at the top of your voice. Quote:
You say the move to digital only would be ‘arbitrary and needless’ despite the evidence that transmitters will be used for other purposes in the next decade and that most homes are now connected to broadband. It is also what the broadcasters are pushing for. Transmitters and satellite transponders are expensive, and it costs more to run ‘linear’ channels than it does to add content to a streamer. It is not a matter of ‘what the public want’ which you keep repeating over and over. It’s what the broadcasters decide - why don’t you get that? People cannot tap into a service that doesn’t exist. The rest of your point is rather vague - I don’t get the point you are making. Nobody is a slave to Netflix, but many people are slaves to the schedules. |
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Why would Channel 5, keen to promote it's content, readily give up it's position of being beamed free to air into 28 million households? Quote:
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No broadcaster on DTT is going to readily give up these positions. It's free money, raises their profile and complements their streaming offering. I'm not sure how you can claim to be completely indifferent given the words you are devoting to this despite no indication from the regulator, the BBC, ITV, Sky or any of the other major broadcasters that they have plans to cease their broadcast linear television offerings. Even if they did, there's no indication they won't attempt to create a linear-over-IP offering to cement their own status at the top of EPGs as everyone switches on their television. You say 'watch and learn' as if you have a track record of being correct. |
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Sigh! Why don't/can't you two agree to disagree and move on?
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I predict the future of TV will more hardware gimmicks to get the punters to shell out for new screens, increased ads with no ff facility, less original UK content/production. Repeated increased channels / increased imported crap. ie. An increase in quantity, decrease in quality. Everything to increase profits and disadvantage the consumer.
Try the radio or your local theatre instead :) |
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Thanks for the intervention. |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...&postcount=324 |
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I believe you had a point about the difficulty in including ads in the stream, but I don’t think Netflix wanted to incorporate ads when it started off. I think they probably thought that global income would more than cover their costs and make them a nice handsome profit. Either that was a miscalculation, there was too much uncontrolled expenditure on content or perhaps they didn’t anticipate the amount of competition there would be with all these other streamers getting in on the act. But a cheaper or free ads option was an obvious step to take as the market started to mature. |
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Here’s a gem from the same thread: https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1724503154 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...4&postcount=66 But don’t forget, he never said, or implied, that he was predicting the landscape in 10 years. Honest. |
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I've equally no interest in your circuitous nonsense - however to that end it'd be helpful if you didn't resort to ad-hominem attacks, skewed by your interpretation that I have a preference for linear broadcasting. I personally do not - most of my viewing (aside the BBC, or live sport) has been time shifted since the advent of Sky+, however I'm capable of commenting on the whole marketplace as distinct from my own viewing habits, noting that a change on the scale that you predict often requires significant regulatory intervention to facilitate it (e.g. digital switch over). I'll leave you to address the posts by spiderplant or Chris for the time being. |
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I think most people agree that things look very different now, with about half the viewing now through the streamers. Think what a difference another decade will make. |
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https://news.cision.com/ericsson/r/t...emand,c2245296 |
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According to BARB, SVoD/AVoD (streamers such as Netflix, Disney+, etc.) are watched (on average) in homes 38 minutes per day, whilst Live TV is watched 108 minutes per day, recorded playback 25 minutes per day, and BVoD (Catch-up TV from Broadcasters) 20 minutes per day. https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...7&d=1724515713 |
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---------- Post added at 17:37 ---------- Previous post was at 17:28 ---------- https://www.digitaltveurope.com/long...k/#close-modal ---------- Post added at 17:38 ---------- Previous post was at 17:37 ---------- [EXTRACT] Omdia has seen two key trends that shaped cross-platform viewing time in 2022: a decline in linear viewing and the ascendance of nonlinear platforms such as online long form and social media video viewing. Despite these overarching themes, the state of play between certain markets remains resolutely different. Traditional linear TV viewing, for example, remains the dominant form of viewing in Australia and across most of Europe, including France, Germany, Italy, and Spain. Omdia believes those markets are set to remain that way for several years. However, in the US, UK, Sweden, and the Netherlands, linear has fallen below the 50% share threshold, with nonlinear viewing now the dominant viewing method. |
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The question is why would the last decade - where streaming and on demand made a modest gain of around 15% - be any different from the next decade? “The streamers” are getting more expensive, and investing less in content, today than they did last year and the year before as shareholders demand returns. There is no longer a commitment to throw money into a bottomless pit. The advert laden, higher cost, proposition of 2025 will be less appealing than that of 2020. New markets tend to plateau over time. That time very well could be now for “the streamers”. It will be somewhat ironic as your posts pivot to the realisation that if your prediction is to have any potential at all it’ll be on the coat tails of Sky’s success. Despite many previous predictions of the “deep pockets” streamers blowing them out the water. |
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You wish!
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Contrary to often stated opinion there’s no clear alternative use case for the frequencies. If we were in the halcyon days of spectrum auctions raising £22bn (in 1999, £40bn in real terms) for the Treasury and mobile network operators (MNOs) foaming at the mouth then it’d be a slam dunk closure. It’d have been announced years ago giving end users ample time to prepare. In reality MNOs see the lower end of the spectrum as cheap ways for them to avoid investment in rural areas by punting out 5G lite services offering barely above 4G speeds. European Governments will rightly be sceptical whether this is a worthwhile use of a limited resource. |
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believe the point I made had been made before in the thread. I don't think your reply repudiates my point. (For what it's worth, I consume most of my content by streaming.) |
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For what it's worth, I thought a good evolution of TV from linear to streaming came with YouView. It was a smooth transition rather than the more sudden jump from a TV schedule to a variety of streaming apps. Missed a TV programme? Just scroll back to when it started and watch it. If the rights holder or channel does not provide it on-demand or you prefer to, then you can pre-record it and still watch it from the EPG. Prefer to watch through the apps directly or go straight to your recordings? You can do both of those too. |
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Well, you use the alternative provided, of course. Why is this concept so difficult for you all to grasp? |
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In addition to content available on cable operators prior to these dates 4oD launched in 2006, BBC iPlayer in 2007, and Sky Anytime launched in 2012 on that platform. ---------- Post added at 19:17 ---------- Previous post was at 19:14 ---------- Quote:
Television is ironically one of the few markets out there where the collective of consumers genuinely has power to influence the market by watching or paying for something else. Or reading a book instead. This isn’t one of those fake ones Thatcher invented to siphon off the assets of this great nation into her cronies pockets. |
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Why is it so hard for you to grasp the concept of linear TV schedules having a utility that will keep it in use for the foreseeable future? |
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If DTT capacity is still there due to other countries' lower streaming adoption rates, the higher the likelihood of it remaining in the UK for longer too. ---------- Post added at 07:55 ---------- Previous post was at 07:52 ---------- Quote:
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Very well, we'll soon see, won't we? ---------- Post added at 08:43 ---------- Previous post was at 08:43 ---------- Quote:
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https://www.ofcom.org.uk/tv-radio-an...a%20disability. Quote:
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But but but Ofcom refused to allow Project Kangaroo therefore they’re wrong about everything.
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You must be desperate to keep repeating what you know I never meant in the context you've stated it. ---------- Post added at 07:40 ---------- Previous post was at 07:39 ---------- Quote:
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Set out in 2015, delayed by a decade. We are literally no closer to your vision today than we were then by that metric. Despite 10 years of “progress”.
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Yes, if it pleases you, you can ignore the fact that there’s no agreement to continue broadcasting from transmitters after 2024 while ignoring all the preparations the broadcasters are making for a digital future; you can ignore the fact that Sky is planning to cease the availability of its Sky Q boxes soon and has no transponder space booked after 2024; you can ignore the fact that the audience grouping loved by advertisers is watching less and less conventional TV Channels; that those TV channels are encouraging people to go online rather than scheduled TV by making more of their originals available online before they appear on the main channels……. And you can just carry on with your ‘la la la’ antics and complain that anyone who believes as you do must be off their rockers. ---------- Post added at 14:06 ---------- Previous post was at 13:41 ---------- Quote:
2025 was the date I envisaged that most properties would be connected to broadband, although I was basing that on the government’s plans at the time. |
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Most premises were connected to broadband back in 2015 so not too controversial to predict this would continue to be the case in 2025. ;) https://www.ofcom.org.uk/siteassets/...e.pdf?v=334808 |
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https://www.cableforum.uk/board/atta...1&d=1724770871 https://www.cableforum.uk/board/show...4#post35757394 I posted that a former president of HBO believed there was a long-term future for linear broadcast because it creates ‘water-cooler moments’ that you can only derive from a shared viewing experience. (You can’t get that from streaming, by design.) You clearly understood what he had said, then dismissed it, and predicted things would look ‘so different’ by 2025. There is absolutely nothing whatsoever in your post that anyone could possibly understand to mean you were making some comment about availability of broadband. Blind Freddie can see you were trying to contradict Callender’s prediction that linear broadcast would be resilient. Face it … 10 years on (your metric, not his), you have been proven categorically wrong. Every significant linear broadcaster still exists, a ton of IP-based linear-scheduled FAST channels nobody even predicted have come into being, and there are more streamers available in the UK market which plenty, but by no means all, households subscribe to in addition to their habitual use of linear broadcast schedules. Incidentally, Colin Callender is still working in TV production at the highest levels and his list of credits is as long as your arm. I’d still listen to his predictions of the future of his industry over yours, any day of the week. https://www.imdb.com/name/nm0130456/ |
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The 2025 date related to broadband rollout, which would then make switching off channels possible - that’s the reason I mentioned 2025. In other words, the landscape would look entirely different and the main barrier to a terrestrial and satellite channel switch off would be removed. You know that, and it’s on the record, so why are you deliberately confusing people and wasting their time with this nonsense? As for that ‘water cooler moment’ you were harking on about, I think some are concentrating on the wrong issues. I know there are some advantages of retaining the channels, but if the broadcasters decide to ditch the channels regardless, that argument goes out of the window. In any case, the streamers could surely do the same - release one episode per week until the whole series of a new original appears. Some of you are just putting made up problems in the way, but heaven only knows to what end. I am sure that Colin Callander is an excellent professional person, and that you would prefer to listen to his views, but quite honestly, I’m not preventing you from doing that. I’ve told you what I think and we will see who is right with the fullness of time. ---------- Post added at 17:00 ---------- Previous post was at 16:55 ---------- Quote:
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Realising they have some spare airtime they could run trailers, or sell adverts. They could even break up the programme itself - giving the advantage of the captive viewer to sell to advertisers. Once they've done this for say, um, 168 hours a week they could publish the sequence in which programming can be viewed first run or, if required, repeat showings to pad it out a bit. They could even explore innovative ways to supply content advertising funded, perhaps to non-subscribers, if only such a transmission system existed that people could receive such programming by default. Broadcast, if you like, into their living rooms in an accessible form. Like you just switched on your TV and it's there. |
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Streamers (aside from Netflix) often do release one episode per week.
The difference is that once released, you can watch it whenever you want, without having to record it. |
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If we are going as low as superfast (using the greater than 30 megabits definition) in 2014 the UK had 85-90% coverage. More than enough to stream high definition television at that time and develop a market of over 20 million households.
The notion that there is some kind of “game changer” in terms of progress in content delivery that’s more likely to fall in the next decade than the last one is flawed. |
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I’m not asking for any brownie points, anyhow. I’m just saying what I think. Either I’m right or wrong - no big deal. ---------- Post added at 19:43 ---------- Previous post was at 19:38 ---------- Quote:
Maybe the streamers will also issue subscribers with a free fake portable aerial to put on their TV sets, just to make people of a nervous disposition feel safe…. Maybe they could also reduce picture quality during very hot weather and when it rains heavily so you can kid yourself nothing’s changed. ---------- Post added at 19:45 ---------- Previous post was at 19:43 ---------- Quote:
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The straw man army has new recruits.
As ever you either missed, potentially intentionally, the point being made. That which you are unable or unwilling to answer. Why will the next decade be different from the last? The tech is in place to support the streaming market for the vast, vast, majority of UK households. The economics are now less favourable - they’re no longer minor add ons, often supplementing the existing pay-tv services among those households who do subscribe. They’re becoming higher cost at a time they’re investing ever decreasing amounts in content. The biggest issue for your vision is that rational consumers in the marketplace continue to watch live, linear television. Whether they’ve had access to on demand content and hard drive recorders for twenty years. They still watch. You come up with ludicrous ways for “the streamers” to accommodate the viewing habits of rational viewers (dropping programme once a week) for example that contradicts the viewing habits of the average streaming viewer (to binge). Neither can a streamer command when someone is likely to first watch in the same manner as a linear broadcaster who dictates the time. Streaming still needs the “content aggregator” and someone else to develop the user interface that none of them rationally would want to sign up to. |
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You say that OB, but you never address the points made to you. Instead opting for some perverse argument nobody made. For example these:
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It's a lot cheaper to broadcast to each viewer via DTT than streaming.
The only way that DTT will be switched off (partially or fully) is if too few people use it to make it viable to continue or if the Government decide they want the spectrum to be used for something else. |
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I really can’t see broadcasters not wanting to take advantage of simply uploading streams than going to the bother of scheduling. |
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Public Service Broadcasters distribute where government tells them because it’s part of the licensing terms (or charter terms in the BBC’s case). They don’t get to decide to end DTT broadcast and wait for government to intervene. They must continue to broadcast via DTT unless and until a change in regulation permits them not to. |
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ButbutbutOfcomProjectKangaroo
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Anyhow, that’s beside the point, I have been making it very clear that this will only happen if the government decides not to intervene. ---------- Post added at 17:25 ---------- Previous post was at 17:23 ---------- Quote:
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Once again I’m just telling you how I see it. I fully understand that you disagree. |
Re: The future of television
https://rxtvinfo.com/2025/majority-w...cted-from-axe/
[EXTRACTS] The Digital Poverty Alliance (DPA) – a UK-based charity dedicated to addressing the digital divide and combating digital exclusion across vulnerable communities – is calling on the government to give long-term protection to the UK’s free-to-air terrestrial TV service, as new research finds strong support (73%) for retaining it and low awareness that its future is under threat. Ministers are currently examining the future of TV distribution ahead of a decision on whether to continue Freeview. Findings include: 90% value terrestrial TV for ensuring people who cannot afford expensive monthly bills have universal access to information and entertainment 75% agree that terrestrial TV helps reduce loneliness 73% believe that terrestrial TV should be protected well beyond 2035 85% say that terrestrial TV is important to help understand history and traditions 70% of the public feel reassured knowing that terrestrial TV is there as a backup More than 2/3 of people (69% are unaware that terrestrial TV is under threat In 2024, free-to-air broadcasters and regulator Ofcom warned of a tipping point in terms of the viability of terrestrial TV broadcasts. The BBC highlighted the increasing cost of terrestrial TV per user. It also put a question mark over whether or not it could justify the ongoing expenditure. Commercial multiplex operators are already struggling to fill capacity as channels switch to streaming instead. The BBC has so far refused to commit to maintaining terrestrial TV services. The broadcast licence for one of its digital terrestrial TV multiplexes expires next year. What the public say they want and what they’ll get may be two different things. It seems to me that the operators want to move on to IP based systems, which means that streaming is bound to take over. The question is, by when? If the operators get their way, it’ll be sometime between 2030 and 2035, and only government intervention will change that. But is the government prepared to meet the costs of retaining terrestrial in these cash-strapped times? Then, of course, there is the added pressure from the industry to use the bandwidth currently used for TV to provide more 5G services. My own view (others are free to disagree) is that the government should accept the way the industry is going, but add a requirement that there must be a means by which non-tech savvy pensioners can access easily those services they actually want. If the industry is charged with that requirement, they would be able to act collectively to ensure the changes the government requires are realised. It shouldn’t be too big an ask. The other barrier is broadband services, so perhaps an increase in the state pension for the poorest should be implemented to the value of a basic broadband service. Additionally, any remaining ‘not spots’ should be plugged to ensure that everyone can use the service. |
Re: The future of television
The whole rationale for Government is to protect against the whims of private enterprise that won’t do things in the public interest.
People on state pension aren’t considered poor, those on pension credit (an income based benefit) are. Plenty of people below pension age that would need additional income to fund this idea. At a time the government want to reduce the benefits bill it seems counterintuitive. The regulated market works adequately well. |
Re: The future of television
To be honest, jfman, I don’t see how the government can seriously agree to spend scarce resources on a preferred method of broadcasting that the content providers don’t want.
If channels are abandoned in favour of streaming, and at a time that the BBC complain they are so cash strapped that they have to withdraw services, what will be left to broadcast terrestrially? To date, I haven’t heard a reasoned argument against that view, apart from the usual appeal to the emotions that ‘people want the choice’. I don’t think the option will be available, and there won’t be a referendum! |
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There are 7.8 million people on “low income” benefits. Usually pensioners on low incomes (pension credit) or the state subsidising poverty wages for unscrupulous employers (universal credit). Do you propose all of them get “free broadband” just to satisfy your own narrow vision? People want the choice is the very rallying cry of capitalism. People paying to watch, or paying to advertise to viewers, is the very definition of a successful market. There’s no need for state or regulatory intervention that immediately the state has to mitigate the harm from in the manner you propose. It’s completely absurd. There may indeed be no referendum but it’s easy pickings for an opposition to campaign on a near zero cost popular policy. Starmer’s not going to do something as unpopular as indicated above for no tangible benefit to anyone. |
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Also LOL at you posting an article that proves terrestrial TV is a highly valued commodity and then somehow concluding the government must inevitably decide to pi$$ everyone off by authorising its switch-off. And further LOL at whoever wrote that piece observing the BBC has failed to ‘commit’ to continued support of terrestrial broadcast, as if that means it might unilaterally pull the plug, when in fact it is not up to the BBC to decide that - it is part of its charter conditions, which are set by parliament, not by the BBC. |
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As the article says: ‘In 2024, free-to-air broadcasters and regulator Ofcom warned of a tipping point in terms of the viability of terrestrial TV broadcasts. The BBC highlighted the increasing cost of terrestrial TV per user. It also put a question mark over whether or not it could justify the ongoing expenditure.’ The article references the public’s preference to continue to broadcast terrestrially, but you ignore completely the financial issues associated with continuing to use transmitters for this purpose. It does not cost peanuts to broadcast this way as jfman supposes, and the move to IP will lead to broadcasters wanting to disseminate their content through streaming only, which may or may not include streaming channels to replace existing ones. Streaming will finish off the ability for people to record shows, which is what broadcasters and content providers want, and advertisers want to prevent people from skipping over advertisements. This may seem to you to be a controversial subject, and there are still some on here who cannot even envisage this, but it doesn’t make what I have said incorrect. The advantages of broadcasting via IP is too great to be resisted. |
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There is no cost per user on terrestrial TV. It is a flat cost, regardless of how many people receive the broadcast. Dividing it up amongst those who actually tune in, in order to create an entirely notional amount spent per user, is pointless because there are so many other factors that are within the broadcasters’ control if they want to have lower costs per user - principally, by making programmes more users want to watch. The PSBs, the BBC most of all, have the top EPG slots and are in every home, on every platform. If they’re losing viewers they shouldn’t be helped to vanish up their own arsehoes by agreeing to switch off the distribution method your own link proves is the one viewers still want. Quote:
Mature technology - check. Reaches every customer - check (pretty much). Minimal barrier to entry for consumer (in terms of cost of receiver, simplicity of technology) - check. The cost to reach every customer - because it does reach every customer, whether or not they actually watch is another matter - is tiny. Quote:
The principal protagonist here, according to the article you linked to, is the BBC, which is the backbone of UK public service broadcasting and, famously, does not run adverts. In fact it even employs people to blur out the trademen’s business names on DIY SOS, such is its commitment to not advertising, even on the occasions it would be rather nicer if they did. The apparent cost to stream is so low because nobody has yet fully addressed the elephant in that room, which is that consumers are paying network operators for ‘unlimited’ internet access based on certain assumptions about average monthly data usage. I don’t know if you’re aware quite how much of a difference it makes to data usage when a household goes IP only - in the 50 days since our router was last power cycled we’ve downloaded just shy of 3 terabytes. We’re in a new-build and haven’t got round to putting an aerial up, so all our consumption is over IP. That’s what a single family doing *everything* online looks like. Push close to 2 terabytes per month on every household and the ISPs are going to start squealing, loudly, and suddenly the entire business model for the delivery of home broadband has to change. Whatever the streamers are currently paying for peering, content delivery networks and the like, doesn’t come close to covering the actual cost. Quote:
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https://www.ofcom.org.uk/siteassets/...t.pdf?v=344045 |
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Yes. In fact, I read it long before the last time it came up in this thread, which must have been some time ago now because the document is almost a year old. |
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‘ …There is no way around the fact that the proliferation of TV distribution methods ….will put more and more pressure onto PSBs…..The tipping point will come for DSat and eventually DTT at which the costs of distribution outweigh the benefits.’ Still. as usual, you think you know better. Not much I can do about that. |
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** Pot, Kettle, Black .... |
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‘A significant number of broadcasters voiced concerns in their evidence that maintaining the existing DTT infrastructure is unlikely to be commercially attractive after the 2030s.’ Ofcom may have some sticking plaster solutions, but their mindset is different to what the TV industry actually wants and is prepared to pay for. Money is tight, for TV channels, for the government and for taxpayers. Something has to give. Ofcom is desperately trying to find reasons for propping up DTT, but it will ultimately fail, in my opinion. Another 10 years and the DTT audience that advertisers wish to attract will have migrated to IP. What’s left? Ah yes, the BBC! Well they are into digital first as well, and they don’t seem to be hanging around, do they? Well, let the good people of this forum judge for themselves. I’m beginning to think some of you have shares in DTT! |
Re: The future of television
Other DTT broadcasting technologies are available…
https://www.tvbeurope.com/media-deli...-ready-by-2027 Quote:
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Re: The future of television
I’ve not seen any enthusiasm for shutting down DTT either but that doesn’t stop you from going on about it.
Are ITV, Channel 4 and 5 obliged to have channels other than their main channel on DTT? If they aren’t, why do they? |
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5BSTF has, as one of its partners, Cordiant Capital (UK). |
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Re: The future of television
BBC iPlayer’s private Beta release was 20 years ago this October. It has been universally available for 17 years.
The world’s first high definition scheduled TV service (also the BBC), having launched initially in 1936, didn’t really get going, permanently, until 1946. In other words, at the rate public television services have historically launched and developed, there is nothing ‘recent’ about streaming TV, except in strictly relative terms. 20 years is a long time for any communications technology. |
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